Adaptation required to preserve future high-end river flood risk at present levels
- Earth’s surface temperature will continue to rise for another 20 to 30 years even with the strongest carbon emission reduction currently considered. The associated changes in rainfall patterns can result in an increased flood risk worldwide. We compute the required increase in flood protection to keep high-end fluvial flood risk at present levels. The analysis is carried out worldwide for subnational administrative units. Most of the United States, Central Europe, and Northeast and West Africa, as well as large parts of India and Indonesia, require the strongest adaptation effort. More than half of the United States needs to at least double their protection within the next two decades. Thus, the need for adaptation to increased river flood is a global problem affecting industrialized regions as much as developing countries.
Author details: | Sven N. WillnerORCiDGND, Anders LevermannORCiDGND, Fang Zhao, Katja FrielerORCiDGND |
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DOI: | https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aao1914 |
ISSN: | 2375-2548 |
Pubmed ID: | https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29326981 |
Title of parent work (English): | Science Advances |
Publisher: | American Assoc. for the Advancement of Science |
Place of publishing: | Washington |
Publication type: | Article |
Language: | English |
Date of first publication: | 2018/01/10 |
Publication year: | 2018 |
Release date: | 2022/03/14 |
Volume: | 4 |
Issue: | 1 |
Number of pages: | 8 |
Funding institution: | European UnionEuropean Union (EU) [603864, 641811]; German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF)Federal Ministry of Education & Research (BMBF) [01LS1201A1]; ISIMIP2b (BMBF) [01LS1201A2]; Leibniz Competition [SAW-2013-PIK-5] |
Organizational units: | Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Fakultät / Institut für Physik und Astronomie |
DDC classification: | 5 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik / 53 Physik / 530 Physik |
5 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik / 55 Geowissenschaften, Geologie / 550 Geowissenschaften | |
Peer review: | Referiert |
Publishing method: | Open Access / Gold Open-Access |
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