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Trade-offs between geographic scale, cost, and infrastructure requirements for fully renewable electricity in Europe

  • The European potential for renewable electricity is sufficient to enable fully renewable supply on different scales, from self-sufficient, subnational regions to an interconnected continent. We not only show that a continental-scale system is the cheapest, but also that systems on the national scale and below are possible at cost penalties of 20% or less. Transmission is key to low cost, but it is not necessary to vastly expand the transmission system. When electricity is transmitted only to balance fluctuations, the transmission grid size is comparable to today's, albeit with expanded cross-border capacities. The largest differences across scales concern land use and thus social acceptance: in the continental system, generation capacity is concentrated on the European periphery, where the best resources are. Regional systems, in contrast, have more dispersed generation. The key trade-off is therefore not between geographic scale and cost, but between scale and the spatial distribution of required generation and transmissionThe European potential for renewable electricity is sufficient to enable fully renewable supply on different scales, from self-sufficient, subnational regions to an interconnected continent. We not only show that a continental-scale system is the cheapest, but also that systems on the national scale and below are possible at cost penalties of 20% or less. Transmission is key to low cost, but it is not necessary to vastly expand the transmission system. When electricity is transmitted only to balance fluctuations, the transmission grid size is comparable to today's, albeit with expanded cross-border capacities. The largest differences across scales concern land use and thus social acceptance: in the continental system, generation capacity is concentrated on the European periphery, where the best resources are. Regional systems, in contrast, have more dispersed generation. The key trade-off is therefore not between geographic scale and cost, but between scale and the spatial distribution of required generation and transmission infrastructure.show moreshow less

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Author details:Tim TröndleORCiDGND, Johan LilliestamORCiD, Stefano MarelliORCiDGND, Stefan PfenningerORCiDGND
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.joule.2020.07.018
ISSN:2542-4351
Pubmed ID:https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32999994
Title of parent work (English):Joule
Publisher:Cell Press
Place of publishing:Cambridge , Mass.
Publication type:Article
Language:English
Date of first publication:2020/08/14
Publication year:2020
Release date:2023/04/21
Tag:acceptance; cooperation; energy decarbonization; flexibility; land use; regional equity; self-sufficiency; trade; transmission
Volume:4
Issue:9
Number of pages:20
First page:1929
Last Page:1948
Funding institution:European Research Council grant (TRIPOD) [715132]; Swiss Competence; Center for Energy Research-Supply of Electricity (SCCER SoE); [1155002546]
Organizational units:Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliche Fakultät / Sozialwissenschaften
5 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik / 53 Physik / 530 Physik
Peer review:Referiert
Publishing method:Open Access / Hybrid Open-Access
License (German):License LogoCC-BY - Namensnennung 4.0 International
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