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Impact of the melt-albedo feedback on the future evolution of the Greenland Ice Sheet with PISM-dEBM-simple

  • Surface melting of the Greenland Ice Sheet contributes a large amount to current and future sea level rise. Increased surface melt may lower the reflectivity of the ice sheet surface and thereby increase melt rates: the so-called melt-albedo feedback describes this self-sustaining increase in surface melting. In order to test the effect of the melt-albedo feedback in a prognostic ice sheet model, we implement dEBM-simple, a simplified version of the diurnal Energy Balance Model dEBM, in the Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM). The implementation includes a simple representation of the melt-albedo feedback and can thereby replace the positive-degree-day melt scheme. Using PISM-dEBM-simple, we find that this feedback increases ice loss through surface warming by 60 % until 2300 for the high-emission scenario RCP8.5 when compared to a scenario in which the albedo remains constant at its present-day values. With an increase of 90 % compared to a fixed-albedo scenario, the effect is more pronounced for lower surface warming under RCP2.6.Surface melting of the Greenland Ice Sheet contributes a large amount to current and future sea level rise. Increased surface melt may lower the reflectivity of the ice sheet surface and thereby increase melt rates: the so-called melt-albedo feedback describes this self-sustaining increase in surface melting. In order to test the effect of the melt-albedo feedback in a prognostic ice sheet model, we implement dEBM-simple, a simplified version of the diurnal Energy Balance Model dEBM, in the Parallel Ice Sheet Model (PISM). The implementation includes a simple representation of the melt-albedo feedback and can thereby replace the positive-degree-day melt scheme. Using PISM-dEBM-simple, we find that this feedback increases ice loss through surface warming by 60 % until 2300 for the high-emission scenario RCP8.5 when compared to a scenario in which the albedo remains constant at its present-day values. With an increase of 90 % compared to a fixed-albedo scenario, the effect is more pronounced for lower surface warming under RCP2.6. Furthermore, assuming an immediate darkening of the ice surface over all summer months, we estimate an upper bound for this effect to be 70 % in the RCP8.5 scenario and a more than 4-fold increase under RCP2.6. With dEBM-simple implemented in PISM, we find that the melt-albedo feedback is an essential contributor to mass loss in dynamic simulations of the Greenland Ice Sheet under future warming.zeige mehrzeige weniger

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Metadaten
Verfasserangaben:Maria ZeitzORCiDGND, Ronja ReeseORCiDGND, Johanna BeckmannORCiDGND, Uta Krebs-KanzowORCiDGND, Ricarda WinkelmannORCiDGND
DOI:https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-5739-2021
ISSN:1994-0416
ISSN:1994-0424
Titel des übergeordneten Werks (Englisch):The Cryosphere : TC ; an interactive open access journal of the European Geosciences Union
Verlag:Copernicus
Verlagsort:Katlenburg-Lindau
Publikationstyp:Wissenschaftlicher Artikel
Sprache:Englisch
Datum der Erstveröffentlichung:20.12.2021
Erscheinungsjahr:2021
Datum der Freischaltung:23.04.2024
Band:15
Ausgabe:12
Seitenanzahl:26
Erste Seite:5739
Letzte Seite:5764
Fördernde Institution:Deutsche ForschungsgemeinschaftGerman Research Foundation (DFG) [401011539]; Leibniz-Gemeinschaft (DominoES grant)
Organisationseinheiten:Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Fakultät / Institut für Physik und Astronomie
DDC-Klassifikation:9 Geschichte und Geografie / 91 Geografie, Reisen / 910 Geografie, Reisen
Peer Review:Referiert
Publikationsweg:Open Access / Gold Open-Access
DOAJ gelistet
Lizenz (Deutsch):License LogoCC-BY - Namensnennung 4.0 International
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