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Seismicity parameters dependence on main shock-induced co-seismic stress

  • The Gutenberg-Richter (GR) and the Omori-Utsu (OU) law describe the earthquakes' energy release and temporal clustering and are thus of great importance for seismic hazard assessment. Motivated by experimental results, which indicate stress-dependent parameters, we consider a combined global data set of 127 main shock-aftershock sequences and perform a systematic study of the relationship between main shock-induced stress changes and associated seismicity patterns. For this purpose, we calculate space-dependent Coulomb Stress (& UDelta;CFS) and alternative receiver-independent stress metrics in the surrounding of the main shocks. Our results indicate a clear positive correlation between the GR b-value and the induced stress, contrasting expectations from laboratory experiments and suggesting a crucial role of structural heterogeneity and strength variations. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the aftershock productivity increases nonlinearly with stress, while the OU parameters c and p systematically decrease for increasing stressThe Gutenberg-Richter (GR) and the Omori-Utsu (OU) law describe the earthquakes' energy release and temporal clustering and are thus of great importance for seismic hazard assessment. Motivated by experimental results, which indicate stress-dependent parameters, we consider a combined global data set of 127 main shock-aftershock sequences and perform a systematic study of the relationship between main shock-induced stress changes and associated seismicity patterns. For this purpose, we calculate space-dependent Coulomb Stress (& UDelta;CFS) and alternative receiver-independent stress metrics in the surrounding of the main shocks. Our results indicate a clear positive correlation between the GR b-value and the induced stress, contrasting expectations from laboratory experiments and suggesting a crucial role of structural heterogeneity and strength variations. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the aftershock productivity increases nonlinearly with stress, while the OU parameters c and p systematically decrease for increasing stress changes. Our partly unexpected findings can have an important impact on future estimations of the aftershock hazard.zeige mehrzeige weniger

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Metadaten
Verfasserangaben:Shubham SharmaORCiD, Sebastian HainzlORCiDGND, Gert ZöllerORCiDGND
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggad201
ISSN:0956-540X
ISSN:1365-246X
Titel des übergeordneten Werks (Englisch):Geophysical journal international
Verlag:Oxford Univ. Press
Verlagsort:Oxford
Publikationstyp:Wissenschaftlicher Artikel
Sprache:Englisch
Datum der Erstveröffentlichung:17.06.2023
Erscheinungsjahr:2023
Datum der Freischaltung:21.06.2024
Freies Schlagwort / Tag:Earthquake hazards; Earthquake interaction; Statistical seismology; and prediction; b-value; forecasting
Band:235
Ausgabe:1
Seitenanzahl:9
Erste Seite:509
Letzte Seite:517
Fördernde Institution:DFG-Research Training Group NatRiskChange'; DFG [B04]
Organisationseinheiten:Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Fakultät / Institut für Geowissenschaften
DDC-Klassifikation:5 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik / 55 Geowissenschaften, Geologie / 550 Geowissenschaften
Peer Review:Referiert
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