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Climate change scenario services

  • The goal of limiting global warming to well below 2°C as set out in the Paris Agreement calls for a strategic assessment of societal pathways and policy strategies. Besides policy makers, new powerful actors from the private sector, including finance, have stepped up to engage in forward-looking assessments of a Paris-compliant and climate-resilient future. Climate change scenarios have addressed this demand by providing scientific insights on the possible pathways ahead to limit warming in line with the Paris climate goal. Despite the increased interest, the potential of climate change scenarios has not been fully unleashed, mostly due to a lack of an intermediary service that provides guidance and access to climate change scenarios. This perspective presents the concept of a climate change scenario service, its components, and a prototypical implementation to overcome this shortcoming aiming to make scenarios accessible to a broader audience of societal actors and decision makers.

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Author details:Cornelia AuerORCiD, Elmar KrieglerORCiDGND, Henrik CarlsenGND, Kasper KokGND, Simona Pedde, Volker KreyORCiDGND, Boris Müller
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2021.07.015
ISSN:2590-3322
Title of parent work (English):One earth
Subtitle (English):from science to facilitating action
Publisher:Elsevier
Place of publishing:Amsterdam
Publication type:Article
Language:English
Date of first publication:2021/08/20
Publication year:2021
Release date:2024/01/08
Tag:adaptation scenarios; capacity building; climate change scenario services; climate change scenarios; climate services; co-production; impact projections; mitigation scenarios; visualization
Volume:4
Issue:8
Number of pages:9
First page:1074
Last Page:1082
Organizational units:Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliche Fakultät / Wirtschaftswissenschaften / Fachgruppe Volkswirtschaftslehre
DDC classification:5 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik / 55 Geowissenschaften, Geologie / 550 Geowissenschaften
Peer review:Referiert
Publishing method:Open Access / Hybrid Open-Access
License (German):License LogoCC-BY - Namensnennung 4.0 International
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