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We study the Dirichlet problem in a bounded plane domain for the heat equation with small parameter multiplying the derivative in t. The behaviour of solution at characteristic points of the boundary is of special interest. The behaviour is well understood if a characteristic line is tangent to the boundary with contact degree at least 2. We allow the boundary to not only have contact of degree less than 2 with a characteristic line but also a cuspidal singularity at a characteristic point. We construct an asymptotic solution of the problem near the characteristic point to describe how the boundary layer degenerates.
A linear differential operator L is called weakly hypoelliptic if any local solution u of Lu = 0 is smooth. We allow for systems, i.e. the coefficients may be matrices, not necessarily of square size. This is a huge class of important operators which covers all elliptic, overdetermined elliptic, subelliptic and parabolic equations. We extend several classical theorems from complex analysis to solutions of any weakly hypoelliptic equation: the Montel theorem providing convergent subsequences, the Vitali theorem ensuring convergence of a given sequence, and Riemann's first removable singularity theorem. In the case of constant coefficients we show that Liouville's theorem holds, any bounded solution must be constant and any L^p solution must vanish.
We introduce renormalized integrals which generalize conventional measure theoretic integrals. One approximates the integration domain by measure spaces and defines the integral as the limit of integrals over the approximating spaces. This concept is implicitly present in many mathematical contexts such as Cauchy's principal value, the determinant of operators on a Hilbert space and the Fourier transform of an L^p function. We use renormalized integrals to define a path integral on manifolds by approximation via geodesic polygons. The main part of the paper is dedicated to the proof of a path integral formula for the heat kernel of any self-adjoint generalized Laplace operator acting on sections of a vector bundle over a compact Riemannian manifold.
We consider orthogonal connections with arbitrary torsion on compact Riemannian manifolds. For the induced Dirac operators, twisted Dirac operators and Dirac operators of Chamseddine-Connes type we compute the spectral action. In addition to the Einstein-Hilbert action and the bosonic part of the Standard Model Lagrangian we find the Holst term from Loop Quantum Gravity, a coupling of the Holst term to the scalar curvature and a prediction for the value of the Barbero-Immirzi parameter.
We study boundary value problems for linear elliptic differential operators of order one. The underlying manifold may be noncompact, but the boundary is assumed to be compact. We require a symmetry property of the principal symbol of the operator along the boundary. This is satisfied by Dirac type operators, for instance. We provide a selfcontained introduction to (nonlocal) elliptic boundary conditions, boundary regularity of solutions, and index theory. In particular, we simplify and generalize the traditional theory of elliptic boundary value problems for Dirac type operators. We also prove a related decomposition theorem, a general version of Gromov and Lawson's relative index theorem and a generalization of the cobordism theorem.
This is an introduction to Wiener measure and the Feynman-Kac formula on general Riemannian manifolds for Riemannian geometers with little or no background in stochastics. We explain the construction of Wiener measure based on the heat kernel in full detail and we prove the Feynman-Kac formula for Schrödinger operators with bounded potentials. We also consider normal Riemannian coverings and show that projecting and lifting of paths are inverse operations which respect the Wiener measure.
We consider compact Riemannian spin manifolds without boundary equipped with orthogonal connections. We investigate the induced Dirac operators and the associated commutative spectral triples. In case of dimension four and totally anti-symmetric torsion we compute the Chamseddine-Connes spectral action, deduce the equations of motions and discuss critical points.
In this thesis, we discuss the formulation of variational problems on supermanifolds. Supermanifolds incorporate bosonic as well as fermionic degrees of freedom. Fermionic fields take values in the odd part of an appropriate Grassmann algebra and are thus showing an anticommutative behaviour. However, a systematic treatment of these Grassmann parameters requires a description of spaces as functors, e.g. from the category of Grassmann algberas into the category of sets (or topological spaces, manifolds). After an introduction to the general ideas of this approach, we use it to give a description of the resulting supermanifolds of fields/maps. We show that each map is uniquely characterized by a family of differential operators of appropriate order. Moreover, we demonstrate that each of this maps is uniquely characterized by its component fields, i.e. by the coefficients in a Taylor expansion w.r.t. the odd coordinates. In general, the component fields are only locally defined. We present a way how to circumvent this limitation. In fact, by enlarging the supermanifold in question, we show that it is possible to work with globally defined components. We eventually use this formalism to study variational problems. More precisely, we study a super version of the geodesic and a generalization of harmonic maps to supermanifolds. Equations of motion are derived from an energy functional and we show how to decompose them into components. Finally, in special cases, we can prove the existence of critical points by reducing the problem to equations from ordinary geometric analysis. After solving these component equations, it is possible to show that their solutions give rise to critical points in the functor spaces of fields.
This paper examines and develops matrix methods to approximate the eigenvalues of a fourth order Sturm-Liouville problem subjected to a kind of fixed boundary conditions, furthermore, it extends the matrix methods for a kind of general boundary conditions. The idea of the methods comes from finite difference and Numerov's method as well as boundary value methods for second order regular Sturm-Liouville problems. Moreover, the determination of the correction term formulas of the matrix methods are investigated in order to obtain better approximations of the problem with fixed boundary conditions since the exact eigenvalues for q = 0 are known in this case. Finally, some numerical examples are illustrated.
The Riemann hypothesis is equivalent to the fact the the reciprocal function 1/zeta (s) extends from the interval (1/2,1) to an analytic function in the quarter-strip 1/2 < Re s < 1 and Im s > 0. Function theory allows one to rewrite the condition of analytic continuability in an elegant form amenable to numerical experiments.
On completeness of root functions of Sturm-Liouville problems with discontinuous boundary operators
(2012)
We consider a Sturm-Liouville boundary value problem in a bounded domain D of R^n. By this is meant that the differential equation is given by a second order elliptic operator of divergent form in D and the boundary conditions are of Robin type on bD. The first order term of the boundary operator is the oblique derivative whose coefficients bear discontinuities of the first kind. Applying the method of weak perturbation of compact self-adjoint operators and the method of rays of minimal growth, we prove the completeness of root functions related to the boundary value problem in Lebesgue and Sobolev spaces of various types.
We consider the Dirichlet, Neumann and Zaremba problems for harmonic functions in a bounded plane domain with nonsmooth boundary. The boundary curve belongs to one of the following three classes: sectorial curves, logarithmic spirals and spirals of power type. To study the problem we apply a familiar method of Vekua-Muskhelishvili which consists in using a conformal mapping of the unit disk onto the domain to pull back the problem to a boundary problem for harmonic functions in the disk. This latter is reduced in turn to a Toeplitz operator equation on the unit circle with symbol bearing discontinuities of second kind. We develop a constructive invertibility theory for Toeplitz operators and thus derive solvability conditions as well as explicit formulas for solutions.
We study maximal subsemigroups of the monoid T(X) of all full transformations on the set X = N of natural numbers containing a given subsemigroup W of T(X), where each element of a given set U is a generator of T(X) modulo W. This note continues the study of maximal subsemigroups of the monoid of all full transformations on an infinite set.
The authors discuss the use of the discrepancy principle for statistical inverse problems, when the underlying operator is of trace class. Under this assumption the discrepancy principle is well defined, however a plain use of it may occasionally fail and it will yield sub-optimal rates. Therefore, a modification of the discrepancy is introduced, which takes into account both of the above deficiencies. For a variety of linear regularization schemes as well as for conjugate gradient iteration this modification is shown to yield order optimal a priori error bounds under general smoothness assumptions. A posteriori error control is also possible, however at a sub-optimal rate, in general. This study uses and complements previous results for bounded deterministic noise.
In the limit we analyze the generators of families of reversible jump processes in the n-dimensional space associated with a class of symmetric non-local Dirichlet forms and show exponential decay of the eigenfunctions. The exponential rate function is a Finsler distance, given as solution of certain eikonal equation. Fine results are sensitive to the rate functions being twice differentiable or just Lipschitz. Our estimates are similar to the semiclassical Agmon estimates for differential operators of second order. They generalize and strengthen previous results on the lattice.
We analyze a general class of difference operators containing a multi-well potential and a small parameter. We decouple the wells by introducing certain Dirichlet operators on regions containing only one potential well, and we treat the eigenvalue problem as a small perturbation of these comparison problems. We describe tunneling by a certain interaction matrix similar to the analysis for the Schrödinger operator, and estimate the remainder, which is exponentially small and roughly quadratic compared with the interaction matrix.
We say that (weak/strong) time duality holds for continuous time quasi-birth-and-death-processes if, starting from a fixed level, the first hitting time of the next upper level and the first hitting time of the next lower level have the same distribution. We present here a criterion for time duality in the case where transitions from one level to another have to pass through a given single state, the so-called bottleneck property. We also prove that a weaker form of reversibility called balanced under permutation is sufficient for the time duality to hold. We then discuss the general case.
For a sequence of Hilbert spaces and continuous linear operators the curvature is defined to be the composition of any two consecutive operators. This is modeled on the de Rham resolution of a connection on a module over an algebra. Of particular interest are those sequences for which the curvature is "small" at each step, e.g., belongs to a fixed operator ideal. In this context we elaborate the theory of Fredholm sequences and show how to introduce the Lefschetz number.
We introduce a theoretical framework for performing statistical hypothesis testing simultaneously over a fairly general, possibly uncountably infinite, set of null hypotheses. This extends the standard statistical setting for multiple hypotheses testing, which is restricted to a finite set. This work is motivated by numerous modern applications where the observed signal is modeled by a stochastic process over a continuum. As a measure of type I error, we extend the concept of false discovery rate (FDR) to this setting. The FDR is defined as the average ratio of the measure of two random sets, so that its study presents some challenge and is of some intrinsic mathematical interest. Our main result shows how to use the p-value process to control the FDR at a nominal level, either under arbitrary dependence of p-values, or under the assumption that the finite dimensional distributions of the p-value process have positive correlations of a specific type (weak PRDS). Both cases generalize existing results established in the finite setting, the latter one leading to a less conservative procedure. The interest of this approach is demonstrated in several non-parametric examples: testing the mean/signal in a Gaussian white noise model, testing the intensity of a Poisson process and testing the c.d.f. of i.i.d. random variables. Conceptually, an interesting feature of the setting advocated here is that it focuses directly on the intrinsic hypothesis space associated with a testing model on a random process, without referring to an arbitrary discretization.
Estimation and testing the effect of covariates in accelerated life time models under censoring
(2010)
The accelerated lifetime model is considered. To test the influence of the covariate we transform the model in a regression model. Since censoring is allowed this approach leads to a goodness-of-fit problem for regression functions under censoring. So nonparametric estimation of regression functions under censoring is investigated, a limit theorem for a L2-distance is stated and a test procedure is formulated. Finally a Monte Carlo procedure is proposed.
We analyse different Gibbsian properties of interactive Brownian diffusions X indexed by the lattice $Z^{d} : X = (X_{i}(t), i ∈ Z^{d}, t ∈ [0, T], 0 < T < +∞)$. In a first part, these processes are characterized as Gibbs states on path spaces of the form $C([0, T],R)Z^{d}$. In a second part, we study the Gibbsian character on $R^{Z}^{d}$ of $v^{t}$, the law at time t of the infinite-dimensional diffusion X(t), when the initial law $v = v^{0}$ is Gibbsian.
Processes with independent increments are characterized via a duality formula, including Malliavin derivative and difference operators. This result is based on a characterization of infinitely divisible random vectors by a functional equation. A construction of the difference operator by a variational method is introduced and compared to approaches used by other authors for L´evy processes involving the chaos decomposition. Finally we extend our method to characterize infinitely divisible random measures.
We are interested in modeling some two-level population dynamics, resulting from the interplay of ecological interactions and phenotypic variation of individuals (or hosts) and the evolution of cells (or parasites) of two types living in these individuals. The ecological parameters of the individual dynamics depend on the number of cells of each type contained by the individual and the cell dynamics depends on the trait of the invaded individual. Our models are rooted in the microscopic description of a random (discrete) population of individuals characterized by one or several adaptive traits and cells characterized by their type. The population is modeled as a stochastic point process whose generator captures the probabilistic dynamics over continuous time of birth, mutation and death for individuals and birth and death for cells. The interaction between individuals (resp. between cells) is described by a competition between individual traits (resp. between cell types). We look for tractable large population approximations. By combining various scalings on population size, birth and death rates and mutation step, the single microscopic model is shown to lead to contrasting nonlinear macroscopic limits of different nature: deterministic approximations, in the form of ordinary, integro- or partial differential equations, or probabilistic ones, like stochastic partial differential equations or superprocesses. The study of the long time behavior of these processes seems very hard and we only develop some simple cases enlightening the difficulties involved.
This thesis is concerned with the issue of extinction of populations composed of different types of individuals, and their behavior before extinction and in case of a very late extinction. We approach this question firstly from a strictly probabilistic viewpoint, and secondly from the standpoint of risk analysis related to the extinction of a particular model of population dynamics. In this context we propose several statistical tools. The population size is modeled by a branching process, which is either a continuous-time multitype Bienaymé-Galton-Watson process (BGWc), or its continuous-state counterpart, the multitype Feller diffsion process. We are interested in different kinds of conditioning on nonextinction, and in the associated equilibrium states. These ways of conditioning have been widely studied in the monotype case. However the literature on multitype processes is much less extensive, and there is no systematic work establishing connections between the results for BGWc processes and those for Feller diffusion processes. In the first part of this thesis, we investigate the behavior of the population before its extinction by conditioning the associated branching process Xt on non-extinction (Xt 6= 0), or more generally on non-extinction in a near future 0 < 1 (Xt+ 0 = 0), and by letting t tend to infinity. We prove the result, new in the multitype framework and for 0 > 0, that this limit exists and is nondegenerate. This re ects a stationary behavior for the dynamics of the population conditioned on non-extinction, and provides a generalization of the so-called Yaglom limit, corresponding to the case 0 = 0. In a second step we study the behavior of the population in case of a very late extinction, obtained as the limit when 0 tends to infinity of the process conditioned by Xt+ 0 = 0. The resulting conditioned process is a known object in the monotype case (sometimes referred to as Q-process), and has also been studied when Xt is a multitype Feller diffusion process. We investigate the not yet considered case where Xt is a multitype BGWc process and prove the existence of the associated Q-process. In addition, we examine its properties, including the asymptotic ones, and propose several interpretations of the process. Finally, we are interested in interchanging the limits in t and 0, as well as in the not yet studied commutativity of these limits with respect to the high-density-type relationship between BGWc processes and Feller processes. We prove an original and exhaustive list of all possible exchanges of limit (long-time limit in t, increasing delay of extinction 0, diffusion limit). The second part of this work is devoted to the risk analysis related both to the extinction of a population and to its very late extinction. We consider a branching population model (arising notably in the epidemiological context) for which a parameter related to the first moments of the offspring distribution is unknown. We build several estimators adapted to different stages of evolution of the population (phase growth, decay phase, and decay phase when extinction is expected very late), and prove moreover their asymptotic properties (consistency, normality). In particular, we build a least squares estimator adapted to the Q-process, allowing a prediction of the population development in the case of a very late extinction. This would correspond to the best or to the worst-case scenario, depending on whether the population is threatened or invasive. These tools enable us to study the extinction phase of the Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy epidemic in Great Britain, for which we estimate the infection parameter corresponding to a possible source of horizontal infection persisting after the removal in 1988 of the major route of infection (meat and bone meal). This allows us to predict the evolution of the spread of the disease, including the year of extinction, the number of future cases and the number of infected animals. In particular, we produce a very fine analysis of the evolution of the epidemic in the unlikely event of a very late extinction.
Aus dem Inhalt: Inhaltsverzeichnis Abbildungsverzeichnis Tabellenverzeichnis 1 Einleitung und Motivation 2 Multivariate Copulafunktionen 2.1 Einleitung 2.2 Satz von Sklar 2.3 Eigenschaften von Copulafunktionen 3 Abhängigkeitskonzepte 3.1 Lineare Korrelation 3.2 Copulabasierte Abhängigkeitsmaße 3.2.1 Konkordanz 3.2.2 Kendall’s und Spearman’s 3.2.3 Asymptotische Randabhängigkeit 4 Elliptische Copulaklasse 4.1 Sphärische und elliptische Verteilungen 4.2 Normal-Copula 4.3 t-Copula 5 Parametrische Schätzverfahren 5.1 Maximum-Likelihood-Methode 5.1.1 ExakteMaximum-Likelihood-Methode 5.1.2 2-stufige parametrische Maximum-Likelihood-Methode 5.1.3 2-stufige semiparametrische Maximum-Likelihood-Methode 5.2 Momentenmethode 5.3 Kendall’s -Momentenmethode 6 Parameterschätzungen für Normal- und t-Copula 6.1 Normal-Copula 6.1.1 Maximum-Likelihood-Methode 6.1.2 Momentenmethode 6.1.3 Kendall’s Momentenmethode 6.1.4 Spearman’s Momentenmethode 6.2 t-Copula 6.2.1 Verfahren 1 (exakte ML-Methode) 6.2.2 Verfahren 2 (2-stufige rekursive ML-Methode) 6.2.3 Verfahren 3 (2-stufige KM-ML-Methode) 6.2.4 Verfahren 4 (3-stufige M-ML-Methode) 7 Simulationen 7.1 Grundlagen 7.2 Parametrischer Fall 7.3 Nichtparametrischer Fall 7.4 Fazit A Programmausschnitt Literaturverzeichnis
Aus dem Inhalt: Einleitung und Zusammenfassung 1 Grundlagen der Lebensdaueranalyse 2 Systemzuverlässigkeit 3 Zensierung 4 Schätzen in nichtparametrischen Modellen 5 Schätzen in parametrischen Modellen 6 Konfidenzintervalle für Parameterschätzungen 7 Verteilung einer gemischten Population 8 Kurze Einführung: Lebensdauer und Belastung 9 Ausblick A R-Quellcode B Symbole und Abkürzungen
The Ginibre gas is a Poisson point process defined on a space of loops related to the Feynman-Kac representation of the ideal Bose gas. Here we study thermodynamic limits of different ensembles via Martin-Dynkin boundary technique and show, in which way infinitely long loops occur. This effect is the so-called Bose-Einstein condensation.
Harness-Prozesse
(2010)
Harness-Prozesse finden in der Forschung immer mehr Anwendung. Vor allem gewinnen Harness-Prozesse in stetiger Zeit an Bedeutung. Grundlegende Literatur zu diesem Thema ist allerdings wenig vorhanden. In der vorliegenden Arbeit wird die vorhandene Grundlagenliteratur zu Harness-Prozessen in diskreter und stetiger Zeit aufgearbeitet und Beweise ausgeführt, die bisher nur skizziert waren. Ziel dessen ist die Existenz einer Zerlegung von Harness-Prozessen über Z beziehungsweise R+ nachzuweisen.
Das Sammelbilderproblem
(2010)
We reconsider the fundamental work of Fichtner ([2]) and exhibit the permanental structure of the ideal Bose gas again, using another approach which combines a characterization of infinitely divisible random measures (due to Kerstan,Kummer and Matthes [5, 6] and Mecke [8, 9]) with a decomposition of the moment measures into its factorial measures due to Krickeberg [4]. To be more precise, we exhibit the moment measures of all orders of the general ideal Bose gas in terms of certain path integrals. This representation can be considered as a point process analogue of the old idea of Symanzik [11] that local times and self-crossings of the Brownian motion can be used as a tool in quantum field theory. Behind the notion of a general ideal Bose gas there is a class of infinitely divisible point processes of all orders with a Levy-measure belonging to some large class of measures containing the one of the classical ideal Bose gas considered by Fichtner. It is well known that the calculation of moments of higher order of point processes are notoriously complicated. See for instance Krickeberg's calculations for the Poisson or the Cox process in [4].
The aim of these lectures is a reformulation and generalization of the fundamental investigations of Alexander Bach [2, 3] on the concept of probability in the work of Boltzmann [6] in the language of modern point process theory. The dominating point of view here is its subordination under the disintegration theory of Krickeberg [14]. This enables us to make Bach's consideration much more transparent. Moreover the point process formulation turns out to be the natural framework for the applications to quantum mechanical models.
The aim of this paper is to build and compare estimators of the infection parameter in the different phases of an epidemic (growth and extinction phases). The epidemic is modeled by a Markovian process of order d > 1 (allowing non-Markovian life spans), and can be written as a multitype branching process. We propose three estimators suitable for the different classes of criticality of the process, in particular for the subcritical case corresponding to the extinction phase. We prove their consistency and asymptotic normality for two asymptotics, when the number of ancestors (resp. number of generations) tends to infinity. We illustrate the asymptotic properties with simulated examples, and finally use our estimators to study the infection intensity in the extinction phase of the BSE epidemic in Great-Britain.
Estimation and testing of distributions in metric spaces are well known. R.A. Fisher, J. Neyman, W. Cochran and M. Bartlett achieved essential results on the statistical analysis of categorical data. In the last 40 years many other statisticians found important results in this field. Often data sets contain categorical data, e.g. levels of factors or names. There does not exist any ordering or any distance between these categories. At each level there are measured some metric or categorical values. We introduce a new method of scaling based on statistical decisions. For this we define empirical probabilities for the original observations and find a class of distributions in a metric space where these empirical probabilities can be found as approximations for equivalently defined probabilities. With this method we identify probabilities connected with the categorical data and probabilities in metric spaces. Here we get a mapping from the levels of factors or names into points of a metric space. This mapping yields the scale for the categorical data. From the statistical point of view we use multivariate statistical methods, we calculate maximum likelihood estimations and compare different approaches for scaling.
Estimation and testing of distributions in metric spaces are well known. R.A. Fisher, J. Neyman, W. Cochran and M. Bartlett achieved essential results on the statistical analysis of categorical data. In the last 40 years many other statisticians found important results in this field. Often data sets contain categorical data, e.g. levels of factors or names. There does not exist any ordering or any distance between these categories. At each level there are measured some metric or categorical values. We introduce a new method of scaling based on statistical decisions. For this we define empirical probabilities for the original observations and find a class of distributions in a metric space where these empirical probabilities can be found as approximations for equivalently defined probabilities. With this method we identify probabilities connected with the categorical data and probabilities in metric spaces. Here we get a mapping from the levels of factors or names into points of a metric space. This mapping yields the scale for the categorical data. From the statistical point of view we use multivariate statistical methods, we calculate maximum likelihood estimations and compare different approaches for scaling.
We consider an infinite system of non overlaping globules undergoing Brownian motions in R3. The term globules means that the objects we are dealing with are spherical, but with a radius which is random and time-dependent. The dynamics is modelized by an infinitedimensional Stochastic Differential Equation with local time. Existence and uniqueness of a strong solution is proven for such an equation with fixed deterministic initial condition. We also find a class of reversible measures.
Multitype branching processes and Feller diffusion processes are conditioned on very late extinction. The conditioned laws are expressed as Doob h-transforms of the unconditioned laws, and an interpretation of the conditioned paths for the branching process is given, via the immortal particle. We study different limits for the conditioned process (increasing delay of extinction, long-time behavior, scaling limit) and provide an exhaustive list of exchangeability results.
Zufällige Punktprozesse beschreiben eine (zufällige) zeitliche Abfolge von Ereignissen oder eine (zufällige) räumliche Anordnung von Objekten. Deren wichtigster Vertreter ist der Poissonprozess. Der Poissonprozess zum Intensitätsmaß, das Lebesgue-Maß ordnet jedem Gebiet sein Volumen zu, erzeugt lokal, d.h in einem beschränkten Gebiet B, gerade eine mit dem Volumen von B poissonverteilte Anzahl von Punkten, die identisch und unabhängig voneinander in B plaziert werden; im Mittel ist diese Anzahl (B). Ersetzt man durch ein Vielfaches a, so wird diese Anzahl mit dem a-fachen Mittelwert erzeugt. Poissonprozesse, die im gesamten Raum unendlich viele Punkte realisieren, enthalten bereits in einer einzigen Stichprobe genügend Informationen, um Statistik betreiben zu können: Bedingt man lokal bzgl. der Anzahl der Teilchen einer Stichprobe, so fragt man nach allen Punktprozessen, die eine solche Beobachtung hätten liefern können. Diese sind Limespunktprozesse zu dieser Beobachtung. Kommt mehr als einer in Frage, spricht man von einem Phasenübergang. Da die Menge dieser Limespunktprozesse konvex ist, fragt man nach deren Extremalpunkten, dem Rand. Im ersten Teil wird ein Poissonprozess für ein physikalisches Teilchenmodell für Bosonen konstruiert. Dieses erzeugt sogenannte Loops, das sind geschlossene Polygonzüge, die dadurch charakterisiert sind, dass man an einem Ort mit einem Punkt startet, den mit einem normalverteilten Schritt läuft und dabei nach einer gegebenen, aber zufälligen Anzahl von Schritten zum Ausgangspunkt zurückkehrt. Für verschiedene Beobachtungen von Stichproben werden zugehörige Limespunktprozesse diskutiert. Diese Beobachtungen umfassen etwa das Zählen der Loops gemäaß ihrer Länge, das Zählen der Loops insgesamt, oder das Zählen der von den Loops gemachten Schritte. Jede Wahl zieht eine charakteristische Struktur der invarianten Punktprozesse nach sich. In allen hiesigen Fällen wird ein charakteristischer Phasenübergang gezeigt und Extremalpunkte werden als spezielle Poissonprozesse identifiziert. Insbesondere wird gezeigt, wie die Wahl der Beobachtung die Länge der Loops beeinflusst. Geometrische Eigenschaften dieser Poissonprozesse sind der Gegenstand des zweiten Teils der Arbeit. Die Technik der Palmschen Verteilungen eines Punktprozesses erlaubt es, unter den unendlich vielen Loops einer Realisierung den typischen Loop herauszupicken, dessen Geometrie dann untersucht wird. Eigenschaften sind unter anderem die euklidische Länge eines Schrittes oder, nimmt man mehrere aufeinander folgende Schritte, das Volumen des von ihnen definierten Simplex. Weiterhin wird gezeigt, dass der Schwerpunkt eines typischen Loops normalverteilt ist mit einer festen Varianz. Der dritte und letzte Teil befasst sich mit der Konstruktion, den Eigenschaften und der Statistik eines neuartigen Punktprozesses, der Polyascher Summenprozess genannt wird. Seine Konstruktion verallgemeinert das Prinzip der Polyaschen Urne: Im Gegensatz zum Poissonprozess, der alle Punkte unabhängig und vor allem identisch verteilt, werden hier die Punkte nacheinander derart verteilt, dass der Ort, an dem ein Punkt plaziert wird, eine Belohnung auf die Wahrscheinlichkeit bekommt, nach der nachfolgende Punkte verteilt werden. Auf diese Weise baut der Polyasche Summenprozess "Türmchen", indem sich verschiedene Punkte am selben Ort stapeln. Es wird gezeigt, dass dennoch grundlegende Eigenschaften mit denjenigen des Poissonprozesses übereinstimmen, dazu gehören unendliche Teilbarkeit sowie Unabhängigkeit der Zuwächse. Zudem werden sein Laplace-Funktional sowie seine Palmsche Verteilung bestimmt. Letztere zeigt, dass die Höhe der Türmchen gerade geometrisch verteilt ist. Abschließend werden wiederum Statistiken, nun für den Summenprozess, diskutiert. Je nach Art der Beobachtung von der Stichprobe, etwa Anzahl, Gesamthöhe der Türmchen oder beides, gibt es in jedem der drei Fälle charakteristische Limespunktprozesse und es stellt sich heraus, dass die zugehörigen Extremalverteilungen wiederum Polyasche Summenprozesse sind.
We consider a class of infinite-dimensional diffusions where the interaction between the components is both spatial and temporal. We start the system from a Gibbs measure with finiterange uniformly bounded interaction. Under suitable conditions on the drift, we prove that there exists t0 > 0 such that the distribution at time t = t0 is a Gibbs measure with absolutely summable interaction. The main tool is a cluster expansion of both the initial interaction and certain time-reversed Girsanov factors coming from the dynamics.
Studying the influence of the updating scheme for MCMC algorithm on spatially extended models is a well known problem. For discrete-time interacting particle systems we study through simulations the effectiveness of a synchronous updating scheme versus the usual sequential one. We compare the speed of convergence of the associated Markov chains from the point of view of the time-to-coalescence arising in the coupling-from-the-past algorithm. Unlike the intuition, the synchronous updating scheme is not always the best one. The distribution of the time-to-coalescence for these spatially extended models is studied too.
Aus dem Inhalt: Einleitung Kapitel 1. Starke Gesetze der Grossen Zahlen 1. SGGZ unter Wachstumsbedingungen an die p-ten Momente 2. SGGZ für identisch verteilte Zufallsvariablen 3. SGGZ für Prozesse mit *-mixing-Eigenschaft Kapitel 2. Einführung zu diskreten (Sub-,Super-)Martingalen 1. Vorhersagbarkeit 2. gestoppte (Sub-,Super-)Martingale 3. Upcrossings 4. Konvergenzsätze 5. Doob-Zerlegung 6. Eine äquivalente Definition eines (Sub-)Martingals Kapitel 3. Martingale und gleichgradige Integrierbarkeit 1. Gleichmäßige(-f¨ormige,-gradige) Integrierbarkeit 2. gleichgradig integrierbare Martingale Kapitel 4. Martingale und das SGGZ Kapitel 5.”reversed“ (Sub-,Super-)Martingale 1. Konvergenzsätze Kapitel 6. (Sub-,Super-)Martingale mit gerichteter Indexmenge 1. Äquivalente Formulierung eines (Sub-)Martingals 2. Konvergenzsätze Kapitel 7. Quasimartingale,Amarts und Semiamarts 1. Konvergenzsätze 2. Riesz-Zerlegung 3. Doob-Zerlegung Kapitel 8. Amarts und das SGGZ Kapitel 9.”reversed“ Amarts und Semiamarts 1. Konvergenzsätze 2.”Aufwärts“- gegen ”Abwärts“-Adaptiertheit 3. Riesz-Zerlegung 4. Stabilitätsanalyse Kapitel 10. Amarts mit gerichteter Indexmenge 1. Konvergenzsätze 2. Riesz-Zerlegung Anhang A. zur Existenz einer Folge unabhängiger Zufallsvariablen B. Konvergenz
We give the explicit solution for the minimax linear estimate. For scale dependent models an empirical minimax linear estimates is de¯ned and we prove that these estimates are Stein's estimates.
Aus dem Inhalt: 0.1 Danksagung 0.2 Einleitung 1 Allgemeines und Grundlagen 1.1 Die Brownsche Bewegung 2 Die Dualitätsformel des Wienermaßes 2.1 Wienermaß erfüllt Dualitätsformel 2.2 Dualitätsformel charakterisiert Wienermaß 3 Die diskrete Dualitätsformel der Irrfahrt 3.1 Verallgemeinerte symmetrische Irrfahrt erfüllt diskrete Dualitätsformel 3.2 Diskrete Dualitätsformel charakterisiert verallgemeinerte symmetrische Irrfahrt 4 Donskers Theorem und die Dualitätsformeln 4.1 Straffheit der renormierten stetigen Irrfahrt 4.2 Konvergenz der Irrfahrt 5 Anhang