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Im Rahmen dieser Studie soll ermittelt werden, welche Bedeutung sowohl quantitative, als auch qualitative Kriterien für die Beurteilung von Risiken in den Akteursgruppen Manager, Verwaltungsangehörige, Experten und Laien einnehmen. Bei der Beurteilung von Umweltrisiken spielen neben quantitativen Beurteilungskriterien (z.B. der Schadenswahrscheinlichkeit) auch qualitative Kriterien (z.B. die ausgelösten Emotionen) eine zentrale Rolle, wie insbesondere die Ergebnisse der psychometrischen Risikoforschung zeigen.
Im Rahmen dieser Studie soll ermittelt werden, welche Urteilsmodelle bzw. -konzepte Manager, Verwaltungsangehörige, Experten und Laien zur Bewertung von Risiken verwenden. Dazu wird eine Untersuchungsmethode, die Conjoint-Analyse, verwendet, die mit spezifischen Problemen der psychometrischen Risikoforschung besser umzugehen vermag und die u.E. noch nicht in der Risikowahrnehmungsforschung eingesetzt wurde. Inhalt: Ziel der Untersuchung Fragestellung Die Conjoint-Analyse Das Design der Studie Stichprobe und Datenerhebungsprozedur Ergebnisse: -Risikoakzeptanzwerte -Entscheidungswichtigkeit der Risiken -Gruppenanalyse
Gegenstand der Studie sind Risikobewertungen als Teil von Entscheidungen über die Akzeptanz von Risiken. Dabei handelt es sich nicht nur um einen Problembereich für Experten. Auch die Wirtschaft, die Verwaltung, die Politik und die interessierte Öffentlichkeit ist an solchen Entscheidungen beteiligt. Inhalt: Gegenstand der Studie Ziele der Studie Theoretischer Rahmen Hypothesen Methodische Grundlagen Ergebnisse -Das Kategorienschema -Häufigkeit und Inhalte kognitiver Kategorien: Zentrale Kategorien -Graphische Auswertung: Hierarchical Value Maps: HVM für gentechnisch verändertes Getreidesaatgut, HVM für Kunststoffzusatz, HVM für neues Arzneimittel, Gesamtanalysen
Die vorliegende Untersuchung basiert auf einer Befragung von insgesamt 93 Unternehmen aus den Regionen Potsdam, Berlin und Chemnitz. Die Interviews wurden im Zeitraum Mai/Juni 1996 durchgeführt und dauerten ca. 1 Stunde. Im Mittelpunkt der Befragung standen die Themenbereiche: ökologische Betroffenheit, Einstellung zum Umweltschutz, Markt- und Wettbewerbsbedingungen des betrieblichen Umweltschutzes, Umfang und Intensität betrieblicher Maßnahmen zum Umweltschutz sowie Verhaltensbarrieren. Als Interviewpartner standen in der Mehrzahl der befragten Unternehmen die Geschäftsführer oder Umweltbeauftragte bzw. andere Personen in Führungspositionen zur Verfügung. Zum überwiegenden Teil waren die von uns befragten Unternehmer selbst Eigentümer der Unternehmung. Die befragten Unternehmen gehören überwiegend dem Konsumgütersektor (44%) an. Ein Drittel der Unternehmen stammt aus dem Investitionsgütersektor (33%). Der Dienstleistungssektor ist mit lediglich 23% in der Stichprobe vertreten. Insgesamt bildet die Stichprobe ein breites Branchenspektrum ab, wenn auch die Geschäftsbereiche Maschinenbau und Anlagen, bedingt durch ihre starke Präsenz im Raum Chemnitz, deutlich überrepräsentiert sind. Hinsichtlich der Beschäftigtenzahlen und Umsätze handelt es sich in der Befragung überwiegend um kleine und mittelständische Betriebe, wiewohl auch einige größere Unternehmen berücksichtigt wurden.
Inhalt: Umweltbeziehungen und Verantwortungsbewußtsein von Unternehmen -Ökologische Anliegen der Unternehmensumwelt -Verantwortliches Verhalten von Unternehmen -Der Risiko- und Krisenbegriff Subjektive Wahrnehmung und Bewertung von Risiken und Krisen -Subjektive Risikowahrnehmung: Wahrnehmung quantitativer Risikofaktoren,die Wahrnehmung qualitativer Merkmale der Risikoquelle, individuelle Risikodeterminanten -Empirische Studie zur Risikowahrnehmung -Subjektive Krisenbewältigung: Prozesse der Krisenentstehung und –entwicklung, Merkmale der Krisenwahrnehmung durch Manager, Verhaltenswissenschaftliche Theorien zur Krisenbewältigung Risiko- und Krisenmanagement
Public pensions in the U.S.
(2005)
Contents: The Public Old Age Insurance of the U.S. -Historical overview -Technical details -Individual equity and social adequacy The Economic Problem of Old Age -Risks and economic security -Old age, retirement, and idividual precaution -Insurance markets, market failures, and social insurance -Options for public pension systems The Problems of Social Security -The financial balance of OASDI -Causes of the long-run problems -Rates of return -Conclusion - The case for Social Security reform Proposed Remedies -Full, partial, or no privatization? -The President's Commission to Strengthen Social Security -Kotlikoff's Personal Security System -The Diamond-Orszag Three-Part plan
Many European countries have experienced a significant increase of unemployment in recent years. This paper reviews several theoretical models that try to explain this phenomenon. Predominantly, these models claim a link between the poor performance of European labor markets and the high level of market regulation. Commonly referred to as the Eurosclerosis debate, prominent approaches consider insider-outsider relationships, search-models, and the influence of hiring and firing costs on equilibrium employment. The paper presents empirical evidence of each model and studies the relevance of the identified rigidities as a determinant of high unemployment in Europe. Furthermore, a case study analyzes the unemployment problem in Germany and critically discusses new reform efforts. In particular this section analyzes whether the recently enacted Hartz reforms can induce higher employment.
Revisiting public investment
(2004)
The consumption equivalence method is the theoretical basis of public cost-benefit analysis. Consumption equivalence public capital prices are explicitly introduces in order to sufficiently care for the opportunity cost of public expenditure. This can solve the dispute about the social rate of discount within public cost-benefit analysis witch was generated on a criterion looking similar to the capital value formula, known as Lind’s approach. The social rate of discount is liberated from opportunity costs considerations and the discounting away of the effects for future welfare vanishes. The corresponding question whether one should accept a positive value of the pure rate of social time preference is an old issue. Its current state between the prescriptive and descriptive view can also be interpreted as a consequence of the oversimplification of standard cost– benefit analysis. But apart from an economic self-process the pure rate of social time preference is also defined as a business-as-usual value of social distance discounting. Hence, a political choice has to be made about this rate which is free in principal.
An exhaustive and disjoint decomposition of social choice situations is derived in a general set theoretical framework using the new tools of the Lifted Pareto relation on the power set of social states representing a pre-choice comparison of choice option sets. The main result is the classification of social choice situations which include three types of social choice problems. First, we usually observe the common incompleteness of the Pareto relation. Second, a kind of non-compactness problem of a choice set of social states can be generated. Finally, both can be combined. The first problem root can be regarded as natural everyday dilemma of social choice theory whereas the second may probably be much more due to modeling technique implications. The distinction is enabled at a very general set theoretical level. Hence, the derived classification of social choice situations is applicable on almost every relevant economic model.
Inhalt: Dynamische Interpretation der Leistungsfähigkeit Integrierte Einkommens- und Gewinnbesteuerung Zins- und Sparbereinigung Individuelle Fairness und Familiengerechtigkeit Einfachheit für Administration und Bürger Auswirkungen auf Steueraufkommen und Einkommensverteilung Generationengerechtigkeit Begleitende Maßnahmen Systemdynamik und Wirtschaftswachstum
Inhalt: Finanz- und belastungspolitische Konsequenzen -Die Methode -Die Ergebnisse -Die Reformnotwendigkeit Zur gegenwärtigen Lage der Rentnerhaushalte -Das Vier-Säulen-System der Alterssicherung -Die Einkommenssituation der Rentnerhaushalte -Die praktizierte Rentenbesteuerung Einfachheit, Transparenz und Akzeptanz Grundsicherung, Alterssicherung und Rentenbesteuerung -Grundsicherung und Alterssicherung -Gesetzliche und freiwillige Alterssicherung -Korrespondenzprinzip und Rentenbesteuerung
Face-to-face communication is multimodal. In unscripted spoken discourse we can observe the interaction of several "semiotic layers", modalities of information such as syntax, discourse structure, gesture, and intonation. We explore the role of gesture and intonation in structuring and aligning information in spoken discourse through a study of the co-occurrence of pitch accents and gestural apices. Metaphorical spatialization through gesture also plays a role in conveying the contextual relationships between the speaker, the government and other external forces in a naturally-occurring political speech setting.
Diskurspragmatische Faktoren für Topikalität und Verbstellung in der ahd. Tatianübersetzung (9. Jh.)
(2005)
The paper presents work in progress on the interaction between information structure and word order in Old High German based on data from the Tatian translation (9th century). The examination of the position of the finite verb in correspondence with the pragmatic status of discourse referents reveals an overall tendency for verb-initial order in thetic/all-focus sentences, whereas in categorical/topic-comment sentences verb-second placement with an initial topic constituent is preferred. This conclusion provides support for the hypothesis stated in Donhauser & Hinterhölzl (2003) that the finite verb form in Early Germanic serves to distinguish the information-structural domains of Topic and Focus. Finally, the investigation sheds light on the process of language change that led to the overall spread of verb-second in main clauses of modern German.
This paper investigates the structural properties of morphosyntactically marked focus constructions, focussing on the often neglected non-focal sentence part in African tone languages. Based on new empirical evidence from five Gur and Kwa languages, we claim that these focus expressions have to be analysed as biclausal constructions even though they do not represent clefts containing restrictive relative clauses. First, we relativize the partly overgeneralized assumptions about structural correspondences between the out-of-focus part and relative clauses, and second, we show that our data do in fact support the hypothesis of a clause coordinating pattern as present in clause sequences in narration. It is argued that we deal with a non-accidental, systematic feature and that grammaticalization may conceal such basic narrative structures.
The Semantics of Ellipsis
(2005)
There are four phenomena that are particularly troublesome for theories of ellipsis: the existence of sloppy readings when the relevant pronouns cannot possibly be bound; an ellipsis being resolved in such a way that an ellipsis site in the antecedent is not understood in the way it was there; an ellipsis site drawing material from two or more separate antecedents; and ellipsis with no linguistic antecedent. These cases are accounted for by means of a new theory that involves copying syntactically incomplete antecedent material and an analysis of silent VPs and NPs that makes them into higher order definite descriptions that can be bound into.
We present a system for the linguistic exploration and analysis of lexical cohesion in English texts. Using an electronic thesaurus-like resource, Princeton WordNet, and the Brown Corpus of English, we have implemented a process of annotating text with lexical chains and a graphical user interface for inspection of the annotated text. We describe the system and report on some sample linguistic analyses carried out using the combined thesaurus-corpus resource.
Fronting of an infinite VP across a finite main verb-akin to German "VP-topicalization"-can be found also in Czech and Polish. The paper discusses evidence from large corpora for this process and some of its properties, both syntactic and information-structural. Based on this case, criteria for more user-friedly searching and retrieval of corpus data in syntactic research are being developed.
Multiple hierarchies
(2005)
In this paper, we present the Multiple Annotation approach, which solves two problems: the problem of annotating overlapping structures, and the problem that occurs when documents should be annotated according to different, possibly heterogeneous tag sets. This approach has many advantages: it is based on XML, the modeling of alternative annotations is possible, each level can be viewed separately, and new levels can be added at any time. The files can be regarded as an interrelated unit, with the text serving as the implicit link. Two representations of the information contained in the multiple files (one in Prolog and one in XML) are described. These representations serve as a base for several applications.
This paper describes the standardization problems that come up in a diachronic corpus: it has to cope with differing standards with regard to diplomaticity, annotation, and header information. Such highly het-erogeneous texts must be standardized to allow for comparative re-search without (too much) loss of information.
This paper presents some concepts and principles used in the development of a database of multilingual spoken discourse at the University of Hamburg. The emphasis of the first part is on general considerations for the handling of heterogeneous data sets: After showing that diversity in transcription data is partly conceptually and partly technologically motivated, it is argued that the processing of transcription corpora should be approached via a three-level architecture which separates form (application) and content (data) on the one hand, and logical and physical data structures on the other hand. Such an architecture does not only pave the way for modern text-technological approaches to linguistic data processing, it can also help to decide where and how a standardization in the work with heterogeneous data is possible and desirable and where it would run counter to the needs of the research community. It is further argued that, in order to ensure user acceptance, new solutions developed in this approach must take care not to abandon established concepts too quickly. The focus of the second part is on some practical experiences with users and technologies gained in the four years’ project work. Concerning the practical development work, the value of open standards like XML and Unicode is emphasized and some limitations of the “platform-independent” JAVA technology are indicated. With respect to users of the EXMARaLDA system, a predominantly conservative attitude towards technological innovations in transcription corpus work can be stated: individual users tend to stick to known functionalities and are reluctant to adopt themselves to the new possibilities. Furthermore, an active commitment to cooperative corpus work still seems to be the exception rather than the rule. It is concluded that technological innovations can contribute their share to a progress in the work with heterogeneous linguistic data, but that they will have to be supplemented, in the long run, with an adequate methodological reflection and the creation of an appropriate infrastructure.