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The evaluation of process-oriented cognitive theories through time-ordered observations is crucial for the advancement of cognitive science. The findings presented herein integrate insights from research on eye-movement control and sentence comprehension during reading, addressing challenges in modeling time-ordered data, statistical inference, and interindividual variability. Using kernel density estimation and a pseudo-marginal likelihood for fixation durations and locations, a likelihood implementation of the SWIFT model of eye-movement control during reading (Engbert et al., Psychological Review, 112, 2005, pp. 777–813) is proposed. Within the broader framework of data assimilation, Bayesian parameter inference with adaptive Markov Chain Monte Carlo techniques is facilitated for reliable model fitting. Across the different studies, this framework has shown to enable reliable parameter recovery from simulated data and prediction of experimental summary statistics. Despite its complexity, SWIFT can be fitted within a principled Bayesian workflow, capturing interindividual differences and modeling experimental effects on reading across different geometrical alterations of text. Based on these advancements, the integrated dynamical model SEAM is proposed, which combines eye-movement control, a traditionally psychological research area, and post-lexical language processing in the form of cue-based memory retrieval (Lewis & Vasishth, Cognitive Science, 29, 2005, pp. 375–419), typically the purview of psycholinguistics. This proof-of-concept integration marks a significant step forward in natural language comprehension during reading and suggests that the presented methodology can be useful to develop complex cognitive dynamical models that integrate processes at levels of perception, higher cognition, and (oculo-)motor control. These findings collectively advance process-oriented cognitive modeling and highlight the importance of Bayesian inference, individual differences, and interdisciplinary integration for a holistic understanding of reading processes. Implications for theory and methodology, including proposals for model comparison and hierarchical parameter inference, are briefly discussed.
Several authors highlighted that the time course of an experiment itself could have a substantial influence on the interpretability of experimental effects. Since mixed effects modeling had enabled researchers to investigate more complex problems with more precision than before, two naming experiments were conducted with college students, with and without non-words intermixed, and analyzed with regard to frequency, quality, interactive and trial-history effects. The present analyses build on and extend the Bates, Kliegl, Vasishth, and Baayen (2015) approach in order to converge on a parsimonious model that accounts for autocorrelated errors caused by trial history. For three of four cases, a history-sensitive model improved the model fit over a history-naïve model and explained more deviance. In one of these cases, the herein presented approach helped reveal an interaction between stimulus frequency and quality that was not significant without a trial history account. Main and joint effects, limitations, as well as directions for further research, are briefly discussed.