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The structure of time series and letter sequences is investigated using the concepts of entropy and complexity. First conditional entropy and transinformation are introduced and several generalizations are discussed. Further several measures of complexity are introduced and discussed. The capability of these concepts to describe the structure of time series and letter sequences generated by nonlinear maps, data series from meteorology, astrophysics, cardiology, cognitive psychology and finance is investigated. The relation between the complexity and the predictability of informational strings is discussed. The relation between local order and the predictability of time series is investigated.
Estimation of parameters and unobserved components for nonlinear systems from noisy time series
(2002)
We study the problem of simultaneous estimation of parameters and unobserved states from noisy data of nonlinear time-continuous systems, including the case of additive stochastic forcing. We propose a solution by adapting the recently developed statistical method of unscented Kalman filtering to this problem. Due to its recursive and derivative-free structure, this method minimizes the cost function in a computationally efficient and robust way. It is found that parameters as well as unobserved components can be estimated with high accuracy, including confidence bands, from heavily noise-corrupted data.
Locking-based frequency measurement and synchronization of chaotic oscillators with complex dynamics
(2002)
We show that external fluctuations are able to induce propagation of harmonic signals through monostable media. This property is based on the phenomenon of doubly stochastic resonance, where the joint action of multiplicative noise and spatial coupling induces bistability in an otherwise monostable extended medium, and additive noise resonantly enhances the response of the system to a harmonic forcing. Under these conditions, propagation of the harmonic signal through the unforced medium i observed for optimal intensities of the two noises. This noise-induced propagation is studied and quantified in a simple model of coupled nonlinear electronic circuits.
We demonstrate the existence of phase synchronization of two chaotic rotators. Contrary to phase synchronization of chaotic oscillators, here the Lyapunov exponents corresponding to both phases remain positive even in the synchronous regime. Such frequency locked dynamics with different ratios of frequencies are studied for driven continuous-time rotators and for discrete circle maps. We show that this transition to phase synchronization occurs via a crisis transition to a band-structured attractor.