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Classical option pricing schemes assume that the value of a financial asset follows a geometric Brownian motion (GBM). However, a growing body of studies suggest that a simple GBM trajectory is not an adequate representation for asset dynamics, due to irregularities found when comparing its properties with empirical distributions. As a solution, we investigate a generalisation of GBM where the introduction of a memory kernel critically determines the behaviour of the stochastic process. We find the general expressions for the moments, log-moments, and the expectation of the periodic log returns, and then obtain the corresponding probability density functions using the subordination approach. Particularly, we consider subdiffusive GBM (sGBM), tempered sGBM, a mix of GBM and sGBM, and a mix of sGBMs. We utilise the resulting generalised GBM (gGBM) in order to examine the empirical performance of a selected group of kernels in the pricing of European call options. Our results indicate that the performance of a kernel ultimately depends on the maturity of the option and its moneyness.
We study a distribution of times of the first arrivals to absorbing targets in turbulent diffusion, which is due to a multiplicative noise. Two examples of dynamical systems with a multiplicative noise are studied. The first one is a random process according to inhomogeneous diffusion, which is also known as a geometric Brownian motion in the Black-Scholes model. The second model is due to a random processes on a two-dimensional comb, where inhomogeneous advection is possible only along the backbone, while Brownian diffusion takes place inside the branches. It is shown that in both cases turbulent diffusion takes place as the one-dimensional random process with the log-normal distribution in the presence of absorbing targets, which are characterized by the Levy-Smirnov distribution for the first hitting times.
In this work we consider the first encounter problems between a fixed and/or mobile target A and a moving trap B on Bethe lattices and Cayley trees. The survival probabilities (SPs) of the target A on the both kinds of structures are considered analytically and compared. On Bethe lattices, the results show that the fixed target will still prolong its survival time, whereas, on Cayley trees, there are some initial positions where the target should move to prolong its survival time. The mean first encounter time (MFET) for mobile target A is evaluated numerically and compared with the mean first passage time (MFPT) for the fixed target A. Different initial settings are addressed and clear boundaries are obtained. These findings are helpful for optimizing the strategy to prolong the survival time of the target or to speed up the search process on Cayley trees, in relation to the target's movement and the initial position configuration of the two walkers. We also present a new method, which uses a small amount of memory, for simulating random walks on Cayley trees. (C) 2020 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
We study a heterogeneous diffusion process (HDP) with position-dependent diffusion coefficient and Poissonian stochastic resetting.
We find exact results for the mean squared displacement and the probability density function. The nonequilibrium steady state reached in the long time limit is studied.
We also analyse the transition to the non-equilibrium steady state by finding the large deviation function.
We found that similarly to the case of the normal diffusion process where the diffusion length grows like t (1/2) while the length scale xi(t) of the inner core region of the nonequilibrium steady state grows linearly with time t, in the HDP with diffusion length increasing like t ( p/2) the length scale xi(t) grows like t ( p ).
The obtained results are verified by numerical solutions of the corresponding Langevin equation.