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Following work is embedded in the multidisciplinary study DESERT (DEad SEa Rift Transect) that has been carried out in the Middle East since the beginning of the year 2000. It focuses on the structure of the southern Dead Sea Transform (DST), the transform plate boundary between Africa (Sinai) and the Arabian microplate. The left-lateral displacement along this major active strike-slip fault amounts to more than 100 km since Miocene times. The DESERT near-vertical seismic reflection (NVR) experiment crossed the DST in the Arava Valley between Red Sea and Dead Sea, where its main fault is called Arava Fault. The 100 km long profile extends in a NW—SE direction from Sede Boqer/Israel to Ma'an/Jordan and coincides with the central part of a wide-angle seismic refraction/reflection line. Near-vertical seismic reflection studies are powerful tools to study the crustal architecture down to the crust/mantle boundary. Although they cannot directly image steeply dipping fault zones, they can give indirect evidence for transform motion by offset reflectors or an abrupt change in reflectivity pattern. Since no seismic reflection profile had crossed the DST before DESERT, important aspects of this transform plate boundary and related crustal structures were not known. Thus this study aimed to resolve the DST's manifestation in both the upper and the lower crust. It was to show, whether the DST penetrates into the mantle and whether it is associated with an offset of the crust/mantle boundary, which is observed at other large strike-slip zones. In this work a short description of the seismic reflection method and the various processing steps is followed by a geological interpretation of the seismic data, taking into account relevant information from other studies. Geological investigations in the area of the NVR profile showed, that the Arava Fault can partly be recognized in the field by small scarps in the Neogene sediments, small pressure ridges or rhomb-shaped grabens. A typical fault zone architecture with a fault gauge, fault-related damage zone, and undeformed host rock, that has been reported from other large fault zones, could not be found. Therefore, as a complementary part to the NVR experiment, which was designed to resolve deeper crustal structures, ASTER (Advanced Spacebourne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer) satellite images were used to analyze surface deformation and determine neotectonic activity.
Small livestock is an important resource for rural human populations in dry climates. How strongly will climate change affect the capacity of the rangeland? We used hierarchical modelling to scale quantitatively the growth of shrubs and annual plants, the main food of sheep and goats, to the landscape extent in the eastern Mediterranean region. Without grazing, productivity increased in a sigmoid way with mean annual precipitation. Grazing reduced productivity more strongly the drier the landscape. At a point just under the stocking capacity of the vegetation, productivity declined precipitously with more intense grazing due to a lack of seed production of annuals. We repeated simulations with precipitation patterns projected by two contrasting IPCC scenarios. Compared to results based on historic patterns, productivity and stocking capacity did not differ in most cases. Thus, grazing intensity remains the stronger impact on landscape productivity in this dry region even in the future.
Discussing the case of Egypt, the author claims that since the preconditions in the Middle East are very different from those in Europe, there also has to be a different approach towards its modernization process. She suggests a „restructuring“ of the state not only in the economic sector but also in the political, cultural, or social areas. The advantage of such an approach lies in the fact that elements and values of the traditional culture can be maintained and even expanded. Furthermore, as this approach does not presuppose any specific model, it can be applied to all kinds of societies. However, restrucuring cannot replace modernization.
Die vier Buchrezensionenum die Islamische Republik Iran spiegeln die ganze Bandbreite des Dilemmas im Umgang mit dem politisch gewichtigsten und auch umstrittensten Land im Nahen Osten wider. Sie zeigen die tiefe Spaltung, die in der Publizistik gegenüber diesem Land existiert; sei es in der Presse oder Fachliteratur.
Jemen – Ein verlorenes Land?
(2009)
Im Jemen schwelt es. Gerade in diesen Tagen werden wir mit Schrecken an die prekäre Lage des Landes erinnert. Die Wiedervereinigung des Jemen 1990 war ein wichtiger Schritt hin zur Stabilisierung. Dennoch existieren viele Probleme, deren Lösung für die Entwicklung des Landes und seine Sicherheit relevant sind. Die Autorin, seit 2007 selbst in Sanaa tätig, zeigt die Probleme des Landes und ihre vielschichtigen Ursachen auf.
Die Konsequenzen des Grollens in der arabischen Welt seit Anfang 2011 werden sich möglicherweise als weniger hilfreich für die Lösung des Nahostkonflikts erweisen als erhofft. Zumindest auf kurze Sicht hat sich die Nachbarschaft Israels in einen noch unberechenbareren und instabileren Ort verwandelt. Israel würde die Entstehung guten und repräsentativen Regierens in der arabischen Welt willkommen heißen. Doch sind die weiteren Entwicklungen in der Region kaum abzuschätzen.
Daniel Lerner’s „The Passing of Traditional Society“ of 1958 is still one of the most famous American studies in the field of modernization research. This article gives a deeper insight into the background of the emergence of the study. The author describes Lerner’s theoretical and empirical work and its connection to the policy of his time. A classic today in modernization theory, Lerner’s study was initially merely a request for the Voice of America to investigate the use of media in the Middle Eastern region –modernization or development did not yet play a significant role. The article shows how the direction of the study changed from its original intention into a political opinion research and thus into a political propaganda tool.
Arabische Brüche
(2012)
Können Araber Demokratie? Im Jahr II des Arabischen Frühlings werden erste zarte Triebe der Hoffnungen, die in diese Richtung neigten, von Soldatenstiefeln und flüchtenden Demonstranten zertreten. Die versiegelte Zeit brach auf, doch was ist erreicht worden? In der neuen Ausgabe ziehen wir eine Bilanz, die ebenso sachlich wie zwiespältig ist. Sie zeigt Erfolge, ohne zu beschönigen. Probleme werden sichtbar gemacht, aber auch Wege zu ihrer Lösung. Auch Europa ist gefragt: Wir müssen zu einem neuen, partnerschaftlichen Verhältnis mit den sich wandelnden arabischen Nationen finden!
On 6 June 1982, Israel invaded Lebanon to fight the Palestinian
Liberation Organization (PLO). Between August 1982 and February
1984, the US, France, Britain and Italy deployed a Multinational
Force (MNF) to Beirut. Its task was to act as an interposition force to
bolster the government and to bring peace to the people. The
mission is often forgotten or merely remembered in context with
the bombing of US Marines’ barracks. However, an analysis of the
Italian contingent shows that the MNF was not doomed to fail and
could accomplish its task when operational and diplomatic efforts
were coordinated. The Italian commander in Beirut, General Franco
Angioni, followed a successful approach that sustained neutrality,
respectful behaviour and minimal force, which resulted in a
qualified success of the Italian efforts.