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The Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI) has become a popular metric for evaluating improvement in disease prediction models through the past years. The concept is relatively straightforward but usage and interpretation has been different across studies. While no thresholds exist for evaluating the degree of improvement, many studies have relied solely on the significance of the NRI estimate. However, recent studies recommend that statistical testing with the NRI should be avoided. We propose using confidence ellipses around the estimated values of event and non-event NRIs which might provide the best measure of variability around the point estimates. Our developments are illustrated using practical examples from EPIC-Potsdam study.
Transport molecules play a crucial role for cell viability. Amongst others, linear motors transport cargos along rope-like structures from one location of the cell to another in a stochastic fashion. Thereby each step of the motor, either forwards or backwards, bridges a fixed distance and requires several biochemical transformations, which are modeled as internal states of the motor. While moving along the rope, the motor can also detach and the walk is interrupted. We give here a mathematical formalization of such dynamics as a random process which is an extension of Random Walks, to which we add an absorbing state to model the detachment of the motor from the rope. We derive particular properties of such processes that have not been available before. Our results include description of the maximal distance reached from the starting point and the position from which detachment takes place. Finally, we apply our theoretical results to a concrete established model of the transport molecule Kinesin V.
We consider the semiclassical asymptotic expansion of the heat kernel coming from Witten's perturbation of the de Rham complex by a given function. For the index, one obtains a time-dependent integral formula which is evaluated by the method of stationary phase to derive the Poincare-Hopf theorem. We show how this method is related to approaches using the Thom form of Mathai and Quillen. Afterwards, we use a more general version of the stationary phase approximation in the case that the perturbing function has critical submanifolds to derive a degenerate version of the Poincare-Hopf theorem.
Asymptotic Solutions of the Dirichlet Problem for the Heat Equation at a Characteristic Point
(2015)
The Dirichlet problem for the heat equation in a bounded domain aS, a"e (n+1) is characteristic because there are boundary points at which the boundary touches a characteristic hyperplane t = c, where c is a constant. For the first time, necessary and sufficient conditions on the boundary guaranteeing that the solution is continuous up to the characteristic point were established by Petrovskii (1934) under the assumption that the Dirichlet data are continuous. The appearance of Petrovskii's paper was stimulated by the existing interest to the investigation of general boundary-value problems for parabolic equations in bounded domains. We contribute to the study of this problem by finding a formal solution of the Dirichlet problem for the heat equation in a neighborhood of a cuspidal characteristic boundary point and analyzing its asymptotic behavior.
In 2015 the second conference „Cloud Storage Deployment in Academics“ took place. Interest regarding this issue was again high and topics established in 2014 like data security and scalability were complemented by new ones like federations or technical integration in existing infrastructures. This is caused by the advances in the establishment of cloud-based storage systems. This publication contains the contributions of the conference „Cloud Storage Deployment in Academics 2015“, which took place in may 2015 at TU Berlin.
This article studies the dynamics of the strong solution of a SDE driven by a discontinuous Levy process taking values in a smooth foliated manifold with compact leaves. It is assumed that it is foliated in the sense that its trajectories stay on the leaf of their initial value for all times almost surely. Under a generic ergodicity assumption for each leaf, we determine the effective behaviour of the system subject to a small smooth perturbation of order epsilon > 0, which acts transversal to the leaves. The main result states that, on average, the transversal component of the perturbed SDE converges uniformly to the solution of a deterministic ODE as e tends to zero. This transversal ODE is generated by the average of the perturbing vector field with respect to the invariant measures of the unperturbed system and varies with the transversal height of the leaves. We give upper bounds for the rates of convergence and illustrate these results for the random rotations on the circle. This article complements the results by Gonzales and Ruffino for SDEs of Stratonovich type to general Levy driven SDEs of Marcus type.
Boundary value problems on a smooth manifold X with boundary have the structure of edge problems. Operators A are described in terms of a principal symbolic hierarchy, namely, according to the stratification of X, with the interior and the boundary We focus here on operators with and without the transmission property and establish a new relationship between boundary symbols and operators in the cone calculus transversal to the boundary.
The regularity of solutions to elliptic equations on a manifold with singularities, say, an edge, can be formulated in terms of asymptotics in the distance variable r > 0 to the singularity. In simplest form such asymptotics turn to a meromorphic behaviour under applying the Mellin transform on the half-axis. Poles, multiplicity, and Laurent coefficients form a system of asymptotic data which depend on the specific operator. Moreover, these data may depend on the variable y along the edge. We then have y-dependent families of meromorphic functions with variable poles, jumping multiplicities and a discontinuous dependence of Laurent coefficients on y. We study here basic phenomena connected with such variable branching asymptotics, formulated in terms of variable continuous asymptotics with a y-wise discrete behaviour.
Boundary value problems on a manifold with smooth boundary are closely related to the edge calculus where the boundary plays the role of an edge. The problem of expressing parametrices of Shapiro-Lopatinskij elliptic boundary value problems for differential operators gives rise to pseudo-differential operators with the transmission property at the boundary. However, there are interesting pseudo-differential operators without the transmission property, for instance, the Dirichlet-to-Neumann operator. In this case the symbols become edge-degenerate under a suitable quantisation, cf. Chang et al. (J Pseudo-Differ Oper Appl 5(2014):69-155, 2014). If the boundary itself has singularities, e.g., conical points or edges, then the symbols are corner-degenerate. In the present paper we study elements of the corresponding corner pseudo-differential calculus.
We introduce the notion of coupling distances on the space of Levy measures in order to quantify rates of convergence towards a limiting Levy jump diffusion in terms of its characteristic triplet, in particular in terms of the tail of the Levy measure. The main result yields an estimate of the Wasserstein-Kantorovich-Rubinstein distance on path space between two Levy diffusions in terms of the coupling distances. We want to apply this to obtain precise rates of convergence for Markov chain approximations and a statistical goodness-of-fit test for low-dimensional conceptual climate models with paleoclimatic data.
Context. The theoretically studied impact of rapid rotation on stellar evolution needs to be compared with these results of high-resolution spectroscopy-velocimetry observations. Early-type stars present a perfect laboratory for these studies. The prototype A0 star Vega has been extensively monitored in recent years in spectropolarimetry. A weak surface magnetic field was detected, implying that there might be a (still undetected) structured surface. First indications of the presence of small amplitude stellar radial velocity variations have been reported recently, but the confirmation and in-depth study with the highly stabilized spectrograph SOPHIE/OHP was required.
Aims. The goal of this article is to present a thorough analysis of the line profile variations and associated estimators in the early-type standard star Vega (A0) in order to reveal potential activity tracers, exoplanet companions, and stellar oscillations.
Methods. Vega was monitored in quasi-continuous high-resolution echelle spectroscopy with the highly stabilized velocimeter SOPHIE/OHP. A total of 2588 high signal-to-noise spectra was obtained during 34.7 h on five nights (2 to 6 of August 2012) in high-resolution mode at R = 75 000 and covering the visible domain from 3895 6270 angstrom. For each reduced spectrum, least square deconvolved equivalent photospheric profiles were calculated with a T-eff = 9500 and log g = 4.0 spectral line mask. Several methods were applied to study the dynamic behaviour of the profile variations (evolution of radial velocity, bisectors, vspan, 2D profiles, amongst others).
Results. We present the discovery of a spotted stellar surface on an A-type standard star (Vega) with very faint spot amplitudes Delta F/Fc similar to 5 x 10(-4). A rotational modulation of spectral lines with a period of rotation P = 0.68 d has clearly been exhibited, unambiguously confirming the results of previous spectropolarimetric studies. Most of these brightness inhomogeneities seem to be located in lower equatorial latitudes. Either a very thin convective layer can be responsible for magnetic field generation at small amplitudes, or a new mechanism has to be invoked to explain the existence of activity tracing starspots. At this stage it is difficult to disentangle a rotational from a stellar pulsational origin for the existing higher frequency periodic variations.
Conclusions. This first strong evidence that standard A-type stars can show surface structures opens a new field of research and ask about a potential link with the recently discovered weak magnetic field discoveries in this category of stars.
A Riemannian manifold is called geometrically formal if the wedge product of any two harmonic forms is again harmonic. We classify geometrically formal compact 4-manifolds with nonnegative sectional curvature. If the sectional curvature is strictly positive, the manifold must be homeomorphic to S-4 or diffeomorphic to CP2.
This conclusion stills holds true if the sectional curvature is strictly positive and we relax the condition of geometric formality to the requirement that the length of harmonic 2-forms is not too nonconstant. In particular, the Hopf conjecture on S-2 x S-2 holds in this class of manifolds.
Green-hyperbolic operators are linear differential operators acting on sections of a vector bundle over a Lorentzian manifold which possess advanced and retarded Green's operators. The most prominent examples are wave operators and Dirac-type operators. This paper is devoted to a systematic study of this class of differential operators. For instance, we show that this class is closed under taking restrictions to suitable subregions of the manifold, under composition, under taking "square roots", and under the direct sum construction. Symmetric hyperbolic systems are studied in detail.
We study the global theory of linear wave equations for sections of vector bundles over globally hyperbolic Lorentz manifolds. We introduce spaces of finite energy sections and show well-posedness of the Cauchy problem in those spaces. These spaces depend in general on the choice of a time function but it turns out that certain spaces of finite energy solutions are independent of this choice and hence invariantly defined. We also show existence and uniqueness of solutions for the Goursat problem where one prescribes initial data on a characteristic partial Cauchy hypersurface. This extends classical results due to Hormander.
In this paper a technique to obtain a first approximation for singular inverse Sturm-Liouville problems with a symmetrical potential is introduced. The singularity, as a result of unbounded domain (-infinity, infinity), is treated by considering numerically the asymptotic limit of the associated problem on a finite interval (-L, L). In spite of this treatment, the problem has still an ill-conditioned structure unlike the classical regular ones and needs regularization techniques. Direct computation of eigenvalues in iterative solution procedure is made by means of pseudospectral methods. A fairly detailed description of the numerical algorithm and its applications to specific examples are presented to illustrate the accuracy and convergence behaviour of the proposed approach.