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In this chapter, equipped with our previously obtained knowledge of exit and transition times in the limit of small noise amplitude ??0 , we shall investigate the global asymptotic behavior of our jump diffusion process in the time scale in which transitions occur, i.e. in the scale given by ?0(?)=?(1?Bc?(0)),?,?>0 . It turns out that in this time scale, the switching of the diffusion between neighborhoods of the stable solutions ? ± can be well described by a Markov chain jumping back and forth between two states with a characteristic Q-matrix determined by the quantities ?((D±0)c)?(Bc?(0)) as jumping rates.
In this preparatory chapter, the tools of stochastic analysis needed for the investigation of the asymptotic behavior of the stochastic Chafee-Infante equation are provided. In the first place, this encompasses a recollection of basic facts about Lévy processes with values in Hilbert spaces. Playing the role of the additive noise processes perturbing the deterministic Chafee-Infante equation in the systems the stochastic dynamics of which will be our main interest, symmetric ?-stable Lévy processes are in the focus of our investigation (Sect. 3.1).
In this chapter, we introduce the deterministic Chafee-Infante equation. This equation has been the subject of intense research and is very well understood now. We recall some properties of its longtime dynamics and in particular the structure of its attractor. We then define reduced domains of attraction that will be fundamental in our study and give a result describing precisely the time that a solution starting form a reduced domain of attraction needs to reach a stable equilibrium. This result is then proved using the detailed knowledge of the attractor and classical tools such as the stable and unstable manifolds in a neighborhood of an equilibrium.
We introduce the notion of coupling distances on the space of Lévy measures in order to quantify rates of convergence towards a limiting Lévy jump diffusion in terms of its characteristic triplet, in particular in terms of the tail of the Lévy measure. The main result yields an estimate of the Wasserstein-Kantorovich-Rubinstein distance on path space between two Lévy diffusions in terms of the couping distances. We want to apply this to obtain precise rates of convergence for Markov chain approximations and a statistical goodness-of-fit test for low-dimensional conceptual climate models with paleoclimatic data.
We consider an SDE driven by a Lévy noise on a foliated manifold, whose trajectories stay on compact leaves. We determine the effective behavior of the system subject to a small smooth transversal perturbation of positive order epsilon. More precisely, we show that the average of the transversal component of the SDE converges to the solution of a deterministic ODE, according to the average of the perturbing vector field with respect to the invariant measures on the leaves (of the unpertubed system) as epsilon goes to 0. In particular we give upper bounds for the rates of convergence. The main results which are proved for pure jump Lévy processes complement the result by Gargate and Ruffino for Stratonovich SDEs to Lévy driven SDEs of Marcus type.