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The Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI) has become a popular metric for evaluating improvement in disease prediction models through the past years. The concept is relatively straightforward but usage and interpretation has been different across studies. While no thresholds exist for evaluating the degree of improvement, many studies have relied solely on the significance of the NRI estimate. However, recent studies recommend that statistical testing with the NRI should be avoided. We propose using confidence ellipses around the estimated values of event and non-event NRIs which might provide the best measure of variability around the point estimates. Our developments are illustrated using practical examples from EPIC-Potsdam study.
Transport molecules play a crucial role for cell viability. Amongst others, linear motors transport cargos along rope-like structures from one location of the cell to another in a stochastic fashion. Thereby each step of the motor, either forwards or backwards, bridges a fixed distance and requires several biochemical transformations, which are modeled as internal states of the motor. While moving along the rope, the motor can also detach and the walk is interrupted. We give here a mathematical formalization of such dynamics as a random process which is an extension of Random Walks, to which we add an absorbing state to model the detachment of the motor from the rope. We derive particular properties of such processes that have not been available before. Our results include description of the maximal distance reached from the starting point and the position from which detachment takes place. Finally, we apply our theoretical results to a concrete established model of the transport molecule Kinesin V.
We consider the semiclassical asymptotic expansion of the heat kernel coming from Witten's perturbation of the de Rham complex by a given function. For the index, one obtains a time-dependent integral formula which is evaluated by the method of stationary phase to derive the Poincare-Hopf theorem. We show how this method is related to approaches using the Thom form of Mathai and Quillen. Afterwards, we use a more general version of the stationary phase approximation in the case that the perturbing function has critical submanifolds to derive a degenerate version of the Poincare-Hopf theorem.
Asymptotic Solutions of the Dirichlet Problem for the Heat Equation at a Characteristic Point
(2015)
The Dirichlet problem for the heat equation in a bounded domain aS, a"e (n+1) is characteristic because there are boundary points at which the boundary touches a characteristic hyperplane t = c, where c is a constant. For the first time, necessary and sufficient conditions on the boundary guaranteeing that the solution is continuous up to the characteristic point were established by Petrovskii (1934) under the assumption that the Dirichlet data are continuous. The appearance of Petrovskii's paper was stimulated by the existing interest to the investigation of general boundary-value problems for parabolic equations in bounded domains. We contribute to the study of this problem by finding a formal solution of the Dirichlet problem for the heat equation in a neighborhood of a cuspidal characteristic boundary point and analyzing its asymptotic behavior.
In 2015 the second conference „Cloud Storage Deployment in Academics“ took place. Interest regarding this issue was again high and topics established in 2014 like data security and scalability were complemented by new ones like federations or technical integration in existing infrastructures. This is caused by the advances in the establishment of cloud-based storage systems. This publication contains the contributions of the conference „Cloud Storage Deployment in Academics 2015“, which took place in may 2015 at TU Berlin.
This article studies the dynamics of the strong solution of a SDE driven by a discontinuous Levy process taking values in a smooth foliated manifold with compact leaves. It is assumed that it is foliated in the sense that its trajectories stay on the leaf of their initial value for all times almost surely. Under a generic ergodicity assumption for each leaf, we determine the effective behaviour of the system subject to a small smooth perturbation of order epsilon > 0, which acts transversal to the leaves. The main result states that, on average, the transversal component of the perturbed SDE converges uniformly to the solution of a deterministic ODE as e tends to zero. This transversal ODE is generated by the average of the perturbing vector field with respect to the invariant measures of the unperturbed system and varies with the transversal height of the leaves. We give upper bounds for the rates of convergence and illustrate these results for the random rotations on the circle. This article complements the results by Gonzales and Ruffino for SDEs of Stratonovich type to general Levy driven SDEs of Marcus type.
Boundary value problems on a smooth manifold X with boundary have the structure of edge problems. Operators A are described in terms of a principal symbolic hierarchy, namely, according to the stratification of X, with the interior and the boundary We focus here on operators with and without the transmission property and establish a new relationship between boundary symbols and operators in the cone calculus transversal to the boundary.