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Predictability of hydrologic response at the plot and catchment scales: Role of initial conditions
(2004)
This paper examines the effect of uncertain initial soil moisture on hydrologic response at the plot scale (1 m2) and the catchment scale (3.6 km2) in the presence of threshold transitions between matrix and preferential flow. We adopt the concepts of microstates and macrostates from statistical mechanics. The microstates are the detailed patterns of initial soil moisture that are inherently unknown, while the macrostates are specified by the statistical distributions of initial soil moisture that can be derived from the measurements typically available in field experiments. We use a physically based model and ensure that it closely represents the processes in the Weiherbach catchment, Germany. We then use the model to generate hydrologic response to hypothetical irrigation events and rainfall events for multiple realizations of initial soil moisture microstates that are all consistent with the same macrostate. As the measures of uncertainty at the plot scale we use the coefficient of variation and the scaled range of simulated vertical bromide transport distances between realizations. At the catchment scale we use similar statistics derived from simulated flood peak discharges. The simulations indicate that at both scales the predictability depends on the average initial soil moisture state and is at a minimum around the soil moisture value where the transition from matrix to macropore flow occurs. The predictability increases with rainfall intensity. The predictability increases with scale with maximum absolute errors of 90 and 32% at the plot scale and the catchment scale, respectively. It is argued that even if we assume perfect knowledge on the processes, the level of detail with which one can measure the initial conditions along with the nonlinearity of the system will set limits to the repeatability of experiments and limits to the predictability of models at the plot and catchment scales.
Bei Kindern mit Sprachentwicklungsstörungen (SES) können sich Symptome auf sprachlich-funktionaler Ebene sehr variabel auf die kommunikative Partizipation im Alltag auswirken. Kommunikative Partizipation wird definiert als sprachlich-kommunikatives Teilnehmen an Lebenssituationen, in denen Wissen, Informationen, Ideen oder Gefühle ausgetauscht werden. Der deutschsprachige ‚Fokus auf den Erfolg der Kommunikation für Kinder unter sechs Jahren‘ (FOCUS©-34-G) ist ein evaluierter Fragebogen zur Fremdeinschätzung der kommunikativen Partizipation von Kindern (1;6 bis 5;11 Jahre). Ziel unserer Studie war die Untersuchung der Auswirkungen einer SES auf die kommunikative Partizipation betroffener Kinder im Alter zwischen 2;0 und 4;11 Jahren anhand des FOCUS©-34-G. Eltern von Kindern mit SES füllten den FOCUS©-34-G sowie einen Demografie-Bogen aus. Es konnten erste Daten von 22 Kindern (16 Jungen) im Alter zwischen 2;7 und 3;11 (M = 3;3 Jahre, SD = 0;4 Jahre) erhoben werden. Im FOCUS©-34-G erreichten Kinder mit SES einen Gesamtwert zwischen 54 und 197 (M = 120.55, SD = 40.91) von 238 maximal möglichen Punkten. Diese Ergebnisse zeigen eine eingeschränkte kommunikative Partizipation von Kindern mit SES, die es in einer ICF-CY-orientierten sprachtherapeutischen Intervention zu beachten gilt. Als klinisches Assessmentinstrument kann der FOCUS©-34-G als Kurzversion des FOCUS©-G als geeignet angesehen werden.
Überzeugungen zum Lehren und Lernen sind als Teil der professionellen Kompetenz von Lehrkräften bereits im Lehramtsstudium relevant und haben insbesondere in längeren Praxisphasen Entwicklungspotenzial. Welche Faktoren für die Entwicklung von Überzeugungen in Praxisphasen von Bedeutung sind, ist bislang aber nur unzureichend erforscht. In Interviews haben wir N = 16 Studierende befragt, welche Lerngelegenheiten für die Entwicklung ihrer Überzeugungen im Praxissemester eine Rolle spielten. Dabei konnten wir mittels Inhaltsanalyse vier übergeordnete Faktoren identifizieren: die universitäre Lernbegleitung, die Mentorinnen und Mentoren, die Schülerinnen und Schüler und die Reflexion eigener Unterrichtserfahrungen. Den Faktoren wurden untergeordnete Faktoren (z. B. Hospitationen durch Universitätsdozierende) zugeordnet und es wird dargestellt, warum und unter welchen Umständen diese Lerngelegenheiten für die Entwicklung der Überzeugungen aus Studierendensicht relevant sind.
In this paper, we present a finite-state approach to constituency and therewith an analysis of coordination phenomena involving so-called non-constituents. We show that non-constituents can be seen as parts of fully-fledged constituents and therefore be coordinated in the same way. We have implemented an algorithm based on finite state automata that generates an LFG grammar assigning valid analyses to non-constituent coordination structures in the German language.
The border between Germany and Poland today is undisputed and definite, and thought to promote great co-operation and a culture of good-neighbourliness. Relations between the two governments are progressing nicely. But public opinion and behaviour are still lagging behind. The author describes how thought and emotions on the Polish side are still influenced by memories of the past, especially of the German occupation during the Second World War, and the slow pace of progress in overcoming that memory. He shows that the "shadows of history" have strongly influenced Polish politics in the context of German reunification. Special emphasis is given to the role of the Catholic Church in the controversial debate on the relations towards Germany in the 1950s and 1960s.
Gegenstand der Untersuchung ist die Wettbewerbsfähigkeit der OECD-Länder. Inhalt: 1. Einleitung 2. Ausgangspunkt der Untersuchung 3. Die theoretische Entwicklung des Pfadmodells 3.1. Die Zielvariablen 3.2. Die Einflußfaktoren der Wettbewerbsfähigkeit 4. Die empirische Analyse 4.1. Korrelationskoeffizienten 4.2. Multiple lineare Regression 5. Schlußbemerkungen
Nested complementation plays an important role in expressing counter- i.e. star-free and first-order definable languages and their hierarchies. In addition, methods that compile phonological rules into finite-state networks use double-nested complementation or “double negation”. This paper reviews how the double-nested complementation extends to a relatively new operation, generalized restriction (GR), coined by the author (Yli-Jyrä and Koskenniemi 2004). This operation encapsulates a double-nested complementation and elimination of a concatenation marker, diamond, whose finite occurrences align concatenations in the arguments of the operation. The paper demonstrates that the GR operation has an interesting potential in expressing regular languages, various kinds of grammars, bimorphisms and relations. This motivates a further study of optimized implementation of the operator.
Generalized Two-Level Grammar (GTWOL) provides a new method for compilation of parallel replacement rules into transducers. The current paper identifies the role of generalized lenient composition (GLC) in this method. Thanks to the GLC operation, the compilation method becomes bipartite and easily extendible to capture various application modes. In the light of three notions of obligatoriness, a modification to the compilation method is proposed. We argue that the bipartite design makes implementation of parallel obligatoriness, directionality, length and rank based application modes extremely easy, which is the main result of the paper.