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- Parameter estimation (2)
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- Discretization (1)
- Human evolution (1)
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Aarts, Alexander A. ; Anderson, Joanna E. ; Anderson, Christopher J. ; Attridge, Peter R. ; Attwood, Angela ; Axt, Jordan ; Babel, Molly ; Bahnik, Stepan ; Baranski, Erica ; Barnett-Cowan, Michael ; Bartmess, Elizabeth ; Beer, Jennifer ; Bell, Raoul ; Bentley, Heather ; Beyan, Leah ; Binion, Grace ; Borsboom, Denny ; Bosch, Annick ; Bosco, Frank A. ; Bowman, Sara D. ; Brandt, Mark J. ; Braswell, Erin ; Brohmer, Hilmar ; Brown, Benjamin T. ; Brown, Kristina ; Bruening, Jovita ; Calhoun-Sauls, Ann ; Callahan, Shannon P. ; Chagnon, Elizabeth ; Chandler, Jesse ; Chartier, Christopher R. ; Cheung, Felix ; Christopherson, Cody D. ; Cillessen, Linda ; Clay, Russ ; Cleary, Hayley ; Cloud, Mark D. ; Cohn, Michael ; Cohoon, Johanna ; Columbus, Simon ; Cordes, Andreas ; Costantini, Giulio ; Alvarez, Leslie D. Cramblet ; Cremata, Ed ; Crusius, Jan ; DeCoster, Jamie ; DeGaetano, Michelle A. ; Della Penna, Nicolas ; den Bezemer, Bobby ; Deserno, Marie K. ; Devitt, Olivia ; Dewitte, Laura ; Dobolyi, David G. ; Dodson, Geneva T. ; Donnellan, M. Brent ; Donohue, Ryan ; Dore, Rebecca A. ; Dorrough, Angela ; Dreber, Anna ; Dugas, Michelle ; Dunn, Elizabeth W. ; Easey, Kayleigh ; Eboigbe, Sylvia ; Eggleston, Casey ; Embley, Jo ; Epskamp, Sacha ; Errington, Timothy M. ; Estel, Vivien ; Farach, Frank J. ; Feather, Jenelle ; Fedor, Anna ; Fernandez-Castilla, Belen ; Fiedler, Susann ; Field, James G. ; Fitneva, Stanka A. ; Flagan, Taru ; Forest, Amanda L. ; Forsell, Eskil ; Foster, Joshua D. ; Frank, Michael C. ; Frazier, Rebecca S. ; Fuchs, Heather ; Gable, Philip ; Galak, Jeff ; Galliani, Elisa Maria ; Gampa, Anup ; Garcia, Sara ; Gazarian, Douglas ; Gilbert, Elizabeth ; Giner-Sorolla, Roger ; Glöckner, Andreas ; Göllner, Lars ; Goh, Jin X. ; Goldberg, Rebecca ; Goodbourn, Patrick T. ; Gordon-McKeon, Shauna ; Gorges, Bryan ; Gorges, Jessie ; Goss, Justin ; Graham, Jesse ; Grange, James A. ; Gray, Jeremy ; Hartgerink, Chris ; Hartshorne, Joshua ; Hasselman, Fred ; Hayes, Timothy ; Heikensten, Emma ; Henninger, Felix ; Hodsoll, John ; Holubar, Taylor ; Hoogendoorn, Gea ; Humphries, Denise J. ; Hung, Cathy O. -Y. ; Immelman, Nathali ; Irsik, Vanessa C. ; Jahn, Georg ; Jaekel, Frank ; Jekel, Marc ; Johannesson, Magnus ; Johnson, Larissa G. ; Johnson, David J. ; Johnson, Kate M. ; Johnston, William J. ; Jonas, Kai ; Joy-Gaba, Jennifer A. ; Kappes, Heather Barry ; Kelso, Kim ; Kidwell, Mallory C. ; Kim, Seung Kyung ; Kirkhart, Matthew ; Kleinberg, Bennett ; Knezevic, Goran ; Kolorz, Franziska Maria ; Kossakowski, Jolanda J. ; Krause, Robert Wilhelm ; Krijnen, Job ; Kuhlmann, Tim ; Kunkels, Yoram K. ; Kyc, Megan M. ; Lai, Calvin K. ; Laique, Aamir ; Lakens, Daniel ; Lane, Kristin A. ; Lassetter, Bethany ; Lazarevic, Ljiljana B. ; LeBel, Etienne P. ; Lee, Key Jung ; Lee, Minha ; Lemm, Kristi ; Levitan, Carmel A. ; Lewis, Melissa ; Lin, Lin ; Lin, Stephanie ; Lippold, Matthias ; Loureiro, Darren ; Luteijn, Ilse ; Mackinnon, Sean ; Mainard, Heather N. ; Marigold, Denise C. ; Martin, Daniel P. ; Martinez, Tylar ; Masicampo, E. J. ; Matacotta, Josh ; Mathur, Maya ; May, Michael ; Mechin, Nicole ; Mehta, Pranjal ; Meixner, Johannes ; Melinger, Alissa ; Miller, Jeremy K. ; Miller, Mallorie ; Moore, Katherine ; Möschl, Marcus ; Motyl, Matt ; Müller, Stephanie M. ; Munafo, Marcus ; Neijenhuijs, Koen I. ; Nervi, Taylor ; Nicolas, Gandalf ; Nilsonne, Gustav ; Nosek, Brian A. ; Nuijten, Michele B. ; Olsson, Catherine ; Osborne, Colleen ; Ostkamp, Lutz ; Pavel, Misha ; Penton-Voak, Ian S. ; Perna, Olivia ; Pernet, Cyril ; Perugini, Marco ; Pipitone, R. Nathan ; Pitts, Michael ; Plessow, Franziska ; Prenoveau, Jason M. ; Rahal, Rima-Maria ; Ratliff, Kate A. ; Reinhard, David ; Renkewitz, Frank ; Ricker, Ashley A. ; Rigney, Anastasia ; Rivers, Andrew M. ; Roebke, Mark ; Rutchick, Abraham M. ; Ryan, Robert S. ; Sahin, Onur ; Saide, Anondah ; Sandstrom, Gillian M. ; Santos, David ; Saxe, Rebecca ; Schlegelmilch, Rene ; Schmidt, Kathleen ; Scholz, Sabine ; Seibel, Larissa ; Selterman, Dylan Faulkner ; Shaki, Samuel ; Simpson, William B. ; Sinclair, H. Colleen ; Skorinko, Jeanine L. M. ; Slowik, Agnieszka ; Snyder, Joel S. ; Soderberg, Courtney ; Sonnleitner, Carina ; Spencer, Nick ; Spies, Jeffrey R. ; Steegen, Sara ; Stieger, Stefan ; Strohminger, Nina ; Sullivan, Gavin B. ; Talhelm, Thomas ; Tapia, Megan ; te Dorsthorst, Anniek ; Thomae, Manuela ; Thomas, Sarah L. ; Tio, Pia ; Traets, Frits ; Tsang, Steve ; Tuerlinckx, Francis ; Turchan, Paul ; Valasek, Milan ; Van Aert, Robbie ; van Assen, Marcel ; van Bork, Riet ; van de Ven, Mathijs ; van den Bergh, Don ; van der Hulst, Marije ; van Dooren, Roel ; van Doorn, Johnny ; van Renswoude, Daan R. ; van Rijn, Hedderik ; Vanpaemel, Wolf ; Echeverria, Alejandro Vasquez ; Vazquez, Melissa ; Velez, Natalia ; Vermue, Marieke ; Verschoor, Mark ; Vianello, Michelangelo ; Voracek, Martin ; Vuu, Gina ; Wagenmakers, Eric-Jan ; Weerdmeester, Joanneke ; Welsh, Ashlee ; Westgate, Erin C. ; Wissink, Joeri ; Wood, Michael ; Woods, Andy ; Wright, Emily ; Wu, Sining ; Zeelenberg, Marcel ; Zuni, Kellylynn
Reproducibility is a defining feature of science, but the extent to which it characterizes current research is unknown. We conducted replications of 100 experimental and correlational studies published in three psychology journals using high-powered designs and original materials when available. Replication effects were half the magnitude of original effects, representing a substantial decline. Ninety-seven percent of original studies had statistically significant results. Thirty-six percent of replications had statistically significant results; 47% of original effect sizes were in the 95% confidence interval of the replication effect size; 39% of effects were subjectively rated to have replicated the original result; and if no bias in original results is assumed, combining original and replication results left 68% with statistically significant effects. Correlational tests suggest that replication success was better predicted by the strength of original evidence than by characteristics of the original and replication teams.
Schulze-Makuch, Dirk ; Wagner, Dirk ; Kounaves, Samuel P. ; Mangelsdorf, Kai ; Devine, Kevin G. ; de Vera, Jean-Pierre ; Schmitt-Kopplin, Philippe ; Grossart, Hans-Peter ; Parro, Victor ; Kaupenjohann, Martin ; Galy, Albert ; Schneider, Beate ; Airo, Alessandro ; Froesler, Jan ; Davila, Alfonso F. ; Arens, Felix L. ; Caceres, Luis ; Cornejo, Francisco Solis ; Carrizo, Daniel ; Dartnell, Lewis ; DiRuggiero, Jocelyne ; Flury, Markus ; Ganzert, Lars ; Gessner, Mark O. ; Grathwohl, Peter ; Guan, Lisa ; Heinz, Jacob ; Hess, Matthias ; Keppler, Frank ; Maus, Deborah ; McKay, Christopher P. ; Meckenstock, Rainer U. ; Montgomery, Wren ; Oberlin, Elizabeth A. ; Probst, Alexander J. ; Saenz, Johan S. ; Sattler, Tobias ; Schirmack, Janosch ; Sephton, Mark A. ; Schloter, Michael ; Uhl, Jenny ; Valenzuela, Bernardita ; Vestergaard, Gisle ; Woermer, Lars ; Zamorano, Pedro
Identifying behavioral mechanisms that underlie observed movement patterns is difficult when animals employ sophisticated cognitive‐based strategies. Such strategies may arise when timing of return visits is important, for instance to allow for resource renewal or territorial patrolling. We fitted spatially explicit random‐walk models to GPS movement data of six wolves (Canis lupus; Linnaeus, 1758) from Alberta, Canada to investigate the importance of the following: (1) territorial surveillance likely related to renewal of scent marks along territorial edges, to reduce intraspecific risk among packs, and (2) delay in return to recently hunted areas, which may be related to anti‐predator responses of prey under varying prey densities. The movement models incorporated the spatiotemporal variable “time since last visit,” which acts as a wolf's memory index of its travel history and is integrated into the movement decision along with its position in relation to territory boundaries and information on local prey densities. We used a model selection framework to test hypotheses about the combined importance of these variables in wolf movement strategies. Time‐dependent movement for territory surveillance was supported by all wolf movement tracks. Wolves generally avoided territory edges, but this avoidance was reduced as time since last visit increased. Time‐dependent prey management was weak except in one wolf. This wolf selected locations with longer time since last visit and lower prey density, which led to a longer delay in revisiting high prey density sites. Our study shows that we can use spatially explicit random walks to identify behavioral strategies that merge environmental information and explicit spatiotemporal information on past movements (i.e., “when” and “where”) to make movement decisions. The approach allows us to better understand cognition‐based movement in relation to dynamic environments and resources.
When sampling animal movement paths, the frequency at which location measurements are attempted is a critical feature for data analysis. Important quantities derived from raw data, e.g. travel distance or sinuosity, can differ largely based on the temporal resolution of the data. Likewise, when movement models are fitted to data, parameter estimates have been demonstrated to vary with sampling rate. Thus, biological statements derived from such analyses can only be made with respect to the resolution of the underlying data, limiting extrapolation of results and comparison between studies. To address this problem, we investigate whether there are models that are robust against changes in temporal resolution. First, we propose a mathematically rigorous framework, in which we formally define robustness as a model property. We then use the framework for a thorough assessment of a range of basic random walk models, in which we also show how robustness relates to other probabilistic concepts. While we found robustness to be a strong condition met by few models only, we suggest a new method to extend models so as to make them robust. Our framework provides a new systematic, mathematically founded approach to the question if, and how, sampling rate of movement paths affects statistical inference.
Ocean Drilling Program Site 1085 provides a continuous marine sediment record off southern South West Africa for at least the last three and half million years. The n-alkane partial derivative(13) C record from this site records changes in past vegetation and provides an indication of the moisture availability of SW Africa during this time period. Very little variation, and no apparent trend, is observed in the n-alkane delta C-13 record, suggesting stable long-term conditions despite significant changes in East African tectonics and global climate. Slightly higher n-alkane delta C-13 values occur between 3.5 and 2.7 Ma suggesting slightly drier conditions than today. Between 2.5 and 2.7 Ma there is a shift to more negative n-alkane delta C-13 values suggesting slightly wetter conditions during a similar to 0.2 Ma episode that coincides with the intensification of Northern Hemisphere Glaciation (iNHG). From 2.5 to 0.4 Ma the n-alkane delta C-13 values are very consistent, varying by less than +/- 0.5 parts per thousand and suggesting little or no long-term change in the moisture availability of South West Africa over the last 2.5 million years. This is in contrast to the long-term drying trend observed further north offshore from the Namib Desert and in East Africa. A comparison of the climate history of these regions suggests that Southern Africa may have been an area of long-term stability over the last 3.5 Myrs.
Brodeur, Abel ; Mikola, Derek ; Cook, Nikolai ; Brailey, Thomas ; Briggs, Ryan ; Gendre, Alexandra de ; Dupraz, Yannick ; Fiala, Lenka ; Gabani, Jacopo ; Gauriot, Romain ; Haddad, Joanne ; Lima, Goncalo ; Ankel-Peters, Jörg ; Dreber, Anna ; Campbell, Douglas ; Kattan, Lamis ; Fages, Diego Marino ; Mierisch, Fabian ; Sun, Pu ; Wright, Taylor ; Connolly, Marie ; Hoces de la Guardia, Fernando ; Johannesson, Magnus ; Miguel, Edward ; Vilhuber, Lars ; Abarca, Alejandro ; Acharya, Mahesh ; Adjisse, Sossou Simplice ; Akhtar, Ahwaz ; Lizardi, Eduardo Alberto Ramirez ; Albrecht, Sabina ; Andersen, Synve Nygaard ; Andlib, Zubaria ; Arrora, Falak ; Ash, Thomas ; Bacher, Etienne ; Bachler, Sebastian ; Bacon, Félix ; Bagues, Manuel ; Balogh, Timea ; Batmanov, Alisher ; Barschkett, Mara ; Basdil, B. Kaan ; Dower, Jaromneda ; Castek, Ondrej ; Caviglia-Harris, Jill ; Strand, Gabriella Chauca ; Chen, Shi ; Chzhen, Asya ; Chung, Jong ; Collins, Jason ; Coppock, Alexander ; Cordeau, Hugo ; Couillard, Ben ; Crechet, Jonathan ; Crippa, Lorenzo ; Cui, Jeanne ; Czymara, Christian ; Daarstad, Haley ; Dao, Danh Chi ; Dao, Dong ; Schmandt, Marco David ; Linde, Astrid de ; Melo, Lucas De ; Deer, Lachlan ; Vera, Micole De ; Dimitrova, Velichka ; Dollbaum, Jan Fabian ; Dollbaum, Jan Matti ; Donnelly, Michael ; Huynh, Luu Duc Toan ; Dumbalska, Tsvetomira ; Duncan, Jamie ; Duong, Kiet Tuan ; Duprey, Thibaut ; Dworschak, Christoph ; Ellingsrud, Sigmund ; Elminejad, Ali ; Eissa, Yasmine ; Erhart, Andrea ; Etingin-Frati, Giulian ; Fatemi-Pour, Elaheh ; Federice, Alexa ; Feld, Jan ; Fenig, Guidon ; Firouzjaeiangalougah, Mojtaba ; Fleisje, Erlend ; Fortier-Chouinard, Alexandre ; Engel, Julia Francesca ; Fries, Tilman ; Fortier, Reid ; Fréchet, Nadjim ; Galipeau, Thomas ; Gallegos, Sebastián ; Gangji, Areez ; Gao, Xiaoying ; Garnache, Cloé ; Gáspár, Attila ; Gavrilova, Evelina ; Ghosh, Arijit ; Gibney, Garreth ; Gibson, Grant ; Godager, Geir ; Goff, Leonard ; Gong, Da ; González, Javier ; Gretton, Jeremy ; Griffa, Cristina ; Grigoryeva, Idaliya ; Grtting, Maja ; Guntermann, Eric ; Guo, Jiaqi ; Gugushvili, Alexi ; Habibnia, Hooman ; Häffner, Sonja ; Hall, Jonathan D. ; Hammar, Olle ; Kordt, Amund Hanson ; Hashimoto, Barry ; Hartley, Jonathan S. ; Hausladen, Carina I. ; Havránek, Tomáš ; Hazen, Jacob ; He, Harry ; Hepplewhite, Matthew ; Herrera-Rodriguez, Mario ; Heuer, Felix ; Heyes, Anthony ; Ho, Anson T. Y. ; Holmes, Jonathan ; Holzknecht, Armando ; Hsu, Yu-Hsiang Dexter ; Hu, Shiang-Hung ; Huang, Yu-Shiuan ; Huebener, Mathias ; Huber, Christoph ; Huynh, Kim P. ; Irsova, Zuzana ; Isler, Ozan ; Jakobsson, Niklas ; Frith, Michael James ; Jananji, Raphaël ; Jayalath, Tharaka A. ; Jetter, Michael ; John, Jenny ; Forshaw, Rachel Joy ; Juan, Felipe ; Kadriu, Valon ; Karim, Sunny ; Kelly, Edmund ; Dang, Duy Khanh Hoang ; Khushboo, Tazia ; Kim, Jin ; Kjellsson, Gustav ; Kjelsrud, Anders ; Kotsadam, Andreas ; Korpershoek, Jori ; Krashinsky, Lewis ; Kundu, Suranjana ; Kustov, Alexander ; Lalayev, Nurlan ; Langlois, Audrée ; Laufer, Jill ; Lee-Whiting, Blake ; Leibing, Andreas ; Lenz, Gabriel ; Levin, Joel ; Li, Peng ; Li, Tongzhe ; Lin, Yuchen ; Listo, Ariel ; Liu, Dan ; Lu, Xuewen ; Lukmanova, Elvina ; Luscombe, Alex ; Lusher, Lester R. ; Lyu, Ke ; Ma, Hai ; Mäder, Nicolas ; Makate, Clifton ; Malmberg, Alice ; Maitra, Adit ; Mandas, Marco ; Marcus, Jan ; Margaryan, Shushanik ; Márk, Lili ; Martignano, Andres ; Marsh, Abigail ; Masetto, Isabella ; McCanny, Anthony ; McManus, Emma ; McWay, Ryan ; Metson, Lennard ; Kinge, Jonas Minet ; Mishra, Sumit ; Mohnen, Myra ; Möller, Jakob ; Montambeault, Rosalie ; Montpetit, Sébastien ; Morin, Louis-Philippe ; Morris, Todd ; Moser, Scott ; Motoki, Fabio ; Muehlenbachs, Lucija ; Musulan, Andreea ; Musumeci, Marco ; Nabin, Munirul ; Nchare, Karim ; Neubauer, Florian ; Nguyen, Quan M. P. ; Nguyen, Tuan ; Nguyen-Tien, Viet ; Niazi, Ali ; Nikolaishvili, Giorgi ; Nordstrom, Ardyn ; Nü, Patrick ; Odermatt, Angela ; Olson, Matt ; ien, Henning ; Ölkers, Tim ; Vert, Miquel Oliver i. ; Oral, Emre ; Oswald, Christian ; Ousman, Ali ; Özak, Ömer ; Pandey, Shubham ; Pavlov, Alexandre ; Pelli, Martino ; Penheiro, Romeo ; Park, RyuGyung ; Martel, Eva Pérez ; Petrovičová, Tereza ; Phan, Linh ; Prettyman, Alexa ; Procházka, Jakub ; Putri, Aqila ; Quandt, Julian ; Qiu, Kangyu ; Nguyen, Loan Quynh Thi ; Rahman, Andaleeb ; Rea, Carson H. ; Reiremo, Adam ; Renée, Laëtitia ; Richardson, Joseph ; Rivers, Nicholas ; Rodrigues, Bruno ; Roelofs, William ; Roemer, Tobias ; Rogeberg, Ole ; Rose, Julian ; Roskos-Ewoldsen, Andrew ; Rosmer, Paul ; Sabada, Barbara ; Saberian, Soodeh ; Salamanca, Nicolas ; Sator, Georg ; Sawyer, Antoine ; Scates, Daniel ; Schlüter, Elmar ; Sells, Cameron ; Sen, Sharmi ; Sethi, Ritika ; Shcherbiak, Anna ; Sogaolu, Moyosore ; Soosalu, Matt ; Srensen, Erik ; Sovani, Manali ; Spencer, Noah ; Staubli, Stefan ; Stans, Renske ; Stewart, Anya ; Stips, Felix ; Stockley, Kieran ; Strobel, Stephenson ; Struby, Ethan ; Tang, John ; Tanrisever, Idil ; Yang, Thomas Tao ; Tastan, Ipek ; Tatić, Dejan ; Tatlow, Benjamin ; Seuyong, Féraud Tchuisseu ; Thériault, Rémi ; Thivierge, Vincent ; Tian, Wenjie ; Toma, Filip-Mihai ; Totarelli, Maddalena ; Tran, Van-Anh ; Truong, Hung ; Tsoy, Nikita ; Tuzcuoglu, Kerem ; Ubfal, Diego ; Villalobos, Laura ; Walterskirchen, Julian ; Wang, Joseph Taoyi ; Wattal, Vasudha ; Webb, Matthew D. ; Weber, Bryan ; Weisser, Reinhard ; Weng, Wei-Chien ; Westheide, Christian ; White, Kimberly ; Winter, Jacob ; Wochner, Timo ; Woerman, Matt ; Wong, Jared ; Woodard, Ritchie ; Wroński, Marcin ; Yazbeck, Myra ; Yang, Gustav Chung ; Yap, Luther ; Yassin, Kareman ; Ye, Hao ; Yoon, Jin Young ; Yurris, Chris ; Zahra, Tahreen ; Zaneva, Mirela ; Zayat, Aline ; Zhang, Jonathan ; Zhao, Ziwei ; Yaolang, Zhong
This study pushes our understanding of research reliability by reproducing and replicating claims from 110 papers in leading economic and political science journals. The analysis involves computational reproducibility checks and robustness assessments. It reveals several patterns. First, we uncover a high rate of fully computationally reproducible results (over 85%). Second, excluding minor issues like missing packages or broken pathways, we uncover coding errors for about 25% of studies, with some studies containing multiple errors. Third, we test the robustness of the results to 5,511 re-analyses. We find a robustness reproducibility of about 70%. Robustness reproducibility rates are relatively higher for re-analyses that introduce new data and lower for re-analyses that change the sample or the definition of the dependent variable. Fourth, 52% of re-analysis effect size estimates are smaller than the original published estimates and the average statistical significance of a re-analysis is 77% of the original. Lastly, we rely on six teams of researchers working independently to answer eight additional research questions on the determinants of robustness reproducibility. Most teams find a negative relationship between replicators' experience and reproducibility, while finding no relationship between reproducibility and the provision of intermediate or even raw data combined with the necessary cleaning codes.
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