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Xiang, Hai ; Gao, Jianqiang ; Cai, Dawei ; Luo, Yunbing ; Yu, Baoquan ; Liu, Langqing ; Liu, Ranran ; Zhou, Hui ; Chen, Xiaoyong ; Dun, Weitao ; Wang, Xi ; Hofreiter, Michael ; Zhao, Xingbo
It is widely accepted that modern pigs were domesticated independently at least twice, and Chinese native pigs are deemed as direct descendants of the first domesticated pigs in the corresponding domestication centers. By analyzing mitochondrial DNA sequences of an extensive sample set spanning 10,000 years, we find that the earliest pigs from the middle Yellow River region already carried the maternal lineages that are dominant in both younger archaeological populations and modern Chinese pigs. Our data set also supports early Neolithic pig utilization and a long-term in situ origin for northeastern Chinese pigs during 8,000-3,500 BP, suggesting a possibly independent domestication in northeast China. Additionally, we observe a genetic replacement in ancient northeast Chinese pigs since 3,500 BP. The results not only provide increasing evidence for pig origin in the middle Yellow River region but also depict an outline for the process of early pig domestication in northeast China.
Warrington, Nicole ; Beaumont, Robin ; Horikoshi, Momoko ; Day, Felix R. ; Helgeland, Øyvind ; Laurin, Charles ; Bacelis, Jonas ; Peng, Shouneng ; Hao, Ke ; Feenstra, Bjarke ; Wood, Andrew R. ; Mahajan, Anubha ; Tyrrell, Jessica ; Robertson, Neil R. ; Rayner, N. William ; Qiao, Zhen ; Moen, Gunn-Helen ; Vaudel, Marc ; Marsit, Carmen ; Chen, Jia ; Nodzenski, Michael ; Schnurr, Theresia M. ; Zafarmand, Mohammad Hadi ; Bradfield, Jonathan P. ; Grarup, Niels ; Kooijman, Marjolein N. ; Li-Gao, Ruifang ; Geller, Frank ; Ahluwalia, Tarunveer Singh ; Paternoster, Lavinia ; Rueedi, Rico ; Huikari, Ville ; Hottenga, Jouke-Jan ; Lyytikäinen, Leo-Pekka ; Cavadino, Alana ; Metrustry, Sarah ; Cousminer, Diana L. ; Wu, Ying ; Thiering, Elisabeth Paula ; Wang, Carol A. ; Have, Christian Theil ; Vilor-Tejedor, Natalia ; Joshi, Peter K. ; Painter, Jodie N. ; Ntalla, Ioanna ; Myhre, Ronny ; Pitkänen, Niina ; van Leeuwen, Elisabeth M. ; Joro, Raimo ; Lagou, Vasiliki ; Richmond, Rebecca C. ; Espinosa, Ana ; Barton, Sheila J. ; Inskip, Hazel M. ; Holloway, John W. ; Santa-Marina, Loreto ; Estivill, Xavier ; Ang, Wei ; Marsh, Julie A. ; Reichetzeder, Christoph ; Marullo, Letizia ; Hocher, Berthold ; Lunetta, Kathryn L. ; Murabito, Joanne M. ; Relton, Caroline L. ; Kogevinas, Manolis ; Chatzi, Leda ; Allard, Catherine ; Bouchard, Luigi ; Hivert, Marie-France ; Zhang, Ge ; Muglia, Louis J. ; Heikkinen, Jani ; Morgen, Camilla S. ; van Kampen, Antoine H. C. ; van Schaik, Barbera D. C. ; Mentch, Frank D. ; Langenberg, Claudia ; Scott, Robert A. ; Zhao, Jing Hua ; Hemani, Gibran ; Ring, Susan M. ; Bennett, Amanda J. ; Gaulton, Kyle J. ; Fernandez-Tajes, Juan ; van Zuydam, Natalie R. ; Medina-Gomez, Carolina ; de Haan, Hugoline G. ; Rosendaal, Frits R. ; Kutalik, Zoltán ; Marques-Vidal, Pedro ; Das, Shikta ; Willemsen, Gonneke ; Mbarek, Hamdi ; Müller-Nurasyid, Martina ; Standl, Marie ; Appel, Emil V. R. ; Fonvig, Cilius Esmann ; Trier, Caecilie ; van Beijsterveldt, Catharina E. M. ; Murcia, Mario ; Bustamante, Mariona ; Bonàs-Guarch, Sílvia ; Hougaard, David M. ; Mercader, Josep M. ; Linneberg, Allan ; Schraut, Katharina E. ; Lind, Penelope A. ; Medland, Sarah Elizabeth ; Shields, Beverley M. ; Knight, Bridget A. ; Chai, Jin-Fang ; Panoutsopoulou, Kalliope ; Bartels, Meike ; Sánchez, Friman ; Stokholm, Jakob ; Torrents, David ; Vinding, Rebecca K. ; Willems, Sara M. ; Atalay, Mustafa ; Chawes, Bo L. ; Kovacs, Peter ; Prokopenko, Inga ; Tuke, Marcus A. ; Yaghootkar, Hanieh ; Ruth, Katherine S. ; Jones, Samuel E. ; Loh, Po-Ru ; Murray, Anna ; Weedon, Michael N. ; Tönjes, Anke ; Stumvoll, Michael ; Michaelsen, Kim Fleischer ; Eloranta, Aino-Maija ; Lakka, Timo A. ; van Duijn, Cornelia M. ; Kiess, Wieland ; Koerner, Antje ; Niinikoski, Harri ; Pahkala, Katja ; Raitakari, Olli T. ; Jacobsson, Bo ; Zeggini, Eleftheria ; Dedoussis, George V. ; Teo, Yik-Ying ; Saw, Seang-Mei ; Montgomery, Grant W. ; Campbell, Harry ; Wilson, James F. ; Vrijkotte, Tanja G. M. ; Vrijheid, Martine ; de Geus, Eco J. C. N. ; Hayes, M. Geoffrey ; Kadarmideen, Haja N. ; Holm, Jens-Christian ; Beilin, Lawrence J. ; Pennell, Craig E. ; Heinrich, Joachim ; Adair, Linda S. ; Borja, Judith B. ; Mohlke, Karen L. ; Eriksson, Johan G. ; Widen, Elisabeth E. ; Hattersley, Andrew T. ; Spector, Tim D. ; Kaehoenen, Mika ; Viikari, Jorma S. ; Lehtimaeki, Terho ; Boomsma, Dorret I. ; Sebert, Sylvain ; Vollenweider, Peter ; Sorensen, Thorkild I. A. ; Bisgaard, Hans ; Bonnelykke, Klaus ; Murray, Jeffrey C. ; Melbye, Mads ; Nohr, Ellen A. ; Mook-Kanamori, Dennis O. ; Rivadeneira, Fernando ; Hofman, Albert ; Felix, Janine F. ; Jaddoe, Vincent W. V. ; Hansen, Torben ; Pisinger, Charlotta ; Vaag, Allan A. ; Pedersen, Oluf ; Uitterlinden, Andre G. ; Jarvelin, Marjo-Riitta ; Power, Christine ; Hypponen, Elina ; Scholtens, Denise M. ; Lowe, William L. ; Smith, George Davey ; Timpson, Nicholas J. ; Morris, Andrew P. ; Wareham, Nicholas J. ; Hakonarson, Hakon ; Grant, Struan F. A. ; Frayling, Timothy M. ; Lawlor, Debbie A. ; Njolstad, Pal R. ; Johansson, Stefan ; Ong, Ken K. ; McCarthy, Mark I. ; Perry, John R. B. ; Evans, David M. ; Freathy, Rachel M.
Birth weight variation is influenced by fetal and maternal genetic and non-genetic factors, and has been reproducibly associated with future cardio-metabolic health outcomes. In expanded genome-wide association analyses of own birth weight (n = 321,223) and offspring birth weight (n = 230,069 mothers), we identified 190 independent association signals (129 of which are novel). We used structural equation modeling to decompose the contributions of direct fetal and indirect maternal genetic effects, then applied Mendelian randomization to illuminate causal pathways. For example, both indirect maternal and direct fetal genetic effects drive the observational relationship between lower birth weight and higher later blood pressure: maternal blood pressure-raising alleles reduce offspring birth weight, but only direct fetal effects of these alleles, once inherited, increase later offspring blood pressure. Using maternal birth weight-lowering genotypes to proxy for an adverse intrauterine environment provided no evidence that it causally raises offspring blood pressure, indicating that the inverse birth weight-blood pressure association is attributable to genetic effects, and not to intrauterine programming.
Multiblock-like amphiphilic polyurethanes constituted by poly(ethylene oxide) and biosourced betulin are designed for antifouling and synthesized by a convenient organocatalytic route comprising tandem chain-growth and step-growth polymerizations. The doping density of betulin (D-B) in the polymer chain structure is readily varied by a mixed-initiator strategy. The spin-coated polymer films exhibit unique nanophase separation and protein resistance behaviors. Higher D-B leads to enhanced surface hydrophobicity and, unexpectedly, improved protein resistance. It is found that the surface holds molecular-level heterogeneity when D-B is substantially high due to restricted phase separation; therefore, broad-spectrum protein resistance is achieved despite considerable surface hydrophobicity. As D-B decreases, the distance between adjacent betulin units increases so that hydrophobic nanodomains are formed, which provide enough landing areas for relatively small-sized proteins to adsorb on the surface.
Increasing interests in hydrocarbon resources at depths have drawn greater attentions to the deeply-buried carbonate reservoirs in the Tarim Basin in China. In this study, the cyclic dolomite rocks of Upper Cambrian Lower Qiulitag Group from four outcrop sections in northwestern Tarim Basin were selected to investigate and evaluate the petrophysical properties in relation to depositional facies and cyclicity. The Lower Qiulitag Group includes ten lithofacies, which were deposited in intermediate to shallow subtidal, restricted shallow subtidal, intertidal, and supratidal environments on a carbonate ramp system. These lithofacies are vertically stacked into repeated shallowing-upward, meter-scale cycles which are further grouped into six third-order depositional sequences (Sq1 to Sq6). There are variable types of pore spaces in the Lower Qiulitag Group dolomite rocks, including interparticle, intraparticle, and fenestral pores of primary origin, inter crystal, and vuggy pores of late diagenetic modification. The porosity in the dolomites is generally facies-selective as that the microbially-originated thrombolites and stromatolites generally yield a relatively high porosity. In contrast, the high-energy ooidal grainstones generally have very low porosity. In this case, the microbialite-based peritidal cycles and peritidal cycle-dominated highstand (or regressive) successions have relatively high volumes of pore spaces, although highly fluctuating (or vertical inhomogeneous). Accordingly, the grainstone-based subtidal cycles and subtidal cycle-dominated transgressive successions generally yield extremely low porosity. This scenario indicates that porosity development and preservation in the thick dolomite successions are primarily controlled by depositional facies which were influenced by sea-level fluctuations of different orders and later diagenetic overprinting.
Xiang, Hai ; Gao, Jianqiang ; Yu, Baoquan ; Zhou, Hui ; Cai, Dawei ; Zhang, Youwen ; Chen, Xiaoyong ; Wang, Xi ; Hofreiter, Michael ; Zhao, Xingbo
Chickens represent by far the most important poultry species, yet the number, locations, and timings of their domestication have remained controversial for more than a century. Here we report ancient mitochondrial DNA sequences from the earliest archaeological chicken bones from China, dating back to similar to 10,000 B.P. The results clearly show that all investigated bones, including the oldest from the Nanzhuangtou site, are derived from the genus Gallus, rather than any other related genus, such as Phasianus. Our analyses also suggest that northern China represents one region of the earliest chicken domestication, possibly dating as early as 10,000 y B.P. Similar to the evidence from pig domestication, our results suggest that these early domesticated chickens contributed to the gene pool of modern chicken populations. Moreover, our results support the idea that multiple members of the genus Gallus, specifically Gallus gallus and Gallus sonneratii contributed to the gene pool of the modern domestic chicken. Our results provide further support for the growing evidence of an early mixed agricultural complex in northern China.
BACKROUND: Few studies have been carried out to connect nutrients recovery from wastewater and heavy metals immobilization in contaminated soil. To achieve the goal, ammonia nitrogen (AN) and phosphorus (P) were recovered from rare-earth wastewater by using the formation of struvite, which was used as the amendment with plant ash for copper, lead and chromium immobilization. RESULTS: AN removal efficiency and residual P reached 95.32 +/- 0.73% and 6.14 +/- 1.72mgL(-1) under optimal conditions: pH= 9.0, n(Mg): n(N): n(P)= 1.2: 1: 1.1, which were obtained using response surface methodology (RSM). The minimum available concentrations of Cu, Pb and Cr (CPC) separately reduced to 320.82 mg kg(-1), 190.77 mg kg(-1) and 121.46 mg kg(-1) with increasing immobilization time at the mass ratio of phosphate precipitate (PP)/plant ash (PA) of 1: 3. Humic acid (HA) and fulvic acid (FA) were beneficial to immobilize Cu, both of which showed no effect or even a negative effect on Pb and Cr immobilization.
Cao, Xianyong ; Tian, Fang ; Telford, Richard J. ; Ni, Jian ; Xu, Qinghai ; Chen, Fahu ; Liu, Xingqi ; Stebich, Martina ; Zhao, Yan ; Herzschuh, Ulrike
Pollen-based quantitative reconstructions of past climate variables is a standard palaeoclimatic approach. Despite knowing that the spatial extent of the calibration-set affects the reconstruction result, guidance is lacking as to how to determine a suitable spatial extent of the pollen-climate calibration-set. In this study, past mean annual precipitation (P-ann) during the Holocene (since 11.5 cal ka BP) is reconstructed repeatedly for pollen records from Qinghai Lake (36.7 degrees N, 100.5 degrees E; north-east Tibetan Plateau), Gonghai Lake (38.9 degrees N, 112.2 degrees E; north China) and Sihailongwan Lake (42.3 degrees N, 126.6 degrees E; north-east China) using calibration-sets of varying spatial extents extracted from the modern pollen dataset of China and Mongolia (2559 sampling sites and 168 pollen taxa in total). Results indicate that the spatial extent of the calibration-set has a strong impact on model performance, analogue quality and reconstruction diagnostics (absolute value, range, trend, optimum). Generally, these effects are stronger with the modern analogue technique (MAT) than with weighted averaging partial least squares (WA-PLS). With respect to fossil spectra from northern China, the spatial extent of calibration-sets should be restricted to radii between ca. 1000 and 1500 km because small-scale calibration-sets (<800 km radius) will likely fail to include enough spatial variation in the modern pollen assemblages to reflect the temporal range shifts during the Holocene, while too broad a scale calibration-set (>1500 km radius) will include taxa with very different pollen-climate relationships. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Herzschuh, Ulrike ; Cao, Xianyong ; Laepple, Thomas ; Dallmeyer, Anne ; Telford, Richard J. ; Ni, Jian ; Chen, Fahu ; Kong, Zhaochen ; Liu, Guangxiu ; Liu, Kam-Biu ; Liu, Xingqi ; Stebich, Martina ; Tang, Lingyu ; Tian, Fang ; Wang, Yongbo ; Wischnewski, Juliane ; Xu, Qinghai ; Yan, Shun ; Yang, Zhenjing ; Yu, Ge ; Zhang, Yun ; Zhao, Yan ; Zheng, Zhuo
Proxy-based reconstructions and modeling of Holocene spatiotemporal precipitation patterns for China and Mongolia have hitherto yielded contradictory results indicating that the basic mechanisms behind the East Asian Summer Monsoon and its interaction with the westerly jet stream remain poorly understood. We present quantitative reconstructions of Holocene precipitation derived from 101 fossil pollen records and analyse them with the help of a minimal empirical model. We show that the westerly jet-stream axis shifted gradually southward and became less tilted since the middle Holocene. This was tracked by the summer monsoon rain band resulting in an early-Holocene precipitation maximum over most of western China, a mid-Holocene maximum in north-central and northeastern China, and a late-Holocene maximum in southeastern China. Our results suggest that a correct simulation of the orientation and position of the westerly jet stream is crucial to the reliable prediction of precipitation patterns in China and Mongolia.
Lai, Huagui ; Luo, Jincheng ; Zwirner, Yannick ; Olthof, Selina ; Wieczorek, Alexander ; Ye, Fangyuan ; Jeangros, Quentin ; Yin, Xinxing ; Akhundova, Fatima ; Ma, Tianshu ; He, Rui ; Kothandaraman, Radha K. ; Chin, Xinyu ; Gilshtein, Evgeniia ; Muller, Andre ; Wang, Changlei ; Thiesbrummel, Jarla ; Siol, Sebastian ; Prieto, Jose Marquez ; Unold, Thomas ; Stolterfoht, Martin ; Chen, Cong ; Tiwari, Ayodhya N. ; Zhao, Dewei ; Fu, Fan
Among various types of perovskite-based tandem solar cells (TSCs), all-perovskite TSCs are of particular attractiveness for building- and vehicle-integrated photovoltaics, or space energy areas as they can be fabricated on flexible and lightweight substrates with a very high power-to-weight ratio. However, the efficiency of flexible all-perovskite tandems is lagging far behind their rigid counterparts primarily due to the challenges in developing efficient wide-bandgap (WBG) perovskite solar cells on the flexible substrates as well as their low open-circuit voltage (V-OC). Here, it is reported that the use of self-assembled monolayers as hole-selective contact effectively suppresses the interfacial recombination and allows the subsequent uniform growth of a 1.77 eV WBG perovskite with superior optoelectronic quality. In addition, a postdeposition treatment with 2-thiopheneethylammonium chloride is employed to further suppress the bulk and interfacial recombination, boosting the V-OC of the WBG top cell to 1.29 V. Based on this, the first proof-of-concept four-terminal all-perovskite flexible TSC with a power conversion efficiency of 22.6% is presented. When integrating into two-terminal flexible tandems, 23.8% flexible all-perovskite TSCs with a superior V-OC of 2.1 V is achieved, which is on par with the V-OC reported on the 28% all-perovskite tandems grown on the rigid substrate.
Chan, Lili ; Chaudhary, Kumardeep ; Saha, Aparna ; Chauhan, Kinsuk ; Vaid, Akhil ; Zhao, Shan ; Paranjpe, Ishan ; Somani, Sulaiman ; Richter, Felix ; Miotto, Riccardo ; Lala, Anuradha ; Kia, Arash ; Timsina, Prem ; Li, Li ; Freeman, Robert ; Chen, Rong ; Narula, Jagat ; Just, Allan C. ; Horowitz, Carol ; Fayad, Zahi ; Cordon-Cardo, Carlos ; Schadt, Eric ; Levin, Matthew A. ; Reich, David L. ; Fuster, Valentin ; Murphy, Barbara ; He, John C. ; Charney, Alexander W. ; Böttinger, Erwin ; Glicksberg, Benjamin ; Coca, Steven G. ; Nadkarni, Girish N.
Background:
Early reports indicate that AKI is common among patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and associatedwith worse outcomes. However, AKI among hospitalized patients with COVID19 in the United States is not well described.
Methods:
This retrospective, observational study involved a review of data from electronic health records of patients aged >= 18 years with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 admitted to the Mount Sinai Health System from February 27 to May 30, 2020. We describe the frequency of AKI and dialysis requirement, AKI recovery, and adjusted odds ratios (aORs) with mortality.
Results:
Of 3993 hospitalized patients with COVID-19, AKI occurred in 1835 (46%) patients; 347 (19%) of the patientswith AKI required dialysis. The proportionswith stages 1, 2, or 3 AKIwere 39%, 19%, and 42%, respectively. A total of 976 (24%) patients were admitted to intensive care, and 745 (76%) experienced AKI. Of the 435 patients with AKI and urine studies, 84% had proteinuria, 81% had hematuria, and 60% had leukocyturia. Independent predictors of severe AKI were CKD, men, and higher serum potassium at admission. In-hospital mortality was 50% among patients with AKI versus 8% among those without AKI (aOR, 9.2; 95% confidence interval, 7.5 to 11.3). Of survivors with AKI who were discharged, 35% had not recovered to baseline kidney function by the time of discharge. An additional 28 of 77 (36%) patients who had not recovered kidney function at discharge did so on posthospital follow-up.
Conclusions:
AKI is common among patients hospitalized with COVID-19 and is associated with high mortality. Of all patients with AKI, only 30% survived with recovery of kidney function by the time of discharge.
Introducing the CTA concept
(2013)
Acharya, B. S. ; Actis, M. ; Aghajani, T. ; Agnetta, G. ; Aguilar, J. ; Aharonian, Felix A. ; Ajello, M. ; Akhperjanian, A. G. ; Alcubierre, M. ; Aleksic, J. ; Alfaro, R. ; Aliu, E. ; Allafort, A. J. ; Allan, D. ; Allekotte, I. ; Amato, E. ; Anderson, J. ; Angüner, Ekrem Oǧuzhan ; Antonelli, L. A. ; Antoranz, P. ; Aravantinos, A. ; Arlen, T. ; Armstrong, T. ; Arnaldi, H. ; Arrabito, L. ; Asano, K. ; Ashton, T. ; Asorey, H. G. ; Awane, Y. ; Baba, H. ; Babic, A. ; Baby, N. ; Baehr, J. ; Bais, A. ; Baixeras, C. ; Bajtlik, S. ; Balbo, M. ; Balis, D. ; Balkowski, C. ; Bamba, A. ; Bandiera, R. ; Barber, A. ; Barbier, C. ; Barcelo, M. ; Barnacka, Anna ; Barnstedt, Jürgen ; Barres de Almeida, U. ; Barrio, J. A. ; Basili, A. ; Basso, S. ; Bastieri, D. ; Bauer, C. ; Baushev, Anton N. ; Becerra Gonzalez, J. ; Becherini, Yvonne ; Bechtol, K. C. ; Tjus, J. 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The Cherenkov Telescope Array (CTA) is a new observatory for very high-energy (VHE) gamma rays. CTA has ambitions science goals, for which it is necessary to achieve full-sky coverage, to improve the sensitivity by about an order of magnitude, to span about four decades of energy, from a few tens of GeV to above 100 TeV with enhanced angular and energy resolutions over existing VHE gamma-ray observatories. An international collaboration has formed with more than 1000 members from 27 countries in Europe, Asia, Africa and North and South America. In 2010 the CTA Consortium completed a Design Study and started a three-year Preparatory Phase which leads to production readiness of CTA in 2014. In this paper we introduce the science goals and the concept of CTA, and provide an overview of the project.
ISMIP6 Antarctica
(2020)
Seroussi, Helene ; Nowicki, Sophie ; Payne, Antony J. ; Goelzer, Heiko ; Lipscomb, William H. ; Abe-Ouchi, Ayako ; Agosta, Cecile ; Albrecht, Torsten ; Asay-Davis, Xylar ; Barthel, Alice ; Calov, Reinhard ; Cullather, Richard ; Dumas, Christophe ; Galton-Fenzi, Benjamin K. ; Gladstone, Rupert ; Golledge, Nicholas R. ; Gregory, Jonathan M. ; Greve, Ralf ; Hattermann, Tore ; Hoffman, Matthew J. ; Humbert, Angelika ; Huybrechts, Philippe ; Jourdain, Nicolas C. ; Kleiner, Thomas ; Larour, Eric ; Leguy, Gunter R. ; Lowry, Daniel P. ; Little, Chistopher M. ; Morlighem, Mathieu ; Pattyn, Frank ; Pelle, Tyler ; Price, Stephen F. ; Quiquet, Aurelien ; Reese, Ronja ; Schlegel, Nicole-Jeanne ; Shepherd, Andrew ; Simon, Erika ; Smith, Robin S. ; Straneo, Fiammetta ; Sun, Sainan ; Trusel, Luke D. ; Van Breedam, Jonas ; van de Wal, Roderik S. W. ; Winkelmann, Ricarda ; Zhao, Chen ; Zhang, Tong ; Zwinger, Thomas
Ice flow models of the Antarctic ice sheet are commonly used to simulate its future evolution in response to different climate scenarios and assess the mass loss that would contribute to future sea level rise. However, there is currently no consensus on estimates of the future mass balance of the ice sheet, primarily because of differences in the representation of physical processes, forcings employed and initial states of ice sheet models. This study presents results from ice flow model simulations from 13 international groups focusing on the evolution of the Antarctic ice sheet during the period 2015-2100 as part of the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison for CMIP6 (ISMIP6). They are forced with outputs from a subset of models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), representative of the spread in climate model results. Simulations of the Antarctic ice sheet contribution to sea level rise in response to increased warming during this period varies between 7:8 and 30.0 cm of sea level equivalent (SLE) under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5 scenario forcing. These numbers are relative to a control experiment with constant climate conditions and should therefore be added to the mass loss contribution under climate conditions similar to present-day conditions over the same period. The simulated evolution of the West Antarctic ice sheet varies widely among models, with an overall mass loss, up to 18.0 cm SLE, in response to changes in oceanic conditions. East Antarctica mass change varies between 6 :1 and 8.3 cm SLE in the simulations, with a significant increase in surface mass balance outweighing the increased ice discharge under most RCP 8.5 scenario forcings. The inclusion of ice shelf collapse, here assumed to be caused by large amounts of liquid water ponding at the surface of ice shelves, yields an additional simulated mass loss of 28mm compared to simulations without ice shelf collapse. The largest sources of uncertainty come from the climate forcing, the ocean-induced melt rates, the calibration of these melt rates based on oceanic conditions taken outside of ice shelf cavities and the ice sheet dynamic response to these oceanic changes. Results under RCP 2.6 scenario based on two CMIP5 climate models show an additional mass loss of 0 and 3 cm of SLE on average compared to simulations done under present-day conditions for the two CMIP5 forcings used and display limited mass gain in East Antarctica.
Brodeur, Abel ; Mikola, Derek ; Cook, Nikolai ; Brailey, Thomas ; Briggs, Ryan ; Gendre, Alexandra de ; Dupraz, Yannick ; Fiala, Lenka ; Gabani, Jacopo ; Gauriot, Romain ; Haddad, Joanne ; Lima, Goncalo ; Ankel-Peters, Jörg ; Dreber, Anna ; Campbell, Douglas ; Kattan, Lamis ; Fages, Diego Marino ; Mierisch, Fabian ; Sun, Pu ; Wright, Taylor ; Connolly, Marie ; Hoces de la Guardia, Fernando ; Johannesson, Magnus ; Miguel, Edward ; Vilhuber, Lars ; Abarca, Alejandro ; Acharya, Mahesh ; Adjisse, Sossou Simplice ; Akhtar, Ahwaz ; Lizardi, Eduardo Alberto Ramirez ; Albrecht, Sabina ; Andersen, Synve Nygaard ; Andlib, Zubaria ; Arrora, Falak ; Ash, Thomas ; Bacher, Etienne ; Bachler, Sebastian ; Bacon, Félix ; Bagues, Manuel ; Balogh, Timea ; Batmanov, Alisher ; Barschkett, Mara ; Basdil, B. Kaan ; Dower, Jaromneda ; Castek, Ondrej ; Caviglia-Harris, Jill ; Strand, Gabriella Chauca ; Chen, Shi ; Chzhen, Asya ; Chung, Jong ; Collins, Jason ; Coppock, Alexander ; Cordeau, Hugo ; Couillard, Ben ; Crechet, Jonathan ; Crippa, Lorenzo ; Cui, Jeanne ; Czymara, Christian ; Daarstad, Haley ; Dao, Danh Chi ; Dao, Dong ; Schmandt, Marco David ; Linde, Astrid de ; Melo, Lucas De ; Deer, Lachlan ; Vera, Micole De ; Dimitrova, Velichka ; Dollbaum, Jan Fabian ; Dollbaum, Jan Matti ; Donnelly, Michael ; Huynh, Luu Duc Toan ; Dumbalska, Tsvetomira ; Duncan, Jamie ; Duong, Kiet Tuan ; Duprey, Thibaut ; Dworschak, Christoph ; Ellingsrud, Sigmund ; Elminejad, Ali ; Eissa, Yasmine ; Erhart, Andrea ; Etingin-Frati, Giulian ; Fatemi-Pour, Elaheh ; Federice, Alexa ; Feld, Jan ; Fenig, Guidon ; Firouzjaeiangalougah, Mojtaba ; Fleisje, Erlend ; Fortier-Chouinard, Alexandre ; Engel, Julia Francesca ; Fries, Tilman ; Fortier, Reid ; Fréchet, Nadjim ; Galipeau, Thomas ; Gallegos, Sebastián ; Gangji, Areez ; Gao, Xiaoying ; Garnache, Cloé ; Gáspár, Attila ; Gavrilova, Evelina ; Ghosh, Arijit ; Gibney, Garreth ; Gibson, Grant ; Godager, Geir ; Goff, Leonard ; Gong, Da ; González, Javier ; Gretton, Jeremy ; Griffa, Cristina ; Grigoryeva, Idaliya ; Grtting, Maja ; Guntermann, Eric ; Guo, Jiaqi ; Gugushvili, Alexi ; Habibnia, Hooman ; Häffner, Sonja ; Hall, Jonathan D. ; Hammar, Olle ; Kordt, Amund Hanson ; Hashimoto, Barry ; Hartley, Jonathan S. ; Hausladen, Carina I. ; Havránek, Tomáš ; Hazen, Jacob ; He, Harry ; Hepplewhite, Matthew ; Herrera-Rodriguez, Mario ; Heuer, Felix ; Heyes, Anthony ; Ho, Anson T. Y. ; Holmes, Jonathan ; Holzknecht, Armando ; Hsu, Yu-Hsiang Dexter ; Hu, Shiang-Hung ; Huang, Yu-Shiuan ; Huebener, Mathias ; Huber, Christoph ; Huynh, Kim P. ; Irsova, Zuzana ; Isler, Ozan ; Jakobsson, Niklas ; Frith, Michael James ; Jananji, Raphaël ; Jayalath, Tharaka A. ; Jetter, Michael ; John, Jenny ; Forshaw, Rachel Joy ; Juan, Felipe ; Kadriu, Valon ; Karim, Sunny ; Kelly, Edmund ; Dang, Duy Khanh Hoang ; Khushboo, Tazia ; Kim, Jin ; Kjellsson, Gustav ; Kjelsrud, Anders ; Kotsadam, Andreas ; Korpershoek, Jori ; Krashinsky, Lewis ; Kundu, Suranjana ; Kustov, Alexander ; Lalayev, Nurlan ; Langlois, Audrée ; Laufer, Jill ; Lee-Whiting, Blake ; Leibing, Andreas ; Lenz, Gabriel ; Levin, Joel ; Li, Peng ; Li, Tongzhe ; Lin, Yuchen ; Listo, Ariel ; Liu, Dan ; Lu, Xuewen ; Lukmanova, Elvina ; Luscombe, Alex ; Lusher, Lester R. ; Lyu, Ke ; Ma, Hai ; Mäder, Nicolas ; Makate, Clifton ; Malmberg, Alice ; Maitra, Adit ; Mandas, Marco ; Marcus, Jan ; Margaryan, Shushanik ; Márk, Lili ; Martignano, Andres ; Marsh, Abigail ; Masetto, Isabella ; McCanny, Anthony ; McManus, Emma ; McWay, Ryan ; Metson, Lennard ; Kinge, Jonas Minet ; Mishra, Sumit ; Mohnen, Myra ; Möller, Jakob ; Montambeault, Rosalie ; Montpetit, Sébastien ; Morin, Louis-Philippe ; Morris, Todd ; Moser, Scott ; Motoki, Fabio ; Muehlenbachs, Lucija ; Musulan, Andreea ; Musumeci, Marco ; Nabin, Munirul ; Nchare, Karim ; Neubauer, Florian ; Nguyen, Quan M. P. ; Nguyen, Tuan ; Nguyen-Tien, Viet ; Niazi, Ali ; Nikolaishvili, Giorgi ; Nordstrom, Ardyn ; Nü, Patrick ; Odermatt, Angela ; Olson, Matt ; ien, Henning ; Ölkers, Tim ; Vert, Miquel Oliver i. ; Oral, Emre ; Oswald, Christian ; Ousman, Ali ; Özak, Ömer ; Pandey, Shubham ; Pavlov, Alexandre ; Pelli, Martino ; Penheiro, Romeo ; Park, RyuGyung ; Martel, Eva Pérez ; Petrovičová, Tereza ; Phan, Linh ; Prettyman, Alexa ; Procházka, Jakub ; Putri, Aqila ; Quandt, Julian ; Qiu, Kangyu ; Nguyen, Loan Quynh Thi ; Rahman, Andaleeb ; Rea, Carson H. ; Reiremo, Adam ; Renée, Laëtitia ; Richardson, Joseph ; Rivers, Nicholas ; Rodrigues, Bruno ; Roelofs, William ; Roemer, Tobias ; Rogeberg, Ole ; Rose, Julian ; Roskos-Ewoldsen, Andrew ; Rosmer, Paul ; Sabada, Barbara ; Saberian, Soodeh ; Salamanca, Nicolas ; Sator, Georg ; Sawyer, Antoine ; Scates, Daniel ; Schlüter, Elmar ; Sells, Cameron ; Sen, Sharmi ; Sethi, Ritika ; Shcherbiak, Anna ; Sogaolu, Moyosore ; Soosalu, Matt ; Srensen, Erik ; Sovani, Manali ; Spencer, Noah ; Staubli, Stefan ; Stans, Renske ; Stewart, Anya ; Stips, Felix ; Stockley, Kieran ; Strobel, Stephenson ; Struby, Ethan ; Tang, John ; Tanrisever, Idil ; Yang, Thomas Tao ; Tastan, Ipek ; Tatić, Dejan ; Tatlow, Benjamin ; Seuyong, Féraud Tchuisseu ; Thériault, Rémi ; Thivierge, Vincent ; Tian, Wenjie ; Toma, Filip-Mihai ; Totarelli, Maddalena ; Tran, Van-Anh ; Truong, Hung ; Tsoy, Nikita ; Tuzcuoglu, Kerem ; Ubfal, Diego ; Villalobos, Laura ; Walterskirchen, Julian ; Wang, Joseph Taoyi ; Wattal, Vasudha ; Webb, Matthew D. ; Weber, Bryan ; Weisser, Reinhard ; Weng, Wei-Chien ; Westheide, Christian ; White, Kimberly ; Winter, Jacob ; Wochner, Timo ; Woerman, Matt ; Wong, Jared ; Woodard, Ritchie ; Wroński, Marcin ; Yazbeck, Myra ; Yang, Gustav Chung ; Yap, Luther ; Yassin, Kareman ; Ye, Hao ; Yoon, Jin Young ; Yurris, Chris ; Zahra, Tahreen ; Zaneva, Mirela ; Zayat, Aline ; Zhang, Jonathan ; Zhao, Ziwei ; Yaolang, Zhong
This study pushes our understanding of research reliability by reproducing and replicating claims from 110 papers in leading economic and political science journals. The analysis involves computational reproducibility checks and robustness assessments. It reveals several patterns. First, we uncover a high rate of fully computationally reproducible results (over 85%). Second, excluding minor issues like missing packages or broken pathways, we uncover coding errors for about 25% of studies, with some studies containing multiple errors. Third, we test the robustness of the results to 5,511 re-analyses. We find a robustness reproducibility of about 70%. Robustness reproducibility rates are relatively higher for re-analyses that introduce new data and lower for re-analyses that change the sample or the definition of the dependent variable. Fourth, 52% of re-analysis effect size estimates are smaller than the original published estimates and the average statistical significance of a re-analysis is 77% of the original. Lastly, we rely on six teams of researchers working independently to answer eight additional research questions on the determinants of robustness reproducibility. Most teams find a negative relationship between replicators' experience and reproducibility, while finding no relationship between reproducibility and the provision of intermediate or even raw data combined with the necessary cleaning codes.
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