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Unit nonresponse biases in estimates of SARS-CoV-2 prevalence

  • Since COVID-19 became a pandemic, many studies are being conducted to get a better understanding of the disease itself and its spread. One crucial indicator is the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infections. Since this measure is an important foundation for political decisions, its estimate must be reliable and unbiased. This paper presents reasons for biases in prevalence estimates due to unit nonresponse in typical studies. Since it is difficult to avoid bias in situations with mostly unknown nonresponse mechanisms, we propose the maximum amount of bias as one measure to assess the uncertainty due to nonresponse. An interactive web application is presented that calculates the limits of such a conservative unit nonresponse confidence interval (CUNCI).

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Metadaten
Author details:Julia C. Post, Fabian ClassORCiDGND, Ulrich KohlerORCiDGND
DOI:https://doi.org/10.18148/srm/2020.v14i2.7755
ISSN:1864-3361
Title of parent work (English):Survey research methods
Publisher:European Survey Research Association
Place of publishing:Duisburg
Publication type:Article
Language:English
Date of first publication:2020/06/02
Publication year:2020
Release date:2023/01/09
Tag:COVID-19; conservative confidence limits; nonresponse bias; prevalence; probability samples; unit nonresponse
Volume:14
Issue:2
Number of pages:7
First page:115
Last Page:121
Organizational units:Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliche Fakultät / Sozialwissenschaften / Fachgruppe Soziologie
DDC classification:3 Sozialwissenschaften / 30 Sozialwissenschaften, Soziologie / 300 Sozialwissenschaften
Peer review:Referiert
Publishing method:Open Access / Gold Open-Access
License (German):License LogoCC-BY-NC - Namensnennung, nicht kommerziell 4.0 International
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