Integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment
- The behaviour of individuals, businesses, and government entities before, during, and immediately after a disaster can dramatically affect the impact and recovery time. However, existing risk-assessment methods rarely include this critical factor. In this Perspective, we show why this is a concern, and demonstrate that although initial efforts have inevitably represented human behaviour in limited terms, innovations in flood-risk assessment that integrate societal behaviour and behavioural adaptation dynamics into such quantifications may lead to more accurate characterization of risks and improved assessment of the effectiveness of risk-management strategies and investments. Such multidisciplinary approaches can inform flood-risk management policy development.
| Author details: | J. C. J. H. Aerts, W. J. Wouter BotzenORCiDGND, K. C. Clarke, S. L. Cutter, J. W. Hall, Bruno MerzORCiDGND, E. Michel-Kerjan, J. Mysiak, Swenja SurminskiORCiDGND, H. Kunreuther |
|---|---|
| DOI: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0085-1 |
| ISSN: | 1758-678X |
| ISSN: | 1758-6798 |
| Title of parent work (English): | Nature climate change |
| Publisher: | Nature Publ. Group |
| Place of publishing: | London |
| Publication type: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Date of first publication: | 2018/02/27 |
| Publication year: | 2018 |
| Release date: | 2022/01/17 |
| Volume: | 8 |
| Issue: | 3 |
| Number of pages: | 7 |
| First page: | 193 |
| Last Page: | 199 |
| Funding institution: | NWO Vici grantNetherlands Organization for Scientific Research (NWO) [453-13-006]; NWO Vidi grantNetherlands Organization for Scientific Research (NWO) [452.14.005]; EUEuropean Union (EU) [730482]; UK Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) through Centre for Climate Change Economics and Policy |
| Organizational units: | Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Fakultät / Institut für Geowissenschaften |
| DDC classification: | 5 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik / 55 Geowissenschaften, Geologie / 550 Geowissenschaften |
