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Evidence for wave resonance as a key mechanism for generating high-amplitude quasi-stationary waves in boreal summer

  • Several recent northern hemisphere summer extremes have been linked to persistent high-amplitude wave patterns (e.g. heat waves in Europe 2003, Russia 2010 and in the US 2011, Floods in Pakistan 2010 and Europe 2013). Recently quasi-resonant amplification (QRA) was proposed as a mechanism that, when certain dynamical conditions are fulfilled, can lead to such high-amplitude wave events. Based on these resonance conditions a detection scheme to scan reanalysis data for QRA events in boreal summer months was implemented. With this objective detection scheme we analyzed the occurrence and duration of QRA events and the associated atmospheric flow patterns in 1979-2015 reanalysis data. We detect a total number of 178 events for wave 6, 7 and 8 and find that during roughly one-third of all high amplitude events QRA conditions were met for respective waves. Our analysis reveals a significant shift for quasi-stationary waves 6 and 7 towards high amplitudes during QRA events, lagging first QRA-detection by typically one week. The resultsSeveral recent northern hemisphere summer extremes have been linked to persistent high-amplitude wave patterns (e.g. heat waves in Europe 2003, Russia 2010 and in the US 2011, Floods in Pakistan 2010 and Europe 2013). Recently quasi-resonant amplification (QRA) was proposed as a mechanism that, when certain dynamical conditions are fulfilled, can lead to such high-amplitude wave events. Based on these resonance conditions a detection scheme to scan reanalysis data for QRA events in boreal summer months was implemented. With this objective detection scheme we analyzed the occurrence and duration of QRA events and the associated atmospheric flow patterns in 1979-2015 reanalysis data. We detect a total number of 178 events for wave 6, 7 and 8 and find that during roughly one-third of all high amplitude events QRA conditions were met for respective waves. Our analysis reveals a significant shift for quasi-stationary waves 6 and 7 towards high amplitudes during QRA events, lagging first QRA-detection by typically one week. The results provide further evidence for the validity of the QRA hypothesis and its important role in generating high amplitude waves in boreal summer.zeige mehrzeige weniger

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Metadaten
Verfasserangaben:Kai KornhuberORCiDGND, Vladimir PetoukhovGND, Stefan PetriORCiD, Stefan RahmstorfORCiDGND, Dim CoumouORCiDGND
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-016-3399-6
ISSN:0930-7575
ISSN:1432-0894
Titel des übergeordneten Werks (Englisch):Climate dynamics : observational, theoretical and computational research on the climate system
Verlag:Springer
Verlagsort:New York
Publikationstyp:Wissenschaftlicher Artikel
Sprache:Englisch
Datum der Erstveröffentlichung:05.11.2016
Erscheinungsjahr:2016
Datum der Freischaltung:08.04.2022
Freies Schlagwort / Tag:Atmospheric dynamics; Extreme weather; Rossby waves; Wave resonance
Band:49
Seitenanzahl:19
Erste Seite:1961
Letzte Seite:1979
Fördernde Institution:German Federal Ministry of Education and Research [01LN1304A]; European Regional Development Fund (ERDF); German Federal Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF); Land Brandenburg
Organisationseinheiten:Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Fakultät / Institut für Umweltwissenschaften und Geographie
DDC-Klassifikation:5 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik / 55 Geowissenschaften, Geologie / 550 Geowissenschaften
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