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How to Tailor my process-based hydrological model?

  • In the field of hydrological modeling, many alternative representations of natural processes exist. Choosing specific process formulations when building a hydrological model is therefore associated with a high degree of ambiguity and subjectivity. In addition, the numerical integration of the underlying differential equations and parametrization of model structures influence model performance. Identifiability analysis may provide guidance by constraining the a priori range of alternatives based on observations. In this work, a flexible simulation environment is used to build an ensemble of semidistributed, process-based hydrological model configurations with alternative process representations, numerical integration schemes, and model parametrizations in an integrated manner. The flexible simulation environment is coupled with an approach for dynamic identifiability analysis. The objective is to investigate the applicability of the framework to identify the most adequate model. While an optimal model configuration could not be clearlyIn the field of hydrological modeling, many alternative representations of natural processes exist. Choosing specific process formulations when building a hydrological model is therefore associated with a high degree of ambiguity and subjectivity. In addition, the numerical integration of the underlying differential equations and parametrization of model structures influence model performance. Identifiability analysis may provide guidance by constraining the a priori range of alternatives based on observations. In this work, a flexible simulation environment is used to build an ensemble of semidistributed, process-based hydrological model configurations with alternative process representations, numerical integration schemes, and model parametrizations in an integrated manner. The flexible simulation environment is coupled with an approach for dynamic identifiability analysis. The objective is to investigate the applicability of the framework to identify the most adequate model. While an optimal model configuration could not be clearly distinguished, interesting results were obtained when relating model identifiability with hydro-meteorological boundary conditions. For instance, we tested the Penman-Monteith and Shuttleworth & Wallace evapotranspiration models and found that the former performs better under wet and the latter under dry conditions. Parametrization of model structures plays a dominant role as it can compensate for inadequate process representations and poor numerical solvers. Therefore, it was found that numerical solvers of high order of accuracy do often, though not necessarily, lead to better model performance. The proposed coupled framework proved to be a straightforward diagnostic tool for model building and hypotheses testing and shows potential for more in-depth analysis of process implementations and catchment functioning.zeige mehrzeige weniger

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Metadaten
Verfasserangaben:Tobias PilzORCiDGND, Till FranckeORCiDGND, Gabriele BaroniORCiDGND, Axel BronstertORCiDGND
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1029/2020WR028042
ISSN:0043-1397
ISSN:1944-7973
Titel des übergeordneten Werks (Englisch):Water resources research
Untertitel (Englisch):dynamic identifiability analysis of flexible model structures
Verlag:American Geophysical Union
Verlagsort:Washington
Publikationstyp:Wissenschaftlicher Artikel
Sprache:Englisch
Datum der Erstveröffentlichung:24.08.2020
Erscheinungsjahr:2020
Datum der Freischaltung:09.11.2022
Freies Schlagwort / Tag:ECHSE; WASA-SED; flexible model; identifiability analysis; model structure; numerics
Band:56
Ausgabe:8
Aufsatznummer:e2020WR028042
Seitenanzahl:24
Fördernde Institution:Helmholtz graduate school GeoSim; University of Potsdam
Organisationseinheiten:Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Fakultät / Institut für Geowissenschaften
DDC-Klassifikation:5 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik / 55 Geowissenschaften, Geologie / 550 Geowissenschaften
Lizenz (Deutsch):License LogoCC-BY - Namensnennung 4.0 International
Externe Anmerkung:Bibliographieeintrag der Originalveröffentlichung/Quelle
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