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Growing out of the crisis
(2013)
Greece’s currently planned institutional reforms will help to get the country going with limited economic growth. With an economy based primarily on tourism, trade, and agriculture, Greece lacks an established competitive industry and an innovation-friendly environment, resulting in a low export ratio given the small size of the country and its long-time EU-membership. Instead, Greece exports only its nation's talent, with low returns. To become prosperous, the country must better capitalize on its Eurozone membership and add innovative sectors to its economic structure. Given Greece's hidden assets, such as the attractiveness of the country, a small number of strong research centers and an impressive diaspora in research, finance and business, we envision a Greek “Silicon Valley” and propose a ten point policy plan to achieve that goal.
This article expands our current knowledge about ministerial selection in coalition governments and analyses why ministerial candidates succeed in acquiring a cabinet position after general elections. It argues that political parties bargain over potential office-holders during government-formation processes, selecting future cabinet ministers from an emerging bargaining pool'. The article draws upon a new dataset comprising all ministrable candidates discussed by political parties during eight government-formation processes in Germany between 1983 and 2009. The conditional logit regression analysis reveals that temporal dynamics, such as the day she enters the pool, have a significant effect on her success in achieving a cabinet position. Other determinants of ministerial selection discussed in the existing literature, such as party and parliamentary expertise, are less relevant for achieving ministerial office. The article concludes that scholarship on ministerial selection requires a stronger emphasis for its endogenous nature in government-formation as well as the relevance of temporal dynamics in such processes.
Die Frage nach einer veränderten Strategie des Westens im Atomkonflikt mit dem Iran ist wieder virulent. Bereits auf seiner ersten Pressekonferenz hat der als gemäßigt geltende neue iranische Präsident Hassan Ruhani mehr Transparenz über das Atomprogramm seines Landes in Aussicht gestellt. Ob sich damit ein Fenster der Möglichkeiten öffnet, den Konflikt doch noch einvernehmlich und vor allem friedlich zu lösen, muss sich erweisen.
Die westliche Diplomatie wurde mit der Absetzung des gewählten Präsidenten Mohammed Mursi, der Verhaftung der Führungsriege der Muslimbruderschaft und der Aussetzung der Verfassung durch die ägyptische Militärführung vor vollendete Tatsachen gestellt. Damit sind die Bemühungen Deutschlands, der EU und der USA um eine politische Lösung, die alle Kräfte einbezieht, vorerst gescheitert. Gab es anfangs die Hoffnung, dass der Militärputsch in Kairo Auftakt für einen demokratischen Neustart sein könnte,so ist mittlerweile deutlich geworden, dass Ägypten in autoritäre Herrschaftsmechanismen der Mubarak-Ära zurückfällt.
Brasilien ist sowohl politisch als auch wirtschaftlich ein aufstrebendes Land. Seit Jahren regiert in Brasília eine linke Regierung.Trotz Fortschritten im sozialen Bereich gibt es zahlreiche Reformbaustellen. Die gesellschaftliche Spaltung ist tief. Darüber kann auch die anstehende Fußball-WM nicht hinwegtäuschen. Im Gegenteil! Die Brasilianer machten sich unerwartet Luft. Welche Konsequenzen wird Präsidentin Rousseff daraus ziehen und was bedeutet dies für die anderen Linksregierungen in Südamerika?
Regionalmacht Südafrika
(2013)
Der „schwarze Kontinent“ emanzipiert sich vom Westen, auch außenpolitisch. Afrikanische Lösungen für afrikanische Probleme – dies wird gefordert. Dabei spielt Südafrika, das jüngste Mitglied der aufstrebenden BRICS-Gruppe, eine Hauptrolle. Trotz schwacher Wirtschaft und geringer militärischer Kapazitäten zeigt das Land Selbstbewusstsein sowohl in der konfliktreichen Region als auch auf der globalen Bühne. Im neuen Heft prüfen südafrikanische Stimmen die neue Außenpolitik des „Koloss am Kap“ auf Anspruch und Wirklichkeit.
Information flows in EU policy-making are heavily dependent on personal networks, both within the Brussels sphere but also reaching outside the narrow limits of the Belgian capital. These networks develop for example in the course of formal and informal meetings or at the sidelines of such meetings. A plethora of committees at European, transnational and regional level provides the basis for the establishment of pan-European networks. By studying affiliation to those committees, basic network structures can be uncovered. These affiliation network structures can then be used to predict EU information flows, assuming that certain positions within the network are advantageous for tapping into streams of information while others are too remote and peripheral to provide access to information early enough. This study has tested those assumptions for the case of the reform of the Common Fisheries Policy for the time after 2012. Through the analysis of an affiliation network based on participation in 10 different fisheries policy committees over two years (2009 and 2010), network data for an EU-wide network of about 1300 fisheries interest group representatives and more than 200 events was collected. The structure of this network showed a number of interesting patterns, such as – not surprisingly – a rather central role of Brussels-based committees but also close relations of very specific interests to the Brussels-cluster and stronger relations between geographically closer maritime regions. The analysis of information flows then focused on access to draft EU Commission documents containing the upcoming proposal for a new basic regulation of the Common Fisheries Policy. It was first documented that it would have been impossible to officially obtain this document and that personal networks were thus the most likely sources for fisheries policy actors to obtain access to these “leaks” in early 2011. A survey of a sample of 65 actors from the initial network supported these findings: Only a very small group had accessed the draft directly from the Commission. Most respondents who obtained access to the draft had received it from other actors, highlighting the networked flow of informal information in EU politics. Furthermore, the testing of the hypotheses connecting network positions and the level of informedness indicated that presence in or connections to the Brussels sphere had both advantages for overall access to the draft document and with regard to timing. Methodologically, challenges of both the network analysis and the analysis of information flows but also their relevance for the study of EU politics have been documented. In summary, this study has laid the foundation for a different way to study EU policy-making by connecting topical and methodological elements – such as affiliation network analysis and EU committee governance – which so far have not been considered together, thereby contributing in various ways to political science and EU studies.