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Reproducibility is a defining feature of science, but the extent to which it characterizes current research is unknown. We conducted replications of 100 experimental and correlational studies published in three psychology journals using high-powered designs and original materials when available. Replication effects were half the magnitude of original effects, representing a substantial decline. Ninety-seven percent of original studies had statistically significant results. Thirty-six percent of replications had statistically significant results; 47% of original effect sizes were in the 95% confidence interval of the replication effect size; 39% of effects were subjectively rated to have replicated the original result; and if no bias in original results is assumed, combining original and replication results left 68% with statistically significant effects. Correlational tests suggest that replication success was better predicted by the strength of original evidence than by characteristics of the original and replication teams.
Time-Travel-Treasures
(2014)
Der historische Spielfilm zählt zu den populärsten Formen geschichtskultureller Artikulation. Als solche ist er Gegenstand kontroverser Diskussionen über einen angemessenen didaktischen Umgang. Vor diesem Hintergrund ist es das Ziel der vorliegenden Arbeit, ein integratives, theoretisch und empirisch abgesichertes Analysemodell zu entwickeln, das nach den Tiefenstrukturen historischen Erzählens im Medium des Spielfilms fragt und dabei unterschiedliche Erscheinungsformen historischer Spielfilme berücksichtigt. Die Überlegungen bewegen sich deshalb in einem interdisziplinären Spannungsfeld von Theorien zum historischen Erzählen und Konzepten der Literatur- und Filmwissenschaft. Die Diskussion und Synthese dieser unterschiedlichen Konzepte geht dabei – auf der Grundlage einer großen Materialbasis – vom Gegenstand aus und ist induktiv angelegt. Als Orientierung für die praktische Arbeit werden am Ende der einzelnen Kapitel Toolkits entwickelt, die zu einer vertieften Auseinandersetzung mit historischen Spielfilmen anregen sollen.
Giant planets helped to shape the conditions we see in the Solar System today and they account for more than 99% of the mass of the Sun's planetary system. They can be subdivided into the Ice Giants (Uranus and Neptune) and the Gas Giants (Jupiter and Saturn), which differ from each other in a number of fundamental ways. Uranus, in particular is the most challenging to our understanding of planetary formation and evolution, with its large obliquity, low self-luminosity, highly asymmetrical internal field, and puzzling internal structure. Uranus also has a rich planetary system consisting of a system of inner natural satellites and complex ring system, five major natural icy satellites, a system of irregular moons with varied dynamical histories, and a highly asymmetrical magnetosphere. Voyager 2 is the only spacecraft to have explored Uranus, with a flyby in 1986, and no mission is currently planned to this enigmatic system. However, a mission to the uranian system would open a new window on the origin and evolution of the Solar System and would provide crucial information on a wide variety of physicochemical processes in our Solar System. These have clear implications for understanding exoplanetary systems. In this paper we describe the science case for an orbital mission to Uranus with an atmospheric entry probe to sample the composition and atmospheric physics in Uranus' atmosphere. The characteristics of such an orbiter and a strawman scientific payload are described and we discuss the technical challenges for such a mission. This paper is based on a white paper submitted to the European Space Agency's call for science themes for its large-class mission programme in 2013.
