Refine
Has Fulltext
- no (64)
Year of publication
Document Type
- Article (64) (remove)
Language
- English (64)
Is part of the Bibliography
- yes (64)
Keywords
- individual-based model (8)
- Individual-based model (7)
- Climate change (3)
- Stage-based model (3)
- foraging (3)
- Biodiversity (2)
- Folsomia candida (2)
- Land use (2)
- Model complexity (2)
- Pattern-oriented modelling (2)
- Population dynamics (2)
- Population viability analysis (2)
- Risk assessment (2)
- agent-based model (2)
- biodiversity (2)
- coexistence (2)
- intraspecific trait variation (2)
- modeling (2)
- population dynamics (2)
- Agent-based model (1)
- Agent-based models (1)
- Animal migration (1)
- Apis mellifera (1)
- Avoidance (1)
- BEEHAVE (1)
- Biodiversity experiments (1)
- Biodiversity theory (1)
- Birds (1)
- Boloria eunomia (1)
- Brown trout (1)
- Community model (1)
- Computational modelling (1)
- Conservation management (1)
- Conservation policy (1)
- Copper (1)
- Daphnia (1)
- Daphnia magna (1)
- Decision support (1)
- Decision-making (1)
- Dynamic Energy Budget (1)
- Dynamic energy budget theory (1)
- Eco-evolution (1)
- Eco-genetic modelling (1)
- Ecological risk assessment (1)
- Ecological theory (1)
- Ecological-economic modelling (1)
- Ecosystem functions and services (1)
- Ecotoxicology (1)
- Effect model (1)
- Environmental change (1)
- Environmental gradients (1)
- European brown (1)
- European lobster (1)
- Female moratorium (1)
- Foraging (1)
- Forecasting (1)
- Functional traits (1)
- Functional types (1)
- Generic modelling (1)
- Glacial relict species (1)
- Global change (1)
- Good modelling practice (1)
- Habitat choice (1)
- Heterogeneity (1)
- High resolution (1)
- Home range (1)
- IBM (1)
- Individual based model (1)
- Individual-based modelling (1)
- Interdisciplinarity (1)
- L-systems (1)
- Landscape of fear (1)
- Lepus europaeus (1)
- Life cycle (1)
- Management (1)
- Marine ecology (1)
- Matrix model (1)
- Mechanistic effect models (1)
- Minimum landing size (1)
- Model analysis (1)
- Model comparison (1)
- Model development (1)
- Model structure (1)
- Monitoring programmes (1)
- Multidimensionality (1)
- NetLogo (1)
- Next-generation modelling (1)
- ODD (Overview, Design concepts, Details) protocol (1)
- PMoA (1)
- Pattern-oriented modeling (1)
- Persea americana (1)
- Pesticides (1)
- Physiological mode of action (1)
- Population (1)
- Population-based model (1)
- Predator-prey interactions (1)
- Review (1)
- Robustness (1)
- Sea ice (1)
- Sensitivity analysis (1)
- Shrub encroachment (1)
- Social-ecological systems (1)
- Soil ecology (1)
- Soil invertebrates (1)
- Southern Ocean (1)
- Spain (1)
- Stability properties (1)
- Standardization (1)
- Structured population model (1)
- Sub-lethal effects (1)
- TK/TD modelling (1)
- Temporal grain (1)
- Trait-based approach (1)
- Understanding (1)
- Varroa destructor (1)
- Yield per recruit (YPR) (1)
- Yodzis-Innes (1)
- activity (1)
- agent-based modelling (1)
- agent-based models (1)
- agriculture (1)
- animal behavior (1)
- animal movement (1)
- animal personality (1)
- apis mellifera (1)
- asymmetry (1)
- behavioral plasticity (1)
- bilinear interpolation (1)
- bioenergetics (1)
- carbon allocation (1)
- carrion resources (1)
- climate change (1)
- colony decline (1)
- colony viability (1)
- community assembly (1)
- community cytometry (1)
- community theory (1)
- competition (1)
- competitive ability (1)
- complexity (1)
- concepts (1)
- connectivity (1)
- corridors (1)
- coviability analysis (1)
- crop diversity (1)
- cropping system (1)
- cross-level interactions (1)
- decline (1)
- demographic noise (1)
- density dependence (1)
- dispersal success (1)
- disturbance intensity (1)
- disturbance type (1)
- dynamic energy budget (1)
- dynamic energy budget theory (1)
- ecological risk assessment (1)
- ecology (1)
- ecosystem services provisioning (1)
- ecosystems (1)
- ecotoxicology (1)
- environmental noise (1)
- error avoidance (1)
- extinction (1)
- feedbacks (1)
- fitness-maximization (1)
- food structuring (1)
- forage availability (1)
- forage gaps (1)
- functional-structural plant model (1)
- global change (1)
- group-living (1)
- habitat connectivity (1)
- habitat suitability models (1)
- hare (1)
- heterogeneity (1)
- honey bees (1)
- individual differences (1)
- individual-based (1)
- individual-based modeling (1)
- integrative modelling framework (1)
- invariability (1)
- land use (1)
- land-use change (1)
- landscape generator (1)
- large marsh grasshopper (1)
- life history (1)
- management (1)
- metabolic scaling theory (1)
- metacommunity assembly (1)
- microbial (1)
- microbial ecology (1)
- migration (1)
- mitigation measures (1)
- model (1)
- model analysis (1)
- model description (1)
- model development (1)
- model validation (1)
- model verification (1)
- modelling (1)
- modern coexistence theory (1)
- modest approach (1)
- movement (1)
- multi-agent simulation (1)
- multiple stressors (1)
- ontogenetic symmetry (1)
- pace-of-life syndrome (1)
- persistence (1)
- personality (1)
- physiological mode of action (1)
- plant architecture (1)
- plant population and community dynamics (1)
- plant-plant interaction (1)
- polar environment (1)
- population viability analysis (1)
- prediction (1)
- predictive systems ecology (1)
- pulsed resources (1)
- recovery (1)
- reproduction test (1)
- resilience (1)
- resistance (1)
- rodents (1)
- scientific communication (1)
- sea turtle (1)
- self-thinning (1)
- single-cell analytics (1)
- sociality (1)
- spatial pattern (1)
- spatially and temporally explicit modelling macroecology (1)
- spatially explicit model (1)
- stability (1)
- standardization (1)
- stress-gradient hypothesis (1)
- symmetry (1)
- trait (1)
- variation (1)
- vultures (1)
- wildlife corridors (1)
Both climate change and land use regimes affect the viability of populations, but they are often studied separately. Moreover, population viability analyses (PVAs) often ignore the effects of large environmental gradients and use temporal resolutions that are too coarse to take into account that different stages of a population's life cycle may be affected differently by climate change. Here, we present the High-resolution Large Environmental Gradient (HiLEG) model and apply it in a PVA with daily resolution based on daily climate projections for Northwest Germany. We used the large marsh grasshopper (LMG) as the target species and investigated (1) the effects of climate change on the viability and spatial distribution of the species, (2) the influence of the timing of grassland mowing on the species and (3) the interaction between the effects of climate change and grassland mowing. The stageand cohort-based model was run for the spatially differentiated environmental conditions temperature and soil moisture across the whole study region. We implemented three climate change scenarios and analyzed the population dynamics for four consecutive 20-year periods. Climate change alone would lead to an expansion of the regions suitable for the LMG, as warming accelerates development and due to reduced drought stress. However, in combination with land use, the timing of mowing was crucial, as this disturbance causes a high mortality rate in the aboveground life stages. Assuming the same date of mowing throughout the region, the impact on viability varied greatly between regions due to the different climate conditions. The regional negative effects of the mowing date can be divided into five phases: (1) In early spring, the populations were largely unaffected in all the regions; (2) between late spring and early summer, they were severely affected only in warm regions; (3) in summer, all the populations were severely affected so that they could hardly survive; (4) between late summer and early autumn, they were severely affected in cold regions; and (5) in autumn, the populations were equally affected across all regions. The duration and start of each phase differed slightly depending on the climate change scenario and simulation period, but overall, they showed the same pattern. Our model can be used to identify regions of concern and devise management recommendations. The model can be adapted to the life cycle of different target species, climate projections and disturbance regimes. We show with our adaption of the HiLEG model that high-resolution PVAs and applications on large environmental gradients can be reconciled to develop conservation strategies capable of dealing with multiple stressors.