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Permafrost is warming at a global scale

  • Permafrost warming has the potential to amplify global climate change, because when frozen sediments thaw it unlocks soil organic carbon. Yet to date, no globally consistent assessment of permafrost temperature change has been compiled. Here we use a global data set of permafrost temperature time series from the Global Terrestrial Network for Permafrost to evaluate temperature change across permafrost regions for the period since the International Polar Year (2007-2009). During the reference decade between 2007 and 2016, ground temperature near the depth of zero annual amplitude in the continuous permafrost zone increased by 0.39 +/- 0.15 degrees C. Over the same period, discontinuous permafrost warmed by 0.20 +/- 0.10 degrees C. Permafrost in mountains warmed by 0.19 +/- 0.05 degrees C and in Antarctica by 0.37 +/- 0.10 degrees C. Globally, permafrost temperature increased by 0.29 +/- 0.12 degrees C. The observed trend follows the Arctic amplification of air temperature increase in the Northern Hemisphere. In the discontinuous zone,Permafrost warming has the potential to amplify global climate change, because when frozen sediments thaw it unlocks soil organic carbon. Yet to date, no globally consistent assessment of permafrost temperature change has been compiled. Here we use a global data set of permafrost temperature time series from the Global Terrestrial Network for Permafrost to evaluate temperature change across permafrost regions for the period since the International Polar Year (2007-2009). During the reference decade between 2007 and 2016, ground temperature near the depth of zero annual amplitude in the continuous permafrost zone increased by 0.39 +/- 0.15 degrees C. Over the same period, discontinuous permafrost warmed by 0.20 +/- 0.10 degrees C. Permafrost in mountains warmed by 0.19 +/- 0.05 degrees C and in Antarctica by 0.37 +/- 0.10 degrees C. Globally, permafrost temperature increased by 0.29 +/- 0.12 degrees C. The observed trend follows the Arctic amplification of air temperature increase in the Northern Hemisphere. In the discontinuous zone, however, ground warming occurred due to increased snow thickness while air temperature remained statistically unchanged.show moreshow less

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Author details:Boris K. BiskabornORCiDGND, Sharon L. Smith, Jeannette NoetzliORCiD, Heidrun MatthesORCiD, Goncalo VieiraORCiD, Dmitry A. Streletskiy, Philippe Schoeneich, Vladimir E. RomanovskyORCiD, Antoni G. Lewkowicz, Andrey AbramovORCiD, Michel Allard, Julia BoikeORCiDGND, William L. Cable, Hanne H. Christiansen, Reynald Delaloye, Bernhard DiekmannORCiD, Dmitry Drozdov, Bernd Etzelmueller, Guido GrosseORCiDGND, Mauro Guglielmin, Thomas Ingeman-NielsenORCiD, Ketil IsaksenORCiD, Mamoru Ishikawa, Margareta Johansson, Halldor Johannsson, Anseok Joo, Dmitry Kaverin, Alexander Kholodov, Pavel Konstantinov, Tim Kroeger, Christophe Lambiel, Jean-Pierre Lanckman, Dongliang Luo, Galina Malkova, Ian MeiklejohnORCiD, Natalia Moskalenko, Marc OlivaORCiD, Marcia Phillips, Miguel Ramos, A. Britta K. Sannel, Dmitrii Sergeev, Cathy Seybold, Pavel Skryabin, Alexander VasilievORCiD, Qingbai Wu, Kenji Yoshikawa, Mikhail Zheleznyak, Hugues LantuitORCiDGND
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-08240-4
ISSN:2041-1723
Pubmed ID:https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30651568
Title of parent work (English):Nature Communications
Publisher:Nature Publ. Group
Place of publishing:London
Publication type:Article
Language:English
Year of first publication:2019
Publication year:2019
Release date:2021/04/20
Volume:10
Number of pages:11
Funding institution:International Permafrost Association; AGAUR ANTALP (Catalonia) [2017-SGR-1102]; BMBF PALMOD (Germany)Federal Ministry of Education & Research (BMBF) [01LP1510D]; ERC PETA-CARB (EU) [338335]; FCT (Portugal)Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology [PERMANTAR2017-18/PROPOLAR]; Formas (Sweden)Swedish Research Council Formas [214-2014-562]; HGF COPER (Germany) [VH-NG-801]; Horizon 2020 Nunataryuk (EU)European Union (EU) [773421]; JSPS KAKENHI (Japan)Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology, Japan (MEXT)Japan Society for the Promotion of ScienceGrants-in-Aid for Scientific Research (KAKENHI) [25350416, 21310001]; MESC (Russia) [RFMEFI58718X0048, 14.587.21.0048-SODEEP]; MeteoSwiss (Switzerland); FOEN (Switzerland); SCNAT (Switzerland); Natural Resources CanadaNatural Resources CanadaCanadian Forest Service; NNSF (China)National Natural Science Foundation of China [41690144, 41671060]; NRC TSP (Norway) [176033/S30, 157837/V30, 185987/V30]; NSERC (Canada)Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada [2014-04084, 2015-05411]; NSF OPPNational Science Foundation (NSF) [1304271, 1304555, 1836377]; ICER (USA) [1558389, 1717770]; PNRA (Italy) [16_00194]; Ramon y Cajal (Spain)Spanish Government [RYC-2015-17597]; RAS PP (Russia) [15, 51, 55]; RAS GP (Russia) [AAAA-A18-118022190065-1, 18-218012490093-1]; RFBR (Russia)Russian Foundation for Basic Research (RFBR) [18-05-60004, 18-55-11003, 16-05-00249, 16-45-890257-YaNAO, 18-55-11005 AF_t(ClimEco), 18-05-60222-Arctica]; RSCF (Russia) [16-17-00102]; National Research Foundation, SNA (South Africa) [14070874451]
Organizational units:Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Fakultät / Institut für Mathematik
DDC classification:5 Naturwissenschaften und Mathematik / 51 Mathematik / 510 Mathematik
Peer review:Referiert
Publishing method:Open Access / Gold Open-Access
DOAJ gelistet
License (German):License LogoCC-BY - Namensnennung 4.0 International
External remark:Zweitveröffentlichung in der Schriftenreihe Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe ; 669
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