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Detection of regional climate change effects on alpine hydrology by daily resolution trend analysis in Tyrol, Austria

  • Owing to average temperature increases of at least twice the global mean, climate change is expected to have strong impacts on local hydrology and climatology in the Alps. Nevertheless, trend analyses of hydro-climatic station data rarely reveal clear patterns concerning climate change signals except in temperature observations. However, trend research has thus far mostly been based on analysing trends of averaged data such as yearly, seasonal or monthly averages and has therefore often not been able to detect the finer temporal dynamics. For this reason, we derived 30-day moving average trends, providing a daily resolution of the timing and magnitude of trends within the seasons. Results are validated by including different time periods. We studied daily observations of mean temperature, liquid and solid precipitation, snow height and runoff in the relatively dry central Alpine region in Tyrol, Austria. Our results indicate that the vast majority of changes are observed throughout spring to early summer, most likely triggered by theOwing to average temperature increases of at least twice the global mean, climate change is expected to have strong impacts on local hydrology and climatology in the Alps. Nevertheless, trend analyses of hydro-climatic station data rarely reveal clear patterns concerning climate change signals except in temperature observations. However, trend research has thus far mostly been based on analysing trends of averaged data such as yearly, seasonal or monthly averages and has therefore often not been able to detect the finer temporal dynamics. For this reason, we derived 30-day moving average trends, providing a daily resolution of the timing and magnitude of trends within the seasons. Results are validated by including different time periods. We studied daily observations of mean temperature, liquid and solid precipitation, snow height and runoff in the relatively dry central Alpine region in Tyrol, Austria. Our results indicate that the vast majority of changes are observed throughout spring to early summer, most likely triggered by the strong temperature increase during this season. Temperature, streamflow and snow trends have clearly amplified during recent decades. The overall results are consistent over the entire investigation area and different time periods.zeige mehrzeige weniger

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Metadaten
Verfasserangaben:Christoph Kormann, Till FranckeORCiDGND, Axel BronstertORCiDGND
DOI:https://doi.org/10.2166/wcc.2014.099
ISSN:2040-2244
Titel des übergeordneten Werks (Englisch):Journal of water and climate change
Verlag:IWA Publ.
Verlagsort:London
Publikationstyp:Wissenschaftlicher Artikel
Sprache:Englisch
Jahr der Erstveröffentlichung:2015
Erscheinungsjahr:2015
Datum der Freischaltung:27.03.2017
Freies Schlagwort / Tag:Alps; Mann-Kendall test; hydroclimatology; streamflow; trend detection
Band:6
Ausgabe:1
Seitenanzahl:20
Erste Seite:124
Letzte Seite:143
Fördernde Institution:Potsdam Research Cluster for Georisk Analysis, Environmental Change and Sustainability (PROGRESS) - German Federal Ministry of Education and Research
Organisationseinheiten:Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Fakultät / Institut für Geowissenschaften
Peer Review:Referiert
Name der Einrichtung zum Zeitpunkt der Publikation:Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Fakultät / Institut für Erd- und Umweltwissenschaften
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