TY - JOUR A1 - Tucker, Marlee A. A1 - Boehning-Gaese, Katrin A1 - Fagan, William F. A1 - Fryxell, John M. A1 - Van Moorter, Bram A1 - Alberts, Susan C. A1 - Ali, Abdullahi H. A1 - Allen, Andrew M. A1 - Attias, Nina A1 - Avgar, Tal A1 - Bartlam-Brooks, Hattie A1 - Bayarbaatar, Buuveibaatar A1 - Belant, Jerrold L. A1 - Bertassoni, Alessandra A1 - Beyer, Dean A1 - Bidner, Laura A1 - van Beest, Floris M. A1 - Blake, Stephen A1 - Blaum, Niels A1 - Bracis, Chloe A1 - Brown, Danielle A1 - de Bruyn, P. J. Nico A1 - Cagnacci, Francesca A1 - Calabrese, Justin M. A1 - Camilo-Alves, Constanca A1 - Chamaille-Jammes, Simon A1 - Chiaradia, Andre A1 - Davidson, Sarah C. A1 - Dennis, Todd A1 - DeStefano, Stephen A1 - Diefenbach, Duane A1 - Douglas-Hamilton, Iain A1 - Fennessy, Julian A1 - Fichtel, Claudia A1 - Fiedler, Wolfgang A1 - Fischer, Christina A1 - Fischhoff, Ilya A1 - Fleming, Christen H. A1 - Ford, Adam T. A1 - Fritz, Susanne A. A1 - Gehr, Benedikt A1 - Goheen, Jacob R. A1 - Gurarie, Eliezer A1 - Hebblewhite, Mark A1 - Heurich, Marco A1 - Hewison, A. J. Mark A1 - Hof, Christian A1 - Hurme, Edward A1 - Isbell, Lynne A. A1 - Janssen, Rene A1 - Jeltsch, Florian A1 - Kaczensky, Petra A1 - Kane, Adam A1 - Kappeler, Peter M. A1 - Kauffman, Matthew A1 - Kays, Roland A1 - Kimuyu, Duncan A1 - Koch, Flavia A1 - Kranstauber, Bart A1 - LaPoint, Scott A1 - Leimgruber, Peter A1 - Linnell, John D. C. A1 - Lopez-Lopez, Pascual A1 - Markham, A. Catherine A1 - Mattisson, Jenny A1 - Medici, Emilia Patricia A1 - Mellone, Ugo A1 - Merrill, Evelyn A1 - Mourao, Guilherme de Miranda A1 - Morato, Ronaldo G. A1 - Morellet, Nicolas A1 - Morrison, Thomas A. A1 - Diaz-Munoz, Samuel L. A1 - Mysterud, Atle A1 - Nandintsetseg, Dejid A1 - Nathan, Ran A1 - Niamir, Aidin A1 - Odden, John A1 - Oliveira-Santos, Luiz Gustavo R. A1 - Olson, Kirk A. A1 - Patterson, Bruce D. A1 - de Paula, Rogerio Cunha A1 - Pedrotti, Luca A1 - Reineking, Bjorn A1 - Rimmler, Martin A1 - Rogers, Tracey L. A1 - Rolandsen, Christer Moe A1 - Rosenberry, Christopher S. A1 - Rubenstein, Daniel I. A1 - Safi, Kamran A1 - Said, Sonia A1 - Sapir, Nir A1 - Sawyer, Hall A1 - Schmidt, Niels Martin A1 - Selva, Nuria A1 - Sergiel, Agnieszka A1 - Shiilegdamba, Enkhtuvshin A1 - Silva, Joao Paulo A1 - Singh, Navinder A1 - Solberg, Erling J. A1 - Spiegel, Orr A1 - Strand, Olav A1 - Sundaresan, Siva A1 - Ullmann, Wiebke A1 - Voigt, Ulrich A1 - Wall, Jake A1 - Wattles, David A1 - Wikelski, Martin A1 - Wilmers, Christopher C. A1 - Wilson, John W. A1 - Wittemyer, George A1 - Zieba, Filip A1 - Zwijacz-Kozica, Tomasz A1 - Mueller, Thomas T1 - Moving in the Anthropocene BT - global reductions in terrestrial mammalian movements JF - Science N2 - Animal movement is fundamental for ecosystem functioning and species survival, yet the effects of the anthropogenic footprint on animal movements have not been estimated across species. Using a unique GPS-tracking database of 803 individuals across 57 species, we found that movements of mammals in areas with a comparatively high human footprint were on average one-half to one-third the extent of their movements in areas with a low human footprint. We attribute this reduction to behavioral changes of individual animals and to the exclusion of species with long-range movements from areas with higher human impact. Global loss of vagility alters a key ecological trait of animals that affects not only population persistence but also ecosystem processes such as predator-prey interactions, nutrient cycling, and disease transmission. Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aam9712 SN - 0036-8075 SN - 1095-9203 VL - 359 IS - 6374 SP - 466 EP - 469 PB - American Assoc. for the Advancement of Science CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Noonan, Michael J. A1 - Tucker, Marlee A. A1 - Fleming, Christen H. A1 - Akre, Thomas S. A1 - Alberts, Susan C. A1 - Ali, Abdullahi H. A1 - Altmann, Jeanne A1 - Antunes, Pamela Castro A1 - Belant, Jerrold L. A1 - Beyer, Dean A1 - Blaum, Niels A1 - Boehning-Gaese, Katrin A1 - Cullen Jr, Laury A1 - de Paula, Rogerio Cunha A1 - Dekker, Jasja A1 - Drescher-Lehman, Jonathan A1 - Farwig, Nina A1 - Fichtel, Claudia A1 - Fischer, Christina A1 - Ford, Adam T. A1 - Goheen, Jacob R. A1 - Janssen, Rene A1 - Jeltsch, Florian A1 - Kauffman, Matthew A1 - Kappeler, Peter M. A1 - Koch, Flavia A1 - LaPoint, Scott A1 - Markham, A. Catherine A1 - Medici, Emilia Patricia A1 - Morato, Ronaldo G. A1 - Nathan, Ran A1 - Oliveira-Santos, Luiz Gustavo R. A1 - Olson, Kirk A. A1 - Patterson, Bruce D. A1 - Paviolo, Agustin A1 - Ramalho, Emiliano Estero A1 - Rosner, Sascha A1 - Schabo, Dana G. A1 - Selva, Nuria A1 - Sergiel, Agnieszka A1 - da Silva, Marina Xavier A1 - Spiegel, Orr A1 - Thompson, Peter A1 - Ullmann, Wiebke A1 - Zieba, Filip A1 - Zwijacz-Kozica, Tomasz A1 - Fagan, William F. A1 - Mueller, Thomas A1 - Calabrese, Justin M. T1 - A comprehensive analysis of autocorrelation and bias in home range estimation JF - Ecological monographs : a publication of the Ecological Society of America. N2 - Home range estimation is routine practice in ecological research. While advances in animal tracking technology have increased our capacity to collect data to support home range analysis, these same advances have also resulted in increasingly autocorrelated data. Consequently, the question of which home range estimator to use on modern, highly autocorrelated tracking data remains open. This question is particularly relevant given that most estimators assume independently sampled data. Here, we provide a comprehensive evaluation of the effects of autocorrelation on home range estimation. We base our study on an extensive data set of GPS locations from 369 individuals representing 27 species distributed across five continents. We first assemble a broad array of home range estimators, including Kernel Density Estimation (KDE) with four bandwidth optimizers (Gaussian reference function, autocorrelated‐Gaussian reference function [AKDE], Silverman's rule of thumb, and least squares cross‐validation), Minimum Convex Polygon, and Local Convex Hull methods. Notably, all of these estimators except AKDE assume independent and identically distributed (IID) data. We then employ half‐sample cross‐validation to objectively quantify estimator performance, and the recently introduced effective sample size for home range area estimation ( N̂ area ) to quantify the information content of each data set. We found that AKDE 95% area estimates were larger than conventional IID‐based estimates by a mean factor of 2. The median number of cross‐validated locations included in the hold‐out sets by AKDE 95% (or 50%) estimates was 95.3% (or 50.1%), confirming the larger AKDE ranges were appropriately selective at the specified quantile. Conversely, conventional estimates exhibited negative bias that increased with decreasing N̂ area. To contextualize our empirical results, we performed a detailed simulation study to tease apart how sampling frequency, sampling duration, and the focal animal's movement conspire to affect range estimates. Paralleling our empirical results, the simulation study demonstrated that AKDE was generally more accurate than conventional methods, particularly for small N̂ area. While 72% of the 369 empirical data sets had >1,000 total observations, only 4% had an N̂ area >1,000, where 30% had an N̂ area <30. In this frequently encountered scenario of small N̂ area, AKDE was the only estimator capable of producing an accurate home range estimate on autocorrelated data. KW - animal movement KW - kernel density estimation KW - local convex hull KW - minimum convex polygon KW - range distribution KW - space use KW - telemetry KW - tracking data Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/ecm.1344 SN - 0012-9615 SN - 1557-7015 VL - 89 IS - 2 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Olson, R. A1 - An, Soon-Il A1 - Fan, Y. A1 - Evans, J. P. A1 - Caesar, Levke T1 - North Atlantic observations sharpen meridional overturning projections JF - Climate dynamics : observational, theoretical and computational research on the climate system N2 - Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) projections are uncertain due to both model errors, as well as internal climate variability. An AMOC slowdown projected by many climate models is likely to have considerable effects on many aspects of global and North Atlantic climate. Previous studies to make probabilistic AMOC projections have broken new ground. However, they do not drift-correct or cross-validate the projections, and do not fully account for internal variability. Furthermore, they consider a limited subset of models, and ignore the skill of models at representing the temporal North Atlantic dynamics. We improve on previous work by applying Bayesian Model Averaging to weight 13 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 models by their skill at modeling the AMOC strength, and its temporal dynamics, as approximated by the northern North-Atlantic temperature-based AMOC Index. We make drift-corrected projections accounting for structural model errors, and for the internal variability. Cross-validation experiments give approximately correct empirical coverage probabilities, which validates our method. Our results present more evidence that AMOC likely already started slowing down. While weighting considerably moderates and sharpens our projections, our results are at low end of previously published estimates. We project mean AMOC changes between periods 1960-1999 and 2060-2099 of -4.0 Sv and -6.8 Sv for RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 emissions scenarios respectively. The corresponding average 90% credible intervals for our weighted experiments are [-7.2, -1.2] and [-10.5, -3.7] Sv respectively for the two scenarios. KW - Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation KW - Climate modeling KW - Bayesian Model Averaging KW - Model structural error KW - Probabilistic projections Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3867-7 SN - 0930-7575 SN - 1432-0894 VL - 50 IS - 11-12 SP - 4171 EP - 4188 PB - Springer CY - New York ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Brodeur, Abel A1 - Mikola, Derek A1 - Cook, Nikolai A1 - Brailey, Thomas A1 - Briggs, Ryan A1 - Gendre, Alexandra de A1 - Dupraz, Yannick A1 - Fiala, Lenka A1 - Gabani, Jacopo A1 - Gauriot, Romain A1 - Haddad, Joanne A1 - Lima, Goncalo A1 - Ankel-Peters, Jörg A1 - Dreber, Anna A1 - Campbell, Douglas A1 - Kattan, Lamis A1 - Fages, Diego Marino A1 - Mierisch, Fabian A1 - Sun, Pu A1 - Wright, Taylor A1 - Connolly, Marie A1 - Hoces de la Guardia, Fernando A1 - Johannesson, Magnus A1 - Miguel, Edward A1 - Vilhuber, Lars A1 - Abarca, Alejandro A1 - Acharya, Mahesh A1 - Adjisse, Sossou Simplice A1 - Akhtar, Ahwaz A1 - Lizardi, Eduardo Alberto Ramirez A1 - Albrecht, Sabina A1 - Andersen, Synve Nygaard A1 - Andlib, Zubaria A1 - Arrora, Falak A1 - Ash, Thomas A1 - Bacher, Etienne A1 - Bachler, Sebastian A1 - Bacon, Félix A1 - Bagues, Manuel A1 - Balogh, Timea A1 - Batmanov, Alisher A1 - Barschkett, Mara A1 - Basdil, B. Kaan A1 - Dower, Jaromneda A1 - Castek, Ondrej A1 - Caviglia-Harris, Jill A1 - Strand, Gabriella Chauca A1 - Chen, Shi A1 - Chzhen, Asya A1 - Chung, Jong A1 - Collins, Jason A1 - Coppock, Alexander A1 - Cordeau, Hugo A1 - Couillard, Ben A1 - Crechet, Jonathan A1 - Crippa, Lorenzo A1 - Cui, Jeanne A1 - Czymara, Christian A1 - Daarstad, Haley A1 - Dao, Danh Chi A1 - Dao, Dong A1 - Schmandt, Marco David A1 - Linde, Astrid de A1 - Melo, Lucas De A1 - Deer, Lachlan A1 - Vera, Micole De A1 - Dimitrova, Velichka A1 - Dollbaum, Jan Fabian A1 - Dollbaum, Jan Matti A1 - Donnelly, Michael A1 - Huynh, Luu Duc Toan A1 - Dumbalska, Tsvetomira A1 - Duncan, Jamie A1 - Duong, Kiet Tuan A1 - Duprey, Thibaut A1 - Dworschak, Christoph A1 - Ellingsrud, Sigmund A1 - Elminejad, Ali A1 - Eissa, Yasmine A1 - Erhart, Andrea A1 - Etingin-Frati, Giulian A1 - Fatemi-Pour, Elaheh A1 - Federice, Alexa A1 - Feld, Jan A1 - Fenig, Guidon A1 - Firouzjaeiangalougah, Mojtaba A1 - Fleisje, Erlend A1 - Fortier-Chouinard, Alexandre A1 - Engel, Julia Francesca A1 - Fries, Tilman A1 - Fortier, Reid A1 - Fréchet, Nadjim A1 - Galipeau, Thomas A1 - Gallegos, Sebastián A1 - Gangji, Areez A1 - Gao, Xiaoying A1 - Garnache, Cloé A1 - Gáspár, Attila A1 - Gavrilova, Evelina A1 - Ghosh, Arijit A1 - Gibney, Garreth A1 - Gibson, Grant A1 - Godager, Geir A1 - Goff, Leonard A1 - Gong, Da A1 - González, Javier A1 - Gretton, Jeremy A1 - Griffa, Cristina A1 - Grigoryeva, Idaliya A1 - Grtting, Maja A1 - Guntermann, Eric A1 - Guo, Jiaqi A1 - Gugushvili, Alexi A1 - Habibnia, Hooman A1 - Häffner, Sonja A1 - Hall, Jonathan D. A1 - Hammar, Olle A1 - Kordt, Amund Hanson A1 - Hashimoto, Barry A1 - Hartley, Jonathan S. A1 - Hausladen, Carina I. A1 - Havránek, Tomáš A1 - Hazen, Jacob A1 - He, Harry A1 - Hepplewhite, Matthew A1 - Herrera-Rodriguez, Mario A1 - Heuer, Felix A1 - Heyes, Anthony A1 - Ho, Anson T. Y. A1 - Holmes, Jonathan A1 - Holzknecht, Armando A1 - Hsu, Yu-Hsiang Dexter A1 - Hu, Shiang-Hung A1 - Huang, Yu-Shiuan A1 - Huebener, Mathias A1 - Huber, Christoph A1 - Huynh, Kim P. A1 - Irsova, Zuzana A1 - Isler, Ozan A1 - Jakobsson, Niklas A1 - Frith, Michael James A1 - Jananji, Raphaël A1 - Jayalath, Tharaka A. A1 - Jetter, Michael A1 - John, Jenny A1 - Forshaw, Rachel Joy A1 - Juan, Felipe A1 - Kadriu, Valon A1 - Karim, Sunny A1 - Kelly, Edmund A1 - Dang, Duy Khanh Hoang A1 - Khushboo, Tazia A1 - Kim, Jin A1 - Kjellsson, Gustav A1 - Kjelsrud, Anders A1 - Kotsadam, Andreas A1 - Korpershoek, Jori A1 - Krashinsky, Lewis A1 - Kundu, Suranjana A1 - Kustov, Alexander A1 - Lalayev, Nurlan A1 - Langlois, Audrée A1 - Laufer, Jill A1 - Lee-Whiting, Blake A1 - Leibing, Andreas A1 - Lenz, Gabriel A1 - Levin, Joel A1 - Li, Peng A1 - Li, Tongzhe A1 - Lin, Yuchen A1 - Listo, Ariel A1 - Liu, Dan A1 - Lu, Xuewen A1 - Lukmanova, Elvina A1 - Luscombe, Alex A1 - Lusher, Lester R. A1 - Lyu, Ke A1 - Ma, Hai A1 - Mäder, Nicolas A1 - Makate, Clifton A1 - Malmberg, Alice A1 - Maitra, Adit A1 - Mandas, Marco A1 - Marcus, Jan A1 - Margaryan, Shushanik A1 - Márk, Lili A1 - Martignano, Andres A1 - Marsh, Abigail A1 - Masetto, Isabella A1 - McCanny, Anthony A1 - McManus, Emma A1 - McWay, Ryan A1 - Metson, Lennard A1 - Kinge, Jonas Minet A1 - Mishra, Sumit A1 - Mohnen, Myra A1 - Möller, Jakob A1 - Montambeault, Rosalie A1 - Montpetit, Sébastien A1 - Morin, Louis-Philippe A1 - Morris, Todd A1 - Moser, Scott A1 - Motoki, Fabio A1 - Muehlenbachs, Lucija A1 - Musulan, Andreea A1 - Musumeci, Marco A1 - Nabin, Munirul A1 - Nchare, Karim A1 - Neubauer, Florian A1 - Nguyen, Quan M. P. A1 - Nguyen, Tuan A1 - Nguyen-Tien, Viet A1 - Niazi, Ali A1 - Nikolaishvili, Giorgi A1 - Nordstrom, Ardyn A1 - Nü, Patrick A1 - Odermatt, Angela A1 - Olson, Matt A1 - ien, Henning A1 - Ölkers, Tim A1 - Vert, Miquel Oliver i. A1 - Oral, Emre A1 - Oswald, Christian A1 - Ousman, Ali A1 - Özak, Ömer A1 - Pandey, Shubham A1 - Pavlov, Alexandre A1 - Pelli, Martino A1 - Penheiro, Romeo A1 - Park, RyuGyung A1 - Martel, Eva Pérez A1 - Petrovičová, Tereza A1 - Phan, Linh A1 - Prettyman, Alexa A1 - Procházka, Jakub A1 - Putri, Aqila A1 - Quandt, Julian A1 - Qiu, Kangyu A1 - Nguyen, Loan Quynh Thi A1 - Rahman, Andaleeb A1 - Rea, Carson H. A1 - Reiremo, Adam A1 - Renée, Laëtitia A1 - Richardson, Joseph A1 - Rivers, Nicholas A1 - Rodrigues, Bruno A1 - Roelofs, William A1 - Roemer, Tobias A1 - Rogeberg, Ole A1 - Rose, Julian A1 - Roskos-Ewoldsen, Andrew A1 - Rosmer, Paul A1 - Sabada, Barbara A1 - Saberian, Soodeh A1 - Salamanca, Nicolas A1 - Sator, Georg A1 - Sawyer, Antoine A1 - Scates, Daniel A1 - Schlüter, Elmar A1 - Sells, Cameron A1 - Sen, Sharmi A1 - Sethi, Ritika A1 - Shcherbiak, Anna A1 - Sogaolu, Moyosore A1 - Soosalu, Matt A1 - Srensen, Erik A1 - Sovani, Manali A1 - Spencer, Noah A1 - Staubli, Stefan A1 - Stans, Renske A1 - Stewart, Anya A1 - Stips, Felix A1 - Stockley, Kieran A1 - Strobel, Stephenson A1 - Struby, Ethan A1 - Tang, John A1 - Tanrisever, Idil A1 - Yang, Thomas Tao A1 - Tastan, Ipek A1 - Tatić, Dejan A1 - Tatlow, Benjamin A1 - Seuyong, Féraud Tchuisseu A1 - Thériault, Rémi A1 - Thivierge, Vincent A1 - Tian, Wenjie A1 - Toma, Filip-Mihai A1 - Totarelli, Maddalena A1 - Tran, Van-Anh A1 - Truong, Hung A1 - Tsoy, Nikita A1 - Tuzcuoglu, Kerem A1 - Ubfal, Diego A1 - Villalobos, Laura A1 - Walterskirchen, Julian A1 - Wang, Joseph Taoyi A1 - Wattal, Vasudha A1 - Webb, Matthew D. A1 - Weber, Bryan A1 - Weisser, Reinhard A1 - Weng, Wei-Chien A1 - Westheide, Christian A1 - White, Kimberly A1 - Winter, Jacob A1 - Wochner, Timo A1 - Woerman, Matt A1 - Wong, Jared A1 - Woodard, Ritchie A1 - Wroński, Marcin A1 - Yazbeck, Myra A1 - Yang, Gustav Chung A1 - Yap, Luther A1 - Yassin, Kareman A1 - Ye, Hao A1 - Yoon, Jin Young A1 - Yurris, Chris A1 - Zahra, Tahreen A1 - Zaneva, Mirela A1 - Zayat, Aline A1 - Zhang, Jonathan A1 - Zhao, Ziwei A1 - Yaolang, Zhong T1 - Mass reproducibility and replicability BT - a new hope T2 - I4R discussion paper series N2 - This study pushes our understanding of research reliability by reproducing and replicating claims from 110 papers in leading economic and political science journals. The analysis involves computational reproducibility checks and robustness assessments. It reveals several patterns. First, we uncover a high rate of fully computationally reproducible results (over 85%). Second, excluding minor issues like missing packages or broken pathways, we uncover coding errors for about 25% of studies, with some studies containing multiple errors. Third, we test the robustness of the results to 5,511 re-analyses. We find a robustness reproducibility of about 70%. Robustness reproducibility rates are relatively higher for re-analyses that introduce new data and lower for re-analyses that change the sample or the definition of the dependent variable. Fourth, 52% of re-analysis effect size estimates are smaller than the original published estimates and the average statistical significance of a re-analysis is 77% of the original. Lastly, we rely on six teams of researchers working independently to answer eight additional research questions on the determinants of robustness reproducibility. Most teams find a negative relationship between replicators' experience and reproducibility, while finding no relationship between reproducibility and the provision of intermediate or even raw data combined with the necessary cleaning codes. KW - conomics KW - open science KW - political science KW - replication KW - reproduction KW - research transparency Y1 - 2024 SN - 2752-1931 IS - 107 PB - Institute for Replication CY - Essen ER -