TY - JOUR A1 - Schütze, Franziska A1 - Fürst, Steffen A1 - Mielke, Jahel A1 - Steudle, Gesine A. A1 - Wolf, Sarah A1 - Jäger, Carlo C. T1 - The Role of Sustainable Investment in Climate Policy JF - Sustainability N2 - Reaching the Sustainable Development Goals requires a fundamental socio-economic transformation accompanied by substantial investment in low-carbon infrastructure. Such a sustainability transition represents a non-marginal change, driven by behavioral factors and systemic interactions. However, typical economic models used to assess a sustainability transition focus on marginal changes around a local optimum, whichby constructionlead to negative effects. Thus, these models do not allow evaluating a sustainability transition that might have substantial positive effects. This paper examines which mechanisms need to be included in a standard computable general equilibrium model to overcome these limitations and to give a more comprehensive view of the effects of climate change mitigation. Simulation results show that, given an ambitious greenhouse gas emission constraint and a price of carbon, positive economic effects are possible if (1) technical progress results (partly) endogenously from the model and (2) a policy intervention triggering an increase of investment is introduced. Additionally, if (3) the investment behavior of firms is influenced by their sales expectations, the effects are amplified. The results provide suggestions for policy-makers, because the outcome indicates that investment-oriented climate policies can lead to more desirable outcomes in economic, social and environmental terms. KW - climate policy KW - green growth KW - macroeconomic models KW - sustainable investment KW - technical progress KW - expectations KW - 1.5 degrees C Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/su9122221 SN - 2071-1050 VL - 9 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - GEN A1 - Schütze, Franziska A1 - Fürst, Steffen A1 - Mielke, Jahel A1 - Steudle, Gesine A. A1 - Wolf, Sarah A1 - Jäger, Carlo C. T1 - The Role of Sustainable Investment in Climate Policy T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - Reaching the Sustainable Development Goals requires a fundamental socio-economic transformation accompanied by substantial investment in low-carbon infrastructure. Such a sustainability transition represents a non-marginal change, driven by behavioral factors and systemic interactions. However, typical economic models used to assess a sustainability transition focus on marginal changes around a local optimum, whichby constructionlead to negative effects. Thus, these models do not allow evaluating a sustainability transition that might have substantial positive effects. This paper examines which mechanisms need to be included in a standard computable general equilibrium model to overcome these limitations and to give a more comprehensive view of the effects of climate change mitigation. Simulation results show that, given an ambitious greenhouse gas emission constraint and a price of carbon, positive economic effects are possible if (1) technical progress results (partly) endogenously from the model and (2) a policy intervention triggering an increase of investment is introduced. Additionally, if (3) the investment behavior of firms is influenced by their sales expectations, the effects are amplified. The results provide suggestions for policy-makers, because the outcome indicates that investment-oriented climate policies can lead to more desirable outcomes in economic, social and environmental terms. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliche Reihe - 137 KW - climate policy KW - green growth KW - macroeconomic models KW - sustainable investment KW - technical progress KW - expectations KW - 1.5 degrees C Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-470485 SN - 1867-5808 IS - 137 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Mielke, Jahel A1 - Steudle, Gesine A. T1 - Green investment and coordination failure BT - an Investors' Perspective JF - Ecological economics N2 - To achieve the goal of keeping global warming well below 2 °C, private investors have to shift capital from brown to green infrastructures and technologies and provide additional green investment. In this paper, we present a game-theoretic perspective on the challenge of triggering such investments. The question of climate change mitigation is often related to the prisoner's dilemma, a game with one Nash equilibrium. However, the authors perceive investment for mitigation and adaptation as a coordination problem of selecting among multiple equilibria. To illustrate this, we model a non-cooperative coordination game, related to the stag hunt, with a brown equilibrium with lower payoffs that can be achieved single-handedly and a green equilibrium with higher payoffs that requires coordination. As multiple experiments show, in such games actors often fail to coordinate on a payoff dominant equilibrium due to uncertainty. Thus, we discuss how uncertainty could be reduced along two options: one that concerns a change in the payoff structure of the game and another that concerns subjective probabilities. KW - Stag hunt KW - Coordination failure KW - Green investment KW - Strategic uncertainty KW - Risk dominance Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2018.03.018 SN - 0921-8009 SN - 1873-6106 VL - 150 SP - 88 EP - 95 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Mielke, Jahel T1 - Signals for 2 degrees C BT - the influence of policies, market factors and civil society actions on investment decisions for green infrastructure JF - Journal of Sustainable Finance & Investment N2 - The targets of the Paris Agreement make it necessary to redirect finance flows towards sustainable, low-carbon infrastructures and technologies. Currently, the potential of institutional investors to help finance this transition is widely discussed. Thus, this paper takes a closer look at influence factors for green investment decisions of large European insurance companies. With a mix of qualitative and quantitative methods, the importance of policy, market and civil society signals is evaluated. In summary, respondents favor measures that promote green investment, such as feed-in tariffs or adjustments of capital charges for green assets, over ones that make carbon-intensive investments less attractive, such as the phase-out of fossil fuel subsidies or a carbon price. While investors currently see a low impact of the carbon price, they rank a substantial reform as an important signal for the future. Respondents also emphasize that policy signals have to be coherent and credible to coordinate expectations. KW - Green infrastructure investment KW - policy signals KW - green finance KW - climate change KW - institutional investors Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1080/20430795.2018.1528809 SN - 2043-0795 SN - 2043-0809 VL - 9 IS - 2 SP - 87 EP - 115 PB - Routledge, Taylor & Francis Group CY - Abingdon ER - TY - THES A1 - Mielke, Jahel T1 - Coordination on Green Investment T1 - Grüne Investitionen als Koordinationsproblem BT - implications of a sustainability transition in Europe BT - Implikationen einer Nachhaltigkeitstransformation in Europa N2 - To reach its climate targets, the European Union has to implement a major sustainability transition in the coming decades. While the socio-technical change required for this transition is well discussed in the academic literature, the economics that go along with it are often reduced to a cost-benefit perspective of climate policy measures. By investigating climate change mitigation as a coordination problem, this thesis offers a novel perspective: It integrates the economic and the socio-technical dimension and thus allows to better understand the opportunities of a sustainability transition in Europe. First, a game theoretic framework is developed to illustrate coordination on green or brown investment from an agent perspective. A model based on the coordination game "stag hunt" is used to discuss the influence of narratives and signals for green investment as a means to coordinate expectations towards green growth. Public and private green investment impulses – triggered by credible climate policy measures and targets – serve as an example for a green growth perspective for Europe in line with a sustainability transition. This perspective also embodies a critical view on classical analyses of climate policy measures. Secondly, this analysis is enriched with empirical results derived from stakeholder involvement. In interviews and with a survey among European insurance companies, coordination mechanisms such as market and policy signals are identified and evaluated by their impact on investment strategies for green infrastructure. The latter, here defined as renewable energy, electricity distribution and transmission as well as energy efficiency improvements, is considered a central element of the transition to a low-carbon society. Thirdly, this thesis identifies and analyzes major criticisms raised towards stakeholder involvement in sustainability science. On a conceptual level, different ways of conducting such qualitative research are classified. This conceptualization is then evaluated by scientists, thereby generating empirical evidence on ideals and practices of stakeholder involvement in sustainability science. Through the combination of theoretical and empirical research on coordination problems, this thesis offers several contributions: On the one hand, it outlines an approach that allows to assess the economic opportunities of sustainability transitions. This is helpful for policy makers in Europe that are striving to implement climate policy measures addressing the targets of the Paris Agreement as well as to encourage a shift of investments towards green infrastructure. On the other hand, this thesis enhances the stabilization of the theoretical foundations in sustainability science. Therefore, it can aid researchers who involve stakeholders when studying sustainability transitions. N2 - Um die vereinbarten Klimaziele zu erreichen, muss die Europäische Union in den kommenden Jahrzehnten eine Transformation zur Nachhaltigkeit bewältigen. Während der soziotechnische Wandel, der für diesen Übergang erforderlich ist, in der akademischen Literatur auf vielfältige Weise diskutiert wird, werden die wirtschaftlichen Aspekte häufig auf eine Kosten-Nutzen-Perspektive reduziert. Durch die Untersuchung von Maßnahmen zur Stärkung der Nachhaltigkeit und des Klimaschutzes im Kontext von Koordinationsproblemen bietet diese Arbeit eine neue Perspektive: Sie integriert die ökonomische und sozio-technische Dimension und ermöglicht so ein besseres Verständnis der Chancen einer Nachhaltigkeitstransformation in Europa. Dabei legt die Arbeit den Fokus auf drei Bereiche: Zuerst wird ein spieltheoretischer Rahmen entwickelt, um Fragen der Koordination von Akteuren im Bereich grüner und brauner Investitionen zu beleuchten. Hier wird mit Hilfe eines Modells, das auf dem Koordinationsspiel der "Hirschjagd" basiert, der Einfluss von Narrativen und Signalen auf eine Koordinierung der Erwartungen von Investoren diskutiert. Zugleich wird die Rolle von Investitionsimpulsen im Zusammenhang mit glaubwürdigen klimapolitischen Maßnahmen und Zielen im Hinblick auf eine grüne Wachstumsperspektive für Europa analysiert. Dies beinhaltet auch einen kritischen Blick auf klassische modellbasierte Analysen klimapolitischer Maßnahmen. Zweitens werden in dieser Arbeit empirische Ergebnisse aus der Stakeholdereinbindung genutzt, um Signale und Narrative in der Nachhaltigkeitstransformation zu evaluieren. In Interviews und mit einer Umfrage unter europäischen Versicherungskonzernen werden Koordinationsmechanismen wie Markt- und Politiksignale identifiziert und im Hinblick auf ihre Auswirkungen auf Investitionsentscheidungen bewertet. Dabei liegt der Fokus auf grünen Investitionen in erneuerbare Energien, Stromnetze und Energieeffizienzverbesserungen als zentrale Elemente des Übergangs zu einer kohlenstoffarmen Gesellschaft. Drittens identifiziert und analysiert diese Arbeit die wichtigsten Kritikpunkte, die gegenüber der Einbeziehung von Stakeholdern in der transdisziplinären Nachhaltigkeitswissenschaft vorgebracht werden. Auf konzeptioneller Ebene werden verschiedene Wege zur Durchführung qualitativer Forschung klassifiziert. Diese Konzeptualisierung wird dann von Wissenschaftlern evaluiert, wobei empirische Ergebnisse zu Idealen und zur Praxis der Einbeziehung von Stakeholdern in der Nachhaltigkeitswissenschaft generiert werden. Durch die Kombination von theoretischer und empirischer Koordinationsforschung liefert diese Arbeit mehrere Beiträge: Auf der einen Seite skizziert sie einen Ansatz, der es ermöglicht, die wirtschaftlichen Chancen der Transformation zur Nachhaltigkeit zu bewerten. Dies ist hilfreich für politische Entscheidungsträger in Europa, die klimapolitische Maßnahmen zur Erreichung der Ziele des Pariser Übereinkommens umsetzen sowie eine Verlagerung von Investitionen in Richtung umweltfreundliche Infrastruktur fördern wollen. Auf der anderen Seite stärkt diese Dissertation die theoretischen Grundlagen der Nachhaltigkeitswissenschaft und kann daher Forschern nützlich sein, die Stakeholder in der Untersuchung von Transformationsprozessen einbeziehen. KW - stakeholder involvement KW - coordination problems KW - green growth KW - sustainability transitions KW - climate policy KW - green investment KW - Stakeholdereinbindung KW - grünes Wachstum KW - Nachhaltigkeitstransformationen KW - Klimapolitik KW - grüne Investitionen Y1 - 2018 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-427459 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Mielke, Jahel A1 - Vermassen, Hannah A1 - Ellenbeck, Saskia A1 - Milan, Blanca Fernandez A1 - Jaeger, Carlo T1 - Stakeholder involvement in sustainability science-A critical view JF - Global biogeochemical cycles N2 - Discussions about the opening of science to society have led to the emergence of new fields such as sustainability science and transformative science. At the same time, the megatrend of stakeholder participation reached the academic world and thus scientific research processes. This challenges the way science is conducted and the tools, methods and theories perceived appropriate. Although researchers involve stakeholders, the scientific community still lacks comprehensive theoretical analysis of the practical processes behind their integration - for example what kind of perceptions scientists have about their roles, their objectives, the knowledge to gather, their understanding of science or the science-policy interface. Our paper addresses this research gap by developing four ideal types of stakeholder involvement in science - the technocratic, the functionalist, the neoliberal-rational and the democratic type. In applying the typology, which is based on literature review, interviews and practical experiences, we identify and discuss three major criticisms raised towards stakeholder involvement in science: the legitimacy of stakeholder claims, the question whether bargaining or deliberation are part of the stakeholder involvement process and the question of the autonomy of science. Thus, the typology helps scientists to better understand the major critical questions that stakeholder involvement raises and enables them to position themselves when conducting their research. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. KW - Sustainability science KW - Stakeholder involvement typology KW - Energy transition KW - Transformative research Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2016.04.001 SN - 2214-6296 SN - 2214-6326 VL - 17 SP - 71 EP - 81 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Mielke, Jahel A1 - Vermassen, Hannah A1 - Ellenbeck, Saskia T1 - Ideals, practices, and future prospects of stakeholder involvement in sustainability science JF - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America KW - stakeholder involvement concepts KW - sustainability science KW - ideal types Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1706085114 SN - 0027-8424 VL - 114 SP - E10648 EP - E10657 PB - National Acad. of Sciences CY - Washington ER -