TY - JOUR A1 - Weck, Florian A1 - Grikscheit, Florian A1 - Höfling, Volkmar A1 - Kordt, Anne A1 - Hamm, Alfons O. A1 - Gerlach, Alexander L. A1 - Alpers, Georg W. A1 - Arolt, Volker A1 - Kircher, Tilo A1 - Pauli, Paul A1 - Rief, Winfried A1 - Lang, Thomas T1 - The role of treatment delivery factors in exposure-based cognitive behavioral therapy for panic disorder with agoraphobia JF - Journal of anxiety disorders N2 - Treatment delivery factors (i.e., therapist adherence, therapist competence, and therapeutic alliance) are considered to be important for cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT) for panic disorder and agoraphobia (PD/AG). In the current study, four independent raters conducted process evaluations based on 168 two-hour videotapes of 84 patients with PD/AG treated with exposure-based CBT. Two raters evaluated patients’ interpersonal behavior in Session 1. Two raters evaluated treatment delivery factors in Session 6, in which therapists provided the rationale for conducting exposure exercises. At the 6-month follow-up, therapists’ adherence (r = 0.54) and therapeutic alliance (r = 0.31) were significant predictors of changes in agoraphobic avoidance behavior; therapist competence was not associated with treatment outcomes. Patients’ interpersonal behavior in Session 1 was a significant predictor of the therapeutic alliance in Session 6 (r = 0.17). The findings demonstrate that treatment delivery factors, particularly therapist adherence, are relevant to the long-term success of CBT for PD/AG. KW - Interpersonal behavior KW - Panic disorder with agoraphobia KW - Therapeutic alliance KW - Therapist adherence KW - Therapist competence Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.janxdis.2016.05.007 SN - 0887-6185 SN - 1873-7897 VL - 42 SP - 10 EP - 18 PB - Elsevier CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Harmsen, Mathijs A1 - Kriegler, Elmar A1 - van Vuuren, Detlef P. A1 - van der Wijst, Kaj-Ivar A1 - Luderer, Gunnar A1 - Cui, Ryna A1 - Dessens, Olivier A1 - Drouet, Laurent A1 - Emmerling, Johannes A1 - Morris, Jennifer Faye A1 - Fosse, Florian A1 - Fragkiadakis, Dimitris A1 - Fragkiadakis, Kostas A1 - Fragkos, Panagiotis A1 - Fricko, Oliver A1 - Fujimori, Shinichiro A1 - Gernaat, David A1 - Guivarch, Céline A1 - Iyer, Gokul A1 - Karkatsoulis, Panagiotis A1 - Keppo, Ilkka A1 - Keramidas, Kimon A1 - Köberle, Alexandre A1 - Kolp, Peter A1 - Krey, Volker A1 - Krüger, Christoph A1 - Leblanc, Florian A1 - Mittal, Shivika A1 - Paltsev, Sergey A1 - Rochedo, Pedro A1 - van Ruijven, Bas J. A1 - Sands, Ronald D. A1 - Sano, Fuminori A1 - Strefler, Jessica A1 - Arroyo, Eveline Vasquez A1 - Wada, Kenichi A1 - Zakeri, Behnam T1 - Integrated assessment model diagnostics BT - key indicators and model evolution JF - Environmental research letters N2 - Integrated assessment models (IAMs) form a prime tool in informing about climate mitigation strategies. Diagnostic indicators that allow comparison across these models can help describe and explain differences in model projections. This increases transparency and comparability. Earlier, the IAM community has developed an approach to diagnose models (Kriegler (2015 Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 90 45–61)). Here we build on this, by proposing a selected set of well-defined indicators as a community standard, to systematically and routinely assess IAM behaviour, similar to metrics used for other modeling communities such as climate models. These indicators are the relative abatement index, emission reduction type index, inertia timescale, fossil fuel reduction, transformation index and cost per abatement value. We apply the approach to 17 IAMs, assessing both older as well as their latest versions, as applied in the IPCC 6th Assessment Report. The study shows that the approach can be easily applied and used to indentify key differences between models and model versions. Moreover, we demonstrate that this comparison helps to link model behavior to model characteristics and assumptions. We show that together, the set of six indicators can provide useful indication of the main traits of the model and can roughly indicate the general model behavior. The results also show that there is often a considerable spread across the models. Interestingly, the diagnostic values often change for different model versions, but there does not seem to be a distinct trend. KW - diagnostics KW - integrated assessment models KW - climate policy KW - Assessment Report IPCC KW - renewable energy KW - migration KW - AR6 Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abf964 SN - 1748-9326 VL - 16 IS - 5 PB - IOP Publishing CY - Bristol ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Riahi, Keywan A1 - Bertram, Christoph A1 - Huppmann, Daniel A1 - Rogelj, Joeri A1 - Bosetti, Valentina A1 - Cabardos, Anique-Marie A1 - Deppermann, Andre A1 - Drouet, Laurent A1 - Frank, Stefan A1 - Fricko, Oliver A1 - Fujimori, Shinichiro A1 - Harmsen, Mathijs A1 - Hasegawa, Tomoko A1 - Krey, Volker A1 - Luderer, Gunnar A1 - Paroussos, Leonidas A1 - Schaeffer, Roberto A1 - Weitzel, Matthias A1 - van der Zwaan, Bob A1 - Vrontisi, Zoi A1 - Longa, Francesco Dalla A1 - Després, Jacques A1 - Fosse, Florian A1 - Fragkiadakis, Kostas A1 - Gusti, Mykola A1 - Humpenöder, Florian A1 - Keramidas, Kimon A1 - Kishimoto, Paul A1 - Kriegler, Elmar A1 - Meinshausen, Malte A1 - Nogueira, Larissa Pupo A1 - Oshiro, Ken A1 - Popp, Alexander A1 - Rochedo, Pedro R. R. A1 - Ünlü, Gamze A1 - van Ruijven, Bas A1 - Takakura, Junya A1 - Tavoni, Massimo A1 - van Vuuren, Detlef P. A1 - Zakeri, Behnam T1 - Cost and attainability of meeting stringent climate targets without overshoot JF - Nature climate change N2 - Global emissions scenarios play a critical role in the assessment of strategies to mitigate climate change. The current scenarios, however, are criticized because they feature strategies with pronounced overshoot of the global temperature goal, requiring a long-term repair phase to draw temperatures down again through net-negative emissions. Some impacts might not be reversible. Hence, we explore a new set of net-zero CO2 emissions scenarios with limited overshoot. We show that upfront investments are needed in the near term for limiting temperature overshoot but that these would bring long-term economic gains. Our study further identifies alternative configurations of net-zero CO2 emissions systems and the roles of different sectors and regions for balancing sources and sinks. Even without net-negative emissions, CO2 removal is important for accelerating near-term reductions and for providing an anthropogenic sink that can offset the residual emissions in sectors that are hard to abate. Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01215-2 SN - 1758-678X SN - 1758-6798 VL - 11 IS - 12 SP - 1063 EP - 1069 PB - Nature Publishing Group CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Blankertz, Benjamin A1 - Dornhege, Guido A1 - Krauledat, Matthias A1 - Müller, Klaus-Robert A1 - Kunzmann, Volker A1 - Losch, Florian A1 - Curio, Gabriel T1 - The Berlin brain-computer interface : EEG-based communication without subject training N2 - The Berlin Brain-Computer Interface (BBCI) project develops a noninvasive BCI system whose key features are 1) the use of well-established motor competences as control paradigms, 2) high-dimensional features from 128-channel electroencephalogram (EEG), and 3) advanced machine learning techniques. As reported earlier, our experiments demonstrate that very high information transfer rates can be achieved using the readiness potential (RP) when predicting the laterality of upcoming left-versus right-hand movements in healthy subjects. A more recent study showed that the RP similarily accompanies phantom movements in arm amputees, but the signal strength decreases with longer loss of the limb. In a complementary approach, oscillatory features are used to discriminate imagined movements (left hand versus right hand versus foot). In a recent feedback study with six healthy subjects with no or very little experience with BCI control, three subjects achieved an information transfer rate above 35 bits per minute (bpm), and further two subjects above 24 and 15 bpm, while one subject could not achieve any BCI control. These results are encouraging for an EEG-based BCI system in untrained subjects that is independent of peripheral nervous system activity and does not rely on evoked potentials even when compared to results with very well-trained subjects operating other BCI systems Y1 - 2006 UR - http://ieeexplore.ieee.org/xpl/RecentIssue.jsp?punumber=7333 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1109/Tnsre.2006.875557 SN - 1534-4320 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wartenberg, Maria A1 - Ling, Frederike C. A1 - Müschen, Markus A1 - Klein, Florian A1 - Acker, Helmut A1 - Gassmann, Max A1 - Petrat, Kerstin A1 - Pütz, Volker A1 - Hescheler, Jürgen A1 - Sauer, Heinrich T1 - Regulation of the multidrug resistance transporter P-glycorotein by hypoxia-inducible factor (HIF-1) and reactive oxygen species Y1 - 2003 ER - TY - BOOK A1 - Völker, Florian T1 - Kälte-Pop BT - die Geschichte des erfolgreichsten deutschen Popmusik-Exports N2 - Am Ende der 1970er Jahre entstand ein ästhetisch-subjektkulturelles Konzept in der deutschsprachigen Pop-Musik, das alles ‚Kalte‘ affirmierte: ‚Kälte-Pop‘. Bands wie Kraftwerk, DAF und Einstürzende Neubauten entwickelten als Gegenentwurf zum pop- wie gegenkulturell hegemonialen Wärme-Kult ein System von Motiven und Strategien, das all jene Zeichen und Prozesse der (Post-)Moderne ästhetisierte und glorifizierte, die in der bundesdeutschen Gesellschaft und vor allem im linksalternativen Milieu als negative Aspekte einer vermeintlich kalten Welt interpretiert wurden: Gefühlslosigkeit und Dehumanisierung, Industrie und Großstadt, Künstlichkeit und Entfremdung, Disziplin und körperliche Funktionalität, Schnee und Eis, Beton und Stahl sowie Computer, Maschinen und Roboter. Dabei schlugen die ‚Kälte‘-Akteur:innen eine Brücke zu den Historischen Avantgarden der 1920er Jahre und inszenierten sich stereotypisch als ‚kalte Deutsche‘. Die Arbeit analysiert unter Einbeziehung der transnationalen Verknüpfungen die ‚Kälte-Welle‘ (1978–1983) in der deutschen Pop-Musik, ihre Bildwelten und Codes, historischen Bezüge und Rezeption, das historische Umfeld ihrer Entstehung sowie nachfolgende Erscheinungsformen ‚kalter‘ Musik, die sich bis heute in der internationalen Pop-Musik und bei Acts wie Rammstein zeigen. KW - Neue Deutsche Welle KW - Kraftwerk KW - Rammstein KW - Kältepop Y1 - 2023 SN - 978-3-11-124515-7 SN - 978-3-11-124709-0 SN - 978-3-11-124735-9 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1515/9783111247090 PB - De Gruyter CY - Berlin ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zurell, Damaris A1 - Berger, Uta A1 - Cabral, Juliano Sarmento A1 - Jeltsch, Florian A1 - Meynard, Christine N. A1 - Muenkemueller, Tamara A1 - Nehrbass, Nana A1 - Pagel, Jörn A1 - Reineking, Bjoern A1 - Schroeder, Boris A1 - Grimm, Volker T1 - The virtual ecologist approach : simulating data and observers N2 - Ecologists carry a well-stocked toolbox with a great variety of sampling methods, statistical analyses and modelling tools, and new methods are constantly appearing. Evaluation and optimisation of these methods is crucial to guide methodological choices. Simulating error-free data or taking high-quality data to qualify methods is common practice. Here, we emphasise the methodology of the 'virtual ecologist' (VE) approach where simulated data and observer models are used to mimic real species and how they are 'virtually' observed. This virtual data is then subjected to statistical analyses and modelling, and the results are evaluated against the 'true' simulated data. The VE approach is an intuitive and powerful evaluation framework that allows a quality assessment of sampling protocols, analyses and modelling tools. It works under controlled conditions as well as under consideration of confounding factors such as animal movement and biased observer behaviour. In this review, we promote the approach as a rigorous research tool, and demonstrate its capabilities and practical relevance. We explore past uses of VE in different ecological research fields, where it mainly has been used to test and improve sampling regimes as well as for testing and comparing models, for example species distribution models. We discuss its benefits as well as potential limitations, and provide some practical considerations for designing VE studies. Finally, research fields are identified for which the approach could be useful in the future. We conclude that VE could foster the integration of theoretical and empirical work and stimulate work that goes far beyond sampling methods, leading to new questions, theories, and better mechanistic understanding of ecological systems. Y1 - 2010 UR - http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/cgi-bin/issn?DESCRIPTOR=PRINTISSN&VALUE=0030-1299 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0706.2009.18284.x SN - 0030-1299 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Jeltsch, Florian A1 - Grimm, Volker T1 - Editorial BT - thematic series "Integrating movement ecology with biodiversity research" T2 - Movement Ecology Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1186/s40462-020-00210-0 SN - 2051-3933 VL - 8 IS - 1 PB - BioMed Central CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Jeltsch, Florian A1 - Tews, Jörg A1 - Brose, Ulrich A1 - Grimm, Volker A1 - Tielbörger, Katja A1 - Wichmann, Matthias A1 - Schwager, Monika T1 - Animal species diversity driven by habitat heterogeneity/diversity : the importance of keystone structures N2 - In a selected literature survey we reviewed studies on the habitat heterogeneity-animal species diversity relationship and evaluated whether there are uncertainties and biases in its empirical support. We reviewed 85 publications for the period 1960-2003. We screened each publication for terms that were used to define habitat heterogeneity, the animal species group and ecosystem studied, the definition of the structural variable, the measurement of vegetation structure and the temporal and spatial scale of the study. The majority of studies found a positive correlation between habitat heterogeneity/diversity and animal species diversity. However, empirical support for this relationship is drastically biased towards studies of vertebrates and habitats under anthropogenic influence. In this paper we show that ecological effects of habitat heterogeneity may vary considerably between species groups depending on whether structural attributes are perceived as heterogeneity or fragmentation. Possible effects may also vary relative to the structural variable measured. Based upon this, we introduce a classification framework that may be used for across-studies comparisons. Moreover, the effect of habitat heterogeneity for one species group may differ in relation to the spatial scale. In several studies, however, different species groups are closely linked to 'keystone structures' that determine animal species diversity by their presence. Detecting crucial keystone structures of the vegetation has profound implications for nature conservation and biodiversity management. Y1 - 2004 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wichmann, Matthias A1 - Groeneveld, Jürgen A1 - Jeltsch, Florian A1 - Grimm, Volker T1 - Mitigation of climate change impacts on raptors by behavioural adaptation : ecological buffering mechanisms N2 - The predicted climate change causes deep concerns on the effects of increasing temperatures and changing precipitation patterns on species viability and, in turn, on biodiversity. Models of Population Viability Analysis (PVA) provide a powerful tool to assess the risk of species extinction. However, most PVA models do not take into account the potential effects of behavioural adaptations. Organisms might adapt to new environmental situations and thereby mitigate negative effects of climate change. To demonstrate such mitigation effects, we use an existing PVA model describing a population of the tawny eagle (Aquila rapax) in the southern Kalahari. This model does not include behavioural adaptations. We develop a new model by assuming that the birds enlarge their average territory size to compensate for lower amounts of precipitation. Here, we found the predicted increase in risk of extinction due to climate change to be much lower than in the original model. However, this "buffering" of climate change by behavioural adaptation is not very effective in coping with increasing interannual variances. We refer to further examples of ecological "buffering mechanisms" from the literature and argue that possible buffering mechanisms should be given due consideration when the effects of climate change on biodiversity are to be predicted. (c) 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved Y1 - 2005 SN - 0921-8181 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Grimm, Volker A1 - Revilla, Eloy A1 - Berger, Uta A1 - Jeltsch, Florian A1 - Mooij, Wolf M. A1 - Railsback, Steven Floyd A1 - Thulke, Hans-Hermann A1 - Weiner, Jacob A1 - Wiegand, Thorsten A1 - DeAngelis, Donald L. T1 - Pattern-oriented modeling of agend-based complex systems : lessons from ecology N2 - Agent-based complex systems are dynamic networks of many interacting agents; examples include ecosystems, financial markets, and cities. The search for general principles underlying the internal organization of such systems often uses bottom-up simulation models such as cellular automata and agent-based models. No general framework for designing, testing, and analyzing bottom-up models has yet been established, but recent advances in ecological modeling have come together in a general strategy we call pattern-oriented modeling. This strategy provides a unifying framework for decoding the internal organization of agent-based complex systems and may lead toward unifying algorithmic theories of the relation between adaptive behavior and system complexity Y1 - 2005 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Grimm, Volker A1 - Revilla, Eloy A1 - Groeneveld, Jürgen A1 - Kramer-Schadt, Stephanie A1 - Schwager, Monika A1 - Tews, Jörg A1 - Wichmann, Matthias A1 - Jeltsch, Florian T1 - Importance of buffer mechanisms for population viability analysis Y1 - 2005 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Jeltsch, Florian A1 - Wiegand, T. A1 - Hanski, I. A1 - Grimm, Volker T1 - Using pattern-oriented modeling for revealing hidden information : a key for reconciling ecological theory and application Y1 - 2003 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wichmann, Matthias A1 - Groeneveld, Jürgen A1 - Jeltsch, Florian A1 - Grimm, Volker T1 - Mitigation of climate change impacts on raptors by behavioural adaption : ecological buffering mechanism Y1 - 2005 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Jeltsch, Florian A1 - Weber, Gisela A1 - Grimm, Volker T1 - Ecological buffering mechanisms in savannas : a unifying theory of long-term tree-grass coexistence Y1 - 2000 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - May, Felix A1 - Grimm, Volker A1 - Jeltsch, Florian T1 - Reversed effects of grazing on plant diversity : the role of below-ground competition and size symmetry N2 - Grazing is known as one of the key factors for diversity and community composition in grassland ecosystems, but the response of plant communities towards grazing varies remarkably between sites with different environmental conditions. It is generally accepted that grazing increases plant diversity in productive environments, while it tends to reduce diversity in unproductive habitats (grazing reversal hypothesis). Despite empirical evidence for this pattern the mechanistic link between modes of plant-plant competition and grazing response at the community level still remains poorly understood. Root-competition in particular has rarely been included in theoretical studies, although it has been hypothesized that variations in productivity and grazing regime can alter the relative importance of shoot- and root-competition. We therefore developed an individual-based model based on plant functional traits to investigate the response of a grassland community towards grazing. Models of different complexity, either incorporating only shoot competition or with distinct shoot- and root-competition, were used to study the interactive effects of grazing, resource availability, and the mode of competition (size-symmetric or asymmetric). The pattern predicted by the grazing reversal hypothesis (GRH) can only be explained by our model if shoot- and root-competition are explicitly considered and if size asymmetry of above- and symmetry of below-ground competition is assumed. For this scenario, the model additionally reproduced empirically observed plant trait responses: erect and large plant functional types (PFTs) dominated without grazing, while frequent grazing favoured small PFTs with a rosette growth form. We conclude that interactions between shoot- and root-competition and size symmetry/asymmetry of plant-plant interactions are crucial in order to understand grazing response under different habitat productivities. Our results suggest that future empirical trait surveys in grassland communities should include root traits, which have been largely ignored in previous studies, in order to improve predictions of plants" responses to grazing. Y1 - 2009 UR - http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/118531693/home U6 - https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1600-0706.2009.17724.x SN - 0030-1299 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Jeltsch, Florian A1 - Grimm, Volker A1 - Reeg, Jette A1 - Schlägel, Ulrike E. T1 - Give chance a chance BT - from coexistence to coviability in biodiversity theory T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - A large part of biodiversity theory is driven by the basic question of what allows species to coexist in spite of a confined number of niches. A substantial theoretical background to this question is provided by modern coexistence theory (MCT), which rests on mathematical approaches of invasion analysis to categorize underlying mechanisms into factors that reduce either niche overlap (stabilizing mechanisms) or the average fitness differences of species (equalizing mechanisms). While MCT has inspired biodiversity theory in the search for these underlying mechanisms, we feel that the strong focus on coexistence causes a bias toward the most abundant species and neglects the plethora of species that are less abundant and often show high local turnover. Given the more stochastic nature of their occurrence, we advocate a complementary cross-level approach that links individuals, small populations, and communities and explicitly takes into account (1) a more complete inclusion of environmental and demographic stochasticity affecting small populations, (2) intraspecific trait variation and behavioral plasticity, and (3) local heterogeneities, interactions, and feedbacks. Focusing on mechanisms that drive the temporary coviability of species rather than infinite coexistence, we suggest a new approach that could be dubbed coviability analysis (CVA). From a modeling perspective, CVA builds on the merged approaches of individual-based modeling and population viability analysis but extends them to the community level. From an empirical viewpoint, CVA calls for a stronger integration of spatiotemporal data on variability and noise, changing drivers, and interactions at the level of individuals. The resulting large volumes of data from multiple sources could be strongly supported by novel techniques tailored to the discovery of complex patterns in high-dimensional data. By complementing MCT through a stronger focus on the coviability of less common species, this approach can help make modern biodiversity theory more comprehensive, predictive, and relevant for applications. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 742 KW - behavioral plasticity KW - biodiversity KW - coexistence KW - community theory KW - coviability analysis KW - demographic noise KW - environmental noise KW - heterogeneity KW - individual-based modeling KW - intraspecific trait variation KW - modern coexistence theory KW - population viability analysis Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-435320 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 742 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Jeltsch, Florian A1 - Grimm, Volker A1 - Reeg, Jette A1 - Schlägel, Ulrike E. T1 - Give chance a chance BT - from coexistence to coviability in biodiversity theory JF - Ecosphere N2 - A large part of biodiversity theory is driven by the basic question of what allows species to coexist in spite of a confined number of niches. A substantial theoretical background to this question is provided by modern coexistence theory (MCT), which rests on mathematical approaches of invasion analysis to categorize underlying mechanisms into factors that reduce either niche overlap (stabilizing mechanisms) or the average fitness differences of species (equalizing mechanisms). While MCT has inspired biodiversity theory in the search for these underlying mechanisms, we feel that the strong focus on coexistence causes a bias toward the most abundant species and neglects the plethora of species that are less abundant and often show high local turnover. Given the more stochastic nature of their occurrence, we advocate a complementary cross-level approach that links individuals, small populations, and communities and explicitly takes into account (1) a more complete inclusion of environmental and demographic stochasticity affecting small populations, (2) intraspecific trait variation and behavioral plasticity, and (3) local heterogeneities, interactions, and feedbacks. Focusing on mechanisms that drive the temporary coviability of species rather than infinite coexistence, we suggest a new approach that could be dubbed coviability analysis (CVA). From a modeling perspective, CVA builds on the merged approaches of individual-based modeling and population viability analysis but extends them to the community level. From an empirical viewpoint, CVA calls for a stronger integration of spatiotemporal data on variability and noise, changing drivers, and interactions at the level of individuals. The resulting large volumes of data from multiple sources could be strongly supported by novel techniques tailored to the discovery of complex patterns in high-dimensional data. By complementing MCT through a stronger focus on the coviability of less common species, this approach can help make modern biodiversity theory more comprehensive, predictive, and relevant for applications. KW - behavioral plasticity KW - biodiversity KW - coexistence KW - community theory KW - coviability analysis KW - demographic noise KW - environmental noise KW - heterogeneity KW - individual-based modeling KW - intraspecific trait variation KW - modern coexistence theory KW - population viability analysis Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/ecs2.2700 SN - 2150-8925 VL - 10 IS - 5 PB - ESA CY - Ithaca, NY ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Crawford, Michael A1 - Jeltsch, Florian A1 - May, Felix A1 - Grimm, Volker A1 - Schlägel, Ulrike E. T1 - Intraspecific trait variation increases species diversity in a trait-based grassland model JF - Oikos N2 - Intraspecific trait variation (ITV) is thought to play a significant role in community assembly, but the magnitude and direction of its influence are not well understood. Although it may be critical to better explain population persistence, species interactions, and therefore biodiversity patterns, manipulating ITV in experiments is challenging. We therefore incorporated ITV into a trait‐ and individual‐based model of grassland community assembly by adding variation to the plants’ functional traits, which then drive life‐history tradeoffs. Varying the amount of ITV in the simulation, we examine its influence on pairwise‐coexistence and then on the species diversity in communities of different initial sizes. We find that ITV increases the ability of the weakest species to invade most, but that this effect does not scale to the community level, where the primary effect of ITV is to increase the persistence and abundance of the competitively‐average species. Diversity of the initial community is also of critical importance in determining ITV's efficacy; above a threshold of interspecific diversity, ITV does not increase diversity further. For communities below this threshold, ITV mainly helps to increase diversity in those communities that would otherwise be low‐diversity. These findings suggest that ITV actively maintains diversity by helping the species on the margins of persistence, but mostly in habitats of relatively low alpha and beta diversity. KW - community assembly KW - individual-based model KW - intraspecific trait variation Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1111/oik.05567 SN - 0030-1299 SN - 1600-0706 VL - 128 IS - 3 SP - 441 EP - 455 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Teckentrup, Lisa A1 - Grimm, Volker A1 - Kramer-Schadt, Stephanie A1 - Jeltsch, Florian T1 - Community consequences of foraging under fear JF - Ecological modelling : international journal on ecological modelling and engineering and systems ecolog N2 - Non-consumptive effects of predators within ecosystems can alter the behavior of individual prey species, and have cascading effects on other trophic levels. In this context, an understanding of non-consumptive predator effects on the whole prey community is crucial for predicting community structure and composition, hence biodiversity patterns. We used an individual-based, spatially-explicit modelling approach to investigate the consequences of landscapes of fear on prey community metrics. The model spans multiple hierarchical levels from individual home range formation based on food availability and perceived predation risk to consequences on prey community structure and composition. This mechanistic approach allowed us to explore how important factors such as refuge availability and foraging strategy under fear affect prey community metrics. Fear of predators affected prey space use, such as home range formation. These adaptations had broader consequences for the community leading to changes in community structure and composition. The strength of community responses to perceived predation risk was driven by refuge availability in the landscape and the foraging strategy of prey animals. Low refuge availability in the landscape strongly decreased diversity and total biomass of prey communities. Additionally, body mass distributions in prey communities facing high predation risk were shifted towards small prey animals. With increasing refuge availability the consequences of non-consumptive predator effects were reduced, diversity and total biomass of the prey community increased. Prey foraging strategies affected community composition. Under medium refuge availability, risk-averse prey communities consisted of many small animals while risk-taking prey communities showed a more even body mass distribution. Our findings reveal that non-consumptive predator effects can have important implications for prey community diversity and should therefore be considered in the context of conservation and nature management. KW - Predator-prey interactions KW - Individual-based model KW - Landscape of fear KW - Home range KW - Biodiversity KW - Foraging Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2018.05.015 SN - 0304-3800 SN - 1872-7026 VL - 383 SP - 80 EP - 90 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Bertram, Christoph A1 - Riahi, Keywan A1 - Hilaire, Jérôme A1 - Bosetti, Valentina A1 - Drouet, Laurent A1 - Fricko, Oliver A1 - Malik, Aman A1 - Nogueira, Larissa Pupo A1 - van der Zwaan, Bob A1 - van Ruijven, Bas A1 - van Vuuren, Detlef P. A1 - Weitzel, Matthias A1 - Longa, Francesco Dalla A1 - de Boer, Harmen-Sytze A1 - Emmerling, Johannes A1 - Fosse, Florian A1 - Fragkiadakis, Kostas A1 - Harmsen, Mathijs A1 - Keramidas, Kimon A1 - Kishimoto, Paul Natsuo A1 - Kriegler, Elmar A1 - Krey, Volker A1 - Paroussos, Leonidas A1 - Saygin, Deger A1 - Vrontisi, Zoi A1 - Luderer, Gunnar T1 - Energy system developments and investments in the decisive decade for the Paris Agreement goals JF - Environmental research letters N2 - The Paris Agreement does not only stipulate to limit the global average temperature increase to well below 2 °C, it also calls for 'making finance flows consistent with a pathway towards low greenhouse gas emissions'. Consequently, there is an urgent need to understand the implications of climate targets for energy systems and quantify the associated investment requirements in the coming decade. A meaningful analysis must however consider the near-term mitigation requirements to avoid the overshoot of a temperature goal. It must also include the recently observed fast technological progress in key mitigation options. Here, we use a new and unique scenario ensemble that limit peak warming by construction and that stems from seven up-to-date integrated assessment models. This allows us to study the near-term implications of different limits to peak temperature increase under a consistent and up-to-date set of assumptions. We find that ambitious immediate action allows for limiting median warming outcomes to well below 2 °C in all models. By contrast, current nationally determined contributions for 2030 would add around 0.2 °C of peak warming, leading to an unavoidable transgression of 1.5 °C in all models, and 2 °C in some. In contrast to the incremental changes as foreseen by current plans, ambitious peak warming targets require decisive emission cuts until 2030, with the most substantial contribution to decarbonization coming from the power sector. Therefore, investments into low-carbon power generation need to increase beyond current levels to meet the Paris goals, especially for solar and wind technologies and related system enhancements for electricity transmission, distribution and storage. Estimates on absolute investment levels, up-scaling of other low-carbon power generation technologies and investment shares in less ambitious scenarios vary considerably across models. In scenarios limiting peak warming to below 2 °C, while coal is phased out quickly, oil and gas are still being used significantly until 2030, albeit at lower than current levels. This requires continued investments into existing oil and gas infrastructure, but investments into new fields in such scenarios might not be needed. The results show that credible and effective policy action is essential for ensuring efficient allocation of investments aligned with medium-term climate targets. KW - Paris Agreement KW - energy investments KW - mitigation policies KW - climate policy KW - integrated assessment modelling Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac09ae SN - 1748-9326 VL - 16 IS - 7 PB - IOP Publishing CY - Bristol ER - TY - GEN A1 - Weise, Hanna A1 - Auge, Harald A1 - Baessler, Cornelia A1 - Bärlund, Ilona A1 - Bennett, Elena M. A1 - Berger, Uta A1 - Bohn, Friedrich A1 - Bonn, Aletta A1 - Borchardt, Dietrich A1 - Brand, Fridolin A1 - Jeltsch, Florian A1 - Joshi, Jasmin Radha A1 - Grimm, Volker T1 - Resilience trinity BT - Safeguarding ecosystem functioning and services across three different time horizons and decision contexts T2 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - Ensuring ecosystem resilience is an intuitive approach to safeguard the functioning of ecosystems and hence the future provisioning of ecosystem services (ES). However, resilience is a multi-faceted concept that is difficult to operationalize. Focusing on resilience mechanisms, such as diversity, network architectures or adaptive capacity, has recently been suggested as means to operationalize resilience. Still, the focus on mechanisms is not specific enough. We suggest a conceptual framework, resilience trinity, to facilitate management based on resilience mechanisms in three distinctive decision contexts and time-horizons: 1) reactive, when there is an imminent threat to ES resilience and a high pressure to act, 2) adjustive, when the threat is known in general but there is still time to adapt management and 3) provident, when time horizons are very long and the nature of the threats is uncertain, leading to a low willingness to act. Resilience has different interpretations and implications at these different time horizons, which also prevail in different disciplines. Social ecology, ecology and engineering are often implicitly focussing on provident, adjustive or reactive resilience, respectively, but these different notions of resilience and their corresponding social, ecological and economic tradeoffs need to be reconciled. Otherwise, we keep risking unintended consequences of reactive actions, or shying away from provident action because of uncertainties that cannot be reduced. The suggested trinity of time horizons and their decision contexts could help ensuring that longer-term management actions are not missed while urgent threats to ES are given priority. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 1444 KW - concepts KW - ecosystems KW - ecosystem services provisioning KW - management KW - resilience Y1 - 2020 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-515284 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 4 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Milles, Alexander Benedikt A1 - Dammhahn, Melanie A1 - Jeltsch, Florian A1 - Schlägel, Ulrike A1 - Grimm, Volker T1 - Fluctuations in density-dependent selection drive the evolution of a pace-of-life syndrome within and between populations JF - The American naturalist : a bi-monthly journal devoted to the advancement and correlation of the biological sciences N2 - The pace-of-life syndrome (POLS) hypothesis posits that suites of traits are correlated along a slow-fast continuum owing to life history trade-offs. Despite widespread adoption, environmental conditions driving the emergence of POLS remain unclear. A recently proposed conceptual framework of POLS suggests that a slow-fast continuum should align to fluctuations in density-dependent selection. We tested three key predictions made by this framework with an ecoevolutionary agent-based population model. Selection acted on responsiveness (behavioral trait) to interpatch resource differences and the reproductive investment threshold (life history trait). Across environments with density fluctuations of different magnitudes, we observed the emergence of a common axis of trait covariation between and within populations (i.e., the evolution of a POLS). Slow-type (fast-type) populations with high (low) responsiveness and low (high) reproductive investment threshold were selected at high (low) population densities and less (more) intense and frequent density fluctuations. In support of the predictions, fast-type populations contained a higher degree of variation in traits and were associated with higher intrinsic reproductive rate (r(0)) and higher sensitivity to intraspecific competition (gamma), pointing to a universal trade-off. While our findings support that POLS aligns with density-dependent selection, we discuss possible mechanisms that may lead to alternative evolutionary pathways. KW - pace-of-life syndrome KW - density dependence KW - life history KW - trait KW - variation KW - model KW - personality Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1086/718473 SN - 0003-0147 SN - 1537-5323 VL - 199 IS - 4 SP - E124 EP - E139 PB - Univ. of Chicago Press CY - Chicago ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Jeltsch, Florian A1 - Blaum, Niels A1 - Brose, Ulrich A1 - Chipperfield, Joseph D. A1 - Clough, Yann A1 - Farwig, Nina A1 - Geissler, Katja A1 - Graham, Catherine H. A1 - Grimm, Volker A1 - Hickler, Thomas A1 - Huth, Andreas A1 - May, Felix A1 - Meyer, Katrin M. A1 - Pagel, Jörn A1 - Reineking, Björn A1 - Rillig, Matthias C. A1 - Shea, Katriona A1 - Schurr, Frank Martin A1 - Schroeder, Boris A1 - Tielbörger, Katja A1 - Weiss, Lina A1 - Wiegand, Kerstin A1 - Wiegand, Thorsten A1 - Wirth, Christian A1 - Zurell, Damaris T1 - How can we bring together empiricists and modellers in functional biodiversity research? JF - Basic and applied ecology : Journal of the Gesellschaft für Ökologie N2 - Improving our understanding of biodiversity and ecosystem functioning and our capacity to inform ecosystem management requires an integrated framework for functional biodiversity research (FBR). However, adequate integration among empirical approaches (monitoring and experimental) and modelling has rarely been achieved in FBR. We offer an appraisal of the issues involved and chart a course towards enhanced integration. A major element of this path is the joint orientation towards the continuous refinement of a theoretical framework for FBR that links theory testing and generalization with applied research oriented towards the conservation of biodiversity and ecosystem functioning. We further emphasize existing decision-making frameworks as suitable instruments to practically merge these different aims of FBR and bring them into application. This integrated framework requires joint research planning, and should improve communication and stimulate collaboration between modellers and empiricists, thereby overcoming existing reservations and prejudices. The implementation of this integrative research agenda for FBR requires an adaptation in most national and international funding schemes in order to accommodate such joint teams and their more complex structures and data needs. KW - Biodiversity theory KW - Biodiversity experiments KW - Conservation management KW - Decision-making KW - Ecosystem functions and services KW - Forecasting KW - Functional traits KW - Global change KW - Monitoring programmes KW - Interdisciplinarity Y1 - 2013 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.baae.2013.01.001 SN - 1439-1791 VL - 14 IS - 2 SP - 93 EP - 101 PB - Elsevier CY - Jena ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rossmanith, Eva A1 - Grimm, Volker A1 - Blaum, Niels A1 - Jeltsch, Florian T1 - Behavioural flexibility in the mating system buffers population extinction: lessons from the Lesser Spotted Woodpecker (Picoides minor) N2 - In most stochastic models addressing the persistence of small populations, environmental noise is included by imposing a synchronized effect of the environment on all individuals. However, buffer mechanisms are likely to exist that may counteract this synchronization to some degree. We have studied whether the flexibility in the mating system, which has been observed in some bird species, is a potential mechanism counteracting the synchronization of environmental fluctuations. Our study organism is the lesser spotted woodpecker Picoides minor (Linnaeus), a generally monogamous species. However, facultative polyandry, where one female mates with two males with separate nests, was observed in years with male-biased sex ratio. We constructed an individual-based model from data and observations of a population in Taunus, Germany. We tested the impact of three behavioural scenarios on population persistence: (1) strict monogamy; (2) polyandry without costs; and (3) polyandry assuming costs in terms of lower survival and reproductive success for secondary males. We assumed that polyandry occurs only in years with male-biased sex ratio and only for females with favourable breeding conditions. Even low rates of polyandry had a strong positive effect on population persistence. The increase of persistence with carrying capacity was slower in the monogamous scenario, indicating strong environmental noise. In the polyandrous scenarios, the increase of persistence was stronger, indicating a buffer mechanism. In the polyandrous scenarios, populations had a higher mean population size, a lower variation in number of individuals, and recovered faster after a population breakdown. Presuming a realistic polyandry rate and costs for polyandry, there was still a strong effect of polyandry on persistence. The results show that polyandry and in general flexibility in mating systems is a buffer mechanism that can significantly reduce the impact of environmental and demographic noise in small populations. Consequently, we suggest that even behaviour that seems to be exceptional should be considered explicitly when predicting the persistence of populations Y1 - 2006 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2656.2006.01074.x ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Scherer, Cedric A1 - Jeltsch, Florian A1 - Grimm, Volker A1 - Blaum, Niels T1 - Merging trait-based and individual-based modelling: An animal functional type approach to explore the responses of birds to climatic and land use changes in semi-arid African savannas JF - Ecological modelling : international journal on ecological modelling and engineering and systems ecolog N2 - Climate change and land use management practices are major drivers of biodiversity in terrestrial ecosystems. To understand and predict resulting changes in community structures, individual-based and spatially explicit population models are a useful tool but require detailed data sets for each species. More generic approaches are thus needed. Here we present a trait-based functional type approach to model savanna birds. The aim of our model is to explore the response of different bird functional types to modifications in habitat structure. The functional types are characterized by different traits, in particular body mass, which is related to life-history traits (reproduction and mortality) and spatial scales (home range area and dispersal ability), as well as the use of vegetation structures for foraging and nesting, which is related to habitat quality and suitability. We tested the performance of the functional types in artificial landscapes varying in shrub:grass ratio and clumping intensity of shrub patches. We found that an increase in shrub encroachment and a decrease in habitat quality caused by land use mismanagement and climate change endangered all simulated bird functional types. The strength of this effect was related to the preferred habitat. Furthermore, larger-bodied insectivores and omnivores were more prone to extinction due to shrub encroachment compared to small-bodied species. Insectivorous and omnivorous birds were more sensitive to clumping intensity of shrubs whereas herbivorous and carnivorous birds were most affected by a decreasing amount of grass cover. From an applied point of view, our findings emphasize that policies such as woody plant removal and a reduction in livestock stocking rates to prevent shrub encroachment should prioritize the enlargement of existing grassland patches. Overall, our results show that the combination of an individual-based modelling approach with carefully defined functional types can provide a powerful tool for exploring biodiversity responses to environmental changes. Furthermore, the increasing accumulation of worldwide data sets on species’ core and soft traits (surrogates to determine core traits indirectly) on one side and the refinement of conceptual frameworks for animal functional types on the other side will further improve functional type approaches which consider the sensitivities of multiple species to climate change, habitat loss, and fragmentation. KW - IBM KW - Functional types KW - Trait-based approach KW - Shrub encroachment KW - Birds Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2015.07.005 SN - 0304-3800 SN - 1872-7026 VL - 326 SP - 75 EP - 89 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wuttke, Matthias A1 - Li, Yong A1 - Li, Man A1 - Sieber, Karsten B. A1 - Feitosa, Mary F. A1 - Gorski, Mathias A1 - Tin, Adrienne A1 - Wang, Lihua A1 - Chu, Audrey Y. A1 - Hoppmann, Anselm A1 - Kirsten, Holger A1 - Giri, Ayush A1 - Chai, Jin-Fang A1 - Sveinbjornsson, Gardar A1 - Tayo, Bamidele O. A1 - Nutile, Teresa A1 - Fuchsberger, Christian A1 - Marten, Jonathan A1 - Cocca, Massimiliano A1 - Ghasemi, Sahar A1 - Xu, Yizhe A1 - Horn, Katrin A1 - Noce, Damia A1 - Van der Most, Peter J. A1 - Sedaghat, Sanaz A1 - Yu, Zhi A1 - Akiyama, Masato A1 - Afaq, Saima A1 - Ahluwalia, Tarunveer Singh A1 - Almgren, Peter A1 - Amin, Najaf A1 - Arnlov, Johan A1 - Bakker, Stephan J. L. A1 - Bansal, Nisha A1 - Baptista, Daniela A1 - Bergmann, Sven A1 - Biggs, Mary L. A1 - Biino, Ginevra A1 - Boehnke, Michael A1 - Boerwinkle, Eric A1 - Boissel, Mathilde A1 - Böttinger, Erwin A1 - Boutin, Thibaud S. A1 - Brenner, Hermann A1 - Brumat, Marco A1 - Burkhardt, Ralph A1 - Butterworth, Adam S. A1 - Campana, Eric A1 - Campbell, Archie A1 - Campbell, Harry A1 - Canouil, Mickael A1 - Carroll, Robert J. A1 - Catamo, Eulalia A1 - Chambers, John C. A1 - Chee, Miao-Ling A1 - Chee, Miao-Li A1 - Chen, Xu A1 - Cheng, Ching-Yu A1 - Cheng, Yurong A1 - Christensen, Kaare A1 - Cifkova, Renata A1 - Ciullo, Marina A1 - Concas, Maria Pina A1 - Cook, James P. A1 - Coresh, Josef A1 - Corre, Tanguy A1 - Sala, Cinzia Felicita A1 - Cusi, Daniele A1 - Danesh, John A1 - Daw, E. Warwick A1 - De Borst, Martin H. A1 - De Grandi, Alessandro A1 - De Mutsert, Renee A1 - De Vries, Aiko P. J. A1 - Degenhardt, Frauke A1 - Delgado, Graciela A1 - Demirkan, Ayse A1 - Di Angelantonio, Emanuele A1 - Dittrich, Katalin A1 - Divers, Jasmin A1 - Dorajoo, Rajkumar A1 - Eckardt, Kai-Uwe A1 - Ehret, Georg A1 - Elliott, Paul A1 - Endlich, Karlhans A1 - Evans, Michele K. A1 - Felix, Janine F. A1 - Foo, Valencia Hui Xian A1 - Franco, Oscar H. A1 - Franke, Andre A1 - Freedman, Barry I. A1 - Freitag-Wolf, Sandra A1 - Friedlander, Yechiel A1 - Froguel, Philippe A1 - Gansevoort, Ron T. A1 - Gao, He A1 - Gasparini, Paolo A1 - Gaziano, J. Michael A1 - Giedraitis, Vilmantas A1 - Gieger, Christian A1 - Girotto, Giorgia A1 - Giulianini, Franco A1 - Gogele, Martin A1 - Gordon, Scott D. A1 - Gudbjartsson, Daniel F. A1 - Gudnason, Vilmundur A1 - Haller, Toomas A1 - Hamet, Pavel A1 - Harris, Tamara B. A1 - Hartman, Catharina A. A1 - Hayward, Caroline A1 - Hellwege, Jacklyn N. A1 - Heng, Chew-Kiat A1 - Hicks, Andrew A. A1 - Hofer, Edith A1 - Huang, Wei A1 - Hutri-Kahonen, Nina A1 - Hwang, Shih-Jen A1 - Ikram, M. Arfan A1 - Indridason, Olafur S. A1 - Ingelsson, Erik A1 - Ising, Marcus A1 - Jaddoe, Vincent W. V. A1 - Jakobsdottir, Johanna A1 - Jonas, Jost B. A1 - Joshi, Peter K. A1 - Josyula, Navya Shilpa A1 - Jung, Bettina A1 - Kahonen, Mika A1 - Kamatani, Yoichiro A1 - Kammerer, Candace M. A1 - Kanai, Masahiro A1 - Kastarinen, Mika A1 - Kerr, Shona M. A1 - Khor, Chiea-Chuen A1 - Kiess, Wieland A1 - Kleber, Marcus E. A1 - Koenig, Wolfgang A1 - Kooner, Jaspal S. A1 - Korner, Antje A1 - Kovacs, Peter A1 - Kraja, Aldi T. A1 - Krajcoviechova, Alena A1 - Kramer, Holly A1 - Kramer, Bernhard K. A1 - Kronenberg, Florian A1 - Kubo, Michiaki A1 - Kuhnel, Brigitte A1 - Kuokkanen, Mikko A1 - Kuusisto, Johanna A1 - La Bianca, Martina A1 - Laakso, Markku A1 - Lange, Leslie A. A1 - Langefeld, Carl D. A1 - Lee, Jeannette Jen-Mai A1 - Lehne, Benjamin A1 - Lehtimaki, Terho A1 - Lieb, Wolfgang A1 - Lim, Su-Chi A1 - Lind, Lars A1 - Lindgren, Cecilia M. A1 - Liu, Jun A1 - Liu, Jianjun A1 - Loeffler, Markus A1 - Loos, Ruth J. F. A1 - Lucae, Susanne A1 - Lukas, Mary Ann A1 - Lyytikainen, Leo-Pekka A1 - Magi, Reedik A1 - Magnusson, Patrik K. E. A1 - Mahajan, Anubha A1 - Martin, Nicholas G. A1 - Martins, Jade A1 - Marz, Winfried A1 - Mascalzoni, Deborah A1 - Matsuda, Koichi A1 - Meisinger, Christa A1 - Meitinger, Thomas A1 - Melander, Olle A1 - Metspalu, Andres A1 - Mikaelsdottir, Evgenia K. A1 - Milaneschi, Yuri A1 - Miliku, Kozeta A1 - Mishra, Pashupati P. A1 - Program, V. A. Million Veteran A1 - Mohlke, Karen L. A1 - Mononen, Nina A1 - Montgomery, Grant W. A1 - Mook-Kanamori, Dennis O. A1 - Mychaleckyj, Josyf C. A1 - Nadkarni, Girish N. A1 - Nalls, Mike A. A1 - Nauck, Matthias A1 - Nikus, Kjell A1 - Ning, Boting A1 - Nolte, Ilja M. A1 - Noordam, Raymond A1 - Olafsson, Isleifur A1 - Oldehinkel, Albertine J. A1 - Orho-Melander, Marju A1 - Ouwehand, Willem H. A1 - Padmanabhan, Sandosh A1 - Palmer, Nicholette D. A1 - Palsson, Runolfur A1 - Penninx, Brenda W. J. H. A1 - Perls, Thomas A1 - Perola, Markus A1 - Pirastu, Mario A1 - Pirastu, Nicola A1 - Pistis, Giorgio A1 - Podgornaia, Anna I. A1 - Polasek, Ozren A1 - Ponte, Belen A1 - Porteous, David J. A1 - Poulain, Tanja A1 - Pramstaller, Peter P. A1 - Preuss, Michael H. A1 - Prins, Bram P. A1 - Province, Michael A. A1 - Rabelink, Ton J. A1 - Raffield, Laura M. A1 - Raitakari, Olli T. A1 - Reilly, Dermot F. A1 - Rettig, Rainer A1 - Rheinberger, Myriam A1 - Rice, Kenneth M. A1 - Ridker, Paul M. A1 - Rivadeneira, Fernando A1 - Rizzi, Federica A1 - Roberts, David J. A1 - Robino, Antonietta A1 - Rossing, Peter A1 - Rudan, Igor A1 - Rueedi, Rico A1 - Ruggiero, Daniela A1 - Ryan, Kathleen A. A1 - Saba, Yasaman A1 - Sabanayagam, Charumathi A1 - Salomaa, Veikko A1 - Salvi, Erika A1 - Saum, Kai-Uwe A1 - Schmidt, Helena A1 - Schmidt, Reinhold A1 - Ben Schottker, A1 - Schulz, Christina-Alexandra A1 - Schupf, Nicole A1 - Shaffer, Christian M. A1 - Shi, Yuan A1 - Smith, Albert V. A1 - Smith, Blair H. A1 - Soranzo, Nicole A1 - Spracklen, Cassandra N. A1 - Strauch, Konstantin A1 - Stringham, Heather M. A1 - Stumvoll, Michael A1 - Svensson, Per O. A1 - Szymczak, Silke A1 - Tai, E-Shyong A1 - Tajuddin, Salman M. A1 - Tan, Nicholas Y. Q. A1 - Taylor, Kent D. A1 - Teren, Andrej A1 - Tham, Yih-Chung A1 - Thiery, Joachim A1 - Thio, Chris H. L. A1 - Thomsen, Hauke A1 - Thorleifsson, Gudmar A1 - Toniolo, Daniela A1 - Tonjes, Anke A1 - Tremblay, Johanne A1 - Tzoulaki, Ioanna A1 - Uitterlinden, Andre G. A1 - Vaccargiu, Simona A1 - Van Dam, Rob M. A1 - Van der Harst, Pim A1 - Van Duijn, Cornelia M. A1 - Edward, Digna R. Velez A1 - Verweij, Niek A1 - Vogelezang, Suzanne A1 - Volker, Uwe A1 - Vollenweider, Peter A1 - Waeber, Gerard A1 - Waldenberger, Melanie A1 - Wallentin, Lars A1 - Wang, Ya Xing A1 - Wang, Chaolong A1 - Waterworth, Dawn M. A1 - Bin Wei, Wen A1 - White, Harvey A1 - Whitfield, John B. A1 - Wild, Sarah H. A1 - Wilson, James F. A1 - Wojczynski, Mary K. A1 - Wong, Charlene A1 - Wong, Tien-Yin A1 - Xu, Liang A1 - Yang, Qiong A1 - Yasuda, Masayuki A1 - Yerges-Armstrong, Laura M. A1 - Zhang, Weihua A1 - Zonderman, Alan B. A1 - Rotter, Jerome I. A1 - Bochud, Murielle A1 - Psaty, Bruce M. A1 - Vitart, Veronique A1 - Wilson, James G. A1 - Dehghan, Abbas A1 - Parsa, Afshin A1 - Chasman, Daniel I. A1 - Ho, Kevin A1 - Morris, Andrew P. A1 - Devuyst, Olivier A1 - Akilesh, Shreeram A1 - Pendergrass, Sarah A. A1 - Sim, Xueling A1 - Boger, Carsten A. A1 - Okada, Yukinori A1 - Edwards, Todd L. A1 - Snieder, Harold A1 - Stefansson, Kari A1 - Hung, Adriana M. A1 - Heid, Iris M. A1 - Scholz, Markus A1 - Teumer, Alexander A1 - Kottgen, Anna A1 - Pattaro, Cristian T1 - A catalog of genetic loci associated with kidney function from analyses of a million individuals JF - Nature genetics N2 - Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is responsible for a public health burden with multi-systemic complications. Through transancestry meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and independent replication (n = 1,046,070), we identified 264 associated loci (166 new). Of these,147 were likely to be relevant for kidney function on the basis of associations with the alternative kidney function marker blood urea nitrogen (n = 416,178). Pathway and enrichment analyses, including mouse models with renal phenotypes, support the kidney as the main target organ. A genetic risk score for lower eGFR was associated with clinically diagnosed CKD in 452,264 independent individuals. Colocalization analyses of associations with eGFR among 783,978 European-ancestry individuals and gene expression across 46 human tissues, including tubulo-interstitial and glomerular kidney compartments, identified 17 genes differentially expressed in kidney. Fine-mapping highlighted missense driver variants in 11 genes and kidney-specific regulatory variants. These results provide a comprehensive priority list of molecular targets for translational research. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/s41588-019-0407-x SN - 1061-4036 SN - 1546-1718 VL - 51 IS - 6 SP - 957 EP - + PB - Nature Publ. Group CY - New York ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Weise, Hanna A1 - Auge, Harald A1 - Baessler, Cornelia A1 - Bärlund, Ilona A1 - Bennett, Elena M. A1 - Berger, Uta A1 - Bohn, Friedrich A1 - Bonn, Aletta A1 - Borchardt, Dietrich A1 - Brand, Fridolin A1 - Jeltsch, Florian A1 - Joshi, Jasmin Radha A1 - Grimm, Volker T1 - Resilience trinity BT - safeguarding ecosystem functioning and services across three different time horizons and decision contexts JF - Oikos N2 - Ensuring ecosystem resilience is an intuitive approach to safeguard the functioning of ecosystems and hence the future provisioning of ecosystem services (ES). However, resilience is a multi-faceted concept that is difficult to operationalize. Focusing on resilience mechanisms, such as diversity, network architectures or adaptive capacity, has recently been suggested as means to operationalize resilience. Still, the focus on mechanisms is not specific enough. We suggest a conceptual framework, resilience trinity, to facilitate management based on resilience mechanisms in three distinctive decision contexts and time-horizons: 1) reactive, when there is an imminent threat to ES resilience and a high pressure to act, 2) adjustive, when the threat is known in general but there is still time to adapt management and 3) provident, when time horizons are very long and the nature of the threats is uncertain, leading to a low willingness to act. Resilience has different interpretations and implications at these different time horizons, which also prevail in different disciplines. Social ecology, ecology and engineering are often implicitly focussing on provident, adjustive or reactive resilience, respectively, but these different notions of resilience and their corresponding social, ecological and economic tradeoffs need to be reconciled. Otherwise, we keep risking unintended consequences of reactive actions, or shying away from provident action because of uncertainties that cannot be reduced. The suggested trinity of time horizons and their decision contexts could help ensuring that longer-term management actions are not missed while urgent threats to ES are given priority. KW - concepts KW - ecosystems KW - ecosystem services provisioning KW - management KW - resilience Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1111/oik.07213 SN - 0030-1299 SN - 1600-0706 VL - 129 IS - 4 SP - 445 EP - 456 PB - Wiley-Blackwell CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Li, Shuang A1 - Abdulkadir, Nafi'u A1 - Schattenberg, Florian A1 - da Rocha, Ulisses Nunes A1 - Grimm, Volker A1 - Müller, Susann A1 - Liu, Zishu T1 - Stabilizing microbial communities by looped mass transfer JF - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America : PNAS N2 - Building and changing a microbiome at will and maintaining it over hundreds of generations has so far proven challenging. Despite best efforts, complex microbiomes appear to be susceptible to large stochastic fluctuations. Current capabilities to assemble and control stable complex microbiomes are limited. Here, we propose a looped mass transfer design that stabilizes microbiomes over long periods of time. Five local microbiomes were continuously grown in parallel for over 114 generations and connected by a loop to a regional pool. Mass transfer rates were altered and microbiome dynamics were monitored using quantitative high-throughput flow cytometry and taxonomic sequencing of whole communities and sorted subcommunities. Increased mass transfer rates reduced local and temporal variation in microbiome assembly, did not affect functions, and overcame stochasticity, with all microbiomes exhibiting high constancy and increasing resistance. Mass transfer synchronized the structures of the five local microbiomes and nestedness of certain cell types was eminent. Mass transfer increased cell number and thus decreased net growth rates mu'. Subsets of cells that did not show net growth mu'SCx were rescued by the regional pool R and thus remained part of the microbiome. The loop in mass transfer ensured the survival of cells that would otherwise go extinct, even if they did not grow in all local microbiomes or grew more slowly than the actual dilution rate D would allow. The rescue effect, known from metacommunity theory, was the main stabilizing mechanism leading to synchrony and survival of subcommunities, despite differences in cell physiological properties, including growth rates. KW - microbial ecology KW - metacommunity assembly KW - stability KW - microbial KW - community cytometry KW - single-cell analytics Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2117814119 SN - 1091-6490 VL - 119 IS - 17 PB - National Acad. of Sciences CY - Washington ER -