TY - JOUR A1 - Wuttke, Matthias A1 - Li, Yong A1 - Li, Man A1 - Sieber, Karsten B. A1 - Feitosa, Mary F. A1 - Gorski, Mathias A1 - Tin, Adrienne A1 - Wang, Lihua A1 - Chu, Audrey Y. A1 - Hoppmann, Anselm A1 - Kirsten, Holger A1 - Giri, Ayush A1 - Chai, Jin-Fang A1 - Sveinbjornsson, Gardar A1 - Tayo, Bamidele O. A1 - Nutile, Teresa A1 - Fuchsberger, Christian A1 - Marten, Jonathan A1 - Cocca, Massimiliano A1 - Ghasemi, Sahar A1 - Xu, Yizhe A1 - Horn, Katrin A1 - Noce, Damia A1 - Van der Most, Peter J. A1 - Sedaghat, Sanaz A1 - Yu, Zhi A1 - Akiyama, Masato A1 - Afaq, Saima A1 - Ahluwalia, Tarunveer Singh A1 - Almgren, Peter A1 - Amin, Najaf A1 - Arnlov, Johan A1 - Bakker, Stephan J. L. A1 - Bansal, Nisha A1 - Baptista, Daniela A1 - Bergmann, Sven A1 - Biggs, Mary L. A1 - Biino, Ginevra A1 - Boehnke, Michael A1 - Boerwinkle, Eric A1 - Boissel, Mathilde A1 - Böttinger, Erwin A1 - Boutin, Thibaud S. A1 - Brenner, Hermann A1 - Brumat, Marco A1 - Burkhardt, Ralph A1 - Butterworth, Adam S. A1 - Campana, Eric A1 - Campbell, Archie A1 - Campbell, Harry A1 - Canouil, Mickael A1 - Carroll, Robert J. A1 - Catamo, Eulalia A1 - Chambers, John C. A1 - Chee, Miao-Ling A1 - Chee, Miao-Li A1 - Chen, Xu A1 - Cheng, Ching-Yu A1 - Cheng, Yurong A1 - Christensen, Kaare A1 - Cifkova, Renata A1 - Ciullo, Marina A1 - Concas, Maria Pina A1 - Cook, James P. A1 - Coresh, Josef A1 - Corre, Tanguy A1 - Sala, Cinzia Felicita A1 - Cusi, Daniele A1 - Danesh, John A1 - Daw, E. Warwick A1 - De Borst, Martin H. A1 - De Grandi, Alessandro A1 - De Mutsert, Renee A1 - De Vries, Aiko P. J. A1 - Degenhardt, Frauke A1 - Delgado, Graciela A1 - Demirkan, Ayse A1 - Di Angelantonio, Emanuele A1 - Dittrich, Katalin A1 - Divers, Jasmin A1 - Dorajoo, Rajkumar A1 - Eckardt, Kai-Uwe A1 - Ehret, Georg A1 - Elliott, Paul A1 - Endlich, Karlhans A1 - Evans, Michele K. A1 - Felix, Janine F. A1 - Foo, Valencia Hui Xian A1 - Franco, Oscar H. A1 - Franke, Andre A1 - Freedman, Barry I. A1 - Freitag-Wolf, Sandra A1 - Friedlander, Yechiel A1 - Froguel, Philippe A1 - Gansevoort, Ron T. A1 - Gao, He A1 - Gasparini, Paolo A1 - Gaziano, J. Michael A1 - Giedraitis, Vilmantas A1 - Gieger, Christian A1 - Girotto, Giorgia A1 - Giulianini, Franco A1 - Gogele, Martin A1 - Gordon, Scott D. A1 - Gudbjartsson, Daniel F. A1 - Gudnason, Vilmundur A1 - Haller, Toomas A1 - Hamet, Pavel A1 - Harris, Tamara B. A1 - Hartman, Catharina A. A1 - Hayward, Caroline A1 - Hellwege, Jacklyn N. A1 - Heng, Chew-Kiat A1 - Hicks, Andrew A. A1 - Hofer, Edith A1 - Huang, Wei A1 - Hutri-Kahonen, Nina A1 - Hwang, Shih-Jen A1 - Ikram, M. Arfan A1 - Indridason, Olafur S. A1 - Ingelsson, Erik A1 - Ising, Marcus A1 - Jaddoe, Vincent W. V. A1 - Jakobsdottir, Johanna A1 - Jonas, Jost B. A1 - Joshi, Peter K. A1 - Josyula, Navya Shilpa A1 - Jung, Bettina A1 - Kahonen, Mika A1 - Kamatani, Yoichiro A1 - Kammerer, Candace M. A1 - Kanai, Masahiro A1 - Kastarinen, Mika A1 - Kerr, Shona M. A1 - Khor, Chiea-Chuen A1 - Kiess, Wieland A1 - Kleber, Marcus E. A1 - Koenig, Wolfgang A1 - Kooner, Jaspal S. A1 - Korner, Antje A1 - Kovacs, Peter A1 - Kraja, Aldi T. A1 - Krajcoviechova, Alena A1 - Kramer, Holly A1 - Kramer, Bernhard K. A1 - Kronenberg, Florian A1 - Kubo, Michiaki A1 - Kuhnel, Brigitte A1 - Kuokkanen, Mikko A1 - Kuusisto, Johanna A1 - La Bianca, Martina A1 - Laakso, Markku A1 - Lange, Leslie A. A1 - Langefeld, Carl D. A1 - Lee, Jeannette Jen-Mai A1 - Lehne, Benjamin A1 - Lehtimaki, Terho A1 - Lieb, Wolfgang A1 - Lim, Su-Chi A1 - Lind, Lars A1 - Lindgren, Cecilia M. A1 - Liu, Jun A1 - Liu, Jianjun A1 - Loeffler, Markus A1 - Loos, Ruth J. F. A1 - Lucae, Susanne A1 - Lukas, Mary Ann A1 - Lyytikainen, Leo-Pekka A1 - Magi, Reedik A1 - Magnusson, Patrik K. E. A1 - Mahajan, Anubha A1 - Martin, Nicholas G. A1 - Martins, Jade A1 - Marz, Winfried A1 - Mascalzoni, Deborah A1 - Matsuda, Koichi A1 - Meisinger, Christa A1 - Meitinger, Thomas A1 - Melander, Olle A1 - Metspalu, Andres A1 - Mikaelsdottir, Evgenia K. A1 - Milaneschi, Yuri A1 - Miliku, Kozeta A1 - Mishra, Pashupati P. A1 - Program, V. A. Million Veteran A1 - Mohlke, Karen L. A1 - Mononen, Nina A1 - Montgomery, Grant W. A1 - Mook-Kanamori, Dennis O. A1 - Mychaleckyj, Josyf C. A1 - Nadkarni, Girish N. A1 - Nalls, Mike A. A1 - Nauck, Matthias A1 - Nikus, Kjell A1 - Ning, Boting A1 - Nolte, Ilja M. A1 - Noordam, Raymond A1 - Olafsson, Isleifur A1 - Oldehinkel, Albertine J. A1 - Orho-Melander, Marju A1 - Ouwehand, Willem H. A1 - Padmanabhan, Sandosh A1 - Palmer, Nicholette D. A1 - Palsson, Runolfur A1 - Penninx, Brenda W. J. H. A1 - Perls, Thomas A1 - Perola, Markus A1 - Pirastu, Mario A1 - Pirastu, Nicola A1 - Pistis, Giorgio A1 - Podgornaia, Anna I. A1 - Polasek, Ozren A1 - Ponte, Belen A1 - Porteous, David J. A1 - Poulain, Tanja A1 - Pramstaller, Peter P. A1 - Preuss, Michael H. A1 - Prins, Bram P. A1 - Province, Michael A. A1 - Rabelink, Ton J. A1 - Raffield, Laura M. A1 - Raitakari, Olli T. A1 - Reilly, Dermot F. A1 - Rettig, Rainer A1 - Rheinberger, Myriam A1 - Rice, Kenneth M. A1 - Ridker, Paul M. A1 - Rivadeneira, Fernando A1 - Rizzi, Federica A1 - Roberts, David J. A1 - Robino, Antonietta A1 - Rossing, Peter A1 - Rudan, Igor A1 - Rueedi, Rico A1 - Ruggiero, Daniela A1 - Ryan, Kathleen A. A1 - Saba, Yasaman A1 - Sabanayagam, Charumathi A1 - Salomaa, Veikko A1 - Salvi, Erika A1 - Saum, Kai-Uwe A1 - Schmidt, Helena A1 - Schmidt, Reinhold A1 - Ben Schottker, A1 - Schulz, Christina-Alexandra A1 - Schupf, Nicole A1 - Shaffer, Christian M. A1 - Shi, Yuan A1 - Smith, Albert V. A1 - Smith, Blair H. A1 - Soranzo, Nicole A1 - Spracklen, Cassandra N. A1 - Strauch, Konstantin A1 - Stringham, Heather M. A1 - Stumvoll, Michael A1 - Svensson, Per O. A1 - Szymczak, Silke A1 - Tai, E-Shyong A1 - Tajuddin, Salman M. A1 - Tan, Nicholas Y. Q. A1 - Taylor, Kent D. A1 - Teren, Andrej A1 - Tham, Yih-Chung A1 - Thiery, Joachim A1 - Thio, Chris H. L. A1 - Thomsen, Hauke A1 - Thorleifsson, Gudmar A1 - Toniolo, Daniela A1 - Tonjes, Anke A1 - Tremblay, Johanne A1 - Tzoulaki, Ioanna A1 - Uitterlinden, Andre G. A1 - Vaccargiu, Simona A1 - Van Dam, Rob M. A1 - Van der Harst, Pim A1 - Van Duijn, Cornelia M. A1 - Edward, Digna R. Velez A1 - Verweij, Niek A1 - Vogelezang, Suzanne A1 - Volker, Uwe A1 - Vollenweider, Peter A1 - Waeber, Gerard A1 - Waldenberger, Melanie A1 - Wallentin, Lars A1 - Wang, Ya Xing A1 - Wang, Chaolong A1 - Waterworth, Dawn M. A1 - Bin Wei, Wen A1 - White, Harvey A1 - Whitfield, John B. A1 - Wild, Sarah H. A1 - Wilson, James F. A1 - Wojczynski, Mary K. A1 - Wong, Charlene A1 - Wong, Tien-Yin A1 - Xu, Liang A1 - Yang, Qiong A1 - Yasuda, Masayuki A1 - Yerges-Armstrong, Laura M. A1 - Zhang, Weihua A1 - Zonderman, Alan B. A1 - Rotter, Jerome I. A1 - Bochud, Murielle A1 - Psaty, Bruce M. A1 - Vitart, Veronique A1 - Wilson, James G. A1 - Dehghan, Abbas A1 - Parsa, Afshin A1 - Chasman, Daniel I. A1 - Ho, Kevin A1 - Morris, Andrew P. A1 - Devuyst, Olivier A1 - Akilesh, Shreeram A1 - Pendergrass, Sarah A. A1 - Sim, Xueling A1 - Boger, Carsten A. A1 - Okada, Yukinori A1 - Edwards, Todd L. A1 - Snieder, Harold A1 - Stefansson, Kari A1 - Hung, Adriana M. A1 - Heid, Iris M. A1 - Scholz, Markus A1 - Teumer, Alexander A1 - Kottgen, Anna A1 - Pattaro, Cristian T1 - A catalog of genetic loci associated with kidney function from analyses of a million individuals JF - Nature genetics N2 - Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is responsible for a public health burden with multi-systemic complications. Through transancestry meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and independent replication (n = 1,046,070), we identified 264 associated loci (166 new). Of these,147 were likely to be relevant for kidney function on the basis of associations with the alternative kidney function marker blood urea nitrogen (n = 416,178). Pathway and enrichment analyses, including mouse models with renal phenotypes, support the kidney as the main target organ. A genetic risk score for lower eGFR was associated with clinically diagnosed CKD in 452,264 independent individuals. Colocalization analyses of associations with eGFR among 783,978 European-ancestry individuals and gene expression across 46 human tissues, including tubulo-interstitial and glomerular kidney compartments, identified 17 genes differentially expressed in kidney. Fine-mapping highlighted missense driver variants in 11 genes and kidney-specific regulatory variants. These results provide a comprehensive priority list of molecular targets for translational research. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/s41588-019-0407-x SN - 1061-4036 SN - 1546-1718 VL - 51 IS - 6 SP - 957 EP - + PB - Nature Publ. Group CY - New York ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Eigmüller, Philipp A1 - Chaushev, Alexander A1 - Gillen, Edward A1 - Smith, Alexis A1 - Nielsen, Louise D. A1 - Turner, Oliver A1 - Csizmadia, Szilard A1 - Smalley, Barry A1 - Bayliss, Daniel A1 - Belardi, Claudia A1 - Bouchy, Francois A1 - Burleigh, Matthew R. A1 - Cabrera, Juan A1 - Casewell, Sarah L. A1 - Chazelas, Bruno A1 - Cooke, Benjamin F. A1 - Erikson, Anders A1 - Gansicke, Boris T. A1 - Guenther, Maximilian N. A1 - Goad, Michael R. A1 - Grange, Andrew A1 - Jackman, James A. G. A1 - Jenkins, James S. A1 - McCormac, James A1 - Moyano, Maximiliano A1 - Pollacco, Don A1 - Poppenhäger, Katja A1 - Queloz, Didier A1 - Raynard, Liam A1 - Rauer, Heike A1 - Udry, Stephane A1 - Walker, Simon. R. A1 - Watson, Christopher A. A1 - West, Richard G. A1 - Wheatley, Peter J. T1 - NGTS-5b BT - a highly inflated planet offering insights into the sub-Jovian desert JF - Astronomy and astrophysics : an international weekly journal N2 - Context. Planetary population analysis gives us insight into formation and evolution processes. For short-period planets, the sub-Jovian desert has been discussed in recent years with regard to the planet population in the mass/period and radius/period parameter space without taking stellar parameters into account. The Next Generation Transit Survey (NGTS) is optimised for detecting planets in this regime, which allows for further analysis of the sub-Jovian desert. Aims. With high-precision photometric surveys (e.g. with NGTS and TESS), which aim to detect short period planets especially around M/K-type host stars, stellar parameters need to be accounted for when empirical data are compared to model predictions. Presenting a newly discovered planet at the boundary of the sub-Jovian desert, we analyse its bulk properties and use it to show the properties of exoplanets that border the sub-Jovian desert. Methods. Using NGTS light curve and spectroscopic follow-up observations, we confirm the planetary nature of planet NGTS-5b and determine its mass. Using exoplanet archives, we set the planet in context with other discoveries. Results. NGTS-5b is a short-period planet with an orbital period of 3.3569866 +/- 0.0000026 days. With a mass of 0.229 +/- 0.037 M-Jup and a radius of 1.136 +/- 0.023 R-Jup, it is highly inflated. Its mass places it at the upper boundary of the sub-Jovian desert. Because the host is a K2 dwarf, we need to account for the stellar parameters when NGTS-5b is analysed with regard to planet populations. Conclusions. With red-sensitive surveys (e.g. with NGTS and TESS), we expect many more planets around late-type stars to be detected. An empirical analysis of the sub-Jovian desert should therefore take stellar parameters into account. KW - planets and satellites: detection KW - planets and satellites: gaseous planets Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/201935206 SN - 1432-0746 VL - 625 PB - EDP Sciences CY - Les Ulis ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Krupnik, Seweryn A1 - Wagner, Aleksandra A1 - Vincent, Olga A1 - Rudek, Tadeusz J. A1 - Wade, Robert A1 - Misik, Matúš A1 - Akerboom, Sanne A1 - Foulds, Chris A1 - Smith Stegen, Karen A1 - Adem, Çiğdem A1 - Batel, Susana A1 - Rabitz, Florian A1 - Certomà, Chiara A1 - Chodkowska-Miszczuk, Justyna A1 - Dokupilová, Dušana A1 - Leiren, Merethe D. A1 - Ignatieva, Frolova M. A1 - Gabaldón-Estevan, Daniel. A1 - Horta, Ana A1 - Karnøe, Peter A1 - Lilliestam, Johan A1 - Loorbach, Derk A. A1 - Mühlemeier, Susan A1 - Némoz, Sophie A1 - Nilsson, Måns A1 - Osička, Jan A1 - Papamikrouli, Louiza A1 - Pellizioni, Luigi A1 - Sareen, Siddharth A1 - Sarrica, Mauro A1 - Seyfang, Gill A1 - Sovacool, Benjamin K. A1 - Telesiene, Audrone A1 - Zapletalova, Veronika A1 - von Wirth, Timo T1 - Beyond technology BT - a research agenda for social sciences and humanities research on renewable energy in Europe JF - Energy research & social science N2 - This article enriches the existing literature on the importance and role of the social sciences and humanities (SSH) in renewable energy sources research by providing a novel approach to instigating the future research agenda in this field. Employing a series of in-depth interviews, deliberative focus group workshops and a systematic horizon scanning process, which utilised the expert knowledge of 85 researchers from the field with diverse disciplinary backgrounds and expertise, the paper develops a set of 100 priority questions for future research within SSH scholarship on renewable energy sources. These questions were aggregated into four main directions: (i) deep transformations and connections to the broader economic system (i.e. radical ways of (re)arranging socio-technical, political and economic relations), (ii) cultural and geographical diversity (i.e. contextual cultural, historical, political and socio-economic factors influencing citizen support for energy transitions), (iii) complexifying energy governance (i.e. understanding energy systems from a systems dynamics perspective) and (iv) shifting from instrumental acceptance to value-based objectives (i.e. public support for energy transitions as a normative notion linked to trust-building and citizen engagement). While this agenda is not intended to be—and cannot be—exhaustive or exclusive, we argue that it advances the understanding of SSH research on renewable energy sources and may have important value in the prioritisation of SSH themes needed to enrich dialogues between policymakers, funding institutions and researchers. SSH scholarship should not be treated as instrumental to other research on renewable energy but as intrinsic and of the same hierarchical importance. KW - horizon scanning KW - research priorities KW - funding directions KW - EU Horizon Europe KW - research-policy interface Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.erss.2022.102536 SN - 22146296 VL - 89 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Herrero, Mario A1 - Thornton, Philip K. A1 - Mason-D'Croz, Daniel A1 - Palmer, Jeda A1 - Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon A1 - Pradhan, Prajal A1 - Barrett, Christopher B. A1 - Benton, Tim G. A1 - Hall, Andrew A1 - Pikaar, Ilje A1 - Bogard, Jessica R. A1 - Bonnett, Graham D. A1 - Bryan, Brett A. A1 - Campbell, Bruce M. A1 - Christensen, Svend A1 - Clark, Michael A1 - Fanzo, Jessica A1 - Godde, Cecile M. A1 - Jarvis, Andy A1 - Loboguerrero, Ana Maria A1 - Mathys, Alexander A1 - McIntyre, C. Lynne A1 - Naylor, Rosamond L. A1 - Nelson, Rebecca A1 - Obersteiner, Michael A1 - Parodi, Alejandro A1 - Popp, Alexander A1 - Ricketts, Katie A1 - Smith, Pete A1 - Valin, Hugo A1 - Vermeulen, Sonja J. A1 - Vervoort, Joost A1 - van Wijk, Mark A1 - van Zanten, Hannah H. E. A1 - West, Paul C. A1 - Wood, Stephen A. A1 - Rockström, Johan T1 - Articulating the effect of food systems innovation on the Sustainable Development Goals JF - The lancet Planetary health N2 - Food system innovations will be instrumental to achieving multiple Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). However, major innovation breakthroughs can trigger profound and disruptive changes, leading to simultaneous and interlinked reconfigurations of multiple parts of the global food system. The emergence of new technologies or social solutions, therefore, have very different impact profiles, with favourable consequences for some SDGs and unintended adverse side-effects for others. Stand-alone innovations seldom achieve positive outcomes over multiple sustainability dimensions. Instead, they should be embedded as part of systemic changes that facilitate the implementation of the SDGs. Emerging trade-offs need to be intentionally addressed to achieve true sustainability, particularly those involving social aspects like inequality in its many forms, social justice, and strong institutions, which remain challenging. Trade-offs with undesirable consequences are manageable through the development of well planned transition pathways, careful monitoring of key indicators, and through the implementation of transparent science targets at the local level. Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30277-1 SN - 2542-5196 VL - 5 IS - 1 SP - E50 EP - E62 PB - Elsevier CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Cramer, Wolfgang A1 - Bondeau, Alberte A1 - Schaphoff, Sibyll A1 - Lucht, Wolfgang A1 - Smith, Benjamin A1 - Sitch, Stephan T1 - Tropical forests and the global carbon cycle : impacts of atmospheric carbon dioxide, climate change and rate of deforestation N2 - The remaining carbon stocks in wet tropical forests are currently at risk because of anthropogenic deforestation, but also because of the possibility of release driven by climate change. To identify the relative roles of CO2 increase, changing temperature and rainfall, and deforestation in the future, and the magnitude of their impact on atmospheric CO2 concentrations, we have applied a dynamic global vegetation model, using multiple scenarios of tropical deforestation (extrapolated from two estimates of current rates) and multiple scenarios of changing climate (derived from four independent offline general circulation model simulations). Results show that deforestation will probably produce large losses of carbon, despite the uncertainty about the deforestation rates. Some climate models produce additional large fluxes due to increased drought stress caused by rising temperature and decreasing rainfall. One climate model, however, produces an additional carbon sink. Taken together, our estimates of additional carbon emissions during the twenty-first century, for all climate and deforestation scenarios, range from 101 to 367 Gt C, resulting in CO2 concentration increases above background values between 29 and 129 p.p.m. An evaluation of the method indicates that better estimates of tropical carbon sources and sinks require improved assessments of current and future deforestation, and more consistent precipitation scenarios from climate models. Notwithstanding the uncertainties, continued tropical deforestation will most certainly play a very large role in the build-up of future greenhouse gas concentrations Y1 - 2004 SN - 0962-8436 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Smith, Bryce A. A1 - Barlow, Brad N. A1 - Rosenthal, Benjamin A1 - Hermes, J. J. A1 - Schaffenroth, Veronika T1 - Pulse Timing Discovery of a Three-day Companion to the Hot Subdwarf BPM 36430 JF - The astrophysical journal : an international review of spectroscopy and astronomical physics N2 - Hot subdwarf B stars are core-helium-burning objects that have undergone envelope stripping, likely by a binary companion. Using high-speed photometry from the Transiting Exoplanet Survey Satellite, we have discovered the hot subdwarf BPM 36430 is a hybrid sdBV(rs) pulsator exhibiting several low-amplitude g-modes and a strong p-mode pulsation. The latter shows a clear, periodic variation in its pulse arrival times. Fits to this phase oscillation imply BPM 36430 orbits a barycenter approximately 10 light-seconds away once every 3.1 days. Using the CHIRON echelle spectrograph on the CTIO 1.5 m telescope, we confirm the reflex motion by detecting a radial-velocity variation with semiamplitude, period, and phase in agreement with the pulse timings. We conclude that a white dwarf companion with minimum mass of approximate to 0.42 M (circle dot) orbits BPM 36430. Our study represents only the second time a companion orbiting a pulsating hot subdwarf or white dwarf has been detected from pulse timings and confirmed with radial velocities. Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/ac9384 SN - 0004-637X SN - 1538-4357 VL - 939 IS - 1 PB - IOP Publ. Ltd. CY - Bristol ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Marquer, Laurent A1 - Gaillard, Marie-Jose A1 - Sugita, Shinya A1 - Poska, Anneli A1 - Trondman, Anna-Kari A1 - Mazier, Florence A1 - Nielsen, Anne Birgitte A1 - Fyfe, Ralph M. A1 - Jonsson, Anna Maria A1 - Smith, Benjamin A1 - Kaplan, Jed O. A1 - Alenius, Teija A1 - Birks, H. John B. A1 - Bjune, Anne E. A1 - Christiansen, Jorg A1 - Dodson, John A1 - Edwards, Kevin J. A1 - Giesecke, Thomas A1 - Herzschuh, Ulrike A1 - Kangur, Mihkel A1 - Koff, Tiiu A1 - Latalowa, Maligorzata A1 - Lechterbeck, Jutta A1 - Olofsson, Jorgen A1 - Seppa, Heikki T1 - Quantifying the effects of land use and climate on Holocene vegetation in Europe JF - Quaternary science reviews : the international multidisciplinary research and review journal N2 - Early agriculture can be detected in palaeovegetation records, but quantification of the relative importance of climate and land use in influencing regional vegetation composition since the onset of agriculture is a topic that is rarely addressed. We present a novel approach that combines pollen-based REVEALS estimates of plant cover with climate, anthropogenic land-cover and dynamic vegetation modelling results. This is used to quantify the relative impacts of land use and climate on Holocene vegetation at a sub-continental scale, i.e. northern and western Europe north of the Alps. We use redundancy analysis and variation partitioning to quantify the percentage of variation in vegetation composition explained by the climate and land-use variables, and Monte Carlo permutation tests to assess the statistical significance of each variable. We further use a similarity index to combine pollen based REVEALS estimates with climate-driven dynamic vegetation modelling results. The overall results indicate that climate is the major driver of vegetation when the Holocene is considered as a whole and at the sub-continental scale, although land use is important regionally. Four critical phases of land-use effects on vegetation are identified. The first phase (from 7000 to 6500 BP) corresponds to the early impacts on vegetation of farming and Neolithic forest clearance and to the dominance of climate as a driver of vegetation change. During the second phase (from 4500 to 4000 BP), land use becomes a major control of vegetation. Climate is still the principal driver, although its influence decreases gradually. The third phase (from 2000 to 1500 BP) is characterised by the continued role of climate on vegetation as a consequence of late-Holocene climate shifts and specific climate events that influence vegetation as well as land use. The last phase (from 500 to 350 BP) shows an acceleration of vegetation changes, in particular during the last century, caused by new farming practices and forestry in response to population growth and industrialization. This is a unique signature of anthropogenic impact within the Holocene but European vegetation remains climatically sensitive and thus may continue to respond to ongoing climate change. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. KW - Climate KW - Holocene KW - Human impact KW - Land use KW - LPJ-GUESS KW - Europe KW - Pollen KW - REVEALS KW - Vegetation composition Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2017.07.001 SN - 0277-3791 VL - 171 SP - 20 EP - 37 PB - Elsevier CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Seroussi, Helene A1 - Nowicki, Sophie A1 - Payne, Antony J. A1 - Goelzer, Heiko A1 - Lipscomb, William H. A1 - Abe-Ouchi, Ayako A1 - Agosta, Cecile A1 - Albrecht, Torsten A1 - Asay-Davis, Xylar A1 - Barthel, Alice A1 - Calov, Reinhard A1 - Cullather, Richard A1 - Dumas, Christophe A1 - Galton-Fenzi, Benjamin K. A1 - Gladstone, Rupert A1 - Golledge, Nicholas R. A1 - Gregory, Jonathan M. A1 - Greve, Ralf A1 - Hattermann, Tore A1 - Hoffman, Matthew J. A1 - Humbert, Angelika A1 - Huybrechts, Philippe A1 - Jourdain, Nicolas C. A1 - Kleiner, Thomas A1 - Larour, Eric A1 - Leguy, Gunter R. A1 - Lowry, Daniel P. A1 - Little, Chistopher M. A1 - Morlighem, Mathieu A1 - Pattyn, Frank A1 - Pelle, Tyler A1 - Price, Stephen F. A1 - Quiquet, Aurelien A1 - Reese, Ronja A1 - Schlegel, Nicole-Jeanne A1 - Shepherd, Andrew A1 - Simon, Erika A1 - Smith, Robin S. A1 - Straneo, Fiammetta A1 - Sun, Sainan A1 - Trusel, Luke D. A1 - Van Breedam, Jonas A1 - van de Wal, Roderik S. W. A1 - Winkelmann, Ricarda A1 - Zhao, Chen A1 - Zhang, Tong A1 - Zwinger, Thomas T1 - ISMIP6 Antarctica BT - a multi-model ensemble of the Antarctic ice sheet evolution over the 21st century JF - The Cryosphere : TC ; an interactive open access journal of the European Geosciences Union N2 - Ice flow models of the Antarctic ice sheet are commonly used to simulate its future evolution in response to different climate scenarios and assess the mass loss that would contribute to future sea level rise. However, there is currently no consensus on estimates of the future mass balance of the ice sheet, primarily because of differences in the representation of physical processes, forcings employed and initial states of ice sheet models. This study presents results from ice flow model simulations from 13 international groups focusing on the evolution of the Antarctic ice sheet during the period 2015-2100 as part of the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison for CMIP6 (ISMIP6). They are forced with outputs from a subset of models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), representative of the spread in climate model results. Simulations of the Antarctic ice sheet contribution to sea level rise in response to increased warming during this period varies between 7:8 and 30.0 cm of sea level equivalent (SLE) under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5 scenario forcing. These numbers are relative to a control experiment with constant climate conditions and should therefore be added to the mass loss contribution under climate conditions similar to present-day conditions over the same period. The simulated evolution of the West Antarctic ice sheet varies widely among models, with an overall mass loss, up to 18.0 cm SLE, in response to changes in oceanic conditions. East Antarctica mass change varies between 6 :1 and 8.3 cm SLE in the simulations, with a significant increase in surface mass balance outweighing the increased ice discharge under most RCP 8.5 scenario forcings. The inclusion of ice shelf collapse, here assumed to be caused by large amounts of liquid water ponding at the surface of ice shelves, yields an additional simulated mass loss of 28mm compared to simulations without ice shelf collapse. The largest sources of uncertainty come from the climate forcing, the ocean-induced melt rates, the calibration of these melt rates based on oceanic conditions taken outside of ice shelf cavities and the ice sheet dynamic response to these oceanic changes. Results under RCP 2.6 scenario based on two CMIP5 climate models show an additional mass loss of 0 and 3 cm of SLE on average compared to simulations done under present-day conditions for the two CMIP5 forcings used and display limited mass gain in East Antarctica. Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3033-2020 SN - 1994-0416 SN - 1994-0424 VL - 14 IS - 9 SP - 3033 EP - 3070 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER -