TY - JOUR A1 - Doerries, Timo J. A1 - Chechkin, Aleksei V. A1 - Metzler, Ralf T1 - Apparent anomalous diffusion and non-Gaussian distributions in a simple mobile-immobile transport model with Poissonian switching JF - Interface : journal of the Royal Society N2 - We analyse mobile-immobile transport of particles that switch between the mobile and immobile phases with finite rates. Despite this seemingly simple assumption of Poissonian switching, we unveil a rich transport dynamics including significant transient anomalous diffusion and non-Gaussian displacement distributions. Our discussion is based on experimental parameters for tau proteins in neuronal cells, but the results obtained here are expected to be of relevance for a broad class of processes in complex systems. Specifically, we obtain that, when the mean binding time is significantly longer than the mean mobile time, transient anomalous diffusion is observed at short and intermediate time scales, with a strong dependence on the fraction of initially mobile and immobile particles. We unveil a Laplace distribution of particle displacements at relevant intermediate time scales. For any initial fraction of mobile particles, the respective mean squared displacement (MSD) displays a plateau. Moreover, we demonstrate a short-time cubic time dependence of the MSD for immobile tracers when initially all particles are immobile. KW - diffusion KW - mobile-immobile model KW - tau proteins Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1098/rsif.2022.0233 SN - 1742-5689 SN - 1742-5662 VL - 19 IS - 192 PB - Royal Society CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Thapa, Samudrajit A1 - Wyłomańska, Agnieszka A1 - Sikora, Grzegorz A1 - Wagner, Caroline E. A1 - Krapf, Diego A1 - Kantz, Holger A1 - Chechkin, Aleksei V. A1 - Metzler, Ralf T1 - Leveraging large-deviation statistics to decipher the stochastic properties of measured trajectories JF - New Journal of Physics N2 - Extensive time-series encoding the position of particles such as viruses, vesicles, or individualproteins are routinely garnered insingle-particle tracking experiments or supercomputing studies.They contain vital clues on how viruses spread or drugs may be delivered in biological cells.Similar time-series are being recorded of stock values in financial markets and of climate data.Such time-series are most typically evaluated in terms of time-averaged mean-squareddisplacements (TAMSDs), which remain random variables for finite measurement times. Theirstatistical properties are different for differentphysical stochastic processes, thus allowing us toextract valuable information on the stochastic process itself. To exploit the full potential of thestatistical information encoded in measured time-series we here propose an easy-to-implementand computationally inexpensive new methodology, based on deviations of the TAMSD from itsensemble average counterpart. Specifically, we use the upper bound of these deviations forBrownian motion (BM) to check the applicability of this approach to simulated and real data sets.By comparing the probability of deviations fordifferent data sets, we demonstrate how thetheoretical bound for BM reveals additional information about observed stochastic processes. Weapply the large-deviation method to data sets of tracer beads tracked in aqueous solution, tracerbeads measured in mucin hydrogels, and of geographic surface temperature anomalies. Ouranalysis shows how the large-deviation properties can be efficiently used as a simple yet effectiveroutine test to reject the BM hypothesis and unveil relevant information on statistical propertiessuch as ergodicity breaking and short-time correlations. KW - diffusion KW - anomalous diffusion KW - large-deviation statistic KW - time-averaged mean squared displacement KW - Chebyshev inequality Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/1367-2630/abd50e SN - 1367-2630 VL - 23 PB - Dt. Physikalische Ges. ; IOP CY - Bad Honnef ; London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Guggenberger, Tobias A1 - Chechkin, Aleksei V. A1 - Metzler, Ralf T1 - Fractional Brownian motion in superharmonic potentials and non-Boltzmann stationary distributions JF - Journal of physics : A, Mathematical and theoretical N2 - We study the stochastic motion of particles driven by long-range correlated fractional Gaussian noise (FGN) in a superharmonic external potential of the form U(x) proportional to x(2n) (n is an element of N). When the noise is considered to be external, the resulting overdamped motion is described by the non-Markovian Langevin equation for fractional Brownian motion. For this case we show the existence of long time, stationary probability density functions (PDFs) the shape of which strongly deviates from the naively expected Boltzmann PDF in the confining potential U(x). We analyse in detail the temporal approach to stationarity as well as the shape of the non-Boltzmann stationary PDF. A typical characteristic is that subdiffusive, antipersistent (with negative autocorrelation) motion tends to effect an accumulation of probability close to the origin as compared to the corresponding Boltzmann distribution while the opposite trend occurs for superdiffusive (persistent) motion. For this latter case this leads to distinct bimodal shapes of the PDF. This property is compared to a similar phenomenon observed for Markovian Levy flights in superharmonic potentials. We also demonstrate that the motion encoded in the fractional Langevin equation driven by FGN always relaxes to the Boltzmann distribution, as in this case the fluctuation-dissipation theorem is fulfilled. KW - anomalous diffusion KW - Boltzmann distribution KW - non-Gaussian distribution Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/1751-8121/ac019b SN - 1751-8113 SN - 1751-8121 VL - 54 IS - 29 PB - IOP Publ. Ltd. CY - Bristol ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Mardoukhi, Yousof A1 - Chechkin, Aleksei V. A1 - Metzler, Ralf T1 - Spurious ergodicity breaking in normal and fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process JF - New Journal of Physics N2 - The Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process is a stationary and ergodic Gaussian process, that is fully determined by its covariance function and mean. We show here that the generic definitions of the ensemble- and time-averaged mean squared displacements fail to capture these properties consistently, leading to a spurious ergodicity breaking. We propose to remedy this failure by redefining the mean squared displacements such that they reflect unambiguously the statistical properties of any stochastic process. In particular we study the effect of the initial condition in the Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process and its fractional extension. For the fractional Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process representing typical experimental situations in crowded environments such as living biological cells, we show that the stationarity of the process delicately depends on the initial condition. KW - Ornstein–Uhlenbeck process KW - stationary stochastic process KW - ensemble and time averaged mean squared displacement Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/1367-2630/ab950b SN - 1367-2630 VL - 22 PB - IOP CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wang, Wei A1 - Cherstvy, Andrey G. A1 - Chechkin, Aleksei V. A1 - Thapa, Samudrajit A1 - Seno, Flavio A1 - Liu, Xianbin A1 - Metzler, Ralf T1 - Fractional Brownian motion with random diffusivity BT - emerging residual nonergodicity below the correlation time JF - Journal of physics : A, Mathematical and theoretical N2 - Numerous examples for a priori unexpected non-Gaussian behaviour for normal and anomalous diffusion have recently been reported in single-particle tracking experiments. Here, we address the case of non-Gaussian anomalous diffusion in terms of a random-diffusivity mechanism in the presence of power-law correlated fractional Gaussian noise. We study the ergodic properties of this model via examining the ensemble- and time-averaged mean-squared displacements as well as the ergodicity breaking parameter EB quantifying the trajectory-to-trajectory fluctuations of the latter. For long measurement times, interesting crossover behaviour is found as function of the correlation time tau characterising the diffusivity dynamics. We unveil that at short lag times the EB parameter reaches a universal plateau. The corresponding residual value of EB is shown to depend only on tau and the trajectory length. The EB parameter at long lag times, however, follows the same power-law scaling as for fractional Brownian motion. We also determine a corresponding plateau at short lag times for the discrete representation of fractional Brownian motion, absent in the continuous-time formulation. These analytical predictions are in excellent agreement with results of computer simulations of the underlying stochastic processes. Our findings can help distinguishing and categorising certain nonergodic and non-Gaussian features of particle displacements, as observed in recent single-particle tracking experiments. KW - stochastic processes KW - anomalous diffusion KW - fractional Brownian motion KW - diffusing diffusivity KW - weak ergodicity breaking Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/1751-8121/aba467 SN - 1751-8113 SN - 1751-8121 VL - 53 IS - 47 PB - IOP Publ. Ltd. CY - Bristol ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Capała, Karol A1 - Padash, Amin A1 - Chechkin, Aleksei V. A1 - Shokri, Babak A1 - Metzler, Ralf A1 - Dybiec, Bartłomiej T1 - Levy noise-driven escape from arctangent potential wells JF - Chaos : an interdisciplinary journal of nonlinear science N2 - The escape from a potential well is an archetypal problem in the study of stochastic dynamical systems, representing real-world situations from chemical reactions to leaving an established home range in movement ecology. Concurrently, Levy noise is a well-established approach to model systems characterized by statistical outliers and diverging higher order moments, ranging from gene expression control to the movement patterns of animals and humans. Here, we study the problem of Levy noise-driven escape from an almost rectangular, arctangent potential well restricted by two absorbing boundaries, mostly under the action of the Cauchy noise. We unveil analogies of the observed transient dynamics to the general properties of stationary states of Levy processes in single-well potentials. The first-escape dynamics is shown to exhibit exponential tails. We examine the dependence of the escape on the shape parameters, steepness, and height of the arctangent potential. Finally, we explore in detail the behavior of the probability densities of the first-escape time and the last-hitting point. Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0021795 SN - 1054-1500 SN - 1089-7682 VL - 30 IS - 12 PB - American Institute of Physics CY - Woodbury, NY ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wang, Wei A1 - Seno, Flavio A1 - Sokolov, Igor M. A1 - Chechkin, Aleksei V. A1 - Metzler, Ralf T1 - Unexpected crossovers in correlated random-diffusivity processes JF - New Journal of Physics N2 - The passive and active motion of micron-sized tracer particles in crowded liquids and inside living biological cells is ubiquitously characterised by 'viscoelastic' anomalous diffusion, in which the increments of the motion feature long-ranged negative and positive correlations. While viscoelastic anomalous diffusion is typically modelled by a Gaussian process with correlated increments, so-called fractional Gaussian noise, an increasing number of systems are reported, in which viscoelastic anomalous diffusion is paired with non-Gaussian displacement distributions. Following recent advances in Brownian yet non-Gaussian diffusion we here introduce and discuss several possible versions of random-diffusivity models with long-ranged correlations. While all these models show a crossover from non-Gaussian to Gaussian distributions beyond some correlation time, their mean squared displacements exhibit strikingly different behaviours: depending on the model crossovers from anomalous to normal diffusion are observed, as well as a priori unexpected dependencies of the effective diffusion coefficient on the correlation exponent. Our observations of the non-universality of random-diffusivity viscoelastic anomalous diffusion are important for the analysis of experiments and a better understanding of the physical origins of 'viscoelastic yet non-Gaussian' diffusion. KW - diffusion KW - anomalous diffusion KW - non-Gaussianity KW - fractional Brownian motion Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/1367-2630/aba390 SN - 1367-2630 VL - 22 PB - Dt. Physikalische Ges. CY - Bad Honnef ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Palyulin, Vladimir V. A1 - Blackburn, George A1 - Lomholt, Michael A. A1 - Watkins, Nicholas W. A1 - Metzler, Ralf A1 - Klages, Rainer A1 - Chechkin, Aleksei V. T1 - First passage and first hitting times of Levy flights and Levy walks JF - New journal of physics : the open-access journal for physics N2 - For both Lévy flight and Lévy walk search processes we analyse the full distribution of first-passage and first-hitting (or first-arrival) times. These are, respectively, the times when the particle moves across a point at some given distance from its initial position for the first time, or when it lands at a given point for the first time. For Lévy motions with their propensity for long relocation events and thus the possibility to jump across a given point in space without actually hitting it ('leapovers'), these two definitions lead to significantly different results. We study the first-passage and first-hitting time distributions as functions of the Lévy stable index, highlighting the different behaviour for the cases when the first absolute moment of the jump length distribution is finite or infinite. In particular we examine the limits of short and long times. Our results will find their application in the mathematical modelling of random search processes as well as computer algorithms. KW - Levy flights KW - Levy walks KW - first-passage time KW - first-hitting time Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/1367-2630/ab41bb SN - 1367-2630 VL - 21 IS - 10 PB - IOP Publ. Ltd. CY - Bristol ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Padash, Amin A1 - Chechkin, Aleksei V. A1 - Dybiec, Bartlomiej A1 - Pavlyukevich, Ilya A1 - Shokri, Babak A1 - Metzler, Ralf T1 - First-passage properties of asymmetric Levy flights JF - Journal of physics : A, Mathematical and theoretical N2 - Lévy flights are paradigmatic generalised random walk processes, in which the independent stationary increments—the 'jump lengths'—are drawn from an -stable jump length distribution with long-tailed, power-law asymptote. As a result, the variance of Lévy flights diverges and the trajectory is characterised by occasional extremely long jumps. Such long jumps significantly decrease the probability to revisit previous points of visitation, rendering Lévy flights efficient search processes in one and two dimensions. To further quantify their precise property as random search strategies we here study the first-passage time properties of Lévy flights in one-dimensional semi-infinite and bounded domains for symmetric and asymmetric jump length distributions. To obtain the full probability density function of first-passage times for these cases we employ two complementary methods. One approach is based on the space-fractional diffusion equation for the probability density function, from which the survival probability is obtained for different values of the stable index and the skewness (asymmetry) parameter . The other approach is based on the stochastic Langevin equation with -stable driving noise. Both methods have their advantages and disadvantages for explicit calculations and numerical evaluation, and the complementary approach involving both methods will be profitable for concrete applications. We also make use of the Skorokhod theorem for processes with independent increments and demonstrate that the numerical results are in good agreement with the analytical expressions for the probability density function of the first-passage times. KW - Levy flights KW - first-passage KW - search dynamics Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/1751-8121/ab493e SN - 1751-8113 SN - 1751-8121 VL - 52 IS - 45 PB - IOP Publ. Ltd. CY - Bristol ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Palyulin, Vladimir V A1 - Blackburn, George A1 - Lomholt, Michael A A1 - Watkins, Nicholas W A1 - Metzler, Ralf A1 - Klages, Rainer A1 - Chechkin, Aleksei V. T1 - First passage and first hitting times of Lévy flights and Lévy walks JF - New Journal of Physics N2 - For both Lévy flight and Lévy walk search processes we analyse the full distribution of first-passage and first-hitting (or first-arrival) times. These are, respectively, the times when the particle moves across a point at some given distance from its initial position for the first time, or when it lands at a given point for the first time. For Lévy motions with their propensity for long relocation events and thus the possibility to jump across a given point in space without actually hitting it ('leapovers'), these two definitions lead to significantly different results. We study the first-passage and first-hitting time distributions as functions of the Lévy stable index, highlighting the different behaviour for the cases when the first absolute moment of the jump length distribution is finite or infinite. In particular we examine the limits of short and long times. Our results will find their application in the mathematical modelling of random search processes as well as computer algorithms. KW - Lévy flights KW - Lévy walks KW - first-passage time KW - first-hitting time Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/1367-2630/ab41bb SN - 1367-2630 VL - 21 PB - Dt. Physikalische Ges. CY - Bad Honnef ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Sposini, Vittoria A1 - Chechkin, Aleksei V. A1 - Metzler, Ralf T1 - First passage statistics for diffusing diffusivity JF - Journal of physics : A, Mathematical and theoretical N2 - A rapidly increasing number of systems is identified in which the stochastic motion of tracer particles follows the Brownian law < r(2)(t)> similar or equal to Dt yet the distribution of particle displacements is strongly non-Gaussian. A central approach to describe this effect is the diffusing diffusivity (DD) model in which the diffusion coefficient itself is a stochastic quantity, mimicking heterogeneities of the environment encountered by the tracer particle on its path. We here quantify in terms of analytical and numerical approaches the first passage behaviour of the DD model. We observe significant modifications compared to Brownian-Gaussian diffusion, in particular that the DD model may have a faster first passage dynamics. Moreover we find a universal crossover point of the survival probability independent of the initial condition. KW - diffusion KW - superstatistics KW - first passage Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/1751-8121/aaf6ff SN - 1751-8113 SN - 1751-8121 VL - 52 IS - 4 PB - IOP Publ. Ltd. CY - Bristol ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Dybiec, Bartlomiej A1 - Capala, Karol A1 - Chechkin, Aleksei V. A1 - Metzler, Ralf T1 - Conservative random walks in confining potentials JF - Journal of physics : A, Mathematical and theoretical N2 - Levy walks are continuous time random walks with spatio-temporal coupling of jump lengths and waiting times, often used to model superdiffusive spreading processes such as animals searching for food, tracer motion in weakly chaotic systems, or even the dynamics in quantum systems such as cold atoms. In the simplest version Levy walks move with a finite speed. Here, we present an extension of the Levy walk scenario for the case when external force fields influence the motion. The resulting motion is a combination of the response to the deterministic force acting on the particle, changing its velocity according to the principle of total energy conservation, and random velocity reversals governed by the distribution of waiting times. For the fact that the motion stays conservative, that is, on a constant energy surface, our scenario is fundamentally different from thermal motion in the same external potentials. In particular, we present results for the velocity and position distributions for single well potentials of different steepness. The observed dynamics with its continuous velocity changes enriches the theory of Levy walk processes and will be of use in a variety of systems, for which the particles are externally confined. KW - Levy walk KW - conservative random walks KW - Levy flight Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/1751-8121/aaefc2 SN - 1751-8113 SN - 1751-8121 VL - 52 IS - 1 PB - IOP Publ. Ltd. CY - Bristol ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Cherstvy, Andrey G. A1 - Thapa, Samudrajit A1 - Mardoukhi, Yousof A1 - Chechkin, Aleksei V. A1 - Metzler, Ralf T1 - Time averages and their statistical variation for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process BT - Role of initial particle distributions and relaxation to stationarity JF - Physical review : E, Statistical, nonlinear and soft matter physics N2 - How ergodic is diffusion under harmonic confinements? How strongly do ensemble- and time-averaged displacements differ for a thermally-agitated particle performing confined motion for different initial conditions? We here study these questions for the generic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process and derive the analytical expressions for the second and fourth moment. These quantifiers are particularly relevant for the increasing number of single-particle tracking experiments using optical traps. For a fixed starting position, we discuss the definitions underlying the ensemble averages. We also quantify effects of equilibrium and nonequilibrium initial particle distributions onto the relaxation properties and emerging nonequivalence of the ensemble- and time-averaged displacements (even in the limit of long trajectories). We derive analytical expressions for the ergodicity breaking parameter quantifying the amplitude scatter of individual time-averaged trajectories, both for equilibrium and outof-equilibrium initial particle positions, in the entire range of lag times. Our analytical predictions are in excellent agreement with results of computer simulations of the Langevin equation in a parabolic potential. We also examine the validity of the Einstein relation for the ensemble- and time-averaged moments of the OU-particle. Some physical systems, in which the relaxation and nonergodic features we unveiled may be observable, are discussed. Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.98.022134 SN - 2470-0045 SN - 2470-0053 VL - 98 IS - 2 PB - American Physical Society CY - College Park ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Mardoukhi, Yousof A1 - Jeon, Jae-Hyung A1 - Chechkin, Aleksei V. A1 - Metzler, Ralf T1 - Fluctuations of random walks in critical random environments JF - Physical chemistry, chemical physics : a journal of European Chemical Societies N2 - Percolation networks have been widely used in the description of porous media but are now found to be relevant to understand the motion of particles in cellular membranes or the nucleus of biological cells. Random walks on the infinite cluster at criticality of a percolation network are asymptotically ergodic. On any finite size cluster of the network stationarity is reached at finite times, depending on the cluster's size. Despite of this we here demonstrate by combination of analytical calculations and simulations that at criticality the disorder and cluster size average of the ensemble of clusters leads to a non-vanishing variance of the time averaged mean squared displacement, regardless of the measurement time. Fluctuations of this relevant experimental quantity due to the disorder average of such ensembles are thus persistent and non-negligible. The relevance of our results for single particle tracking analysis in complex and biological systems is discussed. Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1039/c8cp03212b SN - 1463-9076 SN - 1463-9084 VL - 20 IS - 31 SP - 20427 EP - 20438 PB - Royal Society of Chemistry CY - Cambridge ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Sposini, Vittoria A1 - Chechkin, Aleksei V. A1 - Seno, Flavio A1 - Pagnini, Gianni A1 - Metzler, Ralf T1 - Random diffusivity from stochastic equations BT - comparison of two models for Brownian yet non-Gaussian diffusion JF - New Journal of Physics N2 - A considerable number of systems have recently been reported in which Brownian yet non-Gaussian dynamics was observed. These are processes characterised by a linear growth in time of the mean squared displacement, yet the probability density function of the particle displacement is distinctly non-Gaussian, and often of exponential(Laplace) shape. This apparently ubiquitous behaviour observed in very different physical systems has been interpreted as resulting from diffusion in inhomogeneous environments and mathematically represented through a variable, stochastic diffusion coefficient. Indeed different models describing a fluctuating diffusivity have been studied. Here we present a new view of the stochastic basis describing time dependent random diffusivities within a broad spectrum of distributions. Concretely, our study is based on the very generic class of the generalised Gamma distribution. Two models for the particle spreading in such random diffusivity settings are studied. The first belongs to the class of generalised grey Brownian motion while the second follows from the idea of diffusing diffusivities. The two processes exhibit significant characteristics which reproduce experimental results from different biological and physical systems. We promote these two physical models for the description of stochastic particle motion in complex environments. Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/1367-2630/aab696 SN - 1367-2630 SP - 1 EP - 33 PB - Deutsche Physikalische Gesellschaft / Institute of Physics CY - Bad Honnef und London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Sandev, Trifce A1 - Metzler, Ralf A1 - Chechkin, Aleksei V. T1 - From continuous time random walks to the generalized diffusion equation JF - Fractional calculus and applied analysis : an international journal for theory and applications N2 - We obtain a generalized diffusion equation in modified or Riemann-Liouville form from continuous time random walk theory. The waiting time probability density function and mean squared displacement for different forms of the equation are explicitly calculated. We show examples of generalized diffusion equations in normal or Caputo form that encode the same probability distribution functions as those obtained from the generalized diffusion equation in modified form. The obtained equations are general and many known fractional diffusion equations are included as special cases. KW - continuous time random walk (CTRW) KW - generalized diffusion equation KW - Mittag-Leffler functions KW - anomalous diffusion Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1515/fca-2018-0002 SN - 1311-0454 SN - 1314-2224 VL - 21 IS - 1 SP - 10 EP - 28 PB - De Gruyter CY - Berlin ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Palyulin, Vladimir V. A1 - Mantsevich, Vladimir N. A1 - Klages, Rainer A1 - Metzler, Ralf A1 - Chechkin, Aleksei V. T1 - Comparison of pure and combined search strategies for single and multiple targets JF - The European physical journal : B, Condensed matter and complex systems N2 - We address the generic problem of random search for a point-like target on a line. Using the measures of search reliability and efficiency to quantify the random search quality, we compare Brownian search with Levy search based on long-tailed jump length distributions. We then compare these results with a search process combined of two different long-tailed jump length distributions. Moreover, we study the case of multiple targets located by a Levy searcher. Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1140/epjb/e2017-80372-4 SN - 1434-6028 SN - 1434-6036 VL - 90 SP - 20 EP - 37 PB - Springer CY - New York ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Cherstvy, Andrey G. A1 - Vinod, Deepak A1 - Aghion, Erez A1 - Chechkin, Aleksei V. A1 - Metzler, Ralf T1 - Time averaging, ageing and delay analysis of financial time series JF - New journal of physics N2 - We introduce three strategies for the analysis of financial time series based on time averaged observables. These comprise the time averaged mean squared displacement (MSD) as well as the ageing and delay time methods for varying fractions of the financial time series. We explore these concepts via statistical analysis of historic time series for several Dow Jones Industrial indices for the period from the 1960s to 2015. Remarkably, we discover a simple universal law for the delay time averaged MSD. The observed features of the financial time series dynamics agree well with our analytical results for the time averaged measurables for geometric Brownian motion, underlying the famed Black–Scholes–Merton model. The concepts we promote here are shown to be useful for financial data analysis and enable one to unveil new universal features of stock market dynamics. KW - time averaging KW - diffusion KW - geometric Brownian motion KW - financial time series Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/1367-2630/aa7199 SN - 1367-2630 VL - 19 SP - 1 EP - 11 PB - IOP CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Chechkin, Aleksei V. A1 - Kantz, Holger A1 - Metzler, Ralf T1 - Ageing effects in ultraslow continuous time random walks JF - The European physical journal : B, Condensed matter and complex systems N2 - In ageing systems physical observables explicitly depend on the time span elapsing between the original initiation of the system and the actual start of the recording of the particle motion. We here study the signatures of ageing in the framework of ultraslow continuous time random walk processes with super-heavy tailed waiting time densities. We derive the density for the forward or recurrent waiting time of the motion as function of the ageing time, generalise the Montroll-Weiss equation for this process, and analyse the ageing behaviour of the ensemble and time averaged mean squared displacements. Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1140/epjb/e2017-80270-9 SN - 1434-6028 SN - 1434-6036 VL - 90 PB - Springer CY - New York ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Cherstvy, Andrey G. A1 - Vinod, Deepak A1 - Aghion, Erez A1 - Chechkin, Aleksei V. A1 - Metzler, Ralf T1 - Time averaging, ageing and delay analysis of financial time series JF - New journal of physics : the open-access journal for physics N2 - We introduce three strategies for the analysis of financial time series based on time averaged observables. These comprise the time averaged mean squared displacement (MSD) as well as the ageing and delay time methods for varying fractions of the financial time series. We explore these concepts via statistical analysis of historic time series for several Dow Jones Industrial indices for the period from the 1960s to 2015. Remarkably, we discover a simple universal law for the delay time averaged MSD. The observed features of the financial time series dynamics agree well with our analytical results for the time averaged measurables for geometric Brownian motion, underlying the famed Black-Scholes-Merton model. The concepts we promote here are shown to be useful for financial data analysis and enable one to unveil new universal features of stock market dynamics. KW - time averaging KW - diffusion KW - geometric Brownian motion KW - financial time series Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/1367-2630/aa7199 SN - 1367-2630 VL - 19 SP - 135 EP - 147 PB - IOP Publ. Ltd. CY - Bristol ER -