TY - JOUR A1 - Pick, Leonie A1 - Korte, Monika T1 - An annual proxy for the geomagnetic signal of magnetospheric currents on Earth based on observatory data from 1900–2010 JF - Geophysical Journal International N2 - We introduce the Annual Magnetospheric Currents index as long-term proxy for the geomagnetic signal of magnetospheric currents on Earth valid within the time span 1900–2010. Similar to the widely used disturbance storm time and ‘Ring Current’ indices, it is based on geomagnetic observatory data, but provides a realistic absolute level and uncertainty estimates. Crucial aspects to this end are the revision of observatory crustal biases as well as the implementation of a Bayesian inversion accounting for uncertainties in the main field estimate, both required for the index derivation. The observatory choice is based on a minimization of index variance during a reference period spanning 1960–2010. The new index is capable of correcting observatory time series from large-scale external signals in a user-friendly manner. At present the index is only available as annual mean values. An extension to hourly values for the same time span is in progress. KW - Magnetic field variations through time KW - Satellite magnetics KW - Inverse theory KW - Statistical methods KW - Time-series analysis Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggx367 SN - 1365-246X SN - 0956-540X VL - 211 IS - 2 SP - 1223 EP - 1236 PB - Oxford Univ. Press CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Strader, Anne A1 - Schneider, Max A1 - Schorlemmer, Danijel T1 - Prospective and retrospective evaluation of five-year earthquake forecast models for California JF - Geophysical journal international KW - Probabilistic forecasting KW - Statistical methods KW - Earthquake interaction KW - fore-casting KW - and prediction KW - Statistical seismology Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggx268 SN - 0956-540X SN - 1365-246X VL - 211 SP - 239 EP - 251 PB - Oxford Univ. Press CY - Oxford ER -