TY  - GEN
A1  - Lewandowsky, Stephan
A1  - Cowtan, Kevin
A1  - Risbey, James S.
A1  - Mann, Michael E.
A1  - Steinman, Byron A.
A1  - Oreskes, Naomi
A1  - Rahmstorf, Stefan
T1  - Erratum: The 'pause' in global warming in historical context: II. Comparing models to observations (Environmental research letters. - Vol 13, (2018) 123007)
T2  - Environmental research letters
N2  - We review the evidence for a putative early 21st-century divergence between global mean surface temperature (GMST) and Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) projections. We provide a systematic comparison between temperatures and projections using historical versions of GMST products and historical versions of model projections that existed at the times when claims about a divergence were made. The comparisons are conducted with a variety of statistical techniques that correct for problems in previous work, including using continuous trends and a Monte Carlo approach to simulate internal variability. The results show that there is no robust statistical evidence for a divergence between models and observations. The impression of a divergence early in the 21st century was caused by various biases in model interpretation and in the observations, and was unsupported by robust statistics.
Y1  - 2019
U6  - https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aafbb7
SN  - 1748-9326
VL  - 14
IS  - 4
PB  - IOP Publ. Ltd.
CY  - Bristol
ER  -