TY - JOUR A1 - Bernhardt, Anne A1 - Schwanghart, Wolfgang A1 - Hebbeln, Dierk A1 - Stuut, Jan-Berend W. A1 - Strecker, Manfred T1 - Immediate propagation of deglacial environmental change to deep-marine turbidite systems along the Chile convergent margin JF - Earth & planetary science letters N2 - Understanding how Earth-surface processes respond to past climatic perturbations is crucial for making informed predictions about future impacts of climate change on sediment "uxes. Sedimentary records provide the archives for inferring these processes, but their interpretation is compromised by our incomplete understanding of how sediment-routing systems respond to millennial-scale climate cycles. We analyzed seven sediment cores recovered from marine turbidite depositional sites along the Chile continental margin. The sites span a pronounced arid-to-humid gradient with variable relief and related sediment connectivity of terrestrial and marine environments. These sites allowed us to study event related depositional processes in different climatic and geomorphic settings from the Last Glacial Maximum to the present day. The three sites reveal a steep decline of turbidite deposition during deglaciation. High rates of sea-level rise postdate the decline in turbidite deposition. Comparison with paleoclimate proxies documents that the spatio-temporal sedimentary pattern rather mirrors the deglacial humidity decrease and concomitant warming with no resolvable lag times. Our results let us infer that declining deglacial humidity decreased "uvial sediment supply. This signal propagated rapidly through the highly connected systems into the marine sink in north-central Chile. In contrast, in south-central Chile, connectivity between the Andean erosional zone and the "uvial transfer zone probably decreased abruptly by sediment trapping in piedmont lakes related to deglaciation, resulting in a sudden decrease of sediment supply to the ocean. Additionally, reduced moisture supply may have contributed to the rapid decline of turbidite deposition. These different causes result in similar depositional patterns in the marine sinks. We conclude that turbiditic strata may constitute reliable recorders of climate change across a wide range of climatic zones and geomorphic conditions. However, the underlying causes for similar signal manifestations in the sinks may differ, ranging from maintained high system connectivity to abrupt connectivity loss. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. KW - signal propagation KW - turbidity currents KW - Chile KW - sediment-routing system connectivity KW - Last Glacial Maximum Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2017.05.017 SN - 0012-821X SN - 1385-013X VL - 473 SP - 190 EP - 204 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Margold, Martin A1 - Jansen, John D. A1 - Gurinov, Artem L. A1 - Codilean, Alexandru T. A1 - Fink, David A1 - Preusser, Frank A1 - Reznichenko, Natalya V. A1 - Mifsud, Charles T1 - Extensive glaciation in Transbaikalia, Siberia, at the Last Glacial Maximum JF - Quaternary science reviews : the international multidisciplinary research and review journal N2 - Successively smaller glacial extents have been proposed for continental Eurasia during the stadials of the last glacial period leading up to the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM). At the same time the large mountainous region east of Lake Baikal, Transbaikalia, has remained unexplored in terms of glacial chronology despite clear geomorphological evidence of substantial past glaciations. We have applied cosmogenic Be-10 exposure dating and optically stimulated luminescence to establish the first quantitative glacial chronology for this region. Based on eighteen exposure ages from five moraine complexes, we propose that large mountain ice fields existed in the Kodar and Udokan mountains during Oxygen Isotope Stage 2, commensurate with the global LGM. These ice fields fed valley glaciers (>100 km in length) reaching down to the Chara Depression between the Kodar and Udokan mountains and to the valley of the Vitim River northwest of the Kodar Mountains. Two of the investigated moraines date to the Late Glacial, but indications of incomplete exposure among some of the sampled boulders obscure the specific details of the post-LGM glacial history. In addition to the LGM ice fields in the highest mountains of Transbaikalia, we report geomorphological evidence of a much more extensive, ice-cap type glaciation at a time that is yet to be firmly resolved. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. KW - Glaciation KW - Transbaikalia KW - Last Glacial Maximum KW - Cosmogenic Be-10 exposure dating KW - Optically stimulated luminescence Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.11.018 SN - 0277-3791 VL - 132 SP - 161 EP - 174 PB - Elsevier CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Dey, Saptarshi A1 - Thiede, Rasmus Christoph A1 - Schildgen, Taylor F. A1 - Wittmann, Hella A1 - Bookhagen, Bodo A1 - Scherler, Dirk A1 - Jain, Vikrant A1 - Strecker, Manfred T1 - Climate-driven sediment aggradation and incision since the late Pleistocene in the NW Himalaya, India JF - Earth & planetary science letters N2 - Deciphering the response of sediment routing systems to climatic forcing is fundamental for understanding the impacts of climate change on landscape evolution. In the Kangra Basin (northwest Sub-Himalaya, India), upper Pleistocene to Holocene alluvial fills and fluvial terraces record periodic fluctuations of sediment supply and transport capacity on timescales of 10(3) to 10(5) yr. To evaluate the potential influence of climate change on these fluctuations, we compare the timing of aggradation and incision phases recorded within remnant alluvial fans and terraces with climate archives. New surface-exposure dating of six terrace levels with in-situ cosmogenic Be-10 indicates the onset of incision phases. Two terrace surfaces from the highest level (T1) sculpted into the oldest preserved alluvial fan (AF1) date back to 53.4 +/- 3.2 ka and 43.0 +/- 2.7 ka (1 sigma). T2 surfaces sculpted into the remnants of AF1 have exposure ages of 18.6 +/- 1.2 ka and 15.3 +/- 0.9 ka, while terraces sculpted into the upper Pleistocene-Holocene fan (AF2) provide ages of 9.3 +/- 0.4 ka (T3), 7.1 +/- 0.4 ka (T4), 5.2 +/- 0.4 ka (T5) and 3.6 +/- 0.2 ka (T6). Together with previously published OSL ages yielding the timing of aggradation, we find a correlation between variations in sediment transport with oxygen-isotope records from regions affected by the Indian Summer Monsoon. During periods of increased monsoon intensity and post-Last Glacial Maximum glacial retreat, aggradation occurred in the Kangra Basin, likely due to high sediment flux, whereas periods of weakened monsoon intensity or lower sediment supply coincide with incision. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. KW - alluvial-fan sedimentation KW - terrestrial cosmogenic nuclides KW - Indian Summer Monsoon KW - Last Glacial Maximum KW - paleo-erosion rate Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2016.05.050 SN - 0012-821X SN - 1385-013X VL - 449 SP - 321 EP - 331 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - GEN A1 - Dallmeyer, Anne A1 - Claussen, Martin A1 - Ni, Jian A1 - Cao, Xianyong A1 - Wang, Yongbo A1 - Fischer, Nils A1 - Pfeiffer, Madlene A1 - Jin, Liya A1 - Khon, Vyacheslav A1 - Wagner, Sebastian A1 - Haberkorn, Kerstin A1 - Herzschuh, Ulrike T1 - Biome changes in Asia since the mid-Holocene BT - An analysis of different transient Earth system model simulations T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - The large variety of atmospheric circulation systems affecting the eastern Asian climate is reflected by the complex Asian vegetation distribution. Particularly in the transition zones of these circulation systems, vegetation is supposed to be very sensitive to climate change. Since proxy records are scarce, hitherto a mechanistic understanding of the past spatio-temporal climate-vegetation relationship is lacking. To assess the Holocene vegetation change and to obtain an ensemble of potential mid-Holocene biome distributions for eastern Asia, we forced the diagnostic biome model BIOME4 with climate anomalies of different transient Holocene climate simulations performed in coupled atmosphere-ocean(-vegetation) models. The simulated biome changes are compared with pollen-based biome records for different key regions. In all simulations, substantial biome shifts during the last 6000 years are confined to the high northern latitudes and the monsoon-westerly wind transition zone, but the temporal evolution and amplitude of change strongly depend on the climate forcing. Large parts of the southern tundra are replaced by taiga during the mid-Holocene due to a warmer growing season and the boreal treeline in northern Asia is shifted northward by approx. 4 degrees in the ensemble mean, ranging from 1.5 to 6 degrees in the individual simulations, respectively. This simulated treeline shift is in agreement with pollen-based reconstructions from northern Siberia. The desert fraction in the transition zone is reduced by 21% during the mid-Holocene compared to pre-industrial due to enhanced precipitation. The desert-steppe margin is shifted westward by 5 degrees (1-9 degrees in the individual simulations). The forest biomes are expanded north-westward by 2 degrees, ranging from 0 to 4 degrees in the single simulations. These results corroborate pollen-based reconstructions indicating an extended forest area in north-central China during the mid-Holocene. According to the model, the forest-to-non-forest and steppe-to-desert changes in the climate transition zones are spatially not uniform and not linear since the mid-Holocene. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 643 KW - Last Glacial Maximum KW - Eastern Continental Asia KW - summer monsoon precipitation KW - PMIP2 coupled simulations KW - Global Vegetation Model KW - northern high‐latitudes KW - Holocene climate change KW - Tibetan Plateau KW - environmental changes KW - Inner Mongolia Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-418755 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 643 SP - 107 EP - 134 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Cao, Xianyong A1 - Herzschuh, Ulrike A1 - Ni, Jian A1 - Zhao, Yan A1 - Böhmer, Thomas T1 - Spatial and temporal distributions of major tree taxa in eastern continental Asia during the last 22,000 years T2 - The Holocene N2 - This study investigates the spatial and temporal distributions of 14 key arboreal taxa and their driving forces during the last 22,000 calendar years before ad 1950 (kyr BP) using a taxonomically harmonized and temporally standardized fossil pollen dataset with a 500-year resolution from the eastern part of continental Asia. Logistic regression was used to estimate pollen abundance thresholds for vegetation occurrence (presence or dominance), based on modern pollen data and present ranges of 14 taxa in China. Our investigation reveals marked changes in spatial and temporal distributions of the major arboreal taxa. The thermophilous (Castanea, Castanopsis, Cyclobalanopsis, Fagus, Pterocarya) and eurythermal (Juglans, Quercus, Tilia, Ulmus) broadleaved tree taxa were restricted to the current tropical or subtropical areas of China during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) and spread northward since c. 14.5 kyr BP. Betula and conifer taxa (Abies, Picea, Pinus), in contrast, retained a wider distribution during the LGM and showed no distinct expansion direction during the Late Glacial. Since the late mid-Holocene, the abundance but not the spatial extent of most trees decreased. The changes in spatial and temporal distributions for the 14 taxa are a reflection of climate changes, in particular monsoonal moisture, and, in the late Holocene, human impact. The post-LGM expansion patterns in eastern continental China seem to be different from those reported for Europe and North America, for example, the westward spread for eurythermal broadleaved taxa. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 417 KW - China KW - Holocene KW - Last Glacial Maximum KW - pollen mapping KW - vegetation expansion Y1 - 2018 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-404176 VL - 25 IS - 1 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Cao, Xianyong A1 - Herzschuh, Ulrike A1 - Ni, Jian A1 - Zhao, Yan A1 - Böhmer, Thomas T1 - Spatial and temporal distributions of major tree taxa in eastern continental Asia during the last 22,000 years JF - The Holocene : an interdisciplinary journal focusing on recent environmental change N2 - This study investigates the spatial and temporal distributions of 14 key arboreal taxa and their driving forces during the last 22,000 calendar years before ad 1950 (kyr BP) using a taxonomically harmonized and temporally standardized fossil pollen dataset with a 500-year resolution from the eastern part of continental Asia. Logistic regression was used to estimate pollen abundance thresholds for vegetation occurrence (presence or dominance), based on modern pollen data and present ranges of 14 taxa in China. Our investigation reveals marked changes in spatial and temporal distributions of the major arboreal taxa. The thermophilous (Castanea, Castanopsis, Cyclobalanopsis, Fagus, Pterocarya) and eurythermal (Juglans, Quercus, Tilia, Ulmus) broadleaved tree taxa were restricted to the current tropical or subtropical areas of China during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) and spread northward since c. 14.5kyr BP. Betula and conifer taxa (Abies, Picea, Pinus), in contrast, retained a wider distribution during the LGM and showed no distinct expansion direction during the Late Glacial. Since the late mid-Holocene, the abundance but not the spatial extent of most trees decreased. The changes in spatial and temporal distributions for the 14 taxa are a reflection of climate changes, in particular monsoonal moisture, and, in the late Holocene, human impact. The post-LGM expansion patterns in eastern continental China seem to be different from those reported for Europe and North America, for example, the westward spread for eurythermal broadleaved taxa. KW - China KW - Holocene KW - Last Glacial Maximum KW - pollen mapping KW - vegetation expansion Y1 - 2015 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683614556385 SN - 0959-6836 SN - 1477-0911 VL - 25 IS - 1 SP - 79 EP - 91 PB - Sage Publ. CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Herzschuh, Ulrike A1 - Borkowski, Janett A1 - Schewe, Jacob A1 - Mischke, Steffen A1 - Tian, Fang T1 - Moisture-advection feedback supports strong early-to-mid Holocene monsoon climate on the eastern Tibetan Plateau as inferred from a pollen-based reconstruction JF - Palaeogeography, palaeoclimatology, palaeoecology : an international journal for the geo-sciences N2 - (Paleo-)climatologists are challenged to identify mechanisms that cause the observed abrupt Holocene monsoon events despite the fact that monsoonal circulation is assumed to be driven by gradual insolation changes. Here we provide proxy and model evidence to show that moisture-advection feedback can lead to a non-linear relationship between sea-surface and continental temperatures and monsoonal precipitation. A pollen record from Lake Ximencuo (Nianbaoyeze Mountains) indicates that vegetation from the eastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau was characterized by alpine deserts and glacial flora after the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) (21-15.5 cal kyr BP), by alpine meadows during the Late Glacial (15.5-10.4 cal kyr BP) and second half of the Holocene (5.0 cal kyr BP to present) and by mixed forests during the first half of the Holocene (10.4-5.0 cal kyr BP). The application of pollen-based transfer functions yields an abrupt temperature increase at 10.4 cal kyr BP and a decrease at 5.0 cal kyr BP of about 3 degrees C. By applying endmember modeling to grain-size data from the same sediment core we infer that frequent fluvial events (probably originating from high-magnitude precipitation events) were more common in the early and mid Holocene. We assign the inferred exceptional strong monsoonal circulation to the initiation of moisture-advection feedback, a result supported by a simple model that reproduces this feedback pattern over the same time period. (C) 2014 Published by Elsevier B.V. KW - Moisture-advection feedback KW - Monsoon KW - Tibetan Plateau KW - Holocene KW - Last Glacial Maximum KW - Pollen-climate calibration Y1 - 2014 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2014.02.022 SN - 0031-0182 SN - 1872-616X VL - 402 SP - 44 EP - 54 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - THES A1 - Schneider von Deimling, Thomas T1 - Constraining uncertainty in climate sensitivity : an ensemble simulation approach based on glacial climate T1 - Einschränkung der Unsicherheit in der Klimasensitivität : ein Ensemble Simulationsansatz basierend auf dem glazialen Klima N2 - Uncertainty about the sensitivity of the climate system to changes in the Earth’s radiative balance constitutes a primary source of uncertainty for climate projections. Given the continuous increase in atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations, constraining the uncertainty range in such type of sensitivity is of vital importance. A common measure for expressing this key characteristic for climate models is the climate sensitivity, defined as the simulated change in global-mean equilibrium temperature resulting from a doubling of atmospheric CO2 concentration. The broad range of climate sensitivity estimates (1.5-4.5°C as given in the last Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, 2001), inferred from comprehensive climate models, illustrates that the strength of simulated feedback mechanisms varies strongly among different models. The central goal of this thesis is to constrain uncertainty in climate sensitivity. For this objective we first generate a large ensemble of model simulations, covering different feedback strengths, and then request their consistency with present-day observational data and proxy-data from the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM). Our analyses are based on an ensemble of fully-coupled simulations, that were realized with a climate model of intermediate complexity (CLIMBER-2). These model versions cover a broad range of different climate sensitivities, ranging from 1.3 to 5.5°C, and have been generated by simultaneously perturbing a set of 11 model parameters. The analysis of the simulated model feedbacks reveals that the spread in climate sensitivity results from different realizations of the feedback strengths in water vapour, clouds, lapse rate and albedo. The calculated spread in the sum of all feedbacks spans almost the entire plausible range inferred from a sampling of more complex models. We show that the requirement for consistency between simulated pre-industrial climate and a set of seven global-mean data constraints represents a comparatively weak test for model sensitivity (the data constrain climate sensitivity to 1.3-4.9°C). Analyses of the simulated latitudinal profile and of the seasonal cycle suggest that additional present-day data constraints, based on these characteristics, do not further constrain uncertainty in climate sensitivity. The novel approach presented in this thesis consists in systematically combining a large set of LGM simulations with data information from reconstructed regional glacial cooling. Irrespective of uncertainties in model parameters and feedback strengths, the set of our model versions reveals a close link between the simulated warming due to a doubling of CO2, and the cooling obtained for the LGM. Based on this close relationship between past and future temperature evolution, we define a method (based on linear regression) that allows us to estimate robust 5-95% quantiles for climate sensitivity. We thus constrain the range of climate sensitivity to 1.3-3.5°C using proxy-data from the LGM at low and high latitudes. Uncertainties in glacial radiative forcing enlarge this estimate to 1.2-4.3°C, whereas the assumption of large structural uncertainties may increase the upper limit by an additional degree. Using proxy-based data constraints for tropical and Antarctic cooling we show that very different absolute temperature changes in high and low latitudes all yield very similar estimates of climate sensitivity. On the whole, this thesis highlights that LGM proxy-data information can offer an effective means of constraining the uncertainty range in climate sensitivity and thus underlines the potential of paleo-climatic data to reduce uncertainty in future climate projections. N2 - Eine der entscheidenden Hauptquellen für Unsicherheiten von Klimaprojektionen ist, wie sensitiv das Klimasystem auf Änderungen der Strahlungsbilanz der Erde reagiert. Angesichts des kontinuierlichen Anstiegs der atmosphärischen Treibhausgaskonzentrationen ist die Einschränkung des Unsicherheitsbereichs dieser Sensitivität von entscheidender Bedeutung. Ein häufig verwendetes Maß zur Beschreibung dieser charakteristischen Kenngröße von Klimamodellen ist die sogenannte Klimasensitivität, definiert als die Gleichgewichtsänderung der simulierten globalen Mitteltemperatur, welche sich aus einer Verdoppelung des atmosphärischen CO2-Gehalts ergibt. Die breite Spanne der geschätzten Klimasensitivität (1.5-4.5°C), welche ein Vergleich verschiedener komplexer Klimamodelle nahe legt (IPCC, 2001), verdeutlicht, wie groß die Unsicherheit in der Klimasensitivität ist. Diese Unsicherheit resultiert in erster Linie aus Unterschieden in der Simulation der entscheidenden Rückkopplungs-mechanismen in den verschiedenen Modellen. Das zentrale Ziel dieser Dissertation ist die Einschränkung des breiten Unsicherheitsbereichs der Klimasensitivität. Zunächst wird hierzu ein großes Ensemble an Modellsimulationen erzeugt, in welchem gezielt spezifische Modellparameter variiert, und somit unterschiedliche Rückkopplungsstärken der einzelnen Modellversionen realisiert werden. Diese Simulationen werden dann auf ihre Konsistenz mit sowohl heutigen Beobachtungsdaten, als auch Proxy-Daten des Letzten Glazialen Maximums (LGM) überprüft. Unsere Analysen basieren dabei auf einem Ensemble voll gekoppelter Modellläufe, welche mit einem Klimamodell intermediärer Komplexität (CLIMBER-2) realisiert wurden. Die betrachteten Modellversionen decken eine breite Spanne verschiedener Klimasensitivitäten (1.3-5.5°C) ab und wurden durch gleichzeitiges Variieren von 11 Modellparametern erzeugt. Die Analyse der simulierten Rückkopplungs-mechanismen offenbart, dass unterschiedliche Werte der Klimasensitivität in unserem Modellensemble durch verschiedene Realisierungen der Rückkopplungsstärken von Wasserdampf, Wolken, Temperatur-Vertikalprofil und Albedo zu erklären sind. Die berechneten Gesamt-Rückkopplungsstärken unser Modellversionen decken hierbei fast den gesamten möglichen Bereich von komplexeren Modellen ab. Wir zeigen, dass sich die Forderung nach Konsistenz zwischen simuliertem vorindustriellem Klima und Messdaten, die auf einer Wahl von sieben global gemittelten Datensätzen basieren, als vergleichsweise schwacher Test der Modellsensitivität erweist: Die Daten schränken den plausiblen Bereich der Klimasensitivität lediglich auf 1.3-4.9°C ein. Zieht man neben den genannten global gemittelten Messdaten außerdem klimatische Informationen aus Jahreszeit und geografischer Breite hinzu, lässt sich die Unsicherheit in der Klimasensitivität nicht weiter einschränken. Der neue Ansatz dieser Dissertation besteht darin, in systematischer Weise einen großen Satz an LGM-Simulationen mit Dateninformationen über die rekonstruierte glaziale Abkühlung bestimmter Regionen zu kombinieren. Unabhängig von den Unsicherheiten in Modellparametern und Rückkopplungsstärken offenbaren unsere Modellversionen eine ausgeprägte Beziehung zwischen der simulierten Erwärmung aufgrund der CO2-Verdoppelung und der Abkühlung im LGM. Basierend auf dieser engen Beziehung zwischen vergangener und zukünftiger Temperaturentwicklung definieren wir eine Methode (basierend auf linearer Regression), welche es uns erlaubt, robuste 5-95%-Quantile der Klimasensitivität abzuschätzen. Indem wir Proxy-Daten des LGM von niederen und hohen Breiten heranziehen, können wir die Unsicherheitsspanne der Klimasensitivität auf 1.3-3.5°C beschränken. Unsicherheiten im glazialen Strahlungsantrieb vergrößern diese Abschätzung auf 1.2-4.3°C, wobei die Annahme von großen strukturellen Unsicherheiten die obere Grenze um ein weiteres Grad erhöhen kann. Indem wir Proxy-Daten über tropische und antarktische Abkühlung betrachten, können wir zeigen, dass sehr unterschiedliche absolute Temperatur-Änderungen in hohen und niederen Breiten zu sehr ähnlichen Abschätzungen der Klimasensitivität führen. Vor dem Hintergrund unserer Ergebnisse zeigt diese Dissertation, dass LGM-Proxy-Daten ein effektives Mittel zur Einschränkung des Unsicherheitsbereichs der Klimasensitivität sein können und betont somit das Potenzial von Paläoklimadaten, den großen Unsicherheitsbereich von Klimaprojektionen zu reduzieren. KW - Dynamische Modellierung KW - Potsdam / Potsdam-Institut für Klimafolgenforschung KW - Entscheidung bei Unsicherheit KW - Klimasensitivität KW - Klimaprognose KW - Unsicherheitsanalyse KW - Ensemble-Simulation KW - Letztes Glaziales Maximum KW - climate sensitivity KW - climate projection KW - uncertainty analysis KW - ensemble simulation KW - Last Glacial Maximum Y1 - 2006 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-7778 ER -