TY  - JOUR
A1  - Merz, Bruno
A1  - Kuhlicke, Christian
A1  - Kunz, Michael
A1  - Pittore, Massimiliano
A1  - Babeyko, Andrey
A1  - Bresch, David N.
A1  - Domeisen, Daniela I.
A1  - Feser, Frauke
A1  - Koszalka, Inga
A1  - Kreibich, Heidi
A1  - Pantillon, Florian
A1  - Parolai, Stefano
A1  - Pinto, Joaquim G.
A1  - Punge, Heinz Jürgen
A1  - Rivalta, Eleonora
A1  - Schröter, Kai
A1  - Strehlow, Karen
A1  - Weisse, Ralf
A1  - Wurpts, Andreas
T1  - Impact forecasting to support emergency management of natural hazards
JF  - Reviews of geophysics
N2  - Forecasting and early warning systems are important investments to protect lives, properties, and livelihood. While early warning systems are frequently used to predict the magnitude, location, and timing of potentially damaging events, these systems rarely provide impact estimates, such as the expected amount and distribution of physical damage, human consequences, disruption of services, or financial loss. Complementing early warning systems with impact forecasts has a twofold advantage: It would provide decision makers with richer information to take informed decisions about emergency measures and focus the attention of different disciplines on a common target. This would allow capitalizing on synergies between different disciplines and boosting the development of multihazard early warning systems. This review discusses the state of the art in impact forecasting for a wide range of natural hazards. We outline the added value of impact-based warnings compared to hazard forecasting for the emergency phase, indicate challenges and pitfalls, and synthesize the review results across hazard types most relevant for Europe.
KW  - impact forecasting
KW  - natural hazards
KW  - early warning
Y1  - 2020
U6  - https://doi.org/10.1029/2020RG000704
SN  - 8755-1209
SN  - 1944-9208
VL  - 58
IS  - 4
PB  - American Geophysical Union
CY  - Washington
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Rözer, Viktor
A1  - Müller, Meike
A1  - Bubeck, Philip
A1  - Kienzler, Sarah
A1  - Thieken, Annegret
A1  - Pech, Ina
A1  - Schröter, Kai
A1  - Buchholz, Oliver
A1  - Kreibich, Heidi
T1  - Coping with Pluvial Floods by Private Households
JF  - Water
N2  - Pluvial floods have caused severe damage to urban areas in recent years. With a projected increase in extreme precipitation as well as an ongoing urbanization, pluvial flood damage is expected to increase in the future. Therefore, further insights, especially on the adverse consequences of pluvial floods and their mitigation, are needed. To gain more knowledge, empirical damage data from three different pluvial flood events in Germany were collected through computer-aided telephone interviews. Pluvial flood awareness as well as flood experience were found to be low before the respective flood events. The level of private precaution increased considerably after all events, but is mainly focused on measures that are easy to implement. Lower inundation depths, smaller potential losses as compared with fluvial floods, as well as the fact that pluvial flooding may occur everywhere, are expected to cause a shift in damage mitigation from precaution to emergency response. However, an effective implementation of emergency measures was constrained by a low dissemination of early warnings in the study areas. Further improvements of early warning systems including dissemination as well as a rise in pluvial flood preparedness are important to reduce future pluvial flood damage.
KW  - pluvial floods
KW  - surface water flooding
KW  - emergency response
KW  - early warning
KW  - preparedness
KW  - damage
KW  - mitigation
Y1  - 2016
U6  - https://doi.org/10.3390/w8070304
SN  - 2073-4441
VL  - 8
PB  - MDPI
CY  - Basel
ER  - 
TY  - GEN
A1  - Rözer, Viktor
A1  - Müller, Meike
A1  - Bubeck, Philip
A1  - Kienzler, Sarah
A1  - Thieken, Annegret
A1  - Pech, Ina
A1  - Schröter, Kai
A1  - Buchholz, Oliver
A1  - Kreibich, Heidi
T1  - Coping with pluvial floods by private households
N2  - Pluvial floods have caused severe damage to urban areas in recent years. With a projected increase in extreme precipitation as well as an ongoing urbanization, pluvial flood damage is expected to increase in the future. Therefore, further insights, especially on the adverse consequences of pluvial floods and their mitigation, are needed. To gain more knowledge, empirical damage data from three different pluvial flood events in Germany were collected through computer-aided telephone interviews. Pluvial flood awareness as well as flood experience were found to be low before the respective flood events. The level of private precaution increased considerably after all events, but is mainly focused on measures that are easy to implement. Lower inundation depths, smaller potential losses as compared with fluvial floods, as well as the fact that pluvial flooding may occur everywhere, are expected to cause a shift in damage mitigation from precaution to emergency response. However, an effective implementation of emergency measures was constrained by a low dissemination of early warnings in the study areas. Further improvements of early warning systems including dissemination as well as a rise in pluvial flood preparedness are important to reduce future pluvial flood damage.
T3  - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 355 
KW  - pluvial floods
KW  - surface water flooding
KW  - emergency response
KW  - early warning
KW  - preparedness
KW  - damage
KW  - mitigation
Y1  - 2017
U6  - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-400465
ER  -