TY - JOUR A1 - Werner, Andrea A1 - Werner, Andreas A1 - Wieland, Ralf A1 - Kersebaum, Kurt-Christian A1 - Mirschel, Wilfried A1 - Ende, Hans-Peter A1 - Wiggering, Hubert T1 - Ex ante assessment of crop rotations focusing on energy crops using a multi-attribute decision-making method JF - Ecological indicators : integrating monitoring, assessment and management N2 - The cultivation of plants for use as energy resources is an agricultural and industrial sector with potentially synergistic benefits related to protecting the environment and generating income. Against the background of increasing land-use changes and new agricultural approaches to the production of energy crops, we present a method for identifying future-oriented crop rotations that supports both the economic and environmental components of decision-making strategies with respect to agriculture-related policy decisions (regional mission statements). The conflicting aspects of these objectives can be addressed with the analytic hierarchy process (AHP), a multi-attribute decision-making method that was integrated here. Three models are used to generate simulations of the defined objectives over a planning period of 30 years under the current climate scenario and provide input data for the multi-attribute assessment of several crop rotations. Based on the entire evaluation process, dimensionless global priority vectors are used to indicate how well the crop rotations meet the requirements of the defined mission statement. The method is tested in a municipality in NE Germany. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. KW - Agricultural management KW - Ex ante assessment KW - Multi-attribute decision-making KW - AHP KW - Crop rotation KW - Energy crops KW - Regional objectives KW - Indicators Y1 - 2014 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2014.03.013 SN - 1470-160X SN - 1872-7034 VL - 45 SP - 110 EP - 122 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER -