TY - JOUR A1 - Cordeiro, Andre M. A1 - Andrade, Luis A1 - Monteiro, Catarina C. A1 - Leitao, Guilherme A1 - Wigge, Philip Anthony A1 - Saibo, Nelson J. M. T1 - Phytochrome-interacting factors BT - a promising tool to improve crop productivity JF - Journal of experimental botany N2 - Review exploring the regulation of PHYTOCHROME-INTERACTING FACTORS by light, their role in abiotic stress tolerance and plant architecture, and their influence on crop productivity. Light is a key determinant for plant growth, development, and ultimately yield. Phytochromes, red/far-red photoreceptors, play an important role in plant architecture, stress tolerance, and productivity. In the model plant Arabidopsis, it has been shown that PHYTOCHROME-INTERACTING FACTORS (PIFs; bHLH transcription factors) act as central hubs in the integration of external stimuli to regulate plant development. Recent studies have unveiled the importance of PIFs in crops. They are involved in the modulation of plant architecture and productivity through the regulation of cell division and elongation in response to different environmental cues. These studies show that different PIFs have overlapping but also distinct functions in the regulation of plant growth. Therefore, understanding the molecular mechanisms by which PIFs regulate plant development is crucial to improve crop productivity under both optimal and adverse environmental conditions. In this review, we discuss current knowledge of PIFs acting as integrators of light and other signals in different crops, with particular focus on the role of PIFs in responding to different environmental conditions and how this can be used to improve crop productivity. KW - Cold KW - drought KW - grain size KW - heat KW - light signaling KW - phytochrome KW - PIF KW - plant architecture KW - plant breeding KW - plant yield KW - salinity Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1093/jxb/erac142 SN - 0022-0957 SN - 1460-2431 VL - 73 IS - 12 SP - 3881 EP - 3897 PB - Oxford Univ. Press CY - Oxford ER - TY - THES A1 - Zhou, Xiangqian T1 - Modeling of spatially distributed nitrate transport to investigate the effects of drought and river restoration in the Bode catchment, Central Germany N2 - The European Water Framework Directive (WFD) has identified river morphological alteration and diffuse pollution as the two main pressures affecting water bodies in Europe at the catchment scale. Consequently, river restoration has become a priority to achieve the WFD's objective of good ecological status. However, little is known about the effects of stream morphological changes, such as re-meandering, on in-stream nitrate retention at the river network scale. Therefore, catchment nitrate modeling is necessary to guide the implementation of spatially targeted and cost-effective mitigation measures. Meanwhile, Germany, like many other regions in central Europe, has experienced consecutive summer droughts from 2015-2018, resulting in significant changes in river nitrate concentrations in various catchments. However, the mechanistic exploration of catchment nitrate responses to changing weather conditions is still lacking. Firstly, a fully distributed, process-based catchment Nitrate model (mHM-Nitrate) was used, which was properly calibrated and comprehensively evaluated at numerous spatially distributed nitrate sampling locations. Three calibration schemes were designed, taking into account land use, stream order, and mean nitrate concentrations, and they varied in spatial coverage but used data from the same period (2011–2019). The model performance for discharge was similar among the three schemes, with Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) scores ranging from 0.88 to 0.92. However, for nitrate concentrations, scheme 2 outperformed schemes 1 and 3 when compared to observed data from eight gauging stations. This was likely because scheme 2 incorporated a diverse range of data, including low discharge values and nitrate concentrations, and thus provided a better representation of within-catchment heterogenous. Therefore, the study suggests that strategically selecting gauging stations that reflect the full range of within-catchment heterogeneity is more important for calibration than simply increasing the number of stations. Secondly, the mHM-Nitrate model was used to reveal the causal relations between sequential droughts and nitrate concentration in the Bode catchment (3200 km2) in central Germany, where stream nitrate concentrations exhibited contrasting trends from upstream to downstream reaches. The model was evaluated using data from six gauging stations, reflecting different levels of runoff components and their associated nitrate-mixing from upstream to downstream. Results indicated that the mHM-Nitrate model reproduced dynamics of daily discharge and nitrate concentration well, with Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency ≥ 0.73 for discharge and Kling-Gupta Efficiency ≥ 0.50 for nitrate concentration at most stations. Particularly, the spatially contrasting trends of nitrate concentration were successfully captured by the model. The decrease of nitrate concentration in the lowland area in drought years (2015-2018) was presumably due to (1) limited terrestrial export loading (ca. 40% lower than that of normal years 2004-2014), and (2) increased in-stream retention efficiency (20% higher in summer within the whole river network). From a mechanistic modelling perspective, this study provided insights into spatially heterogeneous flow and nitrate dynamics and effects of sequential droughts, which shed light on water-quality responses to future climate change, as droughts are projected to be more frequent. Thirdly, this study investigated the effects of stream restoration via re-meandering on in-stream nitrate retention at network-scale in the well-monitored Bode catchment. The mHM-Nitrate model showed good performance in reproducing daily discharge and nitrate concentrations, with median Kling-Gupta values of 0.78 and 0.74, respectively. The mean and standard deviation of gross nitrate retention efficiency, which accounted for both denitrification and assimilatory uptake, were 5.1 ± 0.61% and 74.7 ± 23.2% in winter and summer, respectively, within the stream network. The study found that in the summer, denitrification rates were about two times higher in lowland sub-catchments dominated by agricultural lands than in mountainous sub-catchments dominated by forested areas, with median ± SD of 204 ± 22.6 and 102 ± 22.1 mg N m-2 d-1, respectively. Similarly, assimilatory uptake rates were approximately five times higher in streams surrounded by lowland agricultural areas than in those in higher-elevation, forested areas, with median ± SD of 200 ± 27.1 and 39.1 ± 8.7 mg N m-2 d-1, respectively. Therefore, restoration strategies targeting lowland agricultural areas may have greater potential for increasing nitrate retention. The study also found that restoring stream sinuosity could increase net nitrate retention efficiency by up to 25.4 ± 5.3%, with greater effects seen in small streams. These results suggest that restoration efforts should consider augmenting stream sinuosity to increase nitrate retention and decrease nitrate concentrations at the catchment scale. N2 - Die Europäische Wasserrahmenrichtlinie hat die morphologischen Veränderungen der Flüsse und die diffuse Verschmutzung als die Hauptprobleme der Gewässer in Europa identifiziert. Um diese Probleme anzugehen, hat die Renaturierung von Fließgewässern hohe Priorität. Es ist jedoch nur wenig darüber bekannt, wie sich Veränderungen der Flussform, wie z. B. die Re-Mäanderung, auf die Nitratrückhaltung im Fließgewässer auswirken. Deutschland hat in den letzten Jahren Dürreperioden erlebt, die zu Veränderungen der Nitratkonzentration in den Fließgewässern geführt haben. Es gibt jedoch nur wenig Erkenntnisse darüber, wie sich diese Dürreperioden auf die Nitratkonzentration auswirken. Zur Untersuchung dieser Einflüsse kann eine Modellierung des Nitrat-Transports und -Rückhalts in Einzugsgebieten wichtige Hinweise zu wirksamen Reduzierungsmaßnahmen liefern. In dieser Studie wurde ein prozessbasiertes hydrologisches Wasserqualitätsmodell (mHM-Nitrate) verwendet, um die Nitratdynamik im Einzugsgebiet der Bode (3200 km2) zu simulieren. Das Modell wurde anhand von Daten aus verschiedenen Teileinzugsgebieten kalibriert und bewertet. Es wurden drei Kalibrierungsvarianten entwickelt, die die Flächennutzung, die Ordnung der Fließgewässer und die mittleren Nitratkonzentrationen mit unterschiedlichem Detaillierungsgrad berücksichtigten. Die Modellierungsgüte für den Abfluss war bei allen drei Kalibrierungsvarianten ähnlich, während sich bei den Nitratkonzentrationen deutliche Unterschiede ergaben. Die Studie zeigte, dass die Auswahl von Messstationen, die die charakteristischen Gebietseigenschaften widerspiegeln, für die Nitrat-Kalibrierung wichtiger ist als die reine Anzahl der Messstationen. Das Modell wurde auch verwendet, um die Beziehung zwischen Dürreperioden und der Nitratdynamik im Bodegebiet zu untersuchen. Das Modell gab die Dynamik von Abfluss und Nitrat sehr gut wider und erfasste hierbei auch die räumlichen Unterschiede in den Nitratkonzentrationen sehr gut. Die Studie ergab, dass Dürreperioden zu niedrigeren Nitratkonzentrationen in den landwirtschaftlich genutzten Gebieten im Tiefland führten, was auf einen geringeren terrestrischen Export und einen erhöhten Rückhalt in den Fließgewässern zurückzuführen war. Die Untersuchung liefert Erkenntnisse über die Auswirkungen von Dürren auf den Nitrataustrag, was für das Verständnis der Auswirkungen des künftigen Klimawandels wichtig ist. Darüber hinaus untersuchte die Studie die Auswirkungen der Renaturierung von Fließgewässern, insbesondere der Re-Mäanderung, auf die Nitratrückhaltung im Fließgewässernetz. Die Untersuchung zeigte, dass der gewässerinterne Nitratrückhalt in landwirtschaftlichen Tieflandgebieten höher war als in bewaldeten Gebieten. Die Wiederherstellung natürlich meandrierender Fließgewässer erhöhte die Nitratretention und verringerte die Nitratkonzentration im Fließgewässer, insbesondere in kleinen Bächen in landwirtschaftlichen Gebieten. Dies deutet darauf hin, dass bei Sanierungsmaßnahmen die Erhöhung der Gewässersinuosität berücksichtigt werden sollte, um den Nitratrückhalt und die Wasserqualität insbesondere in den Teiflandgebieten zu erhöhen. KW - multi-site calibration KW - spatiotemporal validation KW - uncertainty KW - parameter transferability KW - drought KW - catchment hydrology Water quality model KW - river restoration KW - stream sinuosity KW - mHM-Nitrate model KW - stream denitrification KW - assimilatory uptake KW - Kalibrierung an mehreren Standorten KW - räumlich-zeitliche Validierung KW - Ungewissheit KW - Übertragbarkeit der Parameter KW - Dürre KW - Einzugsgebietshydrologie Wasserqualitätsmodell KW - Restaurierung von Flüssen KW - Strömungsneigung KW - mHM-Nitrat-Modell KW - Bachdenitrifikation KW - assimilatorische Aufnahme Y1 - 2024 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-621059 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Munjonji, Lawrence A1 - Ayisi, Kingsley Kwabena A1 - Mudongo, Edwin I. A1 - Mafeo, Tieho Paulus A1 - Behn, Kai A1 - Mokoka, Malesela Vincent A1 - Linstädter, Anja T1 - Disentangling drought and grazing effects on soil carbon stocks and CO2 fluxes in a semi-arid African Savanna JF - Frontiers in Environmental Science N2 - Grasslands cover ca. 30% of the global land surface and provide critical ecosystem services. Among them, carbon storage is one of the most important. However, grasslands are increasingly threatened by drought and overgrazing which might negatively affect soil carbon stocks. Despite this threat, there is a dearth of information on how drought and grazing jointly impact soil carbon stocks and CO2 fluxes in dryland grasslands. With the aid of a large field experiment, we studied the combined effects of a 5-year extreme drought and moderate grazing on soil carbon stocks, CO2 fluxes and soil chemical properties. Extreme drought was induced by reducing ambient rainfall by 66% using large rainout shelters. We found CO2 fluxes to strongly respond to the 5-year experimental drought. Extreme drought reduced CO2 emission rates by 32% compared to ambient conditions. CO2 fluxes averaged 5.7 mg m(-2)min(-1) under drought compared to 8.3 mg m(-2) min(-1) under ambient conditions. CO2 fluxes were, however, not influenced by grazing. At the end of the growth period, grazed plots under ambient rainfall had released 16.3 tons of CO2 ha(-1) which was 58% higher than observed on grazed plots subjected to severe drought. Soil carbon stocks were higher under drought conditions due to slower decomposition rates. Drought resulted in increased concentrations of primary macronutrients (N, P, and K), micronutrients (Zn and Mn) and pH in the top 30 cm of the soil relative to ambient conditions. The results also showed that grazing reduced the concentration of N and P in the topsoil compared to the ungrazed plots. This study provided insights on the soil carbon storage, CO2 emission rates and nutrient dynamics in a semi-arid dryland grassland as influenced by both drought and grazing. Our study also revealed that long-term extreme drought may be favorable in terms of preserving the existing soil carbon stocks through reduced CO2 release. This finding is critical for understanding future soil carbon dynamics in dryland grasslands in the face of climate change. KW - C stocks KW - CO2 flux KW - drought KW - dryland grasslands KW - grazing Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2020.590665 SN - 2296-665X VL - 8 PB - Frontiers Media CY - Lausanne ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Mtilatila, Lucy Mphatso Ng'ombe A1 - Bronstert, Axel A1 - Vormoor, Klaus Josef T1 - Temporal evaluation and projections of meteorological droughts in the Greater Lake Malawi Basin, Southeast Africa JF - Frontiers in water N2 - The study examined the potential future changes of drought characteristics in the Greater Lake Malawi Basin in Southeast Africa. This region strongly depends on water resources to generate electricity and food. Future projections (considering both moderate and high emission scenarios) of temperature and precipitation from an ensemble of 16 bias-corrected climate model combinations were blended with a scenario-neutral response surface approach to analyses changes in: (i) the meteorological conditions, (ii) the meteorological water balance, and (iii) selected drought characteristics such as drought intensity, drought months, and drought events, which were derived from the Standardized Precipitation and Evapotranspiration Index. Changes were analyzed for a near-term (2021-2050) and far-term period (2071-2100) with reference to 1976-2005. The effect of bias-correction (i.e., empirical quantile mapping) on the ability of the climate model ensemble to reproduce observed drought characteristics as compared to raw climate projections was also investigated. Results suggest that the bias-correction improves the climate models in terms of reproducing temperature and precipitation statistics but not drought characteristics. Still, despite the differences in the internal structures and uncertainties that exist among the climate models, they all agree on an increase of meteorological droughts in the future in terms of higher drought intensity and longer events. Drought intensity is projected to increase between +25 and +50% during 2021-2050 and between +131 and +388% during 2071-2100. This translates into +3 to +5, and +7 to +8 more drought months per year during both periods, respectively. With longer lasting drought events, the number of drought events decreases. Projected droughts based on the high emission scenario are 1.7 times more severe than droughts based on the moderate scenario. That means that droughts in this region will likely become more severe in the coming decades. Despite the inherent high uncertainties of climate projections, the results provide a basis in planning and (water-)managing activities for climate change adaptation measures in Malawi. This is of particular relevance for water management issues referring hydro power generation and food production, both for rain-fed and irrigated agriculture. KW - meteorological drought KW - drought intensity KW - climate change KW - drought KW - events KW - Lake Malawi KW - Shire River KW - drought projections KW - South-Eastern KW - Africa Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3389/frwa.2022.1041452 SN - 2624-9375 VL - 4 PB - Frontiers Media CY - Lausanne ER - TY - THES A1 - Mtilatila, Lucy Mphatso Ng'ombe T1 - Climate change effects on drought, freshwater availability and hydro-power generation in an African environment T1 - Auswirkungen des Klimawandels auf Dürre, Wasserverfügbarkeit und Wasserkrafterzeugung in einer tropischen afrikanischen Region BT - observations and projections for the Lake Malawi and Shire River Basins in Malawi BT - Datenanalysen und Projektionen für die Einzugsgebiete des Malawi-Sees und des Shire-Flusses in Malawi N2 - The work is designed to investigate the impacts and sensitivity of climate change on water resources, droughts and hydropower production in Malawi, the South-Eastern region which is highly vulnerable to climate change. It is observed that rainfall is decreasing and temperature is increasing which calls for the understanding of what these changes may impact the water resources, drought occurrences and hydropower generation in the region. The study is conducted in the Greater Lake Malawi Basin (Lake Malawi and Shire River Basins) and is divided into three projects. The first study is assessing the variability and trends of both meteorological and hydrological droughts from 1970-2013 in Lake Malawi and Shire River basins using the standardized precipitation index (SPI) and standardized precipitation and evaporation Index (SPEI) for meteorological droughts and the lake level change index (LLCI) for hydrological droughts. And later the relationship of the meteorological and hydrological droughts is established. While the second study extends the drought analysis into the future by examining the potential future meteorological water balance and associated drought characteristics such as the drought intensity (DI), drought months (DM), and drought events (DE) in the Greater Lake Malawi Basin. The sensitivity of drought to changes of rainfall and temperature is also assessed using the scenario-neutral approach. The climate change projections from 20 Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) models for Africa based on two scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) for the periods 2021–2050 and 2071–2100 are used. The study also investigates the effect of bias-correction (i.e., empirical quantile mapping) on the ability of the climate model ensemble in reproducing observed drought characteristics as compared to raw climate projections. The sensitivity of key hydrologic variables and hydropower generation to climate change in Lake Malawi and Shire River basins is assessed in third study. The study adapts the mesoscale Hydrological Model (mHM) which is applied separately in the Upper Lake Malawi and Shire River basins. A particular Lake Malawi model, which focuses on reservoir routing and lake water balance, has been developed and is interlinked between the two basins. Similar to second study, the scenario-neutral approach is also applied to determine the sensitivity of climate change on water resources more particularly Lake Malawi level and Shire River flow which later helps to estimate the hydropower production susceptibility. Results suggest that meteorological droughts are increasing due to a decrease in precipitation which is exacerbated by an increase in temperature (potential evapotranspiration). The hydrological system of Lake Malawi seems to have a >24-month memory towards meteorological conditions since the 36-months SPEI can predict hydrological droughts ten-months in advance. The study has found the critical lake level that would trigger hydrological drought to be 474.1 m.a.s.l. Despite the differences in the internal structures and uncertainties that exist among the climate models, they all agree on an increase of meteorological droughts in the future in terms of higher DI and longer events (DM). DI is projected to increase between +25% and +50% during 2021-2050 and between +131% and +388% during 2071-2100. This translates into +3 to +5, and +7 to +8 more drought months per year during both periods, respectively. With longer lasting drought events, DE is decreasing. Projected droughts based on RCP8.5 are 1.7 times more severe than droughts based on RCP4.5. It is also found that an annual temperature increase of 1°C decreases mean lake level and outflow by 0.3 m and 17%, respectively, signifying the importance of intensified evaporation for Lake Malawi’s water budget. Meanwhile, a +5% (-5%) deviation in annual rainfall changes mean lake level by +0.7 m (-0.6 m). The combined effects of temperature increase and rainfall decrease result in significantly lower flows on Shire River. The hydrological river regime may change from perennial to seasonal with the combination of annual temperature increase and precipitation decrease beyond 1.5°C (3.5°C) and -20% (-15%). The study further projects a reduction in annual hydropower production between 1% (RCP8.5) and 2.5% (RCP4.5) during 2021–2050 and between 5% (RCP4.5) and 24% (RCP8.5) during 2071–2100. The findings are later linked to global policies more particularly the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)’s Paris Agreement and the United Nations (UN)’s Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), and how the failure to adhere the restriction of temperature increase below the global limit of 1.5°C will affect drought and the water resources in Malawi consequently impact the hydropower production. As a result, the achievement of most of the SDGs will be compromised. The results show that it is of great importance that a further development of hydro energy on the Shire River should take into account the effects of climate change. The information generation is important for decision making more especially supporting the climate action required to fight against climate change. The frequency of extreme climate events due to climate change has reached the climate emergency as saving lives and livelihoods require urgent action. N2 - Ziel der Arbeit ist es, die Auswirkungen und die Sensitivität des Klimawandels auf die Wasser¬ressourcen, Dürren und die Wasserkrafterzeugung in Malawi zu untersuchen, einer Region im Südosten Afrikas, die besonders anfällig für den Klimawandel ist. Es ist zu beobachten, dass die Niederschläge abnehmen und die Temperaturen steigen, was Untersuchungen nahelegt, inwiefern sich diese Veränderungen auf die Wasserressourcen, Dürren und die Wasserkraft¬erzeugung in der Region auswirken können. Die Studie wird im Flussgebiet des Malawi-Sees (Einzugsgebiet des Malawi-Sees und des Shire-Flusses) durchgeführt und ist in drei Projekte unterteilt. In der ersten Studie werden die Variabilität und die Trends von meteorologischen und hydrologischen Dürren im Zeitraum 1970-2013 im Malawi-See- und Shire-Flusseinzugs¬gebiet anhand des standardisierten Niederschlagsindexes (SPI) und des standardisierten Niederschlags- und Verdunstungsindexes (SPEI) für meteorologische Dürren und des Indexes für die Veränderung des Seespiegels (LLCI) für hydrologische Dürren untersucht. Anschließend wird der Zusammenhang zwischen meteorologischen und hydrologischen Dürren hergestellt. In der zweiten Studie wird die Dürreanalyse in die Zukunft ausgedehnt, indem die potenzielle künftige meteorologische Wasserbilanz und die damit verbundenen Dürremerkmale wie Dürre¬intensität (DI), Dürremonate (DM) und Dürreereignisse (DE) im Einzugsgebiet des Malawisees untersucht werden. Die Empfindlichkeit der Dürre gegenüber Veränderungen der Nieder¬schlags¬menge und der Temperatur wird anhand des „Szenario-neutralen“ Ansatzes bewertet. Es werden die Projektionen des Klimawandels aus 20 „Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment“ Modellen für Afrika auf der Grundlage von zwei Szenarien (RCP4.5 und RCP8.5) für die Zeiträume 2021-2050 und 2071-2100 verwendet. Die Studie untersucht auch die Auswirkung der Fehlerkorrektur (via „empirical quantile mapping) auf die Möglichkeit des Klimamodell-Ensembles, beobachtete Dürrecharakteristika im Vergleich zu den Originaldaten der Klimaprojektionen wieder¬zugeben. In der dritten Studie wird die Sensitivität der wichtigsten hydrologischen Variablen und der Wasserkrafterzeugung auf den Klimawandel in den Einzugsgebieten des Malawi-Sees und des Shire-Flusses untersucht. In der Studie wird das meso-skalige hydrologische Modell (mHM) angepasst, welches in den Einzugsgebieten des Malawisees und des Shire-Flusses getrennt angewendet wird. Ein spezielles Modell für den Malawisee, welches sich auf die Wellenver¬formung im See und dessen Wasserbilanz, wurde entwickelt und wurde mit den beiden Einzugsgebieten gekoppelt. Ähnlich wie in der zweiten Studie wird auch hier der Szenario-neutrale Ansatz angewandt, um die Sensitivität des Klimawandels auf die Wasserressourcen zu bestimmen, insbesondere auf den Wasserstand im Malawisee und den Durchfluss des Shire-Flusses, was später zur Abschätzung der Anfälligkeit der Wasserkraft-produktion nötig ist. Die Ergebnisse lassen erwarten, dass meteorologische Dürren aufgrund von Niederschlags-rückgang zunehmen, was durch einen Temperaturanstieg (und dadurch erhöhte Verdunstung) noch verschärft wird. Das hydrologische System des Malawi-Sees scheint ein >24-monatiges „meteorologisches Gedächtnis“ zu haben, da mit den 36-monatigen SPEI-Indizes, hydrologische Dürren zehn Monate im Voraus vorhersagbar sind. Die Studie ergab zudem, dass der kritische Seespiegel zur Auslösung hydrologische Dürren bei 474,1 m+NN liegt. Trotz der Unterschiede in internen Strukturen und Unsicherheiten der verschiedenen Klimamodelle, stimmen sie darin überein, dass meteorologische Dürren in der Zukunft in Form von höheren DI und längeren Ereignissen (DM) zunehmen werden. Die DI würde im Zeitraum 2021-2050 um +25 % bis +50 % und im Zeitraum 2071-2100 um +131 % bis +388 % zunehmen. Dies bedeutet 3 bis 5 bzw. 7 bis 8 Dürremonate mehr pro Jahr in beiden Zeiträumen. Bei länger anhaltenden Dürreereignissen nehmen die DE ab. Die prognostizierten Dürren auf der Grundlage des RCP8.5 sind 1,7-mal schwerer als die Dürren auf der Grundlage des RCP4.5. Es wird auch festgestellt, dass ein jährlicher Temperaturanstieg von 1°C den mittleren See-spiegel und den Abfluss um 0,3 m bzw. 17 % verringert, was auf die Bedeutung einer verstärk¬ten Verdunstung für den Wasserhaushalt des Malawisees hinweist. Eine Abweichung von +5 % (-5 %) bei den jährlichen Niederschlägen verändert den mittleren Seespiegel um +0,7 m (-0,6 m). Die kombinierten Auswir¬kungen des Temperaturanstiegs und des Niederschlagsrück¬gangs führen zu einem deutlich geringeren Durchfluss im Shire River. Das hydrologische Regime des Flusses kann sich bei einer Kombination aus jährlicher Temperaturerhöhung und Niederschlagsabnahme um mehr als 1,5°C (3,5°C) und -20% (-15%) von mehrjährig zu saisonal ändern. Die Studie prognostiziert ferner einen Rückgang der jährlichen Wasserkraft¬produktion zwischen 1 % (RCP8.5) und 2,5 % (RCP4.5) im Zeitraum 2021-2050 und zwischen 5 % (RCP4.5) und 24 % (RCP8.5) im Zeitraum 2071-2100. Die Ergebnisse werden letztlich mit der globalen Politik in Verbindung gebracht, insbesondere mit dem Pariser Abkommen des Rahmenübereinkommens der Vereinten Nationen über Klima-änderungen (UNFCCC) und den Zielen für nachhaltige Entwicklung (SDGs) der Vereinten Nationen (UN). Zudem damit, wie sich die Nichteinhaltung der Begrenzung des Temperatur-anstiegs auf 1,5°C auf die Dürre und die Wasserressourcen in Malawi auswirken wird, was wiederum Auswirkungen auf die Wasserkraftproduktion hat. Infolgedessen wird die Erreichung der meisten SDGs gefährdet sein. Die Ergebnisse zeigen, dass es von großer Bedeutung ist, dass bei der weiteren Entwicklung der Wasserkraft am Shire River die Auswirkungen des Klimawandels berücksichtigt werden sollten. Die Generierung von Informationen ist wichtig für die Entscheidungsfindung, insbesondere für die Unterstützung von Klimaschutzmaßnahmen, die zur Bekämpfung des Klimawandels erforderlich sind. Die Häufigkeit extremer Klimaereignisse aufgrund des Klimawandels hat einen kritischen Punkt erreicht, so dass die Rettung von Leben und die Bewahrung der Lebensgrundlagen dringende Maßnahmen erfordert. KW - climate change KW - Klimaänderung KW - Malawi KW - water balance KW - Wasserbilanz KW - drought KW - Dürre KW - water resources KW - Wasserressourcen Y1 - 2023 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-599298 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Boergens, Eva A1 - Güntner, Andreas A1 - Dobslaw, Henryk A1 - Dahle, Christoph T1 - Quantifying the Central European droughts in 2018 and 2019 with GRACE Follow-On JF - Geophysical research letters : GRL N2 - The GRACE-FO satellites launched in May 2018 are able to quantify the water mass deficit in Central Europe during the two consecutive summer droughts of 2018 and 2019. Relative to the long-term climatology, the water mass deficits were-112 +/- 10.5 Gt in 2018 and-145 +/- 12 Gt in 2019. These deficits are 73% and 94% of the mean amplitude of seasonal water storage variations, which is so severe that a recovery cannot be expected within 1 year. The water deficits in 2018 and 2019 are the largest in the whole GRACE and GRACE-FO time span. Globally, the data do not show an offset between the two missions, which proves the successful continuation of GRACE by GRACE-FO and thus the reliability of the observed extreme events in Central Europe. This allows for a joint assessment of the four Central European droughts in 2003, 2015, 2018, and 2019 in terms of total water storage deficits. KW - GRACE-FO KW - GRACE KW - drought KW - Central European drought 2018 KW - Central European drought 2019 Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL087285 SN - 0094-8276 SN - 1944-8007 VL - 47 IS - 14 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington, DC ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Hoke, Alexa A1 - Woodhouse, Jason Nicholas A1 - Zoccarato, Luca A1 - McCarthy, Valerie A1 - de Eyto, Elvira A1 - Caldero-Pascual, Maria A1 - Geffroy, Ewan A1 - Dillane, Mary A1 - Grossart, Hans-Peter A1 - Jennings, Eleanor T1 - Impacts of extreme weather events on bacterial community composition of a temperate humic lake JF - Water N2 - Extreme weather events are projected to increase in frequency and intensity as climate change continues. Heterotrophic bacteria play a critical role in lake ecosystems, yet little research has been done to determine how they are affected by such extremes. The purpose of this study was to use high-throughput sequencing to explore the bacterial community composition of a humic oligotrophic lake on the North Atlantic Irish coast and to assess the impacts on composition dynamics related to extreme weather events. Samples for sequencing were collected from Lough Feeagh on a fortnightly basis from April to November 2018. Filtration was used to separate free-living and particle-associated bacterial communities and amplicon sequencing was performed for the 16S rRNA V4 region. Two named storms, six high discharge events, and one drought period occurred during the sampling period. These events had variable, context-dependent effects on bacterial communities in Lough Feeagh. The particle-associated community was found to be more likely to respond to physical changes, such as mixing, while the free-living population responded to changes in nutrient and carbon concentrations. Generally, however, the high stability of the bacterial community observed in Lough Feeagh suggests that the bacterial community is relatively resilient to extreme weather events. KW - extreme weather event KW - storm KW - drought KW - bacteria KW - free-living KW - particle-associated KW - humic lake Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/w12102757 SN - 2073-4441 VL - 12 IS - 10 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Thirumalaikumar, Venkatesh P. A1 - Devkar, Vikas A1 - Mehterov, Nikolay A1 - Ali, Shawkat A1 - Ozgur, Rengin A1 - Turkan, Ismail A1 - Müller-Röber, Bernd A1 - Balazadeh, Salma T1 - NAC transcription factor JUNGBRUNNEN1 enhances drought tolerance in tomato JF - Plant Biotechnology Journal N2 - Water deficit (drought stress) massively restricts plant growth and the yield of crops; reducing the deleterious effects of drought is therefore of high agricultural relevance. Drought triggers diverse cellular processes including the inhibition of photosynthesis, the accumulation of cell-damaging reactive oxygen species and gene expression reprogramming, besides others. Transcription factors (TF) are central regulators of transcriptional reprogramming and expression of many TF genes is affected by drought, including members of the NAC family. Here, we identify the NAC factor JUNGBRUNNEN1 (JUB1) as a regulator of drought tolerance in tomato (Solanum lycopersicum). Expression of tomato JUB1 (SlJUB1) is enhanced by various abiotic stresses, including drought. Inhibiting SlJUB1 by virus-induced gene silencing drastically lowers drought tolerance concomitant with an increase in ion leakage, an elevation of hydrogen peroxide (H2O2) levels and a decrease in the expression of various drought-responsive genes. In contrast, overexpression of AtJUB1 from Arabidopsis thaliana increases drought tolerance in tomato, alongside with a higher relative leaf water content during drought and reduced H2O2 levels. AtJUB1 was previously shown to stimulate expression of DREB2A, a TF involved in drought responses, and of the DELLA genes GAI and RGL1. We show here that SlJUB1 similarly controls the expression of the tomato orthologs SlDREB1, SlDREB2 and SlDELLA. Furthermore, AtJUB1 directly binds to the promoters of SlDREB1, SlDREB2 and SlDELLA in tomato. Our study highlights JUB1 as a transcriptional regulator of drought tolerance and suggests considerable conservation of the abiotic stress-related gene regulatory networks controlled by this NAC factor between Arabidopsis and tomato. KW - Arabidopsis KW - tomato KW - transcription factor KW - drought KW - reactive oxygen species KW - DELLA Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1111/pbi.12776 SN - 1467-7644 SN - 1467-7652 VL - 16 IS - 2 SP - 354 EP - 366 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken ER - TY - GEN A1 - Taffarello, Denise A1 - Srinivasan, Raghavan A1 - Samprogna Mohor, Guilherme A1 - Guimarães, João Luis Bittencourt A1 - Calijuri, Maria do Carmo A1 - Mendiondo, Eduardo Mario T1 - Modeling freshwater quality scenarios with ecosystem-basedadaptation in the headwaters of the Cantareira system, Brazil T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - Although hydrologic models provide hypothesis testing of complex dynamics occurring at catchments, fresh-water quality modeling is still incipient at many subtropical headwaters. In Brazil, a few modeling studies assess freshwater nutrients, limiting policies on hydrologic ecosystem services. This paper aims to compare freshwater quality scenarios under different land-use and land-cover (LULC) change, one of them related to ecosystem-based adaptation (EbA), in Brazilian headwaters. Using the spatially semi-distributed Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model, nitrate, total phosphorous (TP) and sediment were modeled in catchments ranging from 7.2 to 1037 km(2). These head-waters were eligible areas of the Brazilian payment for ecosystem services (PES) projects in the Cantareira water supply system, which had supplied water to 9 million people in the Sao Paulo metropolitan region (SPMR). We considered SWAT modeling of three LULC scenarios: (i) recent past scenario (S1), with historical LULC in 1990; (ii) current land-use scenario (S2), with LULC for the period 2010-2015 with field validation; and (iii) future land-use scenario with PES (S2 + EbA). This latter scenario proposed forest cover restoration through EbA following the river basin plan by 2035. These three LULC scenarios were tested with a selected record of rainfall and evapotranspiration observed in 2006-2014, with the occurrence of extreme droughts. To assess hydrologic services, we proposed the hydrologic service index (HSI), as a new composite metric comparing water pollution levels (WPL) for reference catchments, related to the grey water footprint (greyWF) and water yield. On the one hand, water quality simulations allowed for the regionalization of greyWF at spatial scales under LULC scenarios. According to the critical threshold, HSI identified areas as less or more sustainable catchments. On the other hand, conservation practices simulated through the S2 + EbA scenario envisaged not only additional and viable best management practices (BMP), but also preventive decision-making at the headwaters of water supply systems. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 935 KW - assessment tool swat KW - international trade KW - atlantic forest KW - soil KW - management KW - services KW - drought KW - trends KW - calibration KW - catchments Y1 - 2020 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-459253 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 935 SP - 4699 EP - 4723 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ebrahimian-Motlagh, Saghar A1 - Ribone, Pamela A. A1 - Thirumalaikumar, Venkatesh P. A1 - Allu, Annapurna Devi A1 - Chan, Raquel L. A1 - Mueller-Roeber, Bernd A1 - Balazadeh, Salma T1 - JUNGBRUNNEN1 Confers Drought Tolerance Downstream of the HD-Zip I Transcription Factor AtHB13 JF - Frontiers in plant science N2 - Low water availability is the major environmental factor limiting growth and productivity of plants and crops and is therefore considered of high importance for agriculture affected by climate change. Identifying regulatory components controlling the response and tolerance to drought stress is thus of major importance. The NAC transcription factor (TF) JUNGBRUNNEN1 (JUB1) from Arabidopsis thaliana extends leaf longevity under non-stress growth conditions, lowers cellular hydrogen peroxide (H2O2) level, and enhances tolerance against heat stress and salinity. Here, we additionally find that JUB1 strongly increases tolerance to drought stress in Arabidopsis when expressed from both, a constitutive (CaMV 35S) and an abiotic stress-induced (RD29A) promoter. Employing a yeast one-hybrid screen we identified HD-Zip class I TF AtHB13 as an upstream regulator of JUB1. AtHB13 has previously been reported to act as a positive regulator of drought tolerance. AtHB13 and JUB1 thereby establish a joint drought stress control module. KW - Arabidopsis KW - transcription factor KW - drought KW - JUB1 KW - HB13 Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3389/fpls.2017.02118 SN - 1664-462X VL - 8 PB - Frontiers Research Foundation CY - Lausanne ER - TY - GEN A1 - Kienel, Ulrike A1 - Wulf Bowen, Sabine A1 - Byrne, Roger A1 - Park, Jungjae A1 - Böhnel, Harald A1 - Dulski, Peter A1 - Luhr, James F. A1 - Siebert, Lee A1 - Haug, Gerald H. A1 - Negendank, Jörg F. W. T1 - First lacustrine varve chronologies from Mexico BT - impact of droughts, ENSO and human activity since AD 1840 as recorded in maar sediments from Valle de Santiago T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - We present varve chronologies for sediments from two maar lakes in the Valle de Santiago region (Central Mexico): Hoya La Alberca (AD 1852-1973) and Hoya Rincn de Parangueo (AD 1839-1943). These are the first varve chronologies for Mexican lakes. The varved sections were anchored with tephras from Colima (1913) and Paricutin (1943/1944) and (210)Pb ages. We compare the sequences using the thickness of seasonal laminae and element counts (Al, Si, S, Cl, K, Ti, Mn, Fe, and Sr) determined by micro X-ray fluorescence spectrometry. The formation of the varve sublaminae is attributed to the strongly seasonal climate regime. Limited rainfall and high evaporation rates in winter and spring induce precipitation of carbonates (high Ca, Sr) enriched in (13)C and (18)O, whereas rainfall in summer increases organic and clastic input (plagioclase, quartz) with high counts of lithogenic elements (K, Al, Ti, and Si). Eolian input of Ti occurs also in the dry season. Moving correlations (5-yr windows) of the Ca and Ti counts show similar development in both sequences until the 1930s. Positive correlations indicate mixing of allochthonous Ti and autochthonous Ca, while negative correlations indicate their separation in sublaminae. Negative excursions in the correlations correspond with historic and reconstructed droughts, El Nio events, and positive SST anomalies. Based on our data, droughts (3-7 year duration) were severe and centred around the following years: the early 1850s, 1865, 1880, 1895, 1905, 1915 and the late 1920s with continuation into the 1930s. The latter dry period brought both lake systems into a critical state making them susceptible to further drying. Groundwater overexploitation due to the expansion of irrigation agriculture in the region after 1940 induced the transition from calcite to aragonite precipitation in Alberca and halite infiltration in Rincn. The proxy data indicate a faster response to increased evaporation for Rincn, the lake with the larger maar dimensions, solar radiation receipt and higher conductivity, whereas the smaller, steeper Alberca maar responded rapidly to increased precipitation. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 860 KW - varve chronology KW - tephra KW - element chemistry KW - drought KW - human impact KW - El Nino KW - Mexico Y1 - 2020 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-432794 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 860 SP - 587 EP - 609 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Thirumalaikumar, Venkatesh P. A1 - Devkar, Vikas A1 - Mehterov, Nikolay A1 - Ali, Shawkat A1 - Ozgur, Rengin A1 - Turkan, Ismail A1 - Müller-Röber, Bernd A1 - Balazadeh, Salma T1 - NAC transcription factor JUNGBRUNNEN1 enhances drought tolerance in tomato T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - Water deficit (drought stress) massively restricts plant growth and the yield of crops; reducing the deleterious effects of drought is therefore of high agricultural relevance. Drought triggers diverse cellular processes including the inhibition of photosynthesis, the accumulation of cell‐damaging reactive oxygen species and gene expression reprogramming, besides others. Transcription factors (TF) are central regulators of transcriptional reprogramming and expression of many TF genes is affected by drought, including members of the NAC family. Here, we identify the NAC factor JUNGBRUNNEN1 (JUB1) as a regulator of drought tolerance in tomato (Solanum lycopersicum). Expression of tomato JUB1 (SlJUB1) is enhanced by various abiotic stresses, including drought. Inhibiting SlJUB1 by virus‐induced gene silencing drastically lowers drought tolerance concomitant with an increase in ion leakage, an elevation of hydrogen peroxide (H2O2) levels and a decrease in the expression of various drought‐responsive genes. In contrast, overexpression of AtJUB1 from Arabidopsis thaliana increases drought tolerance in tomato, alongside with a higher relative leaf water content during drought and reduced H2O2 levels. AtJUB1 was previously shown to stimulate expression of DREB2A, a TF involved in drought responses, and of the DELLA genes GAI and RGL1. We show here that SlJUB1 similarly controls the expression of the tomato orthologs SlDREB1, SlDREB2 and SlDELLA. Furthermore, AtJUB1 directly binds to the promoters of SlDREB1, SlDREB2 and SlDELLA in tomato. Our study highlights JUB1 as a transcriptional regulator of drought tolerance and suggests considerable conservation of the abiotic stress‐related gene regulatory networks controlled by this NAC factor between Arabidopsis and tomato. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 568 KW - Arabidopsis KW - tomato KW - transcription factor KW - drought KW - reactive oxygen species KW - DELLA Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-423908 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 568 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Siegmund, Jonatan Frederik A1 - Wiedermann, Marc A1 - Donges, Jonathan Friedemann A1 - Donner, Reik Volker T1 - Impact of temperature and precipitation extremes on the flowering dates of four German wildlife shrub species T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - Ongoing climate change is known to cause an increase in the frequency and amplitude of local temperature and precipitation extremes in many regions of the Earth. While gradual changes in the climatological conditions have already been shown to strongly influence plant flowering dates, the question arises if and how extremes specifically impact the timing of this important phenological phase. Studying this question calls for the application of statistical methods that are tailored to the specific properties of event time series. Here, we employ event coincidence analysis, a novel statistical tool that allows assessing whether or not two types of events exhibit similar sequences of occurrences in order to systematically quantify simultaneities between meteorological extremes and the timing of the flowering of four shrub species across Germany. Our study confirms previous findings of experimental studies by highlighting the impact of early spring temperatures on the flowering of the investigated plants. However, previous studies solely based on correlation analysis do not allow deriving explicit estimates of the strength of such interdependencies without further assumptions, a gap that is closed by our analysis. In addition to direct impacts of extremely warm and cold spring temperatures, our analysis reveals statistically significant indications of an influence of temperature extremes in the autumn preceding the flowering. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 497 KW - event coincidence analysis KW - climate-change KW - weather extremes KW - plant phenology KW - interannual variability KW - air-temperature KW - responses KW - drought KW - trends KW - summer Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-408352 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 497 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Rolinski, Susanne A1 - Rammig, Anja A1 - Walz, Ariane A1 - von Bloh, Werner A1 - van Oijen, M. A1 - Thonicke, Kirsten T1 - A probabilistic risk assessment for the vulnerability of the European carbon cycle to weather extremes BT - The ecosystem perspective T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch naturwissenschaftliche Reihe (487) N2 - Extreme weather events are likely to occur more often under climate change and the resulting effects on ecosystems could lead to a further acceleration of climate change. But not all extreme weather events lead to extreme ecosystem response. Here, we focus on hazardous ecosystem behaviour and identify coinciding weather conditions. We use a simple probabilistic risk assessment based on time series of ecosystem behaviour and climate conditions. Given the risk assessment terminology, vulnerability and risk for the previously defined hazard are estimated on the basis of observed hazardous ecosystem behaviour. We apply this approach to extreme responses of terrestrial ecosystems to drought, defining the hazard as a negative net biome productivity over a 12-month period. We show an application for two selected sites using data for 1981-2010 and then apply the method to the pan-European scale for the same period, based on numerical modelling results (LPJmL for ecosystem behaviour; ERA-Interim data for climate). Our site-specific results demonstrate the applicability of the proposed method, using the SPEI to describe the climate condition. The site in Spain provides an example of vulnerability to drought because the expected value of the SPEI is 0.4 lower for hazardous than for non-hazardous ecosystem behaviour. In northern Germany, on the contrary, the site is not vulnerable to drought because the SPEI expectation values imply wetter conditions in the hazard case than in the non-hazard case. At the pan-European scale, ecosystem vulnerability to drought is calculated in the Mediterranean and temperate region, whereas Scandinavian ecosystems are vulnerable under conditions without water shortages. These first model- based applications indicate the conceptual advantages of the proposed method by focusing on the identification of critical weather conditions for which we observe hazardous ecosystem behaviour in the analysed data set. Application of the method to empirical time series and to future climate would be important next steps to test the approach. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 487 KW - global vegetation model KW - climate extremes KW - fire emissions KW - drought KW - forest KW - productivity KW - reduction KW - events KW - assimilation KW - uncertainty Y1 - 2018 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-407999 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 487 SP - 1813 EP - 1831 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Caron, Maria Mercedes A1 - De Frenne, Pieter A1 - Brunet, J. A1 - Chabrerie, Olivier A1 - Cousins, S. A. O. A1 - De Backer, L. A1 - Decocq, G. A1 - Diekmann, M. A1 - Heinken, Thilo A1 - Kolb, A. A1 - Naaf, T. A1 - Plue, J. A1 - Selvi, Federico A1 - Strimbeck, G. R. A1 - Wulf, Monika A1 - Verheyen, Kris T1 - Interacting effects of warming and drought on regeneration and early growth of Acer pseudoplatanus and A. platanoides JF - Plant biology N2 - Climate change is acting on several aspects of plant life cycles, including the sexual reproductive stage, which is considered amongst the most sensitive life-cycle phases. In temperate forests, it is expected that climate change will lead to a compositional change in community structure due to changes in the dominance of currently more abundant forest tree species. Increasing our understanding of the effects of climate change on currently secondary tree species recruitment is therefore important to better understand and forecast population and community dynamics in forests. Here, we analyse the interactive effects of rising temperatures and soil moisture reduction on germination, seedling survival and early growth of two important secondary European tree species, Acer pseudoplatanus and A.platanoides. Additionally, we analyse the effect of the temperature experienced by the mother tree during seed production by collecting seeds of both species along a 2200-km long latitudinal gradient. For most of the responses, A.platanoides showed higher sensitivity to the treatments applied, and especially to its joint manipulation, which for some variables resulted in additive effects while for others only partial compensation. In both species, germination and survival decreased with rising temperatures and/or soil moisture reduction while early growth decreased with declining soil moisture content. We conclude that although A.platanoides germination and survival were more affected after the applied treatments, its initial higher germination and larger seedlings might allow this species to be relatively more successful than A.pseudoplatanus in the face of climate change. KW - Acer platanoides KW - Acer pseudoplatanus KW - climate change KW - drought KW - reproduction KW - seed KW - temperature Y1 - 2015 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1111/plb.12177 SN - 1435-8603 SN - 1438-8677 VL - 17 IS - 1 SP - 52 EP - 62 PB - Wiley-Blackwell CY - Hoboken ER -