TY - GEN A1 - Duy, Nguyen Le A1 - Heidbüchel, Ingo A1 - Meyer, Hanno A1 - Merz, Bruno A1 - Apel, Heiko T1 - What controls the stable isotope composition of precipitation in the Mekong Delta? BT - a model-based statistical approach T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - This study analyzes the influence of local and regional climatic factors on the stable isotopic composition of rainfall in the Vietnamese Mekong Delta (VMD) as part of the Asian monsoon region. It is based on 1.5 years of weekly rainfall samples. In the first step, the isotopic composition of the samples is analyzed by local meteoric water lines (LMWLs) and single-factor linear correlations. Additionally, the contribution of several regional and local factors is quantified by multiple linear regression (MLR) of all possible factor combinations and by relative importance analysis. This approach is novel for the interpretation of isotopic records and enables an objective quantification of the explained variance in isotopic records for individual factors. In this study, the local factors are extracted from local climate records, while the regional factors are derived from atmospheric backward trajectories of water particles. The regional factors, i.e., precipitation, temperature, relative humidity and the length of backward trajectories, are combined with equivalent local climatic parameters to explain the response variables delta O-18, delta H-2, and d-excess of precipitation at the station of measurement. The results indicate that (i) MLR can better explain the isotopic variation in precipitation (R-2 = 0.8) compared to single-factor linear regression (R-2 = 0.3); (ii) the isotopic variation in precipitation is controlled dominantly by regional moisture regimes (similar to 70 %) compared to local climatic conditions (similar to 30 %); (iii) the most important climatic parameter during the rainy season is the precipitation amount along the trajectories of air mass movement; (iv) the influence of local precipitation amount and temperature is not sig-nificant during the rainy season, unlike the regional precipitation amount effect; (v) secondary fractionation processes (e.g., sub-cloud evaporation) can be identified through the d-excess and take place mainly in the dry season, either locally for delta O-18 and delta H-2, or along the air mass trajectories for d-excess. The analysis shows that regional and local factors vary in importance over the seasons and that the source regions and transport pathways, and particularly the climatic conditions along the pathways, have a large influence on the isotopic composition of rainfall. Although the general results have been reported qualitatively in previous studies (proving the validity of the approach), the proposed method provides quantitative estimates of the controlling factors, both for the whole data set and for distinct seasons. Therefore, it is argued that the approach constitutes an advancement in the statistical analysis of isotopic records in rainfall that can supplement or precede more complex studies utilizing atmospheric models. Due to its relative simplicity, the method can be easily transferred to other regions, or extended with other factors. The results illustrate that the interpretation of the isotopic composition of precipitation as a recorder of local climatic conditions, as for example performed for paleorecords of water isotopes, may not be adequate in the southern part of the Indochinese Peninsula, and likely neither in other regions affected by monsoon processes. However, the presented approach could open a pathway towards better and seasonally differentiated reconstruction of paleoclimates based on isotopic records. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 927 KW - Asian summer monsoon KW - interannuel variability KW - climate controls KW - deuterium excess KW - oxygen isotopes KW - paleoclimate KW - water KW - system KW - trajectories KW - circulation Y1 - 2020 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-445743 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 927 SP - 1239 EP - 1262 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Mantiloni, Lorenzo A1 - Davis, Timothy A1 - Gaete Rojas, Ayleen Barbara A1 - Rivalta, Eleonora T1 - Stress inversion in a gelatin box BT - testing eruptive vent location forecasts with analog models JF - Geophysical research letters : GRL / American Geophysical Union N2 - Assessing volcanic hazard in regions of distributed volcanism is challenging because of the uncertain location of future vents. A statistical-mechanical strategy to forecast such locations was recently proposed: here, we further develop and test it with analog models. We stress a gelatin block laterally and with surface excavations, and observe air-filled crack trajectories. We use the observed surface arrivals to sample the distributions of parameters describing the stress state of the gelatin block, combining deterministic crack trajectory simulations with a Monte Carlo approach. While the individual stress parameters remain unconstrained, we effectively retrieve their ratio and successfully forecast the arrival points of subsequent cracks. KW - analog experiment KW - calderas KW - continental rifts KW - dike propagation KW - dike KW - trajectories KW - stress field Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL090407 SN - 0094-8276 SN - 1944-8007 VL - 48 IS - 6 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Fischer, Martin H. A1 - Hartmann, Matthias T1 - Pushing forward in embodied cognition: may we mouse the mathematical mind? JF - Frontiers in psychology N2 - Freely available software has popularized "mousetracking" to study cognitive processing; this involves the on-line recording of cursor positions while participants move a computer mouse to indicate their choice. Movement trajectories of the cursor can then be reconstructed off-line to assess the efficiency of responding in time and across space. Here we focus on the process of selecting among alternative numerical responses. Several studies have recently measured the mathematical mind with cursor movements while people decided about number magnitude or parity, computed sums or differences, or simply located numbers on a number line. After some general methodological considerations about mouse tracking we discuss several conceptual concerns that become particularly evident when "mousing" the mathematical mind. KW - mousetracking KW - numerical cognition KW - SNARC effect KW - trajectories KW - on-line processing Y1 - 2014 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2014.01315 SN - 1664-1078 VL - 5 PB - Frontiers Research Foundation CY - Lausanne ER - TY - BOOK A1 - Flotterer, Boris A1 - Maximova, Maria A1 - Schneider, Sven A1 - Dyck, Johannes A1 - Zöllner, Christian A1 - Giese, Holger A1 - Hély, Christelle A1 - Gaucherel, Cédric T1 - Modeling and Formal Analysis of Meta-Ecosystems with Dynamic Structure using Graph Transformation T3 - Technische Berichte des Hasso-Plattner-Instituts für Digital Engineering an der Universität Potsdam N2 - The dynamics of ecosystems is of crucial importance. Various model-based approaches exist to understand and analyze their internal effects. In this paper, we model the space structure dynamics and ecological dynamics of meta-ecosystems using the formal technique of Graph Transformation (short GT). We build GT models to describe how a meta-ecosystem (modeled as a graph) can evolve over time (modeled by GT rules) and to analyze these GT models with respect to qualitative properties such as the existence of structural stabilities. As a case study, we build three GT models describing the space structure dynamics and ecological dynamics of three different savanna meta-ecosystems. The first GT model considers a savanna meta-ecosystem that is limited in space to two ecosystem patches, whereas the other two GT models consider two savanna meta-ecosystems that are unlimited in the number of ecosystem patches and only differ in one GT rule describing how the space structure of the meta-ecosystem grows. In the first two GT models, the space structure dynamics and ecological dynamics of the meta-ecosystem shows two main structural stabilities: the first one based on grassland-savanna-woodland transitions and the second one based on grassland-desert transitions. The transition between these two structural stabilities is driven by high-intensity fires affecting the tree components. In the third GT model, the GT rule for savanna regeneration induces desertification and therefore a collapse of the meta-ecosystem. We believe that GT models provide a complementary avenue to that of existing approaches to rigorously study ecological phenomena. N2 - Die Dynamik von Ökosystemen ist von entscheidender Bedeutung. Es gibt verschiedene modellbasierte Ansätze, um ihre internen Effekte zu verstehen und zu analysieren. In diesem Beitrag modellieren wir die Raumstrukturdynamik und ökologische Dynamik von Metaökosystemen mit der formalen Technik der Graphtransformation (kurz GT). Wir bauen GT-Modelle, um zu beschreiben, wie sich ein Meta-Ökosystem (modelliert als Graph) im Laufe der Zeit entwickeln kann (modelliert durch GT-Regeln) und analysieren diese GT-Modelle hinsichtlich qualitativer Eigenschaften wie das Vorhandensein struktureller Stabilitäten. Als Fallstudie bauen wir drei GT-Modelle, die die Dynamik der Raumstruktur und die ökologische Dynamik von drei verschiedenen Savannen-Meta-Ökosystemen beschreiben. Das erste GT-Modell betrachtet ein Savannen-Meta-Ökosystem, das räumlich auf zwei Ökosystem-Abschnitte begrenzt ist, während die anderen beiden GT-Modelle zwei Savannen-Meta-Ökosysteme betrachten, die in der Anzahl von Ökosystem-Abschnitten uneingeschränkt sind und sich nur in einer GT-Regel unterscheiden, die beschreibt, wie die Raumstruktur des Meta-Ökosystems wächst. In den ersten beiden GT-Modellen zeigen die Raumstrukturdynamik und die ökologische Dynamik des Metaökosystems zwei Hauptstrukturstabilitäten: die erste basiert auf Grasland-Savannen-Wald-Übergängen und die zweite basiert auf Grasland-Wüsten-Übergängen. Der Übergang zwischen diesen beiden strukturellen Stabilitäten wird durch hochintensive Brände angetrieben, die die Baumkomponenten beeinträchtigen. Beim dritten GT-Modell führt die Savannenregeneration beschreibende GT-Regel zur Wüstenbildung und damit zum Kollaps des Meta-Ökosystems. Wir glauben, dass GT-Modelle eine gute Ergänzung zu bestehenden Ansätzen darstellen, um ökologische Phänomene rigoros zu untersuchen. T3 - Technische Berichte des Hasso-Plattner-Instituts für Digital Engineering an der Universität Potsdam - 147 KW - dynamic systems KW - discrete-event model KW - qualitative model KW - savanna KW - trajectories KW - desertification KW - dynamische Systeme KW - diskretes Ereignismodell KW - qualitatives Modell KW - Savanne KW - Trajektorien KW - Wüstenbildung Y1 - 2022 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-547643 SN - 978-3-86956-533-0 SN - 1613-5652 SN - 2191-1665 IS - 147 PB - Universitätsverlag Potsdam CY - Potsdam ER -