TY - JOUR A1 - Hainzl, Sebastian A1 - Zöller, Gert A1 - Brietzke, Gilbert B. A1 - Hinzen, Klaus-G. T1 - Comparison of deterministic and stochastic earthquake simulators for fault interactions in the Lower Rhine Embayment, Germany JF - Geophysical journal international N2 - Time-dependent probabilistic seismic hazard assessment requires a stochastic description of earthquake occurrences. While short-term seismicity models are well-constrained by observations, the recurrences of characteristic on-fault earthquakes are only derived from theoretical considerations, uncertain palaeo-events or proxy data. Despite the involved uncertainties and complexity, simple statistical models for a quasi-period recurrence of on-fault events are implemented in seismic hazard assessments. To test the applicability of statistical models, such as the Brownian relaxation oscillator or the stress release model, we perform a systematic comparison with deterministic simulations based on rate- and state-dependent friction, high-resolution representations of fault systems and quasi-dynamic rupture propagation. For the specific fault network of the Lower Rhine Embayment, Germany, we run both stochastic and deterministic model simulations based on the same fault geometries and stress interactions. Our results indicate that the stochastic simulators are able to reproduce the first-order characteristics of the major earthquakes on isolated faults as well as for coupled faults with moderate stress interactions. However, we find that all tested statistical models fail to reproduce the characteristics of strongly coupled faults, because multisegment rupturing resulting from a spatiotemporally correlated stress field is underestimated in the stochastic simulators. Our results suggest that stochastic models have to be extended by multirupture probability distributions to provide more reliable results. KW - Earthquake interaction KW - forecasting KW - and prediction KW - Seismicity and tectonics KW - Statistical seismology Y1 - 2013 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggt271 SN - 0956-540X SN - 1365-246X VL - 195 IS - 1 SP - 684 EP - 694 PB - Oxford Univ. Press CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Sen, Ali Tolga A1 - Cesca, Simone A1 - Bischoff, Monika A1 - Meier, Thomas A1 - Dahm, Torsten T1 - Automated full moment tensor inversion of coal mining-induced seismicity JF - Geophysical journal international N2 - Seismicity induced by coal mining in the Ruhr region, Germany, has been monitored continuously over the last 25 yr. In 2006, a dense temporary network (HAMNET) was deployed to locally monitor seismicity induced by longwall mining close to the town of Hamm. Between 2006 July and 2007 July, more than 7000 events with magnitudes M-L from -1.7 to 2.0 were detected. The spatiotemporal distribution of seismicity shows high correlation with the mining activity. In order to monitor rupture processes, we set up an automated source inversion routine and successfully perform double couple and full moment tensor (MT) inversions for more than 1000 events with magnitudes above M-L -0.5. The source inversion is based on a full waveform approach, both in the frequency and in the time domain, providing information about the centroid location, focal mechanism, scalar moment and full MT. Inversion results indicate a strong dominance of normal faulting focal mechanisms, with a steeper plane and a subhorizontal one. Fault planes are oriented parallel to the mining stopes. We classify the focal mechanisms based on their orientation and observe different frequency-magnitude distributions for families of events with different focal mechanisms; the overall frequency-magnitude distribution is not fitting the Gutenberg-Richter relation. Full MTs indicate that non-negligible opening tensile components accompanied normal faulting source mechanisms. Finally, extended source models are investigated for largest events. Results suggest that the rupture processes mostly occurred along the subvertical planes. KW - Geomechanics KW - Fracture and flow KW - Earthquake source observations KW - Seismicity and tectonics Y1 - 2013 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggt300 SN - 0956-540X SN - 1365-246X VL - 195 IS - 2 SP - 1267 EP - 1281 PB - Oxford Univ. Press CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Muksin, Umar A1 - Haberland, Christian A1 - Bauer, Klaus A1 - Weber, Michael H. T1 - Three-dimensional upper crustal structure of the geothermal system in Tarutung (North Sumatra, Indonesia) revealed by seismic attenuation tomography JF - Geophysical journal international N2 - The geothermal potential in Tarutung is controlled by both the Sumatra Fault system and young arc volcanism. In this study we use the spatial distribution of seismic attenuation, calculated from local earthquake recordings, to image the 3-D seismic attenuation of the area and relate it with the temperature anomalies and the fluid distribution of the subsurface. A temporary seismic network of 42 stations was deployed around Tarutung and Sarulla (south of Tarutung) for a period of 10 months starting in 2011 May. Within this period, the network recorded 2586 local events. A high-quality subset of 229 events recorded by at least 10 stations was used for the attenuation inversion (tomography). Path-average attenuation (t(p)*) was calculated by using a spectral inversion method. The spread function, the contour lines of the model resolution matrix and the recovery test results show that our 3-D attenuation model (Q(p)) has good resolution around the Tarutung Basin and along the Sarulla graben. High attenuation (low Q(p)) related to the geothermal system is found in the northeast of the Tarutung Basin suggesting fluid pathways from below the Sumatra Fault. The upper part of the studied geothermal system in the Tarutung district seems to be mainly controlled by the fault structure rather than by magmatic activities. In the southwest of the Tarutung Basin, the high attenuation zone is associated with the Martimbang volcano. In the Sarulla region, a low-Q(p) anomaly is found along the graben within the vicinity of the Hopong caldera. KW - Seismicity and tectonics KW - Body waves KW - Seismic attenuation KW - Seismic tomography Y1 - 2013 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggt383 SN - 0956-540X SN - 1365-246X VL - 195 IS - 3 SP - 2037 EP - 2049 PB - Oxford Univ. Press CY - Oxford ER -