TY - JOUR A1 - Dutta, Rishabh A1 - Jónsson, Sigurjón A1 - Vasyura-Bathke, Hannes T1 - Simultaneous Bayesian estimation of non-planar fault geometry and spatially-variable slip JF - JGR / AGU, American Geophysical Union : Solid earth N2 - Large earthquakes are usually modeled with simple planar fault surfaces or a combination of several planar fault segments. However, in general, earthquakes occur on faults that are non-planar and exhibit significant geometrical variations in both the along-strike and down-dip directions at all spatial scales. Mapping of surface fault ruptures and high-resolution geodetic observations are increasingly revealing complex fault geometries near the surface and accurate locations of aftershocks often indicate geometrical complexities at depth. With better geodetic data and observations of fault ruptures, more details of complex fault geometries can be estimated resulting in more realistic fault models of large earthquakes. To address this topic, we here parametrize non-planar fault geometries with a set of polynomial parameters that allow for both along-strike and down-dip variations in the fault geometry. Our methodology uses Bayesian inference to estimate the non-planar fault parameters from geodetic data, yielding an ensemble of plausible models that characterize the uncertainties of the non-planar fault geometry and the fault slip. The method is demonstrated using synthetic tests considering slip spatially distributed on a single continuous finite non-planar fault surface with varying dip and strike angles both in the down-dip and along-strike directions. The results show that fault-slip estimations can be biased when a simple planar fault geometry is assumed in presence of significant non-planar geometrical variations. Our method can help to model earthquake fault sources in a more realistic way and may be extended to include multiple non-planar fault segments or other geometrical fault complexities. KW - non-planar fault geometry KW - Bayesian estimation KW - InSAR and GNSS KW - source modeling Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JB020441 SN - 2169-9313 SN - 2169-9356 VL - 126 IS - 7 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken, NJ ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Blanke, Aglaja A1 - Kwiatek, Grzegorz A1 - Goebel, Thomas H. W. A1 - Bohnhoff, Marco A1 - Dresen, Georg T1 - Stress drop-magnitude dependence of acoustic emissions during laboratory stick-slip JF - Geophysical journal international / the Royal Astronomical Society, the Deutsche Geophysikalische Gesellschaft and the European Geophysical Society N2 - Earthquake source parameters such as seismic stress drop and corner frequency are observed to vary widely, leading to persistent discussion on potential scaling of stress drop and event size. Physical mechanisms that govern stress drop variations arc difficult to evaluate in nature and are more readily studied in controlled laboratory experiments. We perform two stick-slip experiments on fractured (rough) and cut (smooth) Westerly granite samples to explore fault roughness effects on acoustic emission (AE) source parameters. We separate large stick-slip events that generally saturate the seismic recording system from populations of smaller AE events which are sensitive to fault stresses prior to slip. AE event populations show many similarities to natural seismicity and may be interpreted as laboratory equivalent of natural microseismic events. We then compare the temporal evolution of mechanical data such as measured stress release during slip to temporal changes in stress drops derived from Alis using the spectral ratio technique. We report on two primary observations: (1) In contrast to most case studies for natural earthquakes, we observe a strong increase in seismic stress drop with AE size. (2) The scaling of stress drop with magnitude is governed by fault roughness, whereby the rough fault shows a more rapid increase of the stress drop magnitude relation with progressing large stick-slip events than the smooth fault. The overall range of AE sizes on the rough surface is influenced by both the average grain size and the width of the fault core. The magnitudes of the smallest AE events on smooth faults may also be governed by grain size. However, AEs significantly grow beyond peak roughness and the width of the fault core. Our laboratory tests highlight that source parameters vary substantially in the presence of fault zone heterogeneity (i.e. roughness and narrow grain size distribution), which may affect seismic energy partitioning and static stress drops of small and large AE events. KW - Acoustic properties KW - Body waves KW - Earthquake dynamics KW - Earthquake source observations KW - Dynamics and mechanics of faulting Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggaa524 SN - 0956-540X SN - 1365-246X VL - 224 IS - 2 SP - 1372 EP - 1381 PB - Oxford Univ. Press CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Najman, Yani A1 - Sobel, Edward A1 - Millar, Ian A1 - Luan, Xiwu A1 - Zapata, Sebastian A1 - Garzanti, Eduardo A1 - Parra, Mauricio A1 - Vezzoli, Giovanni A1 - Zhang, Peng A1 - Wa Aung, Day A1 - Paw, Saw Mu Tha Lay A1 - Lwin, Thae Naung T1 - The timing of collision between Asia and the West Burma Terrane, and the development of the Indo-Burman Ranges JF - Tectonics N2 - The West Burma Terrane (WBT) is a small terrane bounded to the east by the Asian Sibumasu Block and to the west by the Indo-Burman Ranges (IBR), the latter being an exhumed accretionary prism that formed during subduction of Indian oceanic lithosphere beneath Asia. Understanding the geological history of the WBT is important for reconstruction of the closure history of the Tethys Ocean and India-Asia collision. Currently there are major discrepancies in the proposed timings of collision between the WBT with both India and Asia; whether the WBT collided with India or Asia first is debated, and proposed timings of collisions stretch from the Mesozoic to the Cenozoic. We undertook a multi-technique provenance study involving petrography, detrital zircon U-Pb and Hf analyses, rutile U-Pb analyses and Sr-Nd bulk rock analyses on sediments of the Central Myanmar Basins of the WBT. We determined that the first arrival of Asian material into the basin occurred after the earliest late Eocene and by the early Oligocene, thus placing a minimum constraint on the timing of WBT-Asia collision. Our low temperature thermochronological study of the IBR records two periods of exhumation, in the early-middle Eocene, and at the Oligo-Miocene boundary. The Eocene event may be associated with the collision of the WBT with India. The later event at the Oligo-Miocene boundary may be associated with changes in wedge dynamics resulting from increased sediment supply to the system; however a number of other possible causes provide equally plausible explanations for both events. KW - Central Myanmar Basin KW - Indo-Burman Ranges KW - low temperature thermochronology KW - detrital provenance KW - West Burma Terrane Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2021TC007057 SN - 0278-7407 SN - 1944-9194 VL - 41 IS - 7 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Toumoulin, Agathe A1 - Tardif-Becquet, Delphine A1 - Donnadieu, Yannick A1 - Licht, Alexis A1 - Ladant, Jean-Baptiste A1 - Kunzmann, Lutz A1 - Dupont-Nivet, Guillaume T1 - Evolution of continental temperature seasonality from the Eocene greenhouse to the Oligocene icehouse BT - a model-data comparison JF - Climate of the past : an interactive open access journal of the European Geosciences Union N2 - At the junction of greenhouse and icehouse climate states, the Eocene-Oligocene Transition (EOT) is a key moment in Cenozoic climate history. While it is associated with severe extinctions and biodiversity turnovers on land, the role of terrestrial climate evolution remains poorly resolved, especially the associated changes in seasonality. Some paleobotanical and geochemical continental records in parts of the Northern Hemisphere suggest the EOT is associated with a marked cooling in winter, leading to the development of more pronounced seasons (i.e., an increase in the mean annual range of temperature, MATR). However, the MATR increase has been barely studied by climate models and large uncertainties remain on its origin, geographical extent and impact. In order to better understand and describe temperature seasonality changes between the middle Eocene and the early Oligocene, we use the Earth system model IPSL-CM5A2 and a set of simulations reconstructing the EOT through three major climate forcings: pCO(2) decrease (1120, 840 and 560 ppm), the Antarctic ice-sheet (AIS) formation and the associated sea-level decrease. Our simulations suggest that pCO(2) lowering alone is not sufficient to explain the seasonality evolution described by the data through the EOT but rather that the combined effects of pCO(2) , AIS formation and increased continentality provide the best data-model agreement.pCO(2) decrease induces a zonal pattern with alternating increasing and decreasing seasonality bands particularly strong in the northern high latitudes (up to 8 degrees C MATR increase) due to sea-ice and surface albedo feedback. Conversely, the onset of the AIS is responsible for a more constant surface albedo yearly, which leads to a strong decrease in seasonality in the southern midlatitudes to high latitudes (> 40 degrees S). Finally, continental areas that emerged due to the sea-level lowering cause the largest increase in seasonality and explain most of the global heterogeneity in MATR changes (1MATR) patterns. The Delta MATR patterns we reconstruct are generally consistent with the variability of the EOT biotic crisis intensity across the Northern Hemisphere and provide insights on their underlying mechanisms. Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-18-341-2022 SN - 1814-9324 SN - 1814-9332 VL - 18 IS - 2 SP - 341 EP - 362 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Smith, Taylor A1 - Boers, Niklas T1 - Global vegetation resilience linked to water availability and variability JF - Nature Communications N2 - Quantifying the resilience of vegetated ecosystems is key to constraining both present-day and future global impacts of anthropogenic climate change. Here we apply both empirical and theoretical resilience metrics to remotely-sensed vegetation data in order to examine the role of water availability and variability in controlling vegetation resilience at the global scale. We find a concise global relationship where vegetation resilience is greater in regions with higher water availability. We also reveal that resilience is lower in regions with more pronounced inter-annual precipitation variability, but find less concise relationships between vegetation resilience and intra-annual precipitation variability. Our results thus imply that the resilience of vegetation responds differently to water deficits at varying time scales. In view of projected increases in precipitation variability, our findings highlight the risk of ecosystem degradation under ongoing climate change. Vegetation dynamics depend on both the amount of precipitation and its variability over time. Here, the authors show that vegetation resilience is greater where water availability is higher and where precipitation is more stable from year to year. Y1 - 2023 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-36207-7 SN - 2041-1723 VL - 14 IS - 1 PB - Springer Nature CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Repasch, Marisa A1 - Scheingross, Joel S. A1 - Hovius, Niels A1 - Vieth-Hillebrand, Andrea A1 - Mueller, Carsten W. A1 - Höschen, Carmen A1 - Szupiany, Ricardo N. A1 - Sachse, Dirk T1 - River organic carbon fluxes modulated by hydrodynamic sorting of particulate organic matter JF - Geophysical research letters N2 - Rivers regulate the global carbon cycle by transferring particulate organic carbon (POC) from terrestrial landscapes to marine sedimentary basins, but the processes controlling the amount and composition of fluvially exported POC are poorly understood. We propose that hydrodynamic sorting processes modify POC fluxes during fluvial transit. We test this hypothesis by studying POC transported along a similar to 1,200 km reach of the Rio Bermejo, Argentina. Nanoscale secondary ion mass spectrometry revealed that POC was either fine, mineral-associated organic matter, or coarse discrete organic particles. Mineral-associated POC is more resistant to oxidation and has a lower particle settling velocity than discrete POC. Consequently, hydraulic sorting and downstream fining amplify the proportion of fine, mineral-associated POC from similar to 55% to similar to 78% over 1,220 km of downstream transit. This suggests that mineral-associated POC has a greater probability of export and preservation in marine basins than plant detritus, which may be oxidized to CO2 during transit. KW - compound-specific stable isotopes KW - carbon fluxes KW - rivers KW - NanoSIMS; KW - sediment transport KW - hydrodynamic sorting Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL096343 SN - 0094-8276 SN - 1944-8007 VL - 49 IS - 3 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Voglimacci-Stephanopoli, Joëlle A1 - Wendleder, Anna A1 - Lantuit, Hugues A1 - Langlois, Alexandre A1 - Stettner, Samuel A1 - Schmitt, Andreas A1 - Dedieu, Jean-Pierre A1 - Roth, Achim A1 - Royer, Alain T1 - Potential of X-band polarimetric synthetic aperture radar co-polar phase difference for arctic snow depth estimation JF - Cryosphere N2 - Changes in snowpack associated with climatic warming has drastic impacts on surface energy balance in the cryosphere. Yet, traditional monitoring techniques, such as punctual measurements in the field, do not cover the full snowpack spatial and temporal variability, which hampers efforts to upscale measurements to the global scale. This variability is one of the primary constraints in model development. In terms of spatial resolution, active microwaves (synthetic aperture radar - SAR) can address the issue and outperform methods based on passive microwaves. Thus, high-spatial-resolution monitoring of snow depth (SD) would allow for better parameterization of local processes that drive the spatial variability of snow. The overall objective of this study is to evaluate the potential of the TerraSAR-X (TSX) SAR sensor and the wave co-polar phase difference (CPD) method for characterizing snow cover at high spatial resolution. Consequently, we first (1) investigate SD and depth hoar fraction (DHF) variability between different vegetation classes in the Ice Creek catchment (Qikiqtaruk/Herschel Island, Yukon, Canada) using in situ measurements collected over the course of a field campaign in 2019; (2) evaluate linkages between snow characteristics and CPD distribution over the 2019 dataset; and (3) determine CPD seasonality considering meteorological data over the 2015-2019 period. SD could be extracted using the CPD when certain conditions are met. A high incidence angle (>30 circle) with a high topographic wetness index (TWI) (>7.0) showed correlation between SD and CPD (R2 up to 0.72). Further, future work should address a threshold of sensitivity to TWI and incidence angle to map snow depth in such environments and assess the potential of using interpolation tools to fill in gaps in SD information on drier vegetation types. Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-2163-2022 SN - 1994-0416 SN - 1994-0424 VL - 16 IS - 6 SP - 2163 EP - 2181 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Haugk, Charlotte A1 - Jongejans, Loeka L. A1 - Mangelsdorf, Kai A1 - Fuchs, Matthias A1 - Ogneva, Olga A1 - Palmtag, Juri A1 - Mollenhauer, Gesine A1 - Mann, Paul J. A1 - Overduin, P. Paul A1 - Grosse, Guido A1 - Sanders, Tina A1 - Tuerena, Robyn E. A1 - Schirrmeister, Lutz A1 - Wetterich, Sebastian A1 - Kizyakov, Alexander A1 - Karger, Cornelia A1 - Strauss, Jens T1 - Organic matter characteristics of a rapidly eroding permafrost cliff in NE Siberia (Lena Delta, Laptev Sea region) JF - Biogeosciences N2 - Organic carbon (OC) stored in Arctic permafrost represents one of Earth's largest and most vulnerable terrestrial carbon pools. Amplified climate warming across the Arctic results in widespread permafrost thaw. Permafrost deposits exposed at river cliffs and coasts are particularly susceptible to thawing processes. Accelerating erosion of terrestrial permafrost along shorelines leads to increased transfer of organic matter (OM) to nearshore waters. However, the amount of terrestrial permafrost carbon and nitrogen as well as the OM quality in these deposits is still poorly quantified. We define the OM quality as the intrinsic potential for further transformation, decomposition and mineralisation. Here, we characterise the sources and the quality of OM supplied to the Lena River at a rapidly eroding permafrost river shoreline cliff in the eastern part of the delta (Sobo-Sise Island). Our multi-proxy approach captures bulk elemental, molecu- lar geochemical and carbon isotopic analyses of Late Pleistocene Yedoma permafrost and Holocene cover deposits, discontinuously spanning the last similar to 52 kyr. We showed that the ancient permafrost exposed in the Sobo-Sise cliff has a high organic carbon content (mean of about 5 wt %). The oldest sediments stem from Marine Isotope Stage (MIS) 3 interstadial deposits (dated to 52 to 28 cal ka BP) and are overlaid by last glacial MIS 2 (dated to 28 to 15 cal ka BP) and Holocene MIS 1 (dated to 7-0 cal ka BP) deposits. The relatively high average chain length (ACL) index of n-alkanes along the cliff profile indicates a predominant contribution of vascular plants to the OM composition. The elevated ratio of isoand anteiso-branched fatty acids (FAs) relative to mid- and long-chain (C >= 20) n-FAs in the interstadial MIS 3 and the interglacial MIS 1 deposits suggests stronger microbial activity and consequently higher input of bacterial biomass during these climatically warmer periods. The overall high carbon preference index (CPI) and higher plant fatty acid (HPFA) values as well as high C/N ratios point to a good quality of the preserved OM and thus to a high potential of the OM for decomposition upon thaw. A decrease in HPFA values downwards along the profile probably indicates stronger OM decomposition in the oldest (MIS 3) deposits of the cliff. The characterisation of OM from eroding permafrost leads to a better assessment of the greenhouse gas potential of the OC released into river and nearshore waters in the future. Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-19-2079-2022 SN - 1726-4170 SN - 1726-4189 VL - 19 IS - 7 SP - 2079 EP - 2094 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Jara-Muñoz, Julius A1 - Melnick, Daniel A1 - Li, Shaoyang A1 - Socquet, Anne A1 - Cortés-Aranda, Joaquín A1 - Brill, Dominik A1 - Strecker, Manfred R. T1 - The cryptic seismic potential of the Pichilemu blind fault in Chile revealed by off-fault geomorphology JF - Nature communications N2 - The first step towards assessing hazards in seismically active regions involves mapping capable faults and estimating their recurrence times. While the mapping of active faults is commonly based on distinct geologic and geomorphic features evident at the surface, mapping blind seismogenic faults is complicated by the absence of on-fault diagnostic features. Here we investigated the Pichilemu Fault in coastal Chile, unknown until it generated a Mw 7.0 earthquake in 2010. The lack of evident surface faulting suggests activity along a partly-hidden blind fault. We used off-fault deformed marine terraces to estimate a fault-slip rate of 0.52 +/- 0.04 m/ka, which, when integrated with satellite geodesy suggests a 2.12 +/- 0.2 ka recurrence time for Mw similar to 7.0 normal-faulting earthquakes. We propose that extension in the Pichilemu region is associated with stress changes during megathrust earthquakes and accommodated by sporadic slip during upper-plate earthquakes, which has implications for assessing the seismic potential of cryptic faults along convergent margins and elsewhere. Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-30754-1 SN - 2041-1723 VL - 13 IS - 1 PB - Nature Research CY - Berlin ER - TY - GEN A1 - Cesca, Simone A1 - Stich, Daniel A1 - Grigoli, Francesco A1 - Vuan, Alessandro A1 - López-Comino, José Ángel A1 - Niemz, Peter A1 - Blanch, Estefanía A1 - Dahm, Torsten A1 - Ellsworth, William L. T1 - Reply to: Multiple induced seismicity mechanisms at Castor underground gas storage illustrate the need for thorough monitoring T2 - Nature communications Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-30904-5 SN - 2041-1723 VL - 13 IS - 1 PB - Nature Research CY - Berlin ER -