TY - JOUR A1 - Vasishth, Shravan A1 - Mertzen, Daniela A1 - Jaeger, Lena A. A1 - Gelman, Andrew T1 - The statistical significance filter leads to overoptimistic expectations of replicability JF - Journal of memory and language N2 - It is well-known in statistics (e.g., Gelman & Carlin, 2014) that treating a result as publishable just because the p-value is less than 0.05 leads to overoptimistic expectations of replicability. These effects get published, leading to an overconfident belief in replicability. We demonstrate the adverse consequences of this statistical significance filter by conducting seven direct replication attempts (268 participants in total) of a recent paper (Levy & Keller, 2013). We show that the published claims are so noisy that even non-significant results are fully compatible with them. We also demonstrate the contrast between such small-sample studies and a larger-sample study; the latter generally yields a less noisy estimate but also a smaller effect magnitude, which looks less compelling but is more realistic. We reiterate several suggestions from the methodology literature for improving current practices. KW - Type M error KW - Replicability KW - Surprisal KW - Expectation KW - Locality KW - Bayesian data analysis KW - Parameter estimation Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jml.2018.07.004 SN - 0749-596X SN - 1096-0821 VL - 103 SP - 151 EP - 175 PB - Elsevier CY - San Diego ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Clavier, Pierre J. A1 - Guo, Li A1 - Paycha, Sylvie A1 - Zhang, Bin T1 - An algebraic formulation of the locality principle in renormalisation JF - European Journal of Mathematics N2 - We study the mathematical structure underlying the concept of locality which lies at the heart of classical and quantum field theory, and develop a machinery used to preserve locality during the renormalisation procedure. Viewing renormalisation in the framework of Connes and Kreimer as the algebraic Birkhoff factorisation of characters on a Hopf algebra with values in a Rota-Baxter algebra, we build locality variants of these algebraic structures, leading to a locality variant of the algebraic Birkhoff factorisation. This provides an algebraic formulation of the conservation of locality while renormalising. As an application in the context of the Euler-Maclaurin formula on lattice cones, we renormalise the exponential generating function which sums over the lattice points in a lattice cone. As a consequence, for a suitable multivariate regularisation, renormalisation from the algebraic Birkhoff factorisation amounts to composition by a projection onto holomorphic multivariate germs. KW - Locality KW - Renormalisation KW - Algebraic Birkhoff factorisation KW - Partial algebra KW - Hopf algebra KW - Rota-Baxter algebra KW - Multivariate meromorphic functions KW - Lattice cones Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s40879-018-0255-8 SN - 2199-675X SN - 2199-6768 VL - 5 IS - 2 SP - 356 EP - 394 PB - Springer CY - Cham ER -