@article{AgarwalMaheswaranMarwanetal.2018,
  author    = {Agarwal, Ankit and Maheswaran, Rathinasamy and Marwan, Norbert and Caesar, Levke and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Wavelet-based multiscale similarity measure for complex networks},
  series = {The European physical journal : B, Condensed matter and complex systems},
  volume    = {91},
  journal   = {The European physical journal : B, Condensed matter and complex systems},
  number    = {11},
  publisher = {Springer},
  address   = {New York},
  issn      = {1434-6028},
  doi       = {10.1140/epjb/e2018-90460-6},
  pages     = {12},
  year      = {2018},
  abstract  = {In recent years, complex network analysis facilitated the identification of universal and unexpected patterns in complex climate systems. However, the analysis and representation of a multiscale complex relationship that exists in the global climate system are limited. A logical first step in addressing this issue is to construct multiple networks over different timescales. Therefore, we propose to apply the wavelet multiscale correlation (WMC) similarity measure, which is a combination of two state-of-the-art methods, viz. wavelet and Pearson's correlation, for investigating multiscale processes through complex networks. Firstly we decompose the data over different timescales using the wavelet approach and subsequently construct a corresponding network by Pearson's correlation. The proposed approach is illustrated and tested on two synthetics and one real-world example. The first synthetic case study shows the efficacy of the proposed approach to unravel scale-specific connections, which are often undiscovered at a single scale. The second synthetic case study illustrates that by dividing and constructing a separate network for each time window we can detect significant changes in the signal structure. The real-world example investigates the behavior of the global sea surface temperature (SST) network at different timescales. Intriguingly, we notice that spatial dependent structure in SST evolves temporally. Overall, the proposed measure has an immense potential to provide essential insights on understanding and extending complex multivariate process studies at multiple scales.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{ZaikinKurths2006,
  author    = {Zaikin, Alexey and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Optimal length transportation hypothesis to model proteasome product size distribution},
  series = {Journal of biological physics : emphasizing physical principles in biological research ; an international journal for the formulation and application of mathematical models in the biological sciences},
  volume    = {32},
  journal   = {Journal of biological physics : emphasizing physical principles in biological research ; an international journal for the formulation and application of mathematical models in the biological sciences},
  number    = {3-4},
  publisher = {Springer},
  address   = {Dordrecht},
  issn      = {0092-0606},
  doi       = {10.1007/s10867-006-9014-z},
  pages     = {231 -- 243},
  year      = {2006},
  abstract  = {This paper discusses translocation features of the 20S proteasome in order to explain typical proteasome length distributions. We assume that the protein transport depends significantly on the fragment length with some optimal length which is transported most efficiently. By means of a simple one-channel model, we show that this hypothesis can explain both the one- and the three-peak length distributions found in experiments. A possible mechanism of such translocation is provided by so-called fluctuation-driven transport.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{GoswamiBoersRheinwaltetal.2018,
  author    = {Goswami, Bedartha and Boers, Niklas and Rheinwalt, Aljoscha and Marwan, Norbert and Heitzig, Jobst and Breitenbach, Sebastian Franz Martin and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Abrupt transitions in time series with uncertainties},
  series = {Nature Communications},
  volume    = {9},
  journal   = {Nature Communications},
  publisher = {Nature Publ. Group},
  address   = {London},
  issn      = {2041-1723},
  doi       = {10.1038/s41467-017-02456-6},
  pages     = {10},
  year      = {2018},
  abstract  = {Identifying abrupt transitions is a key question in various disciplines. Existing transition detection methods, however, do not rigorously account for time series uncertainties, often neglecting them altogether or assuming them to be independent and qualitatively similar. Here, we introduce a novel approach suited to handle uncertainties by representing the time series as a time-ordered sequence of probability density functions. We show how to detect abrupt transitions in such a sequence using the community structure of networks representing probabilities of recurrence. Using our approach, we detect transitions in global stock indices related to well-known periods of politico-economic volatility. We further uncover transitions in the El Ni{\~n}o-Southern Oscillation which coincide with periods of phase locking with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Finally, we provide for the first time an 'uncertainty-aware' framework which validates the hypothesis that ice-rafting events in the North Atlantic during the Holocene were synchronous with a weakened Asian summer monsoon.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{ThielRomanoKurthsetal.2008,
  author    = {Thiel, Marco and Romano, Maria Carmen and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Rolfs, Martin and Kliegl, Reinhold},
  title     = {Generating surrogates from recurrences},
  issn      = {1364-503X},
  year      = {2008},
  abstract  = {In this paper, we present an approach to recover the dynamics from recurrences of a system and then generate (multivariate) twin surrogate (TS) trajectories. In contrast to other approaches, such as the linear-like surrogates, this technique produces surrogates which correspond to an independent copy of the underlying system, i.e. they induce a trajectory of the underlying system visiting the attractor in a different way. We show that these surrogates are well suited to test for complex synchronization, which makes it possible to systematically assess the reliability of synchronization analyses. We then apply the TS to study binocular fixational movements and find strong indications that the fixational movements of the left and right eye are phase synchronized. This result indicates that there might be only one centre in the brain that produces the fixational movements in both eyes or a close link between the two centres.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{WuZhouChenetal.2010,
  author    = {Wu, Ye and Zhou, Changsong and Chen, Maoyin and Xiao, Jinghua and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Human comment dynamics in on-line social systems},
  issn      = {0378-4371},
  doi       = {10.1016/j.physa.2010.08.049},
  year      = {2010},
  abstract  = {Human comment is studied using data from 'tianya' which is one of the most popular on-line social systems in China. We found that the time interval between two consecutive comments on the same topic, called inter-event time, follows a power-law distribution. This result shows that there is no characteristic decay time on a topic. It allows for very long periods without comments that separate bursts of intensive comments. Furthermore, the frequency of a different ID commenting on a topic also follows a power-law distribution. It indicates that there are some "hubs" in the topic who lead the direction of the public opinion. Based on the personal comments habit, a model is introduced to explain these phenomena. The numerical simulations of the model fit well with the empirical results. Our findings are helpful for discovering regular patterns of human behavior in on-line society and the evolution of the public opinion on the virtual as well as real society.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{WinterhalderSchelterKurthsetal.2006,
  author    = {Winterhalder, Matthias and Schelter, B and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schulze-Borthage, A and Timmer, Jens},
  title     = {Sensitivity and specificity of coherence and phase synchronization analysis},
  doi       = {10.1016/j.physleta.2006.03.018},
  year      = {2006},
  abstract  = {In this Letter, we show that coherence and phase synchronization analysis are sensitive but not specific in detecting the correct class of underlying dynamics. We propose procedures to increase specificity and demonstrate the power of the approach by application to paradigmatic dynamic model systems. (c) 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{DanaBlasiusKurths2006,
  author    = {Dana, Syamal Kumar and Blasius, Bernd and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Experimental evidence of anomalous phase synchronization in two diffusively coupled Chua oscillators},
  issn      = {1054-1500},
  doi       = {10.1063/1.2197168},
  year      = {2006},
  abstract  = {We study the transition to phase synchronization in two diffusively coupled, nonidentical Chua oscillators. In the experiments, depending on the used parameterization, we observe several distinct routes to phase synchronization, including states of either in-phase, out-of-phase, or antiphase synchronization, which may be intersected by an intermediate desynchronization regime with large fluctuations of the frequency difference. Furthermore, we report the first experimental evidence of an anomalous transition to phase synchronization, which is characterized by an initial enlargement of the natural frequency difference with coupling strength. This results in a maximal frequency disorder at intermediate coupling levels, whereas usual phase synchronization via monotonic decrease in frequency difference sets in only for larger coupling values. All experimental results are supported by numerical simulations of two coupled Chua models},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{VasconcelosLopesVianaetal.2006,
  author    = {Vasconcelos, D. B. and Lopes, S. R. and Viana, R. L. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Spatial recurrence plots},
  doi       = {10.1103/Physreve.73.056207},
  year      = {2006},
  abstract  = {We propose an extension of the recurrence plot concept to perform quantitative analyzes of roughness and disorder of spatial patterns at a fixed time. We introduce spatial recurrence plots (SRPs) as a graphical representation of the pointwise correlation matrix, in terms of a two-dimensional spatial return plot. This technique is applied to the study of complex patterns generated by coupled map lattices, which are characterized by measures of complexity based on SRPs. We show that the complexity measures we propose for SRPs provide a systematic way of investigating the distribution of spatially coherent structures, such as synchronization domains, in lattice profiles. This approach has potential for many more applications, e.g., in surface roughness analyzes},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{BaptistaPereiraKurths2006,
  author    = {Baptista, Murilo da Silva and Pereira, Tiago and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Upper bounds in phase synchronous weak coherent chaotic attractors},
  issn      = {0167-2789},
  doi       = {10.1016/j.physd.2006.02.007},
  year      = {2006},
  abstract  = {An approach is presented for coupled chaotic systems with weak coherent motion, from which we estimate the upper bound value for the absolute phase difference in phase synchronous states. This approach shows that synchronicity in phase implies synchronicity in the time of events, a characteristic explored to derive an equation to detect phase synchronization, based on the absolute difference between the time of these events. We demonstrate the potential use of this approach for the phase coherent and the funnel attractor of the Rossler system, as well as for the spiking/bursting Rulkov map.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{BaptistaPereiraSartorellietal.2005,
  author    = {Baptista, Murilo da Silva and Pereira, Tiago and Sartorelli, J. C. and Caldas, Ibere Luiz and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Non-transitive maps in phase synchronization},
  year      = {2005},
  abstract  = {Concepts from Ergodic Theory are used to describe the existence of special non-transitive maps in attractors of phase synchronous chaotic oscillators. In particular, it is shown that, for a class of phase-coherent oscillators, these special maps imply phase synchronization. We illustrate these ideas in the sinusoidally forced Chua's circuit and two coupled Rossler oscillators. Furthermore, these results are extended to other coupled chaotic systems. In addition, a phase for a chaotic attractor is defined from the tangent vector of the flow. Finally, it is discussed how these maps can be used for the real-time detection of phase synchronization in experimental systems. (c) 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{BittmannGutschowLutheretal.2005,
  author    = {Bittmann, Frank N. and Gutschow, Stephan and Luther, Sven and Wessel, Niels and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {On the functional relationship between postural motor balance and performance at school},
  year      = {2005},
  abstract  = {In integrated medical considerations of the biological human system, both intellectual and motor performances in a similar manner are considered as a result of the function of the nervous system. Consequently, universal minimal dysfunctions of the central nervous system may lead to both intellectual and physical anomalies. Therefore, this study tests the hypothesis that there is a connection between the balance ability as a motor parameter and school success as an intellectual parameter. A postural measuring system based on the force-moment sensor technique was used to record the postural balance regulation of 773 children (circle divide 11 +/- 1 years). The school achievement of each child was determined by school grades. Data analysis was performed by linear as well as by nonlinear time series analyses. There are highly significant differences in balance regulation between good and poor pupils recognized by several linear and nonlinear parameters. Good pupils could be discriminated from pupils with bad results in learning to 80 \%. The results support the hypothesis mentioned above. One possible explanation for the poor regulation of balance in bad learners could be a deficit in the neural maturity. In future, further developments will be targeted on higher discrimination levels, possibly in order to predict school success. On the other hand, the effects of special movement exercises on the neural development in childhood will be the focus in our further work},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{KitajimaKurths2005,
  author    = {Kitajima, H. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Synchronized firing of FitzHugh-Nagumo neurons by noise},
  issn      = {1054-1500},
  year      = {2005},
  abstract  = {We investigate the influence of noise on synchronization between the spiking activities of neurons with external impulsive forces. We first analyze the dependence of the synchronized firing on the amplitude and the angular frequency of the impulsive force in the noise-free system. Three cases (regular spiking, traveling wave, and chaotic spiking) with low synchronized firing are chosen to study effects due to noise. In each case we find that small noise can be a promoter of synchronization phenomena in neural activities, by choosing an appropriate noise intensity acting on some of the neurons. (C) 2005 American Institute of Physics},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{BeimGrabenFrischFinketal.2005,
  author    = {Beim Graben, Peter and Frisch, Stefan and Fink, A. and Saddy, Douglas and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Topographic voltage and coherence mapping of brain potentials by means of the symbolic resonance analysis},
  issn      = {1539-3755},
  year      = {2005},
  abstract  = {We apply the recently developed symbolic resonance analysis to electroencephalographic measurements of event- related brain potentials (ERPs) in a language processing experiment by using a three-symbol static encoding with varying thresholds for analyzing the ERP epochs, followed by a spin-flip transformation as a nonlinear filter. We compute an estimator of the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) for the symbolic dynamics measuring the coherence of threshold-crossing events. Hence, we utilize the inherent noise of the EEG for sweeping the underlying ERP components beyond the encoding thresholds. Plotting the SNR computed within the time window of a particular ERP component (the N400) against the encoding thresholds, we find different resonance curves for the experimental conditions. The maximal differences of the SNR lead to the estimation of optimal encoding thresholds. We show that topographic brain maps of the optimal threshold voltages and of their associated coherence differences are able to dissociate the underlying physiological processes, while corresponding maps gained from the customary voltage averaging technique are unable to do so},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{MeineckeZieheKurthsetal.2005,
  author    = {Meinecke, Frank C. and Ziehe, Andreas and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and M{\"u}ller, Klaus-Robert},
  title     = {Measuring phase synchronization of superimposed signals},
  issn      = {0031-9007},
  year      = {2005},
  abstract  = {Phase synchronization is an important phenomenon that occurs in a wide variety of complex oscillatory processes. Measuring phase synchronization can therefore help to gain fundamental insight into nature. In this Letter we point out that synchronization analysis techniques can detect spurious synchronization, if they are fed with a superposition of signals such as in electroencephalography or magnetoencephalography data. We show how techniques from blind source separation can help to nevertheless measure the true synchronization and avoid such pitfalls},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{SurovyatkinaKravtsovKurths2005,
  author    = {Surovyatkina, E. D. and Kravtsov, Y. A. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Fluctuation growth and saturation in nonlinear oscillators on the threshold of bifurcation of spontaneous symmetry breaking},
  issn      = {1539-3755},
  year      = {2005},
  abstract  = {We study prebifurcation fluctuation amplification in nonlinear oscillators subject to bifurcations of spontaneous symmetry breaking which are manifest in the doubling of stable equilibrium states. Our theoretical estimates of both the linear growth and the nonlinear saturation of the fluctuations are in good agreement with our results from numerical simulations. We show that in the saturation mode, the fluctuation variance is proportional to the standard deviation of the external noise, whereas in the linear mode, the fluctuation variance is proportional to the noise variance. It is demonstrated that the phenomenon of prebifurcation noise amplification is more pronounced in the case of a slow transition through the bifurcation point. The amplification of fluctuations in this case makes it easier to form a symmetric probability of the final equilibrium states. In contrast, for a fast transition through the bifurcation point, the effect of amplification is much less pronounced. Under backward and forward passages through the bifurcation point, a loop of noise-dependent hysteresis emerges here. We find that for a fast transition of the nonlinear oscillator through the bifurcation point, the probability symmetry of the final equilibrium states is destroyed},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{ShabuninAstakhovKurths2005,
  author    = {Shabunin, A. and Astakhov, Vladimir V. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Quantitative analysis of chaotic synchronization by means of coherence},
  issn      = {1539-3755},
  year      = {2005},
  abstract  = {We use an index of chaotic synchronization based on the averaged coherence function for the quantitative analysis of the process of the complete synchronization loss in unidirectionally coupled oscillators and maps. We demonstrate that this value manifests different stages of the synchronization breaking. It is invariant to time delay and insensitive to small noise and distortions, which can influence the accessible signals at measurements. Peculiarities of the synchronization destruction in maps and oscillators are investigated},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{SaparinThomsenProhaskaetal.2005,
  author    = {Saparin, P. I. and Thomsen, J. S. and Prohaska, Steffen and Zaikin, Alexei and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Hege, H. C. and Gowin, W.},
  title     = {Quantification of spatial structure of human proximal tibial bone biopsies using 3D measures of complexity},
  issn      = {0094-5765},
  year      = {2005},
  abstract  = {Changes in trabecular bone composition during development of osteoporosis are used as a model for bone loss in microgravity conditions during a space flight. Symbolic dynamics and measures of complexity are proposed and applied to assess quantitatively the structural composition of bone tissue from 3D data sets of human tibia bone biopsies acquired by a micro-CT scanner. In order to justify the newly proposed approach, the measures of complexity of the bone architecture were compared with the results of traditional 2D bone histomorphometry. The proposed technique is able to quantify the structural loss of the bone tissue and may help to diagnose and to monitor changes in bone structure of patients on Earth as well as of the space-flying personnel. © 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{SitzSchwarzKurths2004,
  author    = {Sitz, Andre and Schwarz, Udo and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {The unscented Kalman filter : a powerful tool for data analysis},
  year      = {2004},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{OrgisBrandSchwarzetal.2009,
  author    = {Orgis, Thomas and Brand, Sascha and Schwarz, Udo and Handorf, D{\"o}rthe and Dethloff, Klaus and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Influence of interactive stratospheric chemistry on large-scale air mass exchange in a global circulation model},
  issn      = {1951-6355},
  doi       = {10.1140/epjst/e2009-01105-8},
  year      = {2009},
  abstract  = {A new globally uniform Lagrangian transport scheme for large ensembles of passive tracer particles is presented and applied to wind data from a coupled atmosphere-ocean climate model that includes interactive dynamical feedback with stratospheric chemistry. This feedback from the chemistry is found to enhance large-scale meridional air mass exchange in the northern winter stratosphere as well as intrusion of stratospheric air into the troposphere, where both effects are due to a weakened polar vortex.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{RaabWesselSchirdewanetal.2006,
  author    = {Raab, Corinna and Wessel, Niels and Schirdewan, Alexander and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Large-scale dimension densities for heart rate variability analysis},
  issn      = {1539-3755},
  doi       = {10.1103/Physreve.73.041907},
  year      = {2006},
  abstract  = {In this work, we reanalyze the heart rate variability (HRV) data from the 2002 Computers in Cardiology (CiC) Challenge using the concept of large-scale dimension densities and additionally apply this technique to data of healthy persons and of patients with cardiac diseases. The large-scale dimension density (LASDID) is estimated from the time series using a normalized Grassberger-Procaccia algorithm, which leads to a suitable correction of systematic errors produced by boundary effects in the rather large scales of a system. This way, it is possible to analyze rather short, nonstationary, and unfiltered data, such as HRV. Moreover, this method allows us to analyze short parts of the data and to look for differences between day and night. The circadian changes in the dimension density enable us to distinguish almost completely between real data and computer-generated data from the CiC 2002 challenge using only one parameter. In the second part we analyzed the data of 15 patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), 15 patients with congestive heart failure (CHF), 15 elderly healthy subjects (EH), as well as 18 young and healthy persons (YH). With our method we are able to separate completely the AF (rho(mu)(ls)=0.97 +/- 0.02) group from the others and, especially during daytime, the CHF patients show significant differences from the young and elderly healthy volunteers (CHF, 0.65 +/- 0.13; EH, 0.54 +/- 0.05; YH, 0.57 +/- 0.05; p < 0.05 for both comparisons). Moreover, for the CHF patients we find no circadian changes in rho(mu)(ls) (day, 0.65 +/- 0.13; night, 0.66 +/- 0.12; n.s.) in contrast to healthy controls (day, 0.54 +/- 0.05; night, 0.61 +/- 0.05; p=0.002). Correlation analysis showed no statistical significant relation between standard HRV and circadian LASDID, demonstrating a possibly independent application of our method for clinical risk stratification},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{AnishchenkoNikolaevKurths2006,
  author    = {Anishchenko, Vadim S. and Nikolaev, S and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Winding number locking on a two-dimensional torus : synchronization of quasiperiodic motions},
  issn      = {1539-3755},
  doi       = {10.1103/Physreve.73.056202},
  year      = {2006},
  abstract  = {We propose a new autonomous dynamical system of dimension N=4 that demonstrates the regime of stable two- frequency motions and period-doubling bifurcations of a two-dimensional torus. It is shown that the period-doubling bifurcation of the two-dimensional torus is not followed by the resonance phenomenon, and the two-dimensional ergodic torus undergoes a period-doubling bifurcation. The interaction of two generators is also analyzed. The phenomenon of external and mutual synchronization of two-frequency oscillations is observed, for which winding number locking on a two- dimensional torus takes place},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{BoccalettiHwangChavezetal.2006,
  author    = {Boccaletti, Stefano and Hwang, Dong-Uk and Chavez, Mario and Amann, Andreas and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Pecora, Louis M.},
  title     = {Synchronization in dynamical networks : evolution along commutative graphs},
  issn      = {1539-3755},
  doi       = {10.1103/Physreve.74.016102},
  year      = {2006},
  abstract  = {Starting from an initial wiring of connections, we show that the synchronizability of a network can be significantly improved by evolving the graph along a time dependent connectivity matrix. We consider the case of connectivity matrices that commute at all times, and compare several approaches to engineer the corresponding commutative graphs. In particular, we show that synchronization in a dynamical network can be achieved even in the case in which each individual commutative graphs does not give rise to synchronized behavior},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{ThielRomanoKurths2006,
  author    = {Thiel, Marco and Romano, Maria Carmen and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Spurious structures in recurrence plots induced by embedding},
  doi       = {10.1007/s11071-006-2010-9},
  year      = {2006},
  abstract  = {In this paper we show that delay embedding produces spurious structures in a recurrence plot (RP) that are not present in the real attractor. We analyze typical sets of simulated data, such as white noise and data from the chaotic Rossler system to show the relevance of this effect. In the second part of the paper we show that the second order Renyi entropy and the correlation dimension are dynamical invariants that can be estimated from Recurrence Plots with arbitrary embedding dimension and delay},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{LiSunKurths2006,
  author    = {Li, Changpin and Sun, Weigang and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Synchronization of complex dynamical networks with time delays},
  issn      = {0378-4371},
  doi       = {10.1016/j.physa.2005.07.007},
  year      = {2006},
  abstract  = {In the present paper, two kinds of dynamical complex networks are considered. The first is that elements of every node have different time delays but all nodes in Such networks have the same time-delay vector. The second is that different nodes have different time-delay vectors, and the elements of each node also have different time delays. Corresponding synchronization theorems are established. Numerical examples show the efficiency of the derived theorems.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{SchmidtZamoraLopezKurths2010,
  author    = {Schmidt, G. and Zamora-Lopez, Gorka and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Simulation of large scale cortical networks by individual neuron dynamics},
  issn      = {0218-1274},
  doi       = {10.1142/S0218127410026149},
  year      = {2010},
  abstract  = {Understanding the functional dynamics of the mammalian brain is one of the central aims of modern neuroscience. Mathematical modeling and computational simulations of neural networks can help in this quest. In recent publications, a multilevel model has been presented to simulate the resting-state dynamics of the cortico-cortical connectivity of the mammalian brain. In the present work we investigate how much of the dynamical behavior of the multilevel model can be reproduced by a strongly simplified model. We find that replacing each cortical area by a single Rulkov map recreates the patterns of dynamical correlation of the multilevel model, while the outcome of other models and setups mainly depends on the local network properties, e. g. the input degree of each vertex. In general, we find that a simple simulation whose dynamics depends on the global topology of the whole network is far from trivial. A systematic analysis of different dynamical models and coupling setups is required.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{BaptistaKurths2005,
  author    = {Baptista, Murilo da Silva and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Chaotic channel},
  issn      = {1539-3755},
  year      = {2005},
  abstract  = {This work combines the theory of chaotic synchronization with the theory of information in order to introduce the chaotic channel, an active medium formed by connected chaotic systems. This subset of a large chaotic net represents the path along which information flows. We show that the possible amount of information exchange between the transmitter, where information enters the net, and the receiver, the destination of the information, is proportional to the level of synchronization between these two special subsystems},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{FeudelWittGellertetal.2005,
  author    = {Feudel, Fred and Witt, Annette and Gellert, Marcus and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Grebogi, Celso and Sanjuan, Miguel Angel Fernandez},
  title     = {Intersections of stable and unstable manifolds : the skeleton of Lagrangian chaos},
  year      = {2005},
  abstract  = {We study Hamiltonian chaos generated by the dynamics of passive tracers moving in a two-dimensional fluid flow and describe the complex structure formed in a chaotic layer that separates a vortex region from the shear flow. The stable and unstable manifolds of unstable periodic orbits are computed. It is shown that their intersections in the Poincare map as an invariant set of homoclinic points constitute the backbone of the chaotic layer. Special attention is paid to the finite time properties of the chaotic layer. In particular, finite time Lyapunov exponents are computed and a scaling law of the variance of their distribution is derived. Additionally, the box counting dimension as an effective dimension to characterize the fractal properties of the layer is estimated for different duration times of simulation. Its behavior in the asymptotic time limit is discussed. By computing the Lyapunov exponents and by applying methods of symbolic dynamics, the formation of the layer as a function of the external forcing strength, which in turn represents the perturbation of the originally integrable system, is characterized. In particular, it is shown that the capture of KAM tori by the layer has a remarkable influence on the averaged Lyapunov exponents. (C) 2004 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{MotterZhouKurths2005,
  author    = {Motter, Adilson E. and Zhou, Changsong and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Enhancing complex-network synchronization},
  issn      = {0295-5075},
  year      = {2005},
  abstract  = {Heterogeneity in the degree (connectivity) distribution has been shown to suppress synchronization in networks of symmetrically coupled oscillators with uniform coupling strength (unweighted coupling). Here we uncover a condition for enhanced synchronization in weighted networks with asymmetric coupling. We show that, in the optimum regime, synchronizability is solely determined by the average degree and does not depend on the system size and the details of the degree distribution. In scale-free networks, where the average degree may increase with heterogeneity, synchronizability is drastically enhanced and may become positively correlated with heterogeneity, while the overall cost involved in the network coupling is significantly reduced as compared to the case of unwcighted coupling},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{VolkovUllnerKurths2005,
  author    = {Volkov, E. I. and Ullner, Ekkehard and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Stochastic multiresonance in the coupled relaxation oscillators},
  issn      = {1054-1500},
  year      = {2005},
  abstract  = {We study the noise-dependent dynamics in a chain of four very stiff excitable oscillators of the FitzHugh- Nagumo type locally coupled by inhibitor diffusion. We could demonstrate frequency- and noise-selective signal acceptance which is based on several noise-supported stochastic attractors that arise owing to slow variable diffusion between identical excitable elements. The attractors have different average periods distinct from that of an isolated oscillator and various phase relations between the elements. We explain the correspondence between the noise-supported stochastic attractors and the observed resonance peaks in the curves for the linear response versus signal frequency. (C) 2005 American Institute of Physics},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{MotterZhouKurths2005,
  author    = {Motter, Adilson E. and Zhou, Changsong and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Network synchronization, diffusion, and the paradox of heterogeneity},
  issn      = {1063-651X},
  year      = {2005},
  abstract  = {Many complex networks display strong heterogeneity in the degree (connectivity) distribution. Heterogeneity in the degree distribution often reduces the average distance between nodes but, paradoxically, may suppress synchronization in networks of oscillators coupled symmetrically with uniform coupling strength. Here we offer a solution to this apparent paradox. Our analysis is partially based on the identification of a diffusive process underlying the communication between oscillators and reveals a striking relation between this process and the condition for the linear stability of the synchronized states. We show that, for a given degree distribution, the maximum synchronizability is achieved when the network of couplings is weighted and directed and the overall cost involved in the couplings is minimum. This enhanced synchronizability is solely determined by the mean degree and does not depend on the degree distribution and system size. Numerical verification of the main results is provided for representative classes of small-world and scale-free networks},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{MaraunKurths2005,
  author    = {Maraun, Douglas and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Epochs of phase coherence between El Nino/Southern Oscillation and Indian monsoon},
  issn      = {0094-8276},
  year      = {2005},
  abstract  = {We present a modern method used in nonlinear time series analysis to investigate the relation of two oscillating systems with respect to their phases, independently of their amplitudes. We study the difference of the phase dynamics between El Nino/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Monsoon on inter-annual time scales. We identify distinct epochs, especially two intervals of phase coherence, 1886 - 1908 and 1964 - 1980, corroborating earlier findings from a new point of view. A significance test shows that the coherence is very unlikely to be the result of stochastic fluctuations. We also detect so far unknown periods of coupling which are invisible to linear methods. These findings suggest that the decreasing correlation during the last decades might be a typical epoch of the ENSO/ Monsoon system having occurred repeatedly. The high time resolution of the method enables us to present an interpretation of how volcanic radiative forcing could cause the coupling},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{MarwanKurths2005,
  author    = {Marwan, Norbert and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Line structures in recurrence plots},
  issn      = {0375-9601},
  year      = {2005},
  abstract  = {Recurrence plots exhibit line structures which represent typical behaviour of the investigated system. The local slope of these line structures is connected with a specific transformation of the time scales of different segments of the phase-space trajectory. This provides us a better understanding of the structures occurring in recurrence plots. The relationship between the time-scales and line structures are of practical importance in cross recurrence plots. Using this relationship within cross recurrence plots, the time-scales of differently sampled or time- transformed measurements can be adjusted. An application to geophysical measurements illustrates the capability of this method for the adjustment of time-scales in different measurements. (C) 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{ZaikinKurthsSaparinetal.2005,
  author    = {Zaikin, Alexei and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Saparin, Peter and Gowin, W. and Prohaska, Steffen},
  title     = {Modeling bone resorption in 2D CT and 3D mu CT images},
  issn      = {0218-1274},
  year      = {2005},
  abstract  = {We study several algorithms to simulate bone mass loss in two-dimensional and three-dimensional computed tomography bone images. The aim is to extrapolate and predict the bone loss, to provide test objects for newly developed structural measures, and to understand the physical mechanisms behind the bone alteration. Our bone model approach differs from those already reported in the literature by two features. First, we work with original bone images, obtained by computed tomography (CT); second, we use structural measures of complexity to evaluate bone resorption and to compare it with the data provided by CT. This gives us the possibility to test algorithms of bone resorption by comparing their results with experimentally found dependencies of structural measures of complexity, as well as to show efficiency of the complexity measures in the analysis of bone models. For two-dimensional images we suggest two algorithms, a threshold algorithm and a virtual slicing algorithm. The threshold algorithm simulates bone resorption on a boundary between bone and marrow, representing an activity of osteoclasts. The virtual slicing algorithm uses a distribution of the bone material between several virtually created slices to achieve statistically correct results, when the bone-marrow transition is not clearly defined. These algorithms have been tested for original CT 10 mm thick vertebral slices and for simulated 10 mm thick slices constructed from ten I mm thick slices. For three-dimensional data, we suggest a variation of the threshold algorithm and apply it to bone images. The results of modeling have been compared with CT images using structural measures of complexity in two- and three-dimensions. This comparison has confirmed credibility of a virtual slicing modeling algorithm for two-dimensional data and a threshold algorithm for three-dimensional data},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{VianaGrebogiPintoetal.2005,
  author    = {Viana, R. L. and Grebogi, Celso and Pinto, S. E. D. and Lopes, S. R. and Batista, A. M. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Bubbling bifurcation : loss of synchronization and shadowing breakdown in complex systems},
  year      = {2005},
  abstract  = {Complex dynamical systems with many degrees of freedom may exhibit a wealth of collective phenomena related to high-dimensional chaos. This paper focuses on a lattice of coupled logistic maps to investigate the relationship between the loss of chaos synchronization and the onset of shadowing breakdown via unstable dimension variability in complex systems. In the neighborhood of the critical transition to strongly non-hyperbolic behavior, the system undergoes on-off intermittency with respect to the synchronization manifold. This has been confirmed by numerical diagnostics of synchronization and non-hyperbolic behavior, the latter using the statistical properties of finite-time Lyapunov exponents. (c) 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{ZhouKurths2005,
  author    = {Zhou, Changsong and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Noise-sustained and controlled synchronization of stirred excitable media by external forcing},
  issn      = {1367-2630},
  year      = {2005},
  abstract  = {Most of the previous studies on constructive effects of noise in spatially extended systems have focused on static media, e.g., of the reaction diffusion type. Because many active chemical or biological processes occur in a fluid environment with mixing, we investigate here the interplay among noise, excitability, mixing and external forcing in excitable media advected by a chaotic flow, in a two-dimensional FitzHugh-Nagumo model described by a set of reaction- advection-diffusion equations. In the absence of external forcing, noise may generate sustained coherent oscillations of the media in a range of noise intensities and stirring rates. We find that these noise-sustained oscillations can be synchronized by external periodic signals much smaller than the threshold. Analysis of the locking regions in the parameter space of the signal period, stirring rate and noise intensity reveals that the mechanism underlying the synchronization behaviour is a matching between the time scales of the forcing signal and the noise-sustained oscillations. The results demonstrate that, in the presence of a suitable level of noise, the stirred excitable media act as self-sustained oscillatory systems and become much easier to be entrained by weak external forcing. Our results may be verified in experiments and are useful to understand the synchronization of population dynamics of oceanic ecological systems by annual cycles},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{WesselKonvickaWeidermannetal.2004,
  author    = {Wessel, Niels and Konvicka, Jan and Weidermann, Frank and Nestmann, S. and Neugebauer, R. and Schwarz, U. and Wessel, A. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Predicting thermal displacements in modular tool systems},
  issn      = {1054-1500},
  year      = {2004},
  abstract  = {In the last decade, there has been an increasing interest in compensating thermally induced errors to improve the manufacturing accuracy of modular tool systems. These modular tool systems are interfaces between spindle and workpiece and consist of several complicatedly formed parts. Their thermal behavior is dominated by nonlinearities, delay and hysteresis effects even in tools with simpler geometry and it is difficult to describe it theoretically. Due to the dominant nonlinear nature of this behavior the so far used linear regression between the temperatures and the displacements is insufficient. Therefore, in this study we test the hypothesis whether we can reliably predict such thermal displacements via nonlinear temperature-displacement regression functions. These functions are estimated firstly from learning measurements using the alternating conditional expectation (ACE) algorithm and then tested on independent data sets. First, we analyze data that were generated by a finite element spindle model. We find that our approach is a powerful tool to describe the relation between temperatures and displacements for simulated data. Next, we analyze the temperature-displacement relationship in a silent real experimental setup, where the tool system is thermally forced. Again, the ACE-algorithm is powerful to estimate the deformation with high precision. The corresponding errors obtained by using the nonlinear regression approach are 10-fold lower in comparison to multiple linear regression analysis. Finally, we investigate the thermal behavior of a modular tool system in a working milling machine and get again promising results. The thermally inducedaccuracy using this nonlinear regression analysis. Therefore, this approach seems to be very useful for the development of new modular tool systems. errors can be estimated with 1-2 micrometer},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{WesselAssmusWeidermannetal.2004,
  author    = {Wessel, Niels and Aßmus, Joerg and Weidermann, Frank and Konvicka, Jan and Nestmann, S. and Neugebauer, R. and Schwarz, Udo and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Modeling thermal displacements in modular tool systems},
  year      = {2004},
  abstract  = {In the last decade, there has been an increasing interest in compensating thermally induced errors to improve the manufacturing accuracy of modular tool systems. These modular tool systems are interfaces between spindle and workpiece and consist of several complicatedly formed parts. Their thermal behavior is dominated by nonlinearities, delay and hysteresis effects even in tools with simpler geometry and it is difficult to describe it theoretically. Due to the dominant nonlinear nature of this behavior the so far used linear regression between the temperatures and the displacements is insufficient. Therefore, in this study we test the hypothesis whether we can reliably predict such thermal displacements via nonlinear temperature-displacement regression functions. These functions are estimated firstly from learning measurements using the alternating conditional expectation (ACE) algorithm and then tested on independent data sets. First, we analyze data that were generated by a finite element spindle model. We find that our approach is a powerful tool to describe the relation between temperatures and displacements for simulated data. Next, we analyze the temperature-displacement relationship in a silent real experimental setup, where the tool system is thermally forced. Again, the ACE-algorithm is powerful to estimate the deformation with high precision. The corresponding errors obtained by using the nonlinear regression approach are 10-fold lower in comparison to multiple linear regression analysis. Finally, we investigate the thermal behavior of a modular tool system in a working milling machine and get again promising results. The thermally induced errors can be estimated with 1-2\${mu m}\$ accuracy using this nonlinear regression analysis. Therefore, this approach seems to be very useful for the development of new modular tool systems.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{MontbrioKurthsBlasius2004,
  author    = {Montbrio, Ernest and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Blasius, Bernd},
  title     = {Synchronization of two interacting populations of oscillators},
  year      = {2004},
  abstract  = {We analyze synchronization between two interacting populations of different phase oscillators. For the important case of asymmetric coupling functions, we find a much richer dynamical behavior compared to that of symmetrically coupled populations of identical oscillators. It includes three types of bistabilities, higher order entrainment and the existence of states with unusual stability properties. All possible routes to synchronization of the populations are presented and some stability boundaries are obtained analytically. The impact of these findings for neuroscience is discussed.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{AllefeldKurths2004,
  author    = {Allefeld, Carsten and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {An approach to multivariate phase synchronization analysis and its application to event-related potentials},
  issn      = {0218-1274},
  year      = {2004},
  abstract  = {A method for the multivariate analysis of statistical phase synchronization phenomena in empirical data is presented. A first statistical approach is complemented by a stochastic dynamic model, to result in a data analysis algorithm which can in a specific sense be shown to be a generic multivariate statistical phase synchronization analysis. The method is applied to EEG data from a psychological experiment, obtaining results which indicate the relevance of this method in the context of cognitive science as well as in other fields},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{VossTimmerKurths2004,
  author    = {Voss, Henning U. and Timmer, Jens and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Modeling and identification of nonlinear systems},
  issn      = {0218-1274},
  year      = {2004},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{AnishchenkoVadivasovaKurthsetal.2004,
  author    = {Anishchenko, Vadim S. and Vadivasova, T. E. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Okrokvertskhov, G. A. and Strelkova, G. I.},
  title     = {Autocorrelation function and spectral linewidth of spiral chaos in a physical experiment},
  issn      = {1063-651X},
  year      = {2004},
  abstract  = {We present results of physical experiments where we measure the autocorrelation function (ACF) and the spectral linewidth of the basic frequency of a spiral chaotic attractor in a generator with inertial nonlinearity both without and in the presence of external noise. It is shown that the ACF of spiral attractors decays according to an exponential law with a decrement which is defined by the phase diffusion coefficient. It is also established that the evolution of the instantaneous phase can be approximated by a Wiener random process},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{BeimGrabenSaddyKurths2004,
  author    = {Beim Graben, Peter and Saddy, Douglas and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Untitled},
  year      = {2004},
  language  = {de}
}
@article{LindTitzKuhlbrodtetal.2004,
  author    = {Lind, P. G. and Titz, Sven Holger and Kuhlbrodt, Till and Corte-Real, J. A. M. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Gallas, J. A. C. and Feudel, Ulla},
  title     = {Coupled bistable maps : a tool to study convection parameterization in ocean models},
  issn      = {0218-1274},
  year      = {2004},
  abstract  = {We present a study of ocean convection parameterization based on a novel approach which includes both eddy diffusion and advection and consists of a two-dimensional lattice of bistable maps. This approach retains important features of usual grid models and allows to assess the relative roles of diffusion and advection in the spreading of convective cells. For large diffusion our model exhibits a phase transition from convective patterns to a homogeneous state over the entire lattice. In hysteresis experiments we find staircase behavior depending on stability thresholds of local convection patterns. This nonphysical behavior is suspected to induce spurious abrupt changes in the spreading of convection in ocean models. The final steady state of convective cells depends not only on the magnitude of the advective velocity but also on its direction, implying a possible bias in the development of convective patterns. Such bias points to the need for an appropriate choice of grid geometry in ocean modeling},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{AllefeldKurths2004,
  author    = {Allefeld, Carsten and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Testing for phase synchronization},
  issn      = {0218-1274},
  year      = {2004},
  abstract  = {We present different tests for phase synchronization which improve the procedures currently used in the literature. This is accomplished by using a two-sample test setup and by utilizing insights and methods from directional statistics and bootstrap theory. The tests differ in the generality of the situation in which they can be applied as well as in their complexity, including computational cost. A modification of the resampling technique of the bootstrap is introduced, making it possible to fully utilize data from time series},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{GamezZhouTimmermannetal.2004,
  author    = {Gamez, A. J. and Zhou, Changsong and Timmermann, A. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Nonlinear dimensionality reduction in climate data},
  issn      = {1023-5809},
  year      = {2004},
  abstract  = {Linear methods of dimensionality reduction are useful tools for handling and interpreting high dimensional data. However, the cumulative variance explained by each of the subspaces in which the data space is decomposed may show a slow convergence that makes the selection of a proper minimum number of subspaces for successfully representing the variability of the process ambiguous. The use of nonlinear methods can improve the embedding of multivariate data into lower dimensional manifolds. In this article, a nonlinear method for dimensionality reduction, Isomap, is applied to the sea surface temperature and thermocline data in the tropical Pacific Ocean, where the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon and the annual cycle phenomena interact. Isomap gives a more accurate description of the manifold dimensionality of the physical system. The knowledge of the minimum number of dimensions is expected to improve the development of low dimensional models for understanding and predicting ENSO},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{BoveBoccalettiBragardetal.2004,
  author    = {Bove, I. and Boccaletti, Stefano and Bragard, Jean and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Mancini, H.},
  title     = {Frequency entrainment of nonautonomous chaotic oscillators},
  year      = {2004},
  abstract  = {We give evidence of frequency entrainment of dominant peaks in the chaotic spectra of two coupled chaotic nonautonomous oscillators. At variance with the autonomous case, the phenomenon is here characterized by the vanishing of a previously positive Lyapunov exponent in the spectrum, which takes place for a broad range of the coupling strength parameter. Such a state is studied also for the case of chaotic oscillators with ill-defined phases due to the absence of a unique center of rotation. Different phase synchronization indicators are used to circumvent this difficulty},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{MaraunKurths2004,
  author    = {Maraun, Douglas and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Cross wavelet analysis: significance testing and pitfalls},
  issn      = {1023-5809},
  year      = {2004},
  abstract  = {In this paper, we present a detailed evaluation of cross wavelet analysis of bivariate time series. We develop a statistical test for zero wavelet coherency based on Monte Carlo simulations. If at least one of the two processes considered is Gaussian white noise, an approximative formula for the critical value can be utilized. In a second part, typical pitfalls of wavelet cross spectra and wavelet coherency are discussed. The wavelet cross spectrum appears to be not suitable for significance testing the interrelation between two processes. Instead, one should rather apply wavelet coherency. Furthermore we investigate problems due to multiple testing. Based on these results, we show that coherency between ENSO and NAO is an artefact for most of the time from 1900 to 1995. However, during a distinct period from around 1920 to 1940, significant coherency between the two phenomena occurs},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{RomanoThielKurthsetal.2004,
  author    = {Romano, Maria Carmen and Thiel, Marco and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and von Bloh, Werner},
  title     = {Multivariate recurrence plots},
  issn      = {0375-9601},
  year      = {2004},
  abstract  = {We propose a new approach to calculate recurrence plots of multivariate time series, based on joint recurrences in phase space. This new method allows to estimate dynamical invariants of the whole system, like the joint Renyi entropy of second order. We use this entropy measure to quantitatively study in detail the phase synchronization of two bidirectionally coupled chaotic systems and identify different types of transitions to chaotic phase synchronization in dependence on the coupling strength and the frequency mismatch. By means of this analysis we find several new phenomena, such a chaos-period-chaos transition to phase synchronization for rather large coupling strengths. (C) 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{ThielRomanoSchwarzetal.2004,
  author    = {Thiel, M. and Romano, Maria Carmen and Schwarz, Udo and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Timmer, Jens},
  title     = {Surrogate-based hypothesis test without surrogates},
  issn      = {0218-1274},
  year      = {2004},
  abstract  = {Fourier surrogate data are artificially generated time series, that - based on a resampling scheme - share the linear properties with an observed time series. In this paper we study a statistical surrogate hypothesis test to detect deviations from a linear Gaussian process with respect to asymmetry in time (Q-statistic). We apply this test to a Fourier representable function and obtain a representation of the asymmetry in time of the sample data, a characteristic for nonlinear processes, and the significance in terms of the Fourier coefficients. The main outcome is that we calculate the expected value of the mean and the standard deviation of the asymmetries of the surrogate data analytically and hence, no surrogates have to be generated. To illustrate the results we apply our method to the saw tooth function, the Lorenz system and to measured X-ray data of Cygnus X-1},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{VossTimmerKurths2004,
  author    = {Voss, Henning U. and Timmer, Jens and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Nonlinear dynamical system identification from uncertain and indirect measurements},
  issn      = {0218-1274},
  year      = {2004},
  abstract  = {We review the problem of estimating parameters and unobserved trajectory components from noisy time series measurements of continuous nonlinear dynamical systems. It is first shown that in parameter estimation techniques that do not take the measurement errors explicitly into account, like regression approaches, noisy measurements can produce inaccurate parameter estimates. Another problem is that for chaotic systems the cost functions that have to be minimized to estimate states and parameters are so complex that common optimization routines may fail. We show that the inclusion of information about the time-continuous nature of the underlying trajectories can improve parameter estimation considerably. Two approaches, which take into account both the errors-in-variables problem and the problem of complex cost functions, are described in detail: shooting approaches and recursive estimation techniques. Both are demonstrated on numerical examples},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{ZhouKurths2004,
  author    = {Zhou, Changsong and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Resonant patterns in noisy active media},
  issn      = {1063-651X},
  year      = {2004},
  abstract  = {We investigate noise-controlled resonant response of active media to weak periodic forcing, both in excitable and oscillatory regimes. In the excitable regime, we find that noise-induced irregular wave structures can be reorganized into frequency-locked resonant patterns by weak signals with suitable frequencies. The resonance occurs due to a matching condition between the signal frequency and the noise-induced inherent time scale of the media. m:1 resonant regions similar to the Arnold tongues in frequency locking of self-sustained oscillatory media are observed. In the self-sustained oscillatory regime, noise also controls the oscillation frequency and reshapes significantly the Arnold tongues. The combination of noise and weak signal thus could provide an efficient tool to manipulate active extended systems in experiments},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{TokudaKurthsAllariaetal.2004,
  author    = {Tokuda, I. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Allaria, Eugenio and Meucci, Riccardo and Boccaletti, Stefano and Arecchi, Fortunato Tito},
  title     = {Predicting phase synchronization in a spiking chaotic CO2 laser},
  issn      = {1063-651X},
  year      = {2004},
  abstract  = {An approach is presented for the reconstruction of phase synchronization phenomena in a chaotic CO2 laser from experimental data. We analyze this laser system in a regime able to phase synchronize with a weak sinusoidal forcing. Our technique recovers the synchronization diagram of the experimental system from only few measurement data sets, thus allowing the prediction of the regime of phase synchronization as well as nonsynchronization in a broad parameter space of forcing frequency and amplitude without further experiments},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{ThielRomanoKurths2004,
  author    = {Thiel, M. and Romano, Maria Carmen and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {How much information is contained in a recurrence plot?},
  issn      = {0375-9601},
  year      = {2004},
  abstract  = {Recurrence plots have recently been recognized as a powerful tool for the analysis of data. Not only the visualization of structures of the time series but also the possibility to estimate invariants from them and the possibility to analyze non-stationary data sets are remarkable. However, the question of how much information is encoded in such a two-dimensional and binary representation has not been discussed so far. In this Letter we show that-under some conditions-it is possible to reconstruct an attractor from the recurrence plot, at least topologically. This means that all relevant dynamical information is contained in the plot. (C) 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{ThielRomanoReadetal.2004,
  author    = {Thiel, M. and Romano, Maria Carmen and Read, P. L. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Estimation of dynamical invariants without embedding by recurrence plots},
  issn      = {1054-1500},
  year      = {2004},
  abstract  = {In this paper we show that two dynamical invariants, the second order Renyi entropy and the correlation dimension, can be estimated from recurrence plots (RPs) with arbitrary embedding dimension and delay. This fact is interesting as these quantities are even invariant if no embedding is used. This is an important advantage of RPs compared to other techniques of nonlinear data analysis. These estimates for the correlation dimension and entropy are robust and, moreover, can be obtained at a low numerical cost. We exemplify our results for the Rossler system, the funnel attractor and the Mackey-Glass system. In the last part of the paper we estimate dynamical invariants for data from some fluid dynamical experiments and confirm previous evidence for low dimensional chaos in this experimental system. (C) 2004 American Institute of Physics},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{MarwanTrauthVuilleetal.2003,
  author    = {Marwan, Norbert and Trauth, Martin H. and Vuille, Mathias and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Comparing modern and Pleistocene ENSO-like influences in NW Argentina using nonlinear time series analysis methods},
  year      = {2003},
  abstract  = {Higher variability in rainfall and river discharge could be of major importance in landslide generation in the north-western Argentine Andes. Annual layered (varved) deposits of a landslide dammed lake in the Santa Maria Basin (26°S, 66°W) with an age of 30,000 14C years provide an archive of precipitation variability during this time. The comparison of these data with present-day rainfall observations tests the hypothesis that increased rainfall variability played a major role in landslide generation. A potential cause of such variability is the El Ni{\~n}o/ Southern Oscillation (ENSO). The causal link between ENSO and local rainfall is quantified by using a new method of nonlinear data analysis, the quantitative analysis of cross recurrence plots (CRP). This method seeks similarities in the dynamics of two different processes, such as an ocean-atmosphere oscillation and local rainfall. Our analysis reveals significant similarities in the statistics of both modern and palaeo-precipitation data. The similarities in the data suggest that an ENSO-like influence on local rainfall was present at around 30,000 14C years ago. Increased rainfall, which was inferred from a lake balance modeling in a previous study, together with ENSO-like cyclicities could help to explain the clustering of landslides at around 30,000 14C years ago.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{SpahnKrivovSremcevicetal.2003,
  author    = {Spahn, Frank and Krivov, Alexander V. and Sremcevic, Miodrag and Schwarz, U. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Stochastic forces in circumplanetary dust dynamics},
  year      = {2003},
  abstract  = {Charged dust grains in circumplanetary environments experience, beyond various deterministic forces, also stochastic perturbations caused, by fluctuations of the magnetic field, the charge of the grains, by chaotic rotation of aspherical grains, etc. Here we investigate the dynamics of a dust population in a circular orbit around a planet which is perturbed by a stochastic planetary magnetic field B', modeled by an isotropically Gaussian white noise. The resulting perturbation equations give rise to a modified diffusion of the inclinations i and eccentricities e. The diffusion coefficient is found to be D proportional to w^2 O /n^2 , where the gyrofrequency, the Kepler frequency, and the synodic frequency are denoted by w , O, and n, respectively. This behavior has been checked against numerical simulations. We have chosen dust grains (1 m in radius) ejected from Jupiter's satellite Europa in circular equatorial orbits around Jupiter and integrated numerically their trajectories over their typical lifetimes (100 years). The particles were exposed to a Gaussian fluctuating magnetic field B' with the same statistical properties as in the analytical treatment. These simulations have confirmed the analytical results. The theoretical studies showed the statistical properties of B' to be of decisive importance. To estimate them, we analyzed the magnetic field data obtained by the Galileo spacecraft magnetometer at Jupiter and found almost Gaussian fluctuations of about 5\% of the mean field and exponentially decaying correlations. This results in a diffusion of orbital inclinations and eccentricities of the dust grains of about ten percent over the lifetime of the particles. For smaller dusty motes or for close-in particles (e.g., in Jovian gossamer rings) stochastics might well dominate the dynamics.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{AnishchenkoVadivasovaKopeikinetal.2003,
  author    = {Anishchenko, Vadim S. and Vadivasova, T. E. and Kopeikin, A. S. and Strelkova, G. I. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Spectral and correlation analysis of spiral chaos},
  issn      = {0219-4775},
  year      = {2003},
  abstract  = {We study numerically the behavior of the autocorrelation function (ACF) and the power spectrum of spiral attractors without and in the presence of noise. It is shown that the ACF decays exponentially and has two different time scales. The rate of the ACF decrease is defined by the amplitude fluctuations on small time intervals, i.e., when tau < tau(cor), and by the effective diffusion coefficient of the instantantaneous phase on large time intervals. it is also demonstrated that the ACF in the Poincare map also decreases according to the exponential law exp(-lambda(+)k), where lambda(+) is the positive Lyapunov exponent. The obtained results are compared with the theory of fluctuations for the Van der Pol oscillator},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{PetrovKurthsGeorgiev2003,
  author    = {Petrov, Valko and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Georgiev, Nikola},
  title     = {Reconstructing differential equation from a time series},
  issn      = {0218-1274},
  year      = {2003},
  abstract  = {This paper treats a problem of reconstructing ordinary differential equation from a single analytic time series with observational noise. We suppose that the noise is Gaussian (white). The investigation is presented in terms of classical theory of dynamical systems and modern time series analysis. We restrict our considerations on time series obtained as a numerical analytic solution of autonomous ordinary differential equation, solved with respect to the highest derivative and with polynomial right-hand side. In case of an approximate numerical solution with a rather small error, we propose a geometrical basis and a mathematical algorithm to reconstruct a low-order and low-power polynomial differential equation. To reduce the noise the given time series is smoothed at every point by moving polynomial averages using the least-squares method. Then a specific form of the least-squares method is applied to reconstruct the polynomial right-hand side of the unknown equation. We demonstrate for monotonous, periodic and chaotic solutions that this technique is very efficient},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{SteuerZhouKurths2003,
  author    = {Steuer, Ralf and Zhou, Changsong and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Constructive effects of fluctuations in genetic and biochemical regulatory systems},
  issn      = {0303-2647},
  year      = {2003},
  abstract  = {Biochemical and genetic regulatory systems that involve low concentrations of molecules are inherently noisy. This intrinsic stochasticity, has received considerable interest recently, leading to new insights about the sources and consequences of noise in complex systems of genetic regulation. However, most prior work was devoted to the reduction of fluctuation and the robustness of cellular function with respect to intrinsic noise. Here, we focus on several scenarios in which the inherent molecular fluctuations are not merely a nuisance, but act constructively and bring about qualitative changes in the dynamics of the system. It will be demonstrated that in many typical situations biochemical and genetic regulatory systems may utilize intrinsic noise to their advantage. (C) 2002 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{SteuerKurthsFiehnetal.2003,
  author    = {Steuer, Ralf and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Fiehn, Oliver and Weckwerth, Wolfram},
  title     = {Interpreting correlations in metabolomic networks},
  issn      = {0300-5127},
  year      = {2003},
  abstract  = {Correlations, as observed between the concentrations of metabolites in a biological sample, may be used to gain additional information about the physiological state of a given tissue. in this mini-review, we discuss the integration of these observed correlations into metabolomic networks and their relationships with the underlying biochemical pathways},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{VianaGrebogiPintoetal.2003,
  author    = {Viana, R. L. and Grebogi, Celso and Pinto, Seds and Lopes, S. R. and Batista, A. M. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Validity of numerical trajectories in the synchronization transition of complex systems},
  issn      = {1063-651X},
  year      = {2003},
  abstract  = {We investigate the relationship between the loss of synchronization and the onset of shadowing breakdown via unstable dimension variability in complex systems. In the neighborhood of the critical transition to strongly nonhyperbolic behavior, the system undergoes on-off intermittency with respect to the synchronization state. There are potentially severe consequences of these facts on the validity of the computer-generated trajectories obtained from dynamical systems whose synchronization manifolds share the same nonhyperbolic properties},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{VolkovUllnerZaikinetal.2003,
  author    = {Volkov, E. I. and Ullner, Ekkehard and Zaikin, Alexei A. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Frequency-dependent stochastic resonance in inhibitory coupled excitable systems},
  issn      = {1063-651X},
  year      = {2003},
  abstract  = {We study frequency selectivity in noise-induced subthreshold signal processing in a system with many noise- supported stochastic attractors which are created due to slow variable diffusion between identical excitable elements. Such a coupling provides coexisting of several average periods distinct from that of an isolated oscillator and several phase relations between elements. We show that the response of the coupled elements under different noise levels can be significantly enhanced or reduced by forcing some elements in resonance with these new frequencies which correspond to appropriate phase relations},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{WesselSchwarzSaparinetal.2002,
  author    = {Wessel, Niels and Schwarz, Udo and Saparin, Peter and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Symbolic dynamics for medical data analysis},
  isbn      = {3-936142-09-2},
  year      = {2002},
  abstract  = {Observational data of natural systems, as measured in medical measurements are typically quite different from those obtained in laboratories. Due to the peculiarities of these data, wellknown characteristics, such as power spectra or fractal dimension, often do not provide a suitable description. To study such data, we present here some measures of complexity, which are basing on symbolic dynamics. Firstly, a motivation for using symbolic dynamics and measures of complexity in data analysis based on the logistic map is given and next, two applications to medical data are shown. We demonstrate that symbolic dynamics is a useful tool for the risk assessment of patients after myocardial infarction as well as for the evaluation of th e architecture of human cancellous bone.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{MarwanWesselMeyerfeldtetal.2002,
  author    = {Marwan, Norbert and Wessel, Niels and Meyerfeldt, Udo and Schirdewan, Alexander and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Recurrence-plot-based measures of complexity and its application to heart-rate-variability data},
  year      = {2002},
  abstract  = {The knowledge of transitions between regular, laminar or chaotic behavior is essential to understand the underlying mechanisms behind complex systems. While several linear approaches are often insufficient to describe such processes, there are several nonlinear methods which however require rather long time observations. To overcome these difficulties, we propose measures of complexity based on vertical structures in recurrence plots and apply them to the logistic map as well as to heart rate variability data. For the logistic map these measures enable us not only to detect transitions between chaotic and periodic states, but also to identify laminar states, i.e. chaos-chaos transitions. The traditional recurrence quantification analysis fails to detect the latter transitions. Applying our new measures to the heart rate variability data, we are able to detect and quantify the laminar phases before a life-threatening cardiac arrhythmia occurs thereby facilitating a prediction of such an event. Our findings could be of importance for the therapy of malignant cardiac arrhythmias.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{EbelingMolgedeyKurthsetal.2002,
  author    = {Ebeling, Werner and Molgedey, Lutz and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schwarz, Udo},
  title     = {Entropy, complexity, predictability, and data analysis of time series and letter sequences},
  isbn      = {3-540-41324-3},
  year      = {2002},
  abstract  = {The structure of time series and letter sequences is investigated using the concepts of entropy and complexity. First conditional entropy and transinformation are introduced and several generalizations are discussed. Further several measures of complexity are introduced and discussed. The capability of these concepts to describe the structure of time series and letter sequences generated by nonlinear maps, data series from meteorology, astrophysics, cardiology, cognitive psychology and finance is investigated. The relation between the complexity and the predictability of informational strings is discussed. The relation between local order and the predictability of time series is investigated.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{BaltanasZaikinFeudeletal.2002,
  author    = {Baltan{\´a}s, J. P. and Zaikin, Alexei A. and Feudel, Fred and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Sanjuan, Miguel Angel Fern{\´a}ndez},
  title     = {Noise-induced effects in tracer dynamics},
  year      = {2002},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{ZaikinGarciaOjalvoSchimanskyGeieretal.2002,
  author    = {Zaikin, Alexei A. and Garc{\´i}a-Ojalvo, Jordi and Schimansky-Geier, Lutz and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Noise induced propagation in monostable media},
  year      = {2002},
  abstract  = {We show that external fluctuations are able to induce propagation of harmonic signals through monostable media. This property is based on the phenomenon of doubly stochastic resonance, where the joint action of multiplicative noise and spatial coupling induces bistability in an otherwise monostable extended medium, and additive noise resonantly enhances the response of the system to a harmonic forcing. Under these conditions, propagation of the harmonic signal through the unforced medium i observed for optimal intensities of the two noises. This noise-induced propagation is studied and quantified in a simple model of coupled nonlinear electronic circuits.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{ZaikinLopezBaltanasetal.2002,
  author    = {Zaikin, Alexei A. and L{\´o}pez, L and Baltan{\´a}s, J. P. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Sanjuan, Miguel Angel Fern{\´a}ndez},
  title     = {Vibrational resonance in noise-induced structure},
  year      = {2002},
  abstract  = {We report on the effect of vibrational resonance in a spatially extended system of coupled noisy oscillators under the action of two periodic forces, a low-frequency one (signal) and a high-frequency one (carrier). Vibrational resonance manifests itself in the fact that for optimally selected values of high-frequency force amplitude, the response of the system to a low-frequency signal is optimal. This phenomenon is a synthesis of two effects, a noise- induced phase transition leading to bistability, and a conventional vibrational resonance, resulting in the optimization of signal processing. Numerical simulations, which demonstrate this effect for an extended system, can be understood by means of a zero-dimensional "effective" model. The behavior of this "effective" model is also confirmed by an experimental realization of an electronic circuit.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{SitzSchwarzKurthsetal.2002,
  author    = {Sitz, Andre and Schwarz, Udo and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Voss, Henning U.},
  title     = {Estimation of parameters and unobserved components for nonlinear systems from noisy time series},
  year      = {2002},
  abstract  = {We study the problem of simultaneous estimation of parameters and unobserved states from noisy data of nonlinear time-continuous systems, including the case of additive stochastic forcing. We propose a solution by adapting the recently developed statistical method of unscented Kalman filtering to this problem. Due to its recursive and derivative-free structure, this method minimizes the cost function in a computationally efficient and robust way. It is found that parameters as well as unobserved components can be estimated with high accuracy, including confidence bands, from heavily noise-corrupted data.},
  language  = {en}
}
@unpublished{WittNeimanKurths1997,
  author    = {Witt, Annette and Neiman, Alexander and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Characterizing the dynamics of stochastic bistable systems by measures of complexity},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-14556},
  year      = {1997},
  abstract  = {The dynamics of noisy bistable systems is analyzed by means of Lyapunov exponents and measures of complexity. We consider both the classical Kramers problem with additive white noise and the case when the barrier fluctuates due to additional external colored noise. In case of additive noise we calculate the Lyapunov exponents and all measures of complexity analytically as functions of the noise intensity resp. the mean escape time. For the problem of fluctuating barrier the usual description of the dynamics with the mean escape time is not sufficient. The application of the concept of measures of complexity allows to describe the structures of motion in more detail. Most complexity measures sign the value of correlation time at which the phenomenon of resonant activation occurs with an extremum.},
  language  = {en}
}
@misc{KoseskaZaikinKurthsetal.2009,
  author    = {Koseska, Aneta and Zaikin, Alexey and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Garc{\´i}a-Ojalvo, Jordi},
  title     = {Timing cellular decision making under noise via cell-cell communication},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-45260},
  year      = {2009},
  abstract  = {Many cellular processes require decision making mechanisms, which must act reliably even in the unavoidable presence of substantial amounts of noise. However, the multistable genetic switches that underlie most decision-making processes are dominated by fluctuations that can induce random jumps between alternative cellular states. Here we show, via theoretical modeling of a population of noise-driven bistable genetic switches, that reliable timing of decision-making processes can be accomplished for large enough population sizes, as long as cells are globally coupled by chemical means. In the light of these results, we conjecture that cell proliferation, in the presence of cell-cell communication, could provide a mechanism for reliable decision making in the presence of noise, by triggering cellular transitions only when the whole cell population reaches a certain size. In other words , the summation performed by the cell population would average out the noise and reduce its detrimental impact.},
  language  = {en}
}
@unpublished{WittKurthsKrauseetal.1994,
  author    = {Witt, Annette and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Krause, F. and Fischer, K.},
  title     = {On the validity of a model for the reversals of the Earth's magnetic field},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-13460},
  year      = {1994},
  abstract  = {We have used techniques of nonlinear dynamics to compare a special model for the reversals of the Earth's magnetic field with the observational data. Although this model is rather simple, there is no essential difference to the data by means of well-known characteristics, such as correlation function and probability distribution. Applying methods of symbolic dynamics we have found that the considered model is not able to describe the dynamical properties of the observed process. These significant differences are expressed by algorithmic complexity and Renyi information.},
  language  = {en}
}
@unpublished{KurthsVossWittetal.1994,
  author    = {Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Voss, A. and Witt, Annette and Saparin, P. and Kleiner, H. J. and Wessel, Niels},
  title     = {Quantitative analysis of heart rate variability},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-13470},
  year      = {1994},
  abstract  = {In the modern industrialized countries every year several hundred thousands of people die due to the sudden cardiac death. The individual risk for this sudden cardiac death cannot be defined precisely by common available, non-invasive diagnostic tools like Holter-monitoring, highly amplified ECG and traditional linear analysis of heart rate variability (HRV). Therefore, we apply some rather unconventional methods of nonlinear dynamics to analyse the HRV. Especially, some complexity measures that are basing on symbolic dynamics as well as a new measure, the renormalized entropy, detect some abnormalities in the HRV of several patients who have been classified in the low risk group by traditional methods. A combination of these complexity measures with the parameters in the frequency domain seems to be a promising way to get a more precise definition of the individual risk. These findings have to be validated by a representative number of patients.},
  language  = {en}
}
@unpublished{ThiessenhusenEspositoKurthsetal.1995,
  author    = {Thiessenhusen, Kai-Uwe and Esposito, Larry W. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Spahn, Frank},
  title     = {Detection of hidden resonances in Saturn's B-ring},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-13618},
  year      = {1995},
  abstract  = {The Voyager 2 Photopolarimeter experiment has yielded the highest resolved data of Saturn's rings, exhibiting a wide variety of features. The B-ring region between 105000 km and 110000 km distance from Saturn has been investigated. It has a high matter density and contains no significance features visible by eye. Analysis with statistical methods has let us to the detection of two significant events. These features are correlated with the inner 3:2 resonances of the F-ring shepherd satellites Pandora and Prometheus, and may be evidence of large ring paricles caught in the corotation resonances.},
  language  = {en}
}
@unpublished{VossKurthsSchwarz1996,
  author    = {Voss, Henning and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schwarz, Udo},
  title     = {Reconstruction of grand minima of solar activity from Delta 14 C data : linear and nonlinear signal analysis},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-14083},
  year      = {1996},
  abstract  = {Using a special technique of data analysis, we have found out 34 grand minima of solar activity obtained from a 7,700 years long Δ14C record. The method used rests on a proper filtering of the Δ14C record and the extrapolation of verifiable results for the later history back in time. Additionally, we use a method of nonlinear dynamics, the recurrence rate, to back up the results. Our findings are not contradictory to the record of solar maxima resp. minima by Eddy [5], but constitute a considerable extension. Hence, it has become possible to look closer at the validity of models. This way, we have tested several models for solar activity, esp. the model of Barnes et al. [1]. There are hints for that the grand minima might solely be driven by the 209 year period found in the Δ14C record.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{CiemerRehmKurthsetal.2020,
  author    = {Ciemer, Catrin and Rehm, Lars and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Donner, Reik Volker and Winkelmann, Hilke Ricarda and Boers, Niklas},
  title     = {An early-warning indicator for Amazon droughts exclusively based on tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures},
  series = {Environmental Research Letters},
  volume    = {15},
  journal   = {Environmental Research Letters},
  number    = {9},
  publisher = {IOP - Institute of Physics Publishing},
  address   = {Bristol},
  pages     = {10},
  year      = {2020},
  abstract  = {Droughts in tropical South America have an imminent and severe impact on the Amazon rainforest and affect the livelihoods of millions of people. Extremely dry conditions in Amazonia have been previously linked to sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the adjacent tropical oceans. Although the sources and impacts of such droughts have been widely studied, establishing reliable multi-year lead statistical forecasts of their occurrence is still an ongoing challenge. Here, we further investigate the relationship between SST and rainfall anomalies using a complex network approach. We identify four ocean regions which exhibit the strongest overall SST correlations with central Amazon rainfall, including two particularly prominent regions in the northern and southern tropical Atlantic. Based on the time-dependent correlation between SST anomalies in these two regions alone, we establish a new early-warning method for droughts in the central Amazon basin and demonstrate its robustness in hindcasting past major drought events with lead-times up to 18 months.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{OzturkMalikCheungetal.2019,
  author    = {Ozturk, Ugur and Malik, Nishant and Cheung, Kevin and Marwan, Norbert and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {A network-based comparative study of extreme tropical and frontal storm rainfall over Japan},
  series = {Climate dynamics : observational, theoretical and computational research on the climate system},
  volume    = {53},
  journal   = {Climate dynamics : observational, theoretical and computational research on the climate system},
  number    = {1-2},
  publisher = {Springer},
  address   = {New York},
  issn      = {0930-7575},
  doi       = {10.1007/s00382-018-4597-1},
  pages     = {521 -- 532},
  year      = {2019},
  abstract  = {Frequent and intense rainfall events demand innovative techniques to better predict the extreme rainfall dynamics. This task requires essentially the assessment of the basic types of atmospheric processes that trigger extreme rainfall, and then to examine the differences between those processes, which may help to identify key patterns to improve predictive algorithms. We employ tools from network theory to compare the spatial features of extreme rainfall over the Japanese archipelago and surrounding areas caused by two atmospheric processes: the Baiu front, which occurs mainly in June and July (JJ), and the tropical storms from August to November (ASON). We infer from complex networks of satellite-derived rainfall data, which are based on the nonlinear correlation measure of event synchronization. We compare the spatial scales involved in both systems and identify different regions which receive rainfall due to the large spatial scale of the Baiu and tropical storm systems. We observed that the spatial scales involved in the Baiu driven rainfall extremes, including the synoptic processes behind the frontal development, are larger than tropical storms, which even have long tracks during extratropical transitions. We further delineate regions of coherent rainfall during the two seasons based on network communities, identifying the horizontal (east-west) rainfall bands during JJ over the Japanese archipelago, while during ASON these bands align with the island arc of Japan.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{MaheswaranAgarwalSivakumaretal.2019,
  author    = {Maheswaran, Rathinasamy and Agarwal, Ankit and Sivakumar, Bellie and Marwan, Norbert and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Wavelet analysis of precipitation extremes over India and teleconnections to climate indices},
  series = {Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment},
  volume    = {33},
  journal   = {Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment},
  number    = {11-12},
  publisher = {Springer},
  address   = {New York},
  issn      = {1436-3240},
  doi       = {10.1007/s00477-019-01738-3},
  pages     = {2053 -- 2069},
  year      = {2019},
  abstract  = {Precipitation patterns and extremes are significantly influenced by various climatic factors and large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns. This study uses wavelet coherence analysis to detect significant interannual and interdecadal oscillations in monthly precipitation extremes across India and their teleconnections to three prominent climate indices, namely, Nino 3.4, Pacific Decadal Oscillation, and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). Further, partial wavelet coherence analysis is used to estimate the standalone relationship between the climate indices and precipitation after removing the effect of interdependency. The wavelet analysis of monthly precipitation extremes at 30 different locations across India reveals that (a) interannual (2-8 years) and interdecadal (8-32 years) oscillations are statistically significant, and (b) the oscillations vary in both time and space. The results from the partial wavelet coherence analysis reveal that Nino 3.4 and IOD are the significant drivers of Indian precipitation at interannual and interdecadal scales. Intriguingly, the study also confirms that the strength of influence of large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns on Indian precipitation extremes varies with spatial physiography of the region.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{ShuklaAgarwalSachdevaetal.2018,
  author    = {Shukla, Roopam and Agarwal, Ankit and Sachdeva, Kamna and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Joshi, P. K.},
  title     = {Climate change perception},
  series = {Climatic change : an interdisciplinary, intern. journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change},
  volume    = {152},
  journal   = {Climatic change : an interdisciplinary, intern. journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change},
  number    = {1},
  publisher = {Springer},
  address   = {Dordrecht},
  issn      = {0165-0009},
  doi       = {10.1007/s10584-018-2314-z},
  pages     = {103 -- 119},
  year      = {2018},
  abstract  = {Climate change and variability have created widespread risks for farmers' food and livelihood security in the Himalayas. However, the extent of impacts experienced and perceived by farmers varies, as there is substantial diversity in the demographic, social, and economic conditions. Therefore, it is essential to understand how farmers with different resource-endowment and household characteristics perceive climatic risks. This study aims to analyze how farmer types perceive climate change processes and its impacts to gain insight into locally differentiated concerns by farming communities. The present study is based in the Uttarakhand state of Indian Western Himalayas. We examine farmer perceptions of climate change and how perceived impacts differ across farmer types. Primary household interviews with farming households (n = 241) were done in Chakrata and Bhikiyasian tehsil in Uttarakhand, India. In addition, annual and seasonal patterns of historical data of temperature (1951-2013) and precipitation (1901-2013) were analyzed to estimate trends and validate farmers' perception. Using statistical methods farmer typology was constructed, and five unique farmer types are identified. Majority of respondents across all farmer types noticed a decrease in summer and winter precipitation and an increase in summer temperature. Whereas the perceptions of impacts of climate change diverged across farmer types, as specific farmer types exclusively experienced few impacts. Impact of climatic risks on household food security and income was significantly perceived stronger by low-resource-endowed subsistence farmers, whereas the landless farmer type exclusively felt impacts on the communities social bond. This deeper understanding of the differentiated perception of impacts has strong implications for agricultural and development policymaking, highlighting the need for providing flexible adaptation options rather than specific solutions to avoid inequalities in fulfilling the needs of the heterogeneous farming communities.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{RamosBuilesJaramilloPovedaetal.2017,
  author    = {Ramos, Antonio M. T. and Builes-Jaramillo, Alejandro and Poveda, German and Goswami, Bedartha and Macau, Elbert E. N. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Marwan, Norbert},
  title     = {Recurrence measure of conditional dependence and applications},
  series = {Physical review : E, Statistical, nonlinear and soft matter physics},
  volume    = {95},
  journal   = {Physical review : E, Statistical, nonlinear and soft matter physics},
  publisher = {American Physical Society},
  address   = {College Park},
  issn      = {2470-0045},
  doi       = {10.1103/PhysRevE.95.052206},
  pages     = {8},
  year      = {2017},
  abstract  = {Identifying causal relations from observational data sets has posed great challenges in data-driven causality inference studies. One of the successful approaches to detect direct coupling in the information theory framework is transfer entropy. However, the core of entropy-based tools lies on the probability estimation of the underlying variables. Herewe propose a data-driven approach for causality inference that incorporates recurrence plot features into the framework of information theory. We define it as the recurrence measure of conditional dependence (RMCD), and we present some applications. The RMCD quantifies the causal dependence between two processes based on joint recurrence patterns between the past of the possible driver and present of the potentially driven, excepting the contribution of the contemporaneous past of the driven variable. Finally, it can unveil the time scale of the influence of the sea-surface temperature of the Pacific Ocean on the precipitation in the Amazonia during recent major droughts.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{CiemerBoersHirotaetal.2019,
  author    = {Ciemer, Catrin and Boers, Niklas and Hirota, Marina and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and M{\"u}ller-Hansen, Finn and Oliveira, Rafael S. and Winkelmann, Hilke Ricarda},
  title     = {Higher resilience to climatic disturbances in tropical vegetation exposed to more variable rainfall},
  series = {Nature geoscience},
  volume    = {12},
  journal   = {Nature geoscience},
  number    = {3},
  publisher = {Nature Publ. Group},
  address   = {New York},
  issn      = {1752-0894},
  doi       = {10.1038/s41561-019-0312-z},
  pages     = {174 -- 179},
  year      = {2019},
  abstract  = {With ongoing global warming, the amount and frequency of precipitation in the tropics is projected to change substantially. While it has been shown that tropical forests and savannahs are sustained within the same intermediate mean annual precipitation range, the mechanisms that lead to the resilience of these ecosystems are still not fully understood. In particular, the long-term impact of rainfall variability on resilience is as yet unclear. Here we present observational evidence that both tropical forest and savannah exposed to a higher rainfall variability-in particular on interannual scales-during their long-term past are overall more resilient against climatic disturbances. Based on precipitation and tree cover data in the Brazilian Amazon basin, we constructed potential landscapes that enable us to systematically measure the resilience of the different ecosystems. Additionally, we infer that shifts from forest to savannah due to decreasing precipitation in the future are more likely to occur in regions with a precursory lower rainfall variability. Long-term rainfall variability thus needs to be taken into account in resilience analyses and projections of vegetation response to climate change.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{VossKurthsSchwarz1996,
  author    = {Voss, Henning U. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Schwarz, Udo},
  title     = {Reconstruction of grand minima of solar activity from radiocarbon data : linear and nonlinear signal analysis},
  year      = {1996},
  abstract  = {Using a special technique of data analysis, we have found out 34 grand minima of solar activity in a 7,700 years long C14 record. The method used rests on a proper filtering of the C14 record and the extrapolation of verifiable results for the later history back in time. Additionally, we have applied a method of nonlinear dynamics, the recurrence rate, to back up the results. Our findings are not contradictory to the record of grand minima by Eddy, but constitute a considerable extension. Hence, it has become possible to look closer at the validity of models. This way, we have tested esp. the model of Barnes et al. There are hints for that the grand minima might solely be driven by the 209--year period found in the C14 record.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{ScheffczykEngbertKrampeetal.1996,
  author    = {Scheffczyk, Christian and Engbert, Ralf and Krampe, Ralf-Thomas and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Rosenblum, Michael and Zaikin, Alexei A.},
  title     = {Nonlinear Modelling of Polyrhythmic Hand Movements},
  year      = {1996},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{KomalapriyaRomanoBlascoThieletal.2009,
  author    = {Komalapriya, Chandrasekaran and Romano Blasco, Maria Carmen and Thiel, Marco and Schwarz, Udo and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Simonotto, Jennifer and Furman, Michael and Ditto, William L. and Carney, Paul R.},
  title     = {Analysis of high-resulution microelectrode EEG recordings in an animal model of spontaneous limbic seizures},
  issn      = {0218-1274},
  doi       = {10.1142/S0218127409023226},
  year      = {2009},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{SureshSenthilkumarLakshmananetal.2010,
  author    = {Suresh, R. and Senthilkumar, Dharmapuri Vijayan and Lakshmanan, Muthusamy and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Global phase synchronization in an array of time-delay systems},
  issn      = {1539-3755},
  doi       = {10.1103/Physreve.82.016215},
  year      = {2010},
  abstract  = {We report the identification of global phase synchronization (GPS) in a linear array of unidirectionally coupled Mackey-Glass time-delay systems exhibiting highly non-phase-coherent chaotic attractors with complex topological structure. In particular, we show that the dynamical organization of all the coupled time-delay systems in the array to form GPS is achieved by sequential synchronization as a function of the coupling strength. Further, the asynchronous ones in the array with respect to the main sequentially synchronized cluster organize themselves to form clusters before they achieve synchronization with the main cluster. We have confirmed these results by estimating instantaneous phases including phase difference, average phase, average frequency, frequency ratio, and their differences from suitably transformed phase coherent attractors after using a nonlinear transformation of the original non-phase-coherent attractors. The results are further corroborated using two other independent approaches based on recurrence analysis and the concept of localized sets from the original non-phase-coherent attractors directly without explicitly introducing the measure of phase.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{VincentKenfackSenthilkumaretal.2010,
  author    = {Vincent, Uchechukwu E. and Kenfack, Anatole and Senthilkumar, Dharmapuri Vijayan and Mayer, Dieter and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Current reversals and synchronization in coupled ratchets},
  issn      = {1539-3755},
  doi       = {10.1103/Physreve.82.046208},
  year      = {2010},
  abstract  = {Current reversal is an intriguing phenomenon that has been central to recent experimental and theoretical investigations of transport based on ratchet mechanism. By considering a system of two interacting ratchets, we demonstrate how the coupling can be used to control the reversals. In particular, we find that current reversal that exists in a single driven ratchet system can ultimately be eliminated with the presence of a second ratchet. For specific coupling strengths a current-reversal free regime has been detected. Furthermore, in the fully synchronized state characterized by the coupling threshold k(th), a specific driving amplitude a(opt) is found for which the transport is optimum.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{SchelterWinterhalderDahlhausetal.2006,
  author    = {Schelter, Bj{\"o}rn and Winterhalder, Matthias and Dahlhaus, Rainer and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Timmer, Jens},
  title     = {Partial phase synchronization for multivariate synchronizing systems},
  doi       = {10.1103/Physrevlett.96.208103},
  year      = {2006},
  abstract  = {Graphical models applying partial coherence to multivariate time series are a powerful tool to distinguish direct and indirect interdependencies in multivariate linear systems. We carry over the concept of graphical models and partialization analysis to phase signals of nonlinear synchronizing systems. This procedure leads to the partial phase synchronization index which generalizes a bivariate phase synchronization index to the multivariate case and reveals the coupling structure in multivariate synchronizing systems by differentiating direct and indirect interactions. This ensures that no false positive conclusions are drawn concerning the interaction structure in multivariate synchronizing systems. By application to the paradigmatic model of a coupled chaotic Roessler system, the power of the partial phase synchronization index is demonstrated},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{ThielRomanoKurthsetal.2006,
  author    = {Thiel, Marco and Romano, Maria Carmen and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Rolfs, Martin and Kliegl, Reinhold},
  title     = {Twin surrogates to test for complex synchronisation},
  doi       = {10.1209/epl/i2006-10147-0},
  year      = {2006},
  abstract  = {We present an approach to generate (multivariate) twin surrogates (TS) based on recurrence properties. This technique generates surrogates which correspond to an independent copy of the underlying system, i.e. they induce a trajectory of the underlying system starting at different initial conditions. We show that these surrogates are well suited to test for complex synchronisation and exemplify this for the paradigmatic system of Rossler oscillators. The proposed test enables to assess the statistical relevance of a synchronisation analysis from passive experiments which are typical in natural systems},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{ZhouKurths2006,
  author    = {Zhou, Changsong and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Dynamical weights and enhanced synchronization in adaptive complex networks},
  doi       = {10.1103/Physrevlett.96.164102},
  year      = {2006},
  abstract  = {Dynamical organization of connection weights is studied in scale-free networks of chaotic oscillators, where the coupling strength of a node from its neighbors develops adaptively according to the local synchronization property between the node and its neighbors. We find that when complete synchronization is achieved, the coupling strength becomes weighted and correlated with the topology due to a hierarchical transition to synchronization in heterogeneous networks. Importantly, such an adaptive process enhances significantly the synchronizability of the networks, which could have meaningful implications in the manipulation of dynamical networks},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{ZhouMotterKurths2006,
  author    = {Zhou, Changsong and Motter, Adilson E. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Universality in the synchronization of weighted random networks},
  doi       = {10.1103/Physrevlett.96.034101},
  year      = {2006},
  abstract  = {Realistic networks display not only a complex topological structure, but also a heterogeneous distribution of weights in the connection strengths. Here we study synchronization in weighted complex networks and show that the synchronizability of random networks with a large minimum degree is determined by two leading parameters: the mean degree and the heterogeneity of the distribution of node's intensity, where the intensity of a node, defined as the total strength of input connections, is a natural combination of topology and weights. Our results provide a possibility for the control of synchronization in complex networks by the manipulation of a few parameters},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{MarwanKurthsThomsenetal.2009,
  author    = {Marwan, Norbert and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Thomsen, Jesper Skovhus and Felsenberg, Dieter and Saparin, Peter},
  title     = {Three-dimensional quantification of structures in trabecular bone using measures of complexity},
  issn      = {1539-3755},
  doi       = {10.1103/Physreve.79.021903},
  year      = {2009},
  abstract  = {The study of pathological changes of bone is an important task in diagnostic procedures of patients with metabolic bone diseases such as osteoporosis as well as in monitoring the health state of astronauts during long-term space flights. The recent availability of high-resolution three-dimensional (3D) imaging of bone challenges the development of data analysis techniques able to assess changes of the 3D microarchitecture of trabecular bone. We introduce an approach based on spatial geometrical properties and define structural measures of complexity for 3D image analysis. These measures evaluate different aspects of organization and complexity of 3D structures, such as complexity of its surface or shape variability. We apply these measures to 3D data acquired by high-resolution microcomputed tomography (mu CT) from human proximal tibiae and lumbar vertebrae at different stages of osteoporotic bone loss. The outcome is compared to the results of conventional static histomorphometry and exhibits clear relationships between the analyzed geometrical features of trabecular bone and loss of bone density, but also indicate that the measures reveal additional information about the structural composition of bone, which were not revealed by the static histomorphometry. Finally, we have studied the dependency of the developed measures of complexity on the spatial resolution of the mu CT data sets.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{LiChenWuetal.2009,
  author    = {Li, Ping and Chen, Maoyin and Wu, Ye and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Matrix-measure criterion for synchronization in coupled-map networks},
  issn      = {1539-3755},
  doi       = {10.1103/Physreve.79.067102},
  year      = {2009},
  abstract  = {We present conditions for the local and global synchronizations in coupled-map networks using the matrix measure approach. In contrast to many existing synchronization conditions, the proposed synchronization criteria do not depend on the solution of the synchronous state and give less limitation on the network connections. Numerical simulations of the coupled quadratic maps demonstrate the potentials of our main results.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{MarwanKurths2009,
  author    = {Marwan, Norbert and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Comment on "Stochastic analysis of recurrence plots with applications to the detection of deterministic signals" by Rohde et al. : [Physica D 237 (2008) 619-629]},
  issn      = {0167-2789},
  doi       = {10.1016/j.physd.2009.04.018},
  year      = {2009},
  abstract  = {In the recent article "Stochastic analysis of recurrence plots with applications to the detection of deterministic signals" (Physica D 237 (2008) 619-629), Rohde et al. stated that the performance of RQA in order to detect deterministic signals would be below traditional and well-known detectors. However, we have concerns about such a general statement. Based on our own studies we cannot confirm their conclusions. Our findings suggest that the measures of complexity provided by RQA are useful detectors outperforming well-known traditional detectors, in particular for the detection of signals of complex systems, with phase differences or signals modified due to the measurement process.},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{KliemSchwarzKurthsetal.1998,
  author    = {Kliem, Bernhard and Schwarz, Udo and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Dennis, Brian and Schwartz, Richard and Aschwanden, Markus J.},
  title     = {Wavelet analysis of solar flare hard X-ray},
  issn      = {0004-637x},
  year      = {1998},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{ZaikinRosenblumLandaetal.1998,
  author    = {Zaikin, Alexei A. and Rosenblum, Michael and Landa, Polina S. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {On-off itermittency phenomena in a pendulum with a randomly vibrating suspension axis},
  year      = {1998},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{EngbertHainzlZoelleretal.1998,
  author    = {Engbert, Ralf and Hainzl, Sebastian and Z{\"o}ller, Gert and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Testing for unstable periodic orbits to characterize spatiotemporal dynamics},
  year      = {1998},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{SchwarzKurthsSpahnetal.1998,
  author    = {Schwarz, Udo and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Spahn, Frank and Petzschmann, Olaf},
  title     = {Reply on the comment of "Clustering of granular assemblies with temperature dependent restitution and under differential rotation"},
  year      = {1998},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{KurthsKliemSchwarzetal.1998,
  author    = {Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Kliem, Bernhard and Schwarz, Udo and Kr{\"u}ger, Albrecht and Urpo, S.},
  title     = {Multiresolution analysis of solar mm-wave bursts},
  year      = {1998},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{KimKurthsKimetal.1998,
  author    = {Kim, G. G. and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Kim, S. and Cao, L. Y.},
  title     = {Detecting determinism in human posture control data},
  year      = {1998},
  language  = {en}
}
@article{RosenblumKurthsSchaeferetal.1998,
  author    = {Rosenblum, Michael and Kurths, J{\"u}rgen and Sch{\"a}fer, Carsten and Abel, Hans-Henning},
  title     = {Heartbeat synchronized with ventilation},
  year      = {1998},
  language  = {en}
}