@article{LehrDannowskiKalettkaetal.2018, author = {Lehr, Christian and Dannowski, Ralf and Kalettka, Thomas and Merz, Christoph and Schr{\"o}der, Boris and Steidl, J{\"o}rg and Lischeid, Gunnar}, title = {Detecting dominant changes in irregularly sampled multivariate water quality data sets}, series = {Hydrology and earth system sciences : HESS}, volume = {22}, journal = {Hydrology and earth system sciences : HESS}, number = {8}, publisher = {Copernicus}, address = {G{\"o}ttingen}, issn = {1027-5606}, doi = {10.5194/hess-22-4401-2018}, pages = {4401 -- 4424}, year = {2018}, abstract = {Time series of groundwater and stream water quality often exhibit substantial temporal and spatial variability, whereas typical existing monitoring data sets, e.g. from environmental agencies, are usually characterized by relatively low sampling frequency and irregular sampling in space and/or time. This complicates the differentiation between anthropogenic influence and natural variability as well as the detection of changes in water quality which indicate changes in single drivers. We suggest the new term "dominant changes" for changes in multivariate water quality data which concern (1) multiple variables, (2) multiple sites and (3) long-term patterns and present an exploratory framework for the detection of such dominant changes in data sets with irregular sampling in space and time. Firstly, a non-linear dimension-reduction technique was used to summarize the dominant spatiotemporal dynamics in the multivariate water quality data set in a few components. Those were used to derive hypotheses on the dominant drivers influencing water quality. Secondly, different sampling sites were compared with respect to median component values. Thirdly, time series of the components at single sites were analysed for long-term patterns. We tested the approach with a joint stream water and groundwater data set quality consisting of 1572 samples, each comprising sixteen variables, sampled with a spatially and temporally irregular sampling scheme at 29 sites in northeast Germany from 1998 to 2009. The first four components were interpreted as (1) an agriculturally induced enhancement of the natural background level of solute concentration, (2) a redox sequence from reducing conditions in deep groundwater to post-oxic conditions in shallow groundwater and oxic conditions in stream water, (3) a mixing ratio of deep and shallow groundwater to the streamflow and (4) sporadic events of slurry application in the agricultural practice. Dominant changes were observed for the first two components. The changing intensity of the first component was interpreted as response to the temporal variability of the thickness of the unsaturated zone. A steady increase in the second component at most stream water sites pointed towards progressing depletion of the denitrification capacity of the deep aquifer.}, language = {en} } @article{MerzLischeid2019, author = {Merz, Christoph and Lischeid, Gunnar}, title = {Multivariate analysis to assess the impact of irrigation on groundwater quality}, series = {Environmental earth sciences}, volume = {78}, journal = {Environmental earth sciences}, number = {274}, publisher = {Springer}, address = {New York}, issn = {1866-6280}, doi = {10.1007/s12665-019-8274-4}, pages = {11}, year = {2019}, abstract = {Due to increasing demands for irrigation using groundwater as a source there is an urgent need for efficient methods that shed light on the resulting anthropogenic impacts on the connected aquifers. Thus an innovative approach is introduced, that aims to identify predominant geochemical changes in the groundwater system. The approach involves a principal component analysis as a promising tool to disentangle the effects of different impacts and even to give a quantitative assessment of the respective effect strength at each site. The study was applied in an irrigation region of the Nuthe River Basin, State Brandenburg, Northeast Germany. The results identify the negative impacts on the groundwater quality in the aquifer used for irrigation. A decrease of shallow groundwater quality under irrigation due to contamination with fertilizers (NO3, Cl, K, Na) and a slight shift in the redox system is indicated. Beside this direct impact on the shallow groundwater a long-term impact on a deeper groundwater resource could be identified. There is clear evidence, that the contamination is not restricted to the shallow groundwater but that extraction from deeper wells increasingly includes deeper, uncontaminated groundwater resources into the local irrigation cycle. The approach can be used as a basic tool for the adaptation of sustainable agricultural irrigation management strategies.}, language = {en} } @misc{GaoMerzLischeidetal.2018, author = {Gao, Yongbo and Merz, Christoph and Lischeid, Gunnar and Schneider, Michael}, title = {A review on missing hydrological data processing}, series = {Environmental earth sciences}, volume = {77}, journal = {Environmental earth sciences}, number = {2}, publisher = {Springer}, address = {New York}, issn = {1866-6280}, doi = {10.1007/s12665-018-7228-6}, pages = {12}, year = {2018}, abstract = {Like almost all fields of science, hydrology has benefited to a large extent from the tremendous improvements in scientific instruments that are able to collect long-time data series and an increase in available computational power and storage capabilities over the last decades. Many model applications and statistical analyses (e.g., extreme value analysis) are based on these time series. Consequently, the quality and the completeness of these time series are essential. Preprocessing of raw data sets by filling data gaps is thus a necessary procedure. Several interpolation techniques with different complexity are available ranging from rather simple to extremely challenging approaches. In this paper, various imputation methods available to the hydrological researchers are reviewed with regard to their suitability for filling gaps in the context of solving hydrological questions. The methodological approaches include arithmetic mean imputation, principal component analysis, regression-based methods and multiple imputation methods. In particular, autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH) models which originate from finance and econometrics will be discussed regarding their applicability to data series characterized by non-constant volatility and heteroscedasticity in hydrological contexts. The review shows that methodological advances driven by other fields of research bear relevance for a more intensive use of these methods in hydrology. Up to now, the hydrological community has paid little attention to the imputation ability of time series models in general and ARCH models in particular.}, language = {en} } @article{LischeidKalettkaHollaenderetal.2018, author = {Lischeid, Gunnar and Kalettka, Thomas and Holl{\"a}nder, Matthias and Steidl, J{\"o}rg and Merz, Christoph and Dannowski, Ralf and Hohenbrink, Tobias Ludwig and Lehr, Christian and Onandia, Gabriela and Reverey, Florian and P{\"a}tzig, Marlene}, title = {Natural ponds in an agricultural landscape}, series = {Limnologica : ecology and management of inland waters}, volume = {68}, journal = {Limnologica : ecology and management of inland waters}, publisher = {Elsevier GMBH}, address = {M{\"u}nchen}, issn = {0075-9511}, doi = {10.1016/j.limno.2017.01.003}, pages = {5 -- 16}, year = {2018}, abstract = {The pleistocenic landscape in North Europe, North Asia and North America is spotted with thousands of natural ponds called kettle holes. They are biological and biogeochemical hotspots. Due to small size, small perimeter and shallow depth biological and biogeochemical processes in kettle holes are closely linked to the dynamics and the emissions of the terrestrial environment. On the other hand, their intriguing high spatial and temporal variability makes a sound understanding of the terrestrial-aquatic link very difficult. It is presumed that intensive agricultural land use during the last decades has resulted in a ubiquitous high nutrient load. However, the water quality encountered at single sites highly depends on internal biogeochemical processes and thus can differ substantially even between adjacent sites. This study aimed at elucidating the interplay between external drivers and internal processes based on a thorough analysis of a comprehensive kettle hole water quality data set. To study the role of external drivers, effects of land use in the adjacent terrestrial environment, effects of vegetation at the interface between terrestrial and aquatic systems, and that of kettle hole morphology on water quality was investigated. None of these drivers was prone to strong with-in year variability. Thus temporal variability of spatial patterns could point to the role of internal biogeochemical processes. To that end, the temporal stability of the respective spatial patterns was studied as well for various solutes. All of these analyses were performed for a set of different variables. Different results for different solutes were then used as a source of information about the respective driving processes. In the Quillow catchment in the Uckermark region, about 100 km north of Berlin, Germany, 62 kettle holes have been regularly sampled since 2013. Kettle hole catchments were determined based on a groundwater level map of the uppermost aquifer. The catchments were not clearly related to topography. Spatial patterns of kettle hole water concentration of (earth) alkaline metals and chloride were fairly stable, presumably reflecting solute concentration of the uppermost aquifer. In contrast, spatial patterns of nutrients and redox-sensitive solutes within the kettle holes were hardly correlated between different sampling campaigns. Correspondingly, effects of season, hydrogeomorphic kettle hole type, shore vegetation or land use in the respective catchments were significant but explained only a minor portion of the total variance. It is concluded that internal processes mask effects of the terrestrial environment. There is some evidence that denitrification and phosphorus release from the sediment during frequent periods of hypoxia might play a major role. The latter seems to boost primary production occasionally. These processes do not follow a clear seasonal pattern and are still not well understood.}, language = {en} } @article{BoettcherMerzLischeidetal.2014, author = {B{\"o}ttcher, Steven and Merz, Christoph and Lischeid, Gunnar and Dannowski, Ralf}, title = {Using Isomap to differentiate between anthropogenic and natural effects on groundwater dynamics in a complex geological setting}, series = {Journal of hydrology}, volume = {519}, journal = {Journal of hydrology}, publisher = {Elsevier}, address = {Amsterdam}, issn = {0022-1694}, doi = {10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.09.048}, pages = {1634 -- 1641}, year = {2014}, abstract = {Due to increasing demands and competition for high quality groundwater resources in many parts of the world, there is an urgent need for efficient methods that shed light on the interplay between complex natural settings and anthropogenic impacts. Thus a new approach is introduced, that aims to identify and quantify the predominant processes or factors of influence that drive groundwater and lake water dynamics on a catchment scale. The approach involves a non-linear dimension reduction method called Isometric feature mapping (Isomap). This method is applied to time series of groundwater head and lake water level data from a complex geological setting in Northeastern Germany. Two factors explaining more than 95\% of the observed spatial variations are identified: (1) the anthropogenic impact of a waterworks in the study area and (2) natural groundwater recharge with different degrees of dampening at the respective sites of observation. The approach enables a presumption-free assessment to be made of the existing geological conception in the catchment, leading to an extension of the conception. Previously unknown hydraulic connections between two aquifers are identified, and connections revealed between surface water bodies and groundwater. (C) 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.}, language = {en} } @article{LischeidKalettkaMerzetal.2016, author = {Lischeid, Gunnar and Kalettka, Thomas and Merz, Christoph and Steidl, J{\"o}rg}, title = {Monitoring the phase space of ecosystems: Concept and examples from the Quillow catchment, Uckermark}, series = {Ecological indicators : integrating monitoring, assessment and management}, volume = {65}, journal = {Ecological indicators : integrating monitoring, assessment and management}, publisher = {Elsevier}, address = {Amsterdam}, issn = {1470-160X}, doi = {10.1016/j.ecolind.2015.10.067}, pages = {55 -- 65}, year = {2016}, abstract = {Ecosystem research benefits enormously from the fact that comprehensive data sets of high quality, and covering long time periods are now increasingly more available. However, facing apparently complex interdependencies between numerous ecosystem components, there is urgent need rethinking our approaches in ecosystem research and applying new tools of data analysis. The concept presented in this paper is based on two pillars. Firstly, it postulates that ecosystems are multiple feedback systems and thus are highly constrained. Consequently, the effective dimensionality of multivariate ecosystem data sets is expected to be rather low compared to the number of observables. Secondly, it assumes that ecosystems are characterized by continuity in time and space as well as between entities which are often treated as distinct units. Implementing this concept in ecosystem research requires new tools for analysing large multivariate data sets. This study presents some of them, which were applied to a comprehensive water quality data set from a long-term monitoring program in Northeast Germany in the Uckermark region, one of the LTER-D (Long Term Ecological Research network, Germany) sites. Short-term variability of the kettle hole water samples differed substantially from that of the stream water samples, suggesting different processes generating the dynamics in these two types of water bodies. However, again, this seemed to be due to differing intensities of single processes rather than to completely different processes. We feel that research aiming at elucidating apparently complex interactions in ecosystems could make much more efficient use from now available large monitoring data sets by implementing the suggested concept and using corresponding innovative tools of system analysis. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.}, language = {en} } @misc{VyseSemiromiLischeidetal.2020, author = {Vyse, Stuart Andrew and Semiromi, Majid Taie and Lischeid, Gunnar and Merz, Christoph}, title = {Characterizing hydrological processes within kettle holes using stable water isotopes in the Uckermark of northern Brandenburg, Germany}, series = {Zweitver{\"o}ffentlichungen der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, journal = {Zweitver{\"o}ffentlichungen der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe}, number = {8}, issn = {1866-8372}, doi = {10.25932/publishup-51445}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-514453}, pages = {22}, year = {2020}, abstract = {Understanding the hydrologic connectivity between kettle holes and shallow groundwater, particularly in reaction to the highly variable local meteorological conditions, is of paramount importance for tracing water in a hydro(geo)logically complex landscape and thus for integrated water resource management. This article is aimed at identifying the dominant hydrological processes affecting the kettle holes' water balance and their interactions with the shallow groundwater domain in the Uckermark region, located in the north-east of Germany. For this reason, based on the stable isotopes of oxygen (delta O-18) and hydrogen (delta H-2), an isotopic mass balance model was employed to compute the evaporative loss of water from the kettle holes from February to August 2017. Results demonstrated that shallow groundwater inflow may play the pivotal role in the processes taking part in the hydrology of the kettle holes in the Uckermark region. Based on the calculated evaporation/inflow (E/I) ratios, most of the kettle holes (86.7\%) were ascertained to have a partially open, flow-through-dominated system. Moreover, we identified an inverse correlation between E/I ratios and the altitudes of the kettle holes. The same holds for electrical conductivity (EC) and the altitudes of the kettle holes. In accordance with the findings obtained from this study, a conceptual model explaining the interaction between the shallow groundwater and the kettle holes of Uckermark was developed. The model exhibited that across the highest altitudes, the recharge kettle holes are dominant, where a lower ratio of E/I and a lower EC was detected. By contrast, the lowest topographical depressions represent the discharge kettle holes, where a higher ratio of E/I and EC could be identified. The kettle holes existing in between were categorized as flow-through kettle holes through which the recharge takes place from one side and discharge from the other side.}, language = {en} } @article{VyseSemiromiLischeidetal.2020, author = {Vyse, Stuart Andrew and Semiromi, Majid Taie and Lischeid, Gunnar and Merz, Christoph}, title = {Characterizing hydrological processes within kettle holes using stable water isotopes in the Uckermark of northern Brandenburg, Germany}, series = {Hydrological Processes}, volume = {34}, journal = {Hydrological Processes}, number = {8}, publisher = {Wiley}, address = {New York}, issn = {0885-6087}, doi = {10.1002/hyp.13699}, pages = {1868 -- 1887}, year = {2020}, abstract = {Understanding the hydrologic connectivity between kettle holes and shallow groundwater, particularly in reaction to the highly variable local meteorological conditions, is of paramount importance for tracing water in a hydro(geo)logically complex landscape and thus for integrated water resource management. This article is aimed at identifying the dominant hydrological processes affecting the kettle holes' water balance and their interactions with the shallow groundwater domain in the Uckermark region, located in the north-east of Germany. For this reason, based on the stable isotopes of oxygen (delta O-18) and hydrogen (delta H-2), an isotopic mass balance model was employed to compute the evaporative loss of water from the kettle holes from February to August 2017. Results demonstrated that shallow groundwater inflow may play the pivotal role in the processes taking part in the hydrology of the kettle holes in the Uckermark region. Based on the calculated evaporation/inflow (E/I) ratios, most of the kettle holes (86.7\%) were ascertained to have a partially open, flow-through-dominated system. Moreover, we identified an inverse correlation between E/I ratios and the altitudes of the kettle holes. The same holds for electrical conductivity (EC) and the altitudes of the kettle holes. In accordance with the findings obtained from this study, a conceptual model explaining the interaction between the shallow groundwater and the kettle holes of Uckermark was developed. The model exhibited that across the highest altitudes, the recharge kettle holes are dominant, where a lower ratio of E/I and a lower EC was detected. By contrast, the lowest topographical depressions represent the discharge kettle holes, where a higher ratio of E/I and EC could be identified. The kettle holes existing in between were categorized as flow-through kettle holes through which the recharge takes place from one side and discharge from the other side.}, language = {en} } @article{HeinrichBalanzateguiBensetal.2018, author = {Heinrich, Ingo and Balanzategui, Daniel and Bens, Oliver and Blasch, Gerald and Blume, Theresa and Boettcher, Falk and Borg, Erik and Brademann, Brian and Brauer, Achim and Conrad, Christopher and Dietze, Elisabeth and Dr{\"a}ger, Nadine and Fiener, Peter and Gerke, Horst H. and G{\"u}ntner, Andreas and Heine, Iris and Helle, Gerhard and Herbrich, Marcus and Harfenmeister, Katharina and Heussner, Karl-Uwe and Hohmann, Christian and Itzerott, Sibylle and Jurasinski, Gerald and Kaiser, Knut and Kappler, Christoph and Koebsch, Franziska and Liebner, Susanne and Lischeid, Gunnar and Merz, Bruno and Missling, Klaus Dieter and Morgner, Markus and Pinkerneil, Sylvia and Plessen, Birgit and Raab, Thomas and Ruhtz, Thomas and Sachs, Torsten and Sommer, Michael and Spengler, Daniel and Stender, Vivien and St{\"u}ve, Peter and Wilken, Florian}, title = {Interdisciplinary Geo-ecological Research across Time Scales in the Northeast German Lowland Observatory (TERENO-NE)}, series = {Vadose zone journal}, volume = {17}, journal = {Vadose zone journal}, number = {1}, publisher = {Soil Science Society of America}, address = {Madison}, issn = {1539-1663}, doi = {10.2136/vzj2018.06.0116}, pages = {25}, year = {2018}, abstract = {The Northeast German Lowland Observatory (TERENO-NE) was established to investigate the regional impact of climate and land use change. TERENO-NE focuses on the Northeast German lowlands, for which a high vulnerability has been determined due to increasing temperatures and decreasing amounts of precipitation projected for the coming decades. To facilitate in-depth evaluations of the effects of climate and land use changes and to separate the effects of natural and anthropogenic drivers in the region, six sites were chosen for comprehensive monitoring. In addition, at selected sites, geoarchives were used to substantially extend the instrumental records back in time. It is this combination of diverse disciplines working across different time scales that makes the observatory TERENO-NE a unique observation platform. We provide information about the general characteristics of the observatory and its six monitoring sites and present examples of interdisciplinary research activities at some of these sites. We also illustrate how monitoring improves process understanding, how remote sensing techniques are fine-tuned by the most comprehensive ground-truthing site DEMMIN, how soil erosion dynamics have evolved, how greenhouse gas monitoring of rewetted peatlands can reveal unexpected mechanisms, and how proxy data provides a long-term perspective of current ongoing changes.}, language = {en} } @article{KottmeierAgnonAlHalbounietal.2016, author = {Kottmeier, Christoph and Agnon, Amotz and Al-Halbouni, Djamil and Alpert, Pinhas and Corsmeier, Ulrich and Dahm, Torsten and Eshel, Adam and Geyer, Stefan and Haas, Michael and Holohan, Eoghan and Kalthoff, Norbert and Kishcha, Pavel and Krawczyk, Charlotte and Lati, Joseph and Laronne, Jonathan B. and Lott, Friederike and Mallast, Ulf and Merz, Ralf and Metzger, Jutta and Mohsen, Ayman and Morin, Efrat and Nied, Manuela and Roediger, Tino and Salameh, Elias and Sawarieh, Ali and Shannak, Benbella and Siebert, Christian and Weber, Michael}, title = {New perspectives on interdisciplinary earth science at the Dead Sea: The DESERVE project}, series = {The science of the total environment : an international journal for scientific research into the environment and its relationship with man}, volume = {544}, journal = {The science of the total environment : an international journal for scientific research into the environment and its relationship with man}, publisher = {Elsevier}, address = {Amsterdam}, issn = {0048-9697}, doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.12.003}, pages = {1045 -- 1058}, year = {2016}, abstract = {The Dead Sea region has faced substantial environmental challenges in recent decades, including water resource scarcity, similar to 1 m annual decreases in the water level, sinkhole development, ascending-brine freshwater pollution, and seismic disturbance risks. Natural processes are significantly affected by human interference as well as by climate change and tectonic developments over the long term. To get a deep understanding of processes and their interactions, innovative scientific approaches that integrate disciplinary research and education are required. The research project DESERVE (Helmholtz Virtual Institute Dead Sea Research Venue) addresses these challenges in an interdisciplinary approach that includes geophysics, hydrology, and meteorology. The project is implemented by a consortium of scientific institutions in neighboring countries of the Dead Sea (Israel, Jordan, Palestine Territories) and participating German Helmholtz Centres (KIT, GFZ, UFZ). A new monitoring network of meteorological, hydrological, and seismic/geodynamic stations has been established, and extensive field research and numerical simulations have been undertaken. For the first time, innovative measurement and modeling techniques have been applied to the extreme conditions of the Dead Sea and its surroundings. The preliminary results show the potential of these methods. First time ever performed eddy covariance measurements give insight into the governing factors of Dead Sea evaporation. High-resolution bathymetric investigations reveal a strong correlation between submarine springs and neo-tectonic patterns. Based on detailed studies of stratigraphy and borehole information, the extension of the subsurface drainage basin of the Dead Sea is now reliably estimated. Originality has been achieved in monitoring flash floods in an arid basin at its outlet and simultaneously in tributaries, supplemented by spatio-temporal rainfall data. Low-altitude, high resolution photogrammetry, allied to satellite image analysis and to geophysical surveys (e.g. shear-wave reflections) has enabled a more detailed characterization of sinkhole morphology and temporal development and the possible subsurface controls thereon. All the above listed efforts and scientific results take place with the interdisciplinary education of young scientists. They are invited to attend joint thematic workshops and winter schools as well as to participate in field experiments. (C) 2015 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.}, language = {en} } @article{GerlitzSteirouSchneideretal.2019, author = {Gerlitz, Lars and Steirou, Eva and Schneider, Christoph and Moron, Vincent and Vorogushyn, Sergiy and Merz, Bruno}, title = {Variability of the Cold Season Climate in Central Asia. Part II: Hydroclimatic Predictability}, series = {Journal of climate}, volume = {32}, journal = {Journal of climate}, number = {18}, publisher = {American Meteorological Soc.}, address = {Boston}, issn = {0894-8755}, doi = {10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0892.1}, pages = {6015 -- 6033}, year = {2019}, abstract = {Central Asia (CA) is subjected to a large variability of precipitation. This study presents a statistical model, relating precipitation anomalies in three subregions of CA in the cold season (November-March) with various predictors in the preceding October. Promising forecast skill is achieved for two subregions covering 1) Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and southern Kazakhstan and 2) Iran, Afghanistan, and Pakistan. ENSO in October is identified as the major predictor. Eurasian snow cover and the quasi-biennial oscillation further improve the forecast performance. To understand the physical mechanisms, an analysis of teleconnections between these predictors and the wintertime circulation over CA is conducted. The correlation analysis of predictors and large-scale circulation indices suggests a seasonal persistence of tropical circulation modes and a dynamical forcing of the westerly circulation by snow cover variations over Eurasia. An EOF analysis of pressure and humidity patterns allows separating the circulation variability over CA into westerly and tropical modes and confirms that the identified predictors affect the respective circulation characteristics. Based on the previously established weather type classification for CA, the predictors are investigated with regard to their effect on the regional circulation. The results suggest a modification of the Hadley cell due to ENSO variations, with enhanced moisture supply from the Arabian Gulf during El Nino. They further indicate an influence of Eurasian snow cover on the wintertime Arctic Oscillation (AO) and Northern Hemispheric Rossby wave tracks. Positive anomalies favor weather types associated with dry conditions, while negative anomalies promote the formation of a quasi-stationary trough over CA, which typically occurs during positive AO conditions.}, language = {en} }