@article{VilkAghionNathanetal.2022, author = {Vilk, Ohad and Aghion, Erez and Nathan, Ran and Toledo, Sivan and Metzler, Ralf and Assaf, Michael}, title = {Classification of anomalous diffusion in animal movement data using power spectral analysis}, series = {Journal of physics : A, Mathematical and theoretical}, volume = {55}, journal = {Journal of physics : A, Mathematical and theoretical}, number = {33}, publisher = {IOP Publishing}, address = {Bristol}, issn = {1751-8113}, doi = {10.1088/1751-8121/ac7e8f}, pages = {16}, year = {2022}, abstract = {The field of movement ecology has seen a rapid increase in high-resolution data in recent years, leading to the development of numerous statistical and numerical methods to analyse relocation trajectories. Data are often collected at the level of the individual and for long periods that may encompass a range of behaviours. Here, we use the power spectral density (PSD) to characterise the random movement patterns of a black-winged kite (Elanus caeruleus) and a white stork (Ciconia ciconia). The tracks are first segmented and clustered into different behaviours (movement modes), and for each mode we measure the PSD and the ageing properties of the process. For the foraging kite we find 1/f noise, previously reported in ecological systems mainly in the context of population dynamics, but not for movement data. We further suggest plausible models for each of the behavioural modes by comparing both the measured PSD exponents and the distribution of the single-trajectory PSD to known theoretical results and simulations.}, language = {en} } @article{StojkoskiJolakoskiPaletal.2022, author = {Stojkoski, Viktor and Jolakoski, Petar and Pal, Arnab and Sandev, Trifce and Kocarev, Ljupco and Metzler, Ralf}, title = {Income inequality and mobility in geometric Brownian motion with stochastic resetting: theoretical results and empirical evidence of non-ergodicity}, series = {Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, physical and engineering sciences}, volume = {380}, journal = {Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, physical and engineering sciences}, number = {2224}, publisher = {Royal Society}, address = {London}, issn = {1364-503X}, doi = {10.1098/rsta.2021.0157}, pages = {17}, year = {2022}, abstract = {We explore the role of non-ergodicity in the relationship between income inequality, the extent of concentration in the income distribution, and income mobility, the feasibility of an individual to change their position in the income rankings. For this purpose, we use the properties of an established model for income growth that includes 'resetting' as a stabilizing force to ensure stationary dynamics. We find that the dynamics of inequality is regime-dependent: it may range from a strictly non-ergodic state where this phenomenon has an increasing trend, up to a stable regime where inequality is steady and the system efficiently mimics ergodicity. Mobility measures, conversely, are always stable over time, but suggest that economies become less mobile in non-ergodic regimes. By fitting the model to empirical data for the income share of the top earners in the USA, we provide evidence that the income dynamics in this country is consistently in a regime in which non-ergodicity characterizes inequality and immobility. Our results can serve as a simple rationale for the observed real-world income dynamics and as such aid in addressing non-ergodicity in various empirical settings across the globe.This article is part of the theme issue 'Kinetic exchange models of societies and economies'.}, language = {en} } @article{PadashAghionSchulzetal.2022, author = {Padash, Amin and Aghion, Erez and Schulz, Alexander and Barkai, Eli and Chechkin, Aleksei V. and Metzler, Ralf and Kantz, Holger}, title = {Local equilibrium properties of ultraslow diffusion in the Sinai model}, series = {New journal of physics}, volume = {24}, journal = {New journal of physics}, number = {7}, publisher = {IOP Publishing}, address = {Bristol}, issn = {1367-2630}, doi = {10.1088/1367-2630/ac7df8}, pages = {14}, year = {2022}, abstract = {We perform numerical studies of a thermally driven, overdamped particle in a random quenched force field, known as the Sinai model. We compare the unbounded motion on an infinite 1-dimensional domain to the motion in bounded domains with reflecting boundaries and show that the unbounded motion is at every time close to the equilibrium state of a finite system of growing size. This is due to time scale separation: inside wells of the random potential, there is relatively fast equilibration, while the motion across major potential barriers is ultraslow. Quantities studied by us are the time dependent mean squared displacement, the time dependent mean energy of an ensemble of particles, and the time dependent entropy of the probability distribution. Using a very fast numerical algorithm, we can explore times up top 10(17) steps and thereby also study finite-time crossover phenomena.}, language = {en} } @article{VilkAghionAvgaretal.2022, author = {Vilk, Ohad and Aghion, Erez and Avgar, Tal and Beta, Carsten and Nagel, Oliver and Sabri, Adal and Sarfati, Raphael and Schwartz, Daniel K. and Weiß, Matthias and Krapf, Diego and Nathan, Ran and Metzler, Ralf and Assaf, Michael}, title = {Unravelling the origins of anomalous diffusion}, series = {Physical review research / American Physical Society}, volume = {4}, journal = {Physical review research / American Physical Society}, number = {3}, publisher = {American Physical Society}, address = {College Park, MD}, issn = {2643-1564}, doi = {10.1103/PhysRevResearch.4.033055}, pages = {16}, year = {2022}, abstract = {Anomalous diffusion or, more generally, anomalous transport, with nonlinear dependence of the mean-squared displacement on the measurement time, is ubiquitous in nature. It has been observed in processes ranging from microscopic movement of molecules to macroscopic, large-scale paths of migrating birds. Using data from multiple empirical systems, spanning 12 orders of magnitude in length and 8 orders of magnitude in time, we employ a method to detect the individual underlying origins of anomalous diffusion and transport in the data. This method decomposes anomalous transport into three primary effects: long-range correlations ("Joseph effect"), fat-tailed probability density of increments ("Noah effect"), and nonstationarity ("Moses effect"). We show that such a decomposition of real-life data allows us to infer nontrivial behavioral predictions and to resolve open questions in the fields of single-particle tracking in living cells and movement ecology.}, language = {en} } @article{DoerriesChechkinSchumeretal.2022, author = {Doerries, Timo J. and Chechkin, Aleksei and Schumer, Rina and Metzler, Ralf}, title = {Rate equations, spatial moments, and concentration profiles for mobile-immobile models with power-law and mixed waiting time distributions}, series = {Physical review : E, Statistical, nonlinear and soft matter physics}, volume = {105}, journal = {Physical review : E, Statistical, nonlinear and soft matter physics}, number = {1}, publisher = {The American Institute of Physics}, address = {Woodbury, NY}, issn = {2470-0045}, doi = {10.1103/PhysRevE.105.014105}, pages = {24}, year = {2022}, abstract = {We present a framework for systems in which diffusion-advection transport of a tracer substance in a mobile zone is interrupted by trapping in an immobile zone. Our model unifies different model approaches based on distributed-order diffusion equations, exciton diffusion rate models, and random-walk models for multirate mobile-immobile mass transport. We study various forms for the trapping time dynamics and their effects on the tracer mass in the mobile zone. Moreover, we find the associated breakthrough curves, the tracer density at a fixed point in space as a function of time, and the mobile and immobile concentration profiles and the respective moments of the transport. Specifically, we derive explicit forms for the anomalous transport dynamics and an asymptotic power-law decay of the mobile mass for a Mittag-Leffler trapping time distribution. In our analysis we point out that even for exponential trapping time densities, transient anomalous transport is observed. Our results have direct applications in geophysical contexts, but also in biological, soft matter, and solid state systems.}, language = {en} } @article{ThapaWyłomańskaSikoraetal.2021, author = {Thapa, Samudrajit and Wyłomańska, Agnieszka and Sikora, Grzegorz and Wagner, Caroline E. and Krapf, Diego and Kantz, Holger and Chechkin, Aleksei V. and Metzler, Ralf}, title = {Leveraging large-deviation statistics to decipher the stochastic properties of measured trajectories}, series = {New Journal of Physics}, volume = {23}, journal = {New Journal of Physics}, publisher = {Dt. Physikalische Ges. ; IOP}, address = {Bad Honnef ; London}, issn = {1367-2630}, doi = {10.1088/1367-2630/abd50e}, pages = {22}, year = {2021}, abstract = {Extensive time-series encoding the position of particles such as viruses, vesicles, or individualproteins are routinely garnered insingle-particle tracking experiments or supercomputing studies.They contain vital clues on how viruses spread or drugs may be delivered in biological cells.Similar time-series are being recorded of stock values in financial markets and of climate data.Such time-series are most typically evaluated in terms of time-averaged mean-squareddisplacements (TAMSDs), which remain random variables for finite measurement times. Theirstatistical properties are different for differentphysical stochastic processes, thus allowing us toextract valuable information on the stochastic process itself. To exploit the full potential of thestatistical information encoded in measured time-series we here propose an easy-to-implementand computationally inexpensive new methodology, based on deviations of the TAMSD from itsensemble average counterpart. Specifically, we use the upper bound of these deviations forBrownian motion (BM) to check the applicability of this approach to simulated and real data sets.By comparing the probability of deviations fordifferent data sets, we demonstrate how thetheoretical bound for BM reveals additional information about observed stochastic processes. Weapply the large-deviation method to data sets of tracer beads tracked in aqueous solution, tracerbeads measured in mucin hydrogels, and of geographic surface temperature anomalies. Ouranalysis shows how the large-deviation properties can be efficiently used as a simple yet effectiveroutine test to reject the BM hypothesis and unveil relevant information on statistical propertiessuch as ergodicity breaking and short-time correlations.}, language = {en} } @article{GuggenbergerChechkinMetzler2021, author = {Guggenberger, Tobias and Chechkin, Aleksei V. and Metzler, Ralf}, title = {Fractional Brownian motion in superharmonic potentials and non-Boltzmann stationary distributions}, series = {Journal of physics : A, Mathematical and theoretical}, volume = {54}, journal = {Journal of physics : A, Mathematical and theoretical}, number = {29}, publisher = {IOP Publ. Ltd.}, address = {Bristol}, issn = {1751-8113}, doi = {10.1088/1751-8121/ac019b}, pages = {17}, year = {2021}, abstract = {We study the stochastic motion of particles driven by long-range correlated fractional Gaussian noise (FGN) in a superharmonic external potential of the form U(x) proportional to x(2n) (n is an element of N). When the noise is considered to be external, the resulting overdamped motion is described by the non-Markovian Langevin equation for fractional Brownian motion. For this case we show the existence of long time, stationary probability density functions (PDFs) the shape of which strongly deviates from the naively expected Boltzmann PDF in the confining potential U(x). We analyse in detail the temporal approach to stationarity as well as the shape of the non-Boltzmann stationary PDF. A typical characteristic is that subdiffusive, antipersistent (with negative autocorrelation) motion tends to effect an accumulation of probability close to the origin as compared to the corresponding Boltzmann distribution while the opposite trend occurs for superdiffusive (persistent) motion. For this latter case this leads to distinct bimodal shapes of the PDF. This property is compared to a similar phenomenon observed for Markovian Levy flights in superharmonic potentials. We also demonstrate that the motion encoded in the fractional Langevin equation driven by FGN always relaxes to the Boltzmann distribution, as in this case the fluctuation-dissipation theorem is fulfilled.}, language = {en} } @article{MutothyaXuLietal.2021, author = {Mutothya, Nicholas Mwilu and Xu, Yong and Li, Yongge and Metzler, Ralf}, title = {Characterising stochastic motion in heterogeneous media driven by coloured non-Gaussian noise}, series = {Journal of physics : A, Mathematical and theoretical}, volume = {54}, journal = {Journal of physics : A, Mathematical and theoretical}, number = {29}, publisher = {IOP Publ. Ltd.}, address = {Bristol}, issn = {1751-8113}, doi = {10.1088/1751-8121/abfba6}, pages = {31}, year = {2021}, abstract = {We study the stochastic motion of a test particle in a heterogeneous medium in terms of a position dependent diffusion coefficient mimicking measured deterministic diffusivity gradients in biological cells or the inherent heterogeneity of geophysical systems. Compared to previous studies we here investigate the effect of the interplay of anomalous diffusion effected by position dependent diffusion coefficients and coloured non-Gaussian noise. The latter is chosen to be distributed according to Tsallis' q-distribution, representing a popular example for a non-extensive statistic. We obtain the ensemble and time averaged mean squared displacements for this generalised process and establish its non-ergodic properties as well as analyse the non-Gaussian nature of the associated displacement distribution. We consider both non-stratified and stratified environments.}, language = {en} } @article{RitschelCherstvyMetzler2021, author = {Ritschel, Stefan and Cherstvy, Andrey G. and Metzler, Ralf}, title = {Universality of delay-time averages for financial time series}, series = {Journal of physics. Complexity}, volume = {2}, journal = {Journal of physics. Complexity}, number = {4}, publisher = {IOP Publ. Ltd.}, address = {Bristol}, issn = {2632-072X}, doi = {10.1088/2632-072X/ac2220}, pages = {30}, year = {2021}, abstract = {We analyze historical data of stock-market prices for multiple financial indices using the concept of delay-time averaging for the financial time series (FTS). The region of validity of our recent theoretical predictions [Cherstvy A G et al 2017 New J. Phys. 19 063045] for the standard and delayed time-averaged mean-squared 'displacements' (TAMSDs) of the historical FTS is extended to all lag times. As the first novel element, we perform extensive computer simulations of the stochastic differential equation describing geometric Brownian motion (GBM) which demonstrate a quantitative agreement with the analytical long-term price-evolution predictions in terms of the delayed TAMSD (for all stock-market indices in crisis-free times). Secondly, we present a robust procedure of determination of the model parameters of GBM via fitting the features of the price-evolution dynamics in the FTS for stocks and cryptocurrencies. The employed concept of single-trajectory-based time averaging can serve as a predictive tool (proxy) for a mathematically based assessment and rationalization of probabilistic trends in the evolution of stock-market prices.}, language = {en} } @article{GrebenkovMetzlerOshanin2021, author = {Grebenkov, Denis S. and Metzler, Ralf and Oshanin, Gleb}, title = {Distribution of first-reaction times with target regions on boundaries of shell-like domains}, series = {New Journal of Physics (NJP)}, volume = {2021}, journal = {New Journal of Physics (NJP)}, edition = {23}, publisher = {IOP Publishing}, address = {London}, issn = {1367-2630}, doi = {10.1088/1367-2630/ac4282}, pages = {1 -- 23}, year = {2021}, abstract = {We study the probability density function (PDF) of the first-reaction times between a diffusive ligand and a membrane-bound, immobile imperfect target region in a restricted 'onion-shell' geometry bounded by two nested membranes of arbitrary shapes. For such a setting, encountered in diverse molecular signal transduction pathways or in the narrow escape problem with additional steric constraints, we derive an exact spectral form of the PDF, as well as present its approximate form calculated by help of the so-called self-consistent approximation. For a particular case when the nested domains are concentric spheres, we get a fully explicit form of the approximated PDF, assess the accuracy of this approximation, and discuss various facets of the obtained distributions. Our results can be straightforwardly applied to describe the PDF of the terminal reaction event in multi-stage signal transduction processes.}, language = {en} }