@phdthesis{Krummenauer2022,
  author    = {Krummenauer, Linda},
  title     = {Global heat adaptation among urban populations and its evolution under different climate futures},
  doi       = {10.25932/publishup-55929},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-559294},
  school      = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam},
  pages     = {xix, 161},
  year      = {2022},
  abstract  = {Heat and increasing ambient temperatures under climate change represent a serious threat to human health in cities. Heat exposure has been studied extensively at a global scale. Studies comparing a defined temperature threshold with the future daytime temperature during a certain period of time, had concluded an increase in threat to human health. Such findings however do not explicitly account for possible changes in future human heat adaptation and might even overestimate heat exposure. Thus, heat adaptation and its development is still unclear. Human heat adaptation refers to the local temperature to which populations are adjusted to. It can be inferred from the lowest point of the U- or V-shaped heat-mortality relationship (HMR), the Minimum Mortality Temperature (MMT). While epidemiological studies inform on the MMT at the city scale for case studies, a general model applicable at the global scale to infer on temporal change in MMTs had not yet been realised. The conventional approach depends on data availability, their robustness, and on the access to daily mortality records at the city scale. Thorough analysis however must account for future changes in the MMT as heat adaptation happens partially passively. Human heat adaptation consists of two aspects: (1) the intensity of the heat hazard that is still tolerated by human populations, meaning the heat burden they can bear and (2) the wealth-induced technological, social and behavioural measures that can be employed to avoid heat exposure. The objective of this thesis is to investigate and quantify human heat adaptation among urban populations at a global scale under the current climate and to project future adaptation under climate change until the end of the century. To date, this has not yet been accomplished. The evaluation of global heat adaptation among urban populations and its evolution under climate change comprises three levels of analysis. First, using the example of Germany, the MMT is calculated at the city level by applying the conventional method. Second, this thesis compiles a data pool of 400 urban MMTs to develop and train a new model capable of estimating MMTs on the basis of physical and socio-economic city characteristics using multivariate non-linear multivariate regression. The MMT is successfully described as a function of the current climate, the topography and the socio-economic standard, independently of daily mortality data for cities around the world. The city-specific MMT estimates represents a measure of human heat adaptation among the urban population. In a final third analysis, the model to derive human heat adaptation was adjusted to be driven by projected climate and socio-economic variables for the future. This allowed for estimation of the MMT and its change for 3 820 cities worldwide for different combinations of climate trajectories and socio-economic pathways until 2100. The knowledge on the evolution of heat adaptation in the future is a novelty as mostly heat exposure and its future development had been researched. In this work, changes in heat adaptation and exposure were analysed jointly. A wide range of possible health-related outcomes up to 2100 was the result, of which two scenarios with the highest socio-economic developments but opposing strong warming levels were highlighted for comparison. Strong economic growth based upon fossil fuel exploitation is associated with a high gain in heat adaptation, but may not be able to compensate for the associated negative health effects due to increased heat exposure in 30\% to 40\% of the cities investigated caused by severe climate change. A slightly less strong, but sustainable growth brings moderate gains in heat adaptation but a lower heat exposure and exposure reductions in 80\% to 84\% of the cities in terms of frequency (number of days exceeding the MMT) and intensity (magnitude of the MMT exceedance) due to a milder global warming. Choosing a 2 ° C compatible development by 2100 would therefore lower the risk of heat-related mortality at the end of the century. In summary, this thesis makes diverse and multidisciplinary contributions to a deeper understanding of human adaptation to heat under the current and the future climate. It is one of the first studies to carry out a systematic and statistical analysis of urban characteristics which are useful as MMT drivers to establish a generalised model of human heat adaptation, applicable at the global level. A broad range of possible heat-related health options for various future scenarios was shown for the first time. This work is of relevance for the assessment of heat-health impacts in regions where mortality data are not accessible or missing. The results are useful for health care planning at the meso- and macro-level and to urban- and climate change adaptation planning. Lastly, beyond having met the posed objective, this thesis advances research towards a global future impact assessment of heat on human health by providing an alternative method of MMT estimation, that is spatially and temporally flexible in its application.},
  language  = {en}
}
@misc{ReschkeKroenerLaepple2021,
  author    = {Reschke, Maria and Kr{\"o}ner, Igor and Laepple, Thomas},
  title     = {Testing the consistency of Holocene and Last Glacial Maximum spatial correlations in temperature proxy records},
  series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe},
  journal   = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe},
  number    = {1},
  issn      = {1866-8372},
  doi       = {10.25932/publishup-53819},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-538197},
  pages     = {20 -- 28},
  year      = {2021},
  abstract  = {Holocene temperature proxy records are commonly used in quantitative synthesis and model-data comparisons. However, comparing correlations between time series from records collected in proximity to one another with the expected correlations based on climate model simulations indicates either regional or noisy climate signals in Holocene temperature proxy records. In this study, we evaluate the consistency of spatial correlations present in Holocene proxy records with those found in data from the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM). Specifically, we predict correlations expected in LGM proxy records if the only difference to Holocene correlations would be due to more time uncertainty and more climate variability in the LGM. We compare this simple prediction to the actual correlation structure in the LGM proxy records. We found that time series data of ice-core stable isotope records and planktonic foraminifera Mg/Ca ratios were consistent between the Holocene and LGM periods, while time series of Uk'37 proxy records were not as we found no correlation between nearby LGM records. Our results support the finding of highly regional or noisy marine proxy records in the compilation analysed here and suggest the need for further studies on the role of climate proxies and the processes of climate signal recording and preservation.},
  language  = {en}
}
@misc{PaulyHelleMiramontetal.2018,
  author    = {Pauly, Maren and Helle, Gerhard and Miramont, C{\´e}cile and B{\"u}ntgen, Ulf and Treydte, Kerstin and Reinig, Frederick and Guibal, Fr{\´e}d{\´e}ric and Sivan, Olivier and Heinrich, Ingo and Riedel, Frank and Kromer, Bernd and Balanzategui, Daniel and Wacker, Lukas and Sookdeo, Adam Sookdeo and Brauer, Achim},
  title     = {Subfossil trees suggest enhanced Mediterranean hydroclimate variability at the onset of the Younger Dryas},
  series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe},
  journal   = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe},
  number    = {1135},
  issn      = {1866-8372},
  doi       = {10.25932/publishup-45916},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-459169},
  pages     = {10},
  year      = {2018},
  abstract  = {Nearly 13,000 years ago, the warming trend into the Holocene was sharply interrupted by a reversal to near glacial conditions. Climatic causes and ecological consequences of the Younger Dryas (YD) have been extensively studied, however proxy archives from the Mediterranean basin capturing this period are scarce and do not provide annual resolution. Here, we report a hydroclimatic reconstruction from stable isotopes (delta O-18, delta C-13) in subfossil pines from southern France. Growing before and during the transition period into the YD (12 900-12 600 cal BP), the trees provide an annually resolved, continuous sequence of atmospheric change. Isotopic signature of tree sourcewater (delta O-18(sw)) and estimates of relative air humidity were reconstructed as a proxy for variations in air mass origin and precipitation regime. We find a distinct increase in inter-annual variability of sourcewater isotopes (delta O-18(sw)), with three major downturn phases of increasing magnitude beginning at 12 740 cal BP. The observed variation most likely results from an amplified intensity of North Atlantic (low delta O-18(sw)) versus Mediterranean (high delta O-18(sw)) precipitation. This marked pattern of climate variability is not seen in records from higher latitudes and is likely a consequence of atmospheric circulation oscillations at the margin of the southward moving polar front.},
  language  = {en}
}
@misc{MantzoukiLuerlingFastneretal.2018,
  author    = {Mantzouki, Evanthia and L{\"u}rling, Miquel and Fastner, Jutta and Domis, Lisette Nicole de Senerpont and Wilk-Wo{\'{z}}niak, Elżbieta and Koreiviene, Judita and Seelen, Laura and Teurlincx, Sven and Verstijnen, Yvon and Krztoń, Wojciech and Walusiak, Edward and Karosienė, Jūratė and Kasperovičienė, Jūratė and Savadova, Ksenija and Vitonytė, Irma and Cillero-Castro, Carmen and Budzyńska, Agnieszka and Goldyn, Ryszard and Kozak, Anna and Rosińska, Joanna and Szeląg-Wasielewska, Elżbieta and Domek, Piotr and Jakubowska-Krepska, Natalia and Kwasizur, Kinga and Messyasz, Beata and Pełechata, Aleksandra and Pełechaty, Mariusz and Kokocinski, Mikolaj and Garc{\´i}a-Murcia, Ana and Real, Monserrat and Romans, Elvira and Noguero-Ribes, Jordi and Duque, David Parre{\~n}o and Fern{\´a}ndez-Mor{\´a}n, El{\´i}sabeth and Karakaya, Nusret and H{\"a}ggqvist, Kerstin and Beklioğlu, Meryem and Filiz, Nur and Levi, Eti E. and Iskin, Uğur and Bezirci, Gizem and Tav{\c{s}}anoğlu, {\"U}lk{\"u} Nihan and {\"O}zhan, Koray and Gkelis, Spyros and Panou, Manthos and Fakioglu, {\"O}zden and Avagianos, Christos and Kaloudis, Triantafyllos and {\c{C}}elik, Kemal and Yilmaz, Mete and Marc{\´e}, Rafael and Catal{\´a}n, Nuria and Bravo, Andrea G. and Buck, Moritz and Colom-Montero, William and Mustonen, Kristiina and Pierson, Don and Yang, Yang and Raposeiro, Pedro M. and Gon{\c{c}}alves, V{\´i}tor and Antoniou, Maria G. and Tsiarta, Nikoletta and McCarthy, Valerie and Perello, Victor C. and Feldmann, T{\~o}nu and Laas, Alo and Panksep, Kristel and Tuvikene, Lea and Gagala, Ilona and Mankiewicz-Boczek, Joana and Yağc{\i}, Meral Apayd{\i}n and {\c{C}}{\i}nar, Şakir and {\c{C}}apk{\i}n, Kadir and Yağc{\i}, Abdulkadir and Cesur, Mehmet and Bilgin, Fuat and Bulut, Cafer and Uysal, Rahmi and Obertegger, Ulrike and Boscaini, Adriano and Flaim, Giovanna and Salmaso, Nico and Cerasino, Leonardo and Richardson, Jessica and Visser, Petra M. and Verspagen, Jolanda M. H. and Karan, T{\"u}nay and Soylu, Elif Neyran and Mara{\c{s}}l{\i}oğlu, Faruk and Napi{\´o}rkowska-Krzebietke, Agnieszka and Ochocka, Agnieszka and Pasztaleniec, Agnieszka and Ant{\~a}o-Geraldes, Ana M. and Vasconcelos, Vitor and Morais, Jo{\~a}o and Vale, Micaela and K{\"o}ker, Latife and Ak{\c{c}}aalan, Reyhan and Albay, Meri{\c{c}} and Maronić, Dubravka Špoljarić and Stević, Filip and Pfeiffer, Tanja Žuna and Fonvielle, Jeremy Andre and Straile, Dietmar and Rothhaupt, Karl-Otto and Hansson, Lars-Anders and Urrutia-Cordero, Pablo and Bl{\´a}ha, Luděk and Geriš, Rodan and Fr{\´a}nkov{\´a}, Mark{\´e}ta and Ko{\c{c}}er, Mehmet Ali Turan and Alp, Mehmet Tahir and Remec-Rekar, Spela and Elersek, Tina and Triantis, Theodoros and Zervou, Sevasti-Kiriaki and Hiskia, Anastasia and Haande, Sigrid and Skjelbred, Birger and Madrecka, Beata and Nemova, Hana and Drastichova, Iveta and Chomova, Lucia and Edwards, Christine and Sevindik, Tuğba Ongun and Tunca, Hatice and {\"O}nem, Bur{\c{c}}in and Aleksovski, Boris and Krstić, Svetislav and Vucelić, Itana Bokan and Nawrocka, Lidia and Salmi, Pauliina and Machado-Vieira, Danielle and Oliveira, Alinne Gurj{\~a}o De and Delgado-Mart{\´i}n, Jordi and Garc{\´i}a, David and Cereijo, Jose Lu{\´i}s and Gom{\`a}, Joan and Trapote, Mari Carmen and Vegas-Vilarr{\´u}bia, Teresa and Obrador, Biel and Grabowska, Magdalena and Karpowicz, Maciej and Chmura, Damian and {\´U}beda, B{\´a}rbara and G{\´a}lvez, Jos{\´e} {\´A}ngel and {\"O}zen, Arda and Christoffersen, Kirsten Seestern and Warming, Trine Perlt and Kobos, Justyna and Mazur-Marzec, Hanna and P{\´e}rez-Mart{\´i}nez, Carmen and Ramos-Rodr{\´i}guez, Elo{\´i}sa and Arvola, Lauri and Alcaraz-P{\´a}rraga, Pablo and Toporowska, Magdalena and Pawlik-Skowronska, Barbara and Nied{\'{z}}wiecki, Michał and Pęczuła, Wojciech and Leira, Manel and Hern{\´a}ndez, Armand and Moreno-Ostos, Enrique and Blanco, Jos{\´e} Mar{\´i}a and Rodr{\´i}guez, Valeriano and Montes-P{\´e}rez, Jorge Juan and Palomino, Roberto L. and Rodr{\´i}guez-P{\´e}rez, Estela and Carballeira, Rafael and Camacho, Antonio and Picazo, Antonio and Rochera, Carlos and Santamans, Anna C. and Ferriol, Carmen and Romo, Susana and Soria, Juan Miguel and Dunalska, Julita and Sieńska, Justyna and Szymański, Daniel and Kruk, Marek and Kostrzewska-Szlakowska, Iwona and Jasser, Iwona and Žutinić, Petar and Udovič, Marija Gligora and Plenković-Moraj, Anđelka and Frąk, Magdalena and Bańkowska-Sobczak, Agnieszka and Wasilewicz, Michał and {\"O}zkan, Korhan and Maliaka, Valentini and Kangro, Kersti and Grossart, Hans-Peter and Paerl, Hans W. and Carey, Cayelan C. and Ibelings, Bas W.},
  title     = {Temperature effects explain continental scale distribution of cyanobacterial toxins},
  series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe},
  journal   = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe},
  number    = {1105},
  issn      = {1866-8372},
  doi       = {10.25932/publishup-42790},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-427902},
  pages     = {26},
  year      = {2018},
  abstract  = {Insight into how environmental change determines the production and distribution of cyanobacterial toxins is necessary for risk assessment. Management guidelines currently focus on hepatotoxins (microcystins). Increasing attention is given to other classes, such as neurotoxins (e.g., anatoxin-a) and cytotoxins (e.g., cylindrospermopsin) due to their potency. Most studies examine the relationship between individual toxin variants and environmental factors, such as nutrients, temperature and light. In summer 2015, we collected samples across Europe to investigate the effect of nutrient and temperature gradients on the variability of toxin production at a continental scale. Direct and indirect effects of temperature were the main drivers of the spatial distribution in the toxins produced by the cyanobacterial community, the toxin concentrations and toxin quota. Generalized linear models showed that a Toxin Diversity Index (TDI) increased with latitude, while it decreased with water stability. Increases in TDI were explained through a significant increase in toxin variants such as MC-YR, anatoxin and cylindrospermopsin, accompanied by a decreasing presence of MC-LR. While global warming continues, the direct and indirect effects of increased lake temperatures will drive changes in the distribution of cyanobacterial toxins in Europe, potentially promoting selection of a few highly toxic species or strains.},
  language  = {en}
}
@misc{EppKruseKathetal.2018,
  author    = {Epp, Laura Saskia and Kruse, Stefan and Kath, Nadja J. and Stoof-Leichsenring, Kathleen Rosemarie and Tiedemann, Ralph and Pestryakova, Luidmila Agafyevna and Herzschuh, Ulrike},
  title     = {Temporal and spatial patterns of mitochondrial haplotype and species distributions in Siberian larches inferred from ancient environmental DNA and modeling},
  series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe},
  journal   = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe},
  number    = {1052},
  issn      = {1866-8372},
  doi       = {10.25932/publishup-46835},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-468352},
  pages     = {11},
  year      = {2018},
  abstract  = {Changes in species' distributions are classically projected based on their climate envelopes. For Siberian forests, which have a tremendous significance for vegetation-climate feedbacks, this implies future shifts of each of the forest-forming larch (Larix) species to the north-east. However, in addition to abiotic factors, reliable projections must assess the role of historical biogeography and biotic interactions. Here, we use sedimentary ancient DNA and individual-based modelling to investigate the distribution of larch species and mitochondrial haplotypes through space and time across the treeline ecotone on the southern Taymyr peninsula, which at the same time presents a boundary area of two larch species. We find spatial and temporal patterns, which suggest that forest density is the most influential driver determining the precise distribution of species and mitochondrial haplotypes. This suggests a strong influence of competition on the species' range shifts. These findings imply possible climate change outcomes that are directly opposed to projections based purely on climate envelopes. Investigations of such fine-scale processes of biodiversity change through time are possible using paleoenvironmental DNA, which is available much more readily than visible fossils and can provide information at a level of resolution that is not reached in classical palaeoecology.},
  language  = {en}
}
@misc{HornickBachCrawfurdetal.2017,
  author    = {Hornick, Thomas and Bach, Lennart T. and Crawfurd, Katharine J. and Spilling, Kristian and Achterberg, Eric Pieter and Woodhouse, Jason Nicholas and Schulz, Kai Georg and Brussaard, Corina P. D. and Riebesell, Ulf and Grossart, Hans-Peter},
  title     = {Ocean acidification impacts bacteria-phytoplankton coupling at low-nutrient conditions},
  series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe},
  journal   = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe},
  number    = {667},
  issn      = {1866-8372},
  doi       = {10.25932/publishup-41712},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-417126},
  pages     = {15},
  year      = {2017},
  abstract  = {The oceans absorb about a quarter of the annually produced anthropogenic atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2), resulting in a decrease in surface water pH, a process termed ocean acidification (OA). Surprisingly little is known about how OA affects the physiology of heterotrophic bacteria or the coupling of heterotrophic bacteria to phytoplankton when nutrients are limited. Previous experiments were, for the most part, undertaken during productive phases or following nutrient additions designed to stimulate algal blooms. Therefore, we performed an in situ large-volume mesocosm (similar to 55 m(3)) experiment in the Baltic Sea by simulating different fugacities of CO2 (fCO(2)) extending from present to future conditions. The study was conducted in July-August after the nominal spring bloom, in order to maintain low-nutrient conditions throughout the experiment. This resulted in phytoplankton communities dominated by small-sized functional groups (picophytoplankton). There was no consistent fCO(2)-induced effect on bacterial protein production (BPP), cell-specific BPP (csBPP) or biovolumes (BVs) of either free-living (FL) or particle-associated (PA) heterotrophic bacteria, when considered as individual components (univariate analyses). Permutational Multivariate Analysis of Variance (PERMANOVA) revealed a significant effect of the fCO(2) treatment on entire assemblages of dissolved and particulate nutrients, metabolic parameters and the bacteria-phytoplankton community. However, distance-based linear modelling only identified fCO(2) as a factor explaining the variability observed amongst the microbial community composition, but not for explaining variability within the metabolic parameters. This suggests that fCO(2) impacts on microbial metabolic parameters occurred indirectly through varying physicochemical parameters and microbial species composition. Cluster analyses examining the co-occurrence of different functional groups of bacteria and phytoplankton further revealed a separation of the four fCO(2)-treated mesocosms from both control mesocosms, indicating that complex trophic interactions might be altered in a future acidified ocean. Possible consequences for nutrient cycling and carbon export are still largely unknown, in particular in a nutrient-limited ocean.},
  language  = {en}
}
@misc{MurawskiBuergerVorogushynetal.2016,
  author    = {Murawski, Aline and B{\"u}rger, Gerd and Vorogushyn, Sergiy and Merz, Bruno},
  title     = {Can local climate variability be explained by weather patterns?},
  series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe},
  journal   = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe},
  number    = {525},
  issn      = {1866-8372},
  doi       = {10.25932/publishup-41015},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-410155},
  pages     = {24},
  year      = {2016},
  abstract  = {To understand past flood changes in the Rhine catchment and in particular the role of anthropogenic climate change in extreme flows, an attribution study relying on a proper GCM (general circulation model) downscaling is needed. A downscaling based on conditioning a stochastic weather generator on weather patterns is a promising approach. This approach assumes a strong link between weather patterns and local climate, and sufficient GCM skill in reproducing weather pattern climatology. These presuppositions are unprecedentedly evaluated here using 111 years of daily climate data from 490 stations in the Rhine basin and comprehensively testing the number of classification parameters and GCM weather pattern characteristics. A classification based on a combination of mean sea level pressure, temperature, and humidity from the ERA20C reanalysis of atmospheric fields over central Europe with 40 weather types was found to be the most appropriate for stratifying six local climate variables. The corresponding skill is quite diverse though, ranging from good for radiation to poor for precipitation. Especially for the latter it was apparent that pressure fields alone cannot sufficiently stratify local variability. To test the skill of the latest generation of GCMs from the CMIP5 ensemble in reproducing the frequency, seasonality, and persistence of the derived weather patterns, output from 15 GCMs is evaluated. Most GCMs are able to capture these characteristics well, but some models showed consistent deviations in all three evaluation criteria and should be excluded from further attribution analysis.},
  language  = {en}
}
@misc{SchimkaLomadzeRabeetal.2017,
  author    = {Schimka, Selina and Lomadze, Nino and Rabe, Maren and Kopyshev, Alexey and Lehmann, Maren and von Klitzing, Regine and Rumyantsev, Artem M. and Kramarenko, Elena Yu. and Santer, Svetlana},
  title     = {Photosensitive microgels containing azobenzene surfactants of different charges},
  series = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe},
  journal   = {Postprints der Universit{\"a}t Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe},
  number    = {461},
  issn      = {1866-8372},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-413528},
  year      = {2017},
  abstract  = {We report on light sensitive microgel particles that can change their volume reversibly in response to illumination with light of different wavelengths. To make the anionic microgels photosensitive we add surfactants with a positively charged polyamine head group and an azobenzene containing tail. Upon illumination, azobenzene undergoes a reversible photo-isomerization reaction from a trans- to a cis-state accompanied by a change in the hydrophobicity of the surfactant. Depending on the isomerization state, the surfactant molecules are either accommodated within the microgel (trans-state) resulting in its shrinkage or desorbed back into water (cis-isomer) letting the microgel swell. We have studied three surfactants differing in the number of amino groups, so that the number of charges of the surfactant head varies between 1 and 3. We have found experimentally and theoretically that the surfactant concentration needed for microgel compaction increases with decreasing number of charges of the head group. Utilization of polyamine azobenzene containing surfactants for the light triggered remote control of the microgel size opens up a possibility for applications of light responsive microgels as drug carriers in biology and medicine.},
  language  = {en}
}
@misc{SchleussnerLissnerFischeretal.2016,
  author    = {Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich and Lissner, Tabea Katharina and Fischer, Erich M. and Wohland, Jan and Perrette, Mah{\´e} and Golly, Antonius and Rogelj, Joeri and Childers, Katelin and Schewe, Jacob and Frieler, Katja and Mengel, Matthias and Hare, William and Schaeffer, Michiel},
  title     = {Differential climate impacts for policy-relevant limits to global warming},
  series = {Earth System Dynamics},
  journal   = {Earth System Dynamics},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-410258},
  pages     = {25},
  year      = {2016},
  abstract  = {Robust appraisals of climate impacts at different levels of global-mean temperature increase are vital to guide assessments of dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system. The 2015 Paris Agreement includes a two-headed temperature goal: "holding the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2 degrees C above pre-industrial levels and pursuing efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5 degrees C". Despite the prominence of these two temperature limits, a comprehensive overview of the differences in climate impacts at these levels is still missing. Here we provide an assessment of key impacts of climate change at warming levels of 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C, including extreme weather events, water availability, agricultural yields, sea-level rise and risk of coral reef loss. Our results reveal substantial differences in impacts between a 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C warming that are highly relevant for the assessment of dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system. For heat-related extremes, the additional 0.5 degrees C increase in global-mean temperature marks the difference between events at the upper limit of present-day natural variability and a new climate regime, particularly in tropical regions. Similarly, this warming difference is likely to be decisive for the future of tropical coral reefs. In a scenario with an end-of-century warming of 2 degrees C, virtually all tropical coral reefs are projected to be at risk of severe degradation due to temperature-induced bleaching from 2050 onwards. This fraction is reduced to about 90\% in 2050 and projected to decline to 70\% by 2100 for a 1.5 degrees C scenario. Analyses of precipitation-related impacts reveal distinct regional differences and hot-spots of change emerge. Regional reduction in median water availability for the Mediterranean is found to nearly double from 9\% to 17\% between 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C, and the projected lengthening of regional dry spells increases from 7 to 11\%. Projections for agricultural yields differ between crop types as well as world regions. While some (in particular high-latitude) regions may benefit, tropical regions like West Africa, South-East Asia, as well as Central and northern South America are projected to face substantial local yield reductions, particularly for wheat and maize. Best estimate sea-level rise projections based on two illustrative scenarios indicate a 50cm rise by 2100 relative to year 2000-levels for a 2 degrees C scenario, and about 10 cm lower levels for a 1.5 degrees C scenario. In a 1.5 degrees C scenario, the rate of sea-level rise in 2100 would be reduced by about 30\% compared to a 2 degrees C scenario. Our findings highlight the importance of regional differentiation to assess both future climate risks and different vulnerabilities to incremental increases in global-mean temperature. The article provides a consistent and comprehensive assessment of existing projections and a good basis for future work on refining our understanding of the difference between impacts at 1.5 degrees C and 2 degrees C warming.},
  language  = {en}
}
@phdthesis{Munz2017,
  author    = {Munz, Matthias},
  title     = {Water flow and heat transport modelling at the interface between river and aquifer},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-404319},
  school      = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam},
  pages     = {XIII, 123},
  year      = {2017},
  abstract  = {The functioning of the surface water-groundwater interface as buffer, filter and reactive zone is important for water quality, ecological health and resilience of streams and riparian ecosystems. Solute and heat exchange across this interface is driven by the advection of water. Characterizing the flow conditions in the streambed is challenging as flow patterns are often complex and multidimensional, driven by surface hydraulic gradients and groundwater discharge. This thesis presents the results of an integrated approach of studies, ranging from the acquisition of field data, the development of analytical and numerical approaches to analyse vertical temperature profiles to the detailed, fully-integrated 3D numerical modelling of water and heat flux at the reach scale. All techniques were applied in order to characterize exchange flux between stream and groundwater, hyporheic flow paths and temperature patterns. The study was conducted at a reach-scale section of the lowland Selke River, characterized by distinctive pool riffle sequences and fluvial islands and gravel bars. Continuous time series of hydraulic heads and temperatures were measured at different depths in the river bank, the hyporheic zone and within the river. The analyses of the measured diurnal temperature variation in riverbed sediments provided detailed information about the exchange flux between river and groundwater. Beyond the one-dimensional vertical water flow in the riverbed sediment, hyporheic and parafluvial flow patterns were identified. Subsurface flow direction and magnitude around fluvial islands and gravel bars at the study site strongly depended on the position around the geomorphological structures and on the river stage. Horizontal water flux in the streambed substantially impacted temperature patterns in the streambed. At locations with substantial horizontal fluxes the penetration depths of daily temperature fluctuations was reduced in comparison to purely vertical exchange conditions. The calibrated and validated 3D fully-integrated model of reach-scale water and heat fluxes across the river-groundwater interface was able to accurately represent the real system. The magnitude and variations of the simulated temperatures matched the observed ones, with an average mean absolute error of 0.7 °C and an average Nash Sutcliffe Efficiency of 0.87. The simulation results showed that the water and heat exchange at the surface water-groundwater interface is highly variable in space and time with zones of daily temperature oscillations penetrating deep into the sediment and spots of daily constant temperature following the average groundwater temperature. The average hyporheic flow path temperature was found to strongly correlate with the flow path residence time (flow path length) and the temperature gradient between river and groundwater. Despite the complexity of these processes, the simulation results allowed the derivation of a general empirical relationship between the hyporheic residence times and temperature patterns. The presented results improve our understanding of the complex spatial and temporal dynamics of water flux and thermal processes within the shallow streambed. Understanding these links provides a general basis from which to assess hyporheic temperature conditions in river reaches.},
  language  = {en}
}
@phdthesis{Wolf2017,
  author    = {Wolf, Julia},
  title     = {Schadenserkennung in Beton durch {\"U}berwachung mit eingebetteten Ultraschallpr{\"u}fk{\"o}pfen},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-397363},
  school      = {Universit{\"a}t Potsdam},
  pages     = {ix, 142},
  year      = {2017},
  abstract  = {Die zerst{\"o}rungsfreien Pr{\"u}fungen von Bauwerken mit Hilfe von Ultraschallmessverfahren haben in den letzten Jahren an Bedeutung gewonnen. Durch Ultraschallmessungen k{\"o}nnen die Geometrien von Bauteilen bestimmt sowie von außen nicht sichtbare Fehler wie Delaminationen und Kiesnester erkannt werden. Mit neuartigen, in das Betonbauteil eingebetteten Ultraschallpr{\"u}fk{\"o}pfen sollen nun Bauwerke dauerhaft auf Ver{\"a}nderungen {\"u}berpr{\"u}ft werden. Dazu werden Ultraschallsignale direkt im Inneren eines Bauteils erzeugt, was die M{\"o}glichkeiten der herk{\"o}mmlichen Methoden der Bauwerks{\"u}berwachung wesentlich erweitert. Ein Ultraschallverfahren k{\"o}nnte mit eingebetteten Pr{\"u}fk{\"o}pfen ein Betonbauteil kontinuierlich integral {\"u}berwachen und damit auch stetig fortschreitende Gef{\"u}ge{\"a}nderungen, wie beispielsweise Mikrorisse, registrieren. Sicherheitsrelevante Bauteile, die nach dem Einbau f{\"u}r Messungen unzug{\"a}nglich oder mittels Ultraschall, beispielsweise durch zus{\"a}tzliche Beschichtungen der Oberfl{\"a}che, nicht pr{\"u}fbar sind, lassen sich mit eingebetteten Pr{\"u}fk{\"o}pfen {\"u}berwachen. An bereits vorhandenen Bauwerken k{\"o}nnen die Ultraschallpr{\"u}fk{\"o}pfe mithilfe von Bohrl{\"o}chern und speziellem Verpressm{\"o}rtel auch nachtr{\"a}glich in das Bauteil integriert werden. F{\"u}r Fertigbauteile bieten sich eingebettete Pr{\"u}fk{\"o}pfe zur Herstellungskontrolle sowie zur {\"U}berwachung der Baudurchf{\"u}hrung als Werkzeug der Qualit{\"a}tssicherung an. Auch die schnelle Schadensanalyse eines Bauwerks nach Naturkatastrophen, wie beispielsweise einem Erdbeben oder einer Flut, ist denkbar. Durch die gute Ankopplung erm{\"o}glichen diese neuartigen Pr{\"u}fk{\"o}pfe den Einsatz von empfindlichen Auswertungsmethoden, wie die Kreuzkorrelation, die Coda-Wellen-Interferometrie oder die Amplitudenauswertung, f{\"u}r die Signalanalyse. Bei regelm{\"a}ßigen Messungen k{\"o}nnen somit sich anbahnende Sch{\"a}den eines Bauwerks fr{\"u}hzeitig erkannt werden. Da die Sch{\"a}digung eines Bauwerks keine direkt messbare Gr{\"o}ße darstellt, erfordert eine eindeutige Schadenserkennung in der Regel die Messung mehrerer physikalischer Gr{\"o}ßen die geeignet verkn{\"u}pft werden. Physikalische Gr{\"o}ßen k{\"o}nnen sein: Ultraschalllaufzeit, Amplitude des Ultraschallsignals und Umgebungstemperatur. Dazu m{\"u}ssen Korrelationen zwischen dem Zustand des Bauwerks, den Umgebungsbedingungen und den Parametern des gemessenen Ultraschallsignals untersucht werden. In dieser Arbeit werden die neuartigen Pr{\"u}fk{\"o}pfe vorgestellt. Es wird beschrieben, dass sie sich, sowohl in bereits errichtete Betonbauwerke als auch in der Konstruktion befindliche, einbauen lassen. Experimentell wird gezeigt, dass die Pr{\"u}fk{\"o}pfe in mehreren Ebenen eingebettet sein k{\"o}nnen da ihre Abstrahlcharakteristik im Beton nahezu ungerichtet ist. Die Mittenfrequenz von rund 62 kHz erm{\"o}glicht Abst{\"a}nde, je nach Betonart und SRV, von mindestens 3 m zwischen Pr{\"u}fk{\"o}pfen die als Sender und Empf{\"a}nger arbeiten. Die Empfindlichkeit der eingebetteten Pr{\"u}fk{\"o}pfe gegen{\"u}ber Ver{\"a}nderungen im Beton wird an Hand von zwei Laborexperimenten gezeigt, einem Drei-Punkt-Biegeversuch und einem Versuch zur Erzeugung von Frost-Tau-Wechsel Sch{\"a}den. Die Ergebnisse werden mit anderen zerst{\"o}rungsfreien Pr{\"u}fverfahren verglichen. Es zeigt sich, dass die Pr{\"u}fk{\"o}pfe durch die Anwendung empfindlicher Auswertemethoden, auftretende Risse im Beton detektieren, bevor diese eine Gefahr f{\"u}r das Bauwerk darstellen. Abschließend werden Beispiele von Installation der neuartigen Ultraschallpr{\"u}fk{\"o}pfe in realen Bauteilen, zwei Br{\"u}cken und einem Fundament, gezeigt und basierend auf dort gewonnenen ersten Erfahrungen ein Konzept f{\"u}r die Umsetzung einer Langzeit{\"u}berwachung aufgestellt.},
  language  = {de}
}
@misc{KormannFranckeRenneretal.2015,
  author    = {Kormann, C. and Francke, Till and Renner, M. and Bronstert, Axel},
  title     = {Attribution of high resolution streamflow trends in Western Austria},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-96560},
  pages     = {1225 -- 1245},
  year      = {2015},
  abstract  = {The results of streamflow trend studies are often characterized by mostly insignificant trends and inexplicable spatial patterns. In our study region, Western Austria, this applies especially for trends of annually averaged runoff. However, analysing the altitudinal aspect, we found that there is a trend gradient from higher-altitude to lower-altitude stations, i.e. a pattern of mostly positive annual trends at higher stations and negative ones at lower stations. At midaltitudes, the trends are mostly insignificant. Here we hypothesize that the streamflow trends are caused by the following two main processes: on the one hand, melting glaciers produce excess runoff at higher-altitude watersheds. On the other hand, rising temperatures potentially alter hydrological conditions in terms of less snowfall, higher infiltration, enhanced evapotranspiration, etc., which in turn results in decreasing streamflow trends at lower-altitude watersheds. However, these patterns are masked at mid-altitudes because the resulting positive and negative trends balance each other. To support these hypotheses, we attempted to attribute the detected trends to specific causes. For this purpose, we analysed trends of filtered daily streamflow data, as the causes for these changes might be restricted to a smaller temporal scale than the annual one. This allowed for the explicit determination of the exact days of year (DOYs) when certain streamflow trends emerge, which were then linked with the corresponding DOYs of the trends and characteristic dates of other observed variables, e.g. the average DOY when temperature crosses the freezing point in spring. Based on these analyses, an empirical statistical model was derived that was able to simulate daily streamflow trends sufficiently well. Analyses of subdaily streamflow changes provided additional insights. Finally, the present study supports many modelling approaches in the literature which found out that the main drivers of alpine streamflow changes are increased glacial melt, earlier snowmelt and lower snow accumulation in wintertime.},
  language  = {en}
}
@misc{MondalDeyBaburinetal.2013,
  author    = {Mondal, Suvendu Sekhar and Dey, Subarna and Baburin, Igor A. and Kelling, Alexandra and Schilde, Uwe and Seifert, Gotthard and Janiak, Christoph and Holdt, Hans-J{\"u}rgen},
  title     = {Syntheses of two imidazolate-4-amide-5-imidate linker-based hexagonal metal-organic frameworks with flexible ethoxy substituent},
  url       = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-94360},
  pages     = {9394 -- 9399},
  year      = {2013},
  abstract  = {A rare example of in situ linker generation with the formation of soft porous Zn- and Co-MOFs (IFP-9 and -10, respectively) is reported. The flexible ethoxy groups of IFP-9 and -10 protrude into the 1D hexagonal channels. The gas-sorption behavior of both materials for H2, CO2 and CH4 showed wide hysteretic isotherms, typical for MOFs having a flexible substituent which can give rise to a gate effect.},
  language  = {en}
}