@article{OlonscheckWaltherLuedekeetal.2015, author = {Olonscheck, Mady and Walther, Carsten and L{\"u}deke, Matthias K. B. and Kropp, J{\"u}rgen}, title = {Feasibility of energy reduction targets under climate change: The case of the residential heating energy sector of the Netherlands}, series = {Energy}, volume = {90}, journal = {Energy}, publisher = {Elsevier}, address = {Oxford}, issn = {0360-5442}, doi = {10.1016/j.energy.2015.07.080}, pages = {560 -- 569}, year = {2015}, abstract = {In order to achieve meaningful climate protection targets at the global scale, each country is called to set national energy policies aimed at reducing energy consumption and carbon emissions. By calculating the monthly heating energy demand of dwellings in the Netherlands, our case study country, we contrast the results with the corresponding aspired national targets. Considering different future population scenarios, renovation measures and temperature variations, we show that a near zero energy demand in 2050 could only be reached with very ambitious renovation measures. While the goal of reducing the energy demand of the building sector by 50\% until 2030 compared to 1990 seems feasible for most provinces and months in the minimum scenario, it is impossible in our scenario with more pessimistic yet still realistic assumptions regarding future developments. Compared to the current value, the annual renovation rate per province would need to be at least doubled in order to reach the 2030 target independent of reasonable climatic and population changes in the future. Our findings also underline the importance of policy measures as the annual renovation rate is a key influencing factor regarding the reduction of the heating energy demand in dwellings. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.}, language = {en} } @article{vandeWeijerBijleveldHuschek2016, author = {van de Weijer, Steve and Bijleveld, Catrien and Huschek, Doreen}, title = {Offending and mortality}, series = {Advances in life course research}, volume = {28}, journal = {Advances in life course research}, publisher = {Elsevier}, address = {Oxford}, issn = {1569-4909}, doi = {10.1016/j.alcr.2015.11.004}, pages = {91 -- 99}, year = {2016}, abstract = {Background: Previous research has shown that offenders are at increased risk to die prematurely, but the etiology of this association is still unknown. Moreover, most previous studies use relatively short follow-up periods and do not take into account variation within the offender population with respect to frequency, timing and types of offenses. Method: Using conviction data for a number of families at high-risk of offending born on average in 1932, we study mortality in both offenders and non-offenders, from a similar socio-economic background, until 2007. We condition on life expectancy of the parents, age, gender, year of birth and marital status. We investigate associations between mortality and offending for different types of offenses: violent offenses, property offenses, weapons offenses, drugs offenses and driving under influence. Results: In general, offending sample members were not significantly more likely to have died than non offending sample members. Compared to the general population, however, both the offending and non offending sample members were at increased risk to die. Sample members who were convicted for driving under the influence of alcohol or weapons offenses were at increased risk to die prematurely compared to non-offending sample members. Conclusions: The relationship between offending in general and mortality is largely spurious. Limitations: The use of official conviction data might have influenced the results. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.}, language = {en} } @article{SzurliesGelukKrijgsmanetal.2012, author = {Szurlies, Michael and Geluk, Mark C. and Krijgsman, Wout and Kurschner, Wolfram M.}, title = {The continental Permian-Triassic boundary in the Netherlands implications for the geomagnetic polarity time scale}, series = {Earth \& planetary science letters}, volume = {317}, journal = {Earth \& planetary science letters}, publisher = {Elsevier}, address = {Amsterdam}, issn = {0012-821X}, doi = {10.1016/j.epsl.2011.11.043}, pages = {165 -- 176}, year = {2012}, abstract = {In Central and NW Europe, the transition from the Permian to the Triassic (i.e., the Zechstein-Buntsandstein boundary interval) is developed mainly in red bed facies. This continental sedimentary succession is marked by relatively high sedimentation rates providing a high temporal resolution favorable for magnetic polarity stratigraphy. Here, we present a Zechstein to Lower Buntsandstein magnetostratigraphy obtained from the c. 100 m thick Everdingen-1 core from the Netherlands. Seven magnetozones (EV1n to EV4n) and five submagnetozones (EV1n.1r to EV3r.1n) have been delineated. The Everdingen-1 magnetostratigraphy has been integrated into the well-established high-resolution Zechstein-Buntsandstein stratigraphic framework, and verifies the geomagnetic polarity record from Central Germany. This confirms the hypothesis of nearly synchronous base-level cycles within the interior of the Central European Basin. These cycles are related to solar-induced similar to 100 ka eccentricity cycles. The most distinctive feature of the Everdingen-1 magnetostratigraphy is a transition from a thin reverse to a thick dominantly normal magnetic polarity interval. This reversal predates both the terrestrial mass extinction, which is indicated by a palynofloral turnover and a major sediment provenance change at the base of the Buntsandstein, and the marine Permian-Triassic Boundary (PTB). The PTB is located within the lowermost Buntsandstein and is approximated by the last occurrence of the conchostracan Falsisca postera and a negative excursion in the carbon isotope record. According to the Buntsandstein cyclostratigraphy, the R/N reversal predates the marine end-Permian extinction event by about 0.1 Ma and the marine biostratigraphic PTB by about 0.2 Ma. The thick normal magnetozone is estimated to have lasted c. 700 ka, and roughly coincides with the main phase of Siberian Trap volcanism.}, language = {en} }