@article{Woop2010, author = {Woop, Gerry}, title = {Probleme europ{\"a}ischer Sicherheitspolitik}, series = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, journal = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, number = {15}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, issn = {1864-0656}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-62975}, pages = {87 -- 95}, year = {2010}, abstract = {Inhalt: NATO EU Herausforderungen}, language = {de} } @article{Volgmann2010, author = {Volgmann, Uta}, title = {Die politische Debatte {\"u}ber die europ{\"a}ische Verfassung in Polen}, series = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, journal = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, number = {15}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, issn = {1864-0656}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-63113}, pages = {253 -- 270}, year = {2010}, abstract = {Inhalt: Theoretische Grundlagen der Verfassungsgesetzgebung ; Verfassungsgesetzgebung und Verfassungsbedeutung ; Europ{\"a}ischer Verfassungsgebungsprozess ; Verfassungsausarbeitung , Verfassungsdiskussion , Akt der Verfassungsgebung , Verfassungsbedeutung, symbolische Funktionen und Identit{\"a}tsstiftung , Eine Verfassung f{\"u}r die EU-B{\"u}rger ; Die europ{\"a}ische Verfassung aus polnischer Sicht ; Erarbeitung der europ{\"a}ischen Verfassung im Konvent ; Eine europ{\"a}ische Verfassung f{\"u}r die B{\"u}rger? ; Ratifikation der europ{\"a}ischen Verfassung ; Identit{\"a}tsstiftung durch eine europ{\"a}ische Verfassung? ; Vertrag statt Verfassung ; Literatur}, language = {de} } @article{TosunSchulze2015, author = {Tosun, Jale and Schulze, Kai}, title = {Compliance with EU biofuel targets in South-Eastern and Eastern Europe: Do interest groups matter?}, series = {Environment \& planning : international journal of urban and regional research ; C, Government \& policy}, volume = {33}, journal = {Environment \& planning : international journal of urban and regional research ; C, Government \& policy}, number = {5}, publisher = {Sage Publ.}, address = {London}, issn = {0263-774X}, doi = {10.1177/0263774X15605923}, pages = {950 -- 968}, year = {2015}, abstract = {The European Union requires its member states to establish national targets for the biofuel content of all diesel and petrol supplies for transport placed on the market. This study explores the adoption of this European Union policy across South-Eastern and Eastern Europe between 2003 and 2012. In theoretical terms, we are specifically interested in examining the role of interest groups for policy adoption. We argue that the oil industry in general and the producers of biofuels in particular will support the establishment of national biofuel targets because they expect economic gains. By contrast, we expect environmental groups with international and regional ties to oppose such targets because biofuels have come under attack for their potential environmental impact including deforestation, a loss in biodiversity, and food insecurity. Empirically, we concentrate on policy adoptions in 21 South-Eastern and Eastern European states with varied relations to the European Union and the Energy Community. Our analysis supports our main arguments in suggesting that a stronger presence of environmental groups decreases the chances of adopting national biofuel targets across our country sample while producer interests tend to increase adoptions. This finding holds true also when controlling for a country's European Union membership and accession perspective, membership in the Energy Community, and additional domestic-level factors. These results add more generally to our understanding about compliance with European Union policies and environmental governance.}, language = {en} } @article{SohstAcostamadiedoTjaden2023, author = {Sohst, Rhea Ravenna and Acostamadiedo, Eduardo and Tjaden, Jasper}, title = {Reducing uncertainty in Delphi surveys}, series = {Demographic research}, volume = {49}, journal = {Demographic research}, publisher = {Max Planck Inst. for Demographic Research}, address = {Rostock}, issn = {2363-7064}, doi = {10.4054/DemRes.2023.49.36}, pages = {983 -- 1020}, year = {2023}, abstract = {Background: Following the rapid increase of asylum seekers arriving in the European Union in 2015/16, policymakers have invested heavily in improving their foresight and forecasting capabilities. A common method to elicit expert predictions are Delphi surveys. This approach has attracted concern in the literature, given the high uncertainty in experts' predictions. However, there exists limited guidance on specific design choices for future-related Delphi surveys. Objective: We test whether or not small adjustments to the Delphi survey can increase certainty (i.e., reduce variation) in expert predictions on immigration to the EU in 2030. Methods: Based on a two-round Delphi survey with 178 migration experts, we compare variation and subjective confidence in expert predictions and assess whether additional context information (type of migration flow, sociopolitical context) promotes convergence among experts (i.e., less variation) and confidence in their own estimates. Results: We find that additional context information does not reduce variation and does not increase confidence in expert predictions on migration. Conclusions: The results reaffirm recent concerns regarding the limited scope for reducing uncertainty by manipulating the survey setup. Persistent uncertainty may be a result of the complexity of migration processes and limited agreement among migration experts regarding key drivers. Contribution: We caution policymakers and academics on the use of Delphi surveys for eliciting expert predictions on immigration, even when conducted based on a large pool of experts and using specific scenarios. The potential of alternative approaches such as prediction markets should be further explored.}, language = {en} } @article{SchmidtWellenburg2018, author = {Schmidt-Wellenburg, Christian}, title = {Struggling over crisis}, series = {Historical Social Research}, volume = {43}, journal = {Historical Social Research}, number = {3}, publisher = {GESIS, Leibniz Institute for the Social Sciences}, address = {Cologne}, issn = {0172-6404}, doi = {10.12759/hsr.43.2018.3.147-188}, pages = {147 -- 188}, year = {2018}, abstract = {If you put two economists in a room, you get two opinions, unless one of them is Lord Keynes, in which case you get three opinions." Following the premise of this quotation attributed to Winston Churchill, varying perceptions of the European crisis by academic economists and their structural homology to economists' positions in the field of economics are examined. The dataset analysed using specific multiple correspondence analysis (MCA) and hierarchical agglomerative clustering (HAC) comprises information on the careers of 480 German-speaking economists and on statements they made concerning crisis-related issues. It can be shown that the main structural differences in the composition and amount of scientific and academic capital held by economists as well as their age and degree of transnationalisation are linked to how they see the crisis: as a national sovereign debt crisis, as a European banking crisis, or as a crisis of European integration and institutions.}, language = {en} } @article{Sakson2010, author = {Sakson, Andrzej}, title = {Probleme der Arbeitsmigration in Europa}, series = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, journal = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, number = {15}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, issn = {1864-0656}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-63065}, pages = {163 -- 173}, year = {2010}, abstract = {Inhalt: Migranten aus den neuen EU-Staaten ; Folgen f{\"u}r die „alten" EU-Staaten ; Migration und Arbeitslosigkeit ; Ausmaß der Migration ; Sozio{\"o}konomische Struktur der polnischen Migranten ; Kosten und Nutzen von Migration ; Literatur}, language = {de} } @article{Piechocki2010, author = {Piechocki, Marcin}, title = {Probleme der Energiesicherheit aus polnischer Perspektive}, series = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, journal = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, number = {15}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, issn = {1864-0656}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-62982}, pages = {97 -- 115}, year = {2010}, abstract = {Inhalt: Maßnahmen auf nationaler Ebene Aktivit{\"a}ten im Rahmen der Europ{\"a}ischen Union Unabh{\"a}ngige Aktivit{\"a}ten auf internationaler B{\"u}hne Literatur}, language = {de} } @article{Paasch2022, author = {Paasch, Jana}, title = {Revisiting policy preferences and capacities in the EU}, series = {Journal of common market studies : JCMS}, volume = {60}, journal = {Journal of common market studies : JCMS}, number = {3}, publisher = {Wiley-Blackwell}, address = {Oxford}, issn = {0021-9886}, doi = {10.1111/jcms.13286}, pages = {783 -- 800}, year = {2022}, abstract = {Research on multi-level implementation of EU legislation has almost exclusively focused on the national level, while little is known about the role of subnational authorities. Nevertheless, it is a prerequisite for the functioning of the European Union that all member states and their subnational authorities apply and enforce EU legislation in due time. I address this research gap and take a closer look at the legal transposition process in the German regional states. Using a novel data set comprising detailed information on about 700 subnational measures, I show that state-level variables, such as political preferences and ministerial resources, account for variation in the timing of legal transposition and repeatedly lead to subnational delay. To conclude, the paper addresses the role of subnational authorities in the EU multi-level system and points to their interest in shaping legal transposition in order to counterbalance their loss of competences to the national level.}, language = {en} } @article{OllierMetzNunezJimenezetal.2022, author = {Ollier, Lana and Metz, Florence and Nu{\~n}ez-Jimenez, Alejandro and Sp{\"a}th, Leonhard and Lilliestam, Johan}, title = {The European 2030 climate and energy package}, series = {Policy sciences}, volume = {55}, journal = {Policy sciences}, number = {1}, publisher = {Springer Science+Business Media LLC}, address = {New York}, issn = {0032-2687}, doi = {10.1007/s11077-022-09447-5}, pages = {161 -- 184}, year = {2022}, abstract = {The European Union's 2030 climate and energy package introduced fundamental changes compared to its 2020 predecessor. These changes included a stronger focus on the internal market and an increased emphasis on technology-neutral decarbonization while simultaneously de-emphasizing the renewables target. This article investigates whether changes in domestic policy strategies of leading member states in European climate policy preceded the observed changes in EU policy. Disaggregating strategic change into changes in different elements (goals, objectives, instrumental logic), allows us to go beyond analyzing the relative prioritization of different goals, and to analyze how policy requirements for reaching those goals were dynamically redefined over time. To this end, we introduce a new method, which based on insights from social network analysis, enables us to systematically trace those strategic chances. We find that shifts in national strategies of the investigated member states preceded the shift in EU policy. In particular, countries reframed their understanding of supply security, and pushed for the internal electricity market also as a security measure to balance fluctuating renewables. Hence, the increasing focus on markets and market integration in the European 2030 package echoed the increasingly central role of the internal market for electricity supply security in national strategies. These findings also highlight that countries dynamically redefined their goals relative to the different phases of the energy transition.}, language = {en} } @article{Mehlhausen2010, author = {Mehlhausen, Thomas}, title = {Die Osterweiterung der Europ{\"a}ischen Union}, series = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, journal = {WeltTrends-Papiere}, number = {15}, publisher = {Universit{\"a}tsverlag Potsdam}, address = {Potsdam}, issn = {1864-0656}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-63005}, pages = {145 -- 162}, year = {2010}, abstract = {Inhalt: Die Osterweiterung der Europ{\"a}ischen Union - Die anomischen Konsequenzen der deutschen Wiedervereinigung Die theoretische Debatte {\"u}ber die Osterweiterung der Europ{\"a}ischen Union Deutsche Wiedervereinigung und europ{\"a}ische Integration Schwach sozialisierte Akteure in diffusen Entscheidungskontexten Diffuse Entscheidungskontexte und die Osterweiterung der Europ{\"a}ischen Union Schlussfolgerungen Literatur}, language = {de} }