The price of success, the benefit of setbacks

  • This article explores the various futures of relations between the European Union (EU) and Ukraine. After distilling two major drivers we construct a future compass in order to conceive of four futures of relations between the EU and Ukraine. Our scenarios aim to challenge deep-rooted assumptions on the EU’s neighbourhood with Ukraine: How will the politico-economic challenges in the European countries influence the EU’s approach towards the East? Will more EU engagement in Ukraine contribute to enduring peace? Does peace always come with stability? Which prospects does the idea of Intermarium have? Are the pivotal transformation players in Ukraine indeed oligarchs or rather small- and medium-sized entrepreneurs? After presenting our scenarios, we propose indicators to know in the years to come, along which path future relations do develop. By unearthing surprising developments we hope to provoke innovative thoughts on Eastern Europe in times of post truth societies, confrontation between states and hybrid warfare.

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Metadaten
Author details:Maria Davydchyk, Thomas MehlhausenGND, Weronika Priesmeyer-Tkocz
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.futures.2017.06.004
ISSN:0016-3287
ISSN:1873-6378
Title of parent work (English):Futures : the journal of policy, planning and futures studies
Subtitle (English):alternative futures of EU-Ukraine relations
Publisher:Elsevier
Place of publishing:Oxford
Publication type:Article
Language:English
Date of first publication:2017/06/29
Completion year:2017
Release date:2022/01/14
Tag:Eastern Europe; Eurasian Economic Union; European Neighbourhood Policy; European Union; Russia; Ukraine
Volume:97
Number of pages:12
First page:35
Last Page:46
Organizational units:Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliche Fakultät / Sozialwissenschaften
DDC classification:3 Sozialwissenschaften / 32 Politikwissenschaft / 320 Politikwissenschaft
Peer review:Referiert
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