TY - JOUR A1 - Gottwald, Georg A. A1 - Reich, Sebastian T1 - Supervised learning from noisy observations BT - Combining machine-learning techniques with data assimilation JF - Physica : D, Nonlinear phenomena N2 - Data-driven prediction and physics-agnostic machine-learning methods have attracted increased interest in recent years achieving forecast horizons going well beyond those to be expected for chaotic dynamical systems. In a separate strand of research data-assimilation has been successfully used to optimally combine forecast models and their inherent uncertainty with incoming noisy observations. The key idea in our work here is to achieve increased forecast capabilities by judiciously combining machine-learning algorithms and data assimilation. We combine the physics-agnostic data -driven approach of random feature maps as a forecast model within an ensemble Kalman filter data assimilation procedure. The machine-learning model is learned sequentially by incorporating incoming noisy observations. We show that the obtained forecast model has remarkably good forecast skill while being computationally cheap once trained. Going beyond the task of forecasting, we show that our method can be used to generate reliable ensembles for probabilistic forecasting as well as to learn effective model closure in multi-scale systems. (C) 2021 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. KW - Data-driven modelling KW - Random feature maps KW - Data assimilation Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physd.2021.132911 SN - 0167-2789 SN - 1872-8022 VL - 423 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - GEN A1 - Grisic, Ana-Marija A1 - Huisinga, Wilhelm A1 - Reinisch, W. A1 - Kloft, Charlotte T1 - P485 Dosing infliximab in Crohn's disease BT - is adjustment for body size justified? T2 - Journal of Crohn's and Colitis N2 - Background: Infliximab (IFX), an anti-TNF monoclonal antibody approved for the treatment of inflammatory bowel disease, is dosed per kg body weight (BW). However, the rationale for body size adjustment has not been unequivocally demonstrated [1], and first attempts to improve IFX therapy have been undertaken [2]. The aim of our study was to assess the impact of different dosing strategies (i.e. body size-adjusted and fixed dosing) on drug exposure and pharmacokinetic (PK) target attainment. For this purpose, a comprehensive simulation study was performed, using patient characteristics (n=116) from an in-house clinical database. Methods: IFX concentration-time profiles of 1000 virtual, clinically representative patients were generated using a previously published PK model for IFX in patients with Crohn's disease [3]. For each patient 1000 profiles accounting for PK variability were considered. The IFX exposure during maintenance treatment after the following dosing strategies was compared: i) fixed dose, and per ii) BW, iii) lean BW (LBW), iv) body surface area (BSA), v) height (HT), vi) body mass index (BMI) and vii) fat-free mass (FFM)). For each dosing strategy the variability in maximum concentration Cmax, minimum concentration Cmin (= C8weeks) and area under the concentration-time curve (AUC), as well as percent of patients achieving the PK target, Cmin=3 μg/mL [4] were assessed. Results: For all dosing strategies the variability of Cmin (CV ≈110%) was highest, compared to Cmax and AUC, and was of similar extent regardless of dosing strategy. The proportion of patients reaching the PK target (≈⅓ was approximately equal for all dosing strategies. Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1093/ecco-jcc/jjx002.609 SN - 1873-9946 SN - 1876-4479 VL - 11 IS - 1 SP - S325 EP - S326 PB - Oxford Univ. Press CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Hanisch, Florian A1 - Ludewig, Matthias T1 - A rigorous construction of the supersymmetric path integral associated to a compact spin manifold JF - Communications in mathematical physics N2 - We give a rigorous construction of the path integral in N = 1/2 supersymmetry as an integral map for differential forms on the loop space of a compact spin manifold. It is defined on the space of differential forms which can be represented by extended iterated integrals in the sense of Chen and Getzler-Jones-Petrack. Via the iterated integral map, we compare our path integral to the non-commutative loop space Chern character of Guneysu and the second author. Our theory provides a rigorous background to various formal proofs of the Atiyah-Singer index theorem for twisted Dirac operators using supersymmetric path integrals, as investigated by Alvarez-Gaume, Atiyah, Bismut and Witten. Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s00220-022-04336-7 SN - 0010-3616 SN - 1432-0916 VL - 391 IS - 3 SP - 1209 EP - 1239 PB - Springer CY - Berlin ; Heidelberg ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Klein, Markus A1 - Rosenberger, Elke T1 - The tunneling effect for Schrödinger operators on a vector bundle JF - Analysis and mathematical physics N2 - In the semiclassical limit (h) over bar -> 0, we analyze a class of self-adjoint Schrodinger operators H-(h) over bar = (h) over bar L-2 + (h) over barW + V center dot id(E) acting on sections of a vector bundle E over an oriented Riemannian manifold M where L is a Laplace type operator, W is an endomorphism field and the potential energy V has non-degenerate minima at a finite number of points m(1),... m(r) is an element of M, called potential wells. Using quasimodes of WKB-type near m(j) for eigenfunctions associated with the low lying eigenvalues of H-(h) over bar, we analyze the tunneling effect, i.e. the splitting between low lying eigenvalues, which e.g. arises in certain symmetric configurations. Technically, we treat the coupling between different potential wells by an interaction matrix and we consider the case of a single minimal geodesic (with respect to the associated Agmon metric) connecting two potential wells and the case of a submanifold of minimal geodesics of dimension l + 1. This dimension l determines the polynomial prefactor for exponentially small eigenvalue splitting. KW - Laplace-type operator KW - Vector bundle KW - WKB-expansion KW - Quasimodes KW - Tunneling KW - Spectral gap KW - Complete asymptotics Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s13324-021-00485-5 SN - 1664-2368 SN - 1664-235X VL - 11 IS - 2 PB - Springer International Publishing AG CY - Cham (ZG) ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Lewandowski, Max T1 - Hadamard states for bosonic quantum field theory on globally hyperbolic spacetimes JF - Journal of mathematical physics N2 - According to Radzikowski’s celebrated results, bisolutions of a wave operator on a globally hyperbolic spacetime are of the Hadamard form iff they are given by a linear combination of distinguished parametrices i2(G˜aF−G˜F+G˜A−G˜R) in the sense of Duistermaat and Hörmander [Acta Math. 128, 183–269 (1972)] and Radzikowski [Commun. Math. Phys. 179, 529 (1996)]. Inspired by the construction of the corresponding advanced and retarded Green operator GA, GR as done by Bär, Ginoux, and Pfäffle {Wave Equations on Lorentzian Manifolds and Quantization [European Mathematical Society (EMS), Zürich, 2007]}, we construct the remaining two Green operators GF, GaF locally in terms of Hadamard series. Afterward, we provide the global construction of i2(G˜aF−G˜F), which relies on new techniques such as a well-posed Cauchy problem for bisolutions and a patching argument using Čech cohomology. This leads to global bisolutions of the Hadamard form, each of which can be chosen to be a Hadamard two-point-function, i.e., the smooth part can be adapted such that, additionally, the symmetry and the positivity condition are exactly satisfied. Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0055753 SN - 0022-2488 SN - 1089-7658 VL - 63 IS - 1 PB - American Institute of Physics CY - Melville ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Malass, Ihsane A1 - Tarkhanov, Nikolaj Nikolaevič T1 - A perturbation of the de Rham complex T1 - Возмущение комплекса де Рама JF - Journal of Siberian Federal University : Mathematics & Physics JF - Žurnal Sibirskogo Federalʹnogo Universiteta : Matematika i fizika N2 - We consider a perturbation of the de Rham complex on a compact manifold with boundary. This perturbation goes beyond the framework of complexes, and so cohomology does not apply to it. On the other hand, its curvature is "small", hence there is a natural way to introduce an Euler characteristic and develop a Lefschetz theory for the perturbation. This work is intended as an attempt to develop a cohomology theory for arbitrary sequences of linear mappings. N2 - Рассмотрим возмущение комплекса де Рама на компактном многообразии с краем. Это возмущение выходит за рамки комплексов, и поэтому когомологии к нему не относятся. С другой стороны, его кривизна "мала", поэтому существует естественный способ ввести характеристику Эйлера и разработать теорию Лефшеца для возмущения. Данная работа предназначена для попытки разработать теорию когомологий для произвольных последовательностей линейных отображений. KW - de Rham complex KW - cohomology KW - Hodge theory KW - Neumann problem KW - комплекс де Рама KW - когомологии KW - теория Ходжа KW - проблема Неймана Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.17516/1997-1397-2020-13-5-519-532 SN - 1997-1397 SN - 2313-6022 VL - 13 IS - 5 SP - 519 EP - 532 PB - Siberian Federal University CY - Krasnojarsk ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Park, Jaeheung A1 - Lühr, Hermann A1 - Kervalishvili, Guram A1 - Rauberg, Jan A1 - Stolle, Claudia A1 - Kwak, Young-Sil A1 - Lee, Woo Kyoung T1 - Morphology of high-latitude plasma density perturbations as deduced from the total electron content measurements onboard the Swarm constellation JF - Journal of geophysical research : A, Space physics N2 - In this study, we investigate the climatology of high-latitude total electron content (TEC) variations as observed by the dual-frequency Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS) receivers onboard the Swarm satellite constellation. The distribution of TEC perturbations as a function of geographic/magnetic coordinates and seasons reasonably agrees with that of the Challenging Minisatellite Payload observations published earlier. Categorizing the high-latitude TEC perturbations according to line-of-sight directions between Swarm and GNSS satellites, we can deduce their morphology with respect to the geomagnetic field lines. In the Northern Hemisphere, the perturbation shapes are mostly aligned with the L shell surface, and this anisotropy is strongest in the nightside auroral (substorm) and subauroral regions and weakest in the central polar cap. The results are consistent with the well-known two-cell plasma convection pattern of the high-latitude ionosphere, which is approximately aligned with L shells at auroral regions and crossing different L shells for a significant part of the polar cap. In the Southern Hemisphere, the perturbation structures exhibit noticeable misalignment to the local L shells. Here the direction toward the Sun has an additional influence on the plasma structure, which we attribute to photoionization effects. The larger offset between geographic and geomagnetic poles in the south than in the north is responsible for the hemispheric difference. Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JA023086 SN - 2169-9380 SN - 2169-9402 VL - 122 IS - 1 SP - 1338 EP - 1359 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rodríguez Zuluaga, Juan A1 - Stolle, Claudia A1 - Yamazaki, Yosuke A1 - Xiong, Chao A1 - England, Scott L. T1 - A synoptic-scale wavelike structure in the nighttime equatorial ionization anomaly JF - Earth and Space Science : ESS N2 - Both ground- and satellite-based airglow imaging have significantly contributed to understanding the low-latitude ionosphere, especially the morphology and dynamics of the equatorial ionization anomaly (EIA). The NASA Global-scale Observations of the Limb and Disk (GOLD) mission focuses on far-ultraviolet airglow images from a geostationary orbit at 47.5 degrees W. This region is of particular interest at low magnetic latitudes because of the high magnetic declination (i.e., about -20 degrees) and proximity of the South Atlantic magnetic anomaly. In this study, we characterize an exciting feature of the nighttime EIA using GOLD observations from October 5, 2018 to June 30, 2020. It consists of a wavelike structure of a few thousand kilometers seen as poleward and equatorward displacements of the EIA-crests. Initial analyses show that the synoptic-scale structure is symmetric about the dip equator and appears nearly stationary with time over the night. In quasi-dipole coordinates, maxima poleward displacements of the EIA-crests are seen at about +/- 12 degrees latitude and around 20 and 60 degrees longitude (i.e., in geographic longitude at the dip equator, about 53 degrees W and 14 degrees W). The wavelike structure presents typical zonal wavelengths of about 6.7 x 10(3) km and 3.3 x 10(3) km. The structure's occurrence and wavelength are highly variable on a day-to-day basis with no apparent dependence on geomagnetic activity. In addition, a cluster or quasi-periodic wave train of equatorial plasma depletions (EPDs) is often detected within the synoptic-scale structure. We further outline the difference in observing these EPDs from FUV images and in situ measurements during a GOLD and Swarm mission conjunction. KW - equatorial ionization anomaly KW - equatorial ionosphere KW - equatorial plasma bubbles KW - wave structure KW - forcing from below Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EA001529 SN - 2333-5084 VL - 8 IS - 2 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Malden, Mass. ER - TY - THES A1 - Rudorf, Sophia T1 - Protein Synthesis by Ribosomes Y1 - 2014 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Saggioro, Elena A1 - de Wiljes, Jana A1 - Kretschmer, Marlene A1 - Runge, Jakob T1 - Reconstructing regime-dependent causal relationships from observational time series JF - Chaos : an interdisciplinary journal of nonlinear science N2 - Inferring causal relations from observational time series data is a key problem across science and engineering whenever experimental interventions are infeasible or unethical. Increasing data availability over the past few decades has spurred the development of a plethora of causal discovery methods, each addressing particular challenges of this difficult task. In this paper, we focus on an important challenge that is at the core of time series causal discovery: regime-dependent causal relations. Often dynamical systems feature transitions depending on some, often persistent, unobserved background regime, and different regimes may exhibit different causal relations. Here, we assume a persistent and discrete regime variable leading to a finite number of regimes within which we may assume stationary causal relations. To detect regime-dependent causal relations, we combine the conditional independence-based PCMCI method [based on a condition-selection step (PC) followed by the momentary conditional independence (MCI) test] with a regime learning optimization approach. PCMCI allows for causal discovery from high-dimensional and highly correlated time series. Our method, Regime-PCMCI, is evaluated on a number of numerical experiments demonstrating that it can distinguish regimes with different causal directions, time lags, and sign of causal links, as well as changes in the variables' autocorrelation. Furthermore, Regime-PCMCI is employed to observations of El Nino Southern Oscillation and Indian rainfall, demonstrating skill also in real-world datasets. Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1063/5.0020538 SN - 1054-1500 SN - 1089-7682 SN - 1527-2443 VL - 30 IS - 11 PB - American Institute of Physics CY - Melville ER -