TY - JOUR A1 - Foster, William J. A1 - Heindel, Katrin A1 - Richoz, Sylvain A1 - Gliwa, Jana A1 - Lehrmann, Daniel J. A1 - Baud, Aymon A1 - Kolar-Jurkovsek, Tea A1 - Aljinovic, Dunja A1 - Jurkovsek, Bogdan A1 - Korn, Dieter A1 - Martindale, Rowan C. A1 - Peckmann, Jörn T1 - Suppressed competitive exclusion enabled the proliferation of Permian/Triassic boundary microbialites JF - The Depositional Record : the open access journal of the International Association of Sedimentologists N2 - During the earliest Triassic microbial mats flourished in the photic zones of marginal seas, generating widespread microbialites. It has been suggested that anoxic conditions in shallow marine environments, linked to the end-Permian mass extinction, limited mat-inhibiting metazoans allowing for this microbialite expansion. The presence of a diverse suite of proxies indicating oxygenated shallow sea-water conditions (metazoan fossils, biomarkers and redox proxies) from microbialite successions have, however, challenged the inference of anoxic conditions. Here, the distribution and faunal composition of Griesbachian microbialites from China, Iran, Turkey, Armenia, Slovenia and Hungary are investigated to determine the factors that allowed microbialite-forming microbial mats to flourish following the end-Permian crisis. The results presented here show that Neotethyan microbial buildups record a unique faunal association due to the presence of keratose sponges, while the Palaeotethyan buildups have a higher proportion of molluscs and the foraminifera Earlandia. The distribution of the faunal components within the microbial fabrics suggests that, except for the keratose sponges and some microconchids, most of the metazoans were transported into the microbial framework via wave currents. The presence of both microbialites and metazoan associations were limited to oxygenated settings, suggesting that a factor other than anoxia resulted in a relaxation of ecological constraints following the mass extinction event. It is inferred that the end-Permian mass extinction event decreased the diversity and abundance of metazoans to the point of significantly reducing competition, allowing photosynthesis-based microbial mats to flourish in shallow water settings and resulting in the formation of widespread microbialites. KW - Competitive exclusion KW - Permian KW - Triassic KW - mass extinction KW - microbialites KW - palaeoecology Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/dep2.97 SN - 2055-4877 VL - 6 IS - 1 SP - 62 EP - 74 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Manzoni, Stefano A1 - Capek, Petr A1 - Porada, Philipp A1 - Thurner, Martin A1 - Winterdahl, Mattias A1 - Beer, Christian A1 - Bruchert, Volker A1 - Frouz, Jan A1 - Herrmann, Anke M. A1 - Lindahl, Bjorn D. A1 - Lyon, Steve W. A1 - Šantrůčková, Hana A1 - Vico, Giulia A1 - Way, Danielle T1 - Reviews and syntheses BT - Carbon use efficiency from organisms to ecosystems - definitions, theories, and empirical evidence JF - Biogeosciences N2 - The cycling of carbon (C) between the Earth surface and the atmosphere is controlled by biological and abiotic processes that regulate C storage in biogeochemical compartments and release to the atmosphere. This partitioning is quantified using various forms of C-use efficiency (CUE) - the ratio of C remaining in a system to C entering that system. Biological CUE is the fraction of C taken up allocated to biosynthesis. In soils and sediments, C storage depends also on abiotic processes, so the term C-storage efficiency (CSE) can be used. Here we first review and reconcile CUE and CSE definitions proposed for autotrophic and heterotrophic organisms and communities, food webs, whole ecosystems and watersheds, and soils and sediments using a common mathematical framework. Second, we identify general CUE patterns; for example, the actual CUE increases with improving growth conditions, and apparent CUE decreases with increasing turnover. We then synthesize > 5000CUE estimates showing that CUE decreases with increasing biological and ecological organization - from uni-cellular to multicellular organisms and from individuals to ecosystems. We conclude that CUE is an emergent property of coupled biological-abiotic systems, and it should be regarded as a flexible and scale-dependent index of the capacity of a given system to effectively retain C. Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-5929-2018 SN - 1726-4170 SN - 1726-4189 VL - 15 IS - 19 SP - 5929 EP - 5949 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Bielcik, Milos A1 - Aguilar-Trigueros, Carlos A. A1 - Lakovic, Milica A1 - Jeltsch, Florian A1 - Rillig, Matthias C. T1 - The role of active movement in fungal ecology and community assembly JF - Movement Ecology N2 - Movement ecology aims to provide common terminology and an integrative framework of movement research across all groups of organisms. Yet such work has focused on unitary organisms so far, and thus the important group of filamentous fungi has not been considered in this context. With the exception of spore dispersal, movement in filamentous fungi has not been integrated into the movement ecology field. At the same time, the field of fungal ecology has been advancing research on topics like informed growth, mycelial translocations, or fungal highways using its own terminology and frameworks, overlooking the theoretical developments within movement ecology. We provide a conceptual and terminological framework for interdisciplinary collaboration between these two disciplines, and show how both can benefit from closer links: We show how placing the knowledge from fungal biology and ecology into the framework of movement ecology can inspire both theoretical and empirical developments, eventually leading towards a better understanding of fungal ecology and community assembly. Conversely, by a greater focus on movement specificities of filamentous fungi, movement ecology stands to benefit from the challenge to evolve its concepts and terminology towards even greater universality. We show how our concept can be applied for other modular organisms (such as clonal plants and slime molds), and how this can lead towards comparative studies with the relationship between organismal movement and ecosystems in the focus. KW - Filamentous fungi KW - Microbial community KW - Active movement KW - Modular organisms KW - Interference competition KW - Fungal space searching algorithms KW - Fungal foraging KW - Fungal highways KW - Clonal plants KW - Slime molds Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1186/s40462-019-0180-6 SN - 2051-3933 VL - 7 IS - 1 PB - BMC CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Costa Tomaz de Souza, Arthur A1 - Ayzel, Georgy A1 - Heistermann, Maik T1 - Quantifying the location error of precipitation nowcasts JF - Advances in meteorology N2 - In precipitation nowcasting, it is common to track the motion of precipitation in a sequence of weather radar images and to extrapolate this motion into the future. The total error of such a prediction consists of an error in the predicted location of a precipitation feature and an error in the change of precipitation intensity over lead time. So far, verification measures did not allow isolating the extent of location errors, making it difficult to specifically improve nowcast models with regard to location prediction. In this paper, we introduce a framework to directly quantify the location error. To that end, we detect and track scale-invariant precipitation features (corners) in radar images. We then consider these observed tracks as the true reference in order to evaluate the performance (or, inversely, the error) of any model that aims to predict the future location of a precipitation feature. Hence, the location error of a forecast at any lead time Delta t ahead of the forecast time t corresponds to the Euclidean distance between the observed and the predicted feature locations at t + Delta t. Based on this framework, we carried out a benchmarking case study using one year worth of weather radar composites of the German Weather Service. We evaluated the performance of four extrapolation models, two of which are based on the linear extrapolation of corner motion from t - 1 to t (LK-Lin1) and t - 4 to t (LK-Lin4) and the other two are based on the Dense Inverse Search (DIS) method: motion vectors obtained from DIS are used to predict feature locations by linear (DIS-Lin1) and Semi-Lagrangian extrapolation (DIS-Rot1). Of those four models, DIS-Lin1 and LK-Lin4 turned out to be the most skillful with regard to the prediction of feature location, while we also found that the model skill dramatically depends on the sinuosity of the observed tracks. The dataset of 376,125 detected feature tracks in 2016 is openly available to foster the improvement of location prediction in extrapolation-based nowcasting models. KW - inuosity Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1155/2020/8841913 SN - 1687-9309 SN - 1687-9317 VL - 2020 PB - Hindawi CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Oguntunde, Philip G. A1 - Abiodun, Babatunde Joseph A1 - Lischeid, Gunnar A1 - Abatan, Abayomi A. T1 - Droughts projection over the Niger and Volta River basins of West Africa at specific global warming levels JF - International Journal of Climatology N2 - This study investigates possible impacts of four global warming levels (GWLs: GWL1.5, GWL2.0, GWL2.5, and GWL3.0) on drought characteristics over Niger River basin (NRB) and Volta River basin (VRB). Two drought indices-Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI)-were employed in characterizing droughts in 20 multi-model simulation outputs from the Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX). The performance of the simulation in reproducing basic hydro-climatological features and severe drought characteristics (i.e., magnitude and frequency) in the basins were evaluated. The projected changes in the future drought frequency were quantified and compared under the four GWLs for two climate forcing scenarios (RCP8.5 and RCP4.5). The regional climate model (RCM) ensemble gives a realistic simulation of historical hydro-climatological variables needed to calculate the drought indices. With SPEI, the simulation ensemble projects an increase in the magnitude and frequency of severe droughts over both basins (NRB and VRB) at all GWLs, but the increase, which grows with the GWLs, is higher over NRB than over VRB. More than 75% of the simulations agree on the projected increase at GWL1.5 and all simulations agree on the increase at higher GWLs. With SPI, the projected changes in severe drought is weaker and the magnitude remains the same at all GWLs, suggesting that SPI projection may underestimate impacts of the GWLs on the intensity and severity of future drought. The results of this study have application in mitigating impact of global warming on future drought risk over the regional water systems. KW - climate change KW - drought index KW - global warming levels KW - river basins KW - West Africa KW - CORDEX data Y1 - 2019 VL - 40 IS - 13 PB - John Wiley & Sons, Inc. CY - New Jersey ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Marcisz, Katarzyna A1 - Jassey, Vincent E. J. A1 - Kosakyan, Anush A1 - Krashevska, Valentyna A1 - Lahr, Daniel J. G. A1 - Lara, Enrique A1 - Lamentowicz, Lukasz A1 - Lamentowicz, Mariusz A1 - Macumber, Andrew A1 - Mazei, Yuri A1 - Mitchell, Edward A. D. A1 - Nasser, Nawaf A. A1 - Patterson, R. Timothy A1 - Roe, Helen M. A1 - Singer, David A1 - Tsyganov, Andrey N. A1 - Fournier, Bertrand T1 - Testate amoeba functional traits and their use in paleoecology JF - Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution N2 - This review provides a synthesis of current knowledge on the morphological and functional traits of testate amoebae, a polyphyletic group of protists commonly used as proxies of past hydrological changes in paleoecological investigations from peatland, lake sediment and soil archives. A trait-based approach to understanding testate amoebae ecology and paleoecology has gained in popularity in recent years, with research showing that morphological characteristics provide complementary information to the commonly used environmental inferences based on testate amoeba (morpho-)species data. We provide a broad overview of testate amoeba morphological and functional traits and trait-environment relationships in the context of ecology, evolution, genetics, biogeography, and paleoecology. As examples we report upon previous ecological and paleoecological studies that used trait-based approaches, and describe key testate amoebae traits that can be used to improve the interpretation of environmental studies. We also highlight knowledge gaps and speculate on potential future directions for the application of trait-based approaches in testate amoeba research. KW - protists KW - functional traits KW - morphological traits KW - ecology KW - peatlands KW - lakes KW - soils KW - trait-based approaches Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3389/fevo.2020.575966 SN - 2296-701X VL - 8 PB - Frontiers Media CY - Lausanne ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zingraff-Hamed, Aude A1 - Hüesker, Frank A1 - Lupp, Gerd A1 - Begg, Chloe A1 - Huang, Josh A1 - Oen, Amy M. P. A1 - Vojinović, Zoran A1 - Kuhlicke, Christian A1 - Pauleit, Stephan T1 - Stakeholder mapping to co-create nature-based solutions BT - who is on board? JF - Sustainability N2 - Nature-based solutions (NBS) are inspired and supported by nature but designed by humans. Historically, governmental stakeholders have aimed to control nature using a top-down approach; more recently, environmental governance has shifted to collaborative planning. Polycentric governance and co-creation procedures, which include a large spectrum of stakeholders, are assumed to be more effective in the management of public goods than traditional approaches. In this context, NBS projects should benefit from strong collaborative governance models, and the European Union is facilitating and encouraging such models. While some theoretical approaches exist, setting-up the NBS co-creation process (namely co-design and co-implementation) currently relies mostly on self-organized stakeholders rather than on strategic decisions. As such, systematic methods to identify relevant stakeholders seem to be crucial to enable higher planning efficiency, reduce bottlenecks and time needed for planning, designing, and implementing NBS. In this context, this contribution is based on the analysis of 16 NBS and 359 stakeholders. Real-life constellations are compared to theoretical typologies, and a systematic stakeholder mapping method to support co-creation is presented. Rather than making one-fit-all statements about the "right" stakeholders, the contribution provides insights for those "in charge" to strategically consider who might be involved at each stage of the NBS project. KW - ecosystem-based KW - natural hazard mitigation KW - participative planning KW - co-design KW - polycentric governance KW - living labs KW - societal resilience KW - sustainable development goals Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/su12208625 SN - 2071-1050 VL - 12 IS - 20 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - de Brito, Mariana Madruga A1 - Kuhlicke, Christian A1 - Marx, Andreas T1 - Near-real-time drought impact assessment BT - a text mining approach on the 2018/19 drought in Germany JF - Environmental research letters N2 - Contemporary drought impact assessments have been constrained due to data availability, leading to an incomplete representation of impact trends. To address this, we present a novel method for the comprehensive and near-real-time monitoring of drought socio-economic impacts based on media reports. We tested its application using the case of the exceptional 2018/19 German drought. By employing text mining techniques, 4839 impact statements were identified, relating to livestock, agriculture, forestry, fires, recreation, energy and transport sectors. An accuracy of 95.6% was obtained for their automatic classification. Furthermore, high levels of performance in terms of spatial and temporal precision were found when validating our results against independent data (e.g. soil moisture, average precipitation, population interest in droughts, crop yield and forest fire statistics). The findings highlight the applicability of media data for rapidly and accurately monitoring the propagation of drought consequences over time and space. We anticipate our method to be used as a starting point for an impact-based early warning system. KW - drought impacts KW - Germany KW - text analytics KW - newspaper KW - validation Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aba4ca SN - 1748-9326 VL - 15 IS - 10 PB - IOP Publ. CY - Bristol ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zoll, Felix A1 - Diehl, Katharina A1 - Siebert, Rosemarie T1 - Integrating sustainability goals in innovation processes BT - applying a decision support tool in a dual-purpose chicken case study JF - Sustainability N2 - The innovative dual-purpose chicken approach aims at contributing to the transition towards sustainable poultry production by avoiding the culling of male chickens. To successfully integrate sustainability aspects into innovation, goal congruency among actors and clearly communicating the added value within the actor network and to consumers is needed. The challenge of identifying common sustainability goals calls for decision support tools. The objectives of our research were to investigate whether the tool could assist in improving communication and marketing with respect to sustainability and optimizing the value chain organization. Three actor groups participated in the tool application, in which quantitative and qualitative data were collected. The results showed that there were manifold sustainability goals within the innovation network, but only some goals overlapped, and the perception of their implementation also diverged. While easily marketable goals such as ‘animal welfare’ were perceived as being largely implemented, economic goals were prioritized less often, and the implementation was perceived as being rather low. By visualizing congruencies and differences in the goals, the tool helped identify fields of action, such as improved information flows and prompted thinking processes. We conclude that the tool is useful for managing complex decision processes with several actors involved. KW - value-based sustainability assessment KW - stakeholder participation KW - niche level KW - culling of male chickens KW - mixed methods Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/su11143761 SN - 2071-1050 VL - 11 IS - 14 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Hudson, Paul A1 - Hagedoorn, Liselotte A1 - Bubeck, Philip T1 - Potential linkages between social capital, flood risk perceptions, and self-efficacy JF - International journal of disaster risk science N2 - A growing focus is being placed on both individuals and communities to adapt to flooding as part of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction 2015-2030. Adaptation to flooding requires sufficient social capital (linkages between members of society), risk perceptions (understanding of risk), and self-efficacy (self-perceived ability to limit disaster impacts) to be effective. However, there is limited understanding of how social capital, risk perceptions, and self-efficacy interact. We seek to explore how social capital interacts with variables known to increase the likelihood of successful adaptation. To study these linkages we analyze survey data of 1010 respondents across two communities in Thua Tien-Hue Province in central Vietnam, using ordered probit models. We find positive correlations between social capital, risk perceptions, and self-efficacy overall. This is a partly contrary finding to what was found in previous studies linking these concepts in Europe, which may be a result from the difference in risk context. The absence of an overall negative exchange between these factors has positive implications for proactive flood risk adaptation. KW - flood risk KW - protection motivation theory KW - risk perceptions KW - social KW - capital KW - self-efficacy KW - Vietnam Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s13753-020-00259-w SN - 2095-0055 SN - 2192-6395 VL - 11 IS - 3 SP - 251 EP - 262 PB - Springer CY - Berlin ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Tötzke, Christian A1 - Cermak, Jan A1 - Nadezhdina, Nadezhda A1 - Tributsch, Helmut T1 - Electrochemical in-situ studies of solar mediated oxygen transport and turnover dynamics in a tree trunk of Tilia cordata JF - iForest - Biogeosciences and Forestry N2 - Platinum electrodes were implanted into the xylem of a lime tree (Tilia cordata) stem and solar- induced electrochemical potential differences of up to 120 mV were measured during the vegetative period and up to 30 mV in winter. The time dependent curves were found to be delayed with respect to solar radiation, sap flow activity, temperature and vapor pressure deficit. A general equation for the potential difference was derived and simplified by analyzing the effect of temperature and tensile strength. The potential determining influence of oxygen concentration on the respective location of the platinum electrode was identified as the principal phenomenon measured. A systematic analysis and investigation of the observed periodic oxygen concentration signals promises new information on sap flow, oxygen diffusion through tree tissues and on oxygen consumption related to the energy turnover in tree tissues. KW - Tree Stems KW - Oxygen Transport KW - Xylem KW - Sap Flow KW - Tree Metabolism KW - Electrical Potential Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3832/ifor1681-010 SN - 1971-7458 VL - 10 IS - 2 SP - 355 EP - 361 PB - SISEF - The Italian Society of Silviculture and Forest Ecology CY - Potenza ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Vogel, Johannes A1 - Paton, Eva Nora A1 - Aich, Valentin T1 - Seasonal ecosystem vulnerability to climatic anomalies in the Mediterranean JF - Biogeosciences N2 - Mediterranean ecosystems are particularly vulnerable to climate change and the associated increase in climate anomalies. This study investigates extreme ecosystem responses evoked by climatic drivers in the Mediterranean Basin for the time span 1999–2019 with a specific focus on seasonal variations as the seasonal timing of climatic anomalies is considered essential for impact and vulnerability assessment. A bivariate vulnerability analysis is performed for each month of the year to quantify which combinations of the drivers temperature (obtained from ERA5-Land) and soil moisture (obtained from ESA CCI and ERA5-Land) lead to extreme reductions in ecosystem productivity using the fraction of absorbed photosynthetically active radiation (FAPAR; obtained from the Copernicus Global Land Service) as a proxy. The bivariate analysis clearly showed that, in many cases, it is not just one but a combination of both drivers that causes ecosystem vulnerability. The overall pattern shows that Mediterranean ecosystems are prone to three soil moisture regimes during the yearly cycle: they are vulnerable to hot and dry conditions from May to July, to cold and dry conditions from August to October, and to cold conditions from November to April, illustrating the shift from a soil-moisture-limited regime in summer to an energy-limited regime in winter. In late spring, a month with significant vulnerability to hot conditions only often precedes the next stage of vulnerability to both hot and dry conditions, suggesting that high temperatures lead to critically low soil moisture levels with a certain time lag. In the eastern Mediterranean, the period of vulnerability to hot and dry conditions within the year is much longer than in the western Mediterranean. Our results show that it is crucial to account for both spatial and temporal variability to adequately assess ecosystem vulnerability. The seasonal vulnerability approach presented in this study helps to provide detailed insights regarding the specific phenological stage of the year in which ecosystem vulnerability to a certain climatic condition occurs. How to cite. Vogel, J., Paton, E., and Aich, V.: Seasonal ecosystem vulnerability to climatic anomalies in the Mediterranean, Biogeosciences, 18, 5903–5927, https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-5903-2021, 2021. Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-5903-2021 SN - 1726-4189 VL - 18 SP - 5903 EP - 5927 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ET - 22 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Bürger, Gerd T1 - A seamless filter for daily to seasonal forecasts, with applications to Iran and Brazil JF - Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society N2 - A digital filter is introduced which treats the problem of predictability versus time averaging in a continuous, seamless manner. This seamless filter (SF) is characterized by a unique smoothing rule that determines the strength of smoothing in dependence on lead time. The rule needs to be specified beforehand, either by expert knowledge or by user demand. As a result, skill curves are obtained that allow a predictability assessment across a whole range of time-scales, from daily to seasonal, in a uniform manner. The SF is applied to downscaled SEAS5 ensemble forecasts for two focus regions in or near the tropical belt, the river basins of the Karun in Iran and the Sao Francisco in Brazil. Both are characterized by strong seasonality and semi-aridity, so that predictability across various time-scales is in high demand. Among other things, it is found that from the start of the water year (autumn), areal precipitation is predictable with good skill for the Karun basin two and a half months ahead; for the Sao Francisco it is only one month, longer-term prediction skill is just above the critical level. KW - climate drift KW - ensemble prediction KW - seamless prediction KW - seasonal forecast skill Y1 - 2019 VL - 146 IS - 726 PB - WILEY-VCH CY - Weinheim ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Hodgkins, Suzanne B. A1 - Richardson, Curtis J. A1 - Dommain, Rene A1 - Wang, Hongjun A1 - Glaser, Paul H. A1 - Verbeke, Brittany A1 - Winkler, B. Rose A1 - Cobb, Alexander R. A1 - Rich, Virginia I. A1 - Missilmani, Malak A1 - Flanagan, Neal A1 - Ho, Mengchi A1 - Hoyt, Alison M. A1 - Harvey, Charles F. A1 - Vining, S. Rose A1 - Hough, Moira A. A1 - Moore, Tim R. A1 - Richard, Pierre J. H. A1 - De la Cruz, Florentino B. A1 - Toufaily, Joumana A1 - Hamdan, Rasha A1 - Cooper, William T. A1 - Chanton, Jeffrey P. T1 - Tropical peatland carbon storage linked to global latitudinal trends in peat recalcitrance JF - Nature Communications N2 - Peatlands represent large terrestrial carbon banks. Given that most peat accumulates in boreal regions, where low temperatures and water saturation preserve organic matter, the existence of peat in (sub)tropical regions remains enigmatic. Here we examined peat and plant chemistry across a latitudinal transect from the Arctic to the tropics. Near-surface low-latitude peat has lower carbohydrate and greater aromatic content than near-surface high-latitude peat, creating a reduced oxidation state and resulting recalcitrance. This recalcitrance allows peat to persist in the (sub)tropics despite warm temperatures. Because we observed similar declines in carbohydrate content with depth in high-latitude peat, our data explain recent field-scale deep peat warming experiments in which catotelm (deeper) peat remained stable despite temperature increases up to 9 degrees C. We suggest that high-latitude deep peat reservoirs may be stabilized in the face of climate change by their ultimately lower carbohydrate and higher aromatic composition, similar to tropical peats. Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-06050-2 SN - 2041-1723 VL - 9 PB - Nature Publ. Group CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Graf, Lukas A1 - Moreno-de-las-Heras, Mariano A1 - Ruiz, Maurici A1 - Calsamiglia, Aleix A1 - García-Comendador, Julián A1 - Fortesa, Josep A1 - López-Tarazón, José A. A1 - Estrany, Joan T1 - Accuracy assessment of digital terrain model dataset sources for hydrogeomorphological modelling in small mediterranean catchments JF - Remote sensing N2 - Digital terrain models (DTMs) are a fundamental source of information in Earth sciences. DTM-based studies, however, can contain remarkable biases if limitations and inaccuracies in these models are disregarded. In this work, four freely available datasets, including Shuttle Radar Topography Mission C-Band Synthetic Aperture Radar (SRTM C-SAR V3 DEM), Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer Global Digital Elevation Map (ASTER GDEM V2), and two nationwide airborne light detection and ranging (LiDAR)-derived DTMs (at 5-m and 1-m spatial resolution, respectively) were analysed in three geomorphologically contrasting, small (3–5 km2) catchments located in Mediterranean landscapes under intensive human influence (Mallorca Island, Spain). Vertical accuracy as well as the influence of each dataset’s characteristics on hydrological and geomorphological modelling applicability were assessed by using ground-truth data, classic geometric and morphometric parameters, and a recently proposed index of sediment connectivity. Overall vertical accuracy—expressed as the root mean squared error (RMSE) and normalised median deviation (NMAD)—revealed the highest accuracy for the 1-m (RMSE = 1.55 m; NMAD = 0.44 m) and 5-m LiDAR DTMs (RMSE = 1.73 m; NMAD = 0.84 m). Vertical accuracy of the SRTM data was lower (RMSE = 6.98 m; NMAD = 5.27 m), but considerably higher than for the ASTER data (RMSE = 16.10 m; NMAD = 11.23 m). All datasets were affected by systematic distortions. Propagation of these errors and coarse horizontal resolution caused negative impacts on flow routing, stream network, and catchment delineation, and to a lower extent, on the distribution of slope values. These limitations should be carefully considered when applying DTMs for catchment hydrogeomorphological modelling. KW - digital terrain models KW - DTM vertical accuracy KW - DTM comparison KW - hydrogeomorphological modelling KW - Mediterranean catchments Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/rs10122014 SN - 2072-4292 VL - 10 IS - 12 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Skinner, Christopher J. A1 - Coulthard, Tom J. A1 - Schwanghart, Wolfgang A1 - Van De Wiel, Marco J. A1 - Hancock, Greg T1 - Global sensitivity analysis of parameter uncertainty in landscape evolution models JF - Geoscientific model development : an interactive open access journal of the European Geosciences Union N2 - The evaluation and verification of landscape evolution models (LEMs) has long been limited by a lack of suitable observational data and statistical measures which can fully capture the complexity of landscape changes. This lack of data limits the use of objective function based evaluation prolific in other modelling fields, and restricts the application of sensitivity analyses in the models and the consequent assessment of model uncertainties. To overcome this deficiency, a novel model function approach has been developed, with each model function representing an aspect of model behaviour, which allows for the application of sensitivity analyses. The model function approach is used to assess the relative sensitivity of the CAESAR-Lisflood LEM to a set of model parameters by applying the Morris method sensitivity analysis for two contrasting catchments. The test revealed that the model was most sensitive to the choice of the sediment transport formula for both catchments, and that each parameter influenced model behaviours differently, with model functions relating to internal geomorphic changes responding in a different way to those relating to the sediment yields from the catchment outlet. The model functions proved useful for providing a way of evaluating the sensitivity of LEMs in the absence of data and methods for an objective function approach. Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-4873-2018 SN - 1991-959X SN - 1991-9603 VL - 11 IS - 12 SP - 4873 EP - 4888 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ayzel, Georgy A1 - Izhitskiy, Alexander T1 - Climate Change Impact Assessment on Freshwater Inflow into the Small Aral Sea JF - Water N2 - During the last few decades, the rapid separation of the Small Aral Sea from the isolated basin has changed its hydrological and ecological conditions tremendously. In the present study, we developed and validated the hybrid model for the Syr Darya River basin based on a combination of state-of-the-art hydrological and machine learning models. Climate change impact on freshwater inflow into the Small Aral Sea for the projection period 2007-2099 has been quantified based on the developed hybrid model and bias corrected and downscaled meteorological projections simulated by four General Circulation Models (GCM) for each of three Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios (RCP). The developed hybrid model reliably simulates freshwater inflow for the historical period with a Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency of 0.72 and a Kling-Gupta efficiency of 0.77. Results of the climate change impact assessment showed that the freshwater inflow projections produced by different GCMs are misleading by providing contradictory results for the projection period. However, we identified that the relative runoff changes are expected to be more pronounced in the case of more aggressive RCP scenarios. The simulated projections of freshwater inflow provide a basis for further assessment of climate change impacts on hydrological and ecological conditions of the Small Aral Sea in the 21st Century. KW - Small Aral Sea KW - hydrology KW - climate change KW - modeling KW - machine learning Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/w11112377 SN - 2073-4441 VL - 11 IS - 11 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Marrucci, Monica A1 - Zeilinger, Gerold A1 - Ribolini, Adriano A1 - Schwanghart, Wolfgang T1 - Origin of Knickpoints in an Alpine Context Subject to Different Perturbing Factors, Stura Valley, Maritime Alps (North-Western Italy) JF - Geosciences N2 - Natural catchments are likely to show the existence of knickpoints in their river networks. The origin and genesis of the knickpoints can be manifold, considering that the present morphology is the result of the interactions of different factors such as tectonic movements, quaternary glaciations, river captures, variable lithology, and base-level changes. We analyzed the longitudinal profiles of the river channels in the Stura di Demonte Valley (Maritime Alps) to identify the knickpoints of such an alpine setting and to characterize their origins. The distribution and the geometry of stream profiles were used to identify the possible causes of the changes in stream gradients and to define zones with genetically linked knickpoints. Knickpoints are key geomorphological features for reconstructing the evolution of fluvial dissected basins, when the different perturbing factors affecting the ideally graded fluvial system have been detected. This study shows that even in a regionally small area, perturbations of river profiles are caused by multiple factors. Thus, attributing (automatically)-extracted knickpoints solely to one factor, can potentially lead to incomplete interpretations of catchment evolution. KW - knickpoint KW - river longitudinal profile KW - Maritime Alps Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/geosciences8120443 SN - 2076-3263 VL - 8 IS - 12 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Bormann, Helge A1 - de Brito, Mariana Madruga A1 - Charchousi, Despoina A1 - Chatzistratis, Dimitris A1 - David, Amrei A1 - Grosser, Paula Farina A1 - Kebschull, Jenny A1 - Konis, Alexandros A1 - Koutalakis, Paschalis A1 - Korali, Alkistis A1 - Krauzig, Naomi A1 - Meier, Jessica A1 - Meliadou, Varvara A1 - Meinhardt, Markus A1 - Munnelly, Kieran A1 - Stephan, Christiane A1 - de Vos, Leon Frederik A1 - Dietrich, Jörg A1 - Tzoraki, Ourania T1 - Impact of Hydrological Modellers’ Decisions and Attitude on the Performance of a Calibrated Conceptual Catchment Model BT - Results from a ‘Modelling Contest’ JF - Hydrology N2 - In this study, 17 hydrologists with different experience in hydrological modelling applied the same conceptual catchment model (HBV) to a Greek catchment, using identical data and model code. Calibration was performed manually. Subsequently, the modellers were asked for their experience, their calibration strategy, and whether they enjoyed the exercise. The exercise revealed that there is considerable modellers’ uncertainty even among the experienced modellers. It seemed to be equally important whether the modellers followed a good calibration strategy, and whether they enjoyed modelling. The exercise confirmed previous studies about the benefit of model ensembles: Different combinations of the simulation results (median, mean) outperformed the individual model simulations, while filtering the simulations even improved the quality of the model ensembles. Modellers’ experience, decisions, and attitude, therefore, have an impact on the hydrological model application and should be considered as part of hydrological modelling uncertainty. Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology5040064 SN - 2306-5338 VL - 5 IS - 4 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Vogel, Johannes A1 - Rivoire, Pauline A1 - Deidda, Cristina A1 - Rahimi, Leila A1 - Sauter, Christoph A. A1 - Tschumi, Elisabeth A1 - van der Wiel, Karin A1 - Zhang, Tianyi A1 - Zscheischler, Jakob T1 - Identifying meteorological drivers of extreme impacts BT - an application to simulated crop yields JF - Earth System Dynamics N2 - Compound weather events may lead to extreme impacts that can affect many aspects of society including agriculture. Identifying the underlying mechanisms that cause extreme impacts, such as crop failure, is of crucial importance to improve their understanding and forecasting. In this study, we investigate whether key meteorological drivers of extreme impacts can be identified using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) in a model environment, a method that allows for automated variable selection and is able to handle collinearity between variables. As an example of an extreme impact, we investigate crop failure using annual wheat yield as simulated by the Agricultural Production Systems sIMulator (APSIM) crop model driven by 1600 years of daily weather data from a global climate model (EC-Earth) under present-day conditions for the Northern Hemisphere. We then apply LASSO logistic regression to determine which weather conditions during the growing season lead to crop failure. We obtain good model performance in central Europe and the eastern half of the United States, while crop failure years in regions in Asia and the western half of the United States are less accurately predicted. Model performance correlates strongly with annual mean and variability of crop yields; that is, model performance is highest in regions with relatively large annual crop yield mean and variability. Overall, for nearly all grid points, the inclusion of temperature, precipitation and vapour pressure deficit is key to predict crop failure. In addition, meteorological predictors during all seasons are required for a good prediction. These results illustrate the omnipresence of compounding effects of both meteorological drivers and different periods of the growing season for creating crop failure events. Especially vapour pressure deficit and climate extreme indicators such as diurnal temperature range and the number of frost days are selected by the statistical model as relevant predictors for crop failure at most grid points, underlining their overarching relevance. We conclude that the LASSO regression model is a useful tool to automatically detect compound drivers of extreme impacts and could be applied to other weather impacts such as wildfires or floods. As the detected relationships are of purely correlative nature, more detailed analyses are required to establish the causal structure between drivers and impacts. Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-12-151-2021 SN - 2190-4987 SN - 2190-4979 VL - 12 SP - 151 EP - 172 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Puppe, Daniel A1 - Wanner, Manfred A1 - Sommer, Michael T1 - Data on euglyphid testate amoeba densities, corresponding protozoic silicon pools, and selected soil parameters of initial and forested biogeosystems JF - Data in brief N2 - The dataset in the present article provides information on protozoic silicon (Si) pools represented by euglyphid testate amoebae (TA) in soils of initial and forested biogeosystems. Protozoic Si pools were calculated from densities of euglyphid TA shells and corresponding Si contents. The article also includes data on potential annual biosilicification rates of euglyphid TA at the examined sites. Furthermore, data on selected soil parameters (e.g., readily-available Si, soil pH) and site characteristics (e.g., soil groups, climate data) can be found. The data might be interesting for researchers focusing on biological processes in Si cycling in general and euglyphid TA and corresponding protozoic Si pools in particular. KW - Silicon cycling KW - Biogenic silica KW - Terrestrial biogeosystems KW - Biosilicification KW - Euglyphida Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dib.2018.10.164 SN - 2352-3409 VL - 21 SP - 1697 EP - 1703 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Martin-Lopez, Berta A1 - Leister, Ines A1 - Cruz, Pedro Lorenzo A1 - Palomo, Ignacio A1 - Gret-Regamey, Adrienne A1 - Harrison, Paula A. A1 - Lavorel, Sandra A1 - Locatelli, Bruno A1 - Luque, Sandra A1 - Walz, Ariane T1 - Nature’s contributions to people in mountains BT - a review JF - PLoS one N2 - Mountains play a key role in the provision of nature’s contributions to people (NCP) worldwide that support societies’ quality of life. Simultaneously, mountains are threatened by multiple drivers of change. Due to the complex interlinkages between biodiversity, quality of life and drivers of change, research on NCP in mountains requires interdisciplinary approaches. In this study, we used the conceptual framework of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) and the notion of NCP to determine to what extent previous research on ecosystem services in mountains has explored the different components of the IPBES conceptual framework. We conducted a systematic review of articles on ecosystem services in mountains published up to 2016 using the Web of Science and Scopus databases. Descriptive statistical and network analyses were conducted to explore the level of research on the components of the IPBES framework and their interactions. Our results show that research has gradually become more interdisciplinary by studying higher number of NCP, dimensions of quality of life, and indirect drivers of change. Yet, research focusing on biodiversity, regulating NCP and direct drivers has decreased over time. Furthermore, despite the fact that research on NCP in mountains becoming more policy-oriented over time, mainly in relation to payments for ecosystem services, institutional responses remained underexplored in the reviewed studies. Finally, we discuss the relevant knowledge gaps that should be addressed in future research in order to contribute to IPBES. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0217847 SN - 1932-6203 VL - 14 IS - 6 PB - PLoS CY - San Fransisco ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schoonover, Heather A. A1 - Gret-Regamey, Adrienne A1 - Metzger, Marc J. A1 - Ruiz-Frau, Ana A1 - Santos-Reis, Margarida A1 - Scholte, Samantha S. K. A1 - Walz, Ariane A1 - Nicholas, Kimberly A. T1 - Creating space, aligning motivations, and building trust BT - a practical framework for stakeholder engagement based on experience in 12 ecosystem services case studies JF - Ecology and society : a journal of integrative science for resilience and sustainability N2 - Ecosystem services inherently involve people, whose values help define the benefits of nature's services. It is thus important for researchers to involve stakeholders in ecosystem services research. However, a simple and practicable framework to guide such engagement, and in particular to help researchers anticipate and consider key issues and challenges, has not been well explored. Here, we use experience from the 12 case studies in the European Operational Potential of Ecosystem Research Applications (OPERAs) project to propose a stakeholder engagement framework comprising three key elements: creating space, aligning motivations, and building trust. We argue that involving stakeholders in research demands thoughtful reflection from the researchers about what kind of space they want to create, including if and how they want to bring different interests together, how much space they want to allow for critical discussion, and whether there is a role for particular stakeholders to serve as conduits between others. In addition, understanding their own motivations—including values, knowledge, goals, and desired benefits—will help researchers decide when and how to involve stakeholders, identify areas of common ground and potential disagreement, frame the project appropriately, set expectations, and ensure each party is able to see benefits of engaging with each other. Finally, building relationships with stakeholders can be difficult but considering the roles of existing relationships, time, approach, reputation, and belonging can help build mutual trust. Although the three key elements and the paths between them can play out differently depending on the particular research project, we suggest that a research design that considers how to create the space in which researchers and stakeholders will meet, align motivations between researchers and stakeholders, and build mutual trust will help foster productive researcher–stakeholder relationships. KW - cocreated knowledge KW - ecosystem services KW - participatory research KW - research design KW - stakeholder engagement KW - transdisciplinary research Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-10061-240111 SN - 1708-3087 VL - 24 IS - 1 PB - Resilience Alliance CY - Wolfville ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Muster, Sina A1 - Riley, William J. A1 - Roth, Kurt A1 - Langer, Moritz A1 - Aleina, Fabio Cresto A1 - Koven, Charles D. A1 - Lange, Stephan A1 - Bartsch, Annett A1 - Grosse, Guido A1 - Wilson, Cathy J. A1 - Jones, Benjamin M. A1 - Boike, Julia T1 - Size distributions of arctic waterbodies reveal consistent relations in their statistical moments in space and time JF - Frontiers in Earth Science N2 - Arctic lowlands are characterized by large numbers of small waterbodies, which are known to affect surface energy budgets and the global carbon cycle. Statistical analysis of their size distributions has been hindered by the shortage of observations at sufficiently high spatial resolutions. This situation has now changed with the high-resolution (<5 m) circum-Arctic Permafrost Region Pond and Lake (PeRL) database recently becoming available. We have used this database to make the first consistent, high-resolution estimation of Arctic waterbody size distributions, with surface areas ranging from 0.0001 km(2) (100 m(2)) to 1 km(2). We found that the size distributions varied greatly across the thirty study regions investigated and that there was no single universal size distribution function (including power-law distribution functions) appropriate across all of the study regions. We did, however, find close relationships between the statistical moments (mean, variance, and skewness) of the waterbody size distributions from different study regions. Specifically, we found that the spatial variance increased linearly with mean waterbody size (R-2 = 0.97, p < 2.2e-16) and that the skewness decreased approximately hyperbolically. We have demonstrated that these relationships (1) hold across the 30 Arctic study regions covering a variety of (bio)climatic and permafrost zones, (2) hold over time in two of these study regions for which multi-decadal satellite imagery is available, and (3) can be reproduced by simulating rising water levels in a high-resolution digital elevation model. The consistent spatial and temporal relationships between the statistical moments of the waterbody size distributions underscore the dominance of topographic controls in lowland permafrost areas. These results provide motivation for further analyses of the factors involved in waterbody development and spatial distribution and for investigations into the possibility of using statistical moments to predict future hydrologic dynamics in the Arctic. KW - permafrost KW - hydrology KW - waterbodies KW - size distribution KW - thermokarst KW - statistical moments KW - ponds KW - lakes Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2019.00005 SN - 2296-6463 VL - 7 PB - Frontiers Research Foundation CY - Lausanne ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Hellwig, Niels A1 - Tatti, Dylan A1 - Sartori, Giacomo A1 - Anschlag, Kerstin A1 - Graefe, Ulfert A1 - Egli, Markus A1 - Gobat, Jean-Michel A1 - Broll, Gabriele T1 - Modeling spatial patterns of humus forms in montane and subalpine forests BT - implications of local variability for upscaling JF - Sustainability N2 - Humus forms are a distinctive morphological indicator of soil organic matter decomposition. The spatial distribution of humus forms depends on environmental factors such as topography, climate and vegetation. In montane and subalpine forests, environmental influences show a high spatial heterogeneity, which is reflected by a high spatial variability of humus forms. This study aims at examining spatial patterns of humus forms and their dependence on the spatial scale in a high mountain forest environment (Val di Sole/Val di Rabbi, Trentino, Italian Alps). On the basis of the distributions of environmental covariates across the study area, we described humus forms at the local scale (six sampling sites), slope scale (60 sampling sites) and landscape scale (30 additional sampling sites). The local variability of humus forms was analyzed with regard to the ground cover type. At the slope and landscape scale, spatial patterns of humus forms were modeled applying random forests and ordinary kriging of the model residuals. The results indicate that the occurrence of the humus form classes Mull, Mullmoder, Moder, Amphi and Eroded Moder generally depends on the topographical position. Local-scale patterns are mostly related to micro-topography (local accumulation and erosion sites) and ground cover, whereas slope-scale patterns are mainly connected with slope exposure and elevation. Patterns at the landscape scale show a rather irregular distribution, as spatial models at this scale do not account for local to slope-scale variations of humus forms. Moreover, models at the slope scale perform distinctly better than at the landscape scale. In conclusion, the results of this study highlight that landscape-scale predictions of humus forms should be accompanied by local- and slope-scale studies in order to enhance the general understanding of humus form patterns. KW - soil organic matter decomposition KW - spatial modeling KW - random forest KW - multi-scale analysis KW - forest soils KW - Italian Alps Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/su11010048 SN - 2071-1050 VL - 11 IS - 1 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Barbosa, Luis Romero A1 - de Lira, Nicholas Borges A1 - Rabelo Coelho, Victor Hugo A1 - Bernard Passerat de Silans, Alain Marie A1 - Gadelha, Andre Nobrega A1 - Almeida, Cristiano das Neves T1 - Stability of Soil Moisture Patterns Retrieved at Different Temporal Resolutions in a Tropical Watershed JF - Revista brasileira de ciencias do solo N2 - Above and underground hydrological processes depend on soil moisture (SM) variability, driven by different environmental factors that seldom are well-monitored, leading to a misunderstanding of soil water temporal patterns. This study investigated the stability of the SM temporal dynamics to different monitoring temporal resolutions around the border between two soil types in a tropical watershed. Four locations were instrumented in a small-scale watershed (5.84 km(2)) within the tropical coast of Northeast Brazil, encompassing different soil types (Espodossolo Humiluvico or Carbic Podzol, and Argissolo Vermelho-Amarelo or Haplic Acrisol), land covers (Atlantic Forest, bush vegetation, and grassland) and topographies (flat and moderate slope). The SM was monitored at a temporal resolution of one hour along the 2013-2014 hydrological year and then resampled a resolutions of 6 h, 12 h, 1 day, 2 days, 4 days, 7 days, and 15 days. Descriptive statistics, temporal variability, time-stability ranking, and hierarchical clustering revealed uneven associations among SM time components. The results show that the time-invariant component ruled SM temporal variability over the time-varying parcel, either at high or low temporal resolutions. Time-steps longer than 2 days affected the mean statistical metrics of the SM time-variant parcel. Additionally, SM at downstream and upstream sites behaved differently, suggesting that the temporal mean was regulated by steady soil properties (slope, restrictive layer, and soil texture), whereas their temporal anomalies were driven by climate (rainfall) and hydrogeological (groundwater level) factors. Therefore, it is concluded that around the border between tropical soil types, the distinct behaviour of time-variant and time-invariant components of SM time series reflects different combinations of their soil properties. KW - soil moisture variability KW - time-domain reflectometry KW - temporal resolution KW - Carbic Podzol KW - Haplic Acrisol Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1590/18069657rbcs20180236 SN - 0100-0683 VL - 43 PB - Sociedade Brasileira de Ciencia do Solo CY - Vicosa ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Park, Jungsu A1 - Batalla, Ramon J. A1 - Birgand, Francois A1 - Esteves, Michel A1 - Gentile, Francesco A1 - Harrington, Joseph R. A1 - Navratil, Oldrich A1 - Lopez-Tarazon, José Andrés A1 - Vericat, Damia T1 - Influences of Catchment and River Channel Characteristics on the Magnitude and Dynamics of Storage and Re-Suspension of Fine Sediments in River Beds JF - Water N2 - Fine particles or sediments are one of the important variables that should be considered for the proper management of water quality and aquatic ecosystems. In the present study, the effect of catchment characteristics on the performance of an already developed model for the estimation of fine sediments dynamics between the water column and sediment bed was tested, using 13 catchments distributed worldwide. The model was calibrated to determine two optimal model parameters. The first is the filtration parameter, which represents the filtration of fine sediments through pores of the stream bed during the recession period of a flood event. The second parameter is the bed erosion parameter that represents the active layer, directly related to the re-suspension of fine sediments during a flood event. A dependency of the filtration parameter with the catchment area was observed in catchments smaller than 100 km(2), whereas no particular relationship was observed for larger catchments (>100 km(2)). In contrast, the bed erosion parameter does not show a noticeable dependency with the area or other environmental characteristics. The model estimated the mass of fine sediments released from the sediment bed to the water column during flood events in the 13 catchments within 23% bias. KW - bed erosion KW - catchment area KW - filtration KW - sediment accumulation KW - sediment bed fluidization KW - sediment re-suspension Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/w11050878 SN - 2073-4441 VL - 11 IS - 5 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rusak, James A. A1 - Tanentzap, Andrew J. A1 - Klug, Jennifer L. A1 - Rose, Kevin C. A1 - Hendricks, Susan P. A1 - Jennings, Eleanor A1 - Laas, Alo A1 - Pierson, Donald C. A1 - Ryder, Elizabeth A1 - Smyth, Robyn L. A1 - White, D. S. A1 - Winslow, Luke A. A1 - Adrian, Rita A1 - Arvola, Lauri A1 - de Eyto, Elvira A1 - Feuchtmayr, Heidrun A1 - Honti, Mark A1 - Istvanovics, Vera A1 - Jones, Ian D. A1 - McBride, Chris G. A1 - Schmidt, Silke Regina A1 - Seekell, David A1 - Staehr, Peter A. A1 - Guangwei, Zhu T1 - Wind and trophic status explain within and among-lake variability of algal biomass JF - Limnology and oceanography letters / ASLO, Association for the Sciences of Limnology and Oceanography N2 - Phytoplankton biomass and production regulates key aspects of freshwater ecosystems yet its variability and subsequent predictability is poorly understood. We estimated within-lake variation in biomass using high-frequency chlorophyll fluorescence data from 18 globally distributed lakes. We tested how variation in fluorescence at monthly, daily, and hourly scales was related to high-frequency variability of wind, water temperature, and radiation within lakes as well as productivity and physical attributes among lakes. Within lakes, monthly variation dominated, but combined daily and hourly variation were equivalent to that expressed monthly. Among lakes, biomass variability increased with trophic status while, within-lake biomass variation increased with increasing variability in wind speed. Our results highlight the benefits of high-frequency chlorophyll monitoring and suggest that predicted changes associated with climate, as well as ongoing cultural eutrophication, are likely to substantially increase the temporal variability of algal biomass and thus the predictability of the services it provides. Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/lol2.10093 SN - 2378-2242 VL - 3 IS - 6 SP - 409 EP - 418 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Webber, Heidi A1 - Lischeid, Gunnar A1 - Sommer, Michael A1 - Finger, Robert A1 - Nendel, Claas A1 - Gaiser, Thomas A1 - Ewert, Frank T1 - No perfect storm for crop yield failure in Germany JF - Environmental research letters N2 - Large-scale crop yield failures are increasingly associated with food price spikes and food insecurity and are a large source of income risk for farmers. While the evidence linking extreme weather to yield failures is clear, consensus on the broader set of weather drivers and conditions responsible for recent yield failures is lacking. We investigate this for the case of four major crops in Germany over the past 20 years using a combination of machine learning and process-based modelling. Our results confirm that years associated with widespread yield failures across crops were generally associated with severe drought, such as in 2018 and to a lesser extent 2003. However, for years with more localized yield failures and large differences in spatial patterns of yield failures between crops, no single driver or combination of drivers was identified. Relatively large residuals of unexplained variation likely indicate the importance of non-weather related factors, such as management (pest, weed and nutrient management and possible interactions with weather) explaining yield failures. Models to inform adaptation planning at farm, market or policy levels are here suggested to require consideration of cumulative resource capture and use, as well as effects of extreme events, the latter largely missing in process-based models. However, increasingly novel combinations of weather events under climate change may limit the extent to which data driven methods can replace process-based models in risk assessments. KW - crop yield failure KW - extreme events KW - support vector machine KW - process-based crop model KW - Germany Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/aba2a4 SN - 1748-9326 VL - 15 IS - 10 PB - IOP Publ. Ltd. CY - Bristol ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Tesselaar, Max A1 - Botzen, W. J. Wouter A1 - Haer, Toon A1 - Hudson, Paul A1 - Tiggeloven, Timothy A1 - Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H. T1 - Regional inequalities in flood insurance affordability and uptake under climate change JF - Sustainability N2 - Flood insurance coverage can enhance financial resilience of households to changing flood risk caused by climate change. However, income inequalities imply that not all households can afford flood insurance. The uptake of flood insurance in voluntary markets may decline when flood risk increases as a result of climate change. This increase in flood risk may cause substantially higher risk-based insurance premiums, reduce the willingness to purchase flood insurance, and worsen problems with the unaffordability of coverage for low-income households. A socio-economic tipping-point can occur when the functioning of a formal flood insurance system is hampered by diminishing demand for coverage. In this study, we examine whether such a tipping-point can occur in Europe for current flood insurance systems under different trends in future flood risk caused by climate and socio-economic change. This analysis gives insights into regional inequalities concerning the ability to continue to use flood insurance as an instrument to adapt to changing flood risk. For this study, we adapt the "Dynamic Integrated Flood and Insurance" (DIFI) model by integrating new flood risk simulations in the model that enable examining impacts from various scenarios of climate and socio-economic change on flood insurance premiums and consumer demand. Our results show rising unaffordability and declining demand for flood insurance across scenarios towards 2080. Under a high climate change scenario, simulations show the occurrence of a socio-economic tipping-point in several regions, where insurance uptake almost disappears. A tipping-point and related inequalities in the ability to use flood insurance as an adaptation instrument can be mitigated by introducing reforms of flood insurance arrangements. KW - climate change KW - flood risk management KW - insurance KW - socio-economic KW - tipping-point KW - adaptation KW - partial equilibrium modeling Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/su12208734 SN - 2071-1050 VL - 12 IS - 20 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Pan, Xiaohui A1 - Wang, Weishi A1 - Liu, Tie A1 - Huang, Yue A1 - De Maeyer, Philippe A1 - Guo, Chenyu A1 - Ling, Yunan A1 - Akmalov, Shamshodbek T1 - Quantitative detection and attribution of groundwater level variations in the Amu Darya Delta JF - Water N2 - In the past few decades, the shrinkage of the Aral Sea is one of the biggest ecological catastrophes caused by human activity. To quantify the joint impact of both human activities and climate change on groundwater, the spatiotemporal groundwater dynamic characteristics in the Amu Darya Delta of the Aral Sea from 1999 to 2017 were analyzed, using the groundwater level, climate conditions, remote sensing data, and irrigation information. Statistics analysis was adopted to analyze the trend of groundwater variation, including intensity, periodicity, spatial structure, while the Pearson correlation analysis and principal component analysis (PCA) were used to quantify the impact of climate change and human activities on the variabilities of the groundwater level. Results reveal that the local groundwater dynamic has varied considerably. From 1999 to 2002, the groundwater level dropped from -189 cm to -350 cm. Until 2017, the groundwater level rose back to -211 cm with fluctuation. Seasonally, the fluctuation period of groundwater level and irrigation water was similar, both were about 18 months. Spatially, the groundwater level kept stable within the irrigation area and bare land but fluctuated drastically around the irrigation area. The Pearson correlation analysis reveals that the dynamic of the groundwater level is closely related to irrigation activity within the irrigation area (Nukus: -0.583), while for the place adjacent to the Aral Sea, the groundwater level is closely related to the Large Aral Sea water level (Muynak: 0.355). The results of PCA showed that the cumulative contribution rate of the first three components exceeds 85%. The study reveals that human activities have a great impact on groundwater, effective management, and the development of water resources in arid areas is an essential prerequisite for ecological protection. KW - groundwater level variation KW - climate change KW - human activities KW - statistical analysis KW - Amu Darya Delta Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/w12102869 SN - 2073-4441 VL - 12 IS - 10 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Natho, Stephanie T1 - How Flood Hazard Maps Improve the Understanding of Ecologically Active Floodplains JF - Water / Molecular Diversity Preservation International (MDPI) N2 - Floodplains are threatened ecosystems and are not only ecologically meaningful but also important for humans by creating multiple benefits. Many underlying functions, like nutrient retention, carbon sequestration or water regulation, strongly depend on regular inundation. So far, these are approached on the basis of what are called ‘active floodplains’. Active floodplains, defined as statistically inundated once every 100 years, represent less than 10% of a floodplain’s original size. Still, should this remaining area be considered as one homogenous surface in terms of floodplain function, or are there any alternative approaches to quantify ecologically active floodplains? With the European Flood Hazard Maps, the extent of not only medium floods (T-medium) but also frequent floods (T-frequent) needs to be modelled by all member states of the European Union. For large German rivers, both scenarios were compared to quantify the extent, as well as selected indicators for naturalness derived from inundation. It is assumed that the more naturalness there is, the more inundation and the better the functioning. Real inundation was quantified using measured discharges from relevant gauges over the past 20 years. As a result, land uses indicating strong human impacts changed significantly from T-frequent to T-medium floodplains. Furthermore, the extent, water depth and water volume stored in the T-frequent and T-medium floodplains is significantly different. Even T-frequent floodplains experienced inundation for only half of the considered gauges during the past 20 years. This study gives evidence for considering regulation functions on the basis of ecologically active floodplains, meaning in floodplains with more frequent inundation that T-medium floodplains delineate. KW - active floodplain KW - frequent flood KW - flood hazard map KW - inundation KW - land use Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/w13070937 SN - 2073-4441 VL - 13 IS - 7 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Voit, Paul A1 - Heistermann, Maik T1 - A new index to quantify the extremeness of precipitation across scales JF - NHESS - Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences N2 - Quantifying the extremeness of heavy precipitation allows for the comparison of events. Conventional quantitative indices, however, typically neglect the spatial extent or the duration, while both are important to understand potential impacts. In 2014, the weather extremity index (WEI) was suggested to quantify the extremeness of an event and to identify the spatial and temporal scale at which the event was most extreme. However, the WEI does not account for the fact that one event can be extreme at various spatial and temporal scales. To better understand and detect the compound nature of precipitation events, we suggest complementing the original WEI with a “cross-scale weather extremity index” (xWEI), which integrates extremeness over relevant scales instead of determining its maximum. Based on a set of 101 extreme precipitation events in Germany, we outline and demonstrate the computation of both WEI and xWEI. We find that the choice of the index can lead to considerable differences in the assessment of past events but that the most extreme events are ranked consistently, independently of the index. Even then, the xWEI can reveal cross-scale properties which would otherwise remain hidden. This also applies to the disastrous event from July 2021, which clearly outranks all other analyzed events with regard to both WEI and xWEI. While demonstrating the added value of xWEI, we also identify various methodological challenges along the required computational workflow: these include the parameter estimation for the extreme value distributions, the definition of maximum spatial extent and temporal duration, and the weighting of extremeness at different scales. These challenges, however, also represent opportunities to adjust the retrieval of WEI and xWEI to specific user requirements and application scenarios. Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2791-2022 SN - 1684-9981 VL - 22 SP - 2791 EP - 2805 PB - Copernicus CY - Katlenburg-Lindau ET - 8 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Natho, Stephanie A1 - Tschikof, Martin A1 - Bondar-Kunze, Elisabeth A1 - Hein, Thomas T1 - Modeling the effect of enhanced lateral connectivity on nutrient retention capacity in large river floodplains BT - how much connected floodplain do we need? JF - Frontiers in Environmental Science N2 - Floodplains have been degraded in Central Europe for centuries, resulting in less dynamic and less diverse ecosystems than in the past. They provide essential ecosystem services like nutrient retention to improve overall water quality and thus fulfill naturally what EU legislation demands, but this service is impaired by reduced connectivity patterns. Along the second-longest river in Europe, the Danube, restoration measures have been carried out and are planned for the near future in the Austrian Danube Floodplain National Park in accordance with navigation purposes. We investigated nutrient retention capacity in seven currently differently connected side arms and the effects of proposed restoration measures using two complementary modeling approaches. We modeled nutrient retention capacity in two scenarios considering different hydrological conditions, as well as the consequences of planned restoration measures for side arm connectivity. With existing monitoring data on hydrology, nitrate, and total phosphorus concentrations for three side arms, we applied a statistical model and compared these results to a semi-empirical retention model. The latter was originally developed for larger scales, based on transferable causalities of retention processes and set up for this floodplain with publicly available data. Both model outcomes are in a comparable range for NO3-N (77-198 kg ha(-1)yr(-1)) and TP (1.4-5.7 kg ha(-1)yr(-1)) retention and agree in calculating higher retention in floodplains, where reconnection allows more frequent inundation events. However, the differences in the model results are significant for specific aspects especially during high flows, where the semi-empirical model complements the statistical model. On the other hand, the statistical model complements the semi-empirical model when taking into account nutrient retention at times of no connection between the remaining water bodies left in the floodplain. Overall, both models show clearly that nutrient retention in the Danube floodplains can be enhanced by restoring lateral hydrological reconnection and, for all planned measures, a positive effect on the overall water quality of the Danube River is expected. Still, a frequently hydrologically connected stretch of national park is insufficient to improve the water quality of the whole Upper Danube, and more functional floodplains are required. KW - floodplain KW - lateral hydrological connectivity KW - Danube KW - restoration KW - reconnection KW - inundation KW - nutrient retention KW - modeling Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2020.00074 SN - 2296-665X VL - 8 PB - Frontiers Media CY - Lausanne ER - TY - THES A1 - Lorenz, Theo T1 - Entwicklung eines Konzepts zur Umsetzung des SAMR-Modells im Geographieunterricht BT - Wie lässt sich das SAMR-Modell im Geographieunterricht zielführend umsetzen? T2 - Potsdamer Geographische Praxis N2 - Die Gesellschaft befindet sich längst in einem digitalen Transformationsprozess. Alle gesellschaftlichen Bereiche verändern sich. Man spricht von einer Kultur der Digitalität, die den Leitmedienwechsel vom gedruckten Buch hin zum vernetzten digitalen Endgerät beschreibt. Auch die Institution „Schule“ muss sich diesem Wandel öffnen. Einen wesentlichen Schritt stellt das Strategiepapier der Kultusministerkonferenz „Bildung in der digitalen Welt“ aus dem Jahr 2017 dar. Darin legt sie die wesentlichen Handlungsfelder zu einem digitalen Wandel fest und erweitert den Bildungsauftrag um die „Kompetenzen in der digitalen Welt“. Das sog. SAMR-Modell stellt dabei ein geeignetes Umsetzungs- und Reflektionswerkzeug für den Einsatz digitaler Medien dar. Es strukturiert den Einsatz auf vier Stufen. Die beiden unteren Stufen (Substitution und Augmentation) schreiben der Art und Weise, wie die digitalen Medien genutzt werden, eine Ersatz- oder Verbesserungsfunktion des analogen Lernwerkzeuges zu. Ziel des Modells ist es aber, mithilfe hinzugewonnener digitaler Möglichkeiten, Lernen neu zu gestalten. Da das Modell aus den USA stammt, weist es weder direkten Bezüge zum Strategiepapier der Kultusministerkonferenz noch zu den Bildungsstandards der Geographie auf. Diese wissenschaftliche Arbeit stellt diese Bezüge her. Ziel ist es, auf der Grundlage des SAMR-Modells ein Handlungskonzept für Geographielehrkräfte zu entwickeln. Es zeigt auf, wie sie sowohl fachliche Kompetenzen als auch Kompetenzen in der digitalen Welt systematisch bei den Lernenden fördern können. N2 - The society is situated in a digital transformation process. Every social domain changes. There is a digital culture which describes the shift from a printed book towards the connected digital terminal device. Even the institution “school” has to be open towards this change. One major step appears to be the strategic paper “Bildung in der digitalen Welt” from the Kultusministerkonferenz 2017. Within the paper the major fields of action towards a digital change are determined and the educational challenge is extended by the “Kompetenzen in der digitalen Welt”. The so called SAMR-Model represents an appropriate implementation- and reflectiontool for the utilization of digital media. This utilization can be structured into four levels. The two lower segments (substitution and augmentation) assign an alternative or improving function to the analog learning tool, how digital media can be used. The main goal of the model is to redesign learning with newly acquired digital possibilities. Since the model was invented in the US, no direct references towards the strategic paper of the Kultusministerkonferenz nor towards the educational standards of geography can be made. This academic paper connects those references. The main goal is, based on the foundation of the SAMR-Model, to develop a concept of action for geography teachers. This reveals not only how to support digital competences for learners but also how to support competences regarding the digital world. T3 - Potsdamer Geographische Praxis - 17 KW - digitale Bildung KW - Medienbildung KW - Geographiedidaktik KW - Geographieunterricht KW - digital education KW - media education KW - geography education KW - geography lessons Y1 - 2022 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-538462 SN - 978-3-86956-540-8 SN - 2194-1599 SN - 2194-1602 IS - 17 PB - Universitätsverlag Potsdam CY - Potsdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wehrhan, Marc A1 - Sommer, Michael T1 - A parsimonious approach to estimate soil organic carbon applying Unmanned Aerial System (UAS) multispectral imagery and the topographic position index in a heterogeneous soil landscape JF - Remote sensing / Molecular Diversity Preservation International (MDPI) N2 - Remote sensing plays an increasingly key role in the determination of soil organic carbon (SOC) stored in agriculturally managed topsoils at the regional and field scales. Contemporary Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) carrying low-cost and lightweight multispectral sensors provide high spatial resolution imagery (<10 cm). These capabilities allow integrate of UAS-derived soil data and maps into digitalized workflows for sustainable agriculture. However, the common situation of scarce soil data at field scale might be an obstacle for accurate digital soil mapping. In our case study we tested a fixed-wing UAS equipped with visible and near infrared (VIS-NIR) sensors to estimate topsoil SOC distribution at two fields under the constraint of limited sampling points, which were selected by pedological knowledge. They represent all releva nt soil types along an erosion-deposition gradient; hence, the full feature space in terms of topsoils' SOC status. We included the Topographic Position Index (TPI) as a co-variate for SOC prediction. Our study was performed in a soil landscape of hummocky ground moraines, which represent a significant of global arable land. Herein, small scale soil variability is mainly driven by tillage erosion which, in turn, is strongly dependent on topography. Relationships between SOC, TPI and spectral information were tested by Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) using: (i) single field data (local approach) and (ii) data from both fields (pooled approach). The highest prediction performance determined by a leave-one-out-cross-validation (LOOCV) was obtained for the models using the reflectance at 570 nm in conjunction with the TPI as explanatory variables for the local approach (coefficient of determination (R-2) = 0.91; root mean square error (RMSE) = 0.11% and R-2 = 0.48; RMSE = 0.33, respectively). The local MLR models developed with both reflectance and TPI using values from all points showed high correlations and low prediction errors for SOC content (R-2 = 0.88, RMSE = 0.07%; R-2 = 0.79, RMSE = 0.06%, respectively). The comparison with an enlarged dataset consisting of all points from both fields (pooled approach) showed no improvement of the prediction accuracy but yielded decreased prediction errors. Lastly, the local MLR models were applied to the data of the respective other field to evaluate the cross-field prediction ability. The spatial SOC pattern generally remains unaffected on both fields; differences, however, occur concerning the predicted SOC level. Our results indicate a high potential of the combination of UAS-based remote sensing and environmental covariates, such as terrain attributes, for the prediction of topsoil SOC content at the field scale. The temporal flexibility of UAS offer the opportunity to optimize flight conditions including weather and soil surface status (plant cover or residuals, moisture and roughness) which, otherwise, might obscure the relationship between spectral data and SOC content. Pedologically targeted selection of soil samples for model development appears to be the key for an efficient and effective prediction even with a small dataset. KW - Unmanned Aerial System (UAS) KW - multispectral KW - Topographic Position Index KW - (TPI) KW - Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) KW - soil organic carbon (SOC) KW - agriculture KW - erosion KW - soil landscape KW - hummocky ground moraine Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/rs13183557 SN - 2072-4292 VL - 13 IS - 18 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Paton, Eva A1 - Vogel, Johannes Joscha A1 - Kluge, Björn A1 - Nehls, Thomas T1 - Ausmaß, Trend und Extrema von Dürren im urbanen Raum T1 - Extent, trend and extremes of droughts in urban areas JF - Hydrologie und Wasserbewirtschaftung N2 - Summers are currently perceived to be getting longer, hotter and more extreme - and this impression is reinforced in urban areas by the occurrence of heat island effects in densely built-up areas. To assess the real extent of increasing drought occurrences in German cities, a DWD data set of 31 urban climate stations for the period 1950 to 2019 was analysed using the standardised precipitation index (SPI) with regard to meteorological drought lengths, drought extrema, heat waves and compound events in the form of simultaneously occurring heat waves and drought months. The analysis shows a large degree of heterogeneity within Germany: a severe drought occurred in most cities in 2018, while the year 2018 was among the three years with the longest droughts (since 1950) for only one third of the cities. Some southern and central German cities show a statistically significant increase in drought months per decade since 1950, other cities, mostly in the north and northwest, only show an increase in the past two decades or even no trend at all. The compound analysis of simultaneously occurring heat and drought months shows a strong increase at most stations in the last two decades, whereby the two components are responsible with a very different proportion regionally for the increase in compound events. N2 - In der derzeitigen Wahrnehmung werden die Sommer dürrer, heißer und extremer – dieser Eindruck verstärkt sich im urbanen Raum durch das Auftreten von Hitzeinseleffekten in dicht bebauten Gebieten. Um das wirkliche Ausmaß der Dürre bewerten zu können, wurden Zeitreihendaten von 31 urbanen Klimastationen (DWD) für den Zeitraum 1950 bis 2019 mittels des standardisierten Niederschlagsindex (SPI) bezüglich Dürrelängen, Dürreextrema, Hitzewellen und gleichzeitig auftretenden Hitze- und Dürremonaten ausgewertet. Die Analyse zeigt eine große Heterogenität innerhalb von Deutschland: In den meisten Städten trat 2018 eine lange Dürre von einer durchschnittlichen Dauer von 6 Monaten auf, gleichzeitig gehörte das Jahr 2018 nur bei einem Drittel der Städte zu den drei Jahren mit den längsten Dürren seit 1950. Bei den meisten betrachteten Stationen traten die längsten Dürren in den Jahren 1953, 1971 und 1976 auf. Bei einigen südlichen und mitteldeutschen Städten kann man eine statistisch signifikante Zunahme der Anzahl der Dürremonate pro Dekade seit 1950 verzeichnen. Andere Städte, eher im Norden und Nordwesten gelegen, zeigen nur in den letzten zwei Dekaden eine Zunahme oder gar keinen Trend. Die Compoundanalyse von gleichzeitig auftretenden Hitze- und Dürremonaten zeigt bei den meisten Stationen eine starke Zunahme innerhalb der letzten zwei Dekaden, wobei die beiden Komponenten regional mit einem sehr unterschiedlichen Anteil zur Zunahme der Compoundereignisse beitragen. KW - meteorological droughts KW - heat waves KW - compound events KW - standardised KW - precipitation index (SPI) KW - urban hydrology KW - meteorologische Dürren KW - Hitzewellen KW - Compoundereignisse KW - standardisierter Niederschlagsindex (SPI KW - urbane Hydrologie Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5675/HyWa_2021.1_1 SN - 1439-1783 SN - 2749-859X VL - 65 IS - 1 SP - 5 EP - 16 PB - Bundesanstalt für Gewässerkunde CY - Koblenz ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Susman, Roni A1 - Gütte, Annelie Maja A1 - Weith, Thomas T1 - Drivers of land use conflicts in infrastructural mega projects in coastal areas BT - a case study of Patimban Seaport, Indonesia JF - Land : open access journal N2 - Coastal areas are particularly sensitive because they are complex, and related land use conflicts are more intense than those in noncoastal areas. In addition to representing a unique encounter of natural and socioeconomic factors, coastal areas have become paradigms of progressive urbanisation and economic development. Our study of the infrastructural mega project of Patimban Seaport in Indonesia explores the factors driving land use changes and the subsequent land use conflicts emerging from large-scale land transformation in the course of seaport development and mega project governance. We utilised interviews and questionnaires to investigate institutional aspects and conflict drivers. Specifically, we retrace and investigate the mechanisms guiding how mega project governance, land use planning, and actual land use interact. Therefore, we observe and analyse where land use conflicts emerge and the roles that a lack of stakeholder interest involvement and tenure-responsive planning take in this process. Our findings reflect how mismanagement and inadequate planning processes lead to market failure, land abandonment and dereliction and how they overburden local communities with the costs of mega projects. Enforcing a stronger coherence between land use planning, participation and land tenure within the land governance process in coastal land use development at all levels and raising the capacity of stakeholders to interfere with governance and planning processes will reduce conflicts and lead to sustainable coastal development in Indonesia. KW - infrastructural mega projects KW - land use conflicts KW - land tenure KW - land use KW - planning KW - Patimban Seaport Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/land10060615 SN - 2073-445X VL - 10 IS - 6 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - THES A1 - Burgold, Julia T1 - Erfahrung und Reflexion von Obdachlosigkeit BT - Zur Verständigung über Obdachlosigkeit in der Praxis des Slumming T2 - Potsdamer Geographische Praxis N2 - Die Arbeit gibt einen Einblick in die Verständigungspraxen bei Stadtführungen mit (ehemaligen) Obdachlosen, die in ihrem Selbstverständnis auf die Herstellung von Verständnis, Toleranz und Anerkennung für von Obdachlosigkeit betroffene Personen zielen. Zunächst wird in den Diskurs des Slumtourismus eingeführt und, angesichts der Vielfalt der damit verbundenen Erscheinungsformen, Slumming als organisierte Begegnung mit sozialer Ungleichheit definiert. Die zentralen Diskurslinien und die darin eingewobenen moralischen Positionen werden nachvollzogen und im Rahmen der eigenommenen wissenssoziologischen Perspektive als Ausdruck einer per se polykontexturalen Praxis re-interpretiert. Slumming erscheint dann als eine organisierte Begegnung von Lebensformen, die sich in einer Weise fremd sind, als dass ein unmittelbares Verstehen unwahrscheinlich erscheint und genau aus diesem Grund auf der Basis von gängigen Interpretationen des Common Sense ausgehandelt werden muss. Vor diesem Hintergrund untersucht die vorliegende Arbeit, wie sich Teilnehmer und Stadtführer über die Erfahrung der Obdachlosigkeit praktisch verständigen und welcher Art das hierüber erzeugte Verständnis für die im öffentlichen Diskurs mit vielfältigen stigmatisierenden Zuschreibungen versehenen Obdachlosen ist. Dabei interessiert besonders, in Bezug auf welche Aspekte der Erfahrung von Obdachlosigkeit ein gemeinsames Verständnis möglich wird und an welchen Stellen dieses an Grenzen gerät. Dazu wurden die Gesprächsverläufe auf neun Stadtführungen mit (ehemaligen) obdachlosen Stadtführern unterschiedlicher Anbieter im deutschsprachigen Raum verschriftlicht und mit dem Verfahren der Dokumentarischen Methode ausgewertet. Die vergleichende Betrachtung der Verständigungspraxen eröffnet nicht zuletzt eine differenzierte Perspektive auf die in den Prozessen der Verständigung immer schon eingewobenen Anerkennungspraktiken. Mit Blick auf die moralische Debatte um organisierte Begegnungen mit sozialer Ungleichheit wird dadurch eine ethische Perspektive angeregt, in deren Zentrum Fragen zur Vermittlungsarbeit stehen. N2 - The book provides an insight into the social practices of mutual understanding occurring during city tours with former homeless people, which operate with the goal of increasing understanding, tolerance and recognition for people affected by homelessness. First, the discourse of slum tourism is reviewed and, considering the diversity of this phenomena, the term “slumming” is defined as an organized encounter with social inequality. The central lines of discourse and the moral positions woven into them are thus traced and reinterpreted within the framework of the adopted sociological perspective of knowledge as an expression of a polycontextural practice per se. Through this lens, slumming then appears as an organized encounter of ways of life that are alien to each other in a way that defies immediate understanding, and for this very reason must be negotiated on the basis of common sense interpretations. Against this background, this study examines how participants and city guides communicate about the experience of homelessness and focusses on the thereby generated kind of understanding of homelessness. Of particular interest here are the possibilities and limits of the mutual understanding between the former homeless guides and their predominantly bourgeois attendees. For this purpose, the transcripts of conversations taken during nine city tours from different providers in German-speaking countries were analyzed using the procedure of the documentary method. This comparative examination offers not least a differentiated perspective on the practices of recognition that are always inherent in the processes of understanding. Concerning the moral debate surrounding organized encounters with social inequality, this ultimately suggests a shift in the ethical framework away from the issue of representation toward one of mediation. T3 - Potsdamer Geographische Praxis - 18 KW - Slumming KW - slumming KW - Slumtourismus KW - slum tourism KW - soziale Ungleichheit KW - social inequality KW - Obdachlosigkeit KW - Homelessness KW - Rekonstruktive Sozialforschung KW - reconstructive social research KW - Dokumentarische Methode KW - documentary method KW - Systemtheorie KW - systems theory KW - Polykontexturalität KW - polycontexturality KW - Stadtführungen KW - guided tours KW - Interaktion KW - interaction KW - Stigmatisierung KW - stigmatization Y1 - 2022 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-553932 SN - 978-3-86956-541-5 SN - 2194-1599 SN - 2194-1602 IS - 18 PB - Universitätsverlag Potsdam CY - Potsdam ER - TY - THES A1 - Wienecke, Maik T1 - Wohin mit der sozialistischen Persönlichkeit? T1 - Where did the socialist personality go? BT - Transformatives Lehren und Lernen von Geographielehrkräften in Ostdeutschland BT - Transformative learning and teaching of geography in East Germany T2 - Potsdamer Geographische Praxis N2 - Das Schulfach Geographie war in der DDR eines der Fächer, das sehr stark mit politischen Themen im Sinne des Marxismus-Leninismus bestückt war. Ein anderer Aspekt sind die sozialistischen Erziehungsziele, die in der Schulbildung der DDR hoch im Kurs standen. Im Fokus stand diesbezüglich die Erziehung der Kinder zu sozialistischen Persönlichkeiten. Die Arbeit versucht einen klaren Blick auf diesen Umstand zu werfen, um zu erfahren, was da von den Lehrkräften gefordert wurde und wie es in der Schule umzusetzen war. Durch den Fall der Mauer war natürlich auch eine Umstrukturierung des Bildungssystems im Osten unausweichlich. Hier will die Arbeit Einblicke geben, wie die Geographielehrkräfte diese Transformation mitgetragen und umgesetzt haben. Welche Wesenszüge aus der Sozialisierung in der DDR haben sich bei der Gestaltung des Unterrichtes und dessen Ausrichtung auf die neuen Erziehungsziele erhalten? Hierzu wurden Geographielehrkräfte befragt, die sowohl in der DDR als auch im geeinten Deutschland unterrichtet haben. Die Fragen bezogen sich in erster Linie auf die Art und Weise des Unterrichtens vor, während und nach der Wende und der daraus entstandenen Systemtransformation. Die Befragungen kommen zu dem Ergebnis, dass sich der Geographieunterricht in der DDR thematisch von dem in der BRD nicht sonderlich unterschied. Von daher bedurfte es keiner umfangreichen inhaltlichen Veränderung des Geographieunterrichts. Schon zu DDR-Zeiten wurden durch die Lehrkräfte offenbar eigenmächtig ideologiefreie physisch-geographische Themen oft ausgedehnt, um die Ideologie des Faches zu reduzieren. So fiel den meisten eine Anpassung ihres Unterrichts an das westdeutsche System relativ leicht. Die humanistisch geprägte Werteerziehung des DDR-Bildungssystems wurde unter Ausklammerung des sozialistischen Aspektes ebenso fortgeführt, da es auch hier viele Parallelen zum westdeutschen System gegeben hat. Deutlich wird eine Charakterisierung des Faches als Naturwissenschaft von Seiten der ostdeutschen Lehrkräfte, obwohl das Fach an den Schulen den Gesellschaftswissenschaften zugeordnet wird und auch in der DDR eine starke wirtschaftsgeographische Ausrichtung hatte. Von der Verantwortung sozialistische Persönlichkeiten zu erziehen, wurden die Lehrkräfte mit dem Ende der DDR entbunden und die in dieser Arbeit aufgeführten Interviewauszüge lassen keinen Zweifel daran, dass es dem Großteil der Befragten darum nicht leidtat, sie sich aber bis heute an der Werteorientierung aus DDR-Zeiten orientieren. N2 - In East German schools geography was one of those subjects with an extensive share of political content connected with the communist ideology of Marxism and Leninism. Additionally, pupils’ educational skills oriented toward the same ideological and humanistic parameters were also highly valued. The main focus was creating socialist citizens with socialist personalities. This paper tries to sift out what was demanded from the teachers in former East Germany to make this a reality in schools. Due to the fall of the Berlin wall a reorganization of the East German educational system was necessary. In this case the paper tries to find answers to the questions of how geography teachers managed to handle this shake-up and, ultimately, if or how they were convinced about it. Therefore, interviews were implemented with teachers who taught geography at school both in East Germany and in the reunited Germany. The main questions related to the preferred way of teaching before and after the political system transformation. The results show a low level of differences between geography lessons in East and West German schools. So maybe there was no need or will to change contents and styles of the lessons. It seems that already during the last decade of the GDR most of the interviewed teachers reduced the amount of ideological and political content just to extend the physical geography. So, for them it was possible to continue working after the fall of the Berlin wall without big difficulties. Also, there seemed to be many similarities between the value educations in East and West Germany. Only the main difference – the socialist ideology – was cancelled. Today the subject geography belongs to the department of social sciences at school, but during the interviews a lot of the teachers made clear that in their point of view geography is a part of the natural sciences section. That is surprising because even in East Germany most of the content was related to the social part as well. The responsibility to educate children in the communist way had of course vanished and nearly all of the interviewed teachers are happy with that. But still today they continue to emphasize the East German value education with its humanistic foundation. T3 - Potsdamer Geographische Praxis - 16 KW - DDR KW - Ideologie KW - Geographieunterricht KW - Sozialismus KW - Transformation KW - GDR KW - East Germany KW - ideology KW - teaching geography KW - socialism KW - transformation Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-515911 SN - 978-3-86956-518-7 SN - 2194-1599 SN - 2194-1602 IS - 16 PB - Universitätsverlag Potsdam CY - Potsdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Fischer, Melanie A1 - Korup, Oliver A1 - Veh, Georg A1 - Walz, Ariane T1 - Controls of outbursts of moraine-dammed lakes in the greater Himalayan region JF - The Cryosphere N2 - Glacial lakes in the Hindu Kush–Karakoram–Himalayas–Nyainqentanglha (HKKHN) region have grown rapidly in number and area in past decades, and some dozens have drained in catastrophic glacial lake outburst floods (GLOFs). Estimating regional susceptibility of glacial lakes has largely relied on qualitative assessments by experts, thus motivating a more systematic and quantitative appraisal. Before the backdrop of current climate-change projections and the potential of elevation-dependent warming, an objective and regionally consistent assessment is urgently needed. We use an inventory of 3390 moraine-dammed lakes and their documented outburst history in the past four decades to test whether elevation, lake area and its rate of change, glacier-mass balance, and monsoonality are useful inputs to a probabilistic classification model. We implement these candidate predictors in four Bayesian multi-level logistic regression models to estimate the posterior susceptibility to GLOFs. We find that mostly larger lakes have been more prone to GLOFs in the past four decades regardless of the elevation band in which they occurred. We also find that including the regional average glacier-mass balance improves the model classification. In contrast, changes in lake area and monsoonality play ambiguous roles. Our study provides first quantitative evidence that GLOF susceptibility in the HKKHN scales with lake area, though less so with its dynamics. Our probabilistic prognoses offer improvement compared to a random classification based on average GLOF frequency. Yet they also reveal some major uncertainties that have remained largely unquantified previously and that challenge the applicability of single models. Ensembles of multiple models could be a viable alternative for more accurately classifying the susceptibility of moraine-dammed lakes to GLOFs. Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-4145-2021 SN - 1994-0416 VL - 15 PB - Copernicus Publications CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Fischer, Melanie A1 - Brettin, Jana A1 - Roessner, Sigrid A1 - Walz, Ariane A1 - Fort, Monique A1 - Korup, Oliver T1 - Rare flood scenarios for a rapidly growing high-mountain city: Pokhara, Nepal JF - Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences N2 - Pokhara (ca. 850 m a.s.l.), Nepal's second-largest city, lies at the foot of the Higher Himalayas and has more than tripled its population in the past 3 decades. Construction materials are in high demand in rapidly expanding built-up areas, and several informal settlements cater to unregulated sand and gravel mining in the Pokhara Valley's main river, the Seti Khola. This river is fed by the Sabche glacier below Annapurna III (7555 m a.s.l.), some 35 km upstream of the city, and traverses one of the steepest topographic gradients in the Himalayas. In May 2012 a sudden flood caused >70 fatalities and intense damage along this river and rekindled concerns about flood risk management. We estimate the flow dynamics and inundation depths of flood scenarios using the hydrodynamic model HEC-RAS (Hydrologic Engineering Center’s River Analysis System). We simulate the potential impacts of peak discharges from 1000 to 10 000 m3 s−1 on land cover based on high-resolution Maxar satellite imagery and OpenStreetMap data (buildings and road network). We also trace the dynamics of two informal settlements near Kaseri and Yamdi with high potential flood impact from RapidEye, PlanetScope, and Google Earth imagery of the past 2 decades. Our hydrodynamic simulations highlight several sites of potential hydraulic ponding that would largely affect these informal settlements and sites of sand and gravel mining. These built-up areas grew between 3- and 20-fold, thus likely raising local flood exposure well beyond changes in flood hazard. Besides these drastic local changes, about 1 % of Pokhara's built-up urban area and essential rural road network is in the highest-hazard zones highlighted by our flood simulations. Our results stress the need to adapt early-warning strategies for locally differing hydrological and geomorphic conditions in this rapidly growing urban watershed. Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3105-2022 SN - 1684-9981 VL - 22 SP - 3105 EP - 3123 PB - Copernicus Publications CY - Katlenburg-Lindau ET - 9 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Macdonald, Elena A1 - Otero, Noelia A1 - Butler, Tim T1 - A comparison of long-term trends in observations and emission inventories of NOx JF - Atmospheric chemistry and physics / European Geosciences Union N2 - Air pollution is a pressing issue that is associated with adverse effects on human health, ecosystems, and climate. Despite many years of effort to improve air quality, nitrogen dioxide (NO2) limit values are still regularly exceeded in Europe, particularly in cities and along streets. This study explores how concentrations of nitrogen oxides (NOx = NO + NO2) in European urban areas have changed over the last decades and how this relates to changes in emissions. To do so, the incremental approach was used, comparing urban increments (i.e. urban background minus rural concentrations) to total emissions, and roadside increments (i.e. urban roadside concentrations minus urban background concentrations) to traffic emissions. In total, nine European cities were assessed. The study revealed that potentially confounding factors like the impact of urban pollution at rural monitoring sites through atmospheric transport are generally negligible for NOx. The approach proves therefore particularly useful for this pollutant. The estimated urban increments all showed downward trends, and for the majority of the cities the trends aligned well with the total emissions. However, it was found that factors like a very densely populated surrounding or local emission sources in the rural area such as shipping traffic on inland waterways restrict the application of the approach for some cities. The roadside increments showed an overall very diverse picture in their absolute values and trends and also in their relation to traffic emissions. This variability and the discrepancies between roadside increments and emissions could be attributed to a combination of local influencing factors at the street level and different aspects introducing inaccuracies to the trends of the emis-sion inventories used, including deficient emission factors. Applying the incremental approach was evaluated as useful for long-term pan-European studies, but at the same time it was found to be restricted to certain regions and cities due to data availability issues. The results also highlight that using emission inventories for the prediction of future health impacts and compliance with limit values needs to consider the distinct variability in the concentrations not only across but also within cities. Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-21-4007-2021 SN - 1680-7316 SN - 1680-7324 VL - 21 IS - 5 SP - 4007 EP - 4023 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Lehr, Christian A1 - Lischeid, Gunnar T1 - Efficient screening of groundwater head monitoring data for anthropogenic effects and measurement errors JF - Hydrology and Earth System Sciences N2 - Groundwater levels are monitored by environmental agencies to support the sustainable use of groundwater resources. For this purpose continuous and spatially comprehensive monitoring in high spatial and temporal resolution is desired. This leads to large datasets that have to be checked for quality and analysed to distinguish local anthropogenic influences from natural variability of the groundwater level dynamics at each well. Both technical problems with the measurements as well as local anthropogenic influences can lead to local anomalies in the hydrographs. We suggest a fast and efficient screening method for the identification of well-specific peculiarities in hydrographs of groundwater head monitoring networks. The only information required is a set of time series of groundwater heads all measured at the same instants of time. For each well of the monitoring network a reference hydrograph is calculated, describing expected "normal" behaviour at the respective well as is typical for the monitored region. The reference hydrograph is calculated by multiple linear regression of the observed hydrograph with the "stable" principal components (PCs) of a principal component analysis of all groundwater head series of the network as predictor variables. The stable PCs are those PCs which were found in a random subsampling procedure to be rather insensitive to the specific selection of the analysed observation wells, i.e. complete series, and to the specific selection of measurement dates. Hence they can be considered to be representative for the monitored region in the respective period. The residuals of the reference hydrograph describe local deviations from the normal behaviour. Peculiarities in the residuals allow the data to be checked for measurement errors and the wells with a possible anthropogenic influence to be identified. The approach was tested with 141 groundwater head time series from the state authority groundwater monitoring network in northeastern Germany covering the period from 1993 to 2013 at an approximately weekly frequency of measurement. KW - streamflow variability KW - principal components KW - united states KW - time-seriesa KW - water KW - network KW - nonstationarity KW - fluctuations KW - rotation Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-501-2020 SN - 1027-5606 SN - 1607-7938 VL - 24 IS - 2 SP - 501 EP - 513 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Irrgang, Anna Maria A1 - Lantuit, Hugues A1 - Gordon, Richard R. A1 - Piskor, Ashley A1 - Manson, Gavin K. T1 - Impacts of past and future coastal changes on the Yukon coast - threats for cultural sites, infrastructure, and travel routes JF - Arctic Science N2 - Yukon’s Beaufort coast, Canada, is a highly dynamic landscape. Cultural sites, infrastructure, and travel routes used by the local population are particularly vulnerable to coastal erosion. To assess threats to these phenomena, rates of shoreline change for a 210 km length of the coast were analyzed and combined with socioeconomic and cultural information. Rates of shoreline change were derived from aerial and satellite imagery from the 1950s, 1970s, 1990s, and 2011. Using these data, conservative (S1) and dynamic (S2) shoreline projections were constructed to predict shoreline positions for the year 2100. The locations of cultural features in the archives of a Parks Canada database, the Yukon Archaeological Program, and as reported in other literature were combined with projected shoreline position changes. Between 2011 and 2100, approximately 850 ha (S1) and 2660 ha (S2) may erode, resulting in a loss of 45% (S1) to 61% (S2) of all cultural features by 2100. The last large, actively used camp area and two nearshore landing strips will likely be threatened by future coastal processes. Future coastal erosion and sedimentation processes are expected to increasingly threaten cultural sites and influence travelling and living along the Yukon coast. KW - Arctic coastal dynamics KW - permafrost coast KW - shoreline projection KW - Inuvialuit cultural features Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1139/as-2017-0041 SN - 2368-7460 VL - 5 IS - 2 SP - 107 EP - 126 PB - Canadian Science Publishing CY - Ottawa ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Corti, Giacomo A1 - Cioni, Raffaello A1 - Franceschini, Zara A1 - Sani, Federico A1 - Scaillet, Stephane A1 - Molin, Paola A1 - Isola, Ilaria A1 - Mazzarini, Francesco A1 - Brune, Sascha A1 - Keir, Derek A1 - Erbello Doelesso, Asfaw A1 - Muluneh, Ameha A1 - Illsley-Kemp, Finnigan A1 - Glerum, Anne T1 - Aborted propagation of the Ethiopian rift caused by linkage with the Kenyan rift JF - Nature Communications N2 - Continental rift systems form by propagation of isolated rift segments that interact, and eventually evolve into continuous zones of deformation. This process impacts many aspects of rifting including rift morphology at breakup, and eventual ocean-ridge segmentation. Yet, rift segment growth and interaction remain enigmatic. Here we present geological data from the poorly documented Ririba rift (South Ethiopia) that reveals how two major sectors of the East African rift, the Kenyan and Ethiopian rifts, interact. We show that the Ririba rift formed from the southward propagation of the Ethiopian rift during the Pliocene but this propagation was short-lived and aborted close to the Pliocene-Pleistocene boundary. Seismicity data support the abandonment of laterally offset, overlapping tips of the Ethiopian and Kenyan rifts. Integration with new numerical models indicates that rift abandonment resulted from progressive focusing of the tectonic and magmatic activity into an oblique, throughgoing rift zone of near pure extension directly connecting the rift sectors. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-09335-2 SN - 2041-1723 VL - 10 PB - Nature Publ. Group CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zimmermann, Heike Hildegard A1 - Stoof-Leichsenring, Kathleen Rosemarie A1 - Kruse, Stefan A1 - Müller, Juliane A1 - Stein, Ruediger A1 - Tiedemann, Ralf A1 - Herzschuh, Ulrike T1 - Changes in the composition of marine and sea-ice diatoms derived from sedimentary ancient DNA of the eastern Fram Strait over the past 30 000 years JF - Ocean Science N2 - The Fram Strait is an area with a relatively low and irregular distribution of diatom microfossils in surface sediments, and thus microfossil records are scarce, rarely exceed the Holocene, and contain sparse information about past richness and taxonomic composition. These attributes make the Fram Strait an ideal study site to test the utility of sedimentary ancient DNA (sedaDNA) metabarcoding. Amplifying a short, partial rbcL marker from samples of sediment core MSM05/5-712-2 resulted in 95.7 % of our sequences being assigned to diatoms across 18 different families, with 38.6 % of them being resolved to species and 25.8 % to genus level. Independent replicates show a high similarity of PCR products, especially in the oldest samples. Diatom sedaDNA richness is highest in the Late Weichselian and lowest in Mid- and Late Holocene samples. Taxonomic composition is dominated by cold-water and sea-ice-associated diatoms and suggests several reorganisations – after the Last Glacial Maximum, after the Younger Dryas, and after the Early and after the Mid-Holocene. Different sequences assigned to, amongst others, Chaetoceros socialis indicate the detectability of intra-specific diversity using sedaDNA. We detect no clear pattern between our diatom sedaDNA record and the previously published IP25 record of this core, although proportions of pennate diatoms increase with higher IP25 concentrations and proportions of Nitzschia cf. frigida exceeding 2 % of the assemblage point towards past sea-ice presence. KW - last glacial maximum KW - surface temperatures KW - species composition KW - greenland shelf KW - Disko Bay KW - phytoplankton KW - communities KW - variability KW - diversity KW - Svalbard Y1 - 2019 VL - 16 IS - 5 PB - Springer CY - Tokyo ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zhang, Yan-qiu A1 - Guo, Zeng-hui A1 - Chen, Dai-zhao T1 - Porosity distribution in cyclic dolomites of the Lower Qiulitag Group (Upper Cambrian) in northwestern Tarim Basin, China JF - China geology N2 - Increasing interests in hydrocarbon resources at depths have drawn greater attentions to the deeply-buried carbonate reservoirs in the Tarim Basin in China. In this study, the cyclic dolomite rocks of Upper Cambrian Lower Qiulitag Group from four outcrop sections in northwestern Tarim Basin were selected to investigate and evaluate the petrophysical properties in relation to depositional facies and cyclicity. The Lower Qiulitag Group includes ten lithofacies, which were deposited in intermediate to shallow subtidal, restricted shallow subtidal, intertidal, and supratidal environments on a carbonate ramp system. These lithofacies are vertically stacked into repeated shallowing-upward, meter-scale cycles which are further grouped into six third-order depositional sequences (Sq1 to Sq6). There are variable types of pore spaces in the Lower Qiulitag Group dolomite rocks, including interparticle, intraparticle, and fenestral pores of primary origin, inter crystal, and vuggy pores of late diagenetic modification. The porosity in the dolomites is generally facies-selective as that the microbially-originated thrombolites and stromatolites generally yield a relatively high porosity. In contrast, the high-energy ooidal grainstones generally have very low porosity. In this case, the microbialite-based peritidal cycles and peritidal cycle-dominated highstand (or regressive) successions have relatively high volumes of pore spaces, although highly fluctuating (or vertical inhomogeneous). Accordingly, the grainstone-based subtidal cycles and subtidal cycle-dominated transgressive successions generally yield extremely low porosity. This scenario indicates that porosity development and preservation in the thick dolomite successions are primarily controlled by depositional facies which were influenced by sea-level fluctuations of different orders and later diagenetic overprinting. KW - Dolomites KW - porosity KW - cyclicity KW - Upper Cambrian KW - stromatolite KW - microbial KW - build up KW - oil-gas basin KW - oil-gas exploration engineering KW - Tarim Basin KW - China Y1 - 2020 UR - http://en.cgsjournals.com/zgdzdcqkw-data/zgdzyw/2020/3/PDF/cg2020026.pdf SN - 2096-5192 SN - 2589-9430 VL - 3 IS - 3 SP - 425 EP - 444 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Dobkowitz, Sophia A1 - Walz, Ariane A1 - Baroni, Gabriele A1 - Pérez-Marin, Aldrin M. T1 - Cross-Scale Vulnerability Assessment for Smallholder Farming BT - A Case Study from the Northeast of Brazil JF - Sustainability N2 - Climate change heavily impacts smallholder farming worldwide. Cross-scale vulnerability assessment has a high potential to identify nested measures for reducing vulnerability of smallholder farmers. Despite their high practical value, there are currently only limited examples of cross-scale assessments. The presented study aims at assessing the vulnerability of smallholder farmers in the Northeast of Brazil across three scales: regional, farm and field scale. In doing so, it builds on existing vulnerability indices and compares results between indices at the same scale and across scales. In total, six independent indices are tested, two at each scale. The calculated indices include social, economic and ecological indicators, based on municipal statistics, meteorological data, farm interviews and soil analyses. Subsequently, indices and overlapping indicators are normalized for intra- and cross-scale comparison. The results show considerable differences between indices across and within scales. They indicate different activities to reduce vulnerability of smallholder farmers. Major shortcomings arise from the conceptual differences between the indices. We therefore recommend the development of hierarchical indices, which are adapted to local conditions and contain more overlapping indicators for a better understanding of the nested vulnerabilities of smallholder farmers. KW - family farming KW - nested vulnerabilities KW - vulnerability indices KW - semi-arid regions KW - Paraíba Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/su12093787 SN - 2071-1050 VL - 12 IS - 9 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Sieg, Tobias A1 - Thieken, Annegret T1 - Improving flood impact estimations JF - Environmental research letters N2 - A reliable estimation of flood impacts enables meaningful flood risk management and rapid assessments of flood impacts shortly after a flood. The flood in 2021 in Central Europe and the analysis of its impacts revealed that these estimations are still inadequate. Therefore, we investigate the influence of different data sets and methods aiming to improve flood impact estimates. We estimated economic flood impacts to private households and companies for a flood event in 2013 in Germany using (a) two different flood maps, (b) two approaches to map exposed objects based on OpenStreetMap and the Basic European Asset Map, (c) two different approaches to estimate asset values, and (d) tree-based models and Stage-Damage-Functions to describe the vulnerability. At the macro scale, water masks lead to reasonable impact estimations. At the micro and meso-scale, the identification of affected objects by means of water masks is insufficient leading to unreliable estimations. The choice of exposure data sets is most influential on the estimations. We find that reliable impact estimations are feasible with reported numbers of flood-affected objects from the municipalities. We conclude that more effort should be put in the investigation of different exposure data sets and the estimation of asset values. Furthermore, we recommend the establishment of a reporting system in the municipalities for a fast identification of flood-affected objects shortly after an event. KW - rapid impact assessment KW - floods KW - OpenStreetMap KW - flood risk management KW - natural hazards Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac6d6c SN - 1748-9326 VL - 17 IS - 6 PB - IOP Publ. Ltd. CY - Bristol ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Deusdará-Leal, Karinne A1 - Samprogna Mohor, Guilherme A1 - Cuartas, Luz Adriana A1 - Seluchi, Marcelo E. A1 - Marengo, Jose A. A1 - Zhang, Rong A1 - Broedel, Elisangela A1 - Amore, Diogo de Jesus A1 - Alvalá, Regina C. S. A1 - Cunha, Ana Paula M. A. A1 - Gonçalves, José A. C. T1 - Trends and climate elasticity of streamflow in south-eastern Brazil basins JF - Water N2 - Trends in streamflow, rainfall and potential evapotranspiration (PET) time series, from 1970 to 2017, were assessed for five important hydrological basins in Southeastern Brazil. The concept of elasticity was also used to assess the streamflow sensitivity to changes in climate variables, for annual data and 5-, 10- and 20-year moving averages. Significant negative trends in streamflow and rainfall and significant increasing trend in PET were detected. For annual analysis, elasticity revealed that 1% decrease in rainfall resulted in 1.21-2.19% decrease in streamflow, while 1% increase in PET induced different reductions percentages in streamflow, ranging from 2.45% to 9.67%. When both PET and rainfall were computed to calculate the elasticity, results were positive for some basins. Elasticity analysis considering 20-year moving averages revealed that impacts on the streamflow were cumulative: 1% decrease in rainfall resulted in 1.83-4.75% decrease in streamflow, while 1% increase in PET induced 3.47-28.3% decrease in streamflow. This different temporal response may be associated with the hydrological memory of the basins. Streamflow appears to be more sensitive in less rainy basins. This study provides useful information to support strategic government decisions, especially when the security of water resources and drought mitigation are considered in face of climate change. KW - runoff KW - precipitation KW - potential evapotranspiration KW - Pettitt test KW - sensitivity Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/w14142245 SN - 2073-4441 VL - 14 IS - 14 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rainer, Edda M. A1 - Seppey, Christophe Victor William A1 - Hammer, Caroline A1 - Svenning, Mette M. A1 - Tveit, Alexander Tosdal T1 - The influence of above-ground herbivory on the response of Arctic soil methanotrophs to increasing CH4 concentrations and temperatures JF - Microorganisms : open access journal N2 - Rising temperatures in the Arctic affect soil microorganisms, herbivores, and peatland vegetation, thus directly and indirectly influencing microbial CH4 production. It is not currently known how methanotrophs in Arctic peat respond to combined changes in temperature, CH4 concentration, and vegetation. We studied methanotroph responses to temperature and CH4 concentration in peat exposed to herbivory and protected by exclosures. The methanotroph activity was assessed by CH4 oxidation rate measurements using peat soil microcosms and a pure culture of Methylobacter tundripaludum SV96, qPCR, and sequencing of pmoA transcripts. Elevated CH4 concentrations led to higher CH4 oxidation rates both in grazed and exclosed peat soils, but the strongest response was observed in grazed peat soils. Furthermore, the relative transcriptional activities of different methanotroph community members were affected by the CH4 concentrations. While transcriptional responses to low CH4 concentrations were more prevalent in grazed peat soils, responses to high CH4 concentrations were more prevalent in exclosed peat soils. We observed no significant methanotroph responses to increasing temperatures. We conclude that methanotroph communities in these peat soils respond to changes in the CH4 concentration depending on their previous exposure to grazing. This "conditioning " influences which strains will thrive and, therefore, determines the function of the methanotroph community. KW - methanotroph KW - methane oxidation KW - pmoA amplicon sequencing KW - Methylobacter KW - grazing pressure KW - peat soil microcosms KW - temperature KW - Arctic Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/microorganisms9102080 SN - 2076-2607 VL - 9 IS - 10 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Thieken, Annegret A1 - Mohor, Guilherme Samprogna A1 - Kreibich, Heidi A1 - Müller, Meike T1 - Compound inland flood events BT - different pathways, different impacts and different coping options JF - Natural hazards and earth system sciences : NHESS N2 - Several severe flood events hit Germany in recent years, with events in 2013 and 2016 being the most destructive ones, although dynamics and flood processes were very different. While the 2013 event was a slowly rising widespread fluvial flood accompanied by some severe dike breaches, the events in 2016 were fast-onset pluvial floods, which resulted in surface water flooding in some places due to limited capacities of the drainage systems and in destructive flash floods with high sediment loads and clogging in others, particularly in small steep catchments. Hence, different pathways, i.e. different routes that the water takes to reach (and potentially damage) receptors, in our case private households, can be identified in both events. They can thus be regarded as spatially compound flood events or compound inland floods. This paper analyses how differently affected residents coped with these different flood types (fluvial and pluvial) and their impacts while accounting for the different pathways (river flood, dike breach, surface water flooding and flash flood) within the compound events. The analyses are based on two data sets with 1652 (for the 2013 flood) and 601 (for the 2016 flood) affected residents who were surveyed around 9 months after each flood, revealing little socio-economic differences - except for income - between the two samples. The four pathways showed significant differences with regard to their hydraulic and financial impacts, recovery, warning processes, and coping and adaptive behaviour. There are just small differences with regard to perceived self-efficacy and responsibility, offering entry points for tailored risk communication and support to improve property-level adaptation. Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-165-2022 SN - 1561-8633 SN - 1684-9981 VL - 22 IS - 1 SP - 165 EP - 185 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Madruga de Brito, Mariana A1 - Otto, Danny A1 - Kuhlicke, Christian T1 - Tracking topics and frames regarding sustainability transformations during the onset of the COVID-19 crisis JF - Sustainability / Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (MDPI) N2 - Many researchers and politicians believe that the COVID-19 crisis may have opened a "window of opportunity " to spur sustainability transformations. Still, evidence for such a dynamic is currently lacking. Here, we propose the linkage of "big data " and "thick data " methods for monitoring debates on transformation processes by following the COVID-19 discourse on ecological sustainability in Germany. We analysed variations in the topics discussed by applying text mining techniques to a corpus with 84,500 newspaper articles published during the first COVID-19 wave. This allowed us to attain a unique and previously inaccessible "bird's eye view " of how these topics evolved. To deepen our understanding of prominent frames, a qualitative content analysis was undertaken. Furthermore, we investigated public awareness by analysing online search behaviour. The findings show an underrepresentation of sustainability topics in the German news during the early stages of the crisis. Similarly, public awareness regarding climate change was found to be reduced. Nevertheless, by examining the newspaper data in detail, we found that the pandemic is often seen as a chance for sustainability transformations-but not without a set of challenges. Our mixed-methods approach enabled us to bridge knowledge gaps between qualitative and quantitative research by "thickening " and providing context to data-driven analyses. By monitoring whether or not the current crisis is seen as a chance for sustainability transformations, we provide insights for environmental policy in times of crisis. KW - frames KW - SDG KW - green deal KW - content analysis KW - natural language processing KW - NLP Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/su131911095 SN - 2071-1050 VL - 13 IS - 19 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Huss, Matthias A1 - Bookhagen, Bodo A1 - Huggel, C. A1 - Jacobsen, Dean A1 - Bradley, Raymond S. A1 - Clague, J. J. A1 - Vuille, Mathias A1 - Buytaert, Wouter A1 - Cayan, D. R. A1 - Greenwood, G. A1 - Mark, B. G. A1 - Milner, A. M. A1 - Weingartner, Rolf A1 - Winder, M. T1 - Toward mountains without permanent snow and ice JF - Earths future N2 - The cryosphere in mountain regions is rapidly declining, a trend that is expected to accelerate over the next several decades due to anthropogenic climate change. A cascade of effects will result, extending from mountains to lowlands with associated impacts on human livelihood, economy, and ecosystems. With rising air temperatures and increased radiative forcing, glaciers will become smaller and, in some cases, disappear, the area of frozen ground will diminish, the ratio of snow to rainfall will decrease, and the timing and magnitude of both maximum and minimum streamflow will change. These changes will affect erosion rates, sediment, and nutrient flux, and the biogeochemistry of rivers and proglacial lakes, all of which influence water quality, aquatic habitat, and biotic communities. Changes in the length of the growing season will allow low-elevation plants and animals to expand their ranges upward. Slope failures due to thawing alpine permafrost, and outburst floods from glacier-and moraine-dammed lakes will threaten downstream populations.Societies even well beyond the mountains depend on meltwater from glaciers and snow for drinking water supplies, irrigation, mining, hydropower, agriculture, and recreation. Here, we review and, where possible, quantify the impacts of anticipated climate change on the alpine cryosphere, hydrosphere, and biosphere, and consider the implications for adaptation to a future of mountains without permanent snow and ice. Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000514 SN - 2328-4277 VL - 5 SP - 418 EP - 435 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Lange, Bastian A1 - Bürkner, Hans-Joachim T1 - Ambiguous avant-gardes and their geographies BT - on blank spots of the postgrowth debate JF - Die Erde : journal of the Geographical Society of Berlin ; Zeitschrift der Gesellschaft für Erdkunde zu Berlin N2 - In the following article, the focus is on the transformative potentials created by so-called persistence avant-gardes and prevention innovators. The text extends Bluhdorn's guiding concept of narratives of hope (Bluhdorn 2017; Bluhdorn and Butzlaff 2019) by considering those groups that are marginalized within debates on socio-ecological transformation. With a closer look at the narratives of prevention and blockade that these actors engage, the ambiguous nature of postgrowth avant-gardes is carved out. Their discursive, argumentative, and effective inhibition of transitory policies is interpreted as a pro-active potential, rather than a mere obstacle to socio-ecological transformation. Adding a geographical perspective, the paper pleads for a more precise theoretical penetration of the ambivalent figure of avantgardes when analyzing processes of local and regional postgrowth. N2 - Mit dem Beitrag richten wir den Fokus auf transformative Potenziale, die von sogenannten Beharrungsavantgar-den und Präventionsinnovatoren ausgehen. Der Text erweitert Blühdorns Leitkonzept der Hoffnungsnarrative (Blühdorn 2017; Blühdorn and Butzlaff 2019), indem er jene Gruppen in den Blick nimmt, die in den Debatten um die sozial-ökologische Transformation marginalisiert werden. Mit einem genaueren Blick auf die Präventions- und Blockade-Narrative dieser Akteure wird die Mehrdeutigkeit der Postwachstumsavantgarden herausgear-beitet. Ihre diskursive, argumentative und effektive Verhinderung transitorischer Politiken wird als proaktives Potenzial und nicht als bloßes Hindernis für eine sozial-ökologische Transformation interpretiert. Unter Hinzu-nahme einer geographischen Perspektive plädiert der Beitrag für eine präzisere theoretische Durchdringung der ambivalenten Figur der Avantgarden bei der Analyse lokaler und regionaler Postwachstumsvorgänge. KW - alternative economies KW - transformative policies KW - change agents KW - postgrowth KW - regional development KW - East Germany Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.12854/erde-2021-566 SN - 0013-9998 VL - 152 IS - 4 SP - 273 EP - 287 PB - Gesellschaft für Erdkunde CY - Berlin ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Scherler, Dirk A1 - Schwanghart, Wolfgang T1 - Drainage divide networks - part 1: Identification and ordering in digital elevation models JF - Earth surface dynamics : ESURF N2 - We propose a novel way to measure and analyze networks of drainage divides from digital elevation models. We developed an algorithm that extracts drainage divides based on the drainage basin boundaries defined by a stream network. In contrast to streams, there is no straightforward approach to order and classify divides, although it is intuitive that some divides are more important than others. A meaningful way of ordering divides is the average distance one would have to travel down on either side of a divide to reach a common stream location. However, because measuring these distances is computationally expensive and prone to edge effects, we instead sort divide segments based on their tree-like network structure, starting from endpoints at river confluences. The sorted nature of the network allows for assigning distances to points along the divides, which can be shown to scale with the average distance downslope to the common stream location. Furthermore, because divide segments tend to have characteristic lengths, an ordering scheme in which divide orders increase by 1 at junctions mimics these distances. We applied our new algorithm to the Big Tujunga catchment in the San Gabriel Mountains of southern California and studied the morphology of the drainage divide network. Our results show that topographic metrics, like the downstream flow distance to a stream and hillslope relief, attain characteristic values that depend on the drainage area threshold used to derive the stream network. Portions along the divide network that have lower than average relief or are closer than average to streams are often distinctly asymmetric in shape, suggesting that these divides are unstable. Our new and automated approach thus helps to objectively extract and analyze divide networks from digital elevation models. Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-8-245-2020 SN - 2196-6311 SN - 2196-632X VL - 8 IS - 2 SP - 245 EP - 259 PB - Copernicus Publ. CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wehrhan, Marc A1 - Puppe, Daniel A1 - Kaczorek, Danuta A1 - Sommer, Michael T1 - Spatial patterns of aboveground phytogenic Si stocks in a grass-dominated catchment BT - results from UAS-based high-resolution remote sensing JF - Biogeosciences : BG N2 - Various studies have been performed to quantify silicon (Si) stocks in plant biomass and related Si fluxes in terrestrial biogeosystems. Most studies are deliberately designed on the plot scale to ensure low heterogeneity in soils and plant composition, hence similar environmental conditions. Due to the immanent spatial soil variability, the transferability of results to larger areas, such as catchments, is therefore limited. However, the emergence of new technical features and increasing knowledge on details in Si cycling lead to a more complex picture at landscape and catchment scales. Dynamic and static soil properties change along the soil continuum and might influence not only the species composition of natural vegetation but also its biomass distribution and related Si stocks. Maximum likelihood (ML) classification was applied to multispectral imagery captured by an unmanned aerial system (UAS) aiming at the identification of land cover classes (LCCs). Subsequently, the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and ground-based measurements of biomass were used to quantify aboveground Si stocks in two Si-accumulating plants (Calamagrostis epige-jos and Phragmites australis) in a heterogeneous catchment and related corresponding spatial patterns of these stocks to soil properties. We found aboveground Si stocks of C. epige-jos and P. australis to be surprisingly high (maxima of Si stocks reach values up to 98 g Sim(-2)), i.e. comparable to or markedly exceeding reported values for the Si storage in aboveground vegetation of various terrestrial ecosystems. We further found spatial patterns of plant aboveground Si stocks to reflect spatial heterogeneities in soil properties. From our results, we concluded that (i) aboveground biomass of plants seems to be the main factor of corresponding phytogenic Si stock quantities, and (ii) a detection of biomass heterogeneities via UAS-based remote sensing represents a promising tool for the quantification of lifelike phytogenic Si pools at landscape scales. Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-18-5163-2021 SN - 1726-4170 SN - 1726-4189 VL - 18 IS - 18 SP - 5163 EP - 5183 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - THES A1 - Serwene, Pola T1 - Geographie verstehen durch Zweisprachigkeit BT - Eine Design-Based-Research-Studie im bilingualen Geographieunterricht am Beispiel des Fachkonzepts Wandel T2 - Potsdamer Geographische Praxis N2 - Bilingualer Unterricht gilt als das Erfolgsmodell für den schulischen Fremdsprachenerwerb in Deutschland und die Beherrschung einer Fremdsprache in Wort und Schrift ist eine entscheidende berufsqualifizierende Kompetenz in unserer globalisierten Welt. Insbesondere die Verzahnung fachlicher und sprachlicher Inhalte im Kontext Bilingualen Unterrichts scheint gewinnbringend für den Fremdspracherwerb zu sein. Dabei ist die Diskrepanz zwischen den zumeist noch geringen fremdsprachlichen Fähigkeiten der Lernenden und den fachlichen Ansprüchen des Geographieunterrichts eine große Herausforderung für fachliches Lernen im bilingualen Sachfachunterricht. Es stellt sich die Frage, wie der Bilinguale Unterricht gestaltet sein muss, um einerseits geographische Themen fachlich komplex behandeln zu können und andererseits die Lernenden fremdsprachlich nicht zu überfordern. Im Rahmen einer Design-Based-Research-Studie im bilingualen Geographieunterricht wurde untersucht, wie fachliches Lernen im bilingualen Geographieunterricht durch den Einsatz beider beteiligter Sprachen (Englisch/Deutsch) gefördert werden kann. Auf Grundlage eines theoretisch fundierten Kenntnisstands zum Bilingualen Unterricht und zum Lernen mit Fachkonzepten im Geographieunterricht wurde eine Lernumgebung konzipiert, im Unterricht erprobt und weiterentwickelt, in der Strategien des Sprachwechsels zum Einsatz kommen. Die Ergebnisse der Studie sind kontextbezogene Theorien einer zweisprachigen Didaktik für den bilingualen Geographieunterricht und Erkenntnisse zum Lernen mit Fachkonzepten im Geographieunterricht am Beispiel des geographischen Konzepts Wandel. Produkt der Studie ist eine unterrichtstaugliche Lernumgebung zum Thema Wandlungsprozesse an ausgewählten Orten für den bilingualen Geographieunterricht mit didaktischem Konzept, Unterrichtsmaterialien und -medien. N2 - Bilingual teaching is considered to be the most successful model for foreign language acquisition in German classrooms. Being proficient in at least one foreign language, both orally and in writing, is an essential capability for vocational education in a world shaped by globalization. Foreign language acquisition especially profits from merging subject-specific learning and language skills in bilingual learning settings. At the same time, the discrepancy between foreign language skills and subject-specific capabilities of the learners in bilingual subject teaching is a great challenge for subject-specific learning. Educators face the challenge of designing bilingual learning settings that allow students to deal with complex geographical problems while at the same time ensure that students do not feel overwhelmed in regard to their foreign language abilities. Using a Design-Based-Research approach, this study investigated how subject-specific learning can be promoted by using both languages involved (English/German) in a bilingual geography classroom setting. Based on current research findings in bilingual teaching and conceptual learning in geography education, we designed a learning environment that implements strategies of language switching to promote subject-specific learning. After implementing this setting in a geography classroom, we re-designed the learning environment according to our findings for a second implementation phase. The study provides relevant findings in terms of veritable bilingual teaching and learning in geography lessons. Moreover, insights are given into conceptual learning by using the geographical concept of change. A set of 6 lessons on the topic of changes at different places have been developed for a geography classroom, including a didactical concept and teaching materials. T3 - Potsdamer Geographische Praxis - 19 KW - bilingualer Unterricht KW - Design-Based-Research KW - DBR KW - Geographieunterricht KW - Wandel KW - Basiskonzepte KW - Fachkonzepte KW - bilingualer Geographieunterricht KW - bilingual teaching KW - Design-Based-Research KW - DBR KW - geography education KW - change KW - geographical key concepts KW - bilingual geography teaching Y1 - 2023 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-578486 SN - 978-3-86956-557-6 SN - 2194-1599 SN - 2194-1602 IS - 19 PB - Universitätsverlag Potsdam CY - Potsdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Herrero, Mario A1 - Thornton, Philip K. A1 - Mason-D'Croz, Daniel A1 - Palmer, Jeda A1 - Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon A1 - Pradhan, Prajal A1 - Barrett, Christopher B. A1 - Benton, Tim G. A1 - Hall, Andrew A1 - Pikaar, Ilje A1 - Bogard, Jessica R. A1 - Bonnett, Graham D. A1 - Bryan, Brett A. A1 - Campbell, Bruce M. A1 - Christensen, Svend A1 - Clark, Michael A1 - Fanzo, Jessica A1 - Godde, Cecile M. A1 - Jarvis, Andy A1 - Loboguerrero, Ana Maria A1 - Mathys, Alexander A1 - McIntyre, C. Lynne A1 - Naylor, Rosamond L. A1 - Nelson, Rebecca A1 - Obersteiner, Michael A1 - Parodi, Alejandro A1 - Popp, Alexander A1 - Ricketts, Katie A1 - Smith, Pete A1 - Valin, Hugo A1 - Vermeulen, Sonja J. A1 - Vervoort, Joost A1 - van Wijk, Mark A1 - van Zanten, Hannah H. E. A1 - West, Paul C. A1 - Wood, Stephen A. A1 - Rockström, Johan T1 - Articulating the effect of food systems innovation on the Sustainable Development Goals JF - The lancet Planetary health N2 - Food system innovations will be instrumental to achieving multiple Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). However, major innovation breakthroughs can trigger profound and disruptive changes, leading to simultaneous and interlinked reconfigurations of multiple parts of the global food system. The emergence of new technologies or social solutions, therefore, have very different impact profiles, with favourable consequences for some SDGs and unintended adverse side-effects for others. Stand-alone innovations seldom achieve positive outcomes over multiple sustainability dimensions. Instead, they should be embedded as part of systemic changes that facilitate the implementation of the SDGs. Emerging trade-offs need to be intentionally addressed to achieve true sustainability, particularly those involving social aspects like inequality in its many forms, social justice, and strong institutions, which remain challenging. Trade-offs with undesirable consequences are manageable through the development of well planned transition pathways, careful monitoring of key indicators, and through the implementation of transparent science targets at the local level. Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/S2542-5196(20)30277-1 SN - 2542-5196 VL - 5 IS - 1 SP - E50 EP - E62 PB - Elsevier CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rockström, Johan T1 - Speeding up state-of-the-art assessments on global sustainability BT - introducing the Cambridge Sustainability Commissions JF - Global sustainability Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1017/sus.2022.1 SN - 2059-4798 VL - 5 PB - Cambridge University Press CY - Cambridge ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Fournier, Bertrand A1 - Steiner, Magdalena A1 - Brochet, Xavier A1 - Degrune, Florine A1 - Mammeri, Jibril A1 - Carvalho, Diogo Leite A1 - Siliceo, Sara Leal A1 - Bacher, Sven A1 - Peña-Reyes, Carlos Andrés A1 - Heger, Thierry Jean T1 - Toward the use of protists as bioindicators of multiple stresses in agricultural soils BT - a case study in vineyard ecosystems JF - Ecological indicators : integrating monitoring, assessment and management N2 - Management of agricultural soil quality requires fast and cost-efficient methods to identify multiple stressors that can affect soil organisms and associated ecological processes. Here, we propose to use soil protists which have a great yet poorly explored potential for bioindication. They are ubiquitous, highly diverse, and respond to various stresses to agricultural soils caused by frequent management or environmental changes. We test an approach that combines metabarcoding data and machine learning algorithms to identify potential stressors of soil protist community composition and diversity. We measured 17 key variables that reflect various potential stresses on soil protists across 132 plots in 28 Swiss vineyards over 2 years. We identified the taxa showing strong responses to the selected soil variables (potential bioindicator taxa) and tested for their predictive power. Changes in protist taxa occurrence and, to a lesser extent, diversity metrics exhibited great predictive power for the considered soil variables. Soil copper concentration, moisture, pH, and basal respiration were the best predicted soil variables, suggesting that protists are particularly responsive to stresses caused by these variables. The most responsive taxa were found within the clades Rhizaria and Alveolata. Our results also reveal that a majority of the potential bioindicators identified in this study can be used across years, in different regions and across different grape varieties. Altogether, soil protist metabarcoding data combined with machine learning can help identifying specific abiotic stresses on microbial communities caused by agricultural management. Such an approach provides complementary information to existing soil monitoring tools that can help manage the impact of agricultural practices on soil biodiversity and quality. KW - Biomonitoring KW - Machine learning KW - Predictive model KW - Soil function KW - Soil KW - quality KW - Microbial ecology Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.108955 SN - 1470-160X SN - 1872-7034 VL - 139 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Soergel, Bjoern A1 - Kriegler, Elmar A1 - Bodirsky, Benjamin Leon A1 - Bauer, Nico A1 - Leimbach, Marian A1 - Popp, Alexander T1 - Combining ambitious climate policies with efforts to eradicate poverty JF - Nature Communications N2 - Climate change threatens to undermine efforts to eradicate extreme poverty. However, climate policies could impose a financial burden on the global poor through increased energy and food prices. Here, we project poverty rates until 2050 and assess how they are influenced by mitigation policies consistent with the 1.5 degrees C target. A continuation of historical trends will leave 350 million people globally in extreme poverty by 2030. Without progressive redistribution, climate policies would push an additional 50 million people into poverty. However, redistributing the national carbon pricing revenues domestically as an equal-per-capita climate dividend compensates this policy side effect, even leading to a small net reduction of the global poverty headcount (-6 million). An additional international climate finance scheme enables a substantial poverty reduction globally and also in Sub-Saharan Africa. Combining national redistribution with international climate finance thus provides an important entry point to climate policy in developing countries. Ambitious climate policies can negatively impact the global poor by affecting income, food and energy prices. Here, the authors quantify this effect, and show that it can be compensated by national redistribution of the carbon pricing revenues in combination with international climate finance. Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-22315-9 SN - 2041-1723 VL - 12 PB - Nature Publishing Group CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schaller, Jörg A1 - Scherwietes, Eric A1 - Gerber, Lukas A1 - Vaidya, Shrijana A1 - Kaczorek, Danuta A1 - Pausch, Johanna A1 - Barkusky, Dietmar A1 - Sommer, Michael A1 - Hoffmann, Mathias T1 - Silica fertilization improved wheat performance and increased phosphorus concentrations during drought at the field scale JF - Scientific reports N2 - Drought and the availability of mineable phosphorus minerals used for fertilization are two of the important issues agriculture is facing in the future. High phosphorus availability in soils is necessary to maintain high agricultural yields. Drought is one of the major threats for terrestrial ecosystem performance and crop production in future. Among the measures proposed to cope with the upcoming challenges of intensifying drought stress and to decrease the need for phosphorus fertilizer application is the fertilization with silica (Si). Here we tested the importance of soil Si fertilization on wheat phosphorus concentration as well as wheat performance during drought at the field scale. Our data clearly showed a higher soil moisture for the Si fertilized plots. This higher soil moisture contributes to a better plant performance in terms of higher photosynthetic activity and later senescence as well as faster stomata responses ensuring higher productivity during drought periods. The plant phosphorus concentration was also higher in Si fertilized compared to control plots. Overall, Si fertilization or management of the soil Si pools seem to be a promising tool to maintain crop production under predicted longer and more serve droughts in the future and reduces phosphorus fertilizer requirements. Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-00464-7 SN - 2045-2322 VL - 11 IS - 1 PB - Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature CY - [London] ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Koç, Gamze A1 - Petrow, Theresia A1 - Thieken, Annegret T1 - Analysis of the Most Severe Flood Events in Turkey (1960–2014) BT - Which Triggering Mechanisms and Aggravating Pathways Can be Identified? JF - Water N2 - The most severe flood events in Turkey were determined for the period 1960–2014 by considering the number of fatalities, the number of affected people, and the total economic losses as indicators. The potential triggering mechanisms (i.e., atmospheric circulations and precipitation amounts) and aggravating pathways (i.e., topographic features, catchment size, land use types, and soil properties) of these 25 events were analyzed. On this basis, a new approach was developed to identify the main influencing factor per event and to provide additional information for determining the dominant flood occurrence pathways for severe floods. The events were then classified through hierarchical cluster analysis. As a result, six different clusters were found and characterized. Cluster 1 comprised flood events that were mainly influenced by drainage characteristics (e.g., catchment size and shape); Cluster 2 comprised events aggravated predominantly by urbanization; steep topography was identified to be the dominant factor for Cluster 3; extreme rainfall was determined as the main triggering factor for Cluster 4; saturated soil conditions were found to be the dominant factor for Cluster 5; and orographic effects of mountain ranges characterized Cluster 6. This study determined pathway patterns of the severe floods in Turkey with regard to their main causal or aggravating mechanisms. Accordingly, geomorphological properties are of major importance in large catchments in eastern and northeastern Anatolia. In addition, in small catchments, the share of urbanized area seems to be an important factor for the extent of flood impacts. This paper presents an outcome that could be used for future urban planning and flood risk prevention studies to understand the flood mechanisms in different regions of Turkey. KW - hierarchical clustering KW - Hess-Brezowsky Großwetterlagen classification KW - ERA5 KW - flood hazards KW - pathway KW - Turkey Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/w12061562 SN - 2073-4441 VL - 12 IS - 6 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Laudan, Jonas A1 - Zöller, Gert A1 - Thieken, Annegret T1 - Flash floods versus river floods BT - a comparison of psychological impacts and implications for precautionary behaviour JF - Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences N2 - River floods are among the most damaging natural hazards that frequently occur in Germany. Flooding causes high economic losses and impacts many residents. In 2016, several southern German municipalities were hit by flash floods after unexpectedly severe heavy rainfall, while in 2013 widespread river flooding had occurred. This study investigates and compares the psychological impacts of river floods and flash floods and potential consequences for precautionary behaviour. Data were collected using computer-aided telephone interviews that were conducted among flood-affected households around 9 months after each damaging event. This study applies Bayesian statistics and negative binomial regressions to test the suitability of psychological indicators to predict the precaution motivation of individuals. The results show that it is not the particular flood type but rather the severity and local impacts of the event that are crucial for the different, and potentially negative, impacts on mental health. According to the used data, however, predictions of the individual precaution motivation should not be based on the derived psychological indicators – i.e. coping appraisal, threat appraisal, burden and evasion – since their explanatory power was generally low and results are, for the most part, non-significant. Only burden reveals a significant positive relation to planned precaution regarding weak flash floods. In contrast to weak flash floods and river floods, the perceived threat of strong flash floods is significantly lower although feelings of burden and lower coping appraisals are more pronounced. Further research is needed to better include psychological assessment procedures and to focus on alternative data sources regarding floods and the connected precaution motivation of affected residents. KW - private households KW - risk perceptions KW - extreme rainfall KW - health KW - mitigation KW - Germany KW - people KW - damage KW - preparedness KW - residents Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-999-2020 SN - 1684-9981 VL - 20 SP - 999 EP - 1023 PB - European Geophysical Society CY - Katlenburg-Lindau ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Hudson, Paul A1 - Pham, My A1 - Hagedoorn, Liselotte A1 - Thieken, Annegret A1 - Lasage, Ralph A1 - Bubeck, Philip T1 - Self-stated recovery from flooding BT - empirical results from a survey in Central Vietnam JF - Journal of Flood Risk Management N2 - Social inequalities lead to flood resilience inequalities across social groups, a topic that requires improved documentation and understanding. The objective of this paper is to attend to these differences by investigating self-stated flood recovery across genders in Vietnam as a conceptual replication of earlier results from Germany. This study employs a regression-based analysis of 1,010 respondents divided between a rural coastal and an urban community in Thua Thien-Hue province. The results highlight an important set of recovery process-related variables. The set of relevant variables is similar across genders in terms of inclusion and influence, and includes age, social capital, internal and external support after a flood, perceived severity of previous flood impacts, and the perception of stress-resilience. However, women were affected more heavily by flooding in terms of longer recovery times, which should be accounted for in risk management. Overall, the studied variables perform similarly in Vietnam and Germany. This study, therefore, conceptually replicates previous results suggesting that women display slightly slower recovery levels as well as that psychological variables influence recovery rates more than adverse flood impacts. This provides an indication of the results' potentially robust nature due to the different socio-environmental contexts in Germany and Vietnam. KW - flood recovery KW - resilience KW - societal equity KW - vulnerability Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12680 SN - 1753-318X VL - 14 PB - Wiley-Blackwell CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Jehmlich, Caroline A1 - Hudson, Paul A1 - Thieken, Annegret T1 - Short contribution on adaptive behaviour of flood-prone companies BT - a pilot study of Dresden-Laubegast, Germany JF - Journal of Flood Risk Management N2 - Integrated flood management strategies consider property-level precautionary measures as a vital part. Whereas this is a well-researched topic for residents, little is known about the adaptive behaviour of flood-prone companies although they often settle on the ground floor of buildings and are thus among the first affected by flooding. This pilot study analyses flood responses of 64 businesses in a district of the city of Dresden, Germany that experienced major flooding in 2002 and 2013. Using standardised survey data and accompanying qualitative interviews, the analyses revealed that the largest driver of adaptive behaviour is experiencing flood events. Intangible factors such as tradition and a sense of community play a role for the decision to stay in the area, while lacking ownership might hamper property-level adaptation. Further research is also needed to understand the role of insurance and governmental aid for recovery and adaptation of businesses. KW - adaptation KW - disaster risk reduction KW - integrated flood risk management KW - risk perception Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12653 SN - 1753-318X VL - 13 PB - Wiley-Blackwell CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Samprogna Mohor, Guilherme A1 - Thieken, Annegret A1 - Korup, Oliver T1 - Residential flood loss estimated from Bayesian multilevel models JF - Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences N2 - Models for the predictions of monetary losses from floods mainly blend data deemed to represent a single flood type and region. Moreover, these approaches largely ignore indicators of preparedness and how predictors may vary between regions and events, challenging the transferability of flood loss models. We use a flood loss database of 1812 German flood-affected households to explore how Bayesian multilevel models can estimate normalised flood damage stratified by event, region, or flood process type. Multilevel models acknowledge natural groups in the data and allow each group to learn from others. We obtain posterior estimates that differ between flood types, with credibly varying influences of water depth, contamination, duration, implementation of property-level precautionary measures, insurance, and previous flood experience; these influences overlap across most events or regions, however. We infer that the underlying damaging processes of distinct flood types deserve further attention. Each reported flood loss and affected region involved mixed flood types, likely explaining the uncertainty in the coefficients. Our results emphasise the need to consider flood types as an important step towards applying flood loss models elsewhere. We argue that failing to do so may unduly generalise the model and systematically bias loss estimations from empirical data. KW - damage KW - insurance KW - Germany KW - transferability KW - preparedness KW - recovery Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-1599-2021 SN - 2195-9269 VL - 21 SP - 1599 EP - 1614 PB - European Geophysical Society CY - Katlenburg-Lindau ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Koc, Gamze A1 - Petrow, Theresia A1 - Thieken, Annegret T1 - Analysis of the most severe flood events in Turkey (1960-2014) BT - which triggering mechanisms and aggravating pathways can be identified? JF - Water / Molecular Diversity Preservation International (MDPI) N2 - The most severe flood events in Turkey were determined for the period 1960-2014 by considering the number of fatalities, the number of affected people, and the total economic losses as indicators. The potential triggering mechanisms (i.e., atmospheric circulations and precipitation amounts) and aggravating pathways (i.e., topographic features, catchment size, land use types, and soil properties) of these 25 events were analyzed. On this basis, a new approach was developed to identify the main influencing factor per event and to provide additional information for determining the dominant flood occurrence pathways for severe floods. The events were then classified through hierarchical cluster analysis. As a result, six different clusters were found and characterized. Cluster 1 comprised flood events that were mainly influenced by drainage characteristics (e.g., catchment size and shape); Cluster 2 comprised events aggravated predominantly by urbanization; steep topography was identified to be the dominant factor for Cluster 3; extreme rainfall was determined as the main triggering factor for Cluster 4; saturated soil conditions were found to be the dominant factor for Cluster 5; and orographic effects of mountain ranges characterized Cluster 6. This study determined pathway patterns of the severe floods in Turkey with regard to their main causal or aggravating mechanisms. Accordingly, geomorphological properties are of major importance in large catchments in eastern and northeastern Anatolia. In addition, in small catchments, the share of urbanized area seems to be an important factor for the extent of flood impacts. This paper presents an outcome that could be used for future urban planning and flood risk prevention studies to understand the flood mechanisms in different regions of Turkey. KW - hierarchical clustering KW - Hess-Brezowsky Grosswetterlagen classification KW - ERA5 KW - flood hazards KW - pathway KW - Turkey Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/w12061562 SN - 2073-4441 VL - 12 IS - 6 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Kellermann, Patric A1 - Schröter, Kai A1 - Thieken, Annegret A1 - Haubrock, Sören-Nils A1 - Kreibich, Heidi T1 - The object-specific flood damage database HOWAS 21 JF - Natural hazards and earth system sciences N2 - The Flood Damage Database HOWAS 21 contains object-specific flood damage data resulting from fluvial, pluvial and groundwater flooding. The datasets incorporate various variables of flood hazard, exposure, vulnerability and direct tangible damage at properties from several economic sectors. The main purpose of development of HOWAS 21 was to support forensic flood analysis and the derivation of flood damage models. HOWAS 21 was first developed for Germany and currently almost exclusively contains datasets from Germany. However, its scope has recently been enlarged with the aim to serve as an international flood damage database; e.g. its web application is now available in German and English. This paper presents the recent advancements of HOWAS 21 and highlights exemplary analyses to demonstrate the use of HOWAS 21 flood damage data. The data applications indicate a large potential of the database for fostering a better understanding and estimation of the consequences of flooding. Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2503-2020 SN - 1561-8633 SN - 1684-9981 VL - 20 IS - 9 SP - 2503 EP - 2519 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wutzler, Bianca A1 - Hudson, Paul A1 - Thieken, Annegret T1 - Adaptation strategies of flood-damaged businesses in Germany JF - Frontiers in Water N2 - Flood risk management in Germany follows an integrative approach in which both private households and businesses can make an important contribution to reducing flood damage by implementing property-level adaptation measures. While the flood adaptation behavior of private households has already been widely researched, comparatively less attention has been paid to the adaptation strategies of businesses. However, their ability to cope with flood risk plays an important role in the social and economic development of a flood-prone region. Therefore, using quantitative survey data, this study aims to identify different strategies and adaptation drivers of 557 businesses damaged by a riverine flood in 2013 and 104 businesses damaged by pluvial or flash floods between 2014 and 2017. Our results indicate that a low perceived self-efficacy may be an important factor that can reduce the motivation of businesses to adapt to flood risk. Furthermore, property-owners tended to act more proactively than tenants. In addition, high experience with previous flood events and low perceived response costs could strengthen proactive adaptation behavior. These findings should be considered in business-tailored risk communication. KW - risk management KW - climate change adaptation KW - floods KW - disaster risk reduction KW - Germany KW - precaution KW - emergency management Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3389/frwa.2022.932061 SN - 2624-9375 PB - Frontiers Media SA CY - Lausanne, Schweiz ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Goetz, Jason A1 - Kohrs, Robin A1 - Parra Hormazábal, Eric A1 - Bustos Morales, Manuel A1 - Araneda Riquelme, María Belén A1 - Henríquez Ruiz, Cristian A1 - Brenning, Alexander T1 - Optimizing and validating the Gravitational Process Path model for regional debris-flow runout modelling JF - Natural hazards and earth system sciences : NHESS / European Geophysical Society N2 - Knowing the source and runout of debris flows can help in planning strategies aimed at mitigating these hazards. Our research in this paper focuses on developing a novel approach for optimizing runout models for regional susceptibility modelling, with a case study in the upper Maipo River basin in the Andes of Santiago, Chile. We propose a two-stage optimization approach for automatically selecting parameters for estimating runout path and distance. This approach optimizes the random-walk and Perla et al.'s (PCM) two-parameter friction model components of the open-source Gravitational Process Path (GPP) modelling framework. To validate model performance, we assess the spatial transferability of the optimized runout model using spatial crossvalidation, including exploring the model's sensitivity to sample size. We also present diagnostic tools for visualizing uncertainties in parameter selection and model performance. Although there was considerable variation in optimal parameters for individual events, we found our runout modelling approach performed well at regional prediction of potential runout areas. We also found that although a relatively small sample size was sufficient to achieve generally good runout modelling performance, larger samples sizes (i.e. >= 80) had higher model performance and lower uncertainties for estimating runout distances at unknown locations. We anticipate that this automated approach using the open-source R software and the System for Automated Geoscientific Analyses geographic information system (SAGA-GIS) will make process-based debris-flow models more readily accessible and thus enable researchers and spatial planners to improve regional-scale hazard assessments. Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2543-2021 SN - 1561-8633 SN - 1684-9981 VL - 21 IS - 8 SP - 2543 EP - 2562 PB - European Geophysical Society CY - Katlenburg-Lindau ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Dillenardt, Lisa A1 - Thieken, Annegret T1 - Untersuchung der räumlichen Verteilung von Bodenkühlpotenzialen in Remscheid N2 - Eine Zunahme der allgemeinen Temperatur auf Grund des Klimawandels und die damit einhergehende Zunahme von Hitzewellen führten dazu, dass das Landesamt für Umwelt und Verbraucherschutz Nordrhein-Westfalen (LANUV) einen Leitfaden für den Schutz der positiven Klimafunktion urbaner Böden herausgab. Darauf aufbauend wurde auf regionaler Ebene für die Stadt Düsseldorf die Kühlleistung der urbanen Böden quantifiziert, um besonders schutzwürdige Bereiche zu identifizieren. Im Rahmen des Projektes ExTrass sollte nun die Kühlleistung urbaner Böden innerhalb Remscheids quantifiziert werden, jedoch auf Basis von frei zugänglichen Daten. Eine solche Datengrundlage schließt eine Modellierung des Bodenwasserhaushaltes, welches die Grundlage der Quantifizierung in Düsseldorf war, für Remscheid aus. Jedoch bietet der vorgestellte Ansatz die Möglichkeit, eine solche Untersuchung auch in anderen Gemeinden innerhalb Deutschlands mit relativ wenig Aufwand durchzuführen. Die Kühlleistung der Böden wurde über die nutzbare Feldkapazität abgeschätzt, welche das Wasserspeichervolumen der obersten durchwurzelten Bodenzone angibt. Es ist der Bodenwasserspeicher, der Wasser für die Evapotranspiration zur Verfügung stellt und damit maßgeblich die Kühlleistung eines Bodens definiert, d.h. durch direkte Evaporation des Bodenwassers sowie durch die Transpiration von Wasser durch Pflanzen. In die Erstellung der Karte sind eingegangen: (a) die Bodenkarte Nordrhein-Westfalens (BK50), um die nutzbare Feldkapazität (nFK) je Fläche zu bestimmen; (b) der Landnutzungsdatensatz UrbanAtlas 2012, in Verbindung mit einer Literaturrecherche, um den Einfluss der Landnutzung auf die Werte der nFK, insbesondere im Hinblick auf Versiegelung und Verdichtung herzuleiten; und (c) OpenStreetMap (OSM), um den Anteil der versiegelten Flächen genauer zu bestimmen, als dies auf Basis des UrbanAtlas möglich gewesen wäre. Es hat sich gezeigt, dass dieser Ansatz geeignet ist, um die räumliche Verteilung der potenziellen Bodenkühlfunktion innerhalb einer Stadt zu untersuchen. Es ist zu beachten, dass der Einfluss des Grundwassers in Remscheid nicht berücksichtigt werden konnte. Denn es ist damit zu rechnen, dass die Grundwasserverhältnisse aufgrund der geologischen und topographischen Situation in Remscheid kleinräumig Variationen unterliegen und es somit keinen durchgängigen und kartierten Aquifer gibt. Kleingartenanlagen, Parks und Friedhöhe im innerstädtischen Bereich und allgemein die Landnutzungsklassen Wald und Grünland wurden als Flächen mit einem besonders hohem potenziellen Bodenkühlpotenzial identifiziert. Solche Flächen sind besonders schützenswert. Die Analyse der Speicherfüllstände der oberen Bodenzone, basierend auf der erstellten Karte der potenziellen Bodenkühlfunktion und der klimatischen Wasserbilanz, ergab, dass besonders innerstädtische Flächen, die einen kleinen Bodenwasserspeicher haben, in einem trockenen Jahr bereits früh im Sommer ihre Kühlfunktion verlieren und bei Hitzewellen somit eine verringerte positive Klimafunktion haben. Gestützt wird diese Aussage durch eine Auswertung des normalisierten differenzierten Vegetationsindex (NDVI), der genutzt wurde, um die Veränderung der Pflanzenvitalität vor und nach einer Hitzeperiode im Juni/Juli 2018 zu untersuchen. Messungen mit Meteobikes, einer Vorrichtung, die dazu geeignet ist, während einer Radfahrt kontinuierlich die Temperatur zu messen, stützen die Erkenntnis, dass innerstädtische Grünflächen wie Parks eine positive Wirkung auf das urbane Mikroklima haben. Weiterhin zeigen diese Messungen, dass die Topographie innerhalb des Untersuchungsgebietes die Aufheizung einzelner Flächen und die Temperaturverteilung vermutlich mitbestimmt. Die hier vorgestellte Karte der potenziellen Kühlfunktion für Remscheid sollte als Ergänzung in die Klimafunktionskarte für Remscheid eingehen und den bestehenden Layer „flächenhafte Klimafunktion“, der nur die Landnutzung berücksichtigt, ersetzen. KW - Klimaanpassung KW - urbane Böden KW - Bodenkühlpotenzial KW - nutzbare Feldkapazität Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-526670 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Müller, Sebastian A1 - Schüler, Lennart A1 - Zech, Alraune A1 - Heße, Falk T1 - GSTools v1.3: a toolbox for geostatistical modelling in Python JF - Geoscientific model development : an interactive open access journal of the European Geosciences Union N2 - Geostatistics as a subfield of statistics accounts for the spatial correlations encountered in many applications of, for example, earth sciences. Valuable information can be extracted from these correlations, also helping to address the often encountered burden of data scarcity. Despite the value of additional data, the use of geostatistics still falls short of its potential. This problem is often connected to the lack of user-friendly software hampering the use and application of geostatistics. We therefore present GSTools, a Python-based software suite for solving a wide range of geostatistical problems. We chose Python due to its unique balance between usability, flexibility, and efficiency and due to its adoption in the scientific community. GSTools provides methods for generating random fields; it can perform kriging, variogram estimation and much more. We demonstrate its abilities by virtue of a series of example applications detailing their use. Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-3161-2022 SN - 1991-959X SN - 1991-9603 VL - 15 IS - 7 SP - 3161 EP - 3182 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Bauer, Jonas A1 - Börsig, Nicolas A1 - Pham, Van Cam A1 - Hoan, Tran Viet A1 - Nguyen, Ha Thi A1 - Norra, Stefan T1 - Geochemistry and evolution of groundwater resources in the context of salinization and freshening in the southernmost Mekong Delta, Vietnam JF - Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies N2 - Study region: Ca Mau Province (CMP), Mekong Delta (MD), Vietnam. Study focus: Groundwater from deep aquifers is the most reliable source of freshwater in the MD but extensive overexploitation in the last decades led to the drop of hydraulic heads and negative environmental impacts. Therefore, a comprehensive groundwater investigation was conducted to evaluate its composition in the context of Quaternary marine transgression and regression cycles, geochemical processes as well as groundwater extraction. New hydrological insights for the region: The abundance of groundwater of Na-HCO3 type and distinct ion ratios, such as Na+/Cl-, indicate extensive freshwater intrusion in an initially saline hydrogeological system, with decreasing intensity from upper Pleistocene to deeper Miocene aquifers, most likely during the last marine regression phase 60-12 ka BP. Deviations from the conservative mixing line between the two endmembers seawater and freshwater are attributed to ion-exchange processes on mineral surfaces, making ion ratios in combination with a customized water type analysis a useful tool to distinguish between salinization and freshening processes. Elevated salinity in some areas is attributed to HCO3- generation by organic matter decomposition in marine sediments rather than to seawater intrusion. Nevertheless, a few randomly distributed locations show strong evidence of recent salinization in an early stage, which may be caused by the downwards migration of saline Holocene groundwater through natural and anthropogenic pathways into deep aquifers. KW - Ca Mau KW - Hydrogeology KW - Delta aquifer system KW - Salinity KW - Freshwater KW - Seawater intrusion Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2022.101010 SN - 2214-5818 VL - 40 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Fairey, Brenton J. A1 - Timmerman, Martin Jan A1 - Sudo, Masafumi A1 - Tsikos, Harilaos T1 - The role of hydrothermal activity in the formation of Karst-hosted manganese deposits of the Postmasburg Mn Field, Northern Cape Province, South Africa JF - Minerals N2 - The Postmasburg Manganese Field (PMF), Northern Cape Province, South Africa, once represented one of the largest sources of manganese ore worldwide. Two belts of manganese ore deposits have been distinguished in the PMF, namely the Western Belt of ferruginous manganese ores and the Eastern Belt of siliceous manganese ores. Prevailing models of ore formation in these two belts invoke karstification of manganese-rich dolomites and residual accumulation of manganese wad which later underwent diagenetic and low-grade metamorphic processes. For the most part, the role of hydrothermal processes and metasomatic alteration towards ore formation has not been adequately discussed. Here we report an abundance of common and some rare Al-, Na-, K- and Ba-bearing minerals, particularly aegirine, albite, microcline, banalsite, serandite-pectolite, paragonite and natrolite in Mn ores of the PMF, indicative of hydrothermal influence. Enrichments in Na, K and/or Ba in the ores are generally on a percentage level for most samples analysed through bulk-rock techniques. The presence of As-rich tokyoite also suggests the presence of As and V in the hydrothermal fluid. The fluid was likely oxidized and alkaline in nature, akin to a mature basinal brine. Various replacement textures, particularly of Na- and K- rich minerals by Ba-bearing phases, suggest sequential deposition of gangue as well as ore-minerals from the hydrothermal fluid, with Ba phases being deposited at a later stage. The stratigraphic variability of the studied ores and their deviation from the strict classification of ferruginous and siliceous ores in the literature, suggests that a re-evaluation of genetic models is warranted. New Ar-Ar ages for K-feldspars suggest a late Neoproterozoic timing for hydrothermal activity. This corroborates previous geochronological evidence for regional hydrothermal activity that affected Mn ores at the PMF but also, possibly, the high-grade Mn ores of the Kalahari Manganese Field to the north. A revised, all-encompassing model for the development of the manganese deposits of the PMF is then proposed, whereby the source of metals is attributed to underlying carbonate rocks beyond the Reivilo Formation of the Campbellrand Subgroup. The main process by which metals are primarily accumulated is attributed to karstification of the dolomitic substrate. The overlying Asbestos Hills Subgroup banded iron formation (BIF) is suggested as a potential source of alkali metals, which also provides a mechanism for leaching of these BIFs to form high-grade residual iron ore deposits. KW - manganese ore KW - Postmasburg manganese field KW - hydrothermal KW - karst KW - South Africa Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/min9070408 SN - 2075-163X VL - 9 IS - 7 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Neugart, Susanne A1 - Wiesner-Reinhold, Melanie A1 - Frede, Katja A1 - Jander, Elisabeth A1 - Homann, Thomas A1 - Rawel, Harshadrai Manilal A1 - Schreiner, Monika A1 - Baldermann, Susanne T1 - Effect of Solid Biological Waste Compost on the Metabolite Profile of Brassica rapa ssp chinensis JF - Frontiers in plant science : FPLS N2 - Large quantities of biological waste are generated at various steps within the food production chain and a great utilization potential for this solid biological waste exists apart from the current main usage for the feedstuff sector. It remains unclear how the usage of biological waste as compost modulates plant metabolites. We investigated the effect of biological waste of the processing of coffee, aronia, and hop added to soil on the plant metabolite profile by means of liquid chromatography in pak choi sprouts. Here we demonstrate that the solid biological waste composts induced specific changes in the metabolite profiles and the changes are depending on the type of the organic residues and its concentration in soil. The targeted analysis of selected plant metabolites, associated with health beneficial properties of the Brassicaceae family, revealed increased concentrations of carotenoids (up to 3.2-fold) and decreased amounts of glucosinolates (up to 4.7-fold) as well as phenolic compounds (up to 1.5-fold). KW - metabolite profiling KW - LC/MS KW - pak choi KW - carotenoids KW - phenolic compounds KW - glucosinolates Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3389/fpls.2018.00305 SN - 1664-462X VL - 9 PB - Frontiers Media CY - Lausanne ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Berghäuser, Lisa A1 - Schoppa, Lukas A1 - Ulrich, Jana A1 - Dillenardt, Lisa A1 - Jurado, Oscar E. A1 - Passow, Christian A1 - Samprogna Mohor, Guilherme A1 - Seleem, Omar A1 - Petrow, Theresia A1 - Thieken, Annegret T1 - Starkregen in Berlin BT - Meteorologische Ereignisrekonstruktion und Betroffenenbefragung N2 - In den Sommern der Jahre 2017 und 2019 kam es in Berlin an mehreren Orten zu Überschwemmungen in Folge von Starkregenereignissen. In beiden Jahren führte dies zu erheblichen Beeinträchtigungen im Alltag der Berliner:innen sowie zu hohen Sachschäden. Eine interdisziplinäre Taskforce des DFG-Graduiertenkollegs NatRiskChange untersuchte (1) die meteorologischen Eigenschaften zweier besonders eindrücklicher Unwetter, sowie (2) die Vulnerabilität der Berliner Bevölkerung gegenüber Starkregen. Eine vergleichende meteorologische Rekonstruktion der Starkregenereignisse von 2017 und 2019 ergab deutliche Unterschiede in der Entstehung und den Überschreitungswahrscheinlichkeiten der beiden Unwetter. So war das Ereignis von 2017 mit einer relativ großen räumlichen Ausdehnung und langer Dauer ein untypisches Starkregenereignis, während es sich bei dem Unwetter von 2019 um ein typisches, kurzzeitiges Starkregenereignis mit ausgeprägter räumlicher Heterogenität handelte. Eine anschließende statistische Analyse zeigte, dass das Ereignis von 2017 für längere Niederschlagsdauern (>=24 h) als großflächiges Extremereignis mit Überschreitungswahrscheinlichkeiten von unter 1 % einzuordnen ist (d.h. Wiederkehrperioden >=100 Jahre). Im Jahr 2019 wurden dagegen ähnliche Überschreitungswahrscheinlichkeiten nur lokal und für kürzere Zeiträume (1-2 h) berechnet. Die Vulnerabilitätsanalyse basiert auf einer von April bis Juni 2020 in Berlin durchgeführten Onlinebefragung. Diese richtete sich an Personen, die bereits von vergangenen Starkregenereignissen betroffen waren und thematisierte das Schadensereignis selbst, daraus entstandene Beeinträchtigungen und Schäden, Risikowahrnehmung sowie Notfall- und Vorsorgemaßnahmen. Die erhobenen Umfragedaten (n=102) beziehen sich vornehmlich auf die Ereignisse von 2017 und 2019 und zeigen, dass die Berliner Bevölkerung sowohl im Alltag (z.B. bei der Beschaffung von Lebensmitteln) als auch im eigenen Haushalt (z.B. durch Überschwemmungsschäden) von den Unwettern beeinträchtigt war. Zudem deuteten die Antworten der Betroffenen auf Möglichkeiten hin, die Vulnerabilität der Gesellschaft gegenüber Starkregen weiter zu reduzieren - etwa durch die Unterstützung besonders betroffener Gruppen (z.B. Pflegende), durch gezielte Informationskampagnen zum Schutz vor Starkregen oder durch die Erhöhung der Reichweite von Unwetterwarnungen. Eine statistische Analyse zur Effektivität privater Notfall- und Vorsorgemaßnahmen auf Grundlage der Umfragedaten bestätigte vorherige Studienergebnisse. So gab es Anhaltspunkte dafür, dass durch das Umsetzen von Vorsorgemaßnahmen wie beispielsweise das Installieren von Rückstauklappen, Barriere-Systemen oder Pumpen Starkregenschäden reduziert werden können. Die Ergebnisse dieses Berichts unterstreichen die Notwendigkeit für ein integriertes Starkregenrisikomanagment, das die Risikokomponenten Gefährdung, Vulnerabilität und Exposition ganzheitlich und auf mehreren Ebenen (z.B. staatlich, kommunal, privat) betrachtet. N2 - In the summers of 2017 and 2019, the city of Berlin was hit by heavy rainfall leading to urban flooding in several locations. In both years, this led to considerable disruptions of the daily life and high property damage. With focus on two particularly impressive events a taskforce of the DFG Research Training Group NatRiskChange investigated (1) the meteorological characteristics of both events as well as (2) the vulnerability of the Berlin population to heavy rainfall. A comparative meteorological reconstruction of the 2017 and 2019 heavy rainfall events revealed fundamental differences between the two storms. The 2017 event was an atypical heavy rain event, as it was characterized by a relatively large spatial extent and long duration of rainfall, whereas the 2019 storm was a typical short duration heavy rain event with a distinct spatial heterogeneity. Subsequent statistical analysis indicated that the 2017 event should be classified as a large-scale extreme event with exceedance probabilities below 1 % for longer precipitation durations (i.e., return periods of over 100 years). In contrast, in 2019 similar exceedance probabilities were estimated only locally and for shorter durations (1-2 h). The vulnerability analysis of this taskforce was based on an online survey conducted in Berlin between April and June 2020. The survey was aimed at people who had experienced past heavy rainfall events in Berlin, and addressed the resulting impairments and damages, risk perceptions as well as emergency and preparedness measures. The survey data (n=102) primarily referred to the events of 2017 and 2019 and showed that the respondents were affected by the storms both in their daily lives (e.g., when purchasing food) and in their own households (e.g., due to flood damage). In addition, the analysis of the responses pointed to ways to further reduce society's vulnerability to heavy rain. That was, for example, by providing support to particularly affected groups (e.g., caregivers), through targeted information campaigns to protect against heavy rainfall or by improving the range of early warning systems. A statistical analysis of the efficacy of property-level emergency and preparedness measures based on the survey data confirmed previous study findings and provided evidence of reducing heavy rain damage through preparedness. The findings of the taskforce highlight the need for integrated heavy rainfall risk management that considers the risk components of hazard, vulnerability, and exposure holistically and at multiple levels (e.g., state, local and private households). KW - Starkregen KW - Risikomanagement KW - Meteorologische Ereignisanalyse KW - Betroffenenbefragung KW - Berlin KW - Urban Flooding KW - Risk reduction KW - Meteorological Event Analysis KW - Survey of affected residents KW - Berlin Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-500560 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Jobe, Jessica Ann Thompson A1 - Li, Tao A1 - Bookhagen, Bodo A1 - Chen, Jie A1 - Burbank, Douglas W. T1 - Dating growth strata and basin fill by combining Al-26/Be-10 burial dating and magnetostratigraphy BT - Constraining active deformation in the Pamir-Tian Shan convergence zone, NW China JF - Lithosphere N2 - Cosmogenic burial dating enables dating of coarse-grained, Pliocene-Pleistocene sedimentary units that are typically difficult to date with traditional methods, such as magnetostratigraphy. In the actively deforming western Tarim Basin in NW China, Pliocene-Pleistocene conglomerates were dated at eight sites, integrating Al-26/Be-10 burial dating with previously published magnetostratigraphic sections. These samples were collected from growth strata on the flanks of growing folds and from sedimentary units beneath active faults to place timing constraints on the initiation of deformation of structures within the basin and on shortening rates on active faults. These new basin-fill and growthstrata ages document the late Neogene and Quaternary growth of the Pamir and Tian Shan orogens between >5 and 1 Ma and delineate the eastward propagation of deformation at rates up to 115 km/m.y. and basinward growth of both mountain belts at rates up to 12 km/m.y. Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1130/L727.1 SN - 1941-8264 SN - 1947-4253 VL - 10 IS - 6 SP - 806 EP - 828 PB - American Institute of Physics CY - Boulder ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Puppe, Daniel A1 - Leue, Martin A1 - Sommer, Michael A1 - Schaller, Jörg A1 - Kaczorek, Danuta T1 - Auto-fluorescence in phytoliths BT - a mechanistic understanding derived from microscopic and spectroscopic analyses JF - Frontiers in Environmental Science N2 - The detection of auto-fluorescence in phytogenic, hydrated amorphous silica depositions (phytoliths) has been found to be a promising approach to verify if phytoliths were burnt or not, especially in archaeological contexts. However, it is unknown so far at what temperature and how auto-fluorescence is induced in phytoliths. We used fluorescence microscopy, scanning electron microscope-energy dispersive X-ray spectroscopy (SEM-EDX), and Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy to analyze auto-fluorescence in modern phytoliths extracted from plant samples or in intact leaves of winter wheat. Leaves and extracted phytoliths were heated at different temperatures up to 600 degrees C. The aims of our experiments were i) to find out what temperature is needed to induce auto-fluorescence in phytoliths, ii) to detect temperature-dependent changes in the molecular structure of phytoliths related to auto-fluorescence, and iii) to derive a mechanistic understanding of auto-fluorescence in phytoliths. We found organic compounds associated with phytoliths to cause auto-fluorescence in phytoliths treated at temperatures below approx. 400 degrees C. In phytoliths treated at higher temperatures, i.e., 450 and 600 degrees C, phytolith auto-fluorescence was mainly caused by molecular changes of phytolith silica. Based on our results we propose that auto-fluorescence in phytoliths is caused by clusterization-triggered emissions, which are caused by overlapping electron clouds forming non-conventional chromophores. In phytoliths heated at temperatures above about 400 degrees C dihydroxylation and the formation of siloxanes result in oxygen clusters that serve as non-conventional chromophores in fluorescence events. Furthermore, SEM-EDX analyses revealed that extractable phytoliths were dominated by lumen phytoliths (62%) compared to cell wall phytoliths (38%). Our findings might be not only relevant in archaeological phytolith-based examinations, but also for studies on the temperature-dependent release of silicon from phytoliths and the potential of long-term carbon sequestration in phytoliths. KW - fluorescence microscopy KW - FTIR spectroscopy KW - SEM-EDX KW - burnt phytoliths; KW - carbon sequestration Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2022.915947 SN - 2296-665X VL - 10 PB - Frontiers Media CY - Lausanne ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schmidt, Martin A1 - Nendel, Claas A1 - Funk, Roger A1 - Mitchell, Matthew G. E. A1 - Lischeid, Gunnar T1 - Modeling Yields Response to Shading in the Field-to-Forest Transition Zones in Heterogeneous Landscapes JF - Agriculture N2 - In crop modeling and yield predictions, the heterogeneity of agricultural landscapes is usually not accounted for. This heterogeneity often arises from landscape elements like forests, hedges, or single trees and shrubs that cast shadows. Shading from forested areas or shrubs has effects on transpiration, temperature, and soil moisture, all of which affect the crop yield in the adjacent arable land. Transitional gradients of solar irradiance can be described as a function of the distance to the zero line (edge), the cardinal direction, and the height of trees. The magnitude of yield reduction in transition zones is highly influenced by solar irradiance-a factor that is not yet implemented in crop growth models on a landscape level. We present a spatially explicit model for shading caused by forested areas, in agricultural landscapes. With increasing distance to forest, solar irradiance and yield increase. Our model predicts that the shading effect from the forested areas occurs up to 15 m from the forest edge, for the simulated wheat yields, and up to 30 m, for simulated maize. Moreover, we estimated the spatial extent of transition zones, to calculate the regional yield reduction caused by shading of the forest edges, which amounted to 5% to 8% in an exemplary region. KW - edge effect KW - transition zone KW - solar irradiance KW - crop growth KW - maize KW - wheat Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture9010006 SN - 2077-0472 VL - 9 IS - 1 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Weng, Wei A1 - Lüdeke, Matthias K. B. A1 - Zemp, Delphine Clara A1 - Lakes, Tobia A1 - Kropp, Jürgen T1 - Aerial and surface rivers BT - downwind impacts on water availability from land use changes in Amazonia JF - Hydrology and earth system sciences : HESS N2 - The abundant evapotranspiration provided by the Amazon forests is an important component of the hydrological cycle, both regionally and globally. Since the last century, deforestation and expanding agricultural activities have been changing the ecosystem and its provision of moisture to the atmosphere. However, it remains uncertain how the ongoing land use change will influence rainfall, runoff, and water availability as findings from previous studies differ. Using moisture tracking experiments based on observational data, we provide a spatially detailed analysis recognizing potential teleconnection between source and sink regions of atmospheric moisture. We apply land use scenarios in upwind moisture sources and quantify the corresponding rainfall and runoff changes in downwind moisture sinks. We find spatially varying responses of water regimes to land use changes, which may explain the diverse results from previous studies. Parts of the Peruvian Amazon and western Bolivia are identified as the sink areas most sensitive to land use change in the Amazon and we highlight the current water stress by Amazonian land use change on these areas in terms of the water availability. Furthermore, we also identify the influential source areas where land use change may considerably reduce a given target sink's water reception (from our example of the Ucayali River basin outlet, rainfall by 5–12 % and runoff by 19–50 % according to scenarios). Sensitive sinks and influential sources are therefore suggested as hotspots for achieving sustainable land–water management. Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-911-2018 SN - 1027-5606 SN - 1607-7938 VL - 22 IS - 1 SP - 911 EP - 927 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Pradhan, Prajal A1 - Kropp, Jürgen T1 - Interplay between diets, health, and climate change JF - Sustainability N2 - The world is facing a triple burden of undernourishment, obesity, and environmental impacts from agriculture while nourishing its population. This burden makes sustainable nourishment of the growing population a global challenge. Addressing this challenge requires an understanding of the interplay between diets, health, and associated environmental impacts (e.g., climate change). For this, we identify 11 typical diets that represent dietary habits worldwide for the last five decades. Plant-source foods provide most of all three macronutrients (carbohydrates, protein, and fat) in developing countries. In contrast, animal-source foods provide a majority of protein and fat in developed ones. The identified diets deviate from the recommended healthy diet with either too much (e.g., red meat) or too little (e.g., fruits and vegetables) food and nutrition supply. The total calorie supplies are lower than required for two diets. Sugar consumption is higher than recommended for five diets. Three and five diets consist of larger-than-recommended carbohydrate and fat shares, respectively. Four diets with a large share of animal-source foods exceed the recommended value of red meat. Only two diets consist of at least 400 gm/cap/day of fruits and vegetables while accounting for food waste. Prevalence of undernourishment and underweight dominates in the diets with lower calories. In comparison, a higher prevalence of obesity is observed for diets with higher calories with high shares of sugar, fat, and animal-source foods. However, embodied emissions in the diets do not show a clear relation with calorie supplies and compositions. Two high-calorie diets embody more than 1.5 t CO2eq/cap/yr, and two low-calorie diets embody around 1 t CO2eq/cap/yr. Our analysis highlights that sustainable and healthy diets can serve the purposes of both nourishing the population and, at the same time, reducing the environmental impacts of agriculture. KW - dietary patterns KW - healthy diets KW - embodied emissions KW - diet shifts KW - sustainable diets KW - emission intensity Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/su12093878 SN - 2071-1050 VL - 12 IS - 9 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Krummenauer, Linda A1 - Costa, Luís Fílípe Carvalho da A1 - Prahl, Boris F. A1 - Kropp, Jürgen T1 - Future heat adaptation and exposure among urban populations and why a prospering economy alone won’t save us JF - Scientific reports N2 - When inferring on the magnitude of future heat-related mortality due to climate change, human adaptation to heat should be accounted for. We model long-term changes in minimum mortality temperatures (MMT), a well-established metric denoting the lowest risk of heat-related mortality, as a function of climate change and socio-economic progress across 3820 cities. Depending on the combination of climate trajectories and socio-economic pathways evaluated, by 2100 the risk to human health is expected to decline in 60% to 80% of the cities against contemporary conditions. This is caused by an average global increase in MMTs driven by long-term human acclimatisation to future climatic conditions and economic development of countries. While our adaptation model suggests that negative effects on health from global warming can broadly be kept in check, the trade-offs are highly contingent to the scenario path and location-specific. For high-forcing climate scenarios (e.g. RCP8.5) the maintenance of uninterrupted high economic growth by 2100 is a hard requirement to increase MMTs and level-off the negative health effects from additional scenario-driven heat exposure. Choosing a 2 degrees C-compatible climate trajectory alleviates the dependence on fast growth, leaving room for a sustainable economy, and leads to higher reductions of mortality risk. Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-99757-0 SN - 2045-2322 VL - 11 IS - 1 PB - Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature CY - Berlin ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Athare, Tushar Ramchandra A1 - Pradhan, Prajal A1 - Singh, S. R. K. A1 - Kropp, Jürgen T1 - India consists of multiple food systems with scoioeconomic and environmental variations JF - PLOS ONE / Public Library of Science N2 - Agriculture in India accounts for 18% of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and uses significant land and water. Various socioeconomic factors and food subsidies influence diets in India. Indian food systems face the challenge of sustainably nourishing the 1.3 billion population. However, existing studies focus on a few food system components, and holistic analysis is still missing. We identify Indian food systems covering six food system components: food consumption, production, processing, policy, environmental footprints, and socioeconomic factors from the latest Indian household consumer expenditure survey. We identify 10 Indian food systems using k-means cluster analysis on 15 food system indicators belonging to the six components. Based on the major source of calorie intake, we classify the ten food systems into production-based (3), subsidy-based (3), and market-based (4) food systems. Home-produced and subsidized food contribute up to 2000 kcal/consumer unit (CU)/day and 1651 kcal/CU/day, respectively, in these food systems. The calorie intake of 2158 to 3530 kcal/CU/day in the food systems reveals issues of malnutrition in India. Environmental footprints are commensurate with calorie intake in the food systems. Embodied GHG, land footprint, and water footprint estimates range from 1.30 to 2.19 kg CO(2)eq/CU/day, 3.89 to 6.04 m(2)/CU/day, and 2.02 to 3.16 m(3)/CU/day, respectively. Our study provides a holistic understanding of Indian food systems for targeted nutritional interventions on household malnutrition in India while also protecting planetary health. Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0270342 SN - 1932-6203 VL - 17 IS - 8 PB - PLoS CY - San Fransisco ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Khurana, Swamini A1 - Hesse, Falk A1 - Kleidon-Hildebrandt, Anke A1 - Thullner, Martin T1 - Should we worry about surficial dynamics when assessing nutrient cycling in the groundwater? JF - Frontiers in water N2 - The fluxes of water and solutes in the subsurface compartment of the Critical Zone are temporally dynamic and it is unclear how this impacts microbial mediated nutrient cycling in the spatially heterogeneous subsurface. To investigate this, we undertook numerical modeling, simulating the transport in a wide range of spatially heterogeneous domains, and the biogeochemical transformation of organic carbon and nitrogen compounds using a complex microbial community with four (4) distinct functional groups, in water saturated subsurface compartments. We performed a comprehensive uncertainty analysis accounting for varying residence times and spatial heterogeneity. While the aggregated removal of chemical species in the domains over the entire simulation period was approximately the same as that in steady state conditions, the sub-scale temporal variation of microbial biomass and chemical discharge from a domain depended strongly on the interplay of spatial heterogeneity and temporal dynamics of the forcing. We showed that the travel time and the Damkohler number (Da) can be used to predict the temporally varying chemical discharge from a spatially heterogeneous domain. In homogeneous domains, chemical discharge in temporally dynamic conditions could be double of that in the steady state conditions while microbial biomass varied up to 75% of that in steady state conditions. In heterogeneous domains, the interquartile range of uncertainty in chemical discharge in reaction dominated systems (log(10)Da > 0) was double of that in steady state conditions. However, high heterogeneous domains resulted in outliers where chemical discharge could be as high as 10-20 times of that in steady state conditions in high flow periods. And in transport dominated systems (log(10)Da < 0), the chemical discharge could be half of that in steady state conditions in unusually low flow conditions. In conclusion, ignoring spatio-temporal heterogeneities in a numerical modeling approach may exacerbate inaccurate estimation of nutrient export and microbial biomass. The results are relevant to long-term field monitoring studies, and for homogeneous soil column-scale experiments investigating the role of temporal dynamics on microbial redox dynamics. KW - reactive transport modeling KW - spatio-temporal heterogeneity KW - uncertainty KW - geomicrobial activity KW - nutrient export Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3389/frwa.2022.780297 SN - 2624-9375 VL - 4 PB - Frontiers Media CY - Lausanne ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schneidemesser, Erika von A1 - Sibiya, Bheki A1 - Caseiro, Alexandre A1 - Butler, Tim A1 - Lawrence, Mark A1 - Leitao, Joana A1 - Lupaşcu, Aura A1 - Salvador, Pedro T1 - Learning from the COVID-19 lockdown in Berlin BT - Observations and modelling to support understanding policies to reduce NO2 JF - Atmospheric environment: X N2 - Urban air pollution is a substantial threat to human health. Traffic emissions remain a large contributor to air pollution in urban areas. The mobility restrictions put in place in response to the COVID-19 pandemic provided a large-scale real-world experiment that allows for the evaluation of changes in traffic emissions and the corresponding changes in air quality. Here we use observational data, as well as modelling, to analyse changes in nitrogen dioxide, ozone, and particulate matter resulting from the COVID-19 restrictions at the height of the lockdown period in Spring of 2020. Accounting for the influence of meteorology on air quality, we found that reduction of ca. 30-50 % in traffic counts, dominated by changes in passenger cars, corresponded to reductions in median observed nitrogen dioxide concentrations of ca. 40 % (traffic and urban background locations) and a ca. 22 % increase in ozone (urban background locations) during weekdays. Lesser reductions in nitrogen dioxide concentrations were observed at urban background stations at weekends, and no change in ozone was observed. The modelled reductions in median nitrogen dioxide at urban background locations were smaller than the observed reductions and the change was not significant. The model results showed no significant change in ozone on weekdays or weekends. The lack of a simulated weekday/weekend effect is consistent with previous work suggesting that NOx emissions from traffic could be significantly underestimated in European cities by models. These results indicate the potential for improvements in air quality due to policies for reducing traffic, along with the scale of reductions that would be needed to result in meaningful changes in air quality if a transition to sustainable mobility is to be seriously considered. They also confirm once more the highly relevant role of traffic for air quality in urban areas. KW - Urban areas KW - Air pollution KW - Emissions KW - COVID-19 KW - Nitrogen dioxide KW - Ozone KW - Europe Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.aeaoa.2021.100122 SN - 2590-1621 VL - 12 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Freymark, Jessica A1 - Bott, Judith A1 - Cacace, Mauro A1 - Ziegler, Moritz 0. A1 - Scheck-Wenderoth, Magdalena T1 - Influence of the Main Border Faults on the 3D Hydraulic Field of the Central Upper Rhine Graben JF - Geofluids N2 - The Upper Rhine Graben (URG) is an active rift with a high geothermal potential. Despite being a well-studied area, the three-dimensional interaction of the main controlling factors of the thermal and hydraulic regime is still not fully understood. Therefore, we have used a data-based 3D structural model of the lithological configuration of the central URG for some conceptual numerical experiments of 3D coupled simulations of fluid and heat transport. To assess the influence of the main faults bordering the graben on the hydraulic and the deep thermal field, we carried out a sensitivity analysis on fault width and permeability. Depending on the assigned width and permeability of the main border faults, fluid velocity and temperatures are affected only in the direct proximity of the respective border faults. Hence, the hydraulic characteristics of these major faults do not significantly influence the graben-wide groundwater flow patterns. Instead, the different scenarios tested provide a consistent image of the main characteristics of fluid and heat transport as they have in common: (1) a topography-driven basin-wide fluid flow perpendicular to the rift axis from the graben shoulders to the rift center, (2) a N/NE-directed flow parallel to the rift axis in the center of the rift and, (3) a pronounced upflow of hot fluids along the rift central axis, where the streams from both sides of the rift merge. This upflow axis is predicted to occur predominantly in the center of the URG (northern and southern model area) and shifted towards the eastern boundary fault (central model area). Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1155/2019/7520714 SN - 1468-8115 SN - 1468-8123 PB - Wiley-Hindawi CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Vyse, Stuart Andrew A1 - Semiromi, Majid Taie A1 - Lischeid, Gunnar A1 - Merz, Christoph T1 - Characterizing hydrological processes within kettle holes using stable water isotopes in the Uckermark of northern Brandenburg, Germany JF - Hydrological Processes N2 - Understanding the hydrologic connectivity between kettle holes and shallow groundwater, particularly in reaction to the highly variable local meteorological conditions, is of paramount importance for tracing water in a hydro(geo)logically complex landscape and thus for integrated water resource management. This article is aimed at identifying the dominant hydrological processes affecting the kettle holes' water balance and their interactions with the shallow groundwater domain in the Uckermark region, located in the north-east of Germany. For this reason, based on the stable isotopes of oxygen (delta O-18) and hydrogen (delta H-2), an isotopic mass balance model was employed to compute the evaporative loss of water from the kettle holes from February to August 2017. Results demonstrated that shallow groundwater inflow may play the pivotal role in the processes taking part in the hydrology of the kettle holes in the Uckermark region. Based on the calculated evaporation/inflow (E/I) ratios, most of the kettle holes (86.7%) were ascertained to have a partially open, flow-through-dominated system. Moreover, we identified an inverse correlation between E/I ratios and the altitudes of the kettle holes. The same holds for electrical conductivity (EC) and the altitudes of the kettle holes. In accordance with the findings obtained from this study, a conceptual model explaining the interaction between the shallow groundwater and the kettle holes of Uckermark was developed. The model exhibited that across the highest altitudes, the recharge kettle holes are dominant, where a lower ratio of E/I and a lower EC was detected. By contrast, the lowest topographical depressions represent the discharge kettle holes, where a higher ratio of E/I and EC could be identified. The kettle holes existing in between were categorized as flow-through kettle holes through which the recharge takes place from one side and discharge from the other side. KW - evaporation KW - groundwater inflow KW - kettle hole KW - stable water isotope KW - surface–groundwater interactions Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.13699 SN - 0885-6087 SN - 1099-1085 VL - 34 IS - 8 SP - 1868 EP - 1887 PB - Wiley CY - New York ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Smetanová, Anna A1 - Müller, Anne A1 - Zargar, Morteza A1 - Suleiman, Mohamed A. A1 - Gholami, Faraz Rabei A1 - Mousavi, Maryam T1 - Mesoscale mapping of sediment source hotspots for dam sediment management in data-sparse semi-arid catchments JF - Water N2 - Land degradation and water availability in semi-arid regions are interdependent challenges for management that are influenced by climatic and anthropogenic changes. Erosion and high sediment loads in rivers cause reservoir siltation and decrease storage capacity, which pose risk on water security for citizens, agriculture, and industry. In regions where resources for management are limited, identifying spatial-temporal variability of sediment sources is crucial to decrease siltation. Despite widespread availability of rigorous methods, approaches simplifying spatial and temporal variability of erosion are often inappropriately applied to very data sparse semi-arid regions. In this work, we review existing approaches for mapping erosional hotspots, and provide an example of spatial-temporal mapping approach in two case study regions. The barriers limiting data availability and their effects on erosion mapping methods, their validation, and resulting prioritization of leverage management areas are discussed. KW - reservoir siltation KW - water security KW - water management KW - data sharing KW - spatial-temporal KW - erosion hotspots KW - mapping KW - global datasets KW - mesoscale KW - leverage areas Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/w12020396 SN - 2073-4441 VL - 12 IS - 2 SP - 1 EP - 24 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Siegmund, Nicole A1 - Panebianco, Juan E. A1 - Avecilla, Fernando A1 - Iturri, Laura Antonela A1 - Sommer, Michael A1 - Buschiazzo, Daniel A1 - Funk, Roger T1 - From gustiness to dustiness BT - the impact of wind gusts on particulate matter emissions in field experiments in La Pampa, Argentina JF - Atmosphere N2 - This study delivers the first empirical data-driven analysis of the impact of turbulence induced gustiness on the fine dust emissions from a measuring field. For quantification of the gust impact, a new measure, the Gust uptake Efficiency (GuE) is introduced. GuE provides a percentage of over- or under-proportional dust uptake due to gust activity during a wind event. For the three analyzed wind events, GuE values of up to 150% could be found, yet they significantly differed per particle size class with a tendency for lower values for smaller particles. In addition, a high-resolution correlation analysis among 31 particle size classes and wind speed was conducted; it revealed strong negative correlation coefficients for very small particles and positive correlations for bigger particles, where 5 mu m appears to be an empirical threshold dividing both directions. We conclude with a number of suggestions for further investigations: an optimized field experiment setup, a new particle size ratio (PM1/PM0.5 in addition to PM10/PM2.5), as well as a comprehensive data-driven search for an optimal wind gust definition in terms of soil erosivity. KW - wind gusts KW - wind erosion KW - particle uptake KW - dust plumes Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/atmos13081173 SN - 2073-4433 VL - 13 IS - 8 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Frieler, Katja A1 - Schauberger, Bernhard A1 - Arneth, Almut A1 - Balkovic, Juraj A1 - Chryssanthacopoulos, James A1 - Deryng, Delphine A1 - Elliott, Joshua A1 - Folberth, Christian A1 - Khabarov, Nikolay A1 - Müller, Christoph A1 - Olin, Stefan A1 - Pugh, Thomas A. M. A1 - Schaphoff, Sibyll A1 - Schewe, Jacob A1 - Schmid, Erwin A1 - Warszawski, Lila A1 - Levermann, Anders T1 - Understanding the weather signal in national crop-yield variability JF - Earths future N2 - Year-to-year variations in crop yields can have major impacts on the livelihoods of subsistence farmers and may trigger significant global price fluctuations, with severe consequences for people in developing countries. Fluctuations can be induced by weather conditions, management decisions, weeds, diseases, and pests. Although an explicit quantification and deeper understanding of weather-induced crop-yield variability is essential for adaptation strategies, so far it has only been addressed by empirical models. Here, we provide conservative estimates of the fraction of reported national yield variabilities that can be attributed to weather by state-of-the-art, process-based crop model simulations. We find that observed weather variations can explain more than 50% of the variability in wheat yields in Australia, Canada, Spain, Hungary, and Romania. For maize, weather sensitivities exceed 50% in seven countries, including the United States. The explained variance exceeds 50% for rice in Japan and South Korea and for soy in Argentina. Avoiding water stress by simulating yields assuming full irrigation shows that water limitation is a major driver of the observed variations in most of these countries. Identifying the mechanisms leading to crop-yield fluctuations is not only fundamental for dampening fluctuations, but is also important in the context of the debate on the attribution of loss and damage to climate change. Since process-based crop models not only account for weather influences on crop yields, but also provide options to represent human-management measures, they could become essential tools for differentiating these drivers, and for exploring options to reduce future yield fluctuations. Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000525 SN - 2328-4277 VL - 5 SP - 605 EP - 616 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schaller, Jörg A1 - Puppe, Daniel A1 - Kaczorek, Danuta A1 - Ellerbrock, Ruth A1 - Sommer, Michael T1 - Silicon cycling in soils revisited JF - Plants : open access journal N2 - Silicon (Si) speciation and availability in soils is highly important for ecosystem functioning, because Si is a beneficial element for plant growth. Si chemistry is highly complex compared to other elements in soils, because Si reaction rates are relatively slow and dependent on Si species. Consequently, we review the occurrence of different Si species in soil solution and their changes by polymerization, depolymerization, and condensation in relation to important soil processes. We show that an argumentation based on thermodynamic endmembers of Si dependent processes, as currently done, is often difficult, because some reactions such as mineral crystallization require months to years (sometimes even centuries or millennia). Furthermore, we give an overview of Si reactions in soil solution and the predominance of certain solid compounds, which is a neglected but important parameter controlling the availability, reactivity, and function of Si in soils. We further discuss the drivers of soil Si cycling and how humans interfere with these processes. The soil Si cycle is of major importance for ecosystem functioning; therefore, a deeper understanding of drivers of Si cycling (e.g., predominant speciation), human disturbances and the implication for important soil properties (water storage, nutrient availability, and micro aggregate stability) is of fundamental relevance. KW - andosols KW - clay neoformation KW - crop yield KW - land use change KW - micro KW - aggregate stability KW - phytoliths KW - sediments KW - silicon cycling KW - silicon KW - extraction methods KW - silicon pore water speciation Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/plants10020295 SN - 2223-7747 VL - 10 IS - 2 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Hoan, Tran Viet A1 - Richter, Karl-Gerd A1 - Borsig, Nicolas A1 - Bauer, Jonas A1 - Ha, Nguyen Thi A1 - Norra, Stefan T1 - An improved groundwater model framework for aquifer structures of the quaternary-formed sediment body in the southernmost parts of the Mekong Delta, Vietnam JF - Hydrology : open access journal N2 - The Ca Mau peninsula (CMP) is a key economic region in southern Vietnam. In recent decades, the high demand for water has increased the exploitation of groundwater, thus lowering the groundwater level and leading to risks of degradation, depletion, and land subsidence, as well as salinity intrusion in the groundwater of the whole Mekong Delta region. By using a finite element groundwater model with boundary expansion to the sea, we updated the latest data on hydrogeological profiles, groundwater levels, and exploitation. The basic model setup covers seven aquifers and seven aquitards. It is determined that the inflow along the coastline to the mainland is 39% of the total inflow. The exploitation of the study area in 2019 was 567,364 m(3)/day. The most exploited aquifers are the upper-middle Pleistocene (qp(2-3)) and the middle Pliocene (n(2)(2)), accounting for 63.7% and 24.6%, respectively; the least exploited aquifers are the upper Pleistocene and the upper Miocene, accounting for 0.35% and 0.02%, respectively. In the deeper aquifers, qp(2-3) and n(2)(2), the change in storage is negative due to the high exploitation rate, leading to a decline in the reserves of these aquifers. These groundwater model results are the calculations of groundwater reserves from the coast to the mainland in the entire system of aquifers in the CMP. This makes groundwater decision managers, stakeholders, and others more efficient in sustainable water resources planning in the CMP and Mekong Delta (MKD). KW - groundwater modeling KW - hydrogeology KW - aquifers system KW - water balance; KW - validation of model KW - Ca Mau peninsula KW - Kien Giang KW - Soc Trang KW - Hau Giang KW - Bac Lieu Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology9040061 SN - 2306-5338 VL - 9 IS - 4 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Reinecke, Robert A1 - Trautmann, Tim A1 - Wagener, Thorsten A1 - Schüler, Katja T1 - The critical need to foster computational reproducibility JF - Environmental research letters KW - reproducibility KW - models KW - software KW - Open Science Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ac5cf8 SN - 1748-9326 VL - 17 IS - 4 PB - IOP Publ. Ltd. CY - Bristol ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Didovets, Iulii A1 - Krysanova, Valentina A1 - Bürger, Gerd A1 - Snizhko, Sergiy A1 - Balabukh, Vira A1 - Bronstert, Axel T1 - Climate change impact on regional floods in the Carpathian region JF - Journal of hydrology : Regional studies N2 - Study region: Tisza and Prut catchments, originating on the slopes of the Carpathian mountains. Study focus: The study reported here investigates (i) climate change impacts on flood risk in the region, and (ii) uncertainty related to hydrological modelling, downscaling techniques and climate projections. The climate projections used in the study were derived from five GCMs, downscaled either dynamically with RCMs or with the statistical downscaling model XDS. The resulting climate change scenarios were applied to drive the eco-hydrological model SWIM, which was calibrated and validated for the catchments in advance using observed climate and hydrological data. The changes in the 30-year flood hazards and 98 and 95 percentiles of discharge were evaluated for the far future period (2071-2100) in comparison with the reference period (1981-2010). New hydrological insights for the region: The majority of model outputs under RCP 4.5 show a small to strong increase of the 30-year flood level in the Tisza ranging from 4.5% to 62%, and moderate increase in the Prut ranging from 11% to 22%. The impact results under RCP 8.5 are more uncertain with changes in both directions due to high uncertainties in GCM-RCM climate projections, downscaling methods and the low density of available climate stations. KW - Climate change impact KW - Floods KW - Hydrological modelling KW - SWIM KW - Tisza KW - Prut KW - Carpathians KW - Ukraine Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2019.01.002 SN - 2214-5818 VL - 22 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Devitt, Laura A1 - Neal, Jeffrey A1 - Wagener, Thorsten A1 - Coxon, Gemma T1 - Uncertainty in the extreme flood magnitude estimates of large-scale flood hazard models JF - Environmental research letters : ERL / Institute of Physics N2 - The growing worldwide impact of flood events has motivated the development and application of global flood hazard models (GFHMs). These models have become useful tools for flood risk assessment and management, especially in regions where little local hazard information is available. One of the key uncertainties associated with GFHMs is the estimation of extreme flood magnitudes to generate flood hazard maps. In this study, the 1-in-100 year flood (Q100) magnitude was estimated using flow outputs from four global hydrological models (GHMs) and two global flood frequency analysis datasets for 1350 gauges across the conterminous US. The annual maximum flows of the observed and modelled timeseries of streamflow were bootstrapped to evaluate the sensitivity of the underlying data to extrapolation. Results show that there are clear spatial patterns of bias associated with each method. GHMs show a general tendency to overpredict Western US gauges and underpredict Eastern US gauges. The GloFAS and HYPE models underpredict Q100 by more than 25% in 68% and 52% of gauges, respectively. The PCR-GLOBWB and CaMa-Flood models overestimate Q100 by more than 25% at 60% and 65% of gauges in West and Central US, respectively. The global frequency analysis datasets have spatial variabilities that differ from the GHMs. We found that river basin area and topographic elevation explain some of the spatial variability in predictive performance found in this study. However, there is no single model or method that performs best everywhere, and therefore we recommend a weighted ensemble of predictions of extreme flood magnitudes should be used for large-scale flood hazard assessment. KW - large-scale flood hazard models KW - global hydrological model KW - flood risk Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/abfac4 SN - 1748-9326 VL - 16 IS - 6 PB - IOP Publ. Ltd. CY - Bristol ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Mtilatila, Lucy Mphatso Ng'ombe A1 - Bronstert, Axel A1 - Shrestha, Pallav A1 - Kadewere, Peter A1 - Vormoor, Klaus Josef T1 - Susceptibility of water resources and hydropower production to climate change in the tropics BT - the case of Lake Malawi and Shire River Basins, SE Africa JF - Hydrology : open access journal N2 - The sensitivity of key hydrologic variables and hydropower generation to climate change in the Lake Malawi and Shire River basins is assessed. The study adapts the mesoscale Hydrological Model (mHM) which is applied separately in the Upper Lake Malawi and Shire River basins. A particular Lake Malawi model, which focuses on reservoir routing and lake water balance, has been developed and is interlinked between the two basins. Climate change projections from 20 Coordinated Regional Climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) models for Africa based on two scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) for the periods 2021-2050 and 2071-2100 are used. An annual temperature increase of 1 degrees C decreases mean lake level and outflow by 0.3 m and 17%, respectively, signifying the importance of intensified evaporation for Lake Malawi's water budget. Meanwhile, a +5% (-5%) deviation in annual rainfall changes mean lake level by +0.7 m (-0.6 m). The combined effects of temperature increase and rainfall decrease result in significantly lower flows in the Shire River. The hydrological river regime may change from perennial to seasonal with the combination of annual temperature increase and precipitation decrease beyond 1.5 degrees C (3.5 degrees C) and -20% (-15%). The study further projects a reduction in annual hydropower production between 1% (RCP8.5) and 2.5% (RCP4.5) during 2021-2050 and between 5% (RCP4.5) and 24% (RCP8.5) during 2071-2100. The results show that it is of great importance that a further development of hydro energy on the Shire River should take into account the effects of climate change, e.g., longer low flow periods and/or higher discharge fluctuations, and thus uncertainty in the amount of electricity produced. KW - Lake Malawi Basin KW - Shire River Basin KW - lake water balance KW - climate change impacts in the tropics KW - hydropower generation KW - response surface analysis KW - sensitivity analysis Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology7030054 SN - 2306-5338 VL - 7 IS - 3 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Seleem, Omar A1 - Ayzel, Georgy A1 - Costa Tomaz de Souza, Arthur A1 - Bronstert, Axel A1 - Heistermann, Maik T1 - Towards urban flood susceptibility mapping using data-driven models in Berlin, Germany JF - Geomatics, natural hazards and risk N2 - Identifying urban pluvial flood-prone areas is necessary but the application of two-dimensional hydrodynamic models is limited to small areas. Data-driven models have been showing their ability to map flood susceptibility but their application in urban pluvial flooding is still rare. A flood inventory (4333 flooded locations) and 11 factors which potentially indicate an increased hazard for pluvial flooding were used to implement convolutional neural network (CNN), artificial neural network (ANN), random forest (RF) and support vector machine (SVM) to: (1) Map flood susceptibility in Berlin at 30, 10, 5, and 2 m spatial resolutions. (2) Evaluate the trained models' transferability in space. (3) Estimate the most useful factors for flood susceptibility mapping. The models' performance was validated using the Kappa, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The results indicated that all models perform very well (minimum AUC = 0.87 for the testing dataset). The RF models outperformed all other models at all spatial resolutions and the RF model at 2 m spatial resolution was superior for the present flood inventory and predictor variables. The majority of the models had a moderate performance for predictions outside the training area based on Kappa evaluation (minimum AUC = 0.8). Aspect and altitude were the most influencing factors on the image-based and point-based models respectively. Data-driven models can be a reliable tool for urban pluvial flood susceptibility mapping wherever a reliable flood inventory is available. KW - Urban pluvial flood susceptibility KW - convolutional neural network KW - deep KW - learning KW - random forest KW - support vector machine KW - spatial resolution; KW - flood predictors Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1080/19475705.2022.2097131 SN - 1947-5705 SN - 1947-5713 VL - 13 IS - 1 SP - 1640 EP - 1662 PB - Taylor & Francis CY - London ER -